Final · 4 setsThu, Oct 15, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Kent St. def. Central Mich. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Kent St. 80.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 15, 2:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Kent St. won at Central Mich. 3-1 (25-20, 21-25, 26-24, 25-17) on Thu, Oct 15, 2026. Kent St.'s Macie Moreland led with 16 kills, and Lesley Furuta added 10 digs.

Data through · final Oct 15

Set1234Sets
KENT252126253
C MICH202524171

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Hailey Brenner served 5 aces, and Kent St. needed every one.

The match turned twice; each line shows Kent St.'s RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Kent St. went in as RallyIQ's 80% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Kent St. 21–21 Central Mich.

    From 21–21, Kent St. scored 3 straight to lead 24–21.

    Kent St. 71% → 87%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Kent St. 24–21 Central Mich.

    Central Mich. had 3 straight kills to erase a 21–24 deficit and tie it at 24.

    Kent St. 87% → 70%

Central Mich. above 50Kent St. belowMax swing 10.7%

Kent St.Central Mich.

Sideout %
Kent St. 57.5·Central Mich. 51.0
Break %
Kent St. 49.0·Central Mich. 42.5
Hitting
Kent St. .219·Central Mich. .205
Longest run
Kent St. 6·Central Mich. 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Central Mich. above 50 · Kent St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.7% C MICHrally 183 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.7% to Central Mich. — set 3, KENT 24-24 C MICH. Kill by Karla Sanchez George (set by Brytn Lyon). C MICH win probability 19% → 30%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

KENT 84.5%15.5% C MICH

Kent St. wins

3-0
36.5%
3-1
31.2%
3-2
16.8%

Central Mich. wins

3-0
2.3%
3-1
5.0%
3-2
8.2%
KENT break %
48.2% vs this opp
C MICH break %
40.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Karla Sanchez George (set by Brytn Lyon)

    Set 3 · KENT 24-24 C MICH · C MICH 19% → 30%

  2. 02
    Nadia MillerKill+9.6%

    Kill by Nadia Miller (set by Kylee Baranski)

    Set 3 · KENT 26-24 C MICH · KENT 79% → 88%

  3. 03
    Taylor CripeAttack error+8.5%

    Attack error by Taylor Cripe

    Set 3 · KENT 25-24 C MICH · KENT 70% → 79%

  4. 04

    Kill by Macie Moreland (set by Kylee Baranski)

    Set 3 · KENT 23-21 C MICH · KENT 76% → 83%

  5. 05

    Vanessa Imoh stuffed by Teyhlor Thomas & Alexis Carper

    Set 3 · KENT 21-21 C MICH · C MICH 23% → 29%

  6. 06

    Kill by Adalynn Ginley (set by Kylee Baranski)

    Set 3 · KENT 22-21 C MICH · KENT 71% → 76%

  7. 07

    Macie Moreland stuffed by Teyhlor Thomas & Karla Sanchez George

    Set 3 · KENT 21-20 C MICH · C MICH 18% → 23%

  8. 08
    Taylor CripeKill+4.4%

    Kill by Taylor Cripe (set by Brytn Lyon)

    Set 3 · KENT 24-23 C MICH · C MICH 15% → 19%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416545.24400042010.516.5
411224.3750028004213
49429.1720003002110
49216.4380006002110
46430.067100400217
4109.111421160111.53.5
4000–050500005
4012-.500010720001
4000–011800001
4000–4001010000
Team totals5218155.2194784617112797
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414842.14310114210115
48117.41200070031.59.5
45214.214100300638
45615-.06700110031.56.5
4002.000284370010.54.5
4000–1201000002
410121.4290003004212
4000–4101500001
4004.0001500500000
34218.11100031010.54.5
3000–000100000
27211.455001110007
2227.000003100002
Team totals5524151.20550797181181086

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Kent St. vs Central Mich.

