FinalFri, Oct 2, 2026Watch on ESPN+, Patriot League TV

Lehigh def. Colgate 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Lehigh 79.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Lehigh beat visiting Colgate 3-0 (25-18, 25-21, 25-16) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. Lehigh's Natalie Luscomb led with 10 kills, and Sophia Bond added 12 digs.

Data through · final Oct 2

Set123Sets
COLGAT1821160
LEHIGH2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.588 and 10 kills for Natalie Luscomb as Lehigh rolled past Colgate.

No single rally moved win probability more than 2.5 points. Colgate peaked at 18% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Lehigh at 80%.

ColgateLehigh
  • Break %+19.6 pts
    25.044.6

    33 of 74 on serve vs 14 of 56, so Colgate's sideout was 55.4%.

  • Hitting+.237
    .172.409

    45 kills, 7 errors vs 32 kills, 17 errors.

Lehigh above 50Colgate belowMax swing 2.5%

ColgateLehigh

Aces
Colgate 3·Lehigh 3
Serve err
Colgate 8·Lehigh 12
Blocks
Colgate 1·Lehigh 110 BS · 2 BA vs 4 BS · 14 BA
Digs
Colgate 32·Lehigh 34

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Lehigh above 50 · Colgate below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.5% LEHIGHrally 130 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.5% to Lehigh — set 2, COLGAT 17-18 LEHIGH. Kill by Alysia Fingall (set by Grace Slovensky). LEHIGH win probability 87% → 90%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

COLGAT 15.7%84.3% LEHIGH

Colgate wins

3-0
2.4%
3-1
5.1%
3-2
8.3%

Lehigh wins

3-0
36.3%
3-1
31.2%
3-2
16.8%
COLGAT break %
37.3% vs this opp
LEHIGH break %
44.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Alysia Fingall (set by Grace Slovensky)

    Set 2 · COLGAT 17-18 LEHIGH · LEHIGH 87% → 90%

  2. 02
    ColgateAce+2.5%

    Colgate ace

    Set 2 · COLGAT 16-15 LEHIGH · COLGAT 12% → 14%

  3. 03
    Olivia LaseeKill+2.4%

    Kill by Olivia Lasee (set by Grace Slovensky)

    Set 2 · COLGAT 18-20 LEHIGH · LEHIGH 90% → 92%

  4. 04

    Mary Massias stuffed by Stella Labrecque & Jordyn Moore

    Set 2 · COLGAT 15-15 LEHIGH · COLGAT 10% → 12%

  5. 05
    Morgan ReeseAttack error+1.9%

    Attack error by Morgan Reese

    Set 2 · COLGAT 18-21 LEHIGH · LEHIGH 92% → 94%

  6. 06
    LehighService error+1.9%

    Lehigh service error

    Set 2 · COLGAT 17-16 LEHIGH · COLGAT 13% → 14%

  7. 07

    Kill by Natalie Luscomb (set by Grace Slovensky)

    Set 2 · COLGAT 18-19 LEHIGH · LEHIGH 88% → 90%

  8. 08
    Julia HeadleyKill+1.8%

    Kill by Julia Headley (set by Reagan Knipling)

    Set 2 · COLGAT 18-18 LEHIGH · COLGAT 10% → 12%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39629.1030114000010
35413.077001200005
3305.600010200004
3306.50000000010.53.5
2216.16700000010.52.5
2000–603200000
34413.000000100004
3114.0001500600001
3000–1011200000
3000–101100000
2000–701100000
15111.364000100005
1000–010000001
1000–000000000
Team totals321787.172303832302155
Lehighhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310017.58800020111.511.5
36017.35301420212.59.5
37114.42900000052.59.5
38314.357001300219
3618.625000001228
3000–2113600001
35216.18800020031.56.5
3000–5131200001
3000–1401500000
2000–000200000
1307.429000000003
Team totals45793.409403123434141175

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Colgate vs Lehigh

Season series · Lehigh leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 COLGAT · LEHIGH 3

