FinalFri, Sep 4, 2026

AwaySOUTHLAND

0:3

HomeBIG-WEST

UC Riverside def. LSU New Orleans 3–0

(25-21, 25-19, 25-22)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
UNO	21	19	22	0
UC RIV	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UC RIV above 50 · UNO below

Biggest swing: 3.2% to UC Riverside — set 1, UNO 20-22 UC RIV. Kill by Casi Doll (set by Maya Barron). UC RIV win probability 85% → 88%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

UNO 15.5%84.5% UC RIV

LSU New Orleans wins

3-0

2.3%

3-1

5.0%

3-2

8.2%

UC Riverside wins

3-0

36.5%

3-1

31.2%

3-2

16.8%

UNO break %: 39.9% vs this opp
UC RIV break %: 47.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Casi DollKill+3.2%
Kill by Casi Doll (set by Maya Barron)
Set 1 · UNO 20-22 UC RIV · UC RIV 85% → 88%
02
Elena KasavicaBad set+2.8%
Bad set by Elena Kasavica
Set 1 · UNO 18-18 UC RIV · UNO 15% → 17%
03
UNO serverService error+2.7%
LSU New Orleans service error
Set 1 · UNO 20-21 UC RIV · UC RIV 82% → 85%
04
Nyakuak LualKill+2.6%
Kill by Nyakuak Lual
Set 1 · UNO 20-20 UC RIV · UNO 15% → 18%
05
Nicole HughesKill+2.4%
Kill by Nicole Hughes (set by Maya Barron)
Set 1 · UNO 19-20 UC RIV · UC RIV 83% → 85%
06
Nyakuak LualKill+2.4%
Kill by Nyakuak Lual (set by Mariana Franco)
Set 1 · UNO 19-19 UC RIV · UNO 15% → 17%
07
Casi DollKill+2.3%
Kill by Casi Doll (set by Maya Barron)
Set 1 · UNO 20-23 UC RIV · UC RIV 88% → 91%
08
UNO serverService error+2.2%
LSU New Orleans service error
Set 1 · UNO 18-19 UC RIV · UC RIV 83% → 85%

Official NCAA box

Box score

LSU New Orleans away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Laura PivaOH	3	13	2	24	.458	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	13
16Armie HallOH	3	11	4	28	.250	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	12.5
14Nyakuak LualMB	3	9	1	13	.615	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	9
8Defne EcirogluS	3	0	0	0	–	13	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	0
13Derin Nur AydinMB	2	0	1	5	-.200	0	1	1	0	0	1	2	2	3
7Olivia BartrinaOH	2	1	0	8	.125	0	1	0	3	1	0	0	0	2
9Vladana RisticL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	3	2	4	0	0	0	0	3
10Rylie HallmanS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	2	2	0	0	0	0	1
2Mariana FrancoS	3	0	1	5	-.200	16	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
4Mia LopezL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	7	3	0	0	0	0
22Alana PierceMB	1	1	1	3	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
1Ania AndersonOH	1	1	4	9	-.333	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	0	1
23Karina BarzanovaOPP	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		37	14	97	.237	33	6	10	28	8	1	6	4	62

UC Riversidehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
9Casi DollOH	3	12	4	24	.333	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	13
20Andrea BrewerOH	3	8	4	18	.222	0	0	0	4	4	1	0.5	8.5
3Sariah JohnsonOH	3	7	3	21	.190	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	7.5
4Zeynep BelgutayMB	3	4	2	7	.286	1	3	1	2	0	1	0.5	7.5
11Elena KasavicaS	3	0	0	0	–	19	4	0	7	0	0	0	4
15Evelyn HendrixMB	3	3	1	8	.250	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
13Nicole HughesOH	3	7	3	15	.267	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	7
22Maya BarronS	3	0	0	1	.000	16	0	0	3	0	0	0	0
19Misu NguyenL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	16	1	0	0	0
Team totals		41	17	94	.255	39	8	1	37	6	4	2	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 UNO · UC RIV 5

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 4 UNOUC RIV 4

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 3 UNOUC RIV 4

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 4 UNOUC RIV 5

Bars above the line = UC Riverside leads, below = LSU New Orleans leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

LSU New Orleans

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	33%7/21	33%3/9
2	50%6/12	53%8/15
3	40%6/15	40%4/10
4	67%6/9	45%5/11
5	86%6/7	40%4/10
6	50%5/10	25%2/8
All	49%36/74	41%26/63

UC Riverside

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%7/11	71%15/21
2	43%6/14	25%2/8
3	60%6/10	65%11/17
4	67%6/9	45%5/11
5	67%6/9	14%1/7
6	60%6/10	40%4/10
All	59%37/63	51%38/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

