Final · 4 setsWed, Oct 28, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Colgate def. Binghamton 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Colgate 65.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 28, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Colgate beat visiting Binghamton 3-1 (25-8, 25-17, 21-25, 25-19) on Wed, Oct 28, 2026. Colgate's Tiana Owens led with 21 kills, and Ava Schabes added 18 digs.

Data through · final Oct 28

Set1234Sets
BINGHA81725191
COLGAT252521253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

A 7–0 run in the first set broke it open for Colgate.

No single rally moved win probability more than 2.9 points. Binghamton peaked at 32% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Colgate went in as RallyIQ's 65% pick.

BinghamtonColgate
  • Break %+17.2 pts
    38.655.8

    Points won on own serve: 53 of 95 vs 27 of 70. Binghamton sided out 44.2% of the time.

  • Hitting+.252
    .092.344

    62 K / 20 E against 34 K / 23 E.

  • Longest run+-2
    97

    Up 5–1 in the first set, Colgate scored 7 straight to make it 12–1. The set finished 25–8.

Colgate above 50Binghamton belowMax swing 2.9%

BinghamtonColgate

Aces
Binghamton 5·Colgate 7
Serve err
Binghamton 3·Colgate 10
Blocks
Binghamton 8·Colgate 102 BS · 12 BA vs 1 BS · 18 BA
Digs
Binghamton 38·Colgate 51

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Colgate above 50 · Binghamton below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+2.9% BINGHArally 165 · set 4

Biggest swing: 2.9% to Binghamton — set 4, BINGHA 3-3 COLGAT. Attack error by Tiana Owens. COLGAT win probability 85% → 82%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BINGHA 28.2%71.8% COLGAT

Binghamton wins

3-0
5.2%
3-1
9.8%
3-2
13.1%

Colgate wins

3-0
24.6%
3-1
27.5%
3-2
19.7%
BINGHA break %
40.4% vs this opp
COLGAT break %
44.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Tiana OwensAttack error+2.9%

    Attack error by Tiana Owens

    Set 4 · BINGHA 3-3 COLGAT · BINGHA 15% → 18%

  2. 02

    Kill by Magi Milicevic (set by Regan Kadel)

    Set 4 · BINGHA 6-7 COLGAT · BINGHA 12% → 15%

  3. 03
    Magi MilicevicAttack error+2.9%

    Attack error by Magi Milicevic

    Set 4 · BINGHA 7-10 COLGAT · COLGAT 88% → 91%

  4. 04

    Kill by Magi Milicevic (set by Regan Kadel)

    Set 3 · BINGHA 22-20 COLGAT · BINGHA 10% → 13%

  5. 05
    Haiden FuhrmannAttack error+2.8%

    Attack error by Haiden Fuhrmann

    Set 4 · BINGHA 3-5 COLGAT · COLGAT 85% → 87%

  6. 06

    Kill by Maya Coblentz-Brown (set by Regan Kadel)

    Set 3 · BINGHA 21-20 COLGAT · BINGHA 8% → 10%

  7. 07
    Magi MilicevicAttack error+2.6%

    Attack error by Magi Milicevic

    Set 4 · BINGHA 0-2 COLGAT · COLGAT 85% → 87%

  8. 08

    Haiden Fuhrmann stuffed by Morgan Reese & Stella Labrecque

    Set 4 · BINGHA 3-6 COLGAT · COLGAT 87% → 90%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413841.12222080031.516.5
45311.18200010010.55.5
4113.000260150212.53.5
31411-.273010200002
2002.000000000000
1023-.667000000000
48123.30400000010.58.5
4118.000011710002
4000–2011140000
3208.25000000052.54.5
3000–310300001
2226.000000000002
2113.00000010010.51.5
1000–000000000
Team totals3423119.0923353387212869
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
421536.44400031010.521.5
419331.51611232010.520.5
414325.44000030031.515.5
4205.40003230132.57.5
44310.100000000637
4000–31321800003
42513-.231000000213
4001.0001702700000
4000–1002900000
4000–100510000
1011-1.000000000211
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals6220122.344607105151181096

