FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwayUAC-

0:3

HomeWCC

Pepperdine def. Eastern Ky. 3–0

(25-22, 25-23, 25-21)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
E KY	22	23	21	0
PEPPER	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

PEPPER above 50 · E KY below

Biggest swing: 6.5% to Pepperdine — set 1, E KY 22-23 PEPPER. Attack error by Addison Burke. PEPPER win probability 70% → 77%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

E KY 26.5%73.5% PEPPER

Eastern Ky. wins

3-0

4.8%

3-1

9.1%

3-2

12.6%

Pepperdine wins

3-0

25.9%

3-1

28.2%

3-2

19.5%

E KY break %: 40.1% vs this opp
PEPPER break %: 44.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Addison BurkeAttack error+6.5%
Attack error by Addison Burke
Set 1 · E KY 22-23 PEPPER · PEPPER 70% → 77%
02
PEPPER serverAce+5.8%
Pepperdine ace on Audrey Hudson
Set 1 · E KY 22-24 PEPPER · PEPPER 77% → 83%
03
E KY serverAce+4.7%
Eastern Ky. ace on Charis Kai
Set 1 · E KY 20-19 PEPPER · E KY 28% → 32%
04
Emma ClosurdoKill+4.5%
Kill by Emma Closurdo (set by Emilee Hill)
Set 1 · E KY 22-21 PEPPER · E KY 29% → 34%
05
Maggie BeauerKill+4.3%
Kill by Maggie Beauer (set by Tristen Raymond)
Set 2 · E KY 23-25 PEPPER · PEPPER 91% → 95%
06
Maggie BeauerKill+4.2%
Kill by Maggie Beauer (set by Tristen Raymond)
Set 1 · E KY 22-22 PEPPER · PEPPER 66% → 70%
07
Mariia Nikol DvornikovaAttack error+4.0%
Attack error by Mariia Nikol Dvornikova
Set 1 · E KY 18-17 PEPPER · E KY 27% → 31%
08
Mariia Nikol DvornikovaKill+4.0%
Kill by Mariia Nikol Dvornikova (set by Tristen Raymond)
Set 1 · E KY 18-19 PEPPER · PEPPER 71% → 75%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Eastern Ky.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
7Emilee HillS	3	15	5	32	.313	19	1	1	8	0	1	0.5	16.5
21Addison BurkeOH	3	9	7	26	.077	0	1	1	8	0	0	0	10
22Emma ClosurdoOH	3	8	2	15	.400	0	0	0	2	0	3	1.5	9.5
11Audrey HudsonOH	3	8	3	23	.217	1	0	2	4	1	0	0	8
12Caitlyn FleesMB	3	3	1	7	.286	0	1	2	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
13Alexis BullMB	3	5	0	5	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
6Cassidy TrahanDS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	1	8	0	0	0	1
10Cooper AbneyS	3	0	0	1	.000	20	0	1	7	0	0	0	0
5Emersyn RobbinsOH	1	1	0	3	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		49	18	112	.277	43	4	8	37	1	8	4	66

Pepperdinehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Chloe PravednikovOH	3	13	3	34	.294	1	0	0	2	0	1	1	1.5	14.5
18Ella PiskorzMB	3	8	3	15	.333	0	0	0	2	0	0	7	3.5	11.5
12Maggie BeauerOH	3	10	1	16	.563	1	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
22Mariia Nikol DvornikovaOH	3	6	2	19	.211	0	0	1	2	2	0	2	1	7
1Irelynd LorenzenMB	3	5	0	9	.556	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	6
9Tristen RaymondS	3	2	1	8	.125	37	0	0	2	0	0	6	3	5
21Laine BriggsL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	1	1	14	1	0	0	0	1
8Charis KaiL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	0	0
2Eliya DevL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Ryan GilhoolyOH	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0
19Ellie SandozMB	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
4Reese PoernerOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		45	10	104	.337	42	1	3	36	4	1	20	11	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 E KY · PEPPER 5

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 4 E KYPEPPER 4

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 5 E KYPEPPER 5

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 2 E KYPEPPER 4

Bars above the line = Pepperdine leads, below = Eastern Ky. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Eastern Ky.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	82%9/11	36%4/11
2	73%8/11	25%3/12
3	46%6/13	33%4/12
4	38%6/16	45%5/11
5	55%6/11	33%3/9
6	50%6/12	50%6/12
All	55%41/74	37%25/67

Pepperdine

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	75%9/12	43%6/14
2	64%9/14	18%2/11
3	86%6/7	54%7/13
4	46%6/13	54%7/13
5	75%6/8	57%8/14
6	46%6/13	33%3/9
All	63%42/67	45%33/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

