FinalSun, Sep 13, 2026

AwayIVY-LEAGUE

0:3

HomePATRIOT

Colgate def. Dartmouth 3–0

(25-20, 28-26, 26-24)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
DART	20	26	24	0
COLGAT	25	28	26	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

COLGAT above 50 · DART below

Biggest swing: 5.7% to Colgate — set 2, DART 24-24 COLGAT. Kill by Aubrey Anders (set by Ava Schabes). COLGAT win probability 83% → 88%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

DART 16.5%83.5% COLGAT

Dartmouth wins

3-0

2.5%

3-1

5.3%

3-2

8.6%

Colgate wins

3-0

35.3%

3-1

31.1%

3-2

17.1%

DART break %: 39.6% vs this opp
COLGAT break %: 47.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Aubrey AndersKill+5.7%
Kill by Aubrey Anders (set by Ava Schabes)
Set 2 · DART 24-24 COLGAT · COLGAT 83% → 88%
02
Raeli SmithAttack error+4.8%
Raeli Smith stuffed by Aubrey Anders & Stella Labrecque
Set 2 · DART 26-27 COLGAT · COLGAT 88% → 93%
03
Morgan ReeseAttack error+4.6%
Attack error by Morgan Reese
Set 2 · DART 24-22 COLGAT · DART 15% → 19%
04
Aubrey AndersAttack error+4.3%
Attack error by Aubrey Anders
Set 2 · DART 25-24 COLGAT · DART 12% → 16%
05
Tiana OwensKill+4.3%
Kill by Tiana Owens (set by Ava Schabes)
Set 2 · DART 25-25 COLGAT · COLGAT 84% → 88%
06
COLGAT serverService error+4.3%
Colgate service error
Set 2 · DART 26-25 COLGAT · DART 12% → 16%
07
Aubrey AndersKill+4.3%
Kill by Aubrey Anders (set by Ava Schabes)
Set 2 · DART 26-26 COLGAT · COLGAT 84% → 88%
08
Aubrey AndersKill+4.0%
Kill by Aubrey Anders (set by Ava Schabes)
Set 2 · DART 26-28 COLGAT · COLGAT 93% → 97%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Dartmouthaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Zori BrownOH	3	10	3	32	.219	1	1	2	9	0	1	0	1	12
8Riley ImamuraOH	3	10	5	33	.152	2	1	2	8	2	0	1	0.5	11.5
23Raeli SmithMB	3	5	1	7	.571	0	3	2	1	0	0	2	1	9
13Jaida CekicOH	3	6	5	19	.053	1	1	3	11	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
7Elle McCreeryMB	3	4	1	13	.231	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
11Sophia GagnepainS	3	1	0	2	.500	17	1	1	10	0	0	0	0	2
22Julia YorkS	3	2	0	5	.400	11	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
10Sloan BalsleyOH	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	10	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		38	15	111	.207	34	7	11	51	2	1	10	6	70

Colgatehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
20Tiana OwensOH	3	19	5	36	.389	0	1	0	8	1	1	0.5	20.5
6Aubrey AndersOH	3	11	5	33	.182	0	0	4	7	2	3	1.5	12.5
18Jordyn MooreS	3	11	1	19	.526	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	11.5
8Julia HeadleyMB	3	3	2	11	.091	0	0	3	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
26Stella LabrecqueMB	3	2	0	6	.333	1	0	0	1	0	2	1	3
3Reagan KniplingS	3	0	0	0	–	20	0	2	3	0	0	0	0
23Morgan ReeseOH	3	4	1	16	.188	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
12Hannah LangtonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	9	1	1	19	2	0	0	1
4Ava SchabesS	3	0	0	0	–	16	0	1	10	0	0	0	0
2Julia OsterL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0
10Gabrielle EmchL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Sydney RaszewskiL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		50	14	121	.298	46	2	11	52	7	10	5	79

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 3 DART · COLGAT 5

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 2 DARTCOLGAT 5

Set 2

26-28

Longest run 3 DARTCOLGAT 4

Set 3

24-26

Longest run 3 DARTCOLGAT 4

Bars above the line = Colgate leads, below = Dartmouth leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Dartmouth

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%9/16	42%5/12
2	69%9/13	25%3/12
3	69%9/13	36%5/14
4	50%7/14	36%5/14
5	70%7/10	22%2/9
6	50%6/12	30%3/10
All	60%47/78	32%23/71

Colgate

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%9/15	53%9/17
2	69%9/13	40%6/15
3	75%9/12	36%5/14
4	64%7/11	46%6/13
5	70%7/10	36%4/11
6	70%7/10	13%1/8
All	68%48/71	40%31/78

