Final · 4 setsSat, Nov 7, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Bucknell def. Colgate 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Colgate 81.6% · upsetLocked before first serve (Nov 7, 2:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Bucknell won at Colgate 3-1 (25-21, 14-25, 25-21, 25-21) on Sat, Nov 7, 2026. Marion Haskell led Bucknell with 15 kills; Colgate's Tiana Owens had a match-high 21.

Data through · final Nov 7

Set1234Sets
BUCKNL251425253
COLGAT212521211

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Marion Haskell hit .464 on 28 swings as Bucknell edged Colgate.

The match turned twice. Numbers are Bucknell's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Colgate went in at 82% by RallyIQ.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Bucknell 15–18 Colgate

    From here Bucknell won 10 of 13 rallies to take the set 25–21.

    Bucknell 13% → 38%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Bucknell 0–1 Colgate

    Bucknell scored 4 straight to turn a 0–1 deficit into a 4–1 lead.

    Bucknell 52% → 68%

Colgate above 50Bucknell belowMax swing 7.7%

BucknellColgate

Sideout %
Bucknell 62.9·Colgate 62.5
Break %
Bucknell 37.5·Colgate 37.1
Hitting
Bucknell .239·Colgate .281
Longest run
Bucknell 4·Colgate 4

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Colgate above 50 · Bucknell below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+7.7% BUCKNLrally 177 · set 4

Biggest swing: 7.7% to Bucknell — set 4, BUCKNL 24-21 COLGAT. Kill by Marion Haskell (set by Peyton McGee). COLGAT win probability 12% → 4%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BUCKNL 20.3%79.7% COLGAT

Bucknell wins

3-0
3.3%
3-1
6.8%
3-2
10.2%

Colgate wins

3-0
31.3%
3-1
30.1%
3-2
18.3%
BUCKNL break %
38.6% vs this opp
COLGAT break %
44.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Marion Haskell (set by Peyton McGee)

    Set 4 · BUCKNL 24-21 COLGAT · BUCKNL 88% → 96%

  2. 02
    Morgan ReeseKill+5.5%

    Kill by Morgan Reese (set by Deren Cukur)

    Set 4 · BUCKNL 23-21 COLGAT · COLGAT 7% → 12%

  3. 03
    Klea TarjaKill+5.1%

    Kill by Klea Tarja (set by Isabella Charlton)

    Set 4 · BUCKNL 7-3 COLGAT · BUCKNL 69% → 74%

  4. 04
    Cameron LloydKill+5.1%

    Kill by Cameron Lloyd (set by Peyton McGee)

    Set 4 · BUCKNL 23-19 COLGAT · BUCKNL 90% → 96%

  5. 05

    Kill by Sidney Shaffer (set by Peyton McGee)

    Set 4 · BUCKNL 8-3 COLGAT · BUCKNL 74% → 79%

  6. 06
    BucknellAce+4.8%

    Bucknell ace

    Set 4 · BUCKNL 4-1 COLGAT · BUCKNL 63% → 68%

  7. 07

    Kill by Marion Haskell (set by Peyton McGee)

    Set 4 · BUCKNL 12-6 COLGAT · BUCKNL 82% → 87%

  8. 08
    Klea TarjaKill+4.7%

    Kill by Klea Tarja (set by Peyton McGee)

    Set 4 · BUCKNL 16-10 COLGAT · BUCKNL 86% → 91%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415228.4640003002116
412545.1560219000014
411325.32000240031.512.5
412644.13610116000012
4226.0004313130031.54.5
2217.14300010010.52.5
4000–9221700002
4000–110510001
2203.66700020010.52.5
11011.000000000001
1000–000000000
Team totals5719159.2395469701010589
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
421647.3192126300022
415548.20800391031.516.5
45110.40000000153.58.5
46120.250000200428
4207.28600210031.53.5
4001.00023031300000
49220.35010040010.59.5
4000–5002800000
4000–1901600000
2000–000100000
2000–000000000
1000–500100000
Team totals5815153.28155111716116988

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Bucknell vs Colgate

Season series · Bucknell leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 BUCKNL · COLGAT 4

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 3 BUCKNLCOLGAT 4

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 2 BUCKNLCOLGAT 4

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 3 BUCKNLCOLGAT 3

Set 4

25-21

Longest run 4 BUCKNLCOLGAT 3

Bars above the line = Colgate leads, below = Bucknell leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Bucknell

SlotSideout %Break %
1
79%11/14
44%7/16
2
73%11/15
42%8/19
3
56%9/16
36%5/14
4
60%9/15
44%7/16
5
56%9/16
10%1/10
6
54%7/13
38%5/13
All
63%56/89
38%33/88

