FinalThu, Sep 3, 2026

AwayBIG-12

3:0

HomePATRIOT

Arizona St. def. Colgate 3–0

(25-10, 25-12, 26-24)

Set	1*	2*	3*	Sets
AZ ST	25	25	26	3
COLGAT	10	12	24	0

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

COLGAT above 50 · AZ ST below

Biggest swing: 0.2% to Colgate — set 3, AZ ST 23-24 COLGAT. Point Colgate (not logged in NCAA feed). COLGAT win probability 0% → 0%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

AZ ST 99.7%0.3% COLGAT

Arizona St. wins

3-0

82.4%

3-1

15.5%

3-2

1.8%

Colgate wins

3-0

0.0%

3-1

0.1%

3-2

0.2%

AZ ST break %: 51.2% vs this opp
COLGAT break %: 30.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Unlogged pointFeed gap+0.2%
Point Colgate (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 3 · AZ ST 23-24 COLGAT · COLGAT 0% → 0%
02
Unlogged pointFeed gap+0.2%
Point Arizona St. (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 3 · AZ ST 24-24 COLGAT · AZ ST 100% → 100%
03
Grace MartinKill+0.1%
Kill by Grace Martin (set by Elle Mottola)
Set 3 · AZ ST 25-24 COLGAT · AZ ST 100% → 100%
04
Morgan ReeseKill+0.1%
Kill by Morgan Reese
Set 3 · AZ ST 22-23 COLGAT · COLGAT 0% → 0%
05
Una VajagicAttack error+0.1%
Attack error by Una Vajagic
Set 3 · AZ ST 20-21 COLGAT · COLGAT 0% → 0%
06
Charlotte GoldfederAttack error+0.1%
Attack error by Charlotte Goldfeder
Set 3 · AZ ST 23-23 COLGAT · AZ ST 100% → 100%
07
Tiana OwensKill+0.1%
Kill by Tiana Owens (set by Ava Schabes)
Set 3 · AZ ST 21-22 COLGAT · COLGAT 0% → 0%
08
Tiana OwensAttack error+0.1%
Tiana Owens stuffed by Ella Hope & Elle Mottola
Set 3 · AZ ST 26-24 COLGAT · AZ ST 100% → 100%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Arizona St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Una VajagicOH	3	14	2	27	.444	0	0	1	9	2	0	1	0.5	14.5
10Noemie GloverOPP	3	9	2	19	.368	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	9
8Elle MottolaS	3	0	0	2	.000	26	1	1	3	0	0	4	2	3
13Piper RamaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	3	1	8	0	0	0	0	3
25Ella LomigoraMB	2	3	0	4	.750	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
19Tosia SerafinowskaMB	2	0	0	3	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	1.5
11Isabella CostantiniS	3	0	0	0	–	7	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	2
4Ella LewisOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
15Faith FrameL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
5Aniya ClintonOH	2	6	1	10	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
20Grace MartinOH	2	4	3	9	.111	1	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	4
2Ella HopeMB	2	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2
43Kiylah PresleyOH	2	1	2	8	-.125	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
7Zoey BurgessMB	1	3	1	4	.500	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	4
21Paige LehmanL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	11	87	.345	39	7	7	39	3	1	12	7	76

Colgatehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
20Tiana OwensOH	3	7	6	30	.033	0	0	0	2	2	2	1	8
23Morgan ReeseOH	3	6	4	20	.100	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	6
8Julia HeadleyMB	3	0	2	4	-.500	0	1	2	0	0	2	1	2
26Stella LabrecqueMB	3	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	2
3Reagan KniplingS	3	0	0	0	–	10	1	0	9	0	0	0	1
6Aubrey AndersOH	2	2	2	10	.000	0	0	3	1	2	1	0.5	2.5
9Charlotte GoldfederOPP	3	6	1	11	.455	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	7.5
4Ava SchabesS	3	0	0	0	–	9	1	1	2	0	0	0	1
12Hannah LangtonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	2	10	1	0	0	0
18Jordyn MooreS	2	3	1	7	.286	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	3
2Julia OsterL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Sydney RaszewskiL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
10Gabrielle EmchL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		24	16	84	.095	24	3	9	29	7	12	6	46

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 AZ ST · COLGAT 4

Set 1*

25-10

Longest run 7 AZ STCOLGAT 2

Set 2*

25-12

Longest run 6 AZ STCOLGAT 1

Set 3*

26-24

Longest run 4 AZ STCOLGAT 4

Bars above the line = Colgate leads, below = Arizona St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Arizona St.

No clean sets to split.