137 rallies

Rally log

#	UNO-UC RIV	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	UC RIV	UC RIV	Kill	Casi Doll	set Elena Kasavica	+1.3
2	0-2	UC RIV	UC RIV	Attack err	Armie Hall		+1.2
3	1-2	UC RIV	UNO	Kill	Laura Piva	set Defne Eciroglu	+1.0
4	1-3	UNO	UC RIV	Kill	Casi Doll	set Elena Kasavica	+1.0
5	2-3	UC RIV	UNO	Kill	Armie Hall	set Defne Eciroglu	+1.0
6	2-4	UNO	UC RIV×4	Kill	Andrea Brewer	set Elena Kasavica	+1.0
7	2-5	UC RIV	UC RIV×4	Kill	Sariah Johnson	set Elena Kasavica	+1.1
8	2-6	UC RIV	UC RIV×4	Attack err	Armie Hall	blk Evelyn Hendrix, Andrea Brewer	+1.0
9	2-7	UC RIV	UC RIV×4	Ace	UC RIV server	aced Nyakuak Lual	+0.8
10	3-7	UC RIV	UNO	Kill	Nyakuak Lual	set Defne Eciroglu	+0.6
11	4-7	UNO	UNO	Ace	UNO server	aced Team	+0.9
12	4-8	UNO	UC RIV	Kill	Andrea Brewer	set Elena Kasavica	+0.8
13	4-9	UC RIV	UC RIV	Kill	Evelyn Hendrix	set Maya Barron	+0.8
14	5-9	UC RIV	UNO	Kill	Nyakuak Lual	set Mariana Franco	+0.6
15	6-9	UNO	UNO	Ace	UNO server	aced Andrea Brewer	+1.0
16	6-10	UNO	UC RIV	Kill	Nicole Hughes	set Maya Barron	+0.8
17	7-10	UC RIV	UNO	Kill	Laura Piva	set Mariana Franco	+0.8
18	8-10	UNO	UNO	Attack err	Nicole Hughes		+1.3
19	8-11	UNO	UC RIV	Kill	Casi Doll	set Maya Barron	+1.0
20	8-12	UC RIV	UC RIV	Attack err	Laura Piva		+1.1
21	9-12	UC RIV	UNO	Attack err	Casi Doll	blk Derin Nur Aydin	+0.8
22	9-13	UNO	UC RIV	Kill	Nicole Hughes	set Maya Barron	+0.9
23	9-14	UC RIV	UC RIV	Kill	Casi Doll	set Elena Kasavica	+0.9
24	10-14	UC RIV	UNO	Attack err	Casi Doll	blk Derin Nur Aydin, Armie Hall	+0.6
25	11-14	UNO	UNO	Attack err	Andrea Brewer		+1.1
26	11-15	UNO	UC RIV	Serve err	UNO server		+0.9
27	12-15	UC RIV	UNO×3	Kill	Armie Hall	set Defne Eciroglu	+0.8
28	13-15	UNO	UNO×3	Ace	UNO server	aced Andrea Brewer	+1.4
29	14-15	UNO	UNO×3	Attack err	Sariah Johnson		+1.9
30	14-16	UNO	UC RIV×3	Serve err	UNO server		+1.5
31	14-17	UC RIV	UC RIV×3	Kill	Sariah Johnson	set Zeynep Belgutay	+1.7
32	14-18	UC RIV	UC RIV×3	Ace	UC RIV server	aced Team	+1.3
33	15-18	UC RIV	UNO×4	Attack err	Evelyn Hendrix		+0.8
34	16-18	UNO	UNO×4	Kill	Olivia Bartrina	set Mariana Franco	+1.6
35	17-18	UNO	UNO×4	Attack err	Andrea Brewer		+2.2
36	18-18	UNO	UNO×4	Bad set	Elena Kasavica		+2.8
37	18-19	UNO	UC RIV	Serve err	UNO server		+2.2
38	19-19	UC RIV	UNO	Kill	Nyakuak Lual	set Mariana Franco	+2.4
39	19-20	UNO	UC RIV	Kill	Nicole Hughes	set Maya Barron	+2.4
40	20-20	UC RIV	UNO	Kill	Nyakuak Lual		+2.6
41	20-21	UNO	UC RIV×3	Serve err	UNO server		+2.7
42	20-22	UC RIV	UC RIV×3	Kill	Casi Doll	set Maya Barron	+3.2
43	20-23	UC RIV	UC RIV×3	Kill	Casi Doll	set Maya Barron	+2.3
44	21-23	UC RIV	UNO	Kill	Laura Piva	set Mia Lopez	+1.1
45	21-24	UNO	UC RIV	Kill	Casi Doll	set Maya Barron	+1.8