Season series · Kent St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 KENT · C MICH 5

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 5 KENTC MICH 5

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 4 KENTC MICH 4

Set 3

26-24

Longest run 4 KENTC MICH 4

Set 4

25-17

Longest run 6 KENTC MICH 3

Bars above the line = Central Mich. leads, below = Kent St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Kent St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
36%5/14
56%5/9
2
80%4/5
43%3/7
3
80%4/5
64%7/11
4
100%4/4
67%8/12
5
67%4/6
20%1/5
6
100%4/4
20%1/5
All
66%25/38
51%25/49

Central Mich.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%5/8
56%5/9
2
57%4/7
50%5/10
3
24%4/17
20%1/5
4
80%4/5
0%0/4
5
67%4/6
33%2/6
6
50%3/6
0%0/4
All
49%24/49
34%13/38

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

183 rallies

#KENT-C MICHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1C MICHC MICH×5KillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+1.8
20-2C MICHC MICH×5KillTaylor Cripeset Ceci Bustamante+1.9
30-3C MICHC MICH×5KillLilly Mullholandset Ceci Bustamante+2.0
40-4C MICHC MICH×5KillTeyhlor Thomas+2.1
50-5C MICHC MICH×5KillTaylor Cripeset Rainey Weidman+2.0
61-5C MICHKENTKillMacie Morelandset Kylee Baranski+1.3
72-5KENTKENTKillMacie Morelandset Kylee Baranski+1.9
82-6KENTC MICHKillLilly Mullholandset Taylor Cripe+1.7
92-7C MICHC MICHBlockedNadia Millerblk Teyhlor Thomas, Lilly Mullholand+2.1
103-7C MICHKENTKillMacie Morelandset Kylee Baranski+1.4
114-7KENTKENTKillMacie Morelandset Kylee Baranski+1.9
124-8KENTC MICHKillCheyenne Gunnerset Audrey Hackney+1.8
135-8C MICHKENT×5Attack errTaylor Cripe+1.5
146-8KENTKENT×5AceKent St.aced Taylor Cripe+2.1
157-8KENTKENT×5AceKent St.+2.1
168-8KENTKENT×5Attack errCheyenne Gunner+2.1
179-8KENTKENT×5Bad setRainey Weidman+2.0
189-9KENTC MICHKillCheyenne Gunnerset Rainey Weidman+1.7
1910-9C MICHKENTKillMercedez Brownset Kylee Baranski+1.6
2010-10KENTC MICHServe errKent St.+1.7
2111-10C MICHKENTServe errCentral Mich.+1.7
2211-11KENTC MICHAttack errMercedez Brown+1.8
2312-11C MICHKENTKillAdalynn Ginleyset Kylee Baranski+1.7
2413-11KENTKENTAttack errTaylor Cripe+2.1
2513-12KENTC MICHKillKarla Sanchez Georgeset Rainey Weidman+1.6
2614-12C MICHKENTKillMacie Morelandset Kylee Baranski+1.7
2714-13KENTC MICHAttack errVanessa Imoh+1.7
2815-13C MICHKENTKillMacie Morelandset Lesley Furuta+1.8
2915-14KENTC MICHServe errKent St.+1.8
3015-15C MICHC MICHBlockedMacie Morelandblk Lilly Mullholand, Brenna Storz+2.7
3116-15C MICHKENT×4KillNadia Millerset Kylee Baranski+2.1
3217-15KENTKENT×4KillKylee Baranski+2.5
3318-15KENTKENT×4Bad setAudrey Hackney+2.1
3419-15KENTKENT×4Attack errCheyenne Gunner+1.7
3519-16KENTC MICHKillBrenna Storzset Audrey Hackney+1.0
3620-16C MICHKENTServe errCentral Mich.+1.3
