Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026 · Neutral site

Jacksonville def. Central Mich. 3–1

Jacksonville beat Central Mich. 3-1 (20-25, 25-14, 25-19, 25-15) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026 at a neutral site. Jacksonville's Abbie Tuyo led with 18 kills.

Data through · final Sep 18

Set1234Sets
C MICH251419151
JVILLE202525253

Win probability

Jacksonville above 50 · Central Mich. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+2.7% C MICHrally 168 · set 4

Biggest swing: 2.7% to Central Mich. — set 3, C MICH 17-17 JVILLE. Attack error by Jaylyn Tuiasosopo. JVILLE win probability 91% → 89%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

C MICH 3.5%96.5% JVILLE

Central Mich. wins

3-0
0.4%
3-1
0.9%
3-2
2.2%

Jacksonville wins

3-0
60.3%
3-1
28.1%
3-2
8.1%
C MICH break %
36.9% vs this opp
JVILLE break %
50.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Jaylyn TuiasosopoAttack error+2.7%

    Attack error by Jaylyn Tuiasosopo

    Set 3 · C MICH 17-17 JVILLE · C MICH 9% → 11%

  2. 02
    Taylor CripeKill+2.5%

    Kill by Taylor Cripe (set by Brytn Lyon)

    Set 3 · C MICH 12-10 JVILLE · C MICH 12% → 14%

  3. 03
    JacksonvilleAce+2.4%

    Jacksonville ace

    Set 3 · C MICH 18-20 JVILLE · JVILLE 90% → 93%

  4. 04

    Jaliyah Cohnes stuffed by Ana Nastase & Alija Heins

    Set 3 · C MICH 14-14 JVILLE · JVILLE 87% → 89%

  5. 05
    Brenna StorzKill+2.3%

    Kill by Brenna Storz (set by Brytn Lyon)

    Set 3 · C MICH 18-18 JVILLE · C MICH 9% → 12%

  6. 06
    Abbie TuyoAttack error+2.3%

    Attack error by Abbie Tuyo

    Set 3 · C MICH 14-12 JVILLE · C MICH 13% → 15%

  7. 07
    Ana NastaseAttack error+2.3%

    Attack error by Ana Nastase

    Set 3 · C MICH 8-5 JVILLE · C MICH 12% → 15%

  8. 08
    Ana NastaseAttack error+2.2%

    Attack error by Ana Nastase

    Set 2 · C MICH 6-4 JVILLE · C MICH 16% → 18%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
48416.25000100132.510.5
49529.138001740009
46014.429100201228
47326.154001510007
46317.17600020010.56.5
4116.0003101500423
4000–011700001
4000–000400000
4000–300330000
1012-.500001010000
1000–000000000
Team totals3717110.18235163512210773
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418642.2861226000020
413826.1920348002117
48316.313267180010.515.5
4328.125100400214
2226.000000200002
1126-.167000000001
48318.27810030010.58.5
44041.000000101226
15Ana TobarL/DS
4102.500000200001
41011.0001901600001
4000–601610000
3000–100000000
1000–300300000
Team totals5926129.2565812949118595

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 C MICH · JVILLE 9

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 5 C MICHJVILLE 3

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 2 C MICHJVILLE 6

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 4 C MICHJVILLE 6

Set 4

15-25

Longest run 3 C MICHJVILLE 9

Bars above the line = Jacksonville leads, below = Central Mich. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Central Mich.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
35%6/17
17%1/6
2
50%6/12
40%4/10
3
50%6/12
14%1/7
4
55%6/11
40%4/10
5
83%5/6
40%4/10
6
25%4/16
17%1/6
All
45%33/74
31%15/49

Jacksonville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%7/9
75%18/24
2
67%6/9
45%5/11
3
60%6/10
33%3/9
4
60%6/10
60%9/15
5
71%5/7
17%1/6
6
100%4/4
56%5/9
All
69%34/49
55%41/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

