FinalSun, Aug 30, 2026

AwayMAC

0:3

HomePAC-12

Washington St. def. Central Mich. 3–0

(25-18, 25-15, 25-18)

Set	1*	2	3	Sets
C MICH	18	15	18	0
WASHST	25	25	25	3

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

WASHST above 50 · C MICH below

Biggest swing: 0.1% to Central Mich. — set 2, C MICH 2-0 WASHST. Kill by Taylor Cripe (set by Ceci Bustamante). WASHST win probability 100% → 99%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

C MICH 0.8%99.2% WASHST

Central Mich. wins

3-0

0.1%

3-1

0.2%

3-2

0.6%

Washington St. wins

3-0

75.9%

3-1

20.0%

3-2

3.3%

C MICH break %: 35.1% vs this opp
WASHST break %: 53.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Taylor CripeKill+0.1%
Kill by Taylor Cripe (set by Ceci Bustamante)
Set 2 · C MICH 2-0 WASHST · C MICH 0% → 1%
02
Audrey HollisAttack error+0.1%
Attack error by Audrey Hollis
Set 2 · C MICH 5-4 WASHST · C MICH 0% → 1%
03
Mary HealyBad set+0.1%
Bad set by Mary Healy
Set 2 · C MICH 11-12 WASHST · C MICH 0% → 0%
04
Taylor CripeKill+0.1%
Kill by Taylor Cripe (set by Brytn Lyon)
Set 2 · C MICH 3-1 WASHST · C MICH 0% → 1%
05
Kryssa MoermanKill+0.1%
Kill by Kryssa Moerman (set by Audrey Hollis)
Set 2 · C MICH 3-3 WASHST · WASHST 99% → 100%
06
Naomi WhiteKill+0.1%
Kill by Naomi White (set by Audrey Hollis)
Set 1 · C MICH 0-2 WASHST · WASHST 99% → 99%
07
Brenna StorzAttack error+0.1%
Brenna Storz stuffed by Eliana Tia & Kryssa Moerman
Set 2 · C MICH 5-6 WASHST · WASHST 100% → 100%
08
Eliana TiaKill+0.1%
Kill by Eliana Tia (set by Audrey Hollis)
Set 1 · C MICH 0-1 WASHST · WASHST 99% → 99%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Central Mich.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Taylor CripeOH	3	11	10	47	.021	1	2	2	7	0	0	0	0	13
13Lilly MullholandMB	3	2	3	12	-.083	0	0	0	3	0	1	2	2	4
6Brenna StorzMB	3	2	4	11	-.182	0	0	1	3	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
14Brytn LyonS	3	0	0	0	–	9	1	2	11	0	0	0	0	1
1Addison SamolinskiL/DS	2	0	0	1	.000	1	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0
4Rainey WeidmanL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
3Jaliyah CohnesOH	3	5	2	19	.158	0	1	0	5	1	0	0	0	6
12Teyhlor ThomasMB	3	0	2	7	-.286	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	2.5	2.5
2Audrey HackneyS	3	0	0	1	.000	6	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
10Ceci BustamanteL/DS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	3	0	0	9	1	0	0	0	0
15Karla Sanchez GeorgeS	2	1	3	7	-.286	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
22Meisha SykesMB	1	0	2	4	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		21	27	110	-.055	20	4	5	49	7	3	4	5	51

Washington St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Mary HealyOPP	3	7	3	23	.174	1	3	1	8	0	0	4	2	12
3Eliana TiaOH	3	7	3	21	.190	0	1	1	7	2	0	2	1	9
17Kryssa MoermanMB	3	6	1	10	.500	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	3	9
1Naomi WhiteMB	3	4	2	12	.167	2	1	0	3	0	0	7	3.5	8.5
9Whitney DewickiOH	3	5	1	19	.211	1	1	2	3	0	0	4	2	8
11Audrey HollisS	3	0	1	5	-.200	14	0	0	9	0	0	0	0	0
14Kate HayhurstOPP	3	1	1	5	.000	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	2
4Livia WardS	3	0	0	0	–	10	0	0	4	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
6Kambree RodriguezL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	0	2	11	1	0	0	0	0
5Chloe HeimlicherL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
2Madyn CervelleraOH	1	1	2	5	-.200	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
18Ella SmithMB	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21Elma BajraktarevicS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
7Julia DickesonMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		31	14	102	.167	30	7	8	51	4	1	22	12	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 C MICH · WASHST 10

