FinalTue, Sep 15, 2026

AwaySUN-BELT

0:3

HomeUAC-

Eastern Ky. def. Marshall 3–0

(25-23, 25-14, 25-21)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MARSH	23	14	21	0
E KY	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

E KY above 50 · MARSH below

Biggest swing: 5.5% to Eastern Ky. — set 1, MARSH 22-23 E KY. Kill by Emma Closurdo (set by Emilee Hill). E KY win probability 79% → 84%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MARSH 17.0%83.0% E KY

Marshall wins

3-0

2.6%

3-1

5.5%

3-2

8.8%

Eastern Ky. wins

3-0

34.7%

3-1

30.9%

3-2

17.3%

MARSH break %: 37.6% vs this opp
E KY break %: 44.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Emma ClosurdoKill+5.5%
Kill by Emma Closurdo (set by Emilee Hill)
Set 1 · MARSH 22-23 E KY · E KY 79% → 84%
02
Caitlyn FleesKill+4.6%
Kill by Caitlyn Flees (set by Emilee Hill)
Set 1 · MARSH 22-24 E KY · E KY 84% → 89%
03
Emma BarnettKill+4.6%
Kill by Emma Barnett (set by Emma Sayre)
Set 1 · MARSH 21-20 E KY · MARSH 19% → 24%
04
Emma ClosurdoKill+3.9%
Kill by Emma Closurdo (set by Emilee Hill)
Set 1 · MARSH 23-25 E KY · E KY 87% → 91%
05
Marae ReillyKill+3.7%
Kill by Marae Reilly (set by Kahea Carvalho)
Set 1 · MARSH 22-21 E KY · MARSH 21% → 25%
06
Emma ClosurdoKill+3.4%
Kill by Emma Closurdo (set by Emilee Hill)
Set 1 · MARSH 22-22 E KY · E KY 75% → 79%
07
Alexis BullAttack error+3.3%
Alexis Bull stuffed by Marae Reilly & Lilly Howell
Set 1 · MARSH 19-19 E KY · MARSH 16% → 19%
08
Emma BarnettAttack error+3.0%
Attack error by Emma Barnett
Set 1 · MARSH 21-21 E KY · E KY 76% → 79%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Marshallaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
16Marae ReillyMB	3	10	3	17	.412	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	11.5
15Logan HendersonOPP	3	10	3	26	.269	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	10
5Beatrice CiccarelliMB	3	3	6	16	-.188	0	1	1	2	0	2	3	3.5	7.5
11Emma BarnettOH	3	3	5	20	-.100	0	2	1	11	1	0	1	0.5	5.5
20Maddie SmithOH	3	3	2	15	.067	1	1	0	2	3	0	3	1.5	5.5
23Kahea CarvalhoS	3	1	1	2	.000	19	0	2	5	0	0	0	0	1
4Emma SayreL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	1	9	1	0	0	0	1
13Maya HuntS	2	0	0	0	–	6	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
17Lia BeverlyMB	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	1.5
14Isabella Nieves	1	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
10Lilly HowellOH	1	0	2	3	-.667	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
19Addison SaundersL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Kylie WongL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	0
Team totals		30	23	100	.070	29	6	6	34	8	3	12	9	58

Eastern Ky.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
22Emma ClosurdoOH	3	14	4	24	.417	0	0	0	3	0	0	5	2.5	16.5
7Emilee HillS	3	7	2	14	.357	22	4	1	10	0	0	3	1.5	12.5
21Addison BurkeOH	3	10	4	29	.207	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	10
12Caitlyn FleesMB	3	2	0	2	1.000	0	3	0	1	0	2	5	4.5	9.5
13Alexis BullMB	3	3	4	10	-.100	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
11Audrey HudsonOH	3	2	2	17	.000	0	0	0	6	4	0	0	0	2
6Cassidy TrahanDS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	2	10	1	0	0	0	1
10Cooper AbneyS	3	0	0	0	–	11	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		38	16	96	.229	37	8	4	37	6	2	16	10	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 MARSH · E KY 5

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 5 MARSHE KY 3

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 3 MARSHE KY 5

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 5 MARSHE KY 5

Bars above the line = Eastern Ky. leads, below = Marshall leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Marshall

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	42%8/19	36%4/11
2	70%7/10	53%9/17
3	46%6/13	22%2/9
4	50%5/10	33%3/9
5	63%5/8	29%2/7
6	38%5/13	29%2/7
All	49%36/73	37%22/60

