Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 2, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Bucknell def. Army West Point 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Army West Point 91.8% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Bucknell beat visiting Army West Point 3-1 (25-17, 25-16, 22-25, 25-21) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. Bucknell's Marion Haskell led with 14 kills, and Katie O'Sullivan added 13 digs.

Data through · final Oct 2

Set1234Sets
ARMY171625211
BUCKNL252522253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Marion Haskell hit .407 on 27 swings as Bucknell edged Army West Point.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Bucknell's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Army West Point went in at 92% by RallyIQ.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 4 · Army West Point 7–13 Bucknell

    5 straight Army West Point points cut a 7–13 deficit to 12–13.

    Bucknell 81% → 55%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Army West Point 19–19 Bucknell

    3 straight Bucknell points broke a 19–19 tie and made it 22–19.

    Bucknell 53% → 85%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Army West Point 20–22 Bucknell

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to Bucknell, enough to take the set 25–21 and win the match 3–1.

    Bucknell 79% → >99%

Bucknell above 50Army West Point belowMax swing 11.8%

Army West PointBucknell

Sideout %
Army West Point 54.2·Bucknell 66.3
Break %
Army West Point 33.8·Bucknell 45.8
Hitting
Army West Point .170·Bucknell .276
Longest run
Army West Point 5·Bucknell 4

Marion Haskell
2 kills inside the turning points, 14 K and .407 for the match (15 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Bucknell above 50 · Army West Point below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+11.8% BUCKNLrally 176 · set 4

Biggest swing: 11.8% to Bucknell — set 4, ARMY 19-21 BUCKNL. Attack error by Kennedy Jones. BUCKNL win probability 61% → 73%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ARMY 76.2%23.8% BUCKNL

Army West Point wins

3-0
28.0%
3-1
29.1%
3-2
19.1%

Bucknell wins

3-0
4.1%
3-1
8.1%
3-2
11.6%
ARMY break %
46.3% vs this opp
BUCKNL break %
40.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Kennedy JonesAttack error+11.8%

    Attack error by Kennedy Jones

    Set 4 · ARMY 19-21 BUCKNL · BUCKNL 61% → 73%

  2. 02
    Marion HaskellKill+11.5%

    Kill by Marion Haskell

    Set 4 · ARMY 19-22 BUCKNL · BUCKNL 73% → 85%

  3. 03
    Cameron LloydKill+10.2%

    Kill by Cameron Lloyd (set by Katie O'Sullivan)

    Set 4 · ARMY 21-24 BUCKNL · BUCKNL 84% → 94%

  4. 04

    Kill by Marion Haskell (set by Peyton McGee)

    Set 4 · ARMY 20-23 BUCKNL · BUCKNL 79% → 89%

  5. 05
    BucknellAce+9.4%

    Bucknell ace on Janie Deapen

    Set 4 · ARMY 18-19 BUCKNL · BUCKNL 50% → 60%

  6. 06
    Peyton McGeeKill+8.1%

    Kill by Peyton McGee (set by Cameron Lloyd)

    Set 4 · ARMY 19-20 BUCKNL · BUCKNL 53% → 61%

  7. 07
    Kennedy JonesAttack error+7.5%

    Attack error by Kennedy Jones

    Set 4 · ARMY 18-18 BUCKNL · BUCKNL 43% → 50%

  8. 08
    Army West PointAce+6.7%

    Army West Point ace

    Set 4 · ARMY 17-16 BUCKNL · ARMY 49% → 56%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411631.16110000111.512.5
47722.000012720219
47318.222000200429
48218.3331602120010.58.5
46324.12501142010.57.5
22410-.20000000010.52.5
4001.0001111500001
4000–2601200000
4000–002100000
28111.636000000008
2000–101500000
2000–000000000
Team totals4926135.17045310487110679
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414327.4071002002115
412228.35721011000013
47518.1111367100010
47426.11500020132.59.5
48318.27800010010.58.5
4407.5713610800216
4000–6121300001
4000–100600000
2000–010000001
2003.000000000000
2000–001000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5217127.276477950318597

