FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwayMAC

0:3

HomeBIG-SKY

Montana def. Central Mich. 3–0

(25-17, 25-14, 25-21)

Set	1	2*	3	Sets
C MICH	17	14	21	0
MONT	25	25	25	3

* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

MONT above 50 · C MICH below

Biggest swing: 0.7% to Central Mich. — set 1, C MICH 9-11 MONT. Central Mich. ace on Team. MONT win probability 95% → 94%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

C MICH 7.0%93.0% MONT

Central Mich. wins

3-0

0.9%

3-1

2.0%

3-2

4.1%

Montana wins

3-0

50.3%

3-1

30.9%

3-2

11.8%

C MICH break %: 38.3% vs this opp
MONT break %: 49.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
C MICH serverAce+0.7%
Central Mich. ace on Team
Set 1 · C MICH 9-11 MONT · C MICH 5% → 6%
02
Gracie CagleKill+0.6%
Kill by Gracie Cagle (set by Isabel Taylor)
Set 1 · C MICH 0-2 MONT · MONT 94% → 94%
03
MONT serverAce+0.6%
Montana ace on Team
Set 1 · C MICH 9-13 MONT · MONT 95% → 95%
04
Jaliyah CohnesKill+0.6%
Kill by Jaliyah Cohnes (set by Brytn Lyon)
Set 1 · C MICH 13-16 MONT · C MICH 5% → 5%
05
C MICH serverService error+0.6%
Central Mich. service error
Set 1 · C MICH 9-12 MONT · MONT 94% → 95%
06
Gracie CagleKill+0.6%
Kill by Gracie Cagle (set by Gracie Cagle)
Set 1 · C MICH 0-1 MONT · MONT 93% → 94%
07
Lilly MullholandAttack error+0.6%
Lilly Mullholand stuffed by Delaney Russell & Gracie Cagle
Set 1 · C MICH 0-3 MONT · MONT 94% → 95%
08
C MICH serverService error+0.5%
Central Mich. service error
Set 1 · C MICH 13-17 MONT · MONT 95% → 95%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Central Mich.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
5Taylor CripeOH	3	14	5	30	.300	1	1	2	2	1	0	0	15
6Brenna StorzMB	3	4	2	9	.222	1	2	2	1	0	1	0.5	6.5
13Lilly MullholandMB	3	5	3	15	.133	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	5
14Brytn LyonS	3	3	0	10	.300	24	0	1	5	0	3	1.5	4.5
4Rainey WeidmanL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	2	3	1	0	0	0
8Cheyenne GunnerOH	2	1	5	8	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
3Jaliyah CohnesOH	3	5	2	16	.188	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	5
22Meisha SykesMB	3	1	1	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
10Ceci BustamanteL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	3	0	1	13	1	0	0	0
1Addison SamolinskiL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	3	1	0	0	0
2Audrey HackneyS	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	1
12Teyhlor ThomasMB	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	1
Team totals		33	18	92	.163	31	4	9	31	8	8	4	52

Montanahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
9Gracie CagleS	3	7	0	9	.778	21	3	0	6	0	0	2	1	11
10Delaney RussellOH	3	8	2	18	.333	2	2	0	4	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
14Isabel TaylorOH	3	5	2	17	.176	1	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	7
13Sydney PierceMB	3	5	2	13	.231	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
4Josie BlazinaOH	3	6	2	12	.333	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	6
11Sophia VellaMB	3	3	1	12	.167	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	1	4
12Madeline SandersonDS	3	1	0	1	1.000	2	0	0	9	0	0	0	0	1
6Annika WrightS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	0
5Alex StoneOH	2	1	2	4	-.250	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	1
22Avery MerrittOH	1	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		36	12	89	.270	30	8	2	32	4	1	4	3	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 C MICH · MONT 6

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 4 C MICHMONT 6

Set 2*

14-25

Longest run 3 C MICHMONT 6

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 4 C MICHMONT 4

Bars above the line = Montana leads, below = Central Mich. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Central Mich.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	28%5/18	17%1/6
2	44%4/9	44%4/9
3	67%4/6	33%2/6
4	50%3/6	43%3/7
5	100%3/3	50%3/6
6	50%3/6	50%3/6
All	46%22/48	40%16/40