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 BINGHA · COLGAT 7

Set 1

8-25

Longest run 1 BINGHACOLGAT 7

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 4 BINGHACOLGAT 5

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 9 BINGHACOLGAT 3

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 4 BINGHACOLGAT 5

Bars above the line = Colgate leads, below = Binghamton leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Binghamton

SlotSideout %Break %
1
32%9/28
61%11/18
2
42%8/19
11%1/9
3
54%7/13
38%5/13
4
58%7/12
42%5/12
5
40%6/15
13%1/8
6
63%5/8
40%4/10
All
44%42/95
39%27/70

Colgate

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
65%13/20
2
89%8/9
68%17/25
3
58%7/12
36%4/11
4
64%7/11
50%7/14
5
78%7/9
22%2/9
6
35%6/17
63%10/16
All
61%43/70
56%53/95

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

165 rallies

#BINGHA-COLGATSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1COLGATCOLGAT×5KillNina Gannonset Ava Schabes+2.2
20-2COLGATCOLGAT×5AceAva Schabesaced Eve Roman+2.2
30-3COLGATCOLGAT×5BlockedEleanor Dorritieblk Jordyn Moore, Nina Gannon+2.0
40-4COLGATCOLGAT×5AceAva Schabesaced Eve Roman+1.8
50-5COLGATCOLGAT×5Attack errMagi Milicevic+1.6
61-5COLGATBINGHAServe errAva Schabes+1.0
71-6BINGHACOLGAT×7KillAubrey Andersset Ava Schabes+1.2
81-7COLGATCOLGAT×7Attack errMarta Gintere+1.3
91-8COLGATCOLGAT×7KillTiana Owensset Ava Schabes+1.1
101-9COLGATCOLGAT×7KillJordyn Mooreset Ava Schabes+0.8
111-10COLGATCOLGAT×7KillJordyn Mooreset Ava Schabes+0.6
121-11COLGATCOLGAT×7BlockedMarta Gintereblk Jordyn Moore, Nina Gannon+0.4
131-12COLGATCOLGAT×7KillTiana Owensset Hannah Langton+0.3
142-12COLGATBINGHAKillFrancesca Pierdonatiset Regan Kadel+0.1
152-13BINGHACOLGAT×3KillTiana Owensset Ava Schabes+0.2
162-14COLGATCOLGAT×3Attack errEleanor Dorritie+0.2
172-15COLGATCOLGAT×3KillJordyn Mooreset Ava Schabes+0.1
183-15COLGATBINGHAServe errHannah Langton·
193-16BINGHACOLGATKillTiana Owensset Hannah Langton+0.1
203-17COLGATCOLGATAttack errMarta Gintere·
214-17COLGATBINGHAKillMaya Coblentz-Brownset Maia Marin·
224-18BINGHACOLGATKillTiana Owensset Reagan Knipling·
235-18COLGATBINGHAKillMagi Milicevicset Maia Marin·
245-19BINGHACOLGATKillStella Labrecqueset Reagan Knipling·
256-19COLGATBINGHAServe errStella Labrecque·
266-20BINGHACOLGAT×4Attack errMagi Milicevic·
276-21COLGATCOLGAT×4AceAva Schabesaced Eve Roman·
286-22COLGATCOLGAT×4BlockedFrancesca Pierdonatiblk Aubrey Anders, Nina Gannon·
296-23COLGATCOLGAT×4KillAubrey Andersset Ava Schabes·
307-23COLGATBINGHAKillFrancesca Pierdonatiset Regan Kadel·
