FinalSat, Sep 12, 2026

Mississippi St. def. Memphis 3–0

Mississippi St. won at Memphis 3-0 (25-7, 25-11, 25-23) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026. Mississippi St.'s Bernardita Aguilar led with 13 kills.

Data through · final Sep 12

Set123Sets
MISSST2525253
MEM711230

Win probability

Memphis above 50 · Mississippi St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 116 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Mississippi St. stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MISSST 92.9%7.1% MEM

Mississippi St. wins

3-0
50.2%
3-1
30.9%
3-2
11.8%

Memphis wins

3-0
0.9%
3-1
2.1%
3-2
4.1%
MISSST break %
48.3% vs this opp
MEM break %
37.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313120.60012170052.517.5
36315.20016171031.513.5
3506.8330211006310
35319.105100000216
3318.250200000425
3102.5002311600002
3000–310700001
3000–000000000
3000–000310000
1000–000000000
Team totals33870.357311243120201075
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
36625.000211210218
36112.41700230031.57.5
34618-.111100133010.54.5
32511-.27300003010.52.5
3238-.1252000200002
3001.000000030000
36211.36400120031.57.5
3000–200300000
1000–010000001
1012-.500000000000
1011-1.000000010000
1000–000110000
Team totals262589.01125242612010541

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 MISSST · MEM 3

Set 1

25-7

Longest run 8 MISSSTMEM 1

Set 2

25-11

Longest run 8 MISSSTMEM 3

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 5 MISSSTMEM 3

Bars above the line = Memphis leads, below = Mississippi St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Mississippi St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
100%7/7
68%13/19
2
50%6/12
68%13/19
3
57%4/7
50%4/8
4
57%4/7
0%0/4
5
80%4/5
71%10/14
6
100%4/4
60%6/10
All
69%29/42
62%46/74

Memphis

SlotSideout %Break %
1
41%7/17
0%0/5
2
28%5/18
22%2/9
3
67%4/6
44%4/9
4
36%4/11
50%4/8
5
50%4/8
43%3/7
6
29%4/14
0%0/4
All
38%28/74
31%13/42