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Army West Point vs Bucknell

Season series · Bucknell leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 ARMY · BUCKNL 4

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 3 ARMYBUCKNL 4

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 2 ARMYBUCKNL 4

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 5 ARMYBUCKNL 4

Set 4

21-25

Longest run 5 ARMYBUCKNL 4

Bars above the line = Bucknell leads, below = Army West Point leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Army West Point

SlotSideout %Break %
1
40%8/20
43%6/14
2
78%7/9
30%3/10
3
55%6/11
13%1/8
4
50%6/12
54%7/13
5
75%6/8
25%2/8
6
55%6/11
40%4/10
All
55%39/71
37%23/63

Bucknell

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
50%7/14
2
78%7/9
53%8/15
3
58%7/12
13%1/8
4
55%6/11
50%6/12
5
60%6/10
45%5/11
6
86%6/7
45%5/11
All
63%40/63
45%32/71

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

176 rallies

#ARMY-BUCKNLSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1BUCKNLBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+1.0
21-1BUCKNLARMYServe errBucknell+0.7
31-2ARMYBUCKNLServe errArmy West Point+0.8
42-2BUCKNLARMYKillKennedy Jonesset Juliette Myrick+0.7
52-3ARMYBUCKNL×3KillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+0.9
62-4BUCKNLBUCKNL×3AceBucknellaced Janie Deapen+1.2
72-5BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillPeyton McGeeset Kaitlyn Taylor+1.4
83-5BUCKNLARMYKillJuliette Myrickset Naomi Chinchar+0.9
93-6ARMYBUCKNLKillKaitlyn Taylorset Peyton McGee+1.1
104-6BUCKNLARMYKillMichelle Parkerset Naomi Chinchar+0.9
114-7BUCKNL
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.1
125-7BUCKNLARMYKillBreelyn Benderset Naomi Chinchar+0.9
136-7ARMYARMYKillJanie Deapenset Juliette Myrick+1.3
146-8ARMYBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+1.1
156-9BUCKNLBUCKNLAceBucknell+1.6
167-9BUCKNLARMYKillBreelyn Benderset Juliette Myrick+1.0
177-10BUCKNL
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.3
188-10BUCKNLARMYBlockedMarion Haskellblk Marlee Lightsey, Breelyn Bender+1.0
198-11ARMYBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+1.3
209-11BUCKNLARMYKillKennedy Jonesset Nicole Stroud+1.1
2110-11ARMYARMYAttack errCameron Lloyd+1.5
2210-12ARMYBUCKNL×3Attack errMichelle Parker+1.3
2310-13BUCKNLBUCKNL×3Attack errJuliette Myrick+1.9
2410-14BUCKNLBUCKNL×3BlockedMarlee Lightseyblk Sidney Shaffer, Peyton McGee+1.9
2511-14BUCKNLARMY×3KillMarlee Lightseyset Naomi Chinchar+1.1
2612-14ARMYARMY×3KillJuliette Myrickset Naomi Chinchar+1.6
2713-14ARMYARMY×3KillJanie Deapenset Peyton McGee+1.7
2813-15ARMYBUCKNLServe errArmy West Point+1.6
2914-15BUCKNLARMYServe errBucknell+1.3
3014-16ARMYBUCKNLServe errArmy West Point+1.6
