Final · 4 setsTue, Sep 15, 2026

Memphis def. Ole Miss 3–1

Memphis beat visiting Ole Miss 3-1 (13-25, 25-18, 25-16, 30-28) on Tue, Sep 15, 2026. Memphis' Caitlyn Little led with 24 kills.

Data through · final Sep 15

Set1234Sets
MISS251816281
MEM132525303

Win probability

Memphis above 50 · Ole Miss below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+14.7% MEMrally 180 · set 4

Biggest swing: 14.7% to Memphis — set 4, MISS 28-30 MEM. Bad set by Vivianna Samaniego. MEM win probability 85% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MISS 56.2%43.8% MEM

Ole Miss wins

3-0
15.3%
3-1
21.3%
3-2
19.6%

Memphis wins

3-0
10.1%
3-1
16.2%
3-2
17.6%
MISS break %
42.6% vs this opp
MEM break %
41.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Vivianna SamaniegoBad set+14.7%

    Bad set by Vivianna Samaniego

    Set 4 · MISS 28-30 MEM · MEM 85% → 100%

  2. 02
    Jorda CrookKill+14.4%

    Kill by Jorda Crook

    Set 4 · MISS 24-24 MEM · MISS 11% → 25%

  3. 03
    Amanda HardtKill+14.3%

    Kill by Amanda Hardt (set by Sydney Marshall)

    Set 4 · MISS 27-28 MEM · MEM 71% → 85%

  4. 04
    Nina MoorerKill+14.0%

    Kill by Nina Moorer

    Set 4 · MISS 27-26 MEM · MISS 25% → 39%

  5. 05
    Caitlyn LittleKill+10.4%

    Kill by Caitlyn Little (set by Abigail Schlueter)

    Set 4 · MISS 24-25 MEM · MEM 75% → 85%

  6. 06

    Amanda Hardt stuffed by Nina Moorer & Jorda Crook

    Set 4 · MISS 25-25 MEM · MISS 15% → 25%

  7. 07
    Amanda HardtKill+10.4%

    Kill by Amanda Hardt (set by Sydney Marshall)

    Set 4 · MISS 25-26 MEM · MEM 75% → 85%

  8. 08
    Jorda CrookKill+10.4%

    Kill by Jorda Crook (set by Vivianna Samaniego)

    Set 4 · MISS 26-26 MEM · MISS 15% → 25%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418457.24612390052.522.5
49839.026210111010.510.5
48422.182000410008
4215.20000210052.54.5
4127-.14300010031.52.5
4005.0002610900212
4102.5008021820001
4102.500700000001
4000–001300000
3000–000100000
27314.28600131010.57.5
1000–001000000
Team totals4722153.163444106060178.587
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
424953.28311216102126
411638.13201311200012
4508.62500000174.59.5
47521.095200400429
46214.28622030010.58.5
4127-.14341211300214
4002.0004011510000
3001.0000021200000
1003.000000000000
1000–201200000
1000–000000000
Team totals5424147.20452610764116993

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 MISS · MEM 9

Set 1

25-13

Longest run 6 MISSMEM 3

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 3 MISSMEM 9

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 3 MISSMEM 8

Set 4

28-30

Longest run 4 MISSMEM 5

Bars above the line = Memphis leads, below = Ole Miss leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Ole Miss

SlotSideout %Break %
1
38%10/26
47%7/15
2
75%9/12
41%7/17
3
73%8/11
60%12/20
4
62%8/13
27%3/11
5
50%7/14
0%0/8
6
38%6/16
59%10/17
All
52%48/92
44%39/88

Memphis

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%10/18
33%4/12
2
43%9/21
58%14/24
3
57%8/14
27%3/11
4
89%8/9
20%2/10
5
53%8/15
38%5/13
6
55%6/11
73%16/22
All
56%49/88
48%44/92

