American at Army West Point

RallyIQ prediction

Match prediction

AMER 53.8%46.2% ARMY

American wins

3-0

14.2%

3-1

20.4%

3-2

19.3%

Army West Point wins

3-0

11.0%

3-1

17.1%

3-2

18.1%

AMER break %: 45.0% vs this opp
ARMY break %: 44.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.