FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

AwayMAC

0:3

HomeSUMMIT-LEAGUE

Omaha def. Central Mich. 3–0

(25-20, 25-18, 25-23)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
C MICH	20	18	23	0
OMAHA	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

OMAHA above 50 · C MICH below

Biggest swing: 0.5% to Central Mich. — set 1, C MICH 5-5 OMAHA. Attack error by Brytn Lyon. OMAHA win probability 97% → 96%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

C MICH 3.4%96.6% OMAHA

Central Mich. wins

3-0

0.4%

3-1

0.9%

3-2

2.1%

Omaha wins

3-0

60.6%

3-1

28.0%

3-2

8.0%

C MICH break %: 35.1% vs this opp
OMAHA break %: 49.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Brytn LyonAttack error+0.5%
Attack error by Brytn Lyon
Set 1 · C MICH 5-5 OMAHA · C MICH 3% → 4%
02
Faith VenableKill+0.5%
Kill by Faith Venable (set by Emma Nash)
Set 1 · C MICH 6-8 OMAHA · OMAHA 97% → 97%
03
Maddie StuesserBad set+0.5%
Bad set by Maddie Stuesser
Set 1 · C MICH 12-14 OMAHA · C MICH 2% → 3%
04
Dara ObeidKill+0.4%
Kill by Dara Obeid (set by Maddie Stuesser)
Set 1 · C MICH 16-19 OMAHA · OMAHA 97% → 98%
05
Taylor CripeKill+0.4%
Kill by Taylor Cripe (set by Brytn Lyon)
Set 1 · C MICH 6-6 OMAHA · C MICH 3% → 4%
06
Dara ObeidKill+0.4%
Kill by Dara Obeid (set by Maddie Stuesser)
Set 1 · C MICH 16-20 OMAHA · OMAHA 98% → 98%
07
Cheyenne GunnerKill+0.4%
Kill by Cheyenne Gunner (set by Brytn Lyon)
Set 1 · C MICH 3-4 OMAHA · C MICH 3% → 3%
08
C MICH serverService error+0.4%
Central Mich. service error
Set 1 · C MICH 15-18 OMAHA · OMAHA 97% → 97%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Central Mich.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Taylor CripeOH	3	10	2	26	.308	1	2	3	10	0	0	1	0.5	12.5
6Brenna StorzMB	3	5	1	11	.364	0	0	3	3	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
13Lilly MullholandMB	3	4	3	14	.071	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	5
12Teyhlor ThomasMB	3	3	2	6	.167	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	4.5
14Brytn LyonS	3	1	2	6	-.167	19	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2
8Cheyenne GunnerOH	2	2	2	6	.000	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2
3Jaliyah CohnesOH	3	2	3	8	-.125	0	0	0	4	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
1Addison SamolinskiL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	1
2Audrey HackneyS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
10Ceci BustamanteL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
4Rainey WeidmanL/DS	2	0	0	1	.000	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
15Karla Sanchez GeorgeS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		27	15	78	.154	23	3	9	27	3	2	8	6	61

Omahahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Dara ObeidMB	3	11	1	13	.769	0	0	0	2	0	0	5	2.5	13.5
5Faith VenableOH	3	10	3	20	.350	0	0	2	6	1	0	2	1	11
23Alizabeth JacobsenOH	3	8	1	14	.500	0	2	3	1	0	0	0	0	10
17Madison CorfOH	3	6	2	14	.286	1	1	2	2	0	1	0	1	8
8Maddie StuesserS	3	2	1	10	.100	38	0	3	9	0	0	0	0	2
6Emma NashL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
11Lara MaricOH	3	9	2	19	.368	0	0	4	1	0	0	3	1.5	10.5
15Kate SchroetlinL/DS	3	0	1	2	-.500	2	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
1Sarah GalliganL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		46	11	92	.380	42	3	15	30	3	1	10	6	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 C MICH · OMAHA 5

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 2 C MICHOMAHA 3

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 4 C MICHOMAHA 3

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 4 C MICHOMAHA 5

Bars above the line = Omaha leads, below = Central Mich. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Central Mich.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%9/17	33%4/12
2	62%8/13	25%3/12
3	88%7/8	27%3/11
4	70%7/10	36%4/11
5	58%7/12	13%1/8
6	46%6/13	22%2/9
All	60%44/73	27%17/63

