FinalSat, Oct 3, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Eastern Mich. def. Central Mich. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Eastern Mich. 93.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Eastern Mich. beat visiting Central Mich. 3-0 (25-20, 26-24, 25-10) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. AshleeKay Christensen led Eastern Mich. with 9 kills; Central Mich.'s Taylor Cripe had a match-high 10.

Data through · final Oct 3

Set123Sets
C MICH2024100
E MICH2526253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Central Mich. hit .026. Eastern Mich. held them there all match.

Win probability never moved more than 3.3 points on one rally; Central Mich. topped out at 11% in Set 1. Eastern Mich. went in as RallyIQ's 93% pick.

Central Mich.Eastern Mich.
  • Break %+18.4 pts
    35.754.1

    On serve: 40/74 against 20/56 (Central Mich. sideout 45.9%).

  • Hitting+.203
    .026.229

    36 K / 14 E against 28 K / 25 E.

  • Longest run+0
    66

    Down 7–11 in the second set, Eastern Mich. scored 6 straight to lead 13–11. Final score of the set: 26–24.

Eastern Mich. above 50Central Mich. belowMax swing 3.3%

Central Mich.Eastern Mich.

Aces
Central Mich. 5·Eastern Mich. 8
Serve err
Central Mich. 5·Eastern Mich. 6
Blocks
Central Mich. 5·Eastern Mich. 101 BS · 8 BA vs 3 BS · 14 BA
Digs
Central Mich. 43·Eastern Mich. 48

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Eastern Mich. above 50 · Central Mich. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.3% E MICHrally 130 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.3% to Eastern Mich. — set 2, C MICH 24-24 E MICH. Attack error by Teyhlor Thomas. E MICH win probability 91% → 94%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

C MICH 6.8%93.2% E MICH

Central Mich. wins

3-0
0.8%
3-1
2.0%
3-2
4.0%

Eastern Mich. wins

3-0
50.7%
3-1
30.8%
3-2
11.6%
C MICH break %
39.0% vs this opp
E MICH break %
50.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Teyhlor ThomasAttack error+3.3%

    Attack error by Teyhlor Thomas

    Set 2 · C MICH 24-24 E MICH · E MICH 91% → 94%

  2. 02

    Kill by Teyhlor Thomas (set by Audrey Hackney)

    Set 2 · C MICH 24-22 E MICH · C MICH 7% → 10%

  3. 03
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+2.6%

    Point Eastern Mich. (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 2 · C MICH 24-25 E MICH · E MICH 94% → 97%

  4. 04
    Central Mich.Ace+2.4%

    Central Mich. ace on AshleeKay Christensen

    Set 2 · C MICH 23-22 E MICH · C MICH 5% → 7%

  5. 05
    Maddie HermanKill+2.0%

    Kill by Maddie Herman

    Set 2 · C MICH 24-26 E MICH · E MICH 97% → 99%

  6. 06
    Haley TroskyAttack error+1.7%

    Attack error by Haley Trosky

    Set 2 · C MICH 22-22 E MICH · C MICH 3% → 5%

  7. 07

    Kill by Teyhlor Thomas

    Set 1 · C MICH 16-16 E MICH · C MICH 7% → 8%

  8. 08
    Central Mich.Ace+1.4%

    Central Mich. ace on AshleeKay Christensen

    Set 1 · C MICH 13-12 E MICH · C MICH 8% → 9%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310836.0560116300011
34317.05911200010.55.5
33110.20000000132.55.5
34312.083110420005
3011-1.000800800000
2113.000100100001
3011-1.0001321400002
30312-.25000010031.51.5
3000–0011530000
24417.00000020010.54.5
2207.286000000002
2000–000200000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals2825116.026245543818554
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38420.20005160010.513.5
39423.21700110310110
35317.11800020132.57.5
35011.45500010031.56.5
3217.143202101435
3014-.2502000710000
35110.40000000031.56.5
3001.0004301510003
3001.000700600000
2000–102000000
12021.000000000002
1000–000000000
Team totals361496.22934864853141076

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Central Mich. vs Eastern Mich.

