FinalSat, Sep 12, 2026

AwayMAC

0:3

HomeMVC

UIC def. Central Mich. 3–0

(25-17, 25-21, 25-20)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
C MICH	17	21	20	0
UIC	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UIC above 50 · C MICH below

Biggest swing: 0.8% to UIC — set 2, C MICH 14-13 UIC. Attack error by Brenna Storz. UIC win probability 95% → 96%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

C MICH 5.0%95.0% UIC

Central Mich. wins

3-0

0.6%

3-1

1.4%

3-2

3.1%

UIC wins

3-0

55.3%

3-1

29.7%

3-2

9.9%

C MICH break %: 35.6% vs this opp
UIC break %: 48.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Brenna StorzAttack error+0.8%
Attack error by Brenna Storz
Set 2 · C MICH 14-13 UIC · UIC 95% → 96%
02
Taylor CripeAttack error+0.8%
Attack error by Taylor Cripe
Set 2 · C MICH 14-14 UIC · UIC 96% → 97%
03
C MICH serverAce+0.8%
Central Mich. ace on Emma Colombari
Set 2 · C MICH 8-3 UIC · C MICH 5% → 6%
04
Tamara KisicKill+0.8%
Kill by Tamara Kisic (set by Audrey Hackney)
Set 2 · C MICH 15-16 UIC · UIC 97% → 97%
05
Alexis CarperKill+0.7%
Kill by Alexis Carper (set by Ceci Bustamante)
Set 2 · C MICH 6-2 UIC · C MICH 4% → 5%
06
Brenna StorzKill+0.7%
Kill by Brenna Storz (set by Audrey Hackney)
Set 2 · C MICH 14-11 UIC · C MICH 5% → 6%
07
Taylor CripeAttack error+0.7%
Attack error by Taylor Cripe
Set 2 · C MICH 10-8 UIC · UIC 95% → 96%
08
Brenna StorzKill+0.7%
Kill by Brenna Storz (set by Brytn Lyon)
Set 2 · C MICH 13-10 UIC · C MICH 5% → 5%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Central Mich.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
9Alexis CarperOH	3	7	5	27	.074	0	2	0	5	2	1	1	1.5	10.5
13Lilly MullholandMB	3	7	2	21	.238	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
6Brenna StorzMB	3	7	4	14	.214	0	0	1	1	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
5Taylor CripeOH	3	6	7	22	-.045	0	0	2	8	2	0	1	0.5	6.5
15Karla Sanchez GeorgeS	3	4	2	10	.200	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4
14Brytn LyonS	3	0	0	2	.000	21	0	1	3	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
2Audrey HackneyS	3	0	0	0	–	8	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
10Ceci BustamanteL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	17	2	0	0	0	0
22Meisha SykesMB	2	1	1	3	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	2.5
1Addison SamolinskiL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Jaliyah CohnesOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		32	21	99	.111	30	2	5	38	7	1	12	7	58

UIChome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Robyn WardMB	3	8	1	14	.500	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	10
8Tamara KisicOH	3	7	2	18	.278	0	0	1	7	0	1	0	1	8
9Gabi PeterOH	3	7	2	13	.385	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	7
17Jillian GibbonsMB	3	5	0	9	.556	0	1	1	1	0	0	2	1	7
19Emma ColombariOH	3	3	4	16	-.063	1	0	2	6	1	0	0	0	3
6Paulina StröhS	3	0	0	0	–	13	1	1	4	0	0	0	0	1
11Sasha PellettieriOH	3	6	2	14	.286	0	0	0	3	0	0	5	2.5	8.5
4Judy AsarS	3	2	0	2	1.000	18	1	2	10	0	0	0	0	3
27Ava YoungL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	3	0	9	0	0	0	0	3
24Lianna OrtizL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
1Elizabeth KingOH	1	3	5	14	-.143	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
2Martina CerratoOH	1	0	0	1	.000	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
16Maryam HusseinMB	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	17	102	.235	39	7	7	42	2	1	12	7	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 C MICH · UIC 6

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 3 C MICHUIC 5

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 3 C MICHUIC 4

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 4 C MICHUIC 6

Bars above the line = UIC leads, below = Central Mich. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Central Mich.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	62%8/13	22%2/9
2	67%8/12	27%3/11
3	62%8/13	38%5/13
4	40%6/15	27%3/11
5	55%6/11	40%4/10
6	56%5/9	0%0/6
All	56%41/73	28%17/60

