FinalSat, Sep 19, 2026

American def. Army West Point 3–0

American won at Army West Point 3-0 (25-17, 25-15, 25-23) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026. American's Salme Hollas led with 10 kills, and Bella Marrero added 12 digs.

Data through · final Sep 19

Set123Sets
AMER2525253
ARMY1715230

Win probability

Army West Point above 50 · American below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+4.1% AMERrally 130 · set 3

Biggest swing: 4.1% to American — set 3, AMER 24-23 ARMY. American ace on Marlee Lightsey. ARMY win probability 8% → 4%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

AMER 68.2%31.8% ARMY

American wins

3-0
22.0%
3-1
26.2%
3-2
20.0%

Army West Point wins

3-0
6.2%
3-1
11.3%
3-2
14.3%
AMER break %
45.7% vs this opp
ARMY break %
42.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    AmericanAce+4.1%

    American ace on Marlee Lightsey

    Set 3 · AMER 24-23 ARMY · AMER 92% → 96%

  2. 02

    Kill by Elise Sterling (set by Sam Mcmillan)

    Set 3 · AMER 25-23 ARMY · AMER 96% → 100%

  3. 03

    Kill by Marlee Lightsey

    Set 3 · AMER 22-23 ARMY · ARMY 7% → 11%

  4. 04
    Deniz DakakKill+2.6%

    Kill by Deniz Dakak (set by Olivia Miller)

    Set 3 · AMER 23-23 ARMY · AMER 89% → 92%

  5. 05

    Carly Sciborski stuffed by Michelle Parker & Marlee Lightsey

    Set 3 · AMER 21-21 ARMY · ARMY 5% → 7%

  6. 06
    Army West PointAce+2.3%

    Army West Point ace on Alex Ioannou

    Set 1 · AMER 1-2 ARMY · ARMY 31% → 34%

  7. 07
    Marlee LightseyAttack error+2.2%

    Attack error by Marlee Lightsey

    Set 1 · AMER 3-2 ARMY · AMER 68% → 70%

  8. 08
    Kennedy JonesKill+2.1%

    Kill by Kennedy Jones

    Set 3 · AMER 22-22 ARMY · ARMY 5% → 7%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310122.40902080031.513.5
38113.5380001006311
37013.538100202029
37114.42900000010.57.5
3508.625331160010.56.5
3000–113810001
35218.16710000010.55.5
31011.000100000001
3000–3111200001
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–001100000
3000–000000000
3000–100300000
3000–000000000
3000–000100000
3000–000000000
Team totals43589.4274156423212875
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39517.2350000002110
37222.22701242010.58.5
35718-.111000201227
35016.31317001000005
33512-.167010200004
3329.111000000003
3418.375101000004
3204.50000000010.52.5
3102.50017101100002
31011.000000000001
3001.000200300000
3001.000000300000
3000–000000000
3000–002000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
Team totals4022111.162373535516455

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

American vs Army West Point

Season series · American leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 AMER · ARMY 3

Set 1

25-17

Longest run 5 AMERARMY 2

Set 2

25-15

Longest run 3 AMERARMY 3

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 3 AMERARMY 2

Bars above the line = Army West Point leads, below = American leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

American

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%5/7
58%7/12
2
71%5/7
44%4/9
3
63%5/8
29%2/7
4
67%4/6
60%6/10
5
67%4/6
33%2/6
6
67%4/6
33%2/6
All
68%27/40
46%23/50

Army West Point

SlotSideout %Break %
1
42%5/12
33%2/6
2
56%5/9
29%2/7
3
71%5/7
29%2/7
4
40%4/10
38%3/8
5
67%4/6
33%2/6
6
67%4/6
33%2/6
All
54%27/50
33%13/40