Set 1*

18-25

Longest run 4 C MICHWASHST 5

Set 2

15-25

Longest run 3 C MICHWASHST 10

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 C MICHWASHST 7

Bars above the line = Washington St. leads, below = Central Mich. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Central Mich.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	29%4/14	50%3/6
2	57%4/7	50%4/8
3	57%4/7	43%3/7
4	25%2/8	43%3/7
5	50%2/4	0%0/2
6	22%2/9	50%2/4
All	37%18/49	44%15/34

Washington St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%4/7	83%15/18
2	67%4/6	20%1/5
3	50%4/8	56%5/9
4	60%3/5	50%3/6
5	67%2/3	75%6/8
6	40%2/5	33%1/3
All	56%19/34	63%31/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

126 rallies

Rally log

#	C MICH-WASHST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	C MICH	WASHST	Kill	Eliana Tia	set Audrey Hollis	+0.1
2	0-2	WASHST	WASHST	Kill	Naomi White	set Audrey Hollis	+0.1
3	1-2	WASHST	C MICH	Kill	Lilly Mullholand	set Taylor Cripe	+0.1
4	1-3	C MICH	WASHST×5	Attack err	Brenna Storz	blk Naomi White	+0.1
5	1-4	WASHST	WASHST×5	Attack err	Brenna Storz		+0.1
6	1-5	WASHST	WASHST×5	Ace	WASHST server	aced Team	+0.1
7	1-6	WASHST	WASHST×5	Kill	Whitney Dewicki	set Audrey Hollis	+0.0
8	1-7	WASHST	WASHST×5	Kill	Mary Healy	set Naomi White	+0.0
9	2-7	WASHST	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Audrey Hackney	+0.0
10	3-7	C MICH	C MICH	Ace	C MICH server	aced Eliana Tia	+0.0
11	3-8	C MICH	WASHST	Serve err	C MICH server		+0.0
12	3-9	WASHST	WASHST	Attack err	Karla Sanchez George	blk Mary Healy	+0.0
13	4-9	WASHST	C MICH	Attack err	Kryssa Moerman		+0.0
14	4-10	C MICH	WASHST	Serve err	C MICH server		+0.0
15	5-10	WASHST	C MICH	Kill	Karla Sanchez George	set Audrey Hackney	+0.0
16	5-11	C MICH	WASHST	Kill	Kryssa Moerman	set Livia Ward	+0.0
17	6-11	WASHST	C MICH	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
18	6-12	C MICH	WASHST	Kill	Eliana Tia	set Livia Ward	+0.0
19	7-12	WASHST	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	+0.0
20	7-13	C MICH	WASHST	Attack err	Taylor Cripe		+0.0
21	8-13	WASHST	C MICH	Kill	Brenna Storz	set Brytn Lyon	+0.0
22	8-14	C MICH	WASHST	Attack err	Taylor Cripe		+0.0
23	9-14	WASHST	C MICH	Kill	Brenna Storz	set Audrey Hackney	+0.0
24	10-14	C MICH	C MICH	Attack err	Mary Healy		+0.1
25	10-15	C MICH	WASHST×3	Attack err	Brenna Storz	blk Kryssa Moerman	+0.0
26	10-16	WASHST	WASHST×3	Kill	Kryssa Moerman	set Audrey Hollis	+0.0
27	10-17	WASHST	WASHST×3	Kill	Mary Healy	set Audrey Hollis	+0.0
28	11-17	WASHST	C MICH	Kill	Jaliyah Cohnes	set Audrey Hackney	+0.0
29	12-17	C MICH	C MICH	Attack err	Eliana Tia	blk Teyhlor Thomas	+0.0
30	12-18	C MICH	WASHST×5	Attack err	Karla Sanchez George		+0.0
31	12-19	WASHST	WASHST×5	Attack err	Karla Sanchez George	blk Kryssa Moerman, Eliana Tia	+0.0
32	12-20	WASHST	WASHST×5	Attack err	Taylor Cripe		+0.0
33	12-21	WASHST	WASHST×5	Ace	WASHST server	aced Jaliyah Cohnes	+0.0
34	12-22	WASHST	WASHST×5	Bad set	Brytn Lyon		+0.0
35	13-22	WASHST	C MICH	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.0