UIC

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	80%8/10	33%3/9
2	53%8/15	38%5/13
3	80%8/10	20%2/10
4	70%7/10	46%6/13
5	67%6/9	63%10/16
6	100%6/6	50%6/12
All	72%43/60	44%32/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

133 rallies

Rally log

#	C MICH-UIC	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	C MICH	UIC×3	Serve err	C MICH server		+0.4
2	0-2	UIC	UIC×3	Ace	UIC server	aced Ceci Bustamante	+0.5
3	0-3	UIC	UIC×3	Kill	Gabi Peter	set Paulina Ströh	+0.4
4	1-3	UIC	C MICH	Serve err	UIC server		+0.3
5	1-4	C MICH	UIC	Kill	Emma Colombari	set Paulina Ströh	+0.3
6	2-4	UIC	C MICH	Kill	Karla Sanchez George	set Brytn Lyon	+0.3
7	2-5	C MICH	UIC×5	Attack err	Taylor Cripe		+0.3
8	2-6	UIC	UIC×5	Kill	Robyn Ward		+0.4
9	2-7	UIC	UIC×5	Attack err	Alexis Carper	blk Robyn Ward, Sasha Pellettieri	+0.3
10	2-8	UIC	UIC×5	Kill	Tamara Kisic	set Judy Asar	+0.2
11	2-9	UIC	UIC×5	Kill	Robyn Ward	set Judy Asar	+0.1
12	3-9	UIC	C MICH	Serve err	UIC server		+0.1
13	4-9	C MICH	C MICH	Kill	Lilly Mullholand	set Brytn Lyon	+0.2
14	4-10	C MICH	UIC	Kill	Sasha Pellettieri	set Judy Asar	+0.1
15	4-11	UIC	UIC	Attack err	Lilly Mullholand		+0.1
16	5-11	UIC	C MICH	Attack err	Sasha Pellettieri		+0.1
17	5-12	C MICH	UIC	Attack err	Brenna Storz		+0.1
18	6-12	UIC	C MICH	Kill	Alexis Carper	set Brytn Lyon	+0.1
19	6-13	C MICH	UIC	Kill	Gabi Peter	set Paulina Ströh	+0.1
20	7-13	UIC	C MICH	Kill	Brenna Storz	set Brytn Lyon	+0.1
21	8-13	C MICH	C MICH	Attack err	Gabi Peter	blk Brenna Storz, Alexis Carper	+0.2
22	8-14	C MICH	UIC	Serve err	C MICH server		+0.2
23	9-14	UIC	C MICH×3	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	+0.1
24	10-14	C MICH	C MICH×3	Kill	Alexis Carper	set Brytn Lyon	+0.3
25	11-14	C MICH	C MICH×3	Attack err	Robyn Ward		+0.4
26	11-15	C MICH	UIC	Kill	Robyn Ward	set Paulina Ströh	+0.3
27	12-15	UIC	C MICH	Serve err	UIC server		+0.3
28	13-15	C MICH	C MICH	Kill	Alexis Carper	set Audrey Hackney	+0.6
29	13-16	C MICH	UIC	Kill	Sasha Pellettieri	set Judy Asar	+0.5
30	13-17	UIC	UIC	Kill	Sasha Pellettieri	set Judy Asar	+0.5
31	14-17	UIC	C MICH	Serve err	UIC server		+0.3
32	15-17	C MICH	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	+0.7
33	15-18	C MICH	UIC×3	Kill	Robyn Ward	set Judy Asar	+0.5
34	15-19	UIC	UIC×3	Attack err	Taylor Cripe	blk Jillian Gibbons	+0.6
35	15-20	UIC	UIC×3	Kill	Tamara Kisic	set Ava Young	+0.3
36	16-20	UIC	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	+0.2
37	16-21	C MICH	UIC×3	Kill	Jillian Gibbons	set Judy Asar	+0.2
38	16-22	UIC	UIC×3	Serve err	UIC server		+0.2
39	16-23	UIC	UIC×3	Ace	UIC server	aced Ceci Bustamante	+0.1
40	17-23	UIC	C MICH	Kill	Brenna Storz	set Brytn Lyon	+0.0
41	17-24	C MICH	UIC	Attack err	Karla Sanchez George		+0.0
42	17-25	UIC	UIC	Attack err	Alexis Carper		+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	UIC	C MICH	Serve err	UIC server		+0.3
