FinalSat, Sep 5, 2026

AwayIVY-LEAGUE

0:3

HomePATRIOT

Colgate def. Princeton 3–0

(25-21, 25-23, 25-18)

Set	1*	2*	3	Sets
PRINCE	21	23	18	0
COLGAT	25	25	25	3

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

COLGAT above 50 · PRINCE below

Biggest swing: 7.1% to Colgate — set 2, PRINCE 23-25 COLGAT. Kill by Tiana Owens (set by Reagan Knipling). COLGAT win probability 80% → 87%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

PRINCE 50.3%49.7% COLGAT

Princeton wins

3-0

12.6%

3-1

18.9%

3-2

18.8%

Colgate wins

3-0

12.4%

3-1

18.6%

3-2

18.7%

PRINCE break %: 41.0% vs this opp
COLGAT break %: 41.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Tiana OwensKill+7.1%
Kill by Tiana Owens (set by Reagan Knipling)
Set 2 · PRINCE 23-25 COLGAT · COLGAT 80% → 87%
02
Unlogged pointFeed gap+4.6%
Point Colgate (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 2 · PRINCE 21-24 COLGAT · COLGAT 81% → 86%
03
Stella LabrecqueKill+4.6%
Kill by Stella Labrecque
Set 2 · PRINCE 21-23 COLGAT · COLGAT 76% → 81%
04
Morgan ReeseAttack error+4.4%
Attack error by Morgan Reese
Set 2 · PRINCE 20-21 COLGAT · PRINCE 20% → 24%
05
Tiana OwensKill+4.2%
Kill by Tiana Owens (set by Ava Schabes)
Set 1 · PRINCE 18-21 COLGAT · COLGAT 59% → 64%
06
Charlotte GoldfederAttack error+4.2%
Attack error by Charlotte Goldfeder
Set 2 · PRINCE 23-24 COLGAT · PRINCE 16% → 20%
07
Julia HeadleyKill+4.1%
Kill by Julia Headley (set by Reagan Knipling)
Set 2 · PRINCE 15-17 COLGAT · COLGAT 72% → 76%
08
Jordyn MooreKill+4.1%
Kill by Jordyn Moore (set by Ava Schabes)
Set 2 · PRINCE 20-22 COLGAT · COLGAT 76% → 80%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Princetonaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Ashtyn SimsOH	3	8	1	16	.438	0	2	2	5	2	0	1	0.5	10.5
9Shelby BurrissMB	3	6	1	12	.417	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	7
24Ava HarringtonMB	3	5	3	15	.133	0	0	2	1	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
10Jackie OnyechiMB	3	3	2	10	.100	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	4.5
19Sydney DraperS	3	1	1	4	.000	24	1	2	6	0	0	0	0	2
13Erin McnairOH	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	0
7Sarah HomOH	3	9	3	18	.333	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
1Sydney BoldL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	1	0	6	1	0	0	0	1
14Taylor ClarkeOH	3	0	2	3	-.667	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
11Allison TredwellS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Ashley DuckworthMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12Lia SkufcaS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Natalie SurgesOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17Nicki GaitoDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22Olivia FoyeL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Sylvia BundeL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		32	13	79	.241	29	4	8	27	7	1	6	4	62

Colgatehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
20Tiana OwensOH	3	11	2	29	.310	0	1	0	4	1	0	2	1	13
18Jordyn MooreS	3	11	5	19	.316	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	11
26Stella LabrecqueMB	3	5	0	8	.625	1	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	7
23Morgan ReeseOH	3	4	5	17	-.059	0	2	2	1	1	0	1	0.5	6.5
8Julia HeadleyMB	3	4	3	8	.125	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
4Ava SchabesS	3	0	0	0	–	22	1	1	8	0	0	0	0	1
9Charlotte GoldfederOPP	3	10	2	16	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	10
2Julia OsterL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
3Reagan KniplingS	3	0	0	0	–	17	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
6Aubrey AndersOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Gabrielle EmchL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12Hannah LangtonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	4	13	0	0	0	0	0
11Ivyann FeayMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Nina GannonMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Sophia TowleOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Sydney RaszewskiL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		45	17	97	.289	42	7	8	32	4	1	6	4	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 PRINCE · COLGAT 8