Montana

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	83%5/6	50%3/6
2	56%5/9	72%13/18
3	67%4/6	56%5/9
4	57%4/7	33%2/6
5	50%3/6	50%3/6
6	50%3/6	0%0/3
All	60%24/40	54%26/48

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

127 rallies

Rally log

#	C MICH-MONT	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	C MICH	MONT×6	Kill	Gracie Cagle	set Gracie Cagle	+0.6
2	0-2	MONT	MONT×6	Kill	Gracie Cagle	set Isabel Taylor	+0.6
3	0-3	MONT	MONT×6	Attack err	Lilly Mullholand	blk Delaney Russell, Gracie Cagle	+0.6
4	0-4	MONT	MONT×6	Attack err	Cheyenne Gunner		+0.5
5	0-5	MONT	MONT×6	Attack err	Taylor Cripe		+0.4
6	0-6	MONT	MONT×6	Attack err	Cheyenne Gunner		+0.3
7	1-6	MONT	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	+0.2
8	1-7	C MICH	MONT	Kill	Isabel Taylor	set Delaney Russell	+0.2
9	2-7	MONT	C MICH	Attack err	Isabel Taylor	blk Meisha Sykes, Brytn Lyon	+0.2
10	3-7	C MICH	C MICH	Kill	Cheyenne Gunner	set Brytn Lyon	+0.4
11	3-8	C MICH	MONT	Attack err	Cheyenne Gunner		+0.3
12	4-8	MONT	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	+0.3
13	5-8	C MICH	C MICH	Attack err	Sophia Vella		+0.5
14	5-9	C MICH	MONT	Kill	Sydney Pierce	set Gracie Cagle	+0.4
15	6-9	MONT	C MICH	Kill	Lilly Mullholand	set Brytn Lyon	+0.4
16	6-10	C MICH	MONT	Serve err	C MICH server		+0.4
17	7-10	MONT	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Ceci Bustamante	+0.4
18	7-11	C MICH	MONT	Serve err	C MICH server		+0.4
19	8-11	MONT	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Rainey Weidman	+0.4
20	9-11	C MICH	C MICH	Ace	C MICH server	aced Team	+0.7
21	9-12	C MICH	MONT×5	Serve err	C MICH server		+0.6
22	9-13	MONT	MONT×5	Ace	MONT server	aced Team	+0.6
23	9-14	MONT	MONT×5	Attack err	Cheyenne Gunner		+0.5
24	9-15	MONT	MONT×5	Attack err	Cheyenne Gunner		+0.3
25	9-16	MONT	MONT×5	Kill	Josie Blazina	set Gracie Cagle	+0.2
26	10-16	MONT	C MICH×4	Kill	Jaliyah Cohnes	set Brytn Lyon	+0.1
27	11-16	C MICH	C MICH×4	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	+0.2
28	12-16	C MICH	C MICH×4	Attack err	Josie Blazina		+0.4
29	13-16	C MICH	C MICH×4	Kill	Jaliyah Cohnes	set Brytn Lyon	+0.6
30	13-17	C MICH	MONT×4	Serve err	C MICH server		+0.5
31	13-18	MONT	MONT×4	Attack err	Meisha Sykes		+0.5
32	13-19	MONT	MONT×4	Kill	Sophia Vella	set Gracie Cagle	+0.3
33	13-20	MONT	MONT×4	Kill	Isabel Taylor	set Madeline Sanderson	+0.2
34	14-20	MONT	C MICH	Kill	Jaliyah Cohnes	set Brytn Lyon	+0.1
35	15-20	C MICH	C MICH	Kill	Lilly Mullholand	set Brytn Lyon	+0.2
36	15-21	C MICH	MONT	Kill	Josie Blazina	set Gracie Cagle	+0.2
37	15-22	MONT	MONT	Attack err	Lilly Mullholand		+0.1
38	16-22	MONT	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	+0.0
39	17-22	C MICH	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Ceci Bustamante	+0.1