317-24BINGHACOLGATAttack errSophia Christoffers·
328-24COLGATBINGHAKillFrancesca Pierdonatiset Regan Kadel·
338-25BINGHACOLGATKillTiana Owensset Ava Schabes·
Set 2
10-1BINGHACOLGAT×5KillAubrey Andersset Ava Schabes+1.4
20-2COLGATCOLGAT×5KillTiana Owensset Aubrey Anders+1.9
30-3COLGATCOLGAT×5AceAubrey Andersaced Eve Roman+1.7
40-4COLGATCOLGAT×5BlockedBriana Binagiblk Jordyn Moore, Nina Gannon+1.6
50-5COLGATCOLGAT×5KillTiana Owensset Hannah Langton+1.4
61-5COLGATBINGHAAttack errTiana Owens+0.9
71-6BINGHACOLGATKillJordyn Mooreset Hannah Langton+1.0
81-7COLGATCOLGATKillAubrey Andersset Ava Schabes+1.2
92-7COLGATBINGHAKillMaya Coblentz-Brownset Regan Kadel+0.7
102-8BINGHACOLGATKillJordyn Mooreset Ava Schabes+0.9
113-8COLGATBINGHAKillRegan Kadelset Magi Milicevic+0.7
124-8BINGHABINGHAAceBriana Binagi+1.2
134-9BINGHACOLGATKillTiana Owensset Reagan Knipling+1.1
145-9COLGATBINGHAKillMagi Milicevicset Regan Kadel+0.9
155-10BINGHACOLGAT×3KillAubrey Anders+1.1
165-11COLGATCOLGAT×3BlockedMagi Milicevicblk Nina Gannon, Morgan Reese+1.2
175-12COLGATCOLGAT×3KillMorgan Reeseset Reagan Knipling+0.9
186-12COLGATBINGHAServe errStella Labrecque+0.5
196-13BINGHACOLGAT×3KillNina Gannonset Reagan Knipling+0.6
206-14COLGATCOLGAT×3KillAubrey Andersset Ava Schabes+0.6
216-15COLGATCOLGAT×3KillNina Gannonset Ava Schabes+0.4
227-15COLGATBINGHA×4KillMaya Coblentz-Brownset Eve Roman+0.2
238-15BINGHABINGHA×4AceMagi Milicevicaced Sydney Raszewski+0.4
249-15BINGHABINGHA×4AceMagi Milicevicaced Aubrey Anders+0.6
2510-15BINGHABINGHA×4Attack errJordyn Moore+0.9
2610-16BINGHACOLGAT×3KillAubrey Andersset Ava Schabes+0.8
2710-17COLGATCOLGAT×3KillTiana Owensset Ava Schabes+0.8
2810-18COLGATCOLGAT×3KillTiana Owensset Hannah Langton+0.5
2911-18COLGATBINGHAKillBriana Binagiset Regan Kadel+0.2
3011-19BINGHACOLGATKillJordyn Mooreset Ava Schabes+0.3
3112-19COLGATBINGHAAttack errTiana Owens+0.2
3213-19BINGHABINGHAAceMarta Gintereaced Tiana Owens+0.4
3313-20BINGHACOLGATKillTiana Owensset Ava Schabes+0.4
3413-21COLGATCOLGATKillTiana Owensset Hannah Langton+0.3
3514-21COLGATBINGHAAttack errMorgan Reese+0.1
3615-21BINGHABINGHAKillMagi Milicevicset Regan Kadel+0.3
3715-22BINGHACOLGAT×3KillMorgan Reeseset Reagan Knipling+0.3
3815-23COLGATCOLGAT×3KillAubrey Andersset Sydney Raszewski+0.2
3915-24COLGATCOLGAT×3Bad setRegan Kadel·
4016-24COLGATBINGHAKillFrancesca Pierdonatiset Regan Kadel·
4117-24BINGHABINGHAAttack errAubrey Anders·
4217-25BINGHACOLGATKillStella Labrecqueset Reagan Knipling·
Set 3
10-1COLGATCOLGAT×3KillNina Gannonset Ava Schabes+1.1
20-2COLGATCOLGAT×3KillAubrey Andersset Hannah Langton+1.1