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

116 rallies

#MISSST-MEMSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
11-0MISSSTMISSST×7AceMississippi St.aced Caitlyn Little
22-0MISSSTMISSST×7Bad setSydney Marshall
33-0MISSSTMISSST×7BlockedAmanda Hardtblk Bernardita Aguilar, Noella Obi
44-0MISSSTMISSST×7AceMississippi St.aced Genesis Rodriguez
55-0MISSSTMISSST×7AceMississippi St.aced Genesis Rodriguez
66-0MISSSTMISSST×7Attack errAmanda Hardt
77-0MISSSTMISSST×7KillPaloma Routaboulset Cayley Hanson
87-1MISSSTMEMServe errMississippi St.
98-1MEMMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson
108-2MISSSTMEMServe errMississippi St.
119-2MEMMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Paloma Routaboul
1210-2MISSSTMISSSTAttack errCaitlyn Little
1310-3MISSSTMEMServe errMississippi St.
1411-3MEMMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson
1511-4MISSSTMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall
1612-4MEMMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson
1712-5MISSSTMEMKillLillian Hamiltonset Sydney Marshall
1813-5MEMMISSST×3Serve errMemphis
1914-5MISSSTMISSST×3Attack errAmanda Hardt
2015-5MISSSTMISSST×3KillNoella Obi
2115-6MISSSTMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall
2216-6MEMMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson
2317-6MISSSTMISSSTAceMississippi St.aced Kaylee Parker
2417-7MISSSTMEMKillKaylee Parkerset Amanda Hardt
2518-7MEMMISSST×8BlockedAmanda Hardtblk Bernardita Aguilar, Noella Obi
2619-7MISSSTMISSST×8Attack errKaylee Parker
2720-7MISSSTMISSST×8Attack errCaitlyn Little
2821-7MISSSTMISSST×8BlockedSydney Marshallblk Ava Anderson, Paloma Routaboul
2922-7MISSSTMISSST×8Attack errSydney Marshall
3023-7MISSSTMISSST×8AceMississippi St.aced Kaylee Parker
3124-7MISSSTMISSST×8BlockedCaitlyn Littleblk Ava Anderson, Bernardita Aguilar
3225-7MISSSTMISSST×8BlockedKaylee Parkerblk Ava Anderson, Paloma Routaboul
Set 2
11-0MEMMISSSTAttack errLillian Hamilton
22-0MISSSTMISSSTBlockedKaylee Parkerblk Ava Anderson, Bernardita Aguilar
32-1MISSSTMEMKillLillian Hamiltonset Sydney Marshall
43-1MEMMISSST×3KillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson
54-1MISSSTMISSST×3KillCayley Hansonset Cayley Hanson
65-1MISSSTMISSST×3AceMississippi St.aced Caitlyn Little
75-2MISSSTMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Abigail Schlueter
86-2MEMMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset Bernardita Aguilar
96-3MISSSTMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall
106-4MEMMEMAceMemphisaced Lindsey Mangelson
117-4MEMMISSST×8KillAva Andersonset Cayley Hanson
128-4MISSSTMISSST×8KillBernardita Aguilarset Ava Anderson
139-4MISSSTMISSST×8Attack errTaylor Hampton
1410-4MISSSTMISSST×8Attack errDawn Moore
1511-4MISSSTMISSST×8KillLindsey Mangelsonset McKenna Yates
1612-4MISSSTMISSST×8KillNoella Obiset Cayley Hanson
1713-4MISSSTMISSST×8AceMississippi St.aced Taylor Hampton
1814-4MISSSTMISSST×8KillLindsey Mangelsonset McKenna Yates
1914-5MISSSTMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall
2014-6MEMMEMBlockedLindsey Mangelsonblk Caitlyn Little, Arianna Mongare
2115-6MEMMISSSTServe errMemphis
2216-6MISSSTMISSSTAceMississippi St.aced Genesis Rodriguez
2316-7MISSSTMEMKillSydney Marshallset Amanda Hardt
2417-7MEMMISSST×6BlockedKaylee Parkerblk Noella Obi, Lindsey Mangelson
2518-7MISSSTMISSST×6KillNoella Obiset Cayley Hanson
2619-7MISSSTMISSST×6AceMississippi St.aced Amanda Hardt
2720-7MISSSTMISSST×6KillBernardita Aguilarset McKenna Yates
2821-7MISSSTMISSST×6BlockedCaitlyn Littleblk Bernardita Aguilar, Noella Obi
2922-7MISSSTMISSST×6AceMississippi St.aced Tewabech Woodson
3022-8MISSSTMEMKillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall
3123-8MEMMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson
3224-8MISSSTMISSSTAttack errCaitlyn Little
3324-9MISSSTMEM×3KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall
3424-10MEMMEM×3BlockedPaloma Routaboulblk Kaylee Parker, Lillian Hamilton
3524-11MEMMEM×3KillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall
3625-11MEMMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset Cayley Hanson
Set 3
10-1MISSSTMEMKillLillian Hamiltonset Sydney Marshall
21-1MEMMISSST×5KillNoella Obiset Cayley Hanson
32-1MISSSTMISSST×5KillPaloma Routaboulset Lindsey Mangelson
43-1MISSSTMISSST×5KillAva Andersonset Cayley Hanson
54-1MISSSTMISSST×5AceMississippi St.aced Kaylee Parker
65-1MISSSTMISSST×5Attack errAmanda Hardt
75-2MISSSTMEMKillLillian Hamiltonset Sydney Marshall
86-2MEMMISSSTKillAva Andersonset Cayley Hanson
97-2MISSSTMISSSTAceMississippi St.aced Caitlyn Little
107-3MISSSTMEM×3KillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall
117-4MEMMEM×3KillArianna Mongareset Caitlyn Little
127-5MEMMEM×3BlockedAva Andersonblk Arianna Mongare, Amanda Hardt
138-5MEMMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset Cayley Hanson
148-6MISSSTMEM×3KillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall
158-7MEMMEM×3AceMemphisaced Mary Neal
168-8MEMMEM×3KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall
179-8MEMMISSST×3KillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson
1810-8MISSSTMISSST×3Attack errArianna Mongare
1911-8MISSSTMISSST×3KillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson
2011-9MISSSTMEMKillSydney Marshallset Cayley Hanson
2112-9MEMMISSST×3Serve errMemphis
2213-9MISSSTMISSST×3BlockedKaylee Parkerblk Lindsey Mangelson, Noella Obi
2314-9MISSSTMISSST×3KillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson
2414-10MISSSTMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Abigail Schlueter
2515-10MEMMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson
2615-11MISSSTMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall
2716-11MEMMISSSTAttack errLillian Hamilton
2816-12MISSSTMEM×3Bad setCayley Hanson
2916-13MEMMEM×3Attack errLindsey Mangelson
3016-14MEMMEM×3KillLillian Hamiltonset Sydney Marshall
3117-14MEMMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson
3217-15MISSSTMEMBlockedPaloma Routaboulblk Arianna Mongare, Lillian Hamilton
3317-16MEMMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall
3418-16MEMMISSSTServe errMemphis
3518-17MISSSTMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall
3619-17MEMMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Ava Anderson
3720-17MISSSTMISSSTAttack errCaitlyn Little
3820-18MISSSTMEMAttack errLindsey Mangelson
3921-18MEMMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson
4022-18MISSSTMISSSTBlockedSydney Marshallblk Lindsey Mangelson, Noella Obi
4122-19MISSSTMEMServe errMississippi St.
4223-19MEMMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson
4323-20MISSSTMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall
4424-20MEMMISSSTKillNoella Obiset Cayley Hanson
4524-21MISSSTMEM×3KillLillian Hamiltonset Sydney Marshall
4624-22MEMMEM×3BlockedPaloma Routaboulblk Lillian Hamilton, Amanda Hardt
4724-23MEMMEM×3Attack errBernardita Aguilar
4825-23MEMMISSSTAttack errAmanda Hardt

Score shown after each rally, Mississippi St. first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).