CollegeVolleyball
FinalSat, Oct 3, 2026Watch on ESPN+
LSU New Orleans logo

AwaySOUTHLAND

UNO
0:3
Northwestern St. logo

HomeSOUTHLAND

NW ST

Northwestern St. def. LSU New Orleans 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Northwestern St. 72.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 10:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Northwestern St. beat visiting LSU New Orleans 3-0 (25-23, 25-22, 25-23) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. Northwestern St.'s Elsie Sanchez led with 16 kills, and Valerie Brown added 7 digs.

Data through · final Oct 3

Set123Sets
UNO2322230
NW ST2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Elsie Sanchez needed just 3 sets for 16 kills. Northwestern St. swept LSU New Orleans.

No single rally moved win probability more than 5.7 points. LSU New Orleans peaked at 31% in Set 1. These are the numbers behind it. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Northwestern St. at 72%.

LSU New Orleans Northwestern St.
  • Longest run+-1
    65

    Northwestern St. scored 5 straight in the second set to turn a 9–11 deficit into a 14–11 lead. That set ended 25–22.

Northwestern St. above 50LSU New Orleans belowMax swing 5.7%

LSU New Orleans Northwestern St.

Hitting
LSU New Orleans .259·Northwestern St. .262
Aces
LSU New Orleans 5·Northwestern St. 6
Serve err
LSU New Orleans 4·Northwestern St. 4
Blocks
LSU New Orleans 3·Northwestern St. 50 BS · 6 BA vs 1 BS · 8 BA
Digs
LSU New Orleans 50·Northwestern St. 43

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Northwestern St. above 50 · LSU New Orleans below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+5.7% NW STrally 143 · set 3

Biggest swing: 5.7% to Northwestern St. — set 1, UNO 23-25 NW ST. Kill by Kenadii Winfrey (set by Jade Longlad). NW ST win probability 78% → 84%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UNO 25.2%74.8% NW ST

LSU New Orleans wins

3-0
4.5%
3-1
8.7%
3-2
12.1%

Northwestern St. wins

3-0
26.8%
3-1
28.6%
3-2
19.3%
UNO break %
39.4% vs this opp
NW ST break %
44.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Kenadii WinfreyKill+5.7%

    Kill by Kenadii Winfrey (set by Jade Longlad)

    Set 1 · UNO 23-25 NW ST · NW ST 78% → 84%

  2. 02
    Laura PivaAttack error+4.1%

    Attack error by Laura Piva

    Set 2 · UNO 21-23 NW ST · NW ST 86% → 91%

  3. 03
    Elsie SanchezKill+3.8%

    Kill by Elsie Sanchez (set by Jade Longlad)

    Set 1 · UNO 21-23 NW ST · NW ST 76% → 79%

  4. 04
    Nyakuak LualKill+3.7%

    Kill by Nyakuak Lual (set by Defne Eciroglu)

    Set 1 · UNO 21-22 NW ST · UNO 21% → 24%

  5. 05
    Olivia NziokiKill+3.6%

    Kill by Olivia Nzioki (set by Jade Longlad)

    Set 2 · UNO 22-24 NW ST · NW ST 88% → 92%

  6. 06
    Gillian Grace WolfKill+3.5%

    Kill by Gillian Grace Wolf (set by Jade Longlad)

    Set 3 · UNO 23-25 NW ST · NW ST 97% → 100%

  7. 07
    Kenadii Winfrey&Elsie SanchezBlock+3.4%

    Laura Piva stuffed by Kenadii Winfrey & Elsie Sanchez

    Set 1 · UNO 21-24 NW ST · NW ST 79% → 83%

  8. 08
    Olivia NziokiKill+3.4%

    Kill by Olivia Nzioki (set by Jade Longlad)