Omaha

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%9/16	59%10/17
2	89%8/9	43%6/14
3	80%8/10	27%3/11
4	58%7/12	30%3/10
5	100%7/7	36%4/11
6	78%7/9	30%3/10
All	73%46/63	40%29/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

136 rallies

Rally log

#	C MICH-OMAHA	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	C MICH	OMAHA	Kill	Dara Obeid	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.3
2	0-2	OMAHA	OMAHA	Attack err	Brenna Storz	blk Lara Maric, Dara Obeid	+0.4
3	1-2	OMAHA	C MICH	Kill	Lilly Mullholand	set Brytn Lyon	+0.3
4	1-3	C MICH	OMAHA	Attack err	Lilly Mullholand	blk Dara Obeid, Faith Venable	+0.3
5	1-4	OMAHA	OMAHA	Attack err	Brytn Lyon		+0.3
6	2-4	OMAHA	C MICH	Attack err	Madison Corf	blk Brenna Storz, Lilly Mullholand	+0.2
7	3-4	C MICH	C MICH	Kill	Cheyenne Gunner	set Brytn Lyon	+0.4
8	3-5	C MICH	OMAHA	Kill	Dara Obeid	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.3
9	4-5	OMAHA	C MICH	Kill	Brenna Storz	set Brytn Lyon	+0.3
10	5-5	C MICH	C MICH	Attack err	Brytn Lyon		+0.5
11	5-6	C MICH	OMAHA	Kill	Lara Maric	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.4
12	6-6	OMAHA	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	+0.4
13	6-7	C MICH	OMAHA	Serve err	C MICH server		+0.4
14	6-8	OMAHA	OMAHA	Kill	Faith Venable	set Emma Nash	+0.5
15	7-8	OMAHA	C MICH	Serve err	OMAHA server		+0.4
16	7-9	C MICH	OMAHA×3	Attack err	Brytn Lyon		+0.3
17	7-10	OMAHA	OMAHA×3	Attack err	Lilly Mullholand	blk Dara Obeid, Faith Venable	+0.4
18	7-11	OMAHA	OMAHA×3	Ace	OMAHA server	aced Cheyenne Gunner	+0.3
19	8-11	OMAHA	C MICH	Serve err	OMAHA server		+0.2
20	8-12	C MICH	OMAHA	Serve err	C MICH server		+0.2
21	9-12	OMAHA	C MICH	Attack err	Faith Venable		+0.2
22	9-13	C MICH	OMAHA	Serve err	C MICH server		+0.2
23	10-13	OMAHA	C MICH	Serve err	OMAHA server		+0.2
24	10-14	C MICH	OMAHA	Kill	Madison Corf	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.2
25	11-14	OMAHA	C MICH	Serve err	OMAHA server		+0.2
26	12-14	C MICH	C MICH	Bad set	Maddie Stuesser		+0.5
27	12-15	C MICH	OMAHA	Kill	Lara Maric	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.3
28	13-15	OMAHA	C MICH	Serve err	OMAHA server		+0.4
29	13-16	C MICH	OMAHA	Serve err	C MICH server		+0.4
30	14-16	OMAHA	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	+0.4
31	14-17	C MICH	OMAHA	Kill	Alizabeth Jacobsen	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.4
32	15-17	OMAHA	C MICH	Kill	Teyhlor Thomas	set Brytn Lyon	+0.4
33	15-18	C MICH	OMAHA	Serve err	C MICH server		+0.4
34	16-18	OMAHA	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Lilly Mullholand	+0.4
35	16-19	C MICH	OMAHA×3	Kill	Dara Obeid	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.4
36	16-20	OMAHA	OMAHA×3	Kill	Dara Obeid	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.4
37	16-21	OMAHA	OMAHA×3	Attack err	Lilly Mullholand	blk Madison Corf	+0.2
38	17-21	OMAHA	C MICH	Serve err	OMAHA server		+0.1
39	17-22	C MICH	OMAHA	Kill	Madison Corf	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.2
40	18-22	OMAHA	C MICH	Kill	Brenna Storz	set Brytn Lyon	+0.1
41	18-23	C MICH	OMAHA	Serve err	C MICH server		+0.1
42	19-23	OMAHA	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	+0.1
43	19-24	C MICH	OMAHA	Attack err	Taylor Cripe		+0.1
44	20-24	OMAHA	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	+0.0