40	17-23	C MICH	MONT×3	Attack err	Taylor Cripe		+0.1
41	17-24	MONT	MONT×3	Kill	Gracie Cagle		+0.1
42	17-25	MONT	MONT×3	Attack err	Lilly Mullholand		+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	MONT	MONT	Kill	Sydney Pierce	set Delaney Russell	+0.5
2	1-1	MONT	C MICH	Kill	Jaliyah Cohnes	set Brytn Lyon	+0.4
3	1-2	C MICH	MONT×4	Kill	Delaney Russell	set Gracie Cagle	+0.4
4	1-3	MONT	MONT×4	Ace	MONT server	aced Team	+0.4
5	1-4	MONT	MONT×4	Attack err	Taylor Cripe		+0.4
6	1-5	MONT	MONT×4	Ace	MONT server	aced Team	+0.3
7	2-5	MONT	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	+0.2
8	2-6	C MICH	MONT	Kill	Josie Blazina	set Gracie Cagle	+0.2
9	3-6	MONT	C MICH	Attack err	Isabel Taylor		+0.2
10	4-6	C MICH	C MICH	Attack err	Sydney Pierce		+0.4
11	4-7	C MICH	MONT	Kill	Sydney Pierce	set Gracie Cagle	+0.3
12	5-7	MONT	C MICH	Kill	Brenna Storz	set Brytn Lyon	+0.3
13	5-8	C MICH	MONT×6	Attack err	Jaliyah Cohnes	blk Gracie Cagle, Sydney Pierce	+0.3
14	5-9	MONT	MONT×6	Kill	Delaney Russell	set Gracie Cagle	+0.3
15	5-10	MONT	MONT×6	Attack err	Taylor Cripe		+0.3
16	5-11	MONT	MONT×6	Kill	Sydney Pierce	set Brytn Lyon	+0.2
17	5-12	MONT	MONT×6	Attack err	Brenna Storz		+0.1
18	5-13	MONT	MONT×6	Kill	Sydney Pierce	set Gracie Cagle	+0.1
19	6-13	MONT	C MICH×3	Kill	Meisha Sykes		+0.1
20	7-13	C MICH	C MICH×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
21	8-13	C MICH	C MICH×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.2
22	8-14	C MICH	MONT	Kill	Isabel Taylor		+0.2
23	8-15	MONT	MONT	Bad set	Jaliyah Cohnes		+0.1
24	9-15	MONT	C MICH	Serve err	MONT server		+0.1
25	9-16	C MICH	MONT	Serve err	C MICH server		+0.1
26	9-17	MONT	MONT	Ace	MONT server	aced Taylor Cripe	+0.1
27	10-17	MONT	C MICH	Kill	Lilly Mullholand	set Brytn Lyon	+0.0
28	10-18	C MICH	MONT	Serve err	C MICH server		+0.1
29	11-18	MONT	C MICH	Kill	Lilly Mullholand	set Brytn Lyon	+0.0
30	12-18	C MICH	C MICH	Attack err	Delaney Russell		+0.1
31	12-19	C MICH	MONT	Kill	Isabel Taylor	set Gracie Cagle	+0.1
32	13-19	MONT	C MICH	Kill	Brenna Storz	set Brytn Lyon	+0.1
33	13-20	C MICH	MONT	Kill	Isabel Taylor	set Gracie Cagle	+0.1
34	14-20	MONT	C MICH	Bad set	Isabel Taylor		+0.1
35	14-21	C MICH	MONT×5	Kill	Delaney Russell	set Gracie Cagle	+0.1
36	14-22	MONT	MONT×5	Ace	MONT server	aced Rainey Weidman	+0.0
37	14-23	MONT	MONT×5	Kill	Gracie Cagle	set Taylor Cripe	+0.0
38	14-24	MONT	MONT×5	Bad set	Brenna Storz		+0.0
39	14-25	MONT	MONT×5	Ace	MONT server	aced Ceci Bustamante	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	C MICH	MONT×3	Serve err	C MICH server		+0.2
2	0-2	MONT	MONT×3	Bad set	Brenna Storz		+0.2
3	0-3	MONT	MONT×3	Kill	Delaney Russell	set Gracie Cagle	+0.2
4	1-3	MONT	C MICH	Kill	Brenna Storz	set Brytn Lyon	+0.1