    Set 2 · UNO 21-22 NW ST · NW ST 83% → 86%

Box score

Official NCAA box

LSU New Orleans away
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5Ryan WilliamsOH
311224.37500040010.511.5
14Nyakuak LualMB
36013.4620321002110
11Laura PivaOH
39629.10310010010.59.5
3Ava FrermanOH
34315.067000750004
22Alana PierceMB
3207.28610000010.52.5
8Defne EcirogluS
1000–800400000
16Armie HallOH
311320.40000010010.511.5
10Rylie HallmanS
3003.0009101100001
4Mia LopezL/DS
3000–5111110001
9Vladana RisticL/DS
3000–200400000
2Mariana FrancoS
2001.0001401500000
7Olivia BartrinaOH
1000–000000000
6Peyton ColeL/DS
1000–000100000
Team totals4314112.259405450606368
Northwestern St.home
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
17Elsie SanchezOH
316445.2670102102118
5Gillian Grace WolfOH
310424.2501006000010
22Olivia NziokiMB
38621.09500010031.59.5
4Kenadii WinfreyMB
3407.57100130111.55.5
11Jade LongladS
3307.4293612500215
16Anna Claire HebertS
3001.000230600003
6Amber CraigOH
37119.316000400007
2Emmarie McFarlandL/DS
3002.000210610001
7Harper CauleyL/DS
3000–000310000
12Valerie BrownL/DS
3000–100710000
10Melis OzipekOH
1000–001000000
Team totals4815126.262426443518575

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 UNO · NW ST 5

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 6 UNONW ST 4

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 4 UNONW ST 5

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 3 UNONW ST 4

Bars above the line = Northwestern St. leads, below = LSU New Orleans leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

LSU New Orleans

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%9/15
0%0/8
2
60%9/15
47%8/17
3
47%7/15
10%1/10
4
88%7/8
30%3/10
5
86%6/7
46%6/13
6
46%6/13
50%6/12
All
60%44/73
34%24/70

Northwestern St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%9/12
61%11/18
2
64%9/14
31%4/13
3
80%8/10
38%5/13
4
58%7/12
46%6/13
5
64%7/11
13%1/8
6
55%6/11
25%2/8
All
66%46/70
40%29/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