3720-17KENTC MICH×3BlockedMercedez Brownblk Brenna Storz, Karla Sanchez George+1.0
3820-18C MICHC MICH×3BlockedAdalynn Ginleyblk Taylor Cripe+1.9
3920-19C MICHC MICH×3KillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+2.8
4021-19C MICHKENTServe errCentral Mich.+2.6
4122-19KENTKENTAttack errBrenna Storz+2.6
4222-20KENTC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Audrey Hackney+1.5
4323-20C MICHKENT×3KillVanessa Imohset Kylee Baranski+2.1
4424-20KENTKENT×3KillVanessa Imohset Kylee Baranski+1.5
4525-20KENTKENT×3BlockedTaylor Cripeblk Adalynn Ginley, Vanessa Imoh+0.4
Set 2
11-0KENTKENT×3KillMacie Morelandset Kylee Baranski+1.2
22-0KENTKENT×3KillMacie Morelandset Kylee Baranski+1.1
33-0KENTKENT×3Bad setAudrey Hackney+1.0
43-1KENTC MICHKillLilly Mullholandset Audrey Hackney+0.8
53-2C MICHC MICHAceCentral Mich.aced Maggie Kachmarik+1.2
64-2C MICHKENT×3KillMacie Morelandset Lesley Furuta+0.9
75-2KENTKENT×3Attack errBrenna Storz+1.1
86-2KENTKENT×3KillMacie Morelandset Kylee Baranski+0.9
96-3KENTC MICHBad setKylee Baranski+0.7
107-3C MICHKENTServe errCentral Mich.+0.7
117-4KENTC MICHKillBrenna Storzset Brytn Lyon+0.7
127-5C MICHC MICHKillKarla Sanchez Georgeset Brytn Lyon+1.1
138-5C MICHKENTKillNadia Millerset Kylee Baranski+0.9
148-6KENTC MICH×3KillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+0.9
158-7C MICH
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.3
168-8C MICHC MICH×3KillLilly Mullholandset Teyhlor Thomas+1.5
179-8C MICHKENTKillAdalynn Ginleyset Kylee Baranski+1.2
1810-8KENTKENTAttack errTeyhlor Thomas+1.4
1910-9KENTC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Audrey Hackney+1.1
2011-9C MICHKENTKillVanessa Imohset Lesley Furuta+1.1
2112-9KENTKENTKillAdalynn Ginley+1.3
2212-10KENTC MICHKillLilly Mullholandset Audrey Hackney+1.0
2313-10C MICHKENTKillVanessa Imohset Kylee Baranski+1.0
2413-11KENTC MICHKillAlexis Carperset Audrey Hackney+1.0
2513-12C MICHC MICHAceBrytn Lyonaced Macie Moreland+1.5
2614-12C MICHKENTServe errCentral Mich.+1.3
2714-13KENTC MICHKillBrenna Storzset Brytn Lyon+1.3
2814-14C MICHC MICHAceCentral Mich.aced Maggie Kachmarik+1.9
2915-14C MICHKENT×4KillNadia Millerset Kylee Baranski+1.5
3016-14KENTKENT×4BlockedBrenna Storzblk Mercedez Brown, Nadia Miller+1.8
3117-14KENTKENT×4KillMercedez Brownset Kylee Baranski+1.5
3218-14KENTKENT×4BlockedBrenna Storzblk Mercedez Brown, Nadia Miller+1.2
3318-15KENTC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Rainey Weidman+0.8
3418-16C MICHC MICHKillTeyhlor Thomas+1.4
3519-16C MICHKENTKillMercedez Brownset Kylee Baranski+1.3
3619-17KENTC MICH×4KillKarla Sanchez Georgeset Brytn Lyon+1.1
3719-18C MICHC MICH×4KillTaylor Cripe+2.0
3819-19C MICHC MICH×4KillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+2.6