Season series · Eastern Mich. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 C MICH · E MICH 6

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 3 C MICHE MICH 4

Set 2

24-26

Longest run 6 C MICHE MICH 6

Set 3

10-25

Longest run 2 C MICHE MICH 5

Bars above the line = Eastern Mich. leads, below = Central Mich. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Central Mich.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%3/4
40%2/5
2
29%2/7
40%2/5
3
100%2/2
50%2/4
4
50%2/4
0%0/2
5
67%2/3
33%1/3
6
50%2/4
0%0/2
All
54%13/24
33%7/21

Eastern Mich.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%3/5
50%2/4
2
60%3/5
25%1/4
3
50%2/4
71%5/7
4
100%2/2
0%0/2
5
67%2/3
50%2/4
6
100%2/2
33%1/3
All
67%14/21
46%11/24

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

130 rallies

#C MICH-E MICHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1C MICHE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Kaylin Schroeder+0.5
21-1E MICHC MICHAttack errAshleeKay Christensenset Kaylin Schroeder+0.6
32-1C MICHC MICHAceCentral Mich.aced Surabhi Srinivasan+0.9
42-2C MICHE MICHKillAshleeKay Christensenset Kaylin Schroeder+0.7
52-3E MICHE MICHAttack errBrenna Storz+0.8
63-3E MICHC MICHKillKarla Sanchez Georgeset Brytn Lyon+0.7
74-3C MICHC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Brenna Storz+1.0
84-4C MICHE MICHServe errCentral Mich.+0.7
95-4E MICHC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+0.8
105-5C MICHE MICHBlockedTaylor Cripeblk Azra Eriç, Haley Trosky+0.7
116-5E MICHC MICHBlockedAzra Eriçblk Teyhlor Thomas+0.9
126-6C MICHE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Lina Govoni+0.8
137-6E MICHC MICHKillAlexis Carperset Audrey Hackney+0.9
147-7C MICHE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Lina Govoni+0.8
158-7E MICHC MICH×3KillBrenna Storzset Audrey Hackney+0.9
169-7C MICHC MICH×3KillAlexis Carperset Brytn Lyon+1.3
1710-7C MICHC MICH×3Attack errTaeley Mahler+1.4
1810-8C MICHE MICHBlockedKarla Sanchez Georgeblk Maddie Herman, Natalie Slusher+1.0
1911-8E MICHC MICHServe errEastern Mich.+1.2
2011-9C MICHE MICH×4Attack errTaylor Cripeset Karla Sanchez George+1.0
2111-10E MICHE MICH×4AceEastern Mich.aced Rainey Weidman+1.3
2211-11E MICHE MICH×4BlockedBrenna Storzblk AshleeKay Christensen+1.2
2311-12E MICHE MICH×4KillAshleeKay Christensenset Kaylin Schroeder+1.1
2412-12E MICHC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+1.0
2513-12C MICHC MICHAceCentral Mich.aced AshleeKay Christensen+1.4
2613-13C MICHE MICHKillAshleeKay Christensenset Azra Eriç+1.0
2714-13E MICHC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+1.2
2814-14C MICHE MICH×3KillAshleeKay Christensenset Mia Schaefer+1.1
2914-15E MICHE MICH×3Attack errAlexis Carper+1.3
3014-16E MICHE MICH×3Attack errLilly Mullholand+1.1
3115-16E MICHC MICHKillTeyhlor Thomasset Audrey Hackney+0.9
3216-16C MICHC MICHKillTeyhlor Thomas+1.5
3316-17C MICHE MICHServe errCentral Mich.+1.2
3416-18E MICHE MICHAttack errLilly Mullholand+1.3
3517-18E MICHC MICHServe errEastern Mich.+1.0