143 rallies

#UNO-NW STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UNONW STKillGillian Grace Wolfset Jade Longlad+1.5
21-1NW STUNOKillRyan Williamsset Defne Eciroglu+1.6
31-2UNONW STKillElsie Sanchezset Anna Claire Hebert+1.5
42-2NW STUNOKillLaura Pivaset Mia Lopez+1.6
52-3UNONW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+1.6
63-3NW STUNOKillRyan Williamsset Alana Pierce+1.6
73-4UNONW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+1.6
83-5NW STNW STAceNorthwestern St.aced Ava Frerman+2.0
94-5NW STUNOKillArmie Hallset Vladana Ristic+1.5
105-5UNOUNOAceLSU New Orleans aced Valerie Brown+2.3
115-6UNONW STServe errLSU New Orleans +1.7
126-6NW STUNOKillArmie Hallset Vladana Ristic+1.8
137-6UNOUNOAttack errOlivia Nzioki+2.5
147-7UNONW ST×3KillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+1.8
157-8NW STNW ST×3KillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+2.4
167-9NW STNW ST×3KillJade Longladset Defne Eciroglu+2.3
178-9NW STUNOKillAlana Pierceset Defne Eciroglu+1.7
188-10UNONW STKillGillian Grace Wolfset Emmarie McFarland+1.7
199-10NW STUNOKillRyan Williamsset Defne Eciroglu+1.8
209-11UNONW ST×3KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+1.8
219-12NW STNW ST×3AceNorthwestern St.aced Ava Frerman+2.2
229-13NW STNW ST×3KillJade Longladset Jade Longlad+1.9
2310-13NW STUNOKillLaura Pivaset Defne Eciroglu+1.2
2410-14UNONW ST×4KillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+1.4
2510-15NW STNW ST×4Attack errArmie Hall+1.5
2610-16NW STNW ST×4Attack errRyan Williams+1.1
2710-17NW STNW ST×4KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+0.8
2811-17NW STUNOServe errNorthwestern St.+0.4
2911-18UNONW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+0.5
3012-18NW STUNOBad setKenadii Winfrey+0.3
3112-19UNONW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+0.5
3213-19NW STUNOServe errNorthwestern St.+0.3
3314-19UNOUNOAttack errGillian Grace Wolf+0.7
3414-20UNONW STBad setAlana Pierce+0.7
3514-21NW STNW STBlockedLaura Pivablk Jade Longlad, Olivia Nzioki+0.5
3615-21NW STUNOKillLaura Pivaset Defne Eciroglu+0.2
3715-22UNONW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+0.3
3816-22NW STUNO×6KillLaura Pivaset Defne Eciroglu+0.1
3917-22UNOUNO×6Attack errElsie Sanchez+0.4
4018-22UNOUNO×6Attack errOlivia Nzioki+0.7
4119-22UNOUNO×6Attack errElsie Sanchez+1.3
4220-22UNOUNO×6Attack errElsie Sanchez+2.2
4321-22UNOUNO×6KillNyakuak Lualset Defne Eciroglu+3.7
4421-23UNONW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+3.8
4521-24NW STNW STBlockedLaura Pivablk Kenadii Winfrey, Elsie Sanchez+3.4
4622-24NW STUNOKillRyan Williamsset Defne Eciroglu+1.1
4723-24UNOUNOBlockedElsie Sanchezblk Armie Hall, Nyakuak Lual+3.4
4823-25UNONW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+5.7
Set 2
10-1NW STNW STAceNorthwestern St.aced Mia Lopez+1.6
21-1NW STUNO×4Attack errOlivia Nzioki+1.3
32-1UNOUNO×4BlockedOlivia Nziokiblk Ryan Williams, Nyakuak Lual+1.8
43-1UNOUNO×4AceLSU New Orleans aced Elsie Sanchez+1.9
54-1UNOUNO×4Attack errGillian Grace Wolf+1.9
64-2UNONW STServe errLSU New Orleans +1.3
74-3NW STNW STBlockedLaura Pivablk Elsie Sanchez, Olivia Nzioki+1.8
85-3NW STUNOKillLaura Pivaset Rylie Hallman+1.5
95-4UNONW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+1.4
105-5NW STNW STBad setNyakuak Lual+1.9
116-5NW STUNOKillRyan Williamsset Mariana Franco+1.5
127-5UNOUNOKillAva Frermanset Mariana Franco+2.1
137-6UNONW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+1.5
148-6NW STUNOKillArmie Hallset Mariana Franco+1.6
158-7UNONW STKillAmber Craigset Emmarie McFarland+1.5
169-7NW STUNOKillArmie Hallset Mariana Franco+1.7
1710-7UNOUNOAceLSU New Orleans +2.2
1810-8UNONW STKillGillian Grace Wolfset Jade Longlad+1.5
1910-9NW STNW STAttack errLaura Piva+2.1
2011-9NW STUNOKillAlana Pierceset Rylie Hallman+1.8
2111-10UNONW ST×5KillAmber Craigset Gillian Grace Wolf+1.6
2211-11NW STNW ST×5Attack errLaura Piva+2.3
2311-12NW STNW ST×5AceNorthwestern St.aced Ava Frerman+2.2
2411-13NW STNW ST×5KillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+2.1
