CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026

Jacksonville def. Central Mich. 31

(20-25, 25-14, 25-19, 25-15)
Set1*234Sets
C MICH251419151
JVILLE202525253
  • * Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

JVILLE above 50 · C MICH below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100JVILLEC MICHBiggest swing +2.2% C MICH · S3 17-17rally 168 · set 4

Biggest swing: 2.2% to Central Mich. — set 3, C MICH 17-17 JVILLE. Attack error by Jaylyn Tuiasosopo. JVILLE win probability 93%91%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

C MICH 2.1%97.9% JVILLE

Central Mich. wins

3-0
0.2%
3-1
0.5%
3-2
1.4%

Jacksonville wins

3-0
66.3%
3-1
25.4%
3-2
6.1%
C MICH break %
36.3% vs this opp
JVILLE break %
51.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Jaylyn TuiasosopoAttack error+2.2%

    Attack error by Jaylyn Tuiasosopo

    Set 3 · C MICH 17-17 JVILLE · C MICH 7%9%

  2. 02
    Taylor CripeKill+2.1%

    Kill by Taylor Cripe (set by Brytn Lyon)

    Set 3 · C MICH 12-10 JVILLE · C MICH 9%11%

  3. 03
    JVILLE serverAce+2.0%

    Jacksonville ace on Team

    Set 3 · C MICH 18-20 JVILLE · JVILLE 93%95%

  4. 04
    Abbie TuyoAttack error+2.0%

    Attack error by Abbie Tuyo

    Set 3 · C MICH 14-12 JVILLE · C MICH 10%12%

  5. 05
    Brenna StorzKill+2.0%

    Kill by Brenna Storz (set by Brytn Lyon)

    Set 3 · C MICH 18-18 JVILLE · C MICH 7%9%

  6. 06
    Jaliyah CohnesAttack error+2.0%

    Jaliyah Cohnes stuffed by Ana Nastase & Alija Heins

    Set 3 · C MICH 14-14 JVILLE · JVILLE 89%91%

  7. 07
    Ana NastaseAttack error+1.9%

    Attack error by Ana Nastase

    Set 3 · C MICH 8-5 JVILLE · C MICH 9%11%

  8. 08
    Ana NastaseAttack error+1.9%

    Attack error by Ana Nastase

    Set 2 · C MICH 6-4 JVILLE · C MICH 12%14%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
48416.25000100132.510.5
49529.138001740009
46014.429100201228
47326.154001510007
46317.17600020010.56.5
4116.0003101500423
4000011700001
4000000400000
4000300330000
1012-.500001010000
1000000000000
Team totals3717110.18235163512210773
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418642.2861226000020
413826.1920348002117
48316.313267180010.515.5
4328.125100400214
2226.000000200002
1126-.167000000001
48318.27810030010.58.5
44041.000000101226
15Ana TobarL/DS
4102.500000200001
41011.0001901600001
4000601610000
3000100000000
1000300300000
Team totals5926129.2565812949118595

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 C MICH · JVILLE 9

Set 1*

25-20

Longest run 5 C MICHJVILLE 3

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 2 C MICHJVILLE 6

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 4 C MICHJVILLE 6

Set 4

15-25

Longest run 3 C MICHJVILLE 9

Bars above the line = Jacksonville leads, below = Central Mich. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Central Mich.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
35%6/17
17%1/6
2
50%6/12
40%4/10
3
50%6/12
14%1/7
4
55%6/11
40%4/10
5
83%5/6
40%4/10
6
25%4/16
17%1/6
All
45%33/74
31%15/49

Jacksonville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%7/9
75%18/24
2
67%6/9
45%5/11
3
60%6/10
33%3/9
4
60%6/10
60%9/15
5
71%5/7
17%1/6
6
100%4/4
56%5/9
All
69%34/49
55%41/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