46	21-25	UC RIV	UC RIV	Ace	UC RIV server	aced Mia Lopez	+0.8
Set 2
1	0-1	UNO	UC RIV	Kill	Zeynep Belgutay	set Elena Kasavica	+0.7
2	1-1	UC RIV	UNO×3	Kill	Laura Piva	set Defne Eciroglu	+0.8
3	2-1	UNO	UNO×3	Attack err	Andrea Brewer	blk Armie Hall, Derin Nur Aydin	+1.1
4	3-1	UNO	UNO×3	Ace	UNO server	aced Misu Nguyen	+1.3
5	3-2	UNO	UC RIV×4	Attack err	Ania Anderson	blk Zeynep Belgutay, Sariah Johnson	+0.9
6	3-3	UC RIV	UC RIV×4	Attack err	Ania Anderson		+1.1
7	3-4	UC RIV	UC RIV×4	Kill	Sariah Johnson	set Elena Kasavica	+1.1
8	3-5	UC RIV	UC RIV×4	Ace	UC RIV server	aced Mia Lopez	+1.0
9	4-5	UC RIV	UNO	Kill	Armie Hall	set Defne Eciroglu	+0.8
10	4-6	UNO	UC RIV×3	Kill	Andrea Brewer	set Elena Kasavica	+0.8
11	4-7	UC RIV	UC RIV×3	Kill	Nicole Hughes	set Misu Nguyen	+0.9
12	4-8	UC RIV	UC RIV×3	Attack err	Ania Anderson		+0.7
13	5-8	UC RIV	UNO	Kill	Armie Hall	set Defne Eciroglu	+0.6
14	6-8	UNO	UNO	Kill	Ania Anderson	set Mariana Franco	+0.9
15	6-9	UNO	UC RIV	Kill	Andrea Brewer	set Maya Barron	+0.7
16	7-9	UC RIV	UNO×3	Kill	Nyakuak Lual	set Mariana Franco	+0.7
17	8-9	UNO	UNO×3	Kill	Laura Piva	set Mariana Franco	+1.1
18	9-9	UNO	UNO×3	Attack err	Nicole Hughes		+1.3
19	9-10	UNO	UC RIV	Kill	Casi Doll	set Maya Barron	+1.0
20	9-11	UC RIV	UC RIV	Kill	Casi Doll	set Maya Barron	+1.2
21	10-11	UC RIV	UNO	Attack err	Casi Doll		+0.9
22	10-12	UNO	UC RIV×3	Kill	Nicole Hughes	set Maya Barron	+0.9
23	10-13	UC RIV	UC RIV×3	Kill	Zeynep Belgutay	set Elena Kasavica	+1.1
24	10-14	UC RIV	UC RIV×3	Ace	UC RIV server	aced Ania Anderson	+0.9
25	11-14	UC RIV	UNO	Attack err	Sariah Johnson		+0.6
26	11-15	UNO	UC RIV	Kill	Sariah Johnson	set Elena Kasavica	+0.7
27	11-16	UC RIV	UC RIV	Kill	Zeynep Belgutay	set Elena Kasavica	+0.7
28	12-16	UC RIV	UNO×3	Kill	Laura Piva	set Defne Eciroglu	+0.4
29	13-16	UNO	UNO×3	Attack err	Andrea Brewer		+0.8
30	14-16	UNO	UNO×3	Ace	UNO server	aced Andrea Brewer	+1.1
31	14-17	UNO	UC RIV×3	Kill	Sariah Johnson	set Elena Kasavica	+0.9
32	14-18	UC RIV	UC RIV×3	Kill	Evelyn Hendrix		+1.0
33	14-19	UC RIV	UC RIV×3	Attack err	Derin Nur Aydin		+0.7
34	15-19	UC RIV	UNO	Serve err	UC RIV server		+0.4
35	15-20	UNO	UC RIV	Kill	Andrea Brewer	set Misu Nguyen	+0.5
36	15-21	UC RIV	UC RIV	Kill	Evelyn Hendrix	set Maya Barron	+0.4
37	16-21	UC RIV	UNO	Kill	Nyakuak Lual	set Defne Eciroglu	+0.2
38	16-22	UNO	UC RIV	Kill	Nicole Hughes	set Maya Barron	+0.3
39	16-23	UC RIV	UC RIV	Attack err	Ania Anderson		+0.1
40	17-23	UC RIV	UNO	Kill	Nyakuak Lual	set Mariana Franco	+0.0
41	17-24	UNO	UC RIV	Kill	Casi Doll	set Maya Barron	+0.1
42	18-24	UC RIV	UNO	Kill	Laura Piva	set Mariana Franco	+0.0
43	19-24	UNO	UNO	Kill	Laura Piva	set Mariana Franco	+0.0
44	19-25	UNO	UC RIV	Attack err	Mariana Franco		+0.1
Set 3