141 rallies

Rally log

#	E KY-PEPPER	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Alexis Bull	set Emilee Hill	+1.6
2	1-1	E KY	PEPPER	Kill	Maggie Beauer	set Tristen Raymond	+1.5
3	2-1	PEPPER	E KY×4	Serve err	PEPPER server		+1.6
4	3-1	E KY	E KY×4	Attack err	Chloe Pravednikov	blk Caitlyn Flees, Emma Closurdo	+2.3
5	4-1	E KY	E KY×4	Kill	Addison Burke		+2.3
6	5-1	E KY	E KY×4	Ace	E KY server	aced Mariia Nikol Dvornikova	+2.3
7	5-2	E KY	PEPPER	Kill	Maggie Beauer	set Tristen Raymond	+1.5
8	5-3	PEPPER	PEPPER	Kill	Ella Piskorz		+2.2
9	6-3	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Addison Burke	set Emilee Hill	+1.8
10	7-3	E KY	E KY	Kill	Emilee Hill	set Cassidy Trahan	+2.4
11	7-4	E KY	PEPPER×4	Kill	Chloe Pravednikov	set Tristen Raymond	+1.5
12	7-5	PEPPER	PEPPER×4	Kill	Ella Piskorz	set Cooper Abney	+2.3
13	7-6	PEPPER	PEPPER×4	Attack err	Caitlyn Flees		+2.4
14	7-7	PEPPER	PEPPER×4	Attack err	Addison Burke	blk Ella Piskorz, Tristen Raymond	+2.4
15	8-7	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Addison Burke	set Cooper Abney	+1.9
16	9-7	E KY	E KY	Kill	Audrey Hudson	set Cooper Abney	+2.7
17	9-8	E KY	PEPPER	Kill	Chloe Pravednikov	set Tristen Raymond	+1.8
18	10-8	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Audrey Hudson	set Cooper Abney	+2.1
19	10-9	E KY	PEPPER	Serve err	E KY server		+1.9
20	10-10	PEPPER	PEPPER	Bad set	Cooper Abney		+2.6
21	11-10	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Emilee Hill	set Cooper Abney	+2.1
22	11-11	E KY	PEPPER	Kill	Mariia Nikol Dvornikova	set Tristen Raymond	+2.0
23	11-12	PEPPER	PEPPER	Attack err	Emma Closurdo	blk Irelynd Lorenzen, Mariia Nikol Dvornikova	+2.7
24	12-12	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Audrey Hudson	set Cassidy Trahan	+2.1
25	12-13	E KY	PEPPER	Serve err	E KY server		+2.1
26	12-14	PEPPER	PEPPER	Kill	Chloe Pravednikov	set Alexis Bull	+2.6
27	13-14	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Emma Closurdo	set Emilee Hill	+1.9
28	13-15	E KY	PEPPER	Attack err	Addison Burke		+2.0
29	14-15	PEPPER	E KY	Attack err	Chloe Pravednikov	blk Caitlyn Flees, Emma Closurdo	+2.0
30	14-16	E KY	PEPPER	Kill	Maggie Beauer	set Tristen Raymond	+2.1
31	15-16	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Emilee Hill	set Cooper Abney	+2.0
32	15-17	E KY	PEPPER	Kill	Tristen Raymond	set Ryan Gilhooly	+2.2
33	16-17	PEPPER	E KY×3	Serve err	PEPPER server		+2.1
34	17-17	E KY	E KY×3	Kill	Audrey Hudson	set Audrey Hudson	+3.5
35	18-17	E KY	E KY×3	Attack err	Mariia Nikol Dvornikova		+4.0
36	18-18	E KY	PEPPER	Serve err	E KY server		+2.8
37	18-19	PEPPER	PEPPER	Kill	Mariia Nikol Dvornikova	set Tristen Raymond	+4.0
38	19-19	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Emilee Hill	set Cooper Abney	+3.0
39	20-19	E KY	E KY	Ace	E KY server	aced Charis Kai	+4.7
40	20-20	E KY	PEPPER	Kill	Irelynd Lorenzen	set Tristen Raymond	+3.3
41	21-20	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Alexis Bull	set Emilee Hill	+3.9
42	21-21	E KY	PEPPER	Kill	Irelynd Lorenzen	set Tristen Raymond	+3.7
43	22-21	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Emma Closurdo	set Emilee Hill	+4.5
44	22-22	E KY	PEPPER×4	Kill	Maggie Beauer	set Tristen Raymond	+4.2
45	22-23	PEPPER	PEPPER×4	Attack err	Addison Burke		+6.5
46	22-24	PEPPER	PEPPER×4	Ace	PEPPER server	aced Audrey Hudson	+5.8
47	22-25	PEPPER	PEPPER×4	Bad set	Emilee Hill		+3.0
Set 2
1	0-1	E KY	PEPPER	Kill	Maggie Beauer	set Tristen Raymond	+1.1