3115-16BUCKNLARMYKillBreelyn Benderset Naomi Chinchar+1.4
3215-17ARMYBUCKNL×3KillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+1.7
3315-18BUCKNLBUCKNL×3Attack errKennedy Jones+2.4
3415-19BUCKNLBUCKNL×3AceBucknell+2.2
3516-19BUCKNLARMYServe errBucknell+1.2
3616-20ARMYBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+1.8
3716-21BUCKNLBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+1.9
3817-21BUCKNLARMYServe errBucknell+0.8
3917-22ARMYBUCKNL×4KillCameron Lloydset Katie O'Sullivan+1.4
4017-23BUCKNLBUCKNL×4KillKaitlyn Taylorset Peyton McGee+1.0
4117-24BUCKNLBUCKNL×4Attack errMichelle Parker+0.4
4217-25BUCKNLBUCKNL×4KillCameron Lloydset Katie O'Sullivan+0.1
Set 2
10-1ARMYBUCKNLAttack errBreelyn Bender+1.7
20-2BUCKNLBUCKNLAttack errJuliette Myrick+2.5
31-2BUCKNLARMYServe errBucknell+1.7
42-2ARMYARMYAceArmy West Pointaced Kaitlyn Taylor+2.2
52-3ARMYBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+1.8
63-3BUCKNLARMYKillKennedy Jonesset Juliette Myrick+1.6
73-4ARMYBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+1.9
83-5BUCKNLBUCKNLAttack errMichelle Parker+2.8
94-5BUCKNLARMYKillJanie Deapenset Naomi Chinchar+1.9
104-6ARMYBUCKNLServe errArmy West Point+2.3
114-7BUCKNLBUCKNLBlockedMarlee Lightseyblk Sidney Shaffer, Peyton McGee+3.2
125-7BUCKNLARMYKillMichelle Parkerset Naomi Chinchar+2.1
135-8ARMYBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+2.6
146-8BUCKNLARMYAttack errStephanie Eroh+2.1
156-9ARMYBUCKNLServe errArmy West Point+2.7
166-10BUCKNLBUCKNLKillStephanie Erohset Peyton McGee+3.6
177-10BUCKNLARMYKillKennedy Jonesset Juliette Myrick+2.2
187-11ARMYBUCKNLKillKaitlyn Taylorset Katie O'Sullivan+2.9
197-12BUCKNLBUCKNLKillCameron Lloyd+3.7
208-12BUCKNLARMYServe errBucknell+2.1
218-13ARMYBUCKNLBlockedJanie Deapenblk Marion Haskell, Stephanie Eroh+2.9
228-14BUCKNLBUCKNLAttack errKennedy Jones+3.5
239-14BUCKNLARMYAttack errSidney Shaffer+1.9
249-15ARMYBUCKNLBlockedMichelle Parkerblk Sidney Shaffer+2.7
2510-15BUCKNLARMYKillJuliette Myrickset Naomi Chinchar+1.8
2611-15ARMYARMYBlockedCameron Lloydblk Juliette Myrick, Michelle Parker+2.9
2711-16ARMYBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Katie O'Sullivan+3.1
2812-16BUCKNLARMYKillMarlee Lightseyset Naomi Chinchar+2.1
2912-17ARMYBUCKNLKillKaitlyn Taylorset Peyton McGee+3.2
3013-17BUCKNLARMYKillJuliette Myrickset Naomi Chinchar+2.1
3113-18ARMYBUCKNLAttack errJanie Deapen+3.2
3214-18BUCKNLARMYKillKennedy Jonesset Juliette Myrick+2.1
3314-19ARMYBUCKNL×4KillStephanie Erohset Peyton McGee+3.2
3414-20BUCKNLBUCKNL×4Attack errBreelyn Bender+3.2
3514-21BUCKNLBUCKNL×4KillStephanie Erohset Peyton McGee+2.2
3614-22BUCKNLBUCKNL×4KillStephanie Eroh+1.2
3715-22BUCKNLARMYServe errBucknell+0.3
3815-23ARMYBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+0.7