Set 1*

21-25

Longest run 5 PRINCECOLGAT 8

Set 2*

23-25

Longest run 3 PRINCECOLGAT 3

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 PRINCECOLGAT 4

Bars above the line = Colgate leads, below = Princeton leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Princeton

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	40%2/5	33%1/3
2	40%2/5	50%2/4
3	67%2/3	0%0/2
4	50%2/4	33%1/3
5	50%2/4	0%0/2
6	50%2/4	50%2/4
All	48%12/25	33%6/18

Colgate

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%2/4	60%3/5
2	100%2/2	60%3/5
3	67%2/3	33%1/3
4	100%2/2	50%2/4
5	50%2/4	50%2/4
6	67%2/3	50%2/4
All	67%12/18	52%13/25

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

137 rallies

Rally log

#	PRINCE-COLGAT	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	COLGAT	PRINCE	Kill	Jackie Onyechi	set Sydney Draper	+1.8
2	1-1	PRINCE	COLGAT	Serve err	PRINCE server		+1.8
3	2-1	COLGAT	PRINCE	Kill	Ava Harrington	set Sydney Draper	+1.8
4	2-2	PRINCE	COLGAT	Serve err	PRINCE server		+1.8
5	3-2	COLGAT	PRINCE×3	Kill	Ava Harrington	set Sydney Draper	+1.9
6	4-2	PRINCE	PRINCE×3	Kill	Shelby Burriss		+2.7
7	5-2	PRINCE	PRINCE×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.6
8	5-3	PRINCE	COLGAT	Kill	Charlotte Goldfeder	set Reagan Knipling	+1.7
9	5-4	COLGAT	COLGAT	Ace	COLGAT server	aced TEAM	+2.6
10	6-4	COLGAT	PRINCE	Kill	Sarah Hom	set Sydney Draper	+1.9
11	7-4	PRINCE	PRINCE	Attack err	Tiana Owens		+2.7
12	7-5	PRINCE	COLGAT	Serve err	PRINCE server		+1.7
13	8-5	COLGAT	PRINCE	Serve err	COLGAT server		+1.9
14	8-6	PRINCE	COLGAT	Serve err	PRINCE server		+1.7
15	9-6	COLGAT	PRINCE×5	Attack err	Tiana Owens	set Ava Schabes	+1.9
16	10-6	PRINCE	PRINCE×5	Attack err	Morgan Reese		+2.5
17	11-6	PRINCE	PRINCE×5	Attack err	Julia Headley		+2.2
18	12-6	PRINCE	PRINCE×5	Kill	Ashtyn Sims	set Sydney Draper	+1.8
19	13-6	PRINCE	PRINCE×5	Attack err	Jordyn Moore		+1.4
20	13-7	PRINCE	COLGAT	Kill	Jordyn Moore	set Ava Schabes	+0.7
21	14-7	COLGAT	PRINCE	Kill	Sydney Draper	set Sydney Bold	+0.9
22	14-8	PRINCE	COLGAT×8	Kill	Jordyn Moore	set Ava Schabes	+0.7
23	14-9	COLGAT	COLGAT×8	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Ava Schabes	+1.3
24	14-10	COLGAT	COLGAT×8	Kill	Morgan Reese	set Ava Schabes	+1.8
25	14-11	COLGAT	COLGAT×8	Kill	Stella Labrecque	set Ava Schabes	+2.3
26	14-12	COLGAT	COLGAT×8	Ace	COLGAT server	aced Ashtyn Sims	+2.8
27	14-13	COLGAT	COLGAT×8	Attack err	Ava Harrington		+3.3
28	14-14	COLGAT	COLGAT×8	Kill	Morgan Reese	set Ava Schabes	+3.7