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 COLGATLEHIGH 3

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 3 COLGATLEHIGH 3

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 2 COLGATLEHIGH 2

Bars above the line = Lehigh leads, below = Colgate leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Colgate

SlotSideout %Break %
1
46%6/13
29%2/7
2
45%5/11
14%1/7
3
63%5/8
17%1/6
4
67%4/6
17%1/6
5
100%4/4
50%4/8
6
57%4/7
0%0/4
All
57%28/49
24%9/38

Lehigh

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%6/8
44%4/9
2
100%5/5
58%7/12
3
83%5/6
50%5/10
4
71%5/7
38%3/8
5
57%4/7
0%0/4
6
80%4/5
33%2/6
All
76%29/38
43%21/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

130 rallies

#COLGAT-LEHIGHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1LEHIGHLEHIGH×3KillAlysia Fingallset Grace Slovensky+1.7
20-2LEHIGHLEHIGH×3BlockedJordyn Mooreblk Alysia Fingall+1.6
30-3LEHIGHLEHIGH×3KillNatalie Luscombset Deren Cukur+1.4
41-3LEHIGHCOLGATKillStella Labrecqueset Deren Cukur+1.0
51-4COLGATLEHIGHServe errColgate+1.0
62-4LEHIGHCOLGATKillStella Labrecqueset Deren Cukur+1.0
73-4COLGATCOLGATAttack errUfuoma Omene+1.6
83-5COLGATLEHIGHKillOlivia Laseeset Abby Felkai+1.1
93-6LEHIGHLEHIGHAceLehigh+1.5
104-6LEHIGHCOLGATServe errLehigh+1.0
114-7COLGATLEHIGHKillMary Massiasset Sophia Bond+1.0
125-7LEHIGHCOLGATAttack errUfuoma Omene+1.0
135-8COLGATLEHIGH×3KillMary Massiasset Abby Felkai+1.1
145-9LEHIGH
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.3
155-10LEHIGHLEHIGH×3BlockedTiana Owensblk Natalie Luscomb+1.1
166-10LEHIGHCOLGATAttack errMary Massias+0.7
177-10COLGATCOLGATAceColgate+1.2
187-11COLGATLEHIGHKillPaighton Erbset Grace Slovensky+0.9
197-12LEHIGHLEHIGHKillNatalie Luscomb+1.1
208-12LEHIGHCOLGATKillStella Labrecqueset Ava Schabes+0.7
218-13COLGATLEHIGHServe errColgate+0.8
229-13LEHIGHCOLGATKillJordyn Mooreset Deren Cukur+0.7
239-14COLGATLEHIGHKillAlysia Fingallset Grace Slovensky+0.8
24–2510-15COLGAT · LEHIGH
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.4
2611-15COLGATCOLGATKillJulia Headleyset Deren Cukur+0.9
2711-16COLGATLEHIGH×3KillUfuoma Omeneset Abby Felkai+0.8
2811-17LEHIGHLEHIGH×3BlockedMorgan Reeseblk Paighton Erb+0.8
2911-18LEHIGHLEHIGH×3KillMary Massiasset Abby Felkai+0.5
3012-18LEHIGHCOLGATKillCharlotte Goldfederset Ava Schabes+0.2
3112-19COLGATLEHIGHKillMary Massias+0.3
3213-19LEHIGHCOLGAT×3Serve errLehigh+0.2
3314-19COLGATCOLGAT×3KillTiana Owensset Ava Schabes+0.4
3415-19COLGATCOLGAT×3AceColgate+0.8
3515-20COLGATLEHIGHKillPaighton Erbset Grace Slovensky+0.7