3919-20C MICHC MICH×4BlockedMercedez Brownblk Teyhlor Thomas, Brytn Lyon+3.1
4020-20C MICHKENTKillAdalynn Ginleyset Kylee Baranski+2.3
4120-21KENTC MICH×3KillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+2.8
4220-22C MICHC MICH×3Attack errVanessa Imoh+3.7
4320-23C MICHC MICH×3KillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+3.3
4421-23C MICHKENTKillVanessa Imohset Mercedez Brown+1.4
4521-24KENTC MICHKillTeyhlor Thomasset Brytn Lyon+2.7
4621-25C MICHC MICHAceCentral Mich.+1.6
Set 3
10-1C MICHC MICHAttack errVanessa Imoh+2.8
21-1C MICHKENTKillMacie Morelandset Kylee Baranski+2.0
31-2KENTC MICH×3BlockedNadia Millerblk Teyhlor Thomas, Karla Sanchez George+2.2
41-3C MICHC MICH×3KillKarla Sanchez Georgeset Brytn Lyon+3.0
51-4C MICHC MICH×3AceCentral Mich.aced Macie Moreland+3.2
62-4C MICHKENT×4KillMacie Morelandset Kylee Baranski+2.2
73-4KENTKENT×4BlockedTaylor Cripeblk Kylee Baranski+2.9
84-4KENTKENT×4KillNadia Millerset Kylee Baranski+2.9
95-4KENTKENT×4KillNadia Millerset Brytn Lyon+2.7
105-5KENTC MICHKillKarla Sanchez Georgeset Brytn Lyon+2.3
115-6C MICHC MICHBad setKylee Baranski+3.2
126-6C MICHKENTAttack errTaylor Cripe+2.3
136-7KENTC MICHKillBrenna Storzset Brytn Lyon+2.6
147-7C MICHKENT×3KillNadia Millerset Kylee Baranski+2.4
158-7KENTKENT×3KillAdalynn Ginleyset Kylee Baranski+3.0
169-7KENTKENT×3Attack errTaylor Cripe+2.8
179-8KENTC MICHServe errKent St.+2.2
1810-8C MICHKENTKillMercedez Brownset Kylee Baranski+2.2
1910-9KENTC MICHKillAlexis Carperset Audrey Hackney+2.3
2011-9C MICHKENT×3KillMercedez Brownset Lesley Furuta+2.3
2112-9KENTKENT×3Attack errTaylor Cripe+2.6
2213-9KENTKENT×3AceKent St.+2.2
2313-10KENTC MICHKillTeyhlor Thomasset Audrey Hackney+1.6
2413-11C MICHC MICHAceCentral Mich.aced Lesley Furuta+2.5
2514-11C MICHKENTKillAdalynn Ginleyset Vanessa Imoh+2.2
2614-12KENTC MICHKillAlexis Carperset Brytn Lyon+2.1
2714-13C MICHC MICHKillJaliyah Cohnesset Brytn Lyon+3.3
2815-13C MICHKENTKillNadia Millerset Kylee Baranski+2.7
2916-13KENTKENTKillMacie Morelandset Kylee Baranski+3.0
3016-14KENTC MICHKillJaliyah Cohnesset Brytn Lyon+2.2
3117-14C MICHKENTBlockedKarla Sanchez Georgeblk Nadia Miller, Macie Moreland+2.4
3217-15KENTC MICHKillJaliyah Cohnesset Brytn Lyon+2.2
3318-15C MICHKENTKillNadia Millerset Kylee Baranski+2.5
3418-16KENTC MICHKillJaliyah Cohnesset Brytn Lyon+2.3
3519-16C MICHKENTKillAdalynn Ginleyset Kylee Baranski+2.7
3620-16KENTKENTAceKent St.aced Alexis Carper+2.6
3720-17KENTC MICHServe errKent St.+1.5
3821-17C MICHKENTAttack errJaliyah Cohnes+2.0
3921-18KENTC MICH×4KillAlexis Carperset Brytn Lyon+1.4
4021-19C MICH
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.9
4121-20C MICHC MICH×4BlockedMacie Morelandblk Teyhlor Thomas, Karla Sanchez George+4.5
4221-21C MICHC MICH×4BlockedVanessa Imohblk Teyhlor Thomas, Alexis Carper+6.4