5	1-4	C MICH	MONT	Attack err	Brenna Storz		+0.1
6	2-4	MONT	C MICH	Kill	Brytn Lyon	set Brenna Storz	+0.1
7	2-5	C MICH	MONT	Kill	Delaney Russell	set Gracie Cagle	+0.1
8	2-6	MONT	MONT	Attack err	Jaliyah Cohnes	blk Sophia Vella	+0.1
9	3-6	MONT	C MICH	Kill	Brytn Lyon	set Addison Samolinski	+0.1
10	3-7	C MICH	MONT	Kill	Sophia Vella	set Gracie Cagle	+0.1
11	4-7	MONT	C MICH	Serve err	MONT server		+0.1
12	4-8	C MICH	MONT	Kill	Madeline Sanderson	set Sydney Pierce	+0.1
13	5-8	MONT	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Ceci Bustamante	+0.1
14	5-9	C MICH	MONT×4	Serve err	C MICH server		+0.1
15	5-10	MONT	MONT×4	Ace	MONT server	aced Addison Samolinski	+0.1
16	5-11	MONT	MONT×4	Kill	Gracie Cagle	set Annika Wright	+0.1
17	5-12	MONT	MONT×4	Serve err	MONT server		+0.1
18	6-12	MONT	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	+0.0
19	6-13	C MICH	MONT×3	Kill	Delaney Russell	set Gracie Cagle	+0.1
20	6-14	MONT	MONT×3	Ace	MONT server	aced Team	+0.0
21	6-15	MONT	MONT×3	Kill	Delaney Russell	set Madeline Sanderson	+0.0
22	7-15	MONT	C MICH	Kill	Jaliyah Cohnes	set Brytn Lyon	+0.0
23	7-16	C MICH	MONT×3	Kill	Josie Blazina	set Gracie Cagle	+0.0
24	7-17	MONT	MONT×3	Kill	Josie Blazina	set Gracie Cagle	+0.0
25	7-18	MONT	MONT×3	Kill	Sophia Vella	set Gracie Cagle	+0.0
26	8-18	MONT	C MICH	Attack err	Alex Stone	blk Teyhlor Thomas, Brytn Lyon	+0.0
27	8-19	C MICH	MONT	Kill	Josie Blazina	set Gracie Cagle	+0.0
28	9-19	MONT	C MICH	Attack err	Sydney Pierce		+0.0
29	10-19	C MICH	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	+0.0
30	10-20	C MICH	MONT	Kill	Gracie Cagle	set Ceci Bustamante	+0.0
31	10-21	MONT	MONT	Kill	Gracie Cagle	set Alex Stone	+0.0
32	11-21	MONT	C MICH×4	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	+0.0
33	12-21	C MICH	C MICH×4	Kill	Lilly Mullholand	set Brytn Lyon	+0.0
34	13-21	C MICH	C MICH×4	Ace	C MICH server	aced Alex Stone	+0.0
35	14-21	C MICH	C MICH×4	Attack err	Alex Stone		+0.0
36	14-22	C MICH	MONT	Kill	Alex Stone	set Annika Wright	+0.0
37	15-22	MONT	C MICH×4	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	+0.0
38	16-22	C MICH	C MICH×4	Attack err	Avery Merritt	blk Brenna Storz, Brytn Lyon	+0.0
39	17-22	C MICH	C MICH×4	Attack err	Delaney Russell		+0.0
40	18-22	C MICH	C MICH×4	Kill	Taylor Cripe		+0.1
41	18-23	C MICH	MONT	Attack err	Taylor Cripe		+0.1
42	19-23	MONT	C MICH	Kill	Brytn Lyon	set Taylor Cripe	+0.0
43	19-24	C MICH	MONT	Kill	Delaney Russell	set Gracie Cagle	+0.1
44	20-24	MONT	C MICH	Kill	Brenna Storz	set Brytn Lyon	+0.0
45	21-24	C MICH	C MICH	Attack err	Josie Blazina	blk Teyhlor Thomas, Cheyenne Gunner	+0.1
46	21-25	C MICH	MONT	Serve err	C MICH server		+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Central Mich. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.