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

130 rallies

#AMER-ARMYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0AMERAMERAttack errKennedy Jones+2.1
21-1AMERARMYKillKennedy Jonesset Juliette Myrick+1.7
31-2ARMYARMYAceArmy West Pointaced Alex Ioannou+2.3
42-2ARMYAMER×5Attack errJanie Deapenset Juliette Myrick+1.7
53-2AMERAMER×5Attack errMarlee Lightsey+2.2
64-2AMERAMER×5KillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+2.1
75-2AMERAMER×5KillCarly Sciborskiset Elise Sterling+1.9
86-2AMERAMER×5KillSalme Hollas+1.7
96-3AMERARMYKillKennedy Jonesset Juliette Myrick+1.3
107-3ARMYAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+1.4
117-4AMERARMYBlockedSalme Hollasblk Michelle Parker, Kennedy Jones+1.3
127-5ARMYARMYAceArmy West Point+1.9
138-5ARMYAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+1.6
149-5AMERAMERAttack errMichelle Parker+1.8
159-6AMERARMYKillJuliette Myrickset Naomi Chinchar+1.3
169-7ARMYARMYKillJanie Deapenset Naomi Chinchar+2.0
1710-7ARMYAMERServe errArmy West Point+1.7
1811-7AMERAMERAttack errMichelle Parker+1.9
1911-8AMERARMYKillMichelle Parkerset Naomi Chinchar+1.4
2012-8ARMYAMERServe errArmy West Point+1.5
2112-9AMERARMYServe errAmerican+1.4
2213-9ARMYAMER×5KillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+1.6
2314-9AMERAMER×5KillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+1.6
2415-9AMERAMER×5BlockedCorrine Blackburnblk Salme Hollas, Prinzez Zeck+1.3
2516-9AMERAMER×5KillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+0.9
2617-9AMERAMER×5AceAmerican+0.6
2717-10AMERARMYServe errAmerican+0.3
2818-10ARMYAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+0.4
2918-11AMERARMYKillJanie Deapenset Juliette Myrick+0.3
3019-11ARMYAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+0.4
3119-12AMERARMYServe errAmerican+0.2
3220-12ARMYAMER×3Attack errJanie Deapenset Naomi Chinchar+0.3
3321-12AMERAMER×3Attack errJanie Deapen+0.2
3422-12AMERAMER×3KillSam Mcmillanset Deniz Dakak+0.1
3522-13AMERARMYKillMichelle Parker·
3623-13ARMYAMERKillSam Mcmillanset Deniz Dakak·
3723-14AMERARMYKillMichelle Parkerset Naomi Chinchar·
3823-15ARMYARMYKillCorrine Blackburnset Naomi Chinchar·
3924-15ARMYAMERKillSam Mcmillanset Deniz Dakak·
4024-16AMERARMYKillJuliette Myrickset Naomi Chinchar·
4124-17ARMYARMYKillKennedy Jones·
4225-17ARMYAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak·
Set 2
10-1ARMYARMYBlockedPrinzez Zeckblk Kennedy Jones+1.9
21-1ARMYAMER×3Attack errJanie Deapenset Juliette Myrick+1.4
32-1AMERAMER×3BlockedJanie Deapenblk Prinzez Zeck, Salme Hollas+1.8
43-1AMERAMER×3Attack errKennedy Jones+1.7
53-2AMERARMYServe errAmerican+1.3
64-2ARMYAMER×3KillCarly Sciborskiset Bella Marrero+1.4
75-2AMERAMER×3KillDeniz Dakakset Alex Ioannou+1.6
86-2AMERAMER×3AceAmerican+1.5
96-3AMERARMYKillKennedy Jonesset Juliette Myrick+1.1
107-3ARMYAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+1.2
118-3AMER
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.3
128-4AMERARMYKillMarlee Lightseyset Audrey St.clair+0.9
139-4ARMYAMER×3KillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+1.0
1410-4AMERAMER×3KillDeniz Dakakset Bella Marrero+1.1
1511-4AMERAMER×3KillDeniz Dakak+0.8
1611-5AMERARMY×3KillMichelle Parker+0.5
1711-6ARMYARMY×3KillJanie Deapenset Juliette Myrick+0.9
1811-7ARMYARMY×3Attack errSam Mcmillan+1.2
1912-7ARMYAMERBlockedMichelle Parkerblk Elise Sterling+1.1
2013-7AMERAMERAttack errMarlee Lightsey+1.1
2113-8AMERARMYKillMichelle Parker+0.7
2214-8ARMYAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+0.8
2314-9AMERARMYKillCorrine Blackburn+0.7
2415-9ARMYAMERBlockedKennedy Jonesblk Sam Mcmillan, Prinzez Zeck+0.8