45	20-25	C MICH	OMAHA	Kill	Faith Venable	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.1
Set 2
1	0-1	OMAHA	OMAHA×3	Attack err	Cheyenne Gunner		+0.3
2	0-2	OMAHA	OMAHA×3	Kill	Lara Maric	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.2
3	0-3	OMAHA	OMAHA×3	Kill	Faith Venable	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.2
4	1-3	OMAHA	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	+0.1
5	1-4	C MICH	OMAHA	Kill	Faith Venable	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.1
6	2-4	OMAHA	C MICH	Kill	Cheyenne Gunner	set Brytn Lyon	+0.1
7	2-5	C MICH	OMAHA	Attack err	Cheyenne Gunner		+0.1
8	3-5	OMAHA	C MICH	Bad set	Maddie Stuesser		+0.2
9	3-6	C MICH	OMAHA	Attack err	Jaliyah Cohnes		+0.1
10	4-6	OMAHA	C MICH	Kill	Brenna Storz	set Addison Samolinski	+0.2
11	5-6	C MICH	C MICH	Attack err	Alizabeth Jacobsen	blk Taylor Cripe, Brenna Storz	+0.3
12	5-7	C MICH	OMAHA×3	Bad set	Brenna Storz		+0.2
13	5-8	OMAHA	OMAHA×3	Attack err	Taylor Cripe		+0.2
14	5-9	OMAHA	OMAHA×3	Kill	Maddie Stuesser		+0.2
15	6-9	OMAHA	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	+0.1
16	6-10	C MICH	OMAHA	Serve err	C MICH server		+0.1
17	6-11	OMAHA	OMAHA	Kill	Faith Venable	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.1
18	7-11	OMAHA	C MICH	Kill	Teyhlor Thomas	set Taylor Cripe	+0.1
19	7-12	C MICH	OMAHA	Kill	Dara Obeid	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.1
20	7-13	OMAHA	OMAHA	Kill	Faith Venable		+0.1
21	8-13	OMAHA	C MICH	Serve err	OMAHA server		+0.1
22	8-14	C MICH	OMAHA	Kill	Dara Obeid	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.1
23	9-14	OMAHA	C MICH	Attack err	Madison Corf		+0.1
24	10-14	C MICH	C MICH	Attack err	Lara Maric	blk Brenna Storz, Jaliyah Cohnes	+0.1
25	10-15	C MICH	OMAHA	Kill	Lara Maric	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.1
26	11-15	OMAHA	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	+0.1
27	11-16	C MICH	OMAHA×3	Kill	Alizabeth Jacobsen	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.1
28	11-17	OMAHA	OMAHA×3	Kill	Alizabeth Jacobsen	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.1
29	11-18	OMAHA	OMAHA×3	Bad set	Brytn Lyon		+0.1
30	12-18	OMAHA	C MICH	Serve err	OMAHA server		+0.0
31	12-19	C MICH	OMAHA	Serve err	C MICH server		+0.0
32	12-20	OMAHA	OMAHA	Kill	Alizabeth Jacobsen	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.0
33	13-20	OMAHA	C MICH	Attack err	Faith Venable	blk Brytn Lyon	+0.0
34	13-21	C MICH	OMAHA	Kill	Maddie Stuesser	set Madison Corf	+0.0
35	14-21	OMAHA	C MICH	Serve err	OMAHA server		+0.0
36	14-22	C MICH	OMAHA	Kill	Alizabeth Jacobsen	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.0
37	15-22	OMAHA	C MICH×4	Serve err	OMAHA server		+0.0
38	16-22	C MICH	C MICH×4	Ace	C MICH server	aced Faith Venable	+0.0
39	17-22	C MICH	C MICH×4	Attack err	Lara Maric		+0.0
40	18-22	C MICH	C MICH×4	Bad set	Faith Venable		+0.1
41	18-23	C MICH	OMAHA×3	Kill	Dara Obeid	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.1
42	18-24	OMAHA	OMAHA×3	Kill	Lara Maric	set Taylor Cripe	+0.0
43	18-25	OMAHA	OMAHA×3	Attack err	Jaliyah Cohnes	blk Lara Maric, Dara Obeid	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	C MICH	C MICH	Ace	C MICH server	aced Team	+0.2
2	1-1	C MICH	OMAHA×3	Serve err	C MICH server		+0.1
3	1-2	OMAHA	OMAHA×3	Kill	Dara Obeid		+0.1
4	1-3	OMAHA	OMAHA×3	Kill	Dara Obeid	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.1
