Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 9, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Navy def. Army West Point 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Army West Point 86.4% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Navy won at Army West Point 3-1 (13-25, 26-24, 25-18, 26-24) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Navy's Ellen Gundlach led with 13 kills, and Amara Chambers added 20 digs.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set1234Sets
NAVY132625263
ARMY252418241

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Caroline Buffum served 4 aces, and Navy needed every one.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Navy's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Pre-match, Army West Point was RallyIQ's 86% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 4 · Navy 8–2 Army West Point

    Army West Point scored 5 straight to cut a 2–8 deficit to 7–8.

    Navy 79% → 58%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Navy 16–13 Army West Point

    Down 13–16, Army West Point scored 5 straight to lead 18–16. The match swung to Army West Point.

    Navy 74% → 44%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Navy 22–24 Army West Point

    Navy closed it, 4 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 26–24 and win the match 3–1.

    Navy 36% → >99%

Army West Point above 50Navy belowMax swing 23.2%

NavyArmy West Point

Sideout %
Navy 55.4·Army West Point 56.2
Break %
Navy 43.8·Army West Point 44.6
Hitting
Navy .188·Army West Point .191
Longest run
Navy 8·Army West Point 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Army West Point above 50 · Navy below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+23.2% NAVYrally 181 · set 4

Biggest swing: 23.2% to Navy — set 4, NAVY 26-24 ARMY. Juliette Myrick stuffed by Siena Morgan & Caroline Buffum. ARMY win probability 23% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NAVY 16.5%83.5% ARMY

Navy wins

3-0
2.5%
3-1
5.4%
3-2
8.6%

Army West Point wins

3-0
35.3%
3-1
31.1%
3-2
17.2%
NAVY break %
40.4% vs this opp
ARMY break %
47.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Juliette Myrick stuffed by Siena Morgan & Caroline Buffum

    Set 4 · NAVY 26-24 ARMY · NAVY 77% → 100%

  2. 02
    NavyAce+19.1%

    Navy ace on Nicole Stroud

    Set 4 · NAVY 25-24 ARMY · NAVY 58% → 77%

  3. 03
    Siena MorganKill+15.8%

    Kill by Siena Morgan (set by Kinamoni Jerome)

    Set 4 · NAVY 24-24 ARMY · NAVY 42% → 58%

  4. 04
    NavyAce+8.6%

    Navy ace

    Set 4 · NAVY 20-20 ARMY · NAVY 48% → 57%

  5. 05
    Army West PointAce+8.2%

    Army West Point ace on Amara Chambers

    Set 4 · NAVY 20-22 ARMY · ARMY 51% → 59%

  6. 06

    Kill by Corrine Blackburn (set by Juliette Myrick)

    Set 4 · NAVY 20-21 ARMY · ARMY 43% → 51%

  7. 07
    NavyAce+7.0%

    Navy ace on Kealakai Bandy

    Set 4 · NAVY 15-12 ARMY · NAVY 66% → 73%

  8. 08
    Army West PointAce+6.8%

    Army West Point ace on Farrah Eike

    Set 4 · NAVY 16-16 ARMY · ARMY 37% → 44%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Navyaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412650.12004262031.517.5
413630.2330001002114
410121.42910010052.512.5
410232.25000119500010
4112.000002210212
4001.0002610900001
42315-.06700020010.52.5
4000–3112010001
4000–1712500001
2205.40000010010.52.5
2000–000500000
1000–010000001
1014-.250000000000
Team totals5020160.1884788719014790
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411527.2220006004213
410529.1722612110010.511.5
48520.1500001004210
4000–102200000
37531.06510081010.57.5
3217.14310010031.53.5
47022.31802110202110
4001.0001202230002
4000–122300002
4000–20001000000
26216.25000000010.56.5
2204.500021600004
Team totals5323157.1915198808016891

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Navy vs Army West Point

Season series · Navy leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 NAVY · ARMY 5

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 2 NAVYARMY 5

Set 2

26-24

Longest run 3 NAVYARMY 4

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 8 NAVYARMY 5

Set 4

26-24

Longest run 5 NAVYARMY 5

Bars above the line = Army West Point leads, below = Navy leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Navy

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
50%8/16
2
53%10/19
33%5/15
3
53%9/17
25%3/12
4
57%8/14
50%8/16
5
50%8/16
53%9/17
6
60%6/10
46%6/13
All
55%51/92
44%39/89

Army West Point

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%10/19
43%6/14
2
75%9/12
23%3/13
3
60%9/15
47%8/17
4
40%8/20
47%8/17
5
80%8/10
60%12/20
6
46%6/13
36%4/11
All
56%50/89
45%41/92