36	14-22	C MICH	C MICH	Ace	C MICH server	aced Kambree Rodriguez	+0.0
37	14-23	C MICH	WASHST	Kill	Kryssa Moerman	set Livia Ward	+0.0
38	14-24	WASHST	WASHST	Attack err	Lilly Mullholand		+0.0
39	15-24	WASHST	C MICH×4	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.0
40	16-24	C MICH	C MICH×4	Attack err	Eliana Tia		+0.0
41	17-24	C MICH	C MICH×4	Attack err	Kate Hayhurst		+0.0
42	18-24	C MICH	C MICH×4	Attack err	Eliana Tia		+0.0
43	18-25	C MICH	WASHST	Kill	Eliana Tia	set Livia Ward	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	WASHST	C MICH	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.1
2	2-0	C MICH	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Ceci Bustamante	+0.1
3	2-1	C MICH	WASHST	Kill	Mary Healy	set Audrey Hollis	+0.1
4	3-1	WASHST	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	+0.1
5	3-2	C MICH	WASHST×3	Kill	Mary Healy	set Kambree Rodriguez	+0.1
6	3-3	WASHST	WASHST×3	Kill	Kryssa Moerman	set Audrey Hollis	+0.1
7	3-4	WASHST	WASHST×3	Ace	WASHST server	aced Team	+0.1
8	4-4	WASHST	C MICH	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.1
9	5-4	C MICH	C MICH	Attack err	Audrey Hollis		+0.1
10	5-5	C MICH	WASHST×3	Kill	Mary Healy	set Livia Ward	+0.1
11	5-6	WASHST	WASHST×3	Attack err	Brenna Storz	blk Eliana Tia, Kryssa Moerman	+0.1
12	5-7	WASHST	WASHST×3	Attack err	Taylor Cripe		+0.1
13	6-7	WASHST	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	+0.1
14	6-8	C MICH	WASHST×3	Kill	Eliana Tia	set Livia Ward	+0.1
15	6-9	WASHST	WASHST×3	Attack err	Eliana Tia		+0.1
16	6-10	WASHST	WASHST×3	Kill	Naomi White	set Ceci Bustamante	+0.0
17	7-10	WASHST	C MICH	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.0
18	8-10	C MICH	C MICH	Ace	C MICH server	aced Eliana Tia	+0.1
19	8-11	C MICH	WASHST	Serve err	C MICH server		+0.1
20	8-12	WASHST	WASHST	Kill	Eliana Tia	set Audrey Hollis	+0.0
21	9-12	WASHST	C MICH×3	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	+0.0
22	10-12	C MICH	C MICH×3	Attack err	Naomi White	blk Teyhlor Thomas	+0.1
23	11-12	C MICH	C MICH×3	Bad set	Mary Healy		+0.1
24	11-13	C MICH	WASHST×10	Kill	Whitney Dewicki	set Audrey Hollis	+0.1
25	11-14	WASHST	WASHST×10	Ace	WASHST server	aced Team	+0.1
26	11-15	WASHST	WASHST×10	Kill	Naomi White	set Kambree Rodriguez	+0.1
27	11-16	WASHST	WASHST×10	Attack err	Lilly Mullholand	blk Naomi White, Mary Healy	+0.0
28	11-17	WASHST	WASHST×10	Attack err	Ceci Bustamante		+0.0
29	11-18	WASHST	WASHST×10	Attack err	Taylor Cripe	blk Naomi White, Whitney Dewicki	+0.0
30	11-19	WASHST	WASHST×10	Attack err	Jaliyah Cohnes		+0.0
31	11-20	WASHST	WASHST×10	Attack err	Teyhlor Thomas	blk Naomi White	+0.0
32	11-21	WASHST	WASHST×10	Attack err	Jaliyah Cohnes		+0.0
33	11-22	WASHST	WASHST×10	Attack err	Teyhlor Thomas	blk Whitney Dewicki, Naomi White	+0.0
34	12-22	WASHST	C MICH	Attack err	Madyn Cervellera		+0.0
35	13-22	C MICH	C MICH	Attack err	Whitney Dewicki		+0.0
36	13-23	C MICH	WASHST	Attack err	Lilly Mullholand		+0.0
37	14-23	WASHST	C MICH	Kill	Lilly Mullholand	set Brytn Lyon	+0.0
38	14-24	C MICH	WASHST	Kill	Kryssa Moerman	set Audrey Hollis	+0.0