168 rallies

Rally log

#C MICH-JVILLESrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1C MICHJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+0.2
21-1JVILLEC MICH×3KillKarla Sanchez Georgeset Rainey Weidman+0.2
32-1C MICHC MICH×3KillKarla Sanchez George+0.4
43-1C MICHC MICH×3KillJaliyah Cohnesset Brytn Lyon+0.4
53-2C MICHJVILLEKillDaiangelie Gonzalezset Ana Nastase+0.3
64-2JVILLEC MICHKillKarla Sanchez Georgeset Brytn Lyon+0.4
74-3C MICHJVILLE×3KillAddison Kriegerset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.3
84-4JVILLEJVILLE×3Feed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+0.4
94-5JVILLEJVILLE×3KillAbbie Tuyoset Kathryn Adler+0.3
105-5JVILLEC MICHAttack errKathryn Adler+0.3
115-6C MICHJVILLEAttack errTaylor Cripe+0.3
126-6JVILLEC MICHAttack errJaylyn Tuiasosopoblk Brytn Lyon, Brenna Storz+0.3
136-7C MICHJVILLEKillKathryn Adlerset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.3
146-8JVILLEJVILLEKillAlija Heinsset Ana Nastase+0.3
157-8JVILLEC MICHKillBrenna Storzset Brytn Lyon+0.3
168-8C MICHC MICHAttack errDaiangelie Gonzalez+0.4
178-9C MICHJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Ana Nastase+0.3
188-10JVILLEJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Alija Heins+0.3
199-10JVILLEC MICHKillLilly Mullholandset Brytn Lyon+0.3
209-11C MICHJVILLE×3KillDaiangelie Gonzalezset Ana Nastase+0.3
219-12JVILLEJVILLE×3Attack errBrytn Lyon+0.3
229-13JVILLEJVILLE×3KillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+0.2
2310-13JVILLEC MICHAttack errAddison Kriegerblk Lilly Mullholand+0.2
2411-13C MICHC MICHAttack errAbbie Tuyo+0.3
2511-14C MICHJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+0.2
2612-14JVILLEC MICH×3KillJaliyah Cohnesset Brytn Lyon+0.3
2713-14C MICHC MICH×3Attack errAddison Krieger+0.4
2814-14C MICHC MICH×3Attack errKathryn Adler+0.6
2914-15C MICHJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.4
3015-15JVILLEC MICH×5KillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+0.5
3116-15C MICHC MICH×5KillBrenna Storzset Brytn Lyon+0.8
3217-15C MICHC MICH×5AceC MICH serveraced Elle Kennedy+1.0
3318-15C MICHC MICH×5KillBrenna Storzset Brytn Lyon+1.1
3419-15C MICHC MICH×5Attack errJaylyn Tuiasosopoblk Brytn Lyon, Brenna Storz+1.2
3519-16C MICHJVILLEServe errC MICH server+0.6
3620-16JVILLEC MICHKillJaliyah Cohnesset Brytn Lyon+1.0
3720-17C MICHJVILLEKillKathryn Adlerset Emersen Strain+0.6
3820-18JVILLEJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Selah Simien+1.0
3921-18JVILLEC MICHKillJaliyah Cohnesset Brytn Lyon+1.2
4022-18C MICHC MICHAttack errDaiangelie Gonzalez+1.3
4122-19C MICHJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Ana Nastase+0.5
4223-19JVILLEC MICHKillLilly Mullholandset Brytn Lyon+1.1
4324-19C MICHC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+0.8
4424-20C MICHJVILLEServe errC MICH server+0.2
4525-20JVILLEC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+0.4
Set 2
11-0JVILLEC MICHServe errJVILLE server+1.0
22-0C MICHC MICHKillJaliyah Cohnesset Lilly Mullholand+1.5
32-1C MICHJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Elle Kennedy+1.0
42-2JVILLEJVILLEAttack errJaliyah Cohnes+1.2
53-2JVILLEC MICHKillBrytn Lyonset Rainey Weidman+1.1
63-3C MICHJVILLEKillKathryn Adlerset Ana Nastase+1.0
74-3JVILLEC MICHKillJaliyah Cohnesset Brytn Lyon+1.2
84-4C MICHJVILLEAttack errJaliyah Cohnes+1.0
95-4JVILLEC MICHAttack errAlija Heinsblk Brenna Storz+1.2
106-4C MICHC MICHAttack errAna Nastase+1.9