2516-9AMERAMERBlockedCorrine Blackburnblk Salme Hollas, Prinzez Zeck+0.8
2616-10AMERARMYKillCorrine Blackburn+0.4
2717-10ARMYAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+0.6
2818-10AMERAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+0.5
2918-11AMERARMYKillMarlee Lightseyset Audrey St.clair+0.2
3019-11ARMYAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+0.3
3119-12AMERARMYKillHannah Hankersonset Juliette Myrick+0.2
3220-12ARMYAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+0.3
3321-12AMERAMERAceAmericanaced Marlee Lightsey+0.2
3421-13AMERARMYKillMichelle Parkerset Naomi Chinchar+0.1
3522-13ARMYAMERKillDeniz Dakakset Emma Blankenship+0.1
3623-13AMERAMERAttack errMichelle Parker·
3723-14AMERARMYKillJuliette Myrickset Naomi Chinchar·
3824-14ARMYAMERServe errArmy West Point·
3924-15AMERARMYKillKealakai Bandyset Naomi Chinchar·
4025-15ARMYAMERKillEmma Blankenshipset Bella Marrero·
Set 3
11-0AMERAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+1.0
22-0AMERAMERBlockedKennedy Jonesblk Carly Sciborski, Prinzez Zeck+0.9
32-1AMERARMYKillBreelyn Benderset Juliette Myrick+0.7
43-1ARMYAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+0.7
53-2AMERARMYKillBreelyn Bender+0.8
64-2ARMYAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+0.8
75-2AMERAMERAttack errKennedy Jones+0.9
85-3AMERARMYKillMichelle Parkerset Juliette Myrick+0.7
96-3ARMYAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+0.7
107-3AMERAMERAttack errMichelle Parker+0.8
117-4AMERARMYKillMichelle Parkerset Naomi Chinchar+0.6
128-4ARMYAMERServe errArmy West Point+0.7
138-5AMERARMYKillJuliette Myrickset Naomi Chinchar+0.6
148-6ARMYARMYKillMarlee Lightseyset Juliette Myrick+0.9
159-6ARMYAMERBlockedKealakai Bandyblk Deniz Dakak, Prinzez Zeck+0.8
169-7AMERARMYKillMarlee Lightseyset Juliette Myrick+0.7
179-8ARMYARMYBlockedSam Mcmillanblk Breelyn Bender, Kennedy Jones+1.1
1810-8ARMYAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+0.9
1910-9AMERARMYKillKealakai Bandy+0.9
2010-10ARMYARMYKillKealakai Bandyset Juliette Myrick+1.3
2111-10ARMYAMERServe errArmy West Point+1.0
2211-11AMERARMYKillMarlee Lightseyset Juliette Myrick+1.0
2311-12ARMYARMYKillMichelle Parkerset Juliette Myrick+1.4
2412-12ARMYAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+1.1
2513-12AMERAMERAttack errKennedy Jones+1.4
2613-13AMERARMYKillMarlee Lightseyset Juliette Myrick+1.1
2713-14ARMYARMYKillJuliette Myrickset Naomi Chinchar+1.6
2814-14ARMYAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+1.2
2914-15AMERARMYKillNaomi Chincharset Kealakai Bandy+1.3
3014-16ARMYARMYAceArmy West Point+1.7
3115-16ARMYAMERKillSam Mcmillanset Deniz Dakak+1.2
3216-16AMERAMERKillSam Mcmillanset Deniz Dakak+1.7
3316-17AMERARMYBad setElise Sterling+1.4
3417-17ARMYAMER×3KillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+1.4
3518-17AMERAMER×3AceAmerican+1.8
3619-17AMERAMER×3KillPrinzez Zeck+1.7
3719-18AMERARMYKillKealakai Bandyset Naomi Chinchar+1.2
3820-18ARMYAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+1.4
3920-19AMERARMYServe errAmerican+1.3
4021-19ARMYAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+1.6
4121-20AMERARMYServe errAmerican+1.4
4221-21ARMYARMYBlockedCarly Sciborskiblk Michelle Parker, Marlee Lightsey+2.4
4322-21ARMYAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+2.1
4422-22AMERARMYKillKennedy Jones+2.1
4522-23ARMYARMYKillMarlee Lightsey+3.5
4623-23ARMYAMER×3KillDeniz Dakakset Olivia Miller+2.6
4724-23AMERAMER×3AceAmericanaced Marlee Lightsey+4.1
4825-23AMERAMER×3KillElise Sterlingset Sam Mcmillan+3.8

Score shown after each rally, American first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).