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

181 rallies

#NAVY-ARMYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0ARMYNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Siena Morgan+1.1
21-1NAVYARMYAttack errCaroline Buffum+1.0
32-1ARMYNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+1.2
42-2NAVYARMYKillKennedy Jonesset Marlee Lightsey+1.1
52-3ARMYARMYAttack errEllen Gundlach+1.3
63-3ARMYNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+1.1
74-3NAVYNAVYKillAvery Maddux+1.5
84-4NAVYARMYKillMarlee Lightseyset Naomi Chinchar+1.1
95-4ARMYNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+1.3
105-5NAVYARMY×4KillJuliette Myrickset Naomi Chinchar+1.2
115-6ARMYARMY×4BlockedGrace Burgoyneblk Breelyn Bender, Kealakai Bandy+1.4
125-7ARMYARMY×4AceArmy West Pointaced Caroline Buffum+1.3
135-8ARMYARMY×4AceArmy West Pointaced Caroline Buffum+1.1
146-8ARMYNAVYKillGrace Burgoyneset Kinamoni Jerome+0.9
156-9NAVYARMYKillBreelyn Benderset Naomi Chinchar+0.9
166-10ARMYARMYKillKealakai Bandyset Juliette Myrick+1.0
177-10ARMYNAVYServe errArmy West Point+0.7
188-10NAVYNAVYAttack errBreelyn Bender+1.1
198-11NAVYARMYKillKealakai Bandyset Juliette Myrick+0.9
209-11ARMYNAVYServe errArmy West Point+0.9
219-12NAVYARMY×3KillKennedy Jonesset Juliette Myrick+1.0
229-13ARMYARMY×3KillMarlee Lightseyset Juliette Myrick+1.0
239-14ARMYARMY×3Attack errEllen Gundlach+0.8
2410-14ARMYNAVYAttack errKennedy Jones+0.5
2510-15NAVYARMYKillMarlee Lightseyset Juliette Myrick+0.6
2611-15ARMYNAVYKillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+0.5
2711-16NAVYARMYAttack errEllen Gundlach+0.6
2811-17ARMYARMYAttack errFarrah Eike+0.6
2912-17ARMYNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+0.3
3012-18NAVYARMY×5KillJuliette Myrickset Naomi Chinchar+0.4
3112-19ARMYARMY×5KillKealakai Bandyset Audrey St.Clair+0.3
3212-20ARMYARMY×5KillKealakai Bandyset Naomi Chinchar+0.2
3312-21ARMYARMY×5KillJuliette Myrickset Naomi Chinchar+0.1
3412-22ARMYARMY×5Bad setGrace Burgoyne·
3513-22ARMYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Kinamoni Jerome·
3613-23NAVYARMY×3KillBreelyn Benderset Naomi Chinchar·
3713-24ARMYARMY×3BlockedCaroline Buffumblk Kennedy Jones, Breelyn Bender·
3813-25ARMYARMY×3AceArmy West Pointaced Farrah Eike·
Set 2
11-0NAVYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Kinamoni Jerome+1.0
21-1NAVYARMYKillKennedy Jonesset Juliette Myrick+0.7
32-1ARMYNAVYServe errArmy West Point+0.8
43-1NAVYNAVYAttack errKennedy Jones+1.1
53-2NAVYARMYKillKennedy Jonesset Nicole Stroud+0.8
64-2ARMYNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Amara Chambers+0.9
75-2NAVYNAVYBlockedKennedy Jonesblk Caroline Buffum, Siena Morgan+1.3
85-3NAVYARMYServe errNavy+0.9
96-3ARMYNAVYKillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+1.0
107-3NAVYNAVYBlockedMarlee Lightseyblk Grace Burgoyne, Siena Morgan+1.3
117-4NAVYARMYServe errNavy+0.9
128-4ARMYNAVY×3KillSiena Morganset Kinamoni Jerome+1.1
139-4NAVYNAVY×3AceNavyaced Nicole Stroud+1.4
1410-4NAVYNAVY×3AceNavyaced Kealakai Bandy+1.3
1510-5NAVYARMYKillMichelle Parkerset Naomi Chinchar+0.8
1611-5ARMYNAVYAttack errBreelyn Bender+1.0
1712-5NAVYNAVYAttack errMarlee Lightsey+1.2
1812-6NAVYARMYKillJuliette Myrickset Naomi Chinchar+0.7
1913-6ARMYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Kinamoni Jerome+0.9
2013-7NAVYARMYKillKennedy Jonesset Juliette Myrick+0.6
2113-8ARMYARMYAttack errEllen Gundlach+1.0
2214-8ARMYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+1.1
2314-9NAVYARMY×3Serve errNavy+0.7