39	15-24	WASHST	C MICH	Attack err	Madyn Cervellera		+0.0
40	15-25	C MICH	WASHST	Kill	Madyn Cervellera	set Kambree Rodriguez	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	C MICH	WASHST	Kill	Naomi White	set Audrey Hollis	+0.0
2	1-1	WASHST	C MICH×3	Kill	Jaliyah Cohnes	set Audrey Hackney	+0.0
3	2-1	C MICH	C MICH×3	Bad set	Mary Healy		+0.0
4	3-1	C MICH	C MICH×3	Ace	C MICH server	aced Team	+0.1
5	3-2	C MICH	WASHST×4	Kill	Whitney Dewicki	set Audrey Hollis	+0.0
6	3-3	WASHST	WASHST×4	Bad set	Taylor Cripe		+0.0
7	3-4	WASHST	WASHST×4	Attack err	Teyhlor Thomas	blk Kryssa Moerman, Mary Healy	+0.0
8	3-5	WASHST	WASHST×4	Kill	Whitney Dewicki	set Mary Healy	+0.0
9	4-5	WASHST	C MICH×3	Kill	Jaliyah Cohnes	set Audrey Hackney	+0.0
10	5-5	C MICH	C MICH×3	Attack err	Mary Healy		+0.0
11	6-5	C MICH	C MICH×3	Attack err	Mary Healy	blk Lilly Mullholand	+0.1
12	6-6	C MICH	WASHST	Serve err	C MICH server		+0.0
13	6-7	WASHST	WASHST	Kill	Mary Healy	set Audrey Hollis	+0.0
14	7-7	WASHST	C MICH×3	Bad set	Mary Healy		+0.0
15	8-7	C MICH	C MICH×3	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Addison Samolinski	+0.1
16	9-7	C MICH	C MICH×3	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Ceci Bustamante	+0.1
17	9-8	C MICH	WASHST×5	Kill	Kryssa Moerman	set Livia Ward	+0.1
18	9-9	WASHST	WASHST×5	Ace	WASHST server	aced Addison Samolinski	+0.1
19	9-10	WASHST	WASHST×5	Ace	WASHST server	aced Ceci Bustamante	+0.0
20	9-11	WASHST	WASHST×5	Kill	Kate Hayhurst	set Livia Ward	+0.0
21	9-12	WASHST	WASHST×5	Bad set	Brytn Lyon		+0.0
22	10-12	WASHST	C MICH	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.0
23	10-13	C MICH	WASHST	Attack err	Eliana Tia		+0.0
24	11-13	WASHST	C MICH	Bad set	Livia Ward		+0.0
25	12-13	C MICH	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Ceci Bustamante	+0.0
26	12-14	C MICH	WASHST×7	Kill	Eliana Tia	set Livia Ward	+0.0
27	12-15	WASHST	WASHST×7	Kill	Eliana Tia	set Naomi White	+0.0
28	12-16	WASHST	WASHST×7	Ace	WASHST server	aced Addison Samolinski	+0.0
29	12-17	WASHST	WASHST×7	Attack err	Taylor Cripe		+0.0
30	12-18	WASHST	WASHST×7	Attack err	Meisha Sykes		+0.0
31	12-19	WASHST	WASHST×7	Attack err	Taylor Cripe		+0.0
32	12-20	WASHST	WASHST×7	Attack err	Taylor Cripe		+0.0
33	13-20	WASHST	C MICH	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.0
34	14-20	C MICH	C MICH	Kill	Jaliyah Cohnes	set Brytn Lyon	+0.0
35	14-21	C MICH	WASHST	Serve err	C MICH server		+0.0
36	14-22	WASHST	WASHST	Attack err	Meisha Sykes	blk Mary Healy	+0.0
37	15-22	WASHST	C MICH	Kill	Jaliyah Cohnes	set Brytn Lyon	+0.0
38	15-23	C MICH	WASHST	Kill	Whitney Dewicki	set Audrey Hollis	+0.0
39	16-23	WASHST	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	+0.0
40	17-23	C MICH	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	+0.0
41	17-24	C MICH	WASHST	Attack err	Taylor Cripe		+0.0
42	18-24	WASHST	C MICH	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.0
43	18-25	C MICH	WASHST	Kill	Mary Healy	set Livia Ward	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Central Mich. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.