29	14-15	COLGAT	COLGAT×8	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+3.9
30	15-15	COLGAT	PRINCE	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.7
31	15-16	PRINCE	COLGAT	Attack err	Jackie Onyechi	blk Stella Labrecque	+2.9
32	15-17	COLGAT	COLGAT	Ace	COLGAT server	aced Ashtyn Sims	+4.1
33	16-17	COLGAT	PRINCE	Attack err	Morgan Reese	set Hannah Langton	+2.6
34	16-18	PRINCE	COLGAT	Kill	Charlotte Goldfeder	set Reagan Knipling	+3.0
35	17-18	COLGAT	PRINCE	Serve err	COLGAT server		+2.7
36	17-19	PRINCE	COLGAT	Kill	Charlotte Goldfeder	set Reagan Knipling	+3.2
37	18-19	COLGAT	PRINCE	Serve err	COLGAT server		+2.8
38	18-20	PRINCE	COLGAT×3	Kill	Charlotte Goldfeder	set Reagan Knipling	+3.4
39	18-21	COLGAT	COLGAT×3	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Ava Schabes	+4.2
40	18-22	COLGAT	COLGAT×3	Kill	Jordyn Moore	set Hannah Langton	+3.0
41	19-22	COLGAT	PRINCE	Attack err	Jordyn Moore	set Hannah Langton	+1.1
42	19-23	PRINCE	COLGAT	Kill	Jordyn Moore	set Ava Schabes	+2.0
43	19-24	COLGAT	COLGAT	Ace	COLGAT server	aced Erin Mcnair	+1.3
44	20-24	COLGAT	PRINCE	Kill	Ashtyn Sims	set Sydney Draper	+0.2
45	21-24	PRINCE	PRINCE	Attack err	Julia Headley		+0.7
46	21-25	PRINCE	COLGAT	Kill	Jordyn Moore	set Ava Schabes	+1.2
Set 2
1	1-0	PRINCE	PRINCE	Ace	PRINCE server	aced TEAM	+2.6
2	1-1	PRINCE	COLGAT	Serve err	PRINCE server		+1.8
3	2-1	COLGAT	PRINCE×3	Kill	Sarah Hom	set Sydney Draper	+1.8
4	3-1	PRINCE	PRINCE×3	Kill	Sarah Hom	set Sydney Bold	+2.6
5	4-1	PRINCE	PRINCE×3	Kill	Shelby Burriss		+2.5
6	4-2	PRINCE	COLGAT	Kill	Jordyn Moore	set Ava Schabes	+1.6
7	5-2	COLGAT	PRINCE	Kill	Ava Harrington	set Sydney Draper	+1.8
8	5-3	PRINCE	COLGAT	Serve err	PRINCE server		+1.7
9	6-3	COLGAT	PRINCE	Serve err	COLGAT server		+1.8
10	6-4	PRINCE	COLGAT×3	Attack err	Ava Harrington	set Sydney Draper	+1.7
11	6-5	COLGAT	COLGAT×3	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Reagan Knipling	+2.7
12	6-6	COLGAT	COLGAT×3	Kill	Charlotte Goldfeder	set Hannah Langton	+2.9
13	7-6	COLGAT	PRINCE	Kill	Shelby Burriss	set Sydney Draper	+2.1
14	7-7	PRINCE	COLGAT	Kill	Charlotte Goldfeder	set Reagan Knipling	+2.1
15	7-8	COLGAT	COLGAT	Kill	Morgan Reese	set Ava Schabes	+3.1
16	8-8	COLGAT	PRINCE	Kill	Ashtyn Sims	set Sydney Draper	+2.1
17	8-9	PRINCE	COLGAT	Bad set	Sydney Bold		+2.2
18	9-9	COLGAT	PRINCE	Kill	Ava Harrington	set Sydney Draper	+2.2
19	10-9	PRINCE	PRINCE	Attack err	Morgan Reese		+3.2