116-5C MICHJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Emersen Strain+1.2
127-5JVILLEC MICHAttack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+1.6
137-6C MICHJVILLE×6KillAna Nastaseset Emersen Strain+1.3
147-7JVILLEJVILLE×6KillKathryn Adlerset Elle Kennedy+1.6
157-8JVILLEJVILLE×6AceJVILLE serveraced Rainey Weidman+1.3
167-9JVILLEJVILLE×6Attack errTaylor Cripeblk Haley Yount, Kathryn Adler+1.1
177-10JVILLEJVILLE×6AceJVILLE serveraced Taylor Cripe+0.9
187-11JVILLEJVILLE×6AceJVILLE serveraced Jaliyah Cohnes+0.7
198-11JVILLEC MICHAttack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+0.6
208-12C MICHJVILLE×3KillHaley Yountset Ana Nastase+0.6
218-13JVILLEJVILLE×3KillAbbie Tuyoset Elle Kennedy+0.5
228-14JVILLEJVILLE×3Attack errKarla Sanchez Georgeblk Haley Yount+0.4
239-14JVILLEC MICHServe errJVILLE server+0.3
249-15C MICHJVILLEKillKathryn Adlerset Ana Nastase+0.3
259-16JVILLEJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+0.2
2610-16JVILLEC MICHKillKarla Sanchez Georgeset Brytn Lyon+0.1
2710-17C MICHJVILLEAttack errKarla Sanchez George+0.2
2810-18JVILLEJVILLEKillAna Nastaseset Emersen Strain+0.1
2911-18JVILLEC MICHKillKarla Sanchez Georgeset Brytn Lyon+0.1
3012-18C MICHC MICHAttack errAna Nastase+0.2
3112-19C MICHJVILLE×5KillAbbie Tuyoset Emersen Strain+0.2
3212-20JVILLEJVILLE×5KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Emersen Strain+0.1
3312-21JVILLEJVILLE×5KillAna Nastaseset Emersen Strain+0.0
3412-22JVILLEJVILLE×5Attack errBrenna Storzblk Alija Heins, Jaylyn Tuiasosopo+0.0
3512-23JVILLEJVILLE×5AceJVILLE serveraced Rainey Weidman+0.0
3613-23JVILLEC MICHServe errJVILLE server+0.0
3714-23C MICHC MICHAttack errJaylyn Tuiasosopoblk Brytn Lyon, Brenna Storz+0.0
3814-24C MICHJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Emersen Strain+0.0
3914-25JVILLEJVILLEKillEmersen Strainset Brytn Lyon+0.0
Set 3
10-1C MICHJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+0.6
21-1JVILLEC MICH×4KillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+0.7
32-1C MICHC MICH×4Attack errKathryn Adler+1.1
43-1C MICHC MICH×4Attack errAlija Heins+1.3
54-1C MICHC MICH×4Attack errAbbie Tuyo+1.6
64-2C MICHJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+1.0
74-3JVILLEJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Emersen Strain+1.2
85-3JVILLEC MICHKillLilly Mullholandset Brytn Lyon+1.2
96-3C MICHC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+1.7
106-4C MICHJVILLEKillAna Nastaseset Elle Kennedy+1.1
116-5JVILLEJVILLEAttack errKarla Sanchez George+1.4
127-5JVILLEC MICHKillJaliyah Cohnesset Brytn Lyon+1.3
138-5C MICHC MICHAttack errAna Nastase+1.9
148-6C MICHJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Ana Nastase+1.2
159-6JVILLEC MICHKillBrenna Storzset Brytn Lyon+1.6
169-7C MICHJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Emersen Strain+1.3
1710-7JVILLEC MICHServe errJVILLE server+1.7
1810-8C MICHJVILLE×3KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Ana Nastase+1.3
1910-9JVILLEJVILLE×3KillKathryn Adlerset Elle Kennedy+1.7
2010-10JVILLEJVILLE×3Attack errTaylor Cripe+1.5
2111-10JVILLEC MICHServe errJVILLE server+1.4
2212-10C MICHC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+2.1
2312-11C MICHJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+1.4
2413-11JVILLEC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Rainey Weidman+1.8
2513-12C MICHJVILLEServe errC MICH server+1.5
2614-12JVILLEC MICHAttack errAbbie Tuyo+2.0
2714-13C MICHJVILLE×4KillAbbie Tuyoset Emersen Strain+1.6