2	1-1	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Emma Closurdo	set Emilee Hill	+1.2
3	1-2	E KY	PEPPER	Kill	Chloe Pravednikov	set Tristen Raymond	+1.2
4	1-3	PEPPER	PEPPER	Kill	Ella Piskorz	set Tristen Raymond	+1.5
5	2-3	PEPPER	E KY	Serve err	PEPPER server		+1.1
6	2-4	E KY	PEPPER	Kill	Maggie Beauer	set Tristen Raymond	+1.1
7	2-5	PEPPER	PEPPER	Attack err	Audrey Hudson	blk Tristen Raymond, Ella Piskorz	+1.4
8	3-5	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Caitlyn Flees	set Emilee Hill	+1.0
9	3-6	E KY	PEPPER	Kill	Chloe Pravednikov	set Tristen Raymond	+1.1
10	3-7	PEPPER	PEPPER	Attack err	Audrey Hudson		+1.3
11	4-7	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Caitlyn Flees	set Cooper Abney	+0.9
12	4-8	E KY	PEPPER	Serve err	E KY server		+0.9
13	4-9	PEPPER	PEPPER	Attack err	Emilee Hill	blk Irelynd Lorenzen, Mariia Nikol Dvornikova	+1.1
14	5-9	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Addison Burke	set Cooper Abney	+0.7
15	5-10	E KY	PEPPER	Kill	Mariia Nikol Dvornikova	set Tristen Raymond	+0.8
16	6-10	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Emilee Hill	set Cooper Abney	+0.7
17	6-11	E KY	PEPPER	Kill	Maggie Beauer	set Tristen Raymond	+0.8
18	7-11	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Alexis Bull	set Emilee Hill	+0.7
19	7-12	E KY	PEPPER	Kill	Irelynd Lorenzen	set Tristen Raymond	+0.8
20	8-12	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Alexis Bull	set Emilee Hill	+0.7
21	8-13	E KY	PEPPER	Kill	Chloe Pravednikov	set Tristen Raymond	+0.8
22	9-13	PEPPER	E KY×5	Kill	Audrey Hudson	set Emilee Hill	+0.7
23	10-13	E KY	E KY×5	Attack err	Ella Piskorz		+1.2
24	11-13	E KY	E KY×5	Kill	Emilee Hill	set Cooper Abney	+1.6
25	12-13	E KY	E KY×5	Kill	Emilee Hill	set Cooper Abney	+2.0
26	13-13	E KY	E KY×5	Attack err	Ella Piskorz		+2.3
27	13-14	E KY	PEPPER×4	Serve err	E KY server		+1.7
28	13-15	PEPPER	PEPPER×4	Kill	Ella Piskorz	set Tristen Raymond	+2.2
29	13-16	PEPPER	PEPPER×4	Attack err	Audrey Hudson	blk Tristen Raymond, Ella Piskorz	+1.9
30	13-17	PEPPER	PEPPER×4	Kill	Ella Piskorz	set Tristen Raymond	+1.6
31	14-17	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Emilee Hill	set Cooper Abney	+0.9
32	14-18	E KY	PEPPER	Kill	Ella Piskorz	set Tristen Raymond	+1.2
33	15-18	PEPPER	E KY×5	Kill	Emilee Hill	set Cooper Abney	+0.9
34	16-18	E KY	E KY×5	Kill	Emilee Hill	set Audrey Hudson	+1.8
35	17-18	E KY	E KY×5	Kill	Emilee Hill	set Charis Kai	+2.4
36	18-18	E KY	E KY×5	Kill	Emilee Hill	set Cooper Abney	+3.0
37	19-18	E KY	E KY×5	Ace	E KY server	aced Laine Briggs	+3.5
38	19-19	E KY	PEPPER×5	Kill	Mariia Nikol Dvornikova	set Tristen Raymond	+2.4
39	19-20	PEPPER	PEPPER×5	Attack err	Addison Burke	blk Maggie Beauer, Ellie Sandoz	+3.5
40	19-21	PEPPER	PEPPER×5	Kill	Maggie Beauer	set Tristen Raymond	+3.2
41	19-22	PEPPER	PEPPER×5	Attack err	Emilee Hill		+2.5
42	19-23	PEPPER	PEPPER×5	Kill	Mariia Nikol Dvornikova	set Tristen Raymond	+1.6
43	20-23	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Addison Burke	set Cooper Abney	+0.6
44	21-23	E KY	E KY	Attack err	Maggie Beauer		+1.5
45	21-24	E KY	PEPPER	Kill	Ellie Sandoz	set Tristen Raymond	+1.9
46	22-24	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Audrey Hudson	set Emilee Hill	+0.8
47	23-24	E KY	E KY	Kill	Audrey Hudson	set Emilee Hill	+2.6
48	23-25	E KY	PEPPER	Kill	Maggie Beauer	set Tristen Raymond	+4.3
Set 3