1	0-1	UC RIV	UC RIV×3	Attack err	Laura Piva		+0.5
2	0-2	UC RIV	UC RIV×3	Ace	UC RIV server	aced Olivia Bartrina	+0.4
3	0-3	UC RIV	UC RIV×3	Bad set	Defne Eciroglu		+0.4
4	1-3	UC RIV	UNO	Kill	Laura Piva	set Defne Eciroglu	+0.3
5	1-4	UNO	UC RIV	Attack err	Alana Pierce		+0.3
6	1-5	UC RIV	UC RIV	Ace	UC RIV server	aced Mia Lopez	+0.3
7	2-5	UC RIV	UNO	Kill	Armie Hall	set Defne Eciroglu	+0.3
8	3-5	UNO	UNO	Attack err	Zeynep Belgutay		+0.4
9	3-6	UNO	UC RIV	Kill	Andrea Brewer	set Elena Kasavica	+0.3
10	4-6	UC RIV	UNO	Kill	Armie Hall	set Defne Eciroglu	+0.3
11	4-7	UNO	UC RIV	Kill	Andrea Brewer	set Elena Kasavica	+0.3
12	4-8	UC RIV	UC RIV	Bad set	Mariana Franco		+0.4
13	5-8	UC RIV	UNO	Kill	Armie Hall	set Mariana Franco	+0.3
14	6-8	UNO	UNO	Attack err	Nicole Hughes		+0.4
15	6-9	UNO	UC RIV	Serve err	UNO server		+0.3
16	7-9	UC RIV	UNO	Kill	Laura Piva	set Mariana Franco	+0.3
17	7-10	UNO	UC RIV	Serve err	UNO server		+0.4
18	8-10	UC RIV	UNO	Kill	Laura Piva	set Mariana Franco	+0.4
19	8-11	UNO	UC RIV×3	Serve err	UNO server		+0.4
20	8-12	UC RIV	UC RIV×3	Kill	Casi Doll	set Misu Nguyen	+0.4
21	8-13	UC RIV	UC RIV×3	Ace	UC RIV server	aced Team	+0.3
22	9-13	UC RIV	UNO×3	Attack err	Zeynep Belgutay		+0.2
23	10-13	UNO	UNO×3	Attack err	Sariah Johnson	blk Armie Hall, Alana Pierce	+0.4
24	11-13	UNO	UNO×3	Ace	UNO server	aced Andrea Brewer	+0.5
25	11-14	UNO	UC RIV	Serve err	UNO server		+0.4
26	12-14	UC RIV	UNO	Kill	Armie Hall	set Defne Eciroglu	+0.4
27	13-14	UNO	UNO	Kill	Nyakuak Lual		+0.6
28	13-15	UNO	UC RIV	Attack err	Armie Hall		+0.5
29	13-16	UC RIV	UC RIV	Attack err	Nyakuak Lual		+0.6
30	14-16	UC RIV	UNO	Kill	Karina Barzanova	set Mia Lopez	+0.4
31	14-17	UNO	UC RIV	Serve err	UNO server		+0.5
32	15-17	UC RIV	UNO	Kill	Nyakuak Lual	set Rylie Hallman	+0.4
33	15-18	UNO	UC RIV	Kill	Nicole Hughes	set Maya Barron	+0.5
34	16-18	UC RIV	UNO	Kill	Laura Piva	set Mia Lopez	+0.4
35	16-19	UNO	UC RIV	Kill	Casi Doll	set Maya Barron	+0.5
36	17-19	UC RIV	UNO×4	Kill	Alana Pierce	set Mariana Franco	+0.4
37	18-19	UNO	UNO×4	Kill	Armie Hall		+0.8
38	19-19	UNO	UNO×4	Kill	Armie Hall		+1.1
39	20-19	UNO	UNO×4	Attack err	Casi Doll		+1.3
40	20-20	UNO	UC RIV×5	Serve err	UNO server		+0.9
41	20-21	UC RIV	UC RIV×5	Attack err	Armie Hall		+1.3
42	20-22	UC RIV	UC RIV×5	Kill	Sariah Johnson	set Elena Kasavica	+1.1
43	20-23	UC RIV	UC RIV×5	Kill	Andrea Brewer	set Elena Kasavica	+0.8
44	20-24	UC RIV	UC RIV×5	Kill	Zeynep Belgutay	set Elena Kasavica	+0.4
45	21-24	UC RIV	UNO	Kill	Laura Piva	set Mariana Franco	+0.1
46	22-24	UNO	UNO	Kill	Armie Hall	set Mariana Franco	+0.3
47	22-25	UNO	UC RIV	Kill	Sariah Johnson	set Elena Kasavica	+0.6

Score shown after each rally, LSU New Orleans first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.