3617-19C MICHE MICH×3KillNatalie Slusherset Surabhi Srinivasan+1.1
3717-20E MICHE MICH×3KillNatalie Slusherset Kaylin Schroeder+1.1
3817-21E MICHE MICH×3KillMaddie Hermanset Kaylin Schroeder+0.7
3918-21E MICHC MICHAttack errTaeley Mahlerset Kaylin Schroeder+0.4
4018-22C MICHE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Kaylin Schroeder+0.6
4118-23E MICHE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Kaylin Schroeder+0.4
4219-23E MICHC MICHServe errEastern Mich.+0.1
4320-23C MICHC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Alexis Carper+0.4
4420-24C MICHE MICHKillAshleeKay Christensenset Kaylin Schroeder+0.5
4520-25E MICHE MICHAceEastern Mich.aced Alexis Carper+0.2
Set 2
10-1E MICHE MICHAttack errAlexis Carper+0.5
21-1E MICHC MICH×3KillJaliyah Cohnesset Audrey Hackney+0.4
32-1C MICHC MICH×3AceCentral Mich.aced Kaylin Schroeder+0.6
43-1C MICHC MICH×3BlockedNatalie Slusherblk Lilly Mullholand, Teyhlor Thomas+0.7
53-2C MICHE MICH×3Attack errTaylor Cripeset Audrey Hackney+0.5
63-3E MICHE MICH×3AceEastern Mich.aced Taylor Cripe+0.6
73-4E MICHE MICH×3BlockedJaliyah Cohnesblk Taeley Mahler, Maddie Herman+0.5
84-4E MICHC MICH×3Attack errKaylin Schroederset AshleeKay Christensen+0.5
95-4C MICHC MICH×3Attack errAshleeKay Christensen+0.7
106-4C MICHC MICH×3KillJaliyah Cohnesset Audrey Hackney+0.7
116-5C MICHE MICHServe errCentral Mich.+0.5
127-5E MICHC MICH×4KillBrenna Storz+0.6
138-5C MICHC MICH×4Attack errAshleeKay Christensen+0.9
149-5C MICHC MICH×4BlockedTaeley Mahlerblk Brenna Storz, Jaliyah Cohnes+0.9
1510-5C MICHC MICH×4KillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+0.9
1610-6C MICHE MICHKillAshleeKay Christensenset Kaylin Schroeder+0.6
1710-7E MICHE MICHBlockedJaliyah Cohnesblk Haley Trosky, Azra Eriç+0.8
1811-7E MICHC MICHKillJaliyah Cohnesset Brytn Lyon+0.8
1911-8C MICHE MICH×6Attack errTaylor Cripeset Rainey Weidman+0.6
2011-9E MICHE MICH×6KillAshleeKay Christensenset Lina Govoni+0.8
2111-10E MICHE MICH×6Attack errBrytn Lyon+0.8
2211-11E MICHE MICH×6KillNatalie Slusherset Surabhi Srinivasan+0.8
2311-12E MICHE MICH×6KillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+0.7
2411-13E MICHE MICH×6BlockedTaylor Cripeblk Azra Eriç, Haley Trosky+0.6
2512-13E MICHC MICHServe errEastern Mich.+0.5
2612-14C MICHE MICHServe errCentral Mich.+0.5
2713-14E MICHC MICHAttack errNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+0.6
2813-15C MICHE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Lina Govoni+0.5
2913-16E MICHE MICHAttack errLilly Mullholand+0.6
3014-16E MICHC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Audrey Hackney+0.4
3114-17C MICHE MICHKillMaddie Hermanset Kaylin Schroeder+0.5
3215-17E MICHC MICHBlockedAshleeKay Christensenblk Lilly Mullholand, Teyhlor Thomas+0.5
3315-18C MICHE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Kaylin Schroeder+0.5
3415-19E MICHE MICHAttack errAudrey Hackney+0.5
3516-19E MICHC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Audrey Hackney+0.3