168 rallies

#C MICH-JVILLESrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1C MICHJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+0.3
21-1JVILLEC MICH×3KillKarla Sanchez Georgeset Rainey Weidman+0.4
32-1C MICHC MICH×3KillKarla Sanchez George+0.6
43-1C MICHC MICH×3KillJaliyah Cohnesset Brytn Lyon+0.7
53-2C MICHJVILLEKillDaiangelie Gonzalezset Ana Nastase+0.4
64-2JVILLEC MICHKillKarla Sanchez Georgeset Brytn Lyon+0.5
74-3C MICHJVILLE×3KillAddison Kriegerset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.5
84-4JVILLE
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.6
94-5JVILLEJVILLE×3KillAbbie Tuyoset Kathryn Adler+0.5
105-5JVILLEC MICHAttack errKathryn Adler+0.4
115-6C MICHJVILLEAttack errTaylor Cripe+0.4
126-6JVILLEC MICHBlockedJaylyn Tuiasosopoblk Brytn Lyon, Brenna Storz+0.5
136-7C MICHJVILLEKillKathryn Adlerset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.4
146-8JVILLEJVILLEKillAlija Heinsset Ana Nastase+0.5
157-8JVILLEC MICHKillBrenna Storzset Brytn Lyon+0.4
168-8C MICHC MICHAttack errDaiangelie Gonzalez+0.6
178-9C MICHJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Ana Nastase+0.4
188-10JVILLEJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Alija Heins+0.5
199-10JVILLEC MICHKillLilly Mullholandset Brytn Lyon+0.4
209-11C MICHJVILLE×3KillDaiangelie Gonzalezset Ana Nastase+0.4
219-12JVILLEJVILLE×3Attack errBrytn Lyon+0.4
229-13JVILLEJVILLE×3KillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+0.3
2310-13JVILLEC MICHBlockedAddison Kriegerblk Lilly Mullholand+0.2
2411-13C MICHC MICHAttack errAbbie Tuyo+0.4
2511-14C MICHJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+0.4
2612-14JVILLEC MICH×3KillJaliyah Cohnesset Brytn Lyon+0.4
2713-14C MICHC MICH×3Attack errAddison Krieger+0.6
2814-14C MICHC MICH×3Attack errKathryn Adler+0.9
2914-15C MICHJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.6
3015-15JVILLEC MICH×5KillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+0.7
3116-15C MICHC MICH×5KillBrenna Storzset Brytn Lyon+1.2
3217-15C MICHC MICH×5AceAudrey Hackneyaced Elle Kennedy+1.4
3318-15C MICHC MICH×5KillBrenna Storzset Brytn Lyon+1.5
3419-15C MICHC MICH×5BlockedJaylyn Tuiasosopoblk Brytn Lyon, Brenna Storz+1.5
3519-16C MICHJVILLEServe errAudrey Hackney+0.8
3620-16JVILLEC MICHKillJaliyah Cohnesset Brytn Lyon+1.3
3720-17C MICHJVILLEKillKathryn Adlerset Emersen Strain+0.8
3820-18JVILLEJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Selah Simien+1.3
3921-18JVILLEC MICHKillJaliyah Cohnesset Brytn Lyon+1.5
4022-18C MICHC MICHAttack errDaiangelie Gonzalez+1.7
4122-19C MICHJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Ana Nastase+0.7
4223-19JVILLEC MICHKillLilly Mullholandset Brytn Lyon+1.3
4324-19C MICHC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+1.0
4424-20C MICHJVILLEServe errCentral Mich.+0.2
4525-20JVILLEC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+0.5
Set 2
11-0JVILLEC MICHServe errJacksonville+1.3
22-0C MICHC MICHKillJaliyah Cohnesset Lilly Mullholand+1.9
32-1C MICHJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Elle Kennedy+1.3
42-2JVILLEJVILLEAttack errJaliyah Cohnes+1.5
53-2JVILLEC MICHKillBrytn Lyonset Rainey Weidman+1.4
63-3C MICHJVILLEKillKathryn Adlerset Ana Nastase+1.2
74-3JVILLEC MICHKillJaliyah Cohnesset Brytn Lyon+1.4
84-4C MICHJVILLEAttack errJaliyah Cohnes+1.2
95-4JVILLEC MICHBlockedAlija Heinsblk Brenna Storz+1.5
106-4C MICHC MICHAttack errAna Nastase+2.2
