Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026

LSU New Orleans def. Cal St. Fullerton 3–1

LSU New Orleans beat visiting Cal St. Fullerton 3-1 (25-22, 12-25, 25-22, 25-22) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026. Armie Hall led LSU New Orleans with 10 kills; Cal St. Fullerton's Sofia Shine had a match-high 17.

Data through · final Sep 18

Set1234Sets
CSFULL222522221
UNO251225253

Win probability

LSU New Orleans above 50 · Cal St. Fullerton below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+7.8% UNOrally 178 · set 4

Biggest swing: 7.8% to LSU New Orleans — set 4, CSFULL 21-24 UNO. Kill by Ryan Williams (set by Mariana Franco). UNO win probability 88% → 95%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CSFULL 82.4%17.6% UNO

Cal St. Fullerton wins

3-0
34.1%
3-1
30.8%
3-2
17.5%

LSU New Orleans wins

3-0
2.7%
3-1
5.7%
3-2
9.1%
CSFULL break %
45.5% vs this opp
UNO break %
38.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ryan WilliamsKill+7.8%

    Kill by Ryan Williams (set by Mariana Franco)

    Set 4 · CSFULL 21-24 UNO · UNO 88% → 95%

  2. 02
    Parys TaylorAttack error+7.5%

    Attack error by Parys Taylor

    Set 4 · CSFULL 20-23 UNO · UNO 84% → 92%

  3. 03
    Ryan WilliamsKill+7.4%

    Kill by Ryan Williams (set by Rylie Hallman)

    Set 4 · CSFULL 22-25 UNO · UNO 93% → 100%

  4. 04
    Sofia ShineAttack error+7.3%

    Attack error by Sofia Shine

    Set 4 · CSFULL 17-21 UNO · UNO 84% → 91%

  5. 05

    Kill by Elani Ratchkovska (set by Rylie Hallman)

    Set 4 · CSFULL 13-17 UNO · UNO 77% → 84%

  6. 06
    Cal St. FullertonService error+6.4%

    Cal St. Fullerton service error

    Set 4 · CSFULL 17-20 UNO · UNO 77% → 84%

  7. 07
    Sofia ShineKill+6.3%

    Kill by Sofia Shine (set by Sibley Oster)

    Set 4 · CSFULL 17-19 UNO · CSFULL 16% → 23%

  8. 08
    Parys TaylorKill+6.2%

    Kill by Parys Taylor (set by Sibley Oster)

    Set 4 · CSFULL 20-22 UNO · CSFULL 10% → 16%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417945.1781006102118
411121.47600100334.515.5
411528.2140237002114
43213.07701220031.55.5
4109.11141101201013
1014-.250000100000
4102.500312170010.52.5
4003.000021910002
310623.17400010031.511.5
37119.316100000218
3001.000021400002
2002.0001200500000
Team totals6125170.212589106424161291
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410528.1790001000010
45314.14300010132.57.5
43110.200110202237
3000–1000200000
24112.250000400004
23214.07100020010.53.5
4103.3333101910002
4012-.500000700000
4001.00022011110000
33214.071000920003
3002.0001000800000
27217.29400030010.57.5
27011.636000100007
25115.26700010031.56.5
Team totals4818143.2104621719310887

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 CSFULL · UNO 6

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 4 CSFULLUNO 6

Set 2

25-12

Longest run 5 CSFULLUNO 3

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 3 CSFULLUNO 4

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 3 CSFULLUNO 4

Bars above the line = LSU New Orleans leads, below = Cal St. Fullerton leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Cal St. Fullerton

SlotSideout %Break %
1
33%7/21
50%7/14
2
70%7/10
61%11/18
3
55%6/11
45%5/11
4
83%5/6
50%6/12
5
63%5/8
44%4/9
6
100%5/5
17%1/6
All
57%35/61
49%34/70