Colgate

SlotSideout %Break %
1
58%11/19
44%7/16
2
59%10/17
27%4/15
3
69%9/13
29%4/14
4
64%9/14
40%6/15
5
80%8/10
57%12/21
6
53%8/15
0%0/8
All
63%55/88
37%33/89

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

177 rallies

#BUCKNL-COLGATSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0COLGATBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Katie O'Sullivan+1.3
21-1BUCKNLCOLGATKillTiana Owensset Ava Schabes+1.2
32-1COLGATBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Katie O'Sullivan+1.3
43-1BUCKNLBUCKNLAttack errAubrey Anders+2.0
53-2BUCKNLCOLGATBlockedSidney Shafferblk Nina Gannon+1.3
64-2COLGATBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+1.5
75-2BUCKNLBUCKNLBlockedAubrey Andersblk Peyton McGee, Sidney Shaffer+2.1
85-3BUCKNLCOLGATKillAubrey Andersset Ava Schabes+1.4
96-3COLGATBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+1.6
107-3BUCKNLBUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+2.2
117-4BUCKNLCOLGATBad setPeyton McGee+1.3
128-4COLGATBUCKNLKillPeyton McGeeset Cameron Lloyd+1.7
138-5BUCKNLCOLGATKillTiana Owensset Reagan Knipling+1.4
149-5COLGATBUCKNLServe errJulia Headley+1.7
1510-5BUCKNLBUCKNLBlockedTiana Owensblk Stephanie Eroh, Marion Haskell+2.2
1610-6BUCKNLCOLGATKillMorgan Reeseset Reagan Knipling+1.3
1710-7COLGATCOLGATKillTiana Owens+2.0
1811-7COLGATBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+1.8
1911-8BUCKNLCOLGAT×3BlockedCameron Lloydblk Jordyn Moore, Nina Gannon+1.4
2011-9COLGATCOLGAT×3Attack errCameron Lloyd+2.2
2111-10COLGATCOLGAT×3KillTiana Owensset Ava Schabes+2.3
2212-10COLGATBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+1.9
2312-11BUCKNLCOLGAT×3KillJordyn Mooreset Ava Schabes+1.7
2412-12COLGATCOLGAT×3KillTiana Owensset Hannah Langton+2.4
2512-13COLGATCOLGAT×3KillAubrey Andersset Ava Schabes+2.3
2613-13COLGATBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+1.8
2714-13BUCKNLBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+2.7
2814-14BUCKNLCOLGATKillAubrey Andersset Ava Schabes+1.9
2915-14COLGATBUCKNLKillKlea Tarja+2.1
3015-15BUCKNLCOLGAT×4KillMorgan Reeseset Reagan Knipling+2.0
3115-16COLGATCOLGAT×4BlockedKlea Tarjablk Morgan Reese, Julia Headley+2.7
3215-17COLGATCOLGAT×4KillTiana Owensset Reagan Knipling+2.5
3315-18COLGATCOLGAT×4KillTiana Owensset Reagan Knipling+2.1
3416-18COLGATBUCKNL×3Serve errAubrey Anders+1.3
3517-18BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillKlea Tarjaset Katie O'Sullivan+2.4
3618-18BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+3.1
3718-19BUCKNLCOLGATServe errBucknell+2.4
3819-19COLGATBUCKNL×3KillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+2.5
3920-19BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+4.1
4021-19BUCKNLBUCKNL×3AceBucknell+4.4
4121-20BUCKNLCOLGATKillNina Gannonset Reagan Knipling+2.6
4222-20COLGATBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+3.6
4323-20BUCKNLBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+4.3
4423-21BUCKNLCOLGATBlockedCameron Lloydblk Nina Gannon, Jordyn Moore+1.7
4524-21COLGATBUCKNLServe errTiana Owens+3.3
4625-21BUCKNLBUCKNLAttack errAubrey Anders+1.9
Set 2
11-0BUCKNLBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+2.8
21-1BUCKNLCOLGATServe errBucknell+1.9
31-2COLGATCOLGATKillNina Gannon+2.6
42-2COLGATBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Katie O'Sullivan+2.0
52-3BUCKNLCOLGATKillTiana Owensset Reagan Knipling+1.9
62-4COLGATCOLGATKillTiana Owensset Hannah Langton+2.4
73-4COLGATBUCKNLServe errAva Schabes+1.8
83-5BUCKNLCOLGAT×3KillTiana Owensset Ava Schabes+1.7
93-6COLGATCOLGAT×3AceTiana Owensaced Isabella Charlton+2.2