2414-10ARMYARMY×3KillMarlee Lightseyset Annette Lee+1.2
2514-11ARMYARMY×3BlockedEllen Gundlachblk Marlee Lightsey, Michelle Parker+1.3
2615-11ARMYNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+1.3
2715-12NAVYARMYKillMarlee Lightseyset Juliette Myrick+1.0
2816-12ARMYNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+1.4
2916-13NAVYARMY×4Serve errNavy+1.0
3016-14ARMYARMY×4Attack errGrace Burgoyne+1.5
3116-15ARMYARMY×4KillJuliette Myrickset Michelle Parker+1.7
3216-16ARMYARMY×4BlockedCaroline Buffumblk Michelle Parker, Juliette Myrick+1.7
3317-16ARMYNAVYKillSiena Morganset Kinamoni Jerome+1.5
3417-17NAVYARMYKillMichelle Parkerset Naomi Chinchar+1.4
3518-17ARMYNAVYServe errArmy West Point+1.7
3619-17NAVYNAVYAceNavyaced Marlee Lightsey+2.3
3719-18NAVYARMYKillBreelyn Benderset Naomi Chinchar+1.5
3820-18ARMYNAVYBad setKealakai Bandy+2.0
3920-19NAVYARMYKillBreelyn Benderset Juliette Myrick+1.6
4021-19ARMYNAVYAttack errBreelyn Bender+2.2
4121-20NAVYARMYBlockedHailey Jacobusblk Kennedy Jones, Breelyn Bender+1.7
4221-21ARMYARMYBlockedCaroline Buffumblk Kennedy Jones, Michelle Parker+2.6
4322-21ARMYNAVY×3BlockedMarlee Lightseyblk Ellen Gundlach, Avery Maddux+2.5
4423-21NAVYNAVY×3BlockedKennedy Jonesblk Siena Morgan, Caroline Buffum+3.5
4524-21NAVYNAVY×3KillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+2.9
4624-22NAVYARMY×3Attack errEllen Gundlach+0.9
4724-23ARMYARMY×3KillMarlee Lightseyset Naomi Chinchar+2.4
4824-24ARMYARMY×3KillMarlee Lightseyset Naomi Chinchar+5.1
4925-24ARMYNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Amara Chambers+3.9
5026-24NAVYNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Kinamoni Jerome+5.9
Set 3
11-0ARMYNAVYBlockedMarlee Lightseyblk Ellen Gundlach, Siena Morgan+1.9
22-0NAVYNAVYAttack errKennedy Jones+2.6
32-1NAVYARMYKillBreelyn Benderset Juliette Myrick+1.9
43-1ARMYNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+2.2
53-2NAVYARMYServe errNavy+1.9
64-2ARMYNAVYKillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+2.2
75-2NAVYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+3.0
85-3NAVYARMYServe errNavy+2.0
96-3ARMYNAVY×8KillEllen Gundlach+2.5
107-3NAVYNAVY×8Attack errMichelle Parker+3.2
118-3NAVYNAVY×8KillFarrah Eikeset Kinamoni Jerome+3.2
129-3NAVYNAVY×8Attack errCorrine Blackburn+3.0
1310-3NAVYNAVY×8KillFarrah Eikeset Kinamoni Jerome+2.8
1411-3NAVYNAVY×8Attack errJuliette Myrick+2.4
1512-3NAVYNAVY×8KillGrace Burgoyneset Kinamoni Jerome+2.0
1613-3NAVYNAVY×8Attack errJuliette Myrick+1.6
1713-4NAVYARMYKillJuliette Myrickset Naomi Chinchar+0.8
1814-4ARMYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Kinamoni Jerome+1.2
1914-5NAVYARMYKillJuliette Myrickset Naomi Chinchar+0.7
2015-5ARMYNAVYServe errArmy West Point+1.1
2115-6NAVYARMY×5KillBreelyn Benderset Juliette Myrick+0.6
2215-7ARMYARMY×5Attack errSiena Morgan+1.1
2315-8ARMYARMY×5Attack errCaroline Buffum+1.4
2415-9ARMYARMY×5BlockedCaroline Buffumblk Kennedy Jones, Breelyn Bender+1.8
2515-10ARMYARMY×5AceArmy West Pointaced Farrah Eike+2.3
2616-10ARMYNAVYServe errArmy West Point+2.5
2716-11NAVYARMYKillKennedy Jonesset Juliette Myrick+1.7
2817-11ARMYNAVYAttack errMarlee Lightsey+2.5
2917-12NAVYARMYKillKennedy Jonesset Isa Boyd+1.6
3018-12ARMYNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+2.5
3119-12NAVYNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+2.3
3219-13NAVYARMYKillCorrine Blackburnset Naomi Chinchar+1.0
3320-13ARMYNAVYAttack errCorrine Blackburn+1.7
3420-14NAVYARMYKillJanie Deapenset Juliette Myrick+0.9