2511-14NW STNW ST×5KillOlivia Nziokiset Rylie Hallman+1.9
2612-14NW STUNOKillRyan Williamsset Rylie Hallman+1.3
2712-15UNONW STKillGillian Grace Wolfset Jade Longlad+1.5
2812-16NW STNW STBlockedRyan Williamsblk Olivia Nzioki, Jade Longlad+1.6
2913-16NW STUNOKillNyakuak Lualset Rylie Hallman+1.0
3013-17UNONW STServe errLSU New Orleans +1.2
3114-17NW STUNOKillNyakuak Lualset Mariana Franco+1.0
3214-18UNONW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+1.3
3315-18NW STUNO×4KillArmie Hallset Mia Lopez+1.0
3416-18UNOUNO×4AceLSU New Orleans aced Harper Cauley+1.9
3517-18UNOUNO×4AceLSU New Orleans aced Emmarie McFarland+2.5
3618-18UNOUNO×4KillArmie Hallset Mariana Franco+3.1
3718-19UNONW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+2.5
3819-19NW STUNOKillArmie Hallset Mariana Franco+2.5
3919-20UNONW STAttack errAva Frerman+2.7
4020-20NW STUNOServe errNorthwestern St.+2.8
4120-21UNONW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+3.0
4221-21NW STUNOKillLaura Pivaset Mia Lopez+3.0
4321-22UNONW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+3.4
4421-23NW STNW STAttack errLaura Piva+4.1
4522-23NW STUNOKillRyan Williamsset Rylie Hallman+2.3
4622-24UNONW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+3.6
4722-25NW STNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+2.5
Set 3
10-1UNONW STAttack errAva Frerman+0.7
21-1NW STUNOKillRyan Williamsset Laura Piva+0.7
31-2UNONW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+0.7
42-2NW STUNOKillRyan Williamsset Rylie Hallman+0.7
52-3UNONW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+0.7
63-3NW STUNOKillNyakuak Lualset Mariana Franco+0.7
73-4UNONW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+0.7
84-4NW STUNOKillAva Frermanset Mariana Franco+0.8
94-5UNONW STKillGillian Grace Wolfset Jade Longlad+0.7
105-5NW STUNOAttack errGillian Grace Wolf+0.8
116-5UNOUNOAttack errOlivia Nzioki+1.1
126-6UNONW ST×4KillGillian Grace Wolfset Valerie Brown+0.8
136-7NW STNW ST×4Attack errAva Frerman+1.1
146-8NW STNW ST×4KillGillian Grace Wolfset Jade Longlad+1.0
156-9NW STNW ST×4AceNorthwestern St.aced Ava Frerman+0.9
167-9NW STUNOBlockedGillian Grace Wolfblk Alana Pierce, Laura Piva+0.7
177-10UNONW STKillGillian Grace Wolfset Jade Longlad+0.7
187-11NW STNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Anna Claire Hebert+0.8
198-11NW STUNOKillLaura Pivaset Vladana Ristic+0.6
208-12UNONW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+0.6
219-12NW STUNOKillNyakuak Lualset Rylie Hallman+0.6
229-13UNONW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+0.6
2310-13NW STUNOKillRyan Williamsset Mariana Franco+0.6
2411-13UNOUNOKillArmie Hallset Mariana Franco+0.9
2511-14UNONW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+0.8
2612-14NW STUNO×3KillArmie Hallset Mia Lopez+0.7
2713-14UNOUNO×3KillAva Frermanset Mariana Franco+1.2
2814-14UNOUNO×3Attack errAmber Craig+1.4
2914-15UNONW STServe errLSU New Orleans +1.1
3015-15NW STUNO×3KillArmie Hallset Mariana Franco+1.1
3116-15UNOUNO×3KillAva Frermanset Mia Lopez+1.6
3217-15UNOUNO×3Attack errOlivia Nzioki+1.7
3317-16UNONW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Ava Frerman+1.1
3418-16NW STUNOKillLaura Pivaset Rylie Hallman+1.4
3518-17UNONW STKillGillian Grace Wolfset Jade Longlad+1.2
3619-17NW STUNOKillRyan Williamsset Rylie Hallman+1.5
3719-18UNONW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+1.3
3820-18NW STUNOKillLaura Pivaset Rylie Hallman+1.6
3920-19UNONW ST×4KillJade Longladset Jade Longlad+1.3
4020-20NW STNW ST×4AceNorthwestern St.aced Ava Frerman+2.1
4120-21NW STNW ST×4Attack errArmie Hall+2.3
4220-22NW STNW ST×4BlockedArmie Hallblk Kenadii Winfrey+2.1
4321-22NW STUNOServe errNorthwestern St.+1.3
4422-22UNOUNOKillArmie Hallset Mariana Franco+2.5
4522-23UNONW STBad setArmie Hall+2.3
4623-23NW STUNOKillNyakuak Lualset Kenadii Winfrey+2.2
4723-24UNONW STKillAmber Craigset Emmarie McFarland+2.9
4823-25NW STNW STKillGillian Grace Wolfset Jade Longlad+3.5

Score shown after each rally, LSU New Orleans first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).