Eastern Ky.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	62%8/13	65%11/17
2	44%8/18	43%6/14
3	88%7/8	56%9/16
4	63%5/8	38%3/8
5	83%5/6	44%4/9
6	71%5/7	44%4/9
All	63%38/60	51%37/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

133 rallies

Rally log

#	MARSH-E KY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	MARSH	E KY×3	Kill	Alexis Bull	set Emilee Hill	+1.0
2	0-2	E KY	E KY×3	Kill	Addison Burke	set Emilee Hill	+1.4
3	0-3	E KY	E KY×3	Kill	Emma Closurdo	set Emilee Hill	+1.2
4	1-3	E KY	MARSH×5	Kill	Logan Henderson	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.9
5	2-3	MARSH	MARSH×5	Kill	Marae Reilly	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.4
6	3-3	MARSH	MARSH×5	Attack err	Emma Closurdo	blk Marae Reilly, Maddie Smith	+1.7
7	4-3	MARSH	MARSH×5	Ace	MARSH server	aced Audrey Hudson	+1.9
8	5-3	MARSH	MARSH×5	Attack err	Addison Burke		+2.1
9	5-4	MARSH	E KY	Kill	Addison Burke	set Emilee Hill	+1.3
10	6-4	E KY	MARSH	Kill	Logan Henderson	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.5
11	6-5	MARSH	E KY	Attack err	Beatrice Ciccarelli	blk Caitlyn Flees	+1.3
12	7-5	E KY	MARSH×3	Kill	Logan Henderson	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.6
13	8-5	MARSH	MARSH×3	Attack err	Emilee Hill		+2.3
14	9-5	MARSH	MARSH×3	Ace	MARSH server	aced Audrey Hudson	+2.3
15	9-6	MARSH	E KY	Kill	Addison Burke	set Cooper Abney	+1.3
16	9-7	E KY	E KY	Kill	Addison Burke	set Cooper Abney	+2.1
17	10-7	E KY	MARSH	Kill	Beatrice Ciccarelli	set Isabella Nieves	+1.7
18	10-8	MARSH	E KY	Attack err	Emma Barnett	blk Emilee Hill, Caitlyn Flees	+1.5
19	10-9	E KY	E KY	Attack err	Lilly Howell		+2.2
20	11-9	E KY	MARSH	Kill	Beatrice Ciccarelli	set Maya Hunt	+1.8
21	12-9	MARSH	MARSH	Ace	MARSH server	aced Audrey Hudson	+2.6
22	12-10	MARSH	E KY	Kill	Emilee Hill	set Cooper Abney	+1.5
23	12-11	E KY	E KY	Kill	Alexis Bull	set Emilee Hill	+2.4
24	13-11	E KY	MARSH	Kill	Marae Reilly	set Maya Hunt	+1.9
25	13-12	MARSH	E KY	Serve err	MARSH server		+1.7
26	14-12	E KY	MARSH	Kill	Marae Reilly	set Kahea Carvalho	+2.0
27	14-13	MARSH	E KY	Kill	Emma Closurdo	set Emilee Hill	+1.7
28	15-13	E KY	MARSH	Kill	Marae Reilly	set Kahea Carvalho	+2.1
29	15-14	MARSH	E KY	Kill	Addison Burke	set Emilee Hill	+1.8
30	16-14	E KY	MARSH	Kill	Logan Henderson	set Kahea Carvalho	+2.2
31	16-15	MARSH	E KY×3	Kill	Emilee Hill	set Cooper Abney	+1.9
32	16-16	E KY	E KY×3	Attack err	Maddie Smith		+2.9
33	16-17	E KY	E KY×3	Attack err	Lilly Howell		+2.9
34	17-17	E KY	MARSH	Serve err	E KY server		+2.1
35	17-18	MARSH	E KY	Kill	Caitlyn Flees	set Cooper Abney	+2.1
36	17-19	E KY	E KY	Ace	E KY server	aced Maddie Smith	+2.7
37	18-19	E KY	MARSH	Kill	Beatrice Ciccarelli	set Maya Hunt	+1.8
38	19-19	MARSH	MARSH	Attack err	Alexis Bull	blk Marae Reilly, Lilly Howell	+3.3
39	19-20	MARSH	E KY	Kill	Emilee Hill	set Cooper Abney	+2.5
40	20-20	E KY	MARSH	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Maya Hunt	+2.6
41	21-20	MARSH	MARSH	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Emma Sayre	+4.6
42	21-21	MARSH	E KY	Attack err	Emma Barnett		+3.0