LSU New Orleans

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%7/16
62%8/13
2
47%7/15
46%6/13
3
43%6/14
50%7/14
4
55%6/11
14%1/7
5
63%5/8
29%2/7
6
83%5/6
29%2/7
All
51%36/70
43%26/61

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

178 rallies

#CSFULL-UNOSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UNOUNO×6KillArmie Hallset Mariana Franco+1.7
20-2UNOUNO×6Attack errEmilia Graham+1.9
30-3UNOUNO×6KillArmie Hallset Mia Lopez+2.0
40-4UNOUNO×6AceLSU New Orleans aced Sofia Shine+2.1
50-5UNOUNO×6Attack errBella Risling+2.0
60-6UNOUNO×6KillLaura Pivaset Mariana Franco+1.9
71-6UNOCSFULL×4KillSofia Shineset Sibley Oster+1.1
82-6CSFULLCSFULL×4KillSofia Shineset Sibley Oster+1.7
93-6CSFULLCSFULL×4KillSofia Shineset Sibley Oster+1.9
104-6CSFULLCSFULL×4Attack errArmie Hall+1.9
114-7CSFULLUNOKillLaura Pivaset Mariana Franco+1.6
125-7UNOCSFULLKillSofia Shineset Sibley Oster+1.4
135-8CSFULLUNO×3Serve errCal St. Fullerton+1.7
145-9UNOUNO×3KillOlivia Bartrinaset Rylie Hallman+2.3
155-10UNOUNO×3KillAnia Andersonset Rylie Hallman+2.2
166-10UNOCSFULLKillSofia Shineset Kaieva Christensen+1.3
176-11CSFULLUNOKillAnia Andersonset Rylie Hallman+1.7
187-11UNOCSFULLBlockedOlivia Bartrinablk Sibley Oster+1.3
197-12CSFULLUNOKillNyakuak Lualset Rylie Hallman+1.7
207-13UNOUNOKillOlivia Bartrinaset Mariana Franco+2.0
218-13UNOCSFULLKillMarisa Nakataset Sibley Oster+1.1
228-14CSFULLUNOAttack errArianna Ellis+1.5
239-14UNOCSFULLKillMarisa Nakataset Sibley Oster+1.0
249-15CSFULLUNO×3KillArmie Hallset Mariana Franco+1.5
259-16UNOUNO×3Attack errSofia Shine+1.6
269-17UNOUNO×3KillOlivia Bartrinaset Mariana Franco+1.2
2710-17UNOCSFULLKillSofia Shineset Sibley Oster+0.5
2810-18CSFULLUNOKillArmie Hallset Mariana Franco+0.8
2911-18UNOCSFULLKillHannah Hassset Sibley Oster+0.4
3011-19CSFULLUNO×3KillAnia Andersonset Rylie Hallman+0.7
3111-20UNOUNO×3KillDerin Nur Aydin+0.6
3211-21UNOUNO×3KillOlivia Bartrinaset Rylie Hallman+0.3
3312-21UNOCSFULL×4KillSofia Shineset Sibley Oster+0.1
3413-21CSFULLCSFULL×4KillMarisa Nakataset Sibley Oster+0.2
3514-21CSFULLCSFULL×4AceCal St. Fullerton+0.3
3615-21CSFULLCSFULL×4KillSibley Oster+0.5
3715-22CSFULLUNOKillAnia Andersonset Mia Lopez+0.7
3816-22UNOCSFULL×3Attack errNyakuak Lual+0.2
3917-22CSFULLCSFULL×3AceCal St. Fullertonaced Rylie Hallman+0.6
4018-22CSFULLCSFULL×3KillEmilia Grahamset Kaieva Christensen+1.0
4118-23CSFULLUNOKillNyakuak Lualset Rylie Hallman+1.4
4219-23UNOCSFULLKillMarisa Nakataset Sibley Oster+0.5