3615-21LEHIGHLEHIGHAttack errCharlotte Goldfeder+0.6
3716-21LEHIGHCOLGATKillTiana Owensset Ava Schabes+0.2
3816-22COLGATLEHIGHServe errColgate+0.4
3916-23LEHIGHLEHIGHKillNatalie Luscombset Grace Slovensky+0.2
4017-23LEHIGHCOLGATServe errLehigh·
4117-24COLGATLEHIGHKillAlysia Fingallset Sophia Bond+0.1
4218-24LEHIGHCOLGATServe errLehigh·
4318-25COLGATLEHIGHKillUfuoma Omeneset Sophia Bond·
Set 2
11-0COLGATCOLGATKillJulia Headleyset Ava Schabes+1.4
21-1COLGATLEHIGHKillAlysia Fingallset Grace Slovensky+0.9
31-2LEHIGHLEHIGHKillOlivia Laseeset Grace Slovensky+1.3
42-2LEHIGHCOLGATKillAva Schabes+1.0
52-3COLGATLEHIGH×3Serve errColgate+0.9
62-4LEHIGHLEHIGH×3BlockedTiana Owensblk Olivia Lasee, Ufuoma Omene+1.2
72-5LEHIGHLEHIGH×3Bad setAva Schabes+1.1
83-5LEHIGHCOLGATBad setMary Massias+0.8
94-5COLGATCOLGATKillTiana Owensset Julia Oster+1.3
104-6COLGATLEHIGHBlockedMorgan Reeseblk Alysia Fingall+0.9
115-6LEHIGHCOLGATServe errLehigh+0.9
126-6COLGATCOLGATKillTiana Owensset Hannah Langton+1.5
136-7COLGATLEHIGHServe errColgate+1.0
147-7LEHIGHCOLGATAttack errPaighton Erb+1.1
158-7COLGATCOLGATKillMorgan Reese+1.7
168-8COLGATLEHIGHKillMary Massiasset Abby Felkai+1.2
179-8LEHIGHCOLGATKillJordyn Mooreset Deren Cukur+1.3
189-9COLGATLEHIGHKillPaighton Erbset Grace Slovensky+1.2
1910-9LEHIGHCOLGATServe errLehigh+1.3
2010-10COLGATLEHIGHKillNatalie Luscombset Grace Slovensky+1.2
2110-11LEHIGHLEHIGHBlockedMorgan Reeseblk Olivia Lasee, Natalie Luscomb+1.7
2211-11LEHIGHCOLGATServe errLehigh+1.3
2311-12COLGATLEHIGHKillNatalie Luscombset Grace Slovensky+1.2
2411-13LEHIGHLEHIGHKillOlivia Laseeset Abby Felkai+1.7
2512-13LEHIGHCOLGATKillTiana Owensset Ava Schabes+1.1
2612-14COLGATLEHIGHKillOlivia Laseeset Abby Felkai+1.2
2713-14LEHIGHCOLGATServe errLehigh+1.2
2813-15COLGATLEHIGHKillMary Massiasset Abby Felkai+1.2
2914-15LEHIGHCOLGAT×3KillTiana Owensset Reagan Knipling+1.2
3015-15COLGATCOLGAT×3BlockedMary Massiasblk Stella Labrecque, Jordyn Moore+2.1
3116-15COLGATCOLGAT×3AceColgate+2.5
3216-16COLGATLEHIGHKillPaighton Erbset Abby Felkai+1.6
3317-16LEHIGHCOLGATServe errLehigh+1.9
3417-17COLGATLEHIGHKillPaighton Erbset Grace Slovensky+1.7
3517-18LEHIGHLEHIGHKillAlysia Fingallset Grace Slovensky+2.5
3618-18LEHIGHCOLGATKillJulia Headleyset Reagan Knipling+1.8
3718-19COLGATLEHIGH×3KillNatalie Luscombset Grace Slovensky+1.8
3818-20LEHIGHLEHIGH×3KillOlivia Laseeset Grace Slovensky+2.4
3918-21LEHIGHLEHIGH×3Attack errMorgan Reese+1.9
4019-21LEHIGHCOLGATServe errLehigh+1.0
4119-22COLGATLEHIGHServe errColgate+1.4
4220-22LEHIGHCOLGATKillCharlotte Goldfederset Ava Schabes+0.9