4322-21C MICHKENT×3KillAdalynn Ginleyset Kylee Baranski+5.6
4423-21KENTKENT×3KillMacie Morelandset Kylee Baranski+6.4
4524-21KENTKENT×3Attack errTeyhlor Thomas+4.3
4624-22KENTC MICH×3KillKarla Sanchez Georgeset Brytn Lyon+1.4
4724-23C MICHC MICH×3KillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+4.4
4824-24C MICHC MICH×3KillKarla Sanchez Georgeset Brytn Lyon+10.7
4925-24C MICHKENTAttack errTaylor Cripe+8.5
5026-24KENTKENTKillNadia Millerset Kylee Baranski+9.6
Set 4
11-0KENTKENTKillVanessa Imohset Kylee Baranski+1.9
21-1KENTC MICH×3KillLilly Mullholandset Audrey Hackney+1.6
31-2C MICHC MICH×3Attack errMacie Moreland+2.2
41-3C MICHC MICH×3KillLilly Mullholandset Audrey Hackney+2.4
52-3C MICHKENTKillVanessa Imohset Kylee Baranski+1.7
62-4KENTC MICHKillTeyhlor Thomasset Audrey Hackney+2.0
73-4C MICHKENTKillMacie Morelandset Kylee Baranski+1.8
84-4KENTKENTAttack errLilly Mullholand+2.3
94-5KENTC MICHKillLilly Mullholandset Audrey Hackney+1.9
105-5C MICHKENTKillNadia Millerset Kylee Baranski+1.8
116-5KENTKENTAttack errBrenna Storz+2.2
126-6KENTC MICHAttack errAdalynn Ginley+1.8
137-6C MICHKENTKillMercedez Brownset Kylee Baranski+1.8
148-6KENTKENTAttack errBrenna Storz+2.1
158-7KENTC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+1.7
169-7C MICHKENTKillVanessa Imohset Kylee Baranski+1.7
179-8KENTC MICHKillKarla Sanchez Georgeset Brytn Lyon+1.7
1810-8C MICHKENTKillVanessa Imohset Kylee Baranski+1.7
1910-9KENTC MICHKillLilly Mullholandset Audrey Hackney+1.8
2010-10C MICHC MICHAttack errMacie Moreland+2.6
2111-10C MICHKENTServe errCentral Mich.+2.0
2212-10KENTKENTAceKent St.+2.4
2312-11KENTC MICHKillLilly Mullholandset Audrey Hackney+1.9
2413-11C MICHKENT×6KillMacie Morelandset Kylee Baranski+2.0
2514-11KENTKENT×6AceKent St.aced Taylor Cripe+2.2
2615-11KENTKENT×6BlockedAlexis Carperblk Nadia Miller, Kylee Baranski+1.8
2716-11KENTKENT×6KillNadia Millerset Kylee Baranski+1.4
2817-11KENTKENT×6AceKent St.aced Jaliyah Cohnes+1.0
2918-11KENTKENT×6AceKent St.+0.7
3018-12KENTC MICHBlockedMercedez Brownblk Lilly Mullholand, Brenna Storz+0.3
3119-12C MICHKENTServe errCentral Mich.+0.5
3219-13KENTC MICHKillBrenna Storzset Brytn Lyon+0.3
3320-13C MICHKENTKillAdalynn Ginleyset Kylee Baranski+0.4
3420-14KENTC MICHKillJaliyah Cohnesset Brytn Lyon+0.3
3521-14C MICHKENTServe errCentral Mich.+0.4
3621-15KENTC MICHAttack errMacie Moreland+0.2
3722-15C MICHKENTBlockedJaliyah Cohnesblk Adalynn Ginley, Vanessa Imoh+0.3
3823-15KENTKENTBad setBrytn Lyon+0.2
3923-16KENTC MICHKillJaliyah Cohnesset Brytn Lyon·
4023-17C MICHC MICHKillJaliyah Cohnesset Brytn Lyon+0.1
4124-17C MICHKENTServe errCentral Mich.+0.2
4225-17KENTKENTAttack errAlexis Carper·

Score shown after each rally, Kent St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).