30-3COLGATCOLGAT×3KillJordyn Mooreset Ava Schabes+1.0
41-3COLGATBINGHAServe errAva Schabes+0.7
52-3BINGHABINGHAKillMaya Coblentz-Brownset Regan Kadel+1.1
62-4BINGHACOLGAT×3KillAubrey Andersset Ava Schabes+0.8
72-5COLGATCOLGAT×3KillJordyn Mooreset Eve Roman+1.0
82-6COLGATCOLGAT×3KillJordyn Mooreset Hannah Langton+0.9
93-6COLGATBINGHAServe errAubrey Anders+0.6
104-6BINGHABINGHAKillMarta Gintereset Regan Kadel+1.0
114-7BINGHACOLGATServe errEve Roman+0.8
125-7COLGATBINGHAKillMaya Coblentz-Brownset Regan Kadel+0.8
135-8BINGHACOLGAT×3KillJordyn Mooreset Ava Schabes+0.8
145-9COLGATCOLGAT×3BlockedFrancesca Pierdonatiblk Tiana Owens, Stella Labrecque+1.0
155-10COLGATCOLGAT×3Attack errFrancesca Pierdonati+0.8
166-10COLGATBINGHAServe errReagan Knipling+0.5
176-11BINGHACOLGATKillTiana Owensset Reagan Knipling+0.6
187-11COLGATBINGHAKillMagi Milicevicset Regan Kadel+0.5
197-12BINGHACOLGATKillAubrey Andersset Reagan Knipling+0.6
207-13COLGATCOLGATAttack errMagi Milicevic+0.7
218-13COLGATBINGHABlockedMorgan Reeseblk Regan Kadel+0.4
228-14BINGHACOLGATServe errRegan Kadel+0.5
239-14COLGATBINGHAAttack errJordyn Moore+0.4
249-15BINGHACOLGATAttack errMarta Gintere+0.5
259-16COLGATCOLGATKillTiana Owensset Hannah Langton+0.5
2610-16COLGATBINGHAKillHaiden Fuhrmannset Regan Kadel+0.2
2710-17BINGHACOLGATKillTiana Owensset Ava Schabes+0.3
2811-17COLGATBINGHAKillMagi Milicevicset Regan Kadel+0.2
2912-17BINGHABINGHAAttack errJordyn Moore+0.4
3012-18BINGHACOLGATKillTiana Owensset Ava Schabes+0.4
3113-18COLGATBINGHAKillHaiden Fuhrmannset Magi Milicevic+0.3
3213-19BINGHACOLGATServe errBriana Binagi+0.4
3314-19COLGATBINGHAKillFrancesca Pierdonatiset Regan Kadel+0.3
3415-19BINGHABINGHAAttack errMorgan Reese+0.6
3515-20BINGHACOLGATKillAubrey Andersset Reagan Knipling+0.6
3616-20COLGATBINGHA×9BlockedAubrey Andersblk Regan Kadel, Sydney Geselbracht+0.4
3717-20BINGHABINGHA×9Attack errNina Gannon+0.8
3818-20BINGHABINGHA×9BlockedMorgan Reeseblk Sydney Geselbracht, Magi Milicevic+1.3
3919-20BINGHABINGHA×9BlockedAubrey Andersblk Sydney Geselbracht, Maya Coblentz-Brown+1.8
4020-20BINGHABINGHA×9KillMagi Milicevicset Eve Roman+2.4
4121-20BINGHABINGHA×9KillMaya Coblentz-Brownset Regan Kadel+2.8
4222-20BINGHABINGHA×9KillMagi Milicevicset Regan Kadel+2.8
4323-20BINGHABINGHA×9BlockedNina Gannonblk Sydney Geselbracht, Magi Milicevic+2.3
4424-20BINGHABINGHA×9BlockedMorgan Reeseblk Magi Milicevic, Sydney Geselbracht+1.4
4524-21BINGHACOLGATKillAubrey Andersset Reagan Knipling+0.3
4625-21COLGATBINGHAKillMagi Milicevicset Regan Kadel+0.7
Set 4
10-1BINGHACOLGATKillAubrey Andersset Ava Schabes+2.0