5	2-3	OMAHA	C MICH	Kill	Teyhlor Thomas	set Brytn Lyon	+0.1
6	2-4	C MICH	OMAHA	Kill	Faith Venable	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.1
7	3-4	OMAHA	C MICH	Kill	Jaliyah Cohnes	set Brytn Lyon	+0.1
8	4-4	C MICH	C MICH	Kill	Brenna Storz	set Sarah Galligan	+0.1
9	4-5	C MICH	OMAHA	Kill	Lara Maric	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.1
10	5-5	OMAHA	C MICH×3	Kill	Jaliyah Cohnes	set Brytn Lyon	+0.1
11	6-5	C MICH	C MICH×3	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	+0.2
12	7-5	C MICH	C MICH×3	Ace	C MICH server	aced Team	+0.2
13	7-6	C MICH	OMAHA	Kill	Alizabeth Jacobsen	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.1
14	7-7	OMAHA	OMAHA	Kill	Madison Corf	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.2
15	8-7	OMAHA	C MICH	Serve err	OMAHA server		+0.2
16	8-8	C MICH	OMAHA	Kill	Madison Corf	set Kate Schroetlin	+0.1
17	8-9	OMAHA	OMAHA	Ace	OMAHA server	aced Team	+0.2
18	9-9	OMAHA	C MICH	Bad set	Faith Venable		+0.1
19	9-10	C MICH	OMAHA	Kill	Alizabeth Jacobsen	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.1
20	10-10	OMAHA	C MICH	Serve err	OMAHA server		+0.1
21	10-11	C MICH	OMAHA	Kill	Faith Venable	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.1
22	10-12	OMAHA	OMAHA	Attack err	Teyhlor Thomas		+0.2
23	11-12	OMAHA	C MICH	Kill	Lilly Mullholand	set Brytn Lyon	+0.1
24	11-13	C MICH	OMAHA	Kill	Lara Maric	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.1
25	12-13	OMAHA	C MICH	Kill	Lilly Mullholand	set Brytn Lyon	+0.1
26	12-14	C MICH	OMAHA	Kill	Madison Corf	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.1
27	12-15	OMAHA	OMAHA	Kill	Lara Maric	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.1
28	13-15	OMAHA	C MICH	Kill	Brytn Lyon		+0.1
29	13-16	C MICH	OMAHA	Kill	Lara Maric	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.1
30	14-16	OMAHA	C MICH	Serve err	OMAHA server		+0.1
31	14-17	C MICH	OMAHA	Kill	Madison Corf	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.1
32	15-17	OMAHA	C MICH×3	Serve err	OMAHA server		+0.1
33	16-17	C MICH	C MICH×3	Kill	Lilly Mullholand	set Faith Venable	+0.2
34	17-17	C MICH	C MICH×3	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Ceci Bustamante	+0.3
35	17-18	C MICH	OMAHA×5	Kill	Alizabeth Jacobsen	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.2
36	17-19	OMAHA	OMAHA×5	Kill	Dara Obeid	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.3
37	17-20	OMAHA	OMAHA×5	Ace	OMAHA server	aced Team	+0.2
38	17-21	OMAHA	OMAHA×5	Kill	Faith Venable	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.1
39	17-22	OMAHA	OMAHA×5	Attack err	Teyhlor Thomas		+0.1
40	18-22	OMAHA	C MICH×4	Attack err	Kate Schroetlin		+0.0
41	19-22	C MICH	C MICH×4	Attack err	Dara Obeid		+0.1
42	20-22	C MICH	C MICH×4	Attack err	Faith Venable	blk Teyhlor Thomas, Lilly Mullholand	+0.1
43	21-22	C MICH	C MICH×4	Attack err	Maddie Stuesser	blk Teyhlor Thomas	+0.3
44	21-23	C MICH	OMAHA	Kill	Faith Venable	set Kate Schroetlin	+0.3
45	22-23	OMAHA	C MICH	Serve err	OMAHA server		+0.2
46	22-24	C MICH	OMAHA	Kill	Dara Obeid	set Maddie Stuesser	+0.3
47	23-24	OMAHA	C MICH	Kill	Brenna Storz	set Brytn Lyon	+0.2
48	23-25	C MICH	OMAHA	Attack err	Jaliyah Cohnes	blk Dara Obeid, Lara Maric	+0.4

Score shown after each rally, Central Mich. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.