116-5C MICHJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Emersen Strain+1.5
127-5JVILLEC MICHAttack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+1.9
137-6C MICHJVILLE×6KillAna Nastaseset Emersen Strain+1.6
147-7JVILLEJVILLE×6KillKathryn Adlerset Elle Kennedy+1.9
157-8JVILLEJVILLE×6AceJacksonvilleaced Rainey Weidman+1.7
167-9JVILLEJVILLE×6BlockedTaylor Cripeblk Haley Yount, Kathryn Adler+1.4
177-10JVILLEJVILLE×6AceJacksonvilleaced Taylor Cripe+1.2
187-11JVILLEJVILLE×6AceJacksonvilleaced Jaliyah Cohnes+0.9
198-11JVILLEC MICHAttack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+0.7
208-12C MICHJVILLE×3KillHaley Yountset Ana Nastase+0.7
218-13JVILLEJVILLE×3KillAbbie Tuyoset Elle Kennedy+0.7
228-14JVILLEJVILLE×3BlockedKarla Sanchez Georgeblk Haley Yount+0.5
239-14JVILLEC MICHServe errJacksonville+0.3
249-15C MICHJVILLEKillKathryn Adlerset Ana Nastase+0.4
259-16JVILLEJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+0.3
2610-16JVILLEC MICHKillKarla Sanchez Georgeset Brytn Lyon+0.2
2710-17C MICHJVILLEAttack errKarla Sanchez George+0.2
2810-18JVILLEJVILLEKillAna Nastaseset Emersen Strain+0.2
2911-18JVILLEC MICHKillKarla Sanchez Georgeset Brytn Lyon+0.1
3012-18C MICHC MICHAttack errAna Nastase+0.2
3112-19C MICHJVILLE×5KillAbbie Tuyoset Emersen Strain+0.2
3212-20JVILLEJVILLE×5KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Emersen Strain+0.1
3312-21JVILLEJVILLE×5KillAna Nastaseset Emersen Strain+0.1
3412-22JVILLEJVILLE×5BlockedBrenna Storzblk Alija Heins, Jaylyn Tuiasosopo·
3512-23JVILLEJVILLE×5AceJacksonvilleaced Rainey Weidman·
3613-23JVILLEC MICHServe errJacksonville·
3714-23C MICHC MICHBlockedJaylyn Tuiasosopoblk Brytn Lyon, Brenna Storz·
3814-24C MICHJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Emersen Strain·
3914-25JVILLEJVILLEKillEmersen Strainset Brytn Lyon·
Set 3
10-1C MICHJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+0.8
21-1JVILLEC MICH×4KillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+0.9
32-1C MICHC MICH×4Attack errKathryn Adler+1.4
43-1C MICHC MICH×4Attack errAlija Heins+1.7
54-1C MICHC MICH×4Attack errAbbie Tuyo+1.9
64-2C MICHJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+1.2
74-3JVILLEJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Emersen Strain+1.6
85-3JVILLEC MICHKillLilly Mullholandset Brytn Lyon+1.5
96-3C MICHC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+2.1
106-4C MICHJVILLEKillAna Nastaseset Elle Kennedy+1.3
116-5JVILLEJVILLEAttack errKarla Sanchez George+1.7
127-5JVILLEC MICHKillJaliyah Cohnesset Brytn Lyon+1.6
138-5C MICHC MICHAttack errAna Nastase+2.3
148-6C MICHJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Ana Nastase+1.5
159-6JVILLEC MICHKillBrenna Storzset Brytn Lyon+1.9
169-7C MICHJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Emersen Strain+1.5
1710-7JVILLEC MICHServe errJacksonville+2.0
1810-8C MICHJVILLE×3KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Ana Nastase+1.6
1910-9JVILLEJVILLE×3KillKathryn Adlerset Elle Kennedy+2.0
2010-10JVILLEJVILLE×3Attack errTaylor Cripe+1.9
2111-10JVILLEC MICHServe errJacksonville+1.7
2212-10C MICHC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+2.5
2312-11C MICHJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+1.7
2413-11JVILLEC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Rainey Weidman+2.2
2513-12C MICHJVILLEServe errCentral Mich.+1.8
2614-12JVILLEC MICHAttack errAbbie Tuyo+2.3
2714-13C MICHJVILLE×4KillAbbie Tuyoset Emersen Strain+1.9
