FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwayPATRIOT

3:0

HomeCUSA

Army West Point def. Liberty 3–0

(25-19, 25-13, 25-17)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
ARMY	25	25	25	3
LIBRTY	19	13	17	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

LIBRTY above 50 · ARMY below

Biggest swing: 3.9% to Army West Point — set 1, ARMY 18-15 LIBRTY. Kill by Marlee Lightsey (set by Nicole Stroud). LIBRTY win probability 53% → 49%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

ARMY 38.2%61.8% LIBRTY

Army West Point wins

3-0

8.2%

3-1

13.9%

3-2

16.2%

Liberty wins

3-0

18.1%

3-1

23.6%

3-2

20.0%

ARMY break %: 39.4% vs this opp
LIBRTY break %: 41.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Marlee LightseyKill+3.9%
Kill by Marlee Lightsey (set by Nicole Stroud)
Set 1 · ARMY 18-15 LIBRTY · ARMY 47% → 51%
02
LIBRTY serverAce+3.4%
Liberty ace on Marlee Lightsey
Set 1 · ARMY 14-13 LIBRTY · LIBRTY 53% → 56%
03
Kennedy JonesKill+3.3%
Kill by Kennedy Jones (set by Nicole Stroud)
Set 1 · ARMY 19-15 LIBRTY · ARMY 51% → 54%
04
Marlee LightseyKill+3.2%
Kill by Marlee Lightsey (set by Nicole Stroud)
Set 1 · ARMY 10-8 LIBRTY · ARMY 42% → 45%
05
Marlee LightseyKill+3.2%
Kill by Marlee Lightsey (set by Juliette Myrick)
Set 2 · ARMY 5-3 LIBRTY · ARMY 62% → 65%
06
Juliette MyrickKill+3.1%
Kill by Juliette Myrick (set by Naomi Chinchar)
Set 2 · ARMY 6-3 LIBRTY · ARMY 65% → 68%
07
Kennedy JonesKill+3.1%
Kill by Kennedy Jones (set by Juliette Myrick)
Set 1 · ARMY 9-8 LIBRTY · ARMY 39% → 42%
08
ARMY serverAce+3.1%
Army West Point ace on Jenna Otts
Set 1 · ARMY 11-8 LIBRTY · ARMY 45% → 48%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Army West Pointaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
9Kennedy JonesOH	3	13	1	20	.600	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	14
21Marlee LightseyOH	3	11	2	20	.450	1	1	1	5	3	0	0	12
3Juliette MyrickS	3	7	1	12	.500	22	0	0	11	0	1	0.5	7.5
28Corrine BlackburnMB	3	4	0	9	.444	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	5
14Hannah HankersonOH	3	4	0	5	.800	0	1	0	8	0	0	0	5
16Victoria KasanganayMB	3	3	3	7	.000	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	4.5
6Kealakai BandyOH	3	3	0	7	.429	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	4
10Naomi ChincharS	3	0	0	0	–	12	3	0	8	0	0	0	3
11Nicole StroudL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	7	1	2	13	0	0	0	1
1Ryan LeclairL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
19Audrey St.ClairL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23Annette LeeL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		45	7	80	.475	43	7	4	47	3	10	5	75

Libertyhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
8Jenna OttsOH	3	11	4	29	.241	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	12
25Paige OvercashOH	3	8	4	25	.160	0	1	1	2	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
0Laney DaniellMB	3	6	0	12	.500	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	7
2Carly O'BrienOH	3	6	0	16	.375	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	6
24Layla CollinsMB	3	3	2	11	.091	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
11Alison BierwagenS	3	0	0	2	.000	25	0	3	2	0	0	0	0	0
15Charli MorrisS	3	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
16Charli CrowsonS	3	0	0	0	–	5	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	1
5Melis UralL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	12	3	0	0	0	0
22Molly LittlefieldL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
3VB TrostOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Kayla O'BrienL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		35	10	96	.260	32	3	13	23	7	1	2	2	49

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 ARMY · LIBRTY 2

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 4 ARMYLIBRTY 2

Set 2

25-13

Longest run 5 ARMYLIBRTY 2

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 7 ARMYLIBRTY 2

Bars above the line = Liberty leads, below = Army West Point leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Army West Point

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	80%8/10	61%11/18
2	70%7/10	30%3/10
3	78%7/9	46%6/13
4	75%6/8	67%12/18
5	75%6/8	14%1/7
6	100%5/5	38%3/8
All	78%39/50	49%36/74

Liberty

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%8/15	0%0/6
2	58%7/12	27%3/11
3	47%7/15	30%3/10
4	40%6/15	13%1/8
5	63%5/8	33%3/9
6	56%5/9	17%1/6
All	51%38/74	22%11/50