3916-23BUCKNLARMYKillKennedy Jonesset Juliette Myrick+0.2
4016-24ARMYBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+0.4
4116-25BUCKNLBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+0.1
Set 3
11-0BUCKNLARMYKillCorrine Blackburnset Naomi Chinchar+1.8
21-1ARMYBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+2.1
32-1BUCKNLARMYKillCorrine Blackburnset Naomi Chinchar+1.9
42-2ARMYBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+2.2
53-2BUCKNLARMY×5KillCorrine Blackburnset Naomi Chinchar+2.0
64-2ARMYARMY×5Bad setPeyton McGee+2.4
75-2ARMYARMY×5KillBreelyn Benderset Peyton McGee+2.0
86-2ARMYARMY×5KillJanie Deapenset Naomi Chinchar+1.7
97-2ARMYARMY×5BlockedSidney Shafferblk Breelyn Bender, Janie Deapen+1.3
107-3ARMYBUCKNLAttack errBreelyn Bender+1.0
118-3BUCKNLARMYKillJuliette Myrickset Naomi Chinchar+1.0
128-4ARMYBUCKNLServe errArmy West Point+1.0
139-4BUCKNLARMY×5KillKennedy Jonesset Annette Lee+1.0
1410-4ARMYARMY×5Attack errStephanie Eroh+1.1
1511-4ARMYARMY×5Attack errKaitlyn Taylor+0.8
1612-4ARMYARMY×5KillKennedy Jonesset Juliette Myrick+0.5
1713-4ARMYARMY×5BlockedKaitlyn Taylorblk Kennedy Jones, Breelyn Bender+0.3
1813-5ARMYBUCKNLServe errArmy West Point+0.2
1913-6BUCKNLBUCKNLAttack errMarlee Lightsey+0.4
2014-6BUCKNLARMYKillMarlee Lightseyset Kennedy Jones+0.4
2115-6ARMYARMYKillKennedy Jonesset Juliette Myrick+0.3
2215-7ARMYBUCKNL×3Serve errArmy West Point+0.2
2315-8BUCKNLBUCKNL×3AceBucknellaced Marlee Lightsey+0.3
2415-9BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillStephanie Erohset Peyton McGee+0.5
2516-9BUCKNLARMYKillMarlee Lightseyset Juliette Myrick+0.5
2617-9ARMYARMYKillCorrine Blackburnset Naomi Chinchar+0.4
2717-10ARMYBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+0.2
2817-11BUCKNLBUCKNLAceBucknellaced Marlee Lightsey+0.5
2918-11BUCKNLARMYKillMarlee Lightseyset Juliette Myrick+0.5
3018-12ARMYBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Marion Haskell+0.3
3119-12BUCKNLARMYKillJuliette Myrickset Naomi Chinchar+0.4
3219-13ARMYBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Peyton McGee+0.3
3319-14BUCKNLBUCKNLAttack errJanie Deapen+0.7
3420-14BUCKNLARMY×3KillBreelyn Benderset Naomi Chinchar+0.7
3521-14ARMYARMY×3KillBreelyn Benderset Juliette Myrick+0.5
3622-14ARMYARMY×3Attack errSidney Shaffer+0.2
3722-15ARMYBUCKNLKillKaitlyn Taylorset Peyton McGee+0.1
3823-15BUCKNLARMYBlockedKaitlyn Taylorblk Breelyn Bender, Janie Deapen+0.1
3923-16ARMYBUCKNL×3KillStephanie Erohset Peyton McGee·
4023-17BUCKNLBUCKNL×3AceBucknell+0.1
4123-18BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+0.2
4224-18BUCKNLARMYAttack errMarion Haskell+0.3
4324-19ARMYBUCKNL×4KillKaitlyn Taylorset Peyton McGee+0.1
4424-20BUCKNLBUCKNL×4Attack errCorrine Blackburn+0.3