4320-23CSFULLCSFULLBlockedNyakuak Lualblk Emilia Graham, Marisa Nakata+1.3
4420-24CSFULLUNOKillArmie Hallset Mariana Franco+2.0
4521-24UNOCSFULLKillMarisa Nakataset Sibley Oster+0.5
4622-24CSFULLCSFULLAceCal St. Fullerton+1.7
4722-25CSFULLUNOKillLaura Pivaset Mariana Franco+3.1
Set 2
11-0CSFULLCSFULL×3KillSofia Shineset Sibley Oster+2.5
22-0CSFULLCSFULL×3AceCal St. Fullerton+2.3
33-0CSFULLCSFULL×3BlockedNyakuak Lualblk Hannah Hass+2.0
43-1CSFULLUNOServe errCal St. Fullerton+1.4
54-1UNOCSFULL×5KillHannah Hassset Sibley Oster+1.4
65-1CSFULLCSFULL×5AceCal St. Fullerton+1.8
76-1CSFULLCSFULL×5KillHannah Hassset Sibley Oster+1.5
87-1CSFULLCSFULL×5KillHannah Hassset Sibley Oster+1.2
98-1CSFULLCSFULL×5AceCal St. Fullertonaced Ava Frerman+0.9
108-2CSFULLUNO×3KillArmie Hallset Defne Eciroglu+0.5
118-3UNOUNO×3KillAnia Andersonset Derin Nur Aydin+1.0
128-4UNOUNO×3KillAnia Andersonset Rylie Hallman+1.3
139-4UNOCSFULLKillSofia Shineset Sibley Oster+1.1
1410-4CSFULLCSFULLAttack errLaura Piva+1.2
1510-5CSFULLUNOServe errCal St. Fullerton+0.7
1611-5UNOCSFULL×4KillMarisa Nakataset Sibley Oster+0.8
1712-5CSFULLCSFULL×4KillMarisa Nakataset Sibley Oster+0.9
1813-5CSFULLCSFULL×4KillEmilia Grahamset Sibley Oster+0.6
1914-5CSFULLCSFULL×4Attack errPeyton Cole+0.4
2014-6CSFULLUNOKillDerin Nur Aydinset Rylie Hallman+0.2
2115-6UNOCSFULL×3KillMarisa Nakataset Sibley Oster+0.2
2216-6CSFULLCSFULL×3BlockedAva Frermanblk Parys Taylor, Emilia Graham+0.2
2317-6CSFULLCSFULL×3AceCal St. Fullerton+0.1
2417-7CSFULLUNOKillAnia Andersonset Rylie Hallman·
2517-8UNOUNOKillNyakuak Lualset Defne Eciroglu+0.1
2618-8UNOCSFULLKillParys Taylorset Sibley Oster+0.1
2718-9CSFULLUNOServe errCal St. Fullerton+0.1
2819-9UNOCSFULLKillParys Taylorset Sibley Oster+0.1
2919-10CSFULLUNOBlockedParys Taylorblk Nyakuak Lual, Laura Piva·
3020-10UNOCSFULLKillHannah Hassset Sibley Oster+0.1
3120-11CSFULLUNOKillMia Lopezset Sibley Oster·
3220-12UNOUNOAttack errSofia Shine+0.1
3321-12UNOCSFULL×5KillHannah Hassset Sibley Oster+0.1
3422-12CSFULLCSFULL×5KillMarisa Nakataset Sibley Oster+0.1
3523-12CSFULLCSFULL×5BlockedLaura Pivablk Hannah Hass, Marisa Nakata·
3624-12CSFULLCSFULL×5KillHannah Hassset Sibley Oster·
3725-12CSFULLCSFULL×5AceCal St. Fullertonaced Ava Frerman·
Set 3
10-1UNOUNOBlockedEmilia Grahamblk Nyakuak Lual+2.8
21-1UNOCSFULLBlockedRyan Williamsblk Parys Taylor, Kaieva Christensen+1.9
32-1CSFULLCSFULLKillSofia Shineset Sibley Oster+2.5