2814-14JVILLEJVILLE×4BlockedJaliyah Cohnesblk Ana Nastase, Alija Heins+2.4
2914-15JVILLEJVILLE×4KillAlija Heinsset Emersen Strain+2.1
3014-16JVILLEJVILLE×4KillAna Nastaseset Emersen Strain+1.8
3115-16JVILLEC MICHServe errJacksonville+1.5
3215-17C MICHJVILLEKillAna Nastaseset Emersen Strain+1.4
3316-17JVILLEC MICHKillBrenna Storzset Brytn Lyon+1.5
3417-17C MICHC MICHAttack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+2.7
3517-18C MICHJVILLEServe errCentral Mich.+2.0
3618-18JVILLEC MICHKillBrenna Storzset Brytn Lyon+2.3
3718-19C MICHJVILLE×6Serve errCentral Mich.+2.2
3818-20JVILLEJVILLE×6AceJacksonville+2.4
3918-21JVILLEJVILLE×6Attack errAlexis Carper+1.8
4018-22JVILLEJVILLE×6AceJacksonvilleaced Taylor Cripe+1.1
4118-23JVILLEJVILLE×6AceJacksonvilleaced Alexis Carper+0.5
4218-24JVILLEJVILLE×6KillHaley Yountset Ana Nastase+0.2
4319-24JVILLEC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon·
4419-25C MICHJVILLEKillKathryn Adlerset Ana Nastase+0.1
Set 4
10-1JVILLEJVILLEBad setBrytn Lyon+0.7
21-1JVILLEC MICHKillBrenna Storzset Brytn Lyon+0.6
31-2C MICHJVILLE×4KillHaley Yountset Ana Nastase+0.6
41-3JVILLEJVILLE×4KillKathryn Adlerset Ana Nastase+0.7
51-4JVILLEJVILLE×4Attack errBrenna Storz+0.5
61-5JVILLEJVILLE×4KillHaley Yountset Ana Nastase+0.4
72-5JVILLEC MICHServe errJacksonville+0.3
82-6C MICHJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+0.3
93-6JVILLEC MICH×3KillLilly Mullholandset Brytn Lyon+0.4
104-6C MICHC MICH×3BlockedAbbie Tuyoblk Lilly Mullholand, Karla Sanchez George+0.6
115-6C MICHC MICH×3Attack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+0.8
125-7C MICHJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Elle Kennedy+0.6
135-8JVILLEJVILLEAttack errTaylor Cripe+0.6
146-8JVILLEC MICHServe errJacksonville+0.5
156-9C MICHJVILLEKillAna Nastaseset Abbie Tuyo+0.5
167-9JVILLEC MICHKillLilly Mullholandset Brytn Lyon+0.5
177-10C MICHJVILLEKillAna Nastaseset Emersen Strain+0.5
188-10JVILLEC MICHServe errJacksonville+0.6
198-11C MICHJVILLE×9KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Emersen Strain+0.5
208-12JVILLEJVILLE×9KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Emersen Strain+0.6
218-13JVILLEJVILLE×9Attack errBrenna Storz+0.4
228-14JVILLEJVILLE×9AceJacksonvilleaced Taylor Cripe+0.3
238-15JVILLEJVILLE×9AceJacksonville+0.2
248-16JVILLEJVILLE×9KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Ana Nastase+0.1
258-17JVILLEJVILLE×9BlockedBrenna Storzblk Haley Yount, Jaylyn Tuiasosopo+0.1
268-18JVILLEJVILLE×9AceJacksonvilleaced Taylor Cripe·
278-19JVILLEJVILLE×9AceJacksonville·
289-19JVILLEC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon·
299-20C MICHJVILLEServe errCentral Mich.·
3010-20JVILLEC MICHKillBrenna Storzset Brytn Lyon·
3110-21C MICHJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase·
3210-22JVILLEJVILLEAttack errTaylor Cripe·
3311-22JVILLEC MICHBlockedAbbie Tuyoblk Lilly Mullholand, Brytn Lyon·
3411-23C MICHJVILLEKillAna Tobarset Ana Nastase·
3512-23JVILLEC MICHAttack errAbbie Tuyo·
3613-23C MICHC MICHKillLilly Mullholandset Brytn Lyon·
3713-24C MICHJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Emersen Strain·
3814-24JVILLEC MICHKillKarla Sanchez Georgeset Brytn Lyon·
3915-24C MICHC MICHAttack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo·
4015-25C MICHJVILLEKillAlija Heinsset Emersen Strain·

Score shown after each rally, Central Mich. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).