Colgate

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

122 rallies

Rally log

#	AZ ST-COLGAT	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	COLGAT	AZ ST×4	Serve err	COLGAT server		+0.0
2	2-0	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Bad set	Julia Headley		+0.0
3	3-0	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+0.0
4	4-0	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Kill	Una Vajagic		+0.0
5	4-1	AZ ST	COLGAT	Attack err	Una Vajagic		+0.0
6	4-2	COLGAT	COLGAT	Kill	Morgan Reese	set Reagan Knipling	+0.0
7	5-2	COLGAT	AZ ST×3	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+0.0
8	6-2	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Ace	AZ ST server	aced Aubrey Anders	+0.0
9	7-2	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Attack err	Tiana Owens		+0.0
10	7-3	AZ ST	COLGAT	Attack err	Tiana Owens		+0.0
11	8-3	COLGAT	AZ ST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
12	8-4	AZ ST	COLGAT	Kill	Tiana Owens		+0.0
13	8-5	COLGAT	COLGAT	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Ava Schabes	+0.0
14	9-5	COLGAT	AZ ST	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Elle Mottola	+0.0
15	9-6	AZ ST	COLGAT	Attack err	Aniya Clinton		+0.0
16	10-6	COLGAT	AZ ST	Serve err	COLGAT server		+0.0
17	10-7	AZ ST	COLGAT	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
18	11-7	COLGAT	AZ ST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
19	12-7	AZ ST	AZ ST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
20	12-8	AZ ST	COLGAT	Ace	AZ ST server	aced Una Vajagic	+0.0
21	13-8	COLGAT	AZ ST×7	Attack err	Julia Headley	blk Tosia Serafinowska	+0.0
22	14-8	AZ ST	AZ ST×7	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+0.0
23	15-8	AZ ST	AZ ST×7	Ace	AZ ST server	aced Hannah Langton	+0.0
24	16-8	AZ ST	AZ ST×7	Attack err	Aubrey Anders		+0.0
25	17-8	AZ ST	AZ ST×7	Ace	AZ ST server	aced Team	+0.0
26	18-8	AZ ST	AZ ST×7	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+0.0
27	19-8	AZ ST	AZ ST×7	Kill	Una Vajagic		+0.0
28	19-9	AZ ST	COLGAT	Kill	Aubrey Anders	set Reagan Knipling	+0.0
29	20-9	COLGAT	AZ ST×3	Serve err	COLGAT server		+0.0
30	21-9	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Kill	Una Vajagic		+0.0
31	22-9	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Kill	Ella Hope	set Elle Mottola	+0.0
32	22-10	AZ ST	COLGAT	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
33	23-10	COLGAT	AZ ST×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
34	24-10	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Attack err	Tiana Owens		+0.0
35	25-10	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Attack err	Morgan Reese		+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	AZ ST	COLGAT	Kill	Charlotte Goldfeder	set Hannah Langton	+0.0
2	1-1	COLGAT	AZ ST	Serve err	COLGAT server		+0.0
3	1-2	AZ ST	COLGAT	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
4	2-2	COLGAT	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+0.0
5	2-3	AZ ST	COLGAT	Kill	Morgan Reese	set Reagan Knipling	+0.0
6	3-3	COLGAT	AZ ST	Serve err	COLGAT server		+0.0
7	3-4	AZ ST	COLGAT	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
8	4-4	COLGAT	AZ ST×6	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
9	5-4	AZ ST	AZ ST×6	Attack err	Tiana Owens		+0.0
10	6-4	AZ ST	AZ ST×6	Bad set	Reagan Knipling		+0.0
11	7-4	AZ ST	AZ ST×6	Attack err	Morgan Reese	blk Zoey Burgess, Aniya Clinton	+0.0
12	8-4	AZ ST	AZ ST×6	Kill	Zoey Burgess		+0.0
13	9-4	AZ ST	AZ ST×6	Kill	Zoey Burgess		+0.0
14	9-5	AZ ST	COLGAT	Serve err	AZ ST server		+0.0
15	10-5	COLGAT	AZ ST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
16	11-5	AZ ST	AZ ST	Ace	AZ ST server	aced Aubrey Anders	+0.0
17	11-6	AZ ST	COLGAT	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
18	12-6	COLGAT	AZ ST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
19	12-7	AZ ST	COLGAT	Attack err	Zoey Burgess		+0.0
20	13-7	COLGAT	AZ ST×3	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+0.0
21	14-7	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+0.0
22	15-7	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Ace	AZ ST server	aced Tiana Owens	+0.0
23	15-8	AZ ST	COLGAT	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
24	16-8	COLGAT	AZ ST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
25	17-8	AZ ST	AZ ST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
26	17-9	AZ ST	COLGAT	Attack err	Noemie Glover	blk Aubrey Anders, Julia Headley	+0.0