4320-23COLGATLEHIGHKillOlivia Laseeset Abby Felkai+1.4
4420-24LEHIGHLEHIGHAttack errTiana Owens+1.0
4521-24LEHIGHCOLGATKillTiana Owensset Ava Schabes+0.2
4621-25COLGATLEHIGHKillUfuoma Omeneset Sophia Bond+0.5
Set 3
10-1LEHIGHLEHIGHAceLehigh+0.6
20-2LEHIGHLEHIGHKillAlysia Fingallset Grace Slovensky+0.6
31-2LEHIGHCOLGATKillCharlotte Goldfederset Ava Schabes+0.4
41-3COLGATLEHIGHKillNatalie Luscombset Grace Slovensky+0.4
51-4LEHIGHLEHIGHBlockedCharlotte Goldfederblk Olivia Lasee, Alysia Fingall+0.5
62-4LEHIGHCOLGATKillTiana Owensset Ava Schabes+0.4
72-5COLGATLEHIGHAttack errTiana Owens+0.4
82-6LEHIGHLEHIGHBlockedCharlotte Goldfederblk Mary Massias, Olivia Lasee+0.5
93-6LEHIGHCOLGATKillTiana Owensset Ava Schabes+0.3
103-7COLGATLEHIGHServe errColgate+0.3
113-8LEHIGHLEHIGHBad setReagan Knipling+0.4
124-8LEHIGHCOLGATAttack errMary Massias+0.2
135-8COLGATCOLGATKillAubrey Andersset Reagan Knipling+0.5
145-9COLGATLEHIGHKillUfuoma Omeneset Abby Felkai+0.3
156-9LEHIGHCOLGATServe errLehigh+0.3
166-10COLGATLEHIGHBlockedAubrey Andersblk Paighton Erb, Mary Massias+0.4
176-11LEHIGHLEHIGHKillPaighton Erbset Grace Slovensky+0.4
187-11LEHIGHCOLGATKillAubrey Andersset Reagan Knipling+0.3
197-12COLGATLEHIGHKillNatalie Luscombset Grace Slovensky+0.3
208-12LEHIGHCOLGATKillAubrey Andersset Ava Schabes+0.3
219-12COLGATCOLGATAttack errOlivia Lasee+0.5
229-13COLGATLEHIGHKillNatalie Luscombset Grace Slovensky+0.4
239-14LEHIGHLEHIGHBlockedTiana Owensblk Olivia Lasee, Ufuoma Omene+0.4
2410-14LEHIGHCOLGATKillCharlotte Goldfederset Ava Schabes+0.2
2510-15COLGATLEHIGHKillUfuoma Omeneset Abby Felkai+0.3
2610-16LEHIGHLEHIGHAttack errCharlotte Goldfeder+0.3
2711-16LEHIGHCOLGATServe errLehigh+0.2
2811-17COLGATLEHIGHKillOlivia Laseeset Abby Felkai+0.2
2911-18LEHIGHLEHIGHBlockedTiana Owensblk Ufuoma Omene, Paighton Erb+0.2
3012-18LEHIGHCOLGATKillMorgan Reeseset Reagan Knipling+0.1
3112-19COLGATLEHIGHKillMary Massiasset Abby Felkai+0.1
3213-19LEHIGHCOLGATKillMorgan Reeseset Reagan Knipling+0.1
3313-20COLGATLEHIGHKillMary Massiasset Grace Slovensky+0.1
3413-21LEHIGHLEHIGHKillNatalie Luscomb+0.1
3514-21LEHIGHCOLGATKillMorgan Reeseset Reagan Knipling·
3615-21COLGATCOLGATKillAubrey Andersset Ava Schabes+0.1
3715-22COLGATLEHIGHKillJaidyn Garciaset Grace Slovensky+0.1
3815-23LEHIGHLEHIGHKillJaidyn Garciaset Sophia Bond·
3916-23LEHIGHCOLGATKillAubrey Andersset Ava Schabes·
4016-24COLGATLEHIGHKillJaidyn Garciaset Grace Slovensky·
4116-25LEHIGHLEHIGHAttack errAva Schabes·

Score shown after each rally, Colgate first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).