42-2CSFULLUNO×4Attack errSofia Shine+1.9
52-3UNOUNO×4Attack errParys Taylor+2.9
62-4UNOUNO×4KillElani Ratchkovskaset Rylie Hallman+3.2
72-5UNOUNO×4Bad setSibley Oster+3.3
83-5UNOCSFULLKillHannah Hassset Sibley Oster+2.1
93-6CSFULLUNO×4KillRyan Williamsset Rylie Hallman+2.5
103-7UNOUNO×4Bad setSibley Oster+3.5
113-8UNOUNO×4BlockedSofia Shineblk Elani Ratchkovska, Derin Nur Aydin+3.4
123-9UNOUNO×4KillElani Ratchkovskaset Rylie Hallman+3.2
134-9UNOCSFULLKillHannah Hassset Jaiden Mojica+1.7
145-9CSFULLCSFULLKillHannah Hassset Jaiden Mojica+2.8
155-10UNO
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.6
165-11UNOUNOAceLSU New Orleans aced Kaia Herweg+3.2
176-11UNOCSFULL×3KillArianna Ellisset Jaiden Mojica+1.7
187-11CSFULLCSFULL×3KillArianna Ellisset Jaiden Mojica+2.8
198-11CSFULLCSFULL×3KillMarisa Nakataset Jaiden Mojica+3.2
208-12CSFULLUNOServe errCal St. Fullerton+2.9
219-12UNOCSFULLKillArianna Ellisset Jaiden Mojica+2.3
229-13CSFULLUNOKillNyakuak Lualset Defne Eciroglu+3.0
239-14UNOUNOAttack errMarisa Nakata+3.7
2410-14UNOCSFULLKillParys Taylorset Sibley Oster+2.0
2510-15CSFULLUNOKillArmie Hallset Defne Eciroglu+2.8
2611-15UNOCSFULL×3KillParys Taylorset Sibley Oster+2.0
2712-15CSFULLCSFULL×3KillSofia Shineset Sibley Oster+3.4
2813-15CSFULLCSFULL×3KillParys Taylorset Sofia Shine+3.9
2913-16CSFULLUNOServe errCal St. Fullerton+3.5
3013-17UNOUNOAttack errParys Taylor+4.5
3114-17UNOCSFULLServe errRylie Hallman+2.4
3214-18CSFULLUNOBlockedHannah Hassblk Derin Nur Aydin+3.4
3315-18UNOCSFULLKillSofia Shineset Jaiden Mojica+2.4
3416-18CSFULLCSFULLAttack errPeyton Cole+4.2
3516-19CSFULLUNOKillAva Frermanset Rylie Hallman+4.0
3617-19UNOCSFULLKillMarisa Nakataset Jaiden Mojica+3.0
3717-20CSFULLUNOServe errCal St. Fullerton+4.2
3817-21UNOUNOAttack errMarisa Nakata+4.8
3918-21UNOCSFULLKillArianna Ellisset Jaiden Mojica+2.1
4018-22CSFULLUNOKillAva Frermanset Defne Eciroglu+3.6
4119-22UNOCSFULLBad setDefne Eciroglu+1.9
4220-22CSFULLCSFULLAceCal St. Fullertonaced Mia Lopez+4.1
4320-23CSFULLUNOKillRyan Williamsset Defne Eciroglu+5.0
4421-23UNOCSFULLKillSofia Shineset Sibley Oster+2.6
4521-24CSFULLUNOKillArmie Hallset Defne Eciroglu+5.2
4622-24UNOCSFULLKillSofia Shineset Sibley Oster+1.9
4722-25CSFULLUNOKillElani Ratchkovskaset Rylie Hallman+4.9
Set 4
10-1CSFULLUNO×4Attack errSofia Shine+3.0
20-2UNOUNO×4KillArmie Hallset Mia Lopez+4.5
30-3UNOUNO×4Attack errParys Taylor+4.8
40-4UNOUNO×4Attack errSofia Shine+4.9
51-4UNOCSFULLKillEmilia Grahamset Sibley Oster+3.0