103-7COLGATCOLGAT×3KillTiana Owensset Ava Schabes+1.9
114-7COLGATBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+1.3
124-8BUCKNLCOLGAT×3KillJordyn Mooreset Ava Schabes+1.4
134-9COLGATCOLGAT×3Attack errPeyton McGee+1.6
144-10COLGATCOLGAT×3KillJordyn Mooreset Ava Schabes+1.2
155-10COLGATBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+0.7
165-11BUCKNLCOLGATAttack errKlea Tarja+0.9
176-11COLGATBUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+0.7
187-11BUCKNLBUCKNLKillStephanie Eroh+1.4
197-12BUCKNLCOLGATBlockedMarion Haskellblk Aubrey Anders, Julia Headley+1.1
207-13COLGATCOLGATAttack errStephanie Eroh+1.2
218-13COLGATBUCKNLServe errAubrey Anders+0.7
229-13BUCKNLBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+1.4
239-14BUCKNLCOLGATKillTiana Owensset Reagan Knipling+1.2
2410-14COLGATBUCKNLKillStephanie Erohset Peyton McGee+1.0
2510-15BUCKNLCOLGATKillNina Gannonset Reagan Knipling+1.2
2611-15COLGATBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+1.0
2711-16BUCKNLCOLGAT×3KillTiana Owensset Ava Schabes+1.2
2811-17COLGATCOLGAT×3Attack errCameron Lloyd+1.2
2911-18COLGATCOLGAT×3KillAubrey Andersset Hannah Langton+0.7
3012-18COLGATBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+0.3
3112-19BUCKNLCOLGATKillTiana Owensset Ava Schabes+0.5
3212-20COLGATCOLGATKillJordyn Mooreset Ava Schabes+0.4
3313-20COLGATBUCKNLKillEmerson Boydset Katie O'Sullivan+0.1
3413-21BUCKNLCOLGATKillAubrey Andersset Hannah Langton+0.2
3514-21COLGATBUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Katie O'Sullivan+0.1
3614-22BUCKNLCOLGAT×4KillAubrey Andersset Reagan Knipling+0.2
3714-23COLGATCOLGAT×4KillTiana Owensset Reagan Knipling+0.1
3814-24COLGATCOLGAT×4KillJulia Headleyset Reagan Knipling·
3914-25COLGATCOLGAT×4KillTiana Owensset Reagan Knipling·
Set 3
11-0COLGATBUCKNL×3BlockedTiana Owensblk Marion Haskell, Sarah Williams+2.0
22-0BUCKNLBUCKNL×3AceBucknellaced Aubrey Anders+3.0
33-0BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+3.2
43-1BUCKNLCOLGATServe errBucknell+2.0
54-1COLGATBUCKNLServe errJulia Headley+2.4
64-2BUCKNLCOLGATKillMorgan Reeseset Reagan Knipling+2.1
75-2COLGATBUCKNLServe errAva Schabes+2.5
85-3BUCKNLCOLGATKillTiana Owensset Ava Schabes+2.1
96-3COLGATBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+2.5
106-4BUCKNLCOLGATBlockedKlea Tarjablk Jordyn Moore, Nina Gannon+2.2
116-5COLGATCOLGATKillAubrey Andersset Ava Schabes+3.1
127-5COLGATBUCKNLKillSarah Williamsset Peyton McGee+2.5
137-6BUCKNLCOLGATKillAubrey Andersset Ava Schabes+2.3
148-6COLGATBUCKNLServe errReagan Knipling+2.6
159-6BUCKNLBUCKNLAceBucknellaced Tiana Owens+3.7
169-7BUCKNLCOLGATKillAubrey Andersset Reagan Knipling+2.3
1710-7COLGATBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+2.8
1810-8BUCKNLCOLGATKillMorgan Reeseset Reagan Knipling+2.4
1911-8COLGATBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Katie O'Sullivan+2.9
2012-8BUCKNLBUCKNLBlockedTiana Owensblk Sidney Shaffer, Peyton McGee+3.9
2112-9BUCKNLCOLGATKillMorgan Reeseset Reagan Knipling+2.3
2213-9COLGATBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+2.9
2314-9BUCKNLBUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+3.7
2414-10BUCKNLCOLGATAttack errCameron Lloyd+2.0
2514-11COLGATCOLGATBlockedSidney Shafferblk Nina Gannon, Aubrey Anders+3.3
2615-11COLGATBUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+3.1
2715-12BUCKNLCOLGATServe errBucknell+2.4
2815-13COLGATCOLGATKillAubrey Andersset Tiana Owens+3.8
2916-13COLGATBUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+3.5
3016-14BUCKNLCOLGATServe errBucknell+2.8
3117-14COLGATBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+3.6