43	22-21	E KY	MARSH	Kill	Marae Reilly	set Kahea Carvalho	+3.7
44	22-22	MARSH	E KY×3	Kill	Emma Closurdo	set Emilee Hill	+3.4
45	22-23	E KY	E KY×3	Kill	Emma Closurdo	set Emilee Hill	+5.5
46	22-24	E KY	E KY×3	Kill	Caitlyn Flees	set Emilee Hill	+4.6
47	23-24	E KY	MARSH	Serve err	E KY server		+1.8
48	23-25	MARSH	E KY	Kill	Emma Closurdo	set Emilee Hill	+3.9
Set 2
1	0-1	E KY	E KY×5	Attack err	Emma Barnett	blk Alexis Bull, Emma Closurdo	+1.1
2	0-2	E KY	E KY×5	Attack err	Marae Reilly	blk Alexis Bull, Emilee Hill	+1.0
3	0-3	E KY	E KY×5	Attack err	Emma Barnett	blk Alexis Bull, Emma Closurdo	+0.9
4	0-4	E KY	E KY×5	Attack err	Marae Reilly		+0.8
5	0-5	E KY	E KY×5	Kill	Emma Closurdo	set Cassidy Trahan	+0.6
6	1-5	E KY	MARSH	Attack err	Audrey Hudson		+0.4
7	2-5	MARSH	MARSH	Attack err	Alexis Bull	blk Maddie Smith, Marae Reilly	+0.7
8	2-6	MARSH	E KY	Serve err	MARSH server		+0.5
9	3-6	E KY	MARSH×3	Kill	Marae Reilly	set Maddie Smith	+0.5
10	4-6	MARSH	MARSH×3	Ace	MARSH server	aced Audrey Hudson	+0.9
11	5-6	MARSH	MARSH×3	Attack err	Emma Closurdo	blk Beatrice Ciccarelli, Maddie Smith	+1.1
12	5-7	MARSH	E KY×3	Kill	Addison Burke	set Emilee Hill	+0.8
13	5-8	E KY	E KY×3	Attack err	Maddie Smith	blk Caitlyn Flees, Emma Closurdo	+1.0
14	5-9	E KY	E KY×3	Attack err	Beatrice Ciccarelli	blk Caitlyn Flees, Emma Closurdo	+0.9
15	6-9	E KY	MARSH	Kill	Logan Henderson	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.6
16	7-9	MARSH	MARSH	Attack err	Addison Burke	blk Lia Beverly	+1.0
17	7-10	MARSH	E KY	Kill	Emma Closurdo	set Emilee Hill	+0.7
18	7-11	E KY	E KY	Attack err	Lia Beverly		+0.9
19	8-11	E KY	MARSH	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Maya Hunt	+0.6
20	9-11	MARSH	MARSH	Attack err	Addison Burke	blk Lia Beverly, Beatrice Ciccarelli	+1.0
21	9-12	MARSH	E KY	Kill	Addison Burke	set Cooper Abney	+0.8
22	9-13	E KY	E KY	Kill	Emilee Hill	set Cassidy Trahan	+0.9
23	10-13	E KY	MARSH	Attack err	Emilee Hill		+0.6
24	10-14	MARSH	E KY×3	Attack err	Emma Barnett		+0.7
25	10-15	E KY	E KY×3	Ace	E KY server	aced Maddie Smith	+0.7
26	10-16	E KY	E KY×3	Ace	E KY server	aced Emma Sayre	+0.5
27	11-16	E KY	MARSH	Kill	Marae Reilly	set Maya Hunt	+0.3
28	11-17	MARSH	E KY	Kill	Emilee Hill	set Alexis Bull	+0.3
29	12-17	E KY	MARSH	Kill	Marae Reilly	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.2
30	12-18	MARSH	E KY	Kill	Emma Closurdo	set Emilee Hill	+0.3
31	13-18	E KY	MARSH	Kill	Logan Henderson	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.2
32	13-19	MARSH	E KY×5	Kill	Addison Burke	set Emilee Hill	+0.3
33	13-20	E KY	E KY×5	Ace	E KY server	aced Emma Barnett	+0.3
34	13-21	E KY	E KY×5	Kill	Emma Closurdo	set Emilee Hill	+0.1
35	13-22	E KY	E KY×5	Attack err	Logan Henderson		+0.0
36	13-23	E KY	E KY×5	Attack err	Beatrice Ciccarelli	blk Caitlyn Flees	+0.0
37	14-23	E KY	MARSH	Serve err	E KY server		+0.0
38	14-24	MARSH	E KY	Attack err	Beatrice Ciccarelli	blk Emma Closurdo, Caitlyn Flees	+0.0
39	14-25	E KY	E KY	Attack err	Kahea Carvalho		+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	MARSH	MARSH	Attack err	Emma Closurdo		+0.7