20	10-10	PRINCE	COLGAT	Kill	Julia Headley	set Ava Schabes	+2.2
21	11-10	COLGAT	PRINCE	Kill	Sarah Hom	set Sydney Draper	+2.3
22	12-10	PRINCE	PRINCE	Attack err	Jordyn Moore		+3.3
23	12-11	PRINCE	COLGAT×3	Kill	Jordyn Moore	set Ava Schabes	+2.2
24	12-12	COLGAT	COLGAT×3	Kill	Charlotte Goldfeder	set Stella Labrecque	+3.5
25	12-13	COLGAT	COLGAT×3	Kill	Charlotte Goldfeder		+3.6
26	13-13	COLGAT	PRINCE	Kill	Sarah Hom		+2.5
27	13-14	PRINCE	COLGAT	Kill	Stella Labrecque	set Reagan Knipling	+2.6
28	13-15	COLGAT	COLGAT	Kill	Stella Labrecque		+3.7
29	14-15	COLGAT	PRINCE	Kill	Shelby Burriss	set Sydney Draper	+2.4
30	15-15	PRINCE	PRINCE	Kill	Ashtyn Sims	set Sydney Bold	+3.9
31	15-16	PRINCE	COLGAT	Attack err	Shelby Burriss	blk Stella Labrecque, Tiana Owens	+2.9
32	15-17	COLGAT	COLGAT	Kill	Julia Headley	set Reagan Knipling	+4.1
33	16-17	COLGAT	PRINCE	Serve err	COLGAT server		+2.6
34	16-18	PRINCE	COLGAT	Kill	Charlotte Goldfeder	set Reagan Knipling	+3.0
35	16-19	COLGAT	COLGAT	Attack err	Ashtyn Sims		+3.9
36	17-19	COLGAT	PRINCE	Serve err	COLGAT server		+2.1
37	17-20	PRINCE	COLGAT	Kill	Jordyn Moore	set Ava Schabes	+2.8
38	18-20	COLGAT	PRINCE	Kill	Ashtyn Sims	set Sydney Draper	+2.1
39	18-21	PRINCE	COLGAT	Kill	Jordyn Moore	set Ava Schabes	+2.9
40	19-21	COLGAT	PRINCE	Kill	Sarah Hom	set Sydney Draper	+2.1
41	20-21	PRINCE	PRINCE	Attack err	Morgan Reese		+4.4
42	20-22	PRINCE	COLGAT	Kill	Jordyn Moore	set Ava Schabes	+4.1
43	21-22	COLGAT	PRINCE	Kill	Ava Harrington		+3.2
44	21-23	PRINCE	COLGAT	Kill	Stella Labrecque		+4.6
45	21-24	COLGAT	COLGAT	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+4.6
46	22-24	COLGAT	PRINCE	Kill	Sarah Hom	set Sydney Draper	+1.2
47	23-24	PRINCE	PRINCE	Attack err	Charlotte Goldfeder		+4.2
48	23-25	PRINCE	COLGAT	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Reagan Knipling	+7.1
Set 3
1	0-1	COLGAT	COLGAT	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Ava Schabes	+1.7
2	0-2	COLGAT	COLGAT	Attack err	Sarah Hom		+1.7
3	1-2	COLGAT	PRINCE	Attack err	Morgan Reese	blk Jackie Onyechi, Ava Harrington	+1.1
4	1-3	PRINCE	COLGAT×4	Kill	Julia Headley	set Ava Schabes	+1.2
5	1-4	COLGAT	COLGAT×4	Attack err	Ava Harrington	blk Morgan Reese, Stella Labrecque	+1.7
6	1-5	COLGAT	COLGAT×4	Ace	COLGAT server	aced TEAM	+1.5
7	1-6	COLGAT	COLGAT×4	Kill	Stella Labrecque		+1.4
8	2-6	COLGAT	PRINCE	Kill	Sarah Hom	set Sydney Draper	+0.8
9	2-7	PRINCE	COLGAT	Kill	Jordyn Moore	set Ava Schabes	+1.0
10	2-8	COLGAT	COLGAT	Attack err	Sarah Hom		+1.2