20-2COLGATCOLGATAttack errMagi Milicevic+2.6
31-2COLGATBINGHAServe errColgate+1.9
41-3BINGHACOLGATKillJordyn Mooreset Ava Schabes+2.0
52-3COLGATBINGHAServe errColgate+2.0
63-3BINGHABINGHAAttack errTiana Owens+2.9
73-4BINGHACOLGAT×4BlockedRegan Kadelblk Stella Labrecque+2.1
83-5COLGATCOLGAT×4Attack errHaiden Fuhrmann+2.8
93-6COLGATCOLGAT×4BlockedHaiden Fuhrmannblk Morgan Reese, Stella Labrecque+2.6
103-7COLGATCOLGAT×4KillTiana Owensset Hannah Langton+2.3
114-7COLGATBINGHA×3Serve errReagan Knipling+1.6
125-7BINGHABINGHA×3Attack errTiana Owens+2.5
136-7BINGHABINGHA×3KillMagi Milicevicset Regan Kadel+2.9
146-8BINGHACOLGATKillTiana Owensset Reagan Knipling+2.2
157-8COLGATBINGHAKillMagi Milicevicset Regan Kadel+2.2
167-9BINGHACOLGAT×5BlockedMagi Milicevicblk Stella Labrecque, Charlotte Goldfeder+2.3
177-10COLGATCOLGAT×5Attack errMagi Milicevic+2.9
187-11COLGATCOLGAT×5AceStella Labrecque+2.5
197-12COLGATCOLGAT×5AceStella Labrecqueaced Briana Binagi+2.1
207-13COLGATCOLGAT×5BlockedMagi Milicevicblk Charlotte Goldfeder, Nina Gannon+1.7
218-13COLGATBINGHABlockedNina Gannonblk Regan Kadel+1.0
228-14BINGHACOLGATKillAubrey Andersset Reagan Knipling+1.2
239-14COLGATBINGHAKillSydney Geselbrachtset Regan Kadel+0.9
249-15BINGHACOLGATKillAubrey Andersset Ava Schabes+1.2
259-16COLGATCOLGATKillJordyn Mooreset Ava Schabes+1.2
2610-16COLGATBINGHAKillSydney Geselbrachtset Regan Kadel+0.6
2710-17BINGHACOLGATKillJordyn Mooreset Ava Schabes+0.8
2810-18COLGATCOLGATKillTiana Owensset Ava Schabes+0.7
2911-18COLGATBINGHA×3KillMaya Coblentz-Brownset Regan Kadel+0.3
3012-18BINGHABINGHA×3KillSophia Christoffersset Regan Kadel+0.6
3113-18BINGHABINGHA×3AceMaia Marinaced Aubrey Anders+1.0
3213-19BINGHACOLGATKillJordyn Mooreset Ava Schabes+1.1
3314-19COLGATBINGHABlockedCharlotte Goldfederblk Sophia Christoffers, Francesca Pierdonati+0.7
3414-20BINGHACOLGATKillTiana Owensset Reagan Knipling+1.0
3515-20COLGATBINGHAKillMagi Milicevicset Regan Kadel+0.6
3615-21BINGHACOLGAT×4KillAubrey Andersset Reagan Knipling+0.9
3715-22COLGATCOLGAT×4AceStella Labrecque+0.6
3815-23COLGATCOLGAT×4KillAubrey Andersset Reagan Knipling+0.2
3915-24COLGATCOLGAT×4KillAubrey Andersset Reagan Knipling+0.1
4016-24COLGATBINGHA×4KillMagi Milicevicset Maia Marin·
4117-24BINGHABINGHA×4KillMaya Coblentz-Brownset Regan Kadel·
4218-24BINGHABINGHA×4KillMagi Milicevicset Regan Kadel+0.1
4319-24BINGHABINGHA×4Attack errTiana Owens+0.1
4419-25BINGHACOLGATAttack errMaya Coblentz-Brown+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Binghamton first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).