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

149 rallies

Rally log

#	DART-COLGAT	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	COLGAT	DART	Kill	Zori Brown	set Sophia Gagnepain	+1.3
2	1-1	DART	COLGAT	Kill	Jordyn Moore	set Reagan Knipling	+1.2
3	1-2	COLGAT	COLGAT	Kill	Jordyn Moore	set Reagan Knipling	+1.4
4	2-2	COLGAT	DART	Serve err	COLGAT server		+1.2
5	3-2	DART	DART	Attack err	Tiana Owens	blk Elle McCreery, Jaida Cekic	+1.7
6	3-3	DART	COLGAT×5	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Reagan Knipling	+1.2
7	3-4	COLGAT	COLGAT×5	Ace	COLGAT server	aced Riley Imamura	+1.5
8	3-5	COLGAT	COLGAT×5	Attack err	Jaida Cekic		+1.4
9	3-6	COLGAT	COLGAT×5	Attack err	Riley Imamura	blk Julia Headley, Jordyn Moore	+1.2
10	3-7	COLGAT	COLGAT×5	Attack err	Elle McCreery		+1.1
11	4-7	COLGAT	DART	Kill	Riley Imamura	set Zori Brown	+0.8
12	4-8	DART	COLGAT	Serve err	DART server		+0.8
13	5-8	COLGAT	DART	Attack err	Tiana Owens		+0.8
14	5-9	DART	COLGAT	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Hannah Langton	+0.8
15	6-9	COLGAT	DART	Kill	Elle McCreery	set Julia York	+0.8
16	7-9	DART	DART	Kill	Zori Brown	set Julia York	+1.3
17	7-10	DART	COLGAT	Kill	Aubrey Anders	set Ava Schabes	+1.0
18	8-10	COLGAT	DART	Serve err	COLGAT server		+1.0
19	8-11	DART	COLGAT	Kill	Aubrey Anders	set Hannah Langton	+1.1
20	8-12	COLGAT	COLGAT	Attack err	Zori Brown		+1.2
21	9-12	COLGAT	DART	Kill	Zori Brown	set Sophia Gagnepain	+0.8
22	10-12	DART	DART	Attack err	Aubrey Anders	blk Raeli Smith, Jaida Cekic	+1.4
23	10-13	DART	COLGAT	Serve err	DART server		+1.1
24	10-14	COLGAT	COLGAT	Kill	Jordyn Moore	set Reagan Knipling	+1.3
25	11-14	COLGAT	DART	Kill	Jaida Cekic	set Sophia Gagnepain	+0.9
26	11-15	DART	COLGAT	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Reagan Knipling	+1.0
27	12-15	COLGAT	DART	Kill	Jaida Cekic	set Sloan Balsley	+0.9
28	12-16	DART	COLGAT	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Hannah Langton	+1.0
29	13-16	COLGAT	DART	Serve err	COLGAT server		+0.9
30	13-17	DART	COLGAT	Kill	Morgan Reese	set Ava Schabes	+1.0
31	13-18	COLGAT	COLGAT	Ace	COLGAT server	aced Riley Imamura	+1.0
32	14-18	COLGAT	DART	Kill	Riley Imamura	set Julia York	+0.6
33	14-19	DART	COLGAT	Kill	Morgan Reese	set Hannah Langton	+0.7
34	15-19	COLGAT	DART	Kill	Raeli Smith	set Julia York	+0.5
35	15-20	DART	COLGAT	Kill	Aubrey Anders	set Ava Schabes	+0.7
36	16-20	COLGAT	DART	Kill	Zori Brown	set Sophia Gagnepain	+0.5
37	17-20	DART	DART	Kill	Riley Imamura	set Sophia Gagnepain	+1.1
38	17-21	DART	COLGAT	Attack err	Jaida Cekic		+1.1
39	18-21	COLGAT	DART	Serve err	COLGAT server		+0.8
40	18-22	DART	COLGAT	Serve err	DART server		+1.1
41	19-22	COLGAT	DART	Kill	Riley Imamura	set Sophia Gagnepain	+0.7
42	20-22	DART	DART	Kill	Elle McCreery		+1.6
43	20-23	DART	COLGAT×3	Serve err	DART server		+1.8
44	20-24	COLGAT	COLGAT×3	Kill	Morgan Reese	set Ava Schabes	+1.2
45	20-25	COLGAT	COLGAT×3	Attack err	Riley Imamura		+0.3
Set 2
1	1-0	DART	DART	Attack err	Aubrey Anders		+1.2
2	2-0	DART	DART	Ace	DART server	aced Aubrey Anders	+1.3
3	2-1	DART	COLGAT	Kill	Aubrey Anders	set Reagan Knipling	+0.9
4	2-2	COLGAT	COLGAT	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Reagan Knipling	+1.2
5	3-2	COLGAT	DART	Serve err	COLGAT server		+1.0