3521-14ARMYNAVYServe errArmy West Point+1.5
3621-15NAVYARMYAttack errGrace Burgoyne+0.7
3722-15ARMYNAVYAttack errBreelyn Bender+1.3
3822-16NAVYARMYKillKennedy Jonesset Juliette Myrick+0.5
3922-17ARMYARMYAceArmy West Pointaced Farrah Eike+1.1
4023-17ARMYNAVYKillSiena Morganset Kinamoni Jerome+1.6
4124-17NAVYNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+0.8
4224-18NAVYARMYKillKennedy Jonesset Juliette Myrick+0.1
4325-18ARMYNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Amara Chambers+0.3
Set 4
11-0NAVYNAVY×4KillCaroline Buffumset Kinamoni Jerome+4.0
22-0NAVYNAVY×4KillCaroline Buffum+4.4
33-0NAVYNAVY×4KillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+4.7
44-0NAVYNAVY×4KillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+4.9
54-1NAVYARMYKillKennedy Jonesset Juliette Myrick+3.3
65-1ARMYNAVY×3KillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+4.0
76-1NAVYNAVY×3AceNavy+5.1
87-1NAVYNAVY×3AceNavyaced Nicole Stroud+4.9
97-2NAVYARMYServe errNavy+3.0
108-2ARMYNAVYKillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+4.0
118-3NAVYARMY×5KillCorrine Blackburnset Juliette Myrick+3.0
128-4ARMYARMY×5KillCorrine Blackburnset Juliette Myrick+4.4
138-5ARMYARMY×5Attack errFarrah Eike+4.6
148-6ARMYARMY×5KillKealakai Bandyset Juliette Myrick+4.8
158-7ARMYARMY×5KillJuliette Myrickset Naomi Chinchar+4.8
169-7ARMYNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+4.4
1710-7NAVYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Kinamoni Jerome+5.8
1810-8NAVYARMYKillJuliette Myrickset Naomi Chinchar+3.9
1911-8ARMYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Kinamoni Jerome+4.8
2011-9NAVYARMYKillCorrine Blackburnset Naomi Chinchar+4.0
2111-10ARMYARMYKillJanie Deapenset Juliette Myrick+5.4
2212-10ARMYNAVYAttack errJuliette Myrick+4.9
2312-11NAVYARMYServe errNavy+4.2
2412-12ARMYARMYKillBreelyn Benderset Kinamoni Jerome+5.5
2513-12ARMYNAVY×3KillCaroline Buffumset Kinamoni Jerome+4.8
2614-12NAVYNAVY×3KillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+6.7
2715-12NAVYNAVY×3AceNavyaced Kealakai Bandy+7.0
2815-13NAVYARMYKillBreelyn Benderset Juliette Myrick+4.5
2916-13ARMYNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+5.8
3016-14NAVYARMY×5KillKennedy Jonesset Juliette Myrick+4.6
3116-15ARMYARMY×5AceArmy West Pointaced Farrah Eike+6.6
3216-16ARMYARMY×5AceArmy West Pointaced Farrah Eike+6.8
3316-17ARMYARMY×5KillKealakai Bandyset Juliette Myrick+6.6
3416-18ARMYARMY×5KillKealakai Bandyset Juliette Myrick+5.9
3517-18ARMYNAVYKillPaige Buzzerioset Isa Boyd+4.4
3617-19NAVYARMYKillCorrine Blackburnset Juliette Myrick+4.8
3717-20ARMYARMYBlockedAvery Madduxblk Corrine Blackburn, Kealakai Bandy+5.1
3818-20ARMYNAVY×3KillPaige Buzzerioset Isa Boyd+3.3
3919-20NAVYNAVY×3BlockedJuliette Myrickblk Avery Maddux, Paige Buzzerio+6.2
4020-20NAVYNAVY×3AceNavy+8.6
4120-21NAVYARMY×3KillCorrine Blackburnset Juliette Myrick+7.1
4220-22ARMYARMY×3AceArmy West Pointaced Amara Chambers+8.2
4320-23ARMYARMY×3AceArmy West Pointaced Avery Maddux+5.9
4421-23ARMYNAVYServe errArmy West Point+2.8
4521-24NAVYARMYKillJuliette Myrickset Naomi Chinchar+4.6
4622-24ARMYNAVY×5KillCaroline Buffumset Kinamoni Jerome+2.0
4723-24NAVYNAVY×5Attack errBreelyn Bender+6.3
4824-24NAVYNAVY×5KillSiena Morganset Kinamoni Jerome+15.8
4925-24NAVYNAVY×5AceNavyaced Nicole Stroud+19.1
5026-24NAVYNAVY×5BlockedJuliette Myrickblk Siena Morgan, Caroline Buffum+23.2

Score shown after each rally, Navy first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).