61-5CSFULLUNOKillArmie Hallset Defne Eciroglu+3.7
72-5UNOCSFULLKillHannah Hassset Sibley Oster+3.0
82-6CSFULLUNOBlockedSofia Shineblk Derin Nur Aydin+3.7
92-7UNOUNOKillElani Ratchkovskaset Rylie Hallman+5.0
103-7UNOCSFULLBlockedElani Ratchkovskablk Hannah Hass, Arianna Ellis+2.9
113-8CSFULLUNOKillRyan Williamsset Rylie Hallman+3.7
124-8UNOCSFULLBlockedDerin Nur Aydinblk Hannah Hass+2.9
134-9CSFULLUNOServe errCal St. Fullerton+3.8
144-10UNOUNOBlockedMarisa Nakatablk Nyakuak Lual, Elani Ratchkovska+4.8
155-10UNOCSFULLKillArianna Ellisset Jaiden Mojica+2.6
165-11CSFULLUNOKillNyakuak Lualset Rylie Hallman+3.5
176-11UNOCSFULL×3KillParys Taylorset Sibley Oster+2.6
187-11CSFULLCSFULL×3BlockedAva Frermanblk Parys Taylor, Emilia Graham+4.3
198-11CSFULLCSFULL×3KillKaieva Christensenset Kaieva Christensen+4.8
208-12CSFULLUNOServe errCal St. Fullerton+4.3
218-13UNOUNOAttack errSofia Shine+5.5
229-13UNOCSFULL×3KillParys Taylorset Sibley Oster+3.0
2310-13CSFULLCSFULL×3BlockedArmie Hallblk Sofia Shine, Arianna Ellis+4.9
2411-13CSFULLCSFULL×3Attack errArmie Hall+5.5
2511-14CSFULLUNOKillRyan Williamsset Defne Eciroglu+4.9
2612-14UNOCSFULLKillParys Taylorset Sibley Oster+4.0
2712-15CSFULLUNOKillRyan Williamsset Defne Eciroglu+5.1
2813-15UNOCSFULLKillSofia Shineset Jaiden Mojica+4.1
2913-16CSFULLUNOAttack errMarisa Nakata+5.3
3013-17UNOUNOKillElani Ratchkovskaset Rylie Hallman+6.7
3114-17UNOCSFULLKillArianna Ellisset Kaieva Christensen+3.6
3214-18CSFULLUNOBlockedMarisa Nakatablk Elani Ratchkovska, Derin Nur Aydin+5.1
3315-18UNOCSFULLKillArianna Ellisset Jaiden Mojica+3.5
3415-19CSFULLUNOKillAva Frermanset Rylie Hallman+5.2
3516-19UNOCSFULLKillParys Taylorset Sibley Oster+3.5
3617-19CSFULLCSFULLKillSofia Shineset Sibley Oster+6.3
3717-20CSFULLUNO×3Serve errCal St. Fullerton+6.4
3817-21UNOUNO×3Attack errSofia Shine+7.3
3917-22UNOUNO×3BlockedParys Taylorblk Nyakuak Lual, Ryan Williams+5.1
4018-22UNOCSFULL×3KillSofia Shineset Arianna Ellis+1.7
4119-22CSFULLCSFULL×3BlockedArmie Hallblk Hannah Hass+4.0
4220-22CSFULLCSFULL×3KillParys Taylorset Sibley Oster+6.2
4320-23CSFULLUNOAttack errParys Taylor+7.5
4421-23UNOCSFULLAttack errArmie Hall+3.9
4521-24CSFULLUNOKillRyan Williamsset Mariana Franco+7.8
4622-24UNOCSFULLBlockedRyan Williamsblk Sofia Shine, Hannah Hass+2.8
4722-25CSFULLUNOKillRyan Williamsset Rylie Hallman+7.4

Score shown after each rally, Cal St. Fullerton first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).