2814-14JVILLEJVILLE×4Attack errJaliyah Cohnesblk Ana Nastase, Alija Heins+2.0
2914-15JVILLEJVILLE×4KillAlija Heinsset Emersen Strain+1.7
3014-16JVILLEJVILLE×4KillAna Nastaseset Emersen Strain+1.4
3115-16JVILLEC MICHServe errJVILLE server+1.2
3215-17C MICHJVILLEKillAna Nastaseset Emersen Strain+1.2
3316-17JVILLEC MICHKillBrenna Storzset Brytn Lyon+1.3
3417-17C MICHC MICHAttack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+2.2
3517-18C MICHJVILLEServe errC MICH server+1.7
3618-18JVILLEC MICHKillBrenna Storzset Brytn Lyon+2.0
3718-19C MICHJVILLE×6Serve errC MICH server+1.8
3818-20JVILLEJVILLE×6AceJVILLE serveraced Team+2.0
3918-21JVILLEJVILLE×6Attack errAlexis Carper+1.4
4018-22JVILLEJVILLE×6AceJVILLE serveraced Taylor Cripe+0.9
4118-23JVILLEJVILLE×6AceJVILLE serveraced Alexis Carper+0.4
4218-24JVILLEJVILLE×6KillHaley Yountset Ana Nastase+0.1
4319-24JVILLEC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+0.0
4419-25C MICHJVILLEKillKathryn Adlerset Ana Nastase+0.1
Set 4
10-1JVILLEJVILLEBad setBrytn Lyon+0.6
21-1JVILLEC MICHKillBrenna Storzset Brytn Lyon+0.5
31-2C MICHJVILLE×4KillHaley Yountset Ana Nastase+0.4
41-3JVILLEJVILLE×4KillKathryn Adlerset Ana Nastase+0.5
51-4JVILLEJVILLE×4Attack errBrenna Storz+0.4
61-5JVILLEJVILLE×4KillHaley Yountset Ana Nastase+0.3
72-5JVILLEC MICHServe errJVILLE server+0.3
82-6C MICHJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+0.2
93-6JVILLEC MICH×3KillLilly Mullholandset Brytn Lyon+0.3
104-6C MICHC MICH×3Attack errAbbie Tuyoblk Lilly Mullholand, Karla Sanchez George+0.5
115-6C MICHC MICH×3Attack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+0.6
125-7C MICHJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Elle Kennedy+0.4
135-8JVILLEJVILLEAttack errTaylor Cripe+0.5
146-8JVILLEC MICHServe errJVILLE server+0.4
156-9C MICHJVILLEKillAna Nastaseset Abbie Tuyo+0.4
167-9JVILLEC MICHKillLilly Mullholandset Brytn Lyon+0.4
177-10C MICHJVILLEKillAna Nastaseset Emersen Strain+0.4
188-10JVILLEC MICHServe errJVILLE server+0.4
198-11C MICHJVILLE×9KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Emersen Strain+0.4
208-12JVILLEJVILLE×9KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Emersen Strain+0.4
218-13JVILLEJVILLE×9Attack errBrenna Storz+0.3
228-14JVILLEJVILLE×9AceJVILLE serveraced Taylor Cripe+0.2
238-15JVILLEJVILLE×9AceJVILLE serveraced Team+0.1
248-16JVILLEJVILLE×9KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Ana Nastase+0.1
258-17JVILLEJVILLE×9Attack errBrenna Storzblk Haley Yount, Jaylyn Tuiasosopo+0.0
268-18JVILLEJVILLE×9AceJVILLE serveraced Taylor Cripe+0.0
278-19JVILLEJVILLE×9AceJVILLE serveraced Team+0.0
289-19JVILLEC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+0.0
299-20C MICHJVILLEServe errC MICH server+0.0
3010-20JVILLEC MICHKillBrenna Storzset Brytn Lyon+0.0
3110-21C MICHJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+0.0
3210-22JVILLEJVILLEAttack errTaylor Cripe+0.0
3311-22JVILLEC MICHAttack errAbbie Tuyoblk Lilly Mullholand, Brytn Lyon+0.0
3411-23C MICHJVILLEKillAna Tobarset Ana Nastase+0.0
3512-23JVILLEC MICHAttack errAbbie Tuyo+0.0
3613-23C MICHC MICHKillLilly Mullholandset Brytn Lyon+0.0
3713-24C MICHJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Emersen Strain+0.0
3814-24JVILLEC MICHKillKarla Sanchez Georgeset Brytn Lyon+0.0
3915-24C MICHC MICHAttack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+0.0
4015-25C MICHJVILLEKillAlija Heinsset Emersen Strain+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Central Mich. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.