6	3-3	DART	COLGAT	Kill	Jordyn Moore	set Reagan Knipling	+0.9
7	4-3	COLGAT	DART	Serve err	COLGAT server		+1.0
8	5-3	DART	DART	Ace	DART server	aced Aubrey Anders	+1.4
9	5-4	DART	COLGAT	Kill	Jordyn Moore	set Reagan Knipling	+1.0
10	6-4	COLGAT	DART	Kill	Riley Imamura	set Sophia Gagnepain	+1.1
11	6-5	DART	COLGAT	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Hannah Langton	+1.0
12	7-5	COLGAT	DART	Kill	Riley Imamura	set Julia York	+1.2
13	8-5	DART	DART	Ace	DART server	aced Hannah Langton	+1.6
14	8-6	DART	COLGAT	Kill	Julia Headley	set Ava Schabes	+1.0
15	9-6	COLGAT	DART	Serve err	COLGAT server		+1.3
16	9-7	DART	COLGAT×4	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Ava Schabes	+1.1
17	9-8	COLGAT	COLGAT×4	Kill	Jordyn Moore	set Reagan Knipling	+1.5
18	9-9	COLGAT	COLGAT×4	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Reagan Knipling	+1.4
19	9-10	COLGAT	COLGAT×4	Kill	Stella Labrecque		+1.4
20	10-10	COLGAT	DART	Kill	Raeli Smith	set Julia York	+1.1
21	11-10	DART	DART	Attack err	Aubrey Anders	blk Jaida Cekic, Raeli Smith	+1.6
22	11-11	DART	COLGAT	Kill	Aubrey Anders	set Hannah Langton	+1.2
23	11-12	COLGAT	COLGAT	Attack err	Riley Imamura		+1.5
24	12-12	COLGAT	DART	Kill	Zori Brown	set Sophia Gagnepain	+1.2
25	12-13	DART	COLGAT	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Reagan Knipling	+1.2
26	13-13	COLGAT	DART	Attack err	Julia Headley		+1.3
27	13-14	DART	COLGAT	Serve err	DART server		+1.2
28	14-14	COLGAT	DART×3	Kill	Jaida Cekic	set Sophia Gagnepain	+1.3
29	15-14	DART	DART×3	Ace	DART server	aced Julia Oster	+2.0
30	16-14	DART	DART×3	Attack err	Tiana Owens	blk Elle McCreery, Julia York	+2.1
31	16-15	DART	COLGAT	Kill	Morgan Reese	set Hannah Langton	+1.4
32	17-15	COLGAT	DART	Kill	Julia York	set Riley Imamura	+1.8
33	17-16	DART	COLGAT	Serve err	DART server		+1.5
34	18-16	COLGAT	DART	Kill	Zori Brown	set Julia York	+1.9
35	19-16	DART	DART	Kill	Raeli Smith	set Julia York	+2.4
36	19-17	DART	COLGAT	Serve err	DART server		+1.4
37	20-17	COLGAT	DART	Serve err	COLGAT server		+2.0
38	20-18	DART	COLGAT	Serve err	DART server		+1.4
39	20-19	COLGAT	COLGAT	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Reagan Knipling	+2.3
40	21-19	COLGAT	DART	Kill	Sophia Gagnepain	set Sloan Balsley	+2.4
41	21-20	DART	COLGAT	Kill	Jordyn Moore	set Reagan Knipling	+1.9
42	21-21	COLGAT	COLGAT	Attack err	Jaida Cekic	blk Tiana Owens, Julia Headley	+3.0
43	22-21	COLGAT	DART	Kill	Riley Imamura	set Sophia Gagnepain	+2.8
44	22-22	DART	COLGAT	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Hannah Langton	+2.5
45	23-22	COLGAT	DART	Kill	Riley Imamura	set Sophia Gagnepain	+3.3
46	24-22	DART	DART	Attack err	Morgan Reese		+4.6
47	24-23	DART	COLGAT	Serve err	DART server		+2.0
48	24-24	COLGAT	COLGAT	Kill	Aubrey Anders	set Ava Schabes	+5.7
49	25-24	COLGAT	DART	Attack err	Aubrey Anders		+4.3
50	25-25	DART	COLGAT	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Ava Schabes	+4.3
51	26-25	COLGAT	DART	Serve err	COLGAT server		+4.3
52	26-26	DART	COLGAT×3	Kill	Aubrey Anders	set Ava Schabes	+4.3
53	26-27	COLGAT	COLGAT×3	Attack err	Raeli Smith	blk Aubrey Anders, Stella Labrecque	+4.8
54	26-28	COLGAT	COLGAT×3	Kill	Aubrey Anders	set Ava Schabes	+4.0
Set 3
1	1-0	COLGAT	DART	Kill	Zori Brown	set Sophia Gagnepain	+0.5