3616-20C MICHE MICHKillAshleeKay Christensenset Kaylin Schroeder+0.4
3717-20E MICHC MICHKillBrenna Storzset Audrey Hackney+0.3
3817-21C MICHE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Surabhi Srinivasan+0.4
3918-21E MICHC MICHKillBrenna Storzset Audrey Hackney+0.3
4018-22C MICHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+0.4
4119-22E MICHC MICH×6Serve errEastern Mich.+0.3
4220-22C MICHC MICH×6AceCentral Mich.aced AshleeKay Christensen+0.6
4321-22C MICHC MICH×6KillTaylor Cripeset Audrey Hackney+1.0
4422-22C MICHC MICH×6Attack errHaley Trosky+1.7
4523-22C MICHC MICH×6AceCentral Mich.aced AshleeKay Christensen+2.4
4624-22C MICHC MICH×6KillTeyhlor Thomasset Audrey Hackney+2.8
4724-23C MICHE MICH×4Attack errTaylor Cripeset Audrey Hackney+1.3
4824-24E MICHE MICH×4Attack errTeyhlor Thomas+3.3
4924-25E MICH
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.6
5024-26E MICHE MICH×4KillMaddie Herman+2.0
Set 3
10-1C MICHE MICH×5KillMaddie Hermanset Kaylin Schroeder+0.2
20-2E MICHE MICH×5AceEastern Mich.aced Taylor Cripe+0.2
30-3E MICHE MICH×5BlockedJaliyah Cohnesblk Taeley Mahler, Maddie Herman+0.2
40-4E MICHE MICH×5Attack errTaylor Cripe+0.1
50-5E MICHE MICH×5AceEastern Mich.aced Taylor Cripe+0.1
61-5E MICHC MICHServe errEastern Mich.+0.1
72-5C MICHC MICHKillTaylor Cripe+0.1
82-6C MICHE MICH×5KillTaeley Mahlerset Kaylin Schroeder+0.1
92-7E MICH
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
102-8E MICHE MICH×5AceEastern Mich.aced Rainey Weidman+0.1
112-9E MICHE MICH×5BlockedTaylor Cripeblk Azra Eriç, Taeley Mahler+0.1
122-10E MICHE MICH×5BlockedBrenna Storzblk Azra Eriç·
133-10E MICHC MICHKillAlexis Carperset Brytn Lyon·
143-11C MICHE MICH×3KillAzra Eriçset Kaylin Schroeder·
153-12E MICHE MICH×3KillHaley Troskyset Surabhi Srinivasan·
163-13E MICHE MICH×3Attack errAlexis Carper·
174-13E MICHC MICHAttack errNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni·
184-14C MICHE MICHKillAzra Eriçset Lina Govoni·
195-14E MICHC MICHKillAlexis Carperset Audrey Hackney·
205-15C MICHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Azra Eriç·
216-15E MICHC MICHBlockedNatalie Slusherblk Lilly Mullholand, Teyhlor Thomas·
226-16C MICHE MICHKillNatalie Slusher·
236-17E MICHE MICHKillAshleeKay Christensenset Kaylin Schroeder·
247-17E MICHC MICHKillJaliyah Cohnesset Audrey Hackney·
257-18C MICHE MICH×5KillNatalie Slusherset Kaylin Schroeder·
267-19E MICHE MICH×5AceEastern Mich.aced Alexis Carper·
277-20E MICHE MICH×5AceEastern Mich.aced Rainey Weidman·
287-21E MICHE MICH×5KillMaddie Hermanset Kaylin Schroeder·
297-22E MICHE MICH×5BlockedJaliyah Cohnesblk Taeley Mahler·
308-22E MICHC MICHKillCheyenne Gunner·
318-23C MICHE MICHKillLily Sparkset Kaylin Schroeder·
329-23E MICHC MICHBall handlingSurabhi Srinivasan·
339-24C MICHE MICHKillLily Sparkset Kaylin Schroeder·
3410-24E MICHC MICHKillCheyenne Gunnerset Karla Sanchez George·
3510-25C MICHE MICHServe errCentral Mich.·

Score shown after each rally, Central Mich. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).