1	1-0	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Alexis Bull	set Emilee Hill	+0.7
2	1-1	E KY	PEPPER	Kill	Maggie Beauer	set Tristen Raymond	+0.6
3	2-1	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Addison Burke	set Emilee Hill	+0.7
4	2-2	E KY	PEPPER	Serve err	E KY server		+0.7
5	3-2	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Emma Closurdo	set Emilee Hill	+0.7
6	3-3	E KY	PEPPER	Kill	Chloe Pravednikov	set Tristen Raymond	+0.7
7	4-3	PEPPER	E KY	Attack err	Ella Piskorz		+0.7
8	5-3	E KY	E KY	Kill	Addison Burke	set Cooper Abney	+1.0
9	5-4	E KY	PEPPER	Kill	Chloe Pravednikov	set Tristen Raymond	+0.7
10	5-5	PEPPER	PEPPER	Attack err	Addison Burke	blk Tristen Raymond, Ella Piskorz	+1.0
11	6-5	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Emilee Hill	set Cooper Abney	+0.8
12	6-6	E KY	PEPPER	Attack err	Addison Burke	blk Ella Piskorz, Tristen Raymond	+0.7
13	7-6	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Addison Burke	set Cooper Abney	+0.8
14	8-6	E KY	E KY	Attack err	Mariia Nikol Dvornikova	blk Alexis Bull, Emma Closurdo	+1.1
15	8-7	E KY	PEPPER	Serve err	E KY server		+0.8
16	8-8	PEPPER	PEPPER	Bad set	Emilee Hill		+1.1
17	9-8	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Addison Burke	set Emilee Hill	+0.8
18	10-8	E KY	E KY	Kill	Audrey Hudson		+1.2
19	10-9	E KY	PEPPER	Serve err	E KY server		+0.8
20	11-9	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Emma Closurdo	set Emilee Hill	+0.9
21	12-9	E KY	E KY	Kill	Emma Closurdo	set Emilee Hill	+1.2
22	12-10	E KY	PEPPER×3	Kill	Chloe Pravednikov	set Tristen Raymond	+0.8
23	12-11	PEPPER	PEPPER×3	Kill	Chloe Pravednikov	set Tristen Raymond	+1.2
24	12-12	PEPPER	PEPPER×3	Kill	Tristen Raymond	set Chloe Pravednikov	+1.2
25	13-12	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Caitlyn Flees	set Emilee Hill	+1.0
26	13-13	E KY	PEPPER×4	Attack err	Emilee Hill		+0.9
27	13-14	PEPPER	PEPPER×4	Attack err	Emilee Hill	blk Ella Piskorz, Chloe Pravednikov	+1.3
28	13-15	PEPPER	PEPPER×4	Kill	Chloe Pravednikov	set Ryan Gilhooly	+1.2
29	13-16	PEPPER	PEPPER×4	Kill	Chloe Pravednikov	set Ryan Gilhooly	+1.0
30	14-16	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Emilee Hill	set Cooper Abney	+0.7
31	15-16	E KY	E KY	Attack err	Chloe Pravednikov	blk Emilee Hill, Caitlyn Flees	+1.2
32	15-17	E KY	PEPPER×4	Kill	Chloe Pravednikov	set Tristen Raymond	+0.9
33	15-18	PEPPER	PEPPER×4	Kill	Ella Piskorz	set Tristen Raymond	+1.1
34	15-19	PEPPER	PEPPER×4	Attack err	Addison Burke	blk Tristen Raymond, Ella Piskorz	+0.9
35	15-20	PEPPER	PEPPER×4	Attack err	Emilee Hill		+0.6
36	16-20	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Emilee Hill	set Cooper Abney	+0.3
37	16-21	E KY	PEPPER	Kill	Ella Piskorz	set Tristen Raymond	+0.4
38	17-21	PEPPER	E KY	Attack err	Tristen Raymond		+0.3
39	18-21	E KY	E KY	Kill	Emersyn Robbins	set Cassidy Trahan	+0.6
40	18-22	E KY	PEPPER	Kill	Mariia Nikol Dvornikova	set Maggie Beauer	+0.6
41	19-22	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Emma Closurdo	set Emilee Hill	+0.4
42	20-22	E KY	E KY	Ace	E KY server	aced Mariia Nikol Dvornikova	+0.9
43	20-23	E KY	PEPPER	Kill	Irelynd Lorenzen	set Tristen Raymond	+1.0
44	20-24	PEPPER	PEPPER	Kill	Irelynd Lorenzen	set Tristen Raymond	+0.7
45	21-24	PEPPER	E KY	Kill	Emma Closurdo	set Emilee Hill	+0.2
46	21-25	E KY	PEPPER	Attack err	Emma Closurdo	blk Chloe Pravednikov	+0.4

Score shown after each rally, Eastern Ky. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.