2	1-1	C MICH	UIC	Kill	Gabi Peter	set Paulina Ströh	+0.3
3	2-1	UIC	C MICH×3	Serve err	UIC server		+0.4
4	3-1	C MICH	C MICH×3	Kill	Lilly Mullholand	set Brytn Lyon	+0.6
5	4-1	C MICH	C MICH×3	Kill	Brenna Storz	set Brytn Lyon	+0.6
6	4-2	C MICH	UIC	Kill	Gabi Peter	set Paulina Ströh	+0.4
7	5-2	UIC	C MICH	Attack err	Emma Colombari	blk Brenna Storz, Lilly Mullholand	+0.5
8	6-2	C MICH	C MICH	Kill	Alexis Carper	set Ceci Bustamante	+0.7
9	6-3	C MICH	UIC	Kill	Robyn Ward	set Paulina Ströh	+0.4
10	7-3	UIC	C MICH	Attack err	Emma Colombari		+0.6
11	8-3	C MICH	C MICH	Ace	C MICH server	aced Emma Colombari	+0.8
12	8-4	C MICH	UIC	Kill	Emma Colombari	set Judy Asar	+0.4
13	9-4	UIC	C MICH	Kill	Brenna Storz	set Audrey Hackney	+0.6
14	9-5	C MICH	UIC	Attack err	Taylor Cripe	blk Robyn Ward, Sasha Pellettieri	+0.4
15	10-5	UIC	C MICH	Kill	Meisha Sykes	set Audrey Hackney	+0.6
16	10-6	C MICH	UIC×3	Kill	Tamara Kisic	set Judy Asar	+0.5
17	10-7	UIC	UIC×3	Attack err	Lilly Mullholand		+0.7
18	10-8	UIC	UIC×3	Attack err	Taylor Cripe		+0.7
19	11-8	UIC	C MICH	Attack err	Emma Colombari		+0.6
20	11-9	C MICH	UIC	Kill	Jillian Gibbons	set Paulina Ströh	+0.5
21	12-9	UIC	C MICH	Attack err	Emma Colombari		+0.7
22	12-10	C MICH	UIC	Kill	Gabi Peter	set Paulina Ströh	+0.5
23	13-10	UIC	C MICH	Kill	Brenna Storz	set Brytn Lyon	+0.7
24	13-11	C MICH	UIC	Attack err	Brenna Storz		+0.5
25	14-11	UIC	C MICH	Kill	Brenna Storz	set Audrey Hackney	+0.7
26	14-12	C MICH	UIC×3	Kill	Robyn Ward	set Judy Asar	+0.6
27	14-13	UIC	UIC×3	Attack err	Brenna Storz		+0.8
28	14-14	UIC	UIC×3	Attack err	Taylor Cripe		+0.8
29	15-14	UIC	C MICH	Kill	Karla Sanchez George	set Audrey Hackney	+0.7
30	15-15	C MICH	UIC×4	Kill	Tamara Kisic	set Ava Young	+0.6
31	15-16	UIC	UIC×4	Kill	Tamara Kisic	set Audrey Hackney	+0.8
32	15-17	UIC	UIC×4	Attack err	Karla Sanchez George	blk Tamara Kisic	+0.7
33	15-18	UIC	UIC×4	Attack err	Taylor Cripe	blk Jillian Gibbons, Sasha Pellettieri	+0.5
34	16-18	UIC	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Judy Asar	+0.3
35	16-19	C MICH	UIC	Kill	Tamara Kisic	set Judy Asar	+0.4
36	17-19	UIC	C MICH	Kill	Lilly Mullholand	set Brytn Lyon	+0.3
37	17-20	C MICH	UIC×3	Kill	Gabi Peter	set Paulina Ströh	+0.4
38	17-21	UIC	UIC×3	Kill	Gabi Peter	set Ava Young	+0.4
39	17-22	UIC	UIC×3	Kill	Jillian Gibbons	set Paulina Ströh	+0.2
40	18-22	UIC	C MICH×3	Kill	Alexis Carper	set Brytn Lyon	+0.1
41	19-22	C MICH	C MICH×3	Kill	Lilly Mullholand	set Brytn Lyon	+0.2
42	20-22	C MICH	C MICH×3	Attack err	Gabi Peter	blk Alexis Carper	+0.4
43	20-23	C MICH	UIC	Kill	Jillian Gibbons	set Paulina Ströh	+0.4
44	21-23	UIC	C MICH	Kill	Lilly Mullholand	set Brytn Lyon	+0.3
45	21-24	C MICH	UIC	Serve err	C MICH server		+0.4
46	21-25	UIC	UIC	Kill	Emma Colombari	set Judy Asar	+0.2
Set 3
1	0-1	C MICH	UIC	Attack err	Taylor Cripe		+0.1