4524-21BUCKNLBUCKNL×4KillMarion Haskellset Katie O'Sullivan+0.7
4624-22BUCKNLBUCKNL×4KillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+1.8
4725-22BUCKNLARMYServe errBucknell+2.9
Set 4
11-0ARMYARMYKillJanie Deapenset Naomi Chinchar+3.2
21-1ARMYBUCKNLServe errArmy West Point+2.7
31-2BUCKNLBUCKNLBlockedJanie Deapenblk Sidney Shaffer, Marion Haskell+4.0
42-2BUCKNLARMYAttack errMarion Haskell+2.8
52-3ARMYBUCKNLKillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+3.3
63-3BUCKNLARMYAttack errSidney Shaffer+2.9
74-3ARMYARMYKillKennedy Jonesset Juliette Myrick+3.6
84-4ARMYBUCKNL×4Bad setJuliette Myrick+3.0
94-5BUCKNLBUCKNL×4KillKaitlyn Taylorset Peyton McGee+4.5
104-6BUCKNLBUCKNL×4Bad setJanie Deapen+5.1
114-7BUCKNLBUCKNL×4KillSidney Shafferset Peyton McGee+5.6
125-7BUCKNLARMYAttack errKaitlyn Taylor+3.6
135-8ARMYBUCKNL×3KillPeyton McGeeset Cameron Lloyd+4.5
145-9BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillStephanie Eroh+6.1
155-10BUCKNLBUCKNL×3Attack errKennedy Jones+6.2
166-10BUCKNLARMYKillKennedy Jonesset Juliette Myrick+3.6
176-11ARMYBUCKNLKillStephanie Erohset Peyton McGee+4.9
187-11BUCKNLARMYKillCorrine Blackburnset Juliette Myrick+3.7
197-12ARMYBUCKNLServe errArmy West Point+5.1
207-13BUCKNLBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+6.1
218-13BUCKNLARMY×5Serve errBucknell+3.3
229-13ARMYARMY×5KillJanie Deapenset Naomi Chinchar+5.1
2310-13ARMYARMY×5Attack errStephanie Eroh+5.6
2411-13ARMYARMY×5KillCorrine Blackburnset Naomi Chinchar+6.0
2512-13ARMYARMY×5AceArmy West Point+6.1
2612-14ARMYBUCKNLAttack errJanie Deapen+5.6
2713-14BUCKNLARMYKillCorrine Blackburnset Naomi Chinchar+4.7
2814-14ARMYARMYKillJuliette Myrickset Naomi Chinchar+6.3
2914-15ARMYBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+5.5
3015-15BUCKNLARMYKillJuliette Myrickset Naomi Chinchar+4.9
3115-16ARMYBUCKNLAttack errKennedy Jones+5.8
3216-16BUCKNLARMY×3KillJanie Deapenset Juliette Myrick+5.2
3317-16ARMYARMY×3AceArmy West Point+6.7
3418-16ARMYARMY×3BlockedKaitlyn Taylorblk Kennedy Jones+5.8
3518-17ARMYBUCKNL×3Attack errJanie Deapen+4.3
3618-18BUCKNLBUCKNL×3Attack errKennedy Jones+7.5
3718-19BUCKNLBUCKNL×3AceBucknellaced Janie Deapen+9.4
3819-19BUCKNLARMYKillBreelyn Benderset Juliette Myrick+6.5
3919-20ARMYBUCKNL×3KillPeyton McGeeset Cameron Lloyd+8.1
4019-21BUCKNLBUCKNL×3Attack errKennedy Jones+11.8
4119-22BUCKNLBUCKNL×3KillMarion Haskell+11.5
4220-22BUCKNLARMYKillCorrine Blackburnset Juliette Myrick+5.5
4320-23ARMYBUCKNLKillMarion Haskellset Peyton McGee+9.6
4421-23BUCKNLARMYKillMarlee Lightseyset Naomi Chinchar+5.1
4521-24ARMYBUCKNLKillCameron Lloydset Katie O'Sullivan+10.2
4621-25BUCKNLBUCKNLAttack errJanie Deapen+6.2

Score shown after each rally, Army West Point first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).