2	1-1	DART	COLGAT	Serve err	DART server		+0.4
3	2-1	COLGAT	DART	Kill	Raeli Smith	set Sophia Gagnepain	+0.5
4	2-2	DART	COLGAT	Kill	Jordyn Moore	set Stella Labrecque	+0.4
5	3-2	COLGAT	DART	Kill	Elle McCreery	set Sophia Gagnepain	+0.5
6	4-2	DART	DART	Attack err	Jordyn Moore	blk Riley Imamura, Elle McCreery	+0.7
7	4-3	DART	COLGAT×4	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Reagan Knipling	+0.5
8	4-4	COLGAT	COLGAT×4	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Ava Schabes	+0.6
9	4-5	COLGAT	COLGAT×4	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Ava Schabes	+0.6
10	4-6	COLGAT	COLGAT×4	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Ava Schabes	+0.5
11	5-6	COLGAT	DART	Attack err	Tiana Owens		+0.4
12	6-6	DART	DART	Attack err	Julia Headley	blk Zori Brown	+0.6
13	6-7	DART	COLGAT	Serve err	DART server		+0.5
14	7-7	COLGAT	DART	Kill	Julia York	set Jaida Cekic	+0.5
15	7-8	DART	COLGAT	Attack err	Jaida Cekic	blk Julia Headley, Aubrey Anders	+0.5
16	8-8	COLGAT	DART	Kill	Jaida Cekic	set Julia York	+0.5
17	8-9	DART	COLGAT	Kill	Aubrey Anders	set Ava Schabes	+0.5
18	8-10	COLGAT	COLGAT	Kill	Aubrey Anders	set Hannah Langton	+0.6
19	9-10	COLGAT	DART	Kill	Raeli Smith	set Sophia Gagnepain	+0.5
20	10-10	DART	DART	Ace	DART server	aced Tiana Owens	+0.7
21	10-11	DART	COLGAT	Kill	Jordyn Moore	set Reagan Knipling	+0.5
22	10-12	COLGAT	COLGAT	Kill	Jordyn Moore	set Reagan Knipling	+0.6
23	11-12	COLGAT	DART×3	Kill	Jaida Cekic	set Sophia Gagnepain	+0.5
24	12-12	DART	DART×3	Kill	Jaida Cekic		+0.8
25	13-12	DART	DART×3	Ace	DART server	aced Team	+0.9
26	13-13	DART	COLGAT	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Hannah Langton	+0.6
27	14-13	COLGAT	DART	Kill	Elle McCreery	set Sophia Gagnepain	+0.7
28	14-14	DART	COLGAT	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Reagan Knipling	+0.7
29	15-14	COLGAT	DART	Kill	Riley Imamura	set Julia York	+0.7
30	15-15	DART	COLGAT×3	Kill	Julia Headley	set Ava Schabes	+0.7
31	15-16	COLGAT	COLGAT×3	Attack err	Zori Brown		+0.9
32	15-17	COLGAT	COLGAT×3	Attack err	Zori Brown		+0.8
33	16-17	COLGAT	DART	Kill	Zori Brown	set Riley Imamura	+0.6
34	17-17	DART	DART	Kill	Zori Brown	set Julia York	+1.0
35	17-18	DART	COLGAT	Kill	Aubrey Anders	set Ava Schabes	+0.8
36	17-19	COLGAT	COLGAT	Bad set	Julia York		+0.9
37	18-19	COLGAT	DART×3	Kill	Zori Brown	set Julia York	+0.7
38	19-19	DART	DART×3	Kill	Riley Imamura	set Sophia Gagnepain	+1.1
39	20-19	DART	DART×3	Attack err	Aubrey Anders		+1.4
40	20-20	DART	COLGAT×3	Attack err	Jaida Cekic	blk Stella Labrecque, Aubrey Anders	+1.0
41	20-21	COLGAT	COLGAT×3	Attack err	Riley Imamura		+1.3
42	20-22	COLGAT	COLGAT×3	Kill	Stella Labrecque		+1.2
43	21-22	COLGAT	DART	Serve err	COLGAT server		+0.8
44	21-23	DART	COLGAT	Attack err	Riley Imamura		+1.0
45	22-23	COLGAT	DART	Serve err	COLGAT server		+0.8
46	23-23	DART	DART	Ace	DART server	aced Hannah Langton	+1.8
47	23-24	DART	COLGAT	Kill	Jordyn Moore	set Reagan Knipling	+1.8
48	24-24	COLGAT	DART	Attack err	Tiana Owens		+1.8
49	24-25	DART	COLGAT	Kill	Tiana Owens	set Reagan Knipling	+1.8
50	24-26	COLGAT	COLGAT	Kill	Julia Headley	set Hannah Langton	+2.0

Score shown after each rally, Dartmouth first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.