2	0-2	UIC	UIC	Kill	Robyn Ward	set Paulina Ströh	+0.1
3	1-2	UIC	C MICH	Kill	Alexis Carper	set Brytn Lyon	+0.1
4	2-2	C MICH	C MICH	Attack err	Elizabeth King		+0.2
5	2-3	C MICH	UIC×3	Attack err	Meisha Sykes		+0.1
6	2-4	UIC	UIC×3	Attack err	Alexis Carper	blk Sasha Pellettieri, Robyn Ward	+0.2
7	2-5	UIC	UIC×3	Ace	UIC server	aced Taylor Cripe	+0.1
8	3-5	UIC	C MICH	Serve err	UIC server		+0.1
9	3-6	C MICH	UIC	Kill	Elizabeth King	set Ava Young	+0.1
10	4-6	UIC	C MICH	Attack err	Elizabeth King		+0.1
11	4-7	C MICH	UIC×6	Kill	Robyn Ward	set Judy Asar	+0.1
12	4-8	UIC	UIC×6	Attack err	Brenna Storz		+0.1
13	4-9	UIC	UIC×6	Kill	Sasha Pellettieri	set Judy Asar	+0.1
14	4-10	UIC	UIC×6	Ace	UIC server	aced Alexis Carper	+0.1
15	4-11	UIC	UIC×6	Ace	UIC server	aced Team	+0.0
16	4-12	UIC	UIC×6	Ace	UIC server	aced Taylor Cripe	+0.0
17	5-12	UIC	C MICH×4	Kill	Taylor Cripe		+0.0
18	6-12	C MICH	C MICH×4	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Audrey Hackney	+0.0
19	7-12	C MICH	C MICH×4	Attack err	Sasha Pellettieri	blk Taylor Cripe, Brenna Storz	+0.1
20	8-12	C MICH	C MICH×4	Ace	C MICH server	aced Team	+0.1
21	8-13	C MICH	UIC	Kill	Jillian Gibbons	set Judy Asar	+0.1
22	8-14	UIC	UIC	Ace	UIC server	aced Alexis Carper	+0.1
23	9-14	UIC	C MICH	Kill	Karla Sanchez George	set Audrey Hackney	+0.0
24	9-15	C MICH	UIC	Kill	Judy Asar	set Emma Colombari	+0.0
25	10-15	UIC	C MICH	Kill	Karla Sanchez George	set Audrey Hackney	+0.0
26	10-16	C MICH	UIC	Attack err	Alexis Carper		+0.0
27	11-16	UIC	C MICH	Attack err	Elizabeth King	blk Lilly Mullholand, Meisha Sykes	+0.0
28	11-17	C MICH	UIC	Kill	Elizabeth King	set Judy Asar	+0.0
29	12-17	UIC	C MICH	Attack err	Elizabeth King	blk Lilly Mullholand, Meisha Sykes	+0.0
30	12-18	C MICH	UIC	Kill	Elizabeth King	set Judy Asar	+0.0
31	13-18	UIC	C MICH	Kill	Lilly Mullholand	set Brytn Lyon	+0.0
32	13-19	C MICH	UIC	Kill	Sasha Pellettieri	set Ava Young	+0.0
33	14-19	UIC	C MICH	Attack err	Tamara Kisic		+0.0
34	14-20	C MICH	UIC	Kill	Sasha Pellettieri	set Judy Asar	+0.0
35	15-20	UIC	C MICH	Attack err	Tamara Kisic		+0.0
36	15-21	C MICH	UIC	Serve err	C MICH server		+0.0
37	16-21	UIC	C MICH	Attack err	Elizabeth King	blk Meisha Sykes, Brytn Lyon	+0.0
38	17-21	C MICH	C MICH	Attack err	Maryam Hussein		+0.1
39	17-22	C MICH	UIC	Serve err	C MICH server		+0.1
40	18-22	UIC	C MICH	Kill	Lilly Mullholand	set Brytn Lyon	+0.0
41	18-23	C MICH	UIC	Kill	Judy Asar	set Martina Cerrato	+0.1
42	19-23	UIC	C MICH	Kill	Alexis Carper	set Brytn Lyon	+0.0
43	19-24	C MICH	UIC	Attack err	Alexis Carper	blk Elizabeth King, Robyn Ward	+0.0
44	20-24	UIC	C MICH	Kill	Brenna Storz	set Brytn Lyon	+0.0
45	20-25	C MICH	UIC	Kill	Tamara Kisic	set Robyn Ward	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Central Mich. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.