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

124 rallies

Rally log

#	ARMY-LIBRTY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	ARMY	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.7
2	1-1	LIBRTY	ARMY	Kill	Marlee Lightsey	set Juliette Myrick	+1.7
3	1-2	ARMY	LIBRTY	Serve err	ARMY server		+1.7
4	2-2	LIBRTY	ARMY	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+1.7
5	3-2	ARMY	ARMY	Kill	Marlee Lightsey	set Juliette Myrick	+2.6
6	3-3	ARMY	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.8
7	3-4	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Melis Ural	+2.6
8	4-4	LIBRTY	ARMY	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+1.8
9	5-4	ARMY	ARMY	Kill	Juliette Myrick	set Naomi Chinchar	+2.8
10	5-5	ARMY	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.9
11	6-5	LIBRTY	ARMY	Kill	Victoria Kasanganay	set Naomi Chinchar	+2.0
12	6-6	ARMY	LIBRTY	Kill	Layla Collins	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.9
13	6-7	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Ace	LIBRTY server	aced Marlee Lightsey	+2.8
14	7-7	LIBRTY	ARMY	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+1.9
15	7-8	ARMY	LIBRTY	Kill	Layla Collins	set Alison Bierwagen	+2.0
16	8-8	LIBRTY	ARMY×4	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Nicole Stroud	+2.0
17	9-8	ARMY	ARMY×4	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Juliette Myrick	+3.1
18	10-8	ARMY	ARMY×4	Kill	Marlee Lightsey	set Nicole Stroud	+3.2
19	11-8	ARMY	ARMY×4	Ace	ARMY server	aced Jenna Otts	+3.1
20	11-9	ARMY	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.9
21	12-9	LIBRTY	ARMY	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+2.2
22	12-10	ARMY	LIBRTY	Attack err	Marlee Lightsey	blk Jenna Otts	+1.9
23	13-10	LIBRTY	ARMY	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Juliette Myrick	+2.3
24	13-11	ARMY	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.9
25	14-11	LIBRTY	ARMY	Kill	Marlee Lightsey	set Naomi Chinchar	+2.3
26	14-12	ARMY	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+2.0
27	14-13	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Ace	LIBRTY server	aced Marlee Lightsey	+3.4
28	15-13	LIBRTY	ARMY	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+2.6
29	15-14	ARMY	LIBRTY	Serve err	ARMY server		+2.4
30	16-14	LIBRTY	ARMY	Kill	Juliette Myrick	set Naomi Chinchar	+2.7
31	16-15	ARMY	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Alison Bierwagen	+2.4
32	17-15	LIBRTY	ARMY×4	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Nicole Stroud	+2.9
33	18-15	ARMY	ARMY×4	Kill	Marlee Lightsey	set Nicole Stroud	+3.9
34	19-15	ARMY	ARMY×4	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Nicole Stroud	+3.3
35	20-15	ARMY	ARMY×4	Attack err	Jenna Otts	blk Kennedy Jones, Corrine Blackburn	+2.4
36	20-16	ARMY	LIBRTY	Attack err	Kennedy Jones		+1.0
37	20-17	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell		+2.2
38	21-17	LIBRTY	ARMY	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Juliette Myrick	+2.3
39	22-17	ARMY	ARMY	Kill	Hannah Hankerson	set Nicole Stroud	+2.1
40	22-18	ARMY	LIBRTY	Attack err	Victoria Kasanganay		+0.7
41	23-18	LIBRTY	ARMY	Kill	Hannah Hankerson	set Kennedy Jones	+1.3
42	23-19	ARMY	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.5
43	24-19	LIBRTY	ARMY	Attack err	Paige Overcash		+1.0
44	25-19	ARMY	ARMY	Kill	Hannah Hankerson	set Naomi Chinchar	+0.3
Set 2
1	1-0	LIBRTY	ARMY	Kill	Corrine Blackburn	set Juliette Myrick	+2.0
2	1-1	ARMY	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.9
3	1-2	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+2.8
4	2-2	LIBRTY	ARMY	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Juliette Myrick	+2.0
5	3-2	ARMY	ARMY	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Juliette Myrick	+3.0
6	3-3	ARMY	LIBRTY	Serve err	ARMY server		+2.0
7	4-3	LIBRTY	ARMY×5	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Juliette Myrick	+2.1
8	5-3	ARMY	ARMY×5	Kill	Marlee Lightsey	set Juliette Myrick	+3.2
9	6-3	ARMY	ARMY×5	Kill	Juliette Myrick	set Naomi Chinchar	+3.1
10	7-3	ARMY	ARMY×5	Attack err	Layla Collins	blk Victoria Kasanganay, Juliette Myrick	+3.0
11	8-3	ARMY	ARMY×5	Ace	ARMY server	aced Molly Littlefield	+2.7
12	8-4	ARMY	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.5
13	9-4	LIBRTY	ARMY	Kill	Juliette Myrick	set Naomi Chinchar	+1.9
14	10-4	ARMY	ARMY	Attack err	Paige Overcash		+2.3
15	10-5	ARMY	LIBRTY	Attack err	Victoria Kasanganay		+1.2
16	11-5	LIBRTY	ARMY	Kill	Victoria Kasanganay	set Naomi Chinchar	+1.6
17	12-5	ARMY	ARMY	Attack err	Jenna Otts		+1.9
18	12-6	ARMY	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.9
19	13-6	LIBRTY	ARMY×5	Kill	Corrine Blackburn	set Juliette Myrick	+1.3