27	18-9	COLGAT	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+0.0
28	18-10	AZ ST	COLGAT	Kill	Morgan Reese	set Reagan Knipling	+0.0
29	19-10	COLGAT	AZ ST	Kill	Aniya Clinton		+0.0
30	19-11	AZ ST	COLGAT	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Morgan Reese	+0.0
31	20-11	COLGAT	AZ ST×4	Serve err	COLGAT server		+0.0
32	21-11	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Zoey Burgess	+0.0
33	22-11	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Ace	AZ ST server	aced Team	+0.0
34	23-11	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Kill	Aniya Clinton	set Isabella Costantini	+0.0
35	23-12	AZ ST	COLGAT	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
36	24-12	COLGAT	AZ ST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
37	25-12	AZ ST	AZ ST	Kill	Zoey Burgess	set Isabella Costantini	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	COLGAT	AZ ST	Kill	Ella Lomigora		+0.0
2	1-1	AZ ST	COLGAT×4	Attack err	Ella Lomigora		+0.0
3	1-2	COLGAT	COLGAT×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
4	1-3	COLGAT	COLGAT×4	Ace	COLGAT server	aced Una Vajagic	+0.0
5	1-4	COLGAT	COLGAT×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
6	2-4	COLGAT	AZ ST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
7	2-5	AZ ST	COLGAT	Attack err	Grace Martin	blk Charlotte Goldfeder, Stella Labrecque	+0.0
8	3-5	COLGAT	AZ ST	Serve err	COLGAT server		+0.0
9	4-5	AZ ST	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover		+0.0
10	4-6	AZ ST	COLGAT	Kill	Jordyn Moore		+0.0
11	5-6	COLGAT	AZ ST×3	Kill	Noemie Glover		+0.0
12	6-6	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Attack err	Jordyn Moore	blk Una Vajagic, Ella Hope	+0.0
13	7-6	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Attack err	Morgan Reese		+0.0
14	7-7	AZ ST	COLGAT	Kill	Morgan Reese	set Ava Schabes	+0.0
15	8-7	COLGAT	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+0.0
16	8-8	AZ ST	COLGAT	Kill	Jordyn Moore	set Ava Schabes	+0.0
17	9-8	COLGAT	AZ ST×4	Kill	Una Vajagic	set Elle Mottola	+0.0
18	10-8	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Attack err	Morgan Reese		+0.0
19	11-8	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Kill	Ella Lomigora	set Isabella Costantini	+0.0
20	12-8	AZ ST	AZ ST×4	Ace	AZ ST server	aced Tiana Owens	+0.0
21	12-9	AZ ST	COLGAT×4	Kill	Charlotte Goldfeder	set Reagan Knipling	+0.0
22	12-10	COLGAT	COLGAT×4	Kill	Charlotte Goldfeder		+0.0
23	12-11	COLGAT	COLGAT×4	Kill	Charlotte Goldfeder	set Hannah Langton	+0.0
24	12-12	COLGAT	COLGAT×4	Attack err	Kiylah Presley		+0.0
25	13-12	COLGAT	AZ ST×3	Attack err	Kiylah Presley		+0.0
26	14-12	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Kill	Grace Martin	set Isabella Costantini	+0.0
27	15-12	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Attack err	Julia Headley		+0.0
28	15-13	AZ ST	COLGAT	Kill	Charlotte Goldfeder	set Reagan Knipling	+0.0
29	15-14	COLGAT	COLGAT	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
30	16-14	COLGAT	AZ ST	Kill	Grace Martin	set Isabella Costantini	+0.0
31	17-14	AZ ST	AZ ST	Bad set	Reagan Knipling		+0.0
32	17-15	AZ ST	COLGAT×4	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Reagan Knipling	+0.0
33	17-16	COLGAT	COLGAT×4	Ace	COLGAT server	aced Team	+0.0
34	17-17	COLGAT	COLGAT×4	Kill	Tiana Owens		+0.1
35	17-18	COLGAT	COLGAT×4	Serve err	COLGAT server		+0.1
36	18-18	COLGAT	AZ ST	Kill	Grace Martin		+0.0
37	18-19	AZ ST	COLGAT	Serve err	AZ ST server		+0.1
38	19-19	COLGAT	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Elle Mottola	+0.1
39	20-19	AZ ST	AZ ST	Kill	Noemie Glover	set Faith Frame	+0.1
40	20-20	AZ ST	COLGAT	Kill	Jordyn Moore	set Ava Schabes	+0.1
41	20-21	COLGAT	COLGAT	Attack err	Una Vajagic		+0.1
42	21-21	COLGAT	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic		+0.1
43	21-22	AZ ST	COLGAT	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Ava Schabes	+0.1
44	22-22	COLGAT	AZ ST	Kill	Una Vajagic		+0.1
45	22-23	AZ ST	COLGAT	Kill	Morgan Reese		+0.1
46	23-23	COLGAT	AZ ST	Attack err	Charlotte Goldfeder		+0.1
47	23-24	AZ ST	COLGAT	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.2
48	24-24	COLGAT	AZ ST×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.2
49	25-24	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Kill	Grace Martin	set Elle Mottola	+0.1
50	26-24	AZ ST	AZ ST×3	Attack err	Tiana Owens	blk Ella Hope, Elle Mottola	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Arizona St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.