3217-15BUCKNLCOLGATAttack errCameron Lloyd+2.8
3318-15COLGATBUCKNL×3KillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+3.8
3419-15BUCKNLBUCKNL×3Attack errMorgan Reese+4.6
3520-15BUCKNLBUCKNL×3Attack errMorgan Reese+3.7
3620-16BUCKNLCOLGATKillMorgan Reeseset Reagan Knipling+1.6
3721-16COLGATBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+2.6
3822-16BUCKNLBUCKNLAceBucknellaced Tiana Owens+2.2
3922-17BUCKNLCOLGATKillMorgan Reeseset Reagan Knipling+0.7
4023-17COLGATBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+1.3
4123-18BUCKNLCOLGATKillTiana Owensset Ava Schabes+0.4
4224-18COLGATBUCKNLServe errTiana Owens+0.9
4324-19BUCKNLCOLGAT×3KillAubrey Andersset Tiana Owens+0.2
4424-20COLGATCOLGAT×3BlockedKlea Tarjablk Jordyn Moore, Julia Headley+0.5
4524-21COLGATCOLGAT×3KillTiana Owensset Ava Schabes+1.2
4625-21COLGATBUCKNLAttack errTiana Owens+2.2
Set 4
10-1BUCKNLCOLGATKillAubrey Andersset Ava Schabes+2.6
21-1COLGATBUCKNL×4KillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+2.8
32-1BUCKNLBUCKNL×4Attack errJordyn Moore+4.2
43-1BUCKNLBUCKNL×4KillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+4.6
54-1BUCKNLBUCKNL×4AceBucknell+4.8
64-2BUCKNLCOLGATServe errBucknell+3.1
75-2COLGATBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+3.7
85-3BUCKNLCOLGATBlockedSidney Shafferblk Nina Gannon, Aubrey Anders+3.2
96-3COLGATBUCKNL×3Attack errTiana Owens+3.8
107-3BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillKlea Tarjaset Isabella Charlton+5.1
118-3BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+5.0
128-4BUCKNLCOLGATKillNina Gannonset Deren Cukur+2.9
139-4COLGATBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+3.7
149-5BUCKNLCOLGATServe errBucknell+2.9
1510-5COLGATBUCKNLServe errAva Schabes+3.8
1610-6BUCKNLCOLGATServe errBucknell+3.0
1711-6COLGATBUCKNLKillPeyton McGeeset Katie O'Sullivan+3.9
1812-6BUCKNLBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+4.7
1912-7BUCKNLCOLGATKillAubrey Andersset Ava Schabes+2.5
2013-7COLGATBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+3.5
2113-8BUCKNLCOLGATKillJordyn Mooreset Ava Schabes+2.5
2214-8COLGATBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+3.5
2314-9BUCKNLCOLGATKillNina Gannonset Deren Cukur+2.4
2414-10COLGATCOLGATAttack errPeyton McGee+4.2
2515-10COLGATBUCKNL×3Serve errAubrey Anders+4.1
2616-10BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+4.7
2717-10BUCKNLBUCKNL×3Attack errNina Gannon+3.6
2817-11BUCKNLCOLGAT×3Serve errBucknell+1.6
2917-12COLGATCOLGAT×3KillTiana Owensset Morgan Reese+3.0
3017-13COLGATCOLGAT×3KillMorgan Reeseset Deren Cukur+4.0
3118-13COLGATBUCKNLAttack errTiana Owens+4.2
3218-14BUCKNLCOLGATKillTiana Owensset Deren Cukur+2.7
3319-14COLGATBUCKNL×3Attack errAubrey Anders+4.1
3420-14BUCKNLBUCKNL×3AceBucknellaced Tiana Owens+4.1
3521-14BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillSarah Williamsset Katie O'Sullivan+2.5
3621-15BUCKNLCOLGAT×3KillJulia Headleyset Ava Schabes+0.8
3721-16COLGATCOLGAT×3Attack errKlea Tarja+1.9
3821-17COLGATCOLGAT×3KillAubrey Andersset Hannah Langton+2.9
3922-17COLGATBUCKNLKillKlea Tarjaset Peyton McGee+3.7
4022-18BUCKNLCOLGATKillAubrey Andersset Ava Schabes+1.7
4122-19COLGATCOLGATAttack errMarion Haskell+3.9
4223-19COLGATBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+5.1
4323-20BUCKNLCOLGATKillJordyn Mooreset Ava Schabes+2.2
4423-21COLGATCOLGATKillMorgan Reeseset Deren Cukur+5.5
4524-21COLGATBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+7.7
4625-21BUCKNLBUCKNLBlockedAubrey Andersblk Peyton McGee, Sidney Shaffer+4.5

Score shown after each rally, Bucknell first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).