20	14-6	ARMY	ARMY×5	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Juliette Myrick	+1.4
21	15-6	ARMY	ARMY×5	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Nicole Stroud	+0.9
22	16-6	ARMY	ARMY×5	Kill	Corrine Blackburn	set Juliette Myrick	+0.6
23	17-6	ARMY	ARMY×5	Attack err	Jenna Otts	blk Corrine Blackburn, Kennedy Jones	+0.3
24	17-7	ARMY	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson	+0.1
25	18-7	LIBRTY	ARMY	Kill	Kealakai Bandy	set Juliette Myrick	+0.2
26	18-8	ARMY	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.1
27	19-8	LIBRTY	ARMY	Kill	Corrine Blackburn	set Juliette Myrick	+0.2
28	20-8	ARMY	ARMY	Kill	Marlee Lightsey	set Juliette Myrick	+0.1
29	20-9	ARMY	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.0
30	20-10	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Attack err	Marlee Lightsey	blk Layla Collins, Paige Overcash	+0.1
31	21-10	LIBRTY	ARMY	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+0.1
32	21-11	ARMY	LIBRTY	Attack err	Victoria Kasanganay		+0.0
33	22-11	LIBRTY	ARMY	Kill	Hannah Hankerson	set Naomi Chinchar	+0.1
34	22-12	ARMY	LIBRTY	Serve err	ARMY server		+0.0
35	22-13	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Attack err	Juliette Myrick		+0.0
36	23-13	LIBRTY	ARMY×3	Kill	Kealakai Bandy	set Naomi Chinchar	+0.1
37	24-13	ARMY	ARMY×3	Ace	ARMY server	aced Melis Ural	+0.0
38	25-13	ARMY	ARMY×3	Kill	Kealakai Bandy	set Juliette Myrick	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	ARMY	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.4
2	1-1	LIBRTY	ARMY	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+1.4
3	1-2	ARMY	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.4
4	1-3	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Alison Bierwagen	+2.0
5	2-3	LIBRTY	ARMY×3	Kill	Marlee Lightsey	set Juliette Myrick	+1.4
6	3-3	ARMY	ARMY×3	Kill	Marlee Lightsey	set Juliette Myrick	+2.2
7	4-3	ARMY	ARMY×3	Ace	ARMY server	aced Melis Ural	+2.3
8	4-4	ARMY	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.5
9	5-4	LIBRTY	ARMY×7	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+1.6
10	6-4	ARMY	ARMY×7	Ace	ARMY server	aced Melis Ural	+2.4
11	7-4	ARMY	ARMY×7	Attack err	Layla Collins		+2.4
12	8-4	ARMY	ARMY×7	Attack err	Paige Overcash	blk Victoria Kasanganay, Kealakai Bandy	+2.2
13	9-4	ARMY	ARMY×7	Kill	Juliette Myrick	set Marlee Lightsey	+2.0
14	10-4	ARMY	ARMY×7	Attack err	Paige Overcash	blk Kealakai Bandy, Victoria Kasanganay	+1.7
15	11-4	ARMY	ARMY×7	Kill	Juliette Myrick	set Naomi Chinchar	+1.4
16	11-5	ARMY	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.7
17	11-6	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Ace	LIBRTY server	aced Marlee Lightsey	+1.3
18	12-6	LIBRTY	ARMY	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+1.2
19	12-7	ARMY	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Charli Crowson	+0.9
20	13-7	LIBRTY	ARMY	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+1.2
21	13-8	ARMY	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien		+0.9
22	14-8	LIBRTY	ARMY	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+1.2
23	14-9	ARMY	LIBRTY	Kill	Charli Morris	set Charli Crowson	+0.8
24	15-9	LIBRTY	ARMY	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Juliette Myrick	+1.2
25	16-9	ARMY	ARMY	Ace	ARMY server	aced Jenna Otts	+1.2
26	16-10	ARMY	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.5
27	16-11	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.1
28	17-11	LIBRTY	ARMY	Kill	Victoria Kasanganay	set Juliette Myrick	+1.1
29	18-11	ARMY	ARMY	Ace	ARMY server	aced Kayla O'Brien	+1.1
30	18-12	ARMY	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.4
31	19-12	LIBRTY	ARMY	Kill	Marlee Lightsey	set Naomi Chinchar	+0.7
32	19-13	ARMY	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.4
33	20-13	LIBRTY	ARMY	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+0.6
34	20-14	ARMY	LIBRTY	Kill	Layla Collins	set Charli Crowson	+0.3
35	21-14	LIBRTY	ARMY	Kill	Juliette Myrick	set Naomi Chinchar	+0.5
36	21-15	ARMY	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson	+0.2
37	22-15	LIBRTY	ARMY	Attack err	Jenna Otts		+0.4
38	23-15	ARMY	ARMY	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Juliette Myrick	+0.2
39	23-16	ARMY	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Melis Ural	+0.0
40	23-17	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Juliette Myrick	+0.1
41	24-17	LIBRTY	ARMY	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+0.2
42	25-17	ARMY	ARMY	Kill	Marlee Lightsey		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Army West Point first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.