2	2-0	MARSH	MARSH	Attack err	Alexis Bull	blk Beatrice Ciccarelli	+0.7
3	2-1	MARSH	E KY×3	Kill	Alexis Bull	set Emilee Hill	+0.5
4	2-2	E KY	E KY×3	Attack err	Logan Henderson		+0.6
5	2-3	E KY	E KY×3	Attack err	Beatrice Ciccarelli		+0.6
6	3-3	E KY	MARSH	Kill	Logan Henderson	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.5
7	3-4	MARSH	E KY	Kill	Emma Closurdo	set Emilee Hill	+0.4
8	4-4	E KY	MARSH	Kill	Logan Henderson	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.5
9	4-5	MARSH	E KY	Serve err	MARSH server		+0.4
10	5-5	E KY	MARSH	Kill	Logan Henderson	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.5
11	5-6	MARSH	E KY	Kill	Addison Burke	set Cooper Abney	+0.5
12	6-6	E KY	MARSH	Kill	Marae Reilly	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.5
13	7-6	MARSH	MARSH	Ace	MARSH server	aced Cassidy Trahan	+0.8
14	7-7	MARSH	E KY	Kill	Audrey Hudson	set Cooper Abney	+0.5
15	8-7	E KY	MARSH	Bad set	Emilee Hill		+0.6
16	8-8	MARSH	E KY	Serve err	MARSH server		+0.5
17	8-9	E KY	E KY	Ace	E KY server	aced Team	+0.7
18	9-9	E KY	MARSH	Serve err	E KY server		+0.5
19	10-9	MARSH	MARSH	Attack err	Audrey Hudson		+0.9
20	10-10	MARSH	E KY	Kill	Emma Closurdo	set Emilee Hill	+0.6
21	11-10	E KY	MARSH×5	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.6
22	12-10	MARSH	MARSH×5	Attack err	Alexis Bull	blk Beatrice Ciccarelli	+1.0
23	13-10	MARSH	MARSH×5	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.0
24	14-10	MARSH	MARSH×5	Ace	MARSH server	aced Team	+1.0
25	15-10	MARSH	MARSH×5	Kill	Logan Henderson	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.9
26	15-11	MARSH	E KY	Kill	Addison Burke	set Emilee Hill	+0.5
27	16-11	E KY	MARSH	Kill	Kahea Carvalho	set Emma Sayre	+0.6
28	16-12	MARSH	E KY	Attack err	Logan Henderson		+0.4
29	16-13	E KY	E KY	Attack err	Marae Reilly	blk Caitlyn Flees, Emilee Hill	+0.8
30	17-13	E KY	MARSH	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.8
31	17-14	MARSH	E KY	Serve err	MARSH server		+0.5
32	18-14	E KY	MARSH	Kill	Marae Reilly	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.8
33	18-15	MARSH	E KY	Kill	Audrey Hudson	set Cooper Abney	+0.5
34	19-15	E KY	MARSH	Bad set	Audrey Hudson		+0.8
35	19-16	MARSH	E KY×5	Kill	Emilee Hill	set Cooper Abney	+0.5
36	19-17	E KY	E KY×5	Ace	E KY server	aced Kylie Wong	+1.0
37	19-18	E KY	E KY×5	Ace	E KY server	aced Kylie Wong	+1.2
38	19-19	E KY	E KY×5	Kill	Emma Closurdo	set Cassidy Trahan	+1.4
39	19-20	E KY	E KY×5	Ace	E KY server	aced Maddie Smith	+1.4
40	20-20	E KY	MARSH	Attack err	Emma Closurdo	blk Emma Barnett, Beatrice Ciccarelli	+1.0
41	20-21	MARSH	E KY×3	Serve err	MARSH server		+1.0
42	20-22	E KY	E KY×3	Kill	Emilee Hill	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.3
43	20-23	E KY	E KY×3	Attack err	Beatrice Ciccarelli		+0.9
44	21-23	E KY	MARSH	Attack err	Addison Burke		+0.4
45	21-24	MARSH	E KY	Kill	Emma Closurdo	set Emilee Hill	+0.6
46	21-25	E KY	E KY	Kill	Emma Closurdo	set Emilee Hill	+0.3

Score shown after each rally, Marshall first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.