11	3-8	COLGAT	PRINCE	Kill	Shelby Burriss	set Sydney Draper	+0.7
12	4-8	PRINCE	PRINCE	Attack err	Charlotte Goldfeder	blk Shelby Burriss, Ashtyn Sims	+1.2
13	4-9	PRINCE	COLGAT	Attack err	Sydney Draper	set Sarah Hom	+1.0
14	5-9	COLGAT	PRINCE	Kill	Ashtyn Sims	set Sydney Bold	+0.8
15	5-10	PRINCE	COLGAT	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Reagan Knipling	+1.0
16	5-11	COLGAT	COLGAT	Attack err	Taylor Clarke		+1.2
17	6-11	COLGAT	PRINCE×3	Kill	Ashtyn Sims	set Sydney Draper	+0.7
18	7-11	PRINCE	PRINCE×3	Ace	PRINCE server	aced Morgan Reese	+1.2
19	8-11	PRINCE	PRINCE×3	Kill	Jackie Onyechi		+1.5
20	8-12	PRINCE	COLGAT	Serve err	PRINCE server		+1.2
21	8-13	COLGAT	COLGAT	Attack err	Taylor Clarke		+1.5
22	9-13	COLGAT	PRINCE	Attack err	Julia Headley	blk Jackie Onyechi	+0.8
23	9-14	PRINCE	COLGAT	Attack err	Sarah Hom	set Sydney Draper	+1.0
24	10-14	COLGAT	PRINCE×3	Kill	Jackie Onyechi		+0.8
25	11-14	PRINCE	PRINCE×3	Attack err	Jordyn Moore	blk Shelby Burriss, Sarah Hom	+1.5
26	12-14	PRINCE	PRINCE×3	Ace	PRINCE server	aced TEAM	+1.8
27	12-15	PRINCE	COLGAT	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Ava Schabes	+1.5
28	13-15	COLGAT	PRINCE	Kill	Sarah Hom	set Sydney Draper	+1.3
29	13-16	PRINCE	COLGAT	Serve err	PRINCE server		+1.6
30	14-16	COLGAT	PRINCE	Kill	Shelby Burriss	set Sydney Draper	+1.3
31	14-17	PRINCE	COLGAT×3	Kill	Morgan Reese	set Reagan Knipling	+1.6
32	14-18	COLGAT	COLGAT×3	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Reagan Knipling	+2.0
33	14-19	COLGAT	COLGAT×3	Kill	Charlotte Goldfeder	set Reagan Knipling	+1.5
34	15-19	COLGAT	PRINCE	Kill	Ashtyn Sims	set Sydney Draper	+0.7
35	15-20	PRINCE	COLGAT	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Reagan Knipling	+1.0
36	15-21	COLGAT	COLGAT	Attack err	Jackie Onyechi	blk Julia Headley, Tiana Owens	+0.9
37	16-21	COLGAT	PRINCE	Serve err	COLGAT server		+0.3
38	16-22	PRINCE	COLGAT	Kill	Julia Headley	set Reagan Knipling	+0.5
39	16-23	COLGAT	COLGAT	Ace	COLGAT server	aced Sydney Bold	+0.3
40	17-23	COLGAT	PRINCE	Attack err	Jordyn Moore	set Ava Schabes	+0.1
41	18-23	PRINCE	PRINCE	Ace	PRINCE server	aced Tiana Owens	+0.2
42	18-24	PRINCE	COLGAT	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Ava Schabes	+0.3
43	18-25	COLGAT	COLGAT	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Ava Schabes	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Princeton first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.