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

180 rallies

#MISS-MEMSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MEMMEMAttack errMelia Johnson+2.5
21-1MEMMISSKillJorda Crookset Cameron Bradley+1.8
31-2MISSMEMKillDawn Mooreset Sydney Marshall+1.9
41-3MEMMEMKillKaylee Parker+2.6
52-3MEMMISS×6KillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+1.8
63-3MISSMISS×6Bad setCaitlyn Little+2.6
74-3MISSMISS×6KillMelia Johnsonset Jorda Crook+2.6
85-3MISSMISS×6KillTenesyn Fryeset Tenesyn Frye+2.6
96-3MISSMISS×6Attack errCaitlyn Little+2.4
107-3MISSMISS×6KillMelia Johnsonset Tenesyn Frye+2.2
117-4MISSMEMServe errOle Miss+1.5
127-5MEMMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Arianna Mongare+2.3
138-5MEMMISS×3KillNina Moorerset Tenesyn Frye+1.9
149-5MISSMISS×3KillShayla Meyerset Cameron Bradley+2.3
1510-5MISSMISS×3Bad setSydney Marshall+2.0
1610-6MISSMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.2
1711-6MEMMISSServe errMemphis+1.5
1811-7MISSMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Jordan Turner+1.2
1912-7MEMMISS×6KillShayla Meyerset Tenesyn Frye+1.5
2013-7MISSMISS×6Attack errAmanda Hardt+1.6
2114-7MISSMISS×6KillJorda Crookset Cameron Bradley+1.2
2215-7MISSMISS×6KillShayla Meyerset Vivianna Samaniego+0.9
2316-7MISSMISS×6AceOle Missaced Abigail Schlueter+0.6
2417-7MISSMISS×6Attack errAmanda Hardt+0.3
2517-8MISSMEM×3KillCaitlyn Littleset Jordan Turner+0.1
2617-9MEMMEM×3AceMemphisaced Shayla Meyer+0.3
2717-10MEMMEM×3Attack errCarly Paugh+0.5
2818-10MEMMISS×3KillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+0.5
2919-10MISSMISS×3KillMelia Johnsonset Vivianna Samaniego+0.4
3020-10MISSMISS×3AceOle Missaced Caitlyn Little+0.2
3120-11MISSMEMBlockedCarly Paughblk Kaylee Parker+0.1
3220-12MEMMEMAttack errMelia Johnson+0.1
3321-12MEMMISSKillMelia Johnsonset Cameron Bradley+0.2
3421-13MISSMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+0.1
3522-13MEMMISS×4KillMelia Johnsonset Vivianna Samaniego+0.1
3623-13MISSMISS×4KillJorda Crookset Tenesyn Frye+0.1
3724-13MISSMISS×4AceOle Missaced Amanda Hardt·
3825-13MISSMISS×4Attack errCaitlyn Little·
Set 2
10-1MISSMEMServe errOle Miss+1.7
21-1MEMMISSKillShayla Meyerset Cameron Bradley+1.7
31-2MISSMEMServe errOle Miss+1.8
42-2MEMMISSKillShayla Meyerset Tenesyn Frye+1.7
52-3MISSMEMKillDawn Mooreset Sydney Marshall+1.8
63-3MEMMISSKillShayla Meyerset Vivianna Samaniego+1.8
73-4MISSMEMKillCaitlyn Little+1.8
83-5MEMMEMKillSydney Marshallset Caitlyn Little+2.5
94-5MEMMISSServe errMemphis+1.8
104-6MISSMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+1.9
115-6MEMMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+1.8
126-6MISSMISSAceOle Missaced Amanda Hardt+2.6
136-7MISSMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+2.0
147-7MEMMISSKillJorda Crookset Tenesyn Frye+1.9
158-7MISSMISSAttack errSydney Marshall+2.7
168-8MISSMEM×9KillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall+2.0
178-9MEMMEM×9KillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+2.9
188-10MEMMEM×9AceMemphisaced Cameron Bradley+2.9
198-11MEMMEM×9BlockedShayla Meyerblk Dawn Moore, Kaylee Parker+2.8
208-12MEMMEM×9BlockedNina Moorerblk Caitlyn Little, Kaylee Parker+2.6
218-13MEMMEM×9KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+2.2
228-14MEMMEM×9Attack errShayla Meyer+1.8
238-15MEMMEM×9AceMemphisaced Cameron Bradley+1.4
248-16MEMMEM×9KillDawn Mooreset Sydney Marshall+1.0
259-16MEMMISSKillShayla Meyerset Vivianna Samaniego+0.4
269-17MISSMEMServe errOle Miss+0.7
2710-17MEMMISSServe errMemphis+0.4
2810-18MISSMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+0.6
2911-18MEMMISSServe errMemphis+0.3
3011-19MISSMEMKillDawn Mooreset Sydney Marshall+0.5
3112-19MEMMISSAttack errAmanda Hardt+0.3
3212-20MISSMEMServe errOle Miss+0.5
3313-20MEMMISSServe errMemphis+0.2
3414-20MISSMISSKillMelia Johnsonset Vivianna Samaniego+0.5
3514-21MISSMEMServe errOle Miss+0.6
3615-21MEMMISS×3KillMelia Johnsonset Vivianna Samaniego+0.3
3716-21MISSMISS×3BlockedCaitlyn Littleblk Nina Moorer, Vivianna Samaniego+0.7
3817-21MISSMISS×3KillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+1.2
3917-22MISSMEM×3KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.4
4017-23MEMMEM×3BlockedShayla Meyerblk Kaylee Parker, Dawn Moore+1.0
4117-24MEMMEM×3BlockedShayla Meyerblk Dawn Moore, Kaylee Parker+0.3
4218-24MEMMISSAttack errAmanda Hardt·
4318-25MISSMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Abigail Schlueter+0.1
Set 3
11-0MEMMISS×3KillMelia Johnsonset Vivianna Samaniego+2.4
22-0MISSMISS×3Attack errCaitlyn Little+3.2
33-0MISSMISS×3Attack errDawn Moore+3.1
43-1MISSMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Dawn Moore+2.1
53-2MEMMEMAttack errMelia Johnson+3.2
64-2MEMMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+2.4
74-3MISSMEMAttack errShayla Meyer+2.4
85-3MEMMISSAttack errDawn Moore+2.5
95-4MISSMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+2.4
106-4MEMMISSKillShayla Meyerset Cameron Bradley+2.6
116-5MISSMEMAttack errJorda Crook+2.5
127-5MEMMISS×3KillShayla Meyerset Tenesyn Frye+2.6
138-5MISSMISS×3Attack errCaitlyn Little+3.4
149-5MISSMISS×3KillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+3.1
159-6MISSMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+2.0
169-7MEMMEMAceMemphisaced Melia Johnson+3.2
1710-7MEMMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+2.6
1810-8MISSMEM×3KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+2.4
1910-9MEMMEM×3BlockedMelia Johnsonblk Kaylee Parker, Dawn Moore+3.8
2010-10MEMMEM×3KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+4.2
2111-10MEMMISSServe errMemphis+3.1
2212-10MISSMISSAttack errDawn Moore+4.2
2312-11MISSMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+2.9
2413-11MEMMISSServe errMemphis+3.2
2513-12MISSMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Dawn Moore+3.0
2613-13MEMMEMAttack errShayla Meyer+4.6
2714-13MEMMISSKillJaidyn Hartsfieldset Vivianna Samaniego+3.5
2814-14MISSMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+3.5
2914-15MEMMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+5.2
3015-15MEMMISSServe errMemphis+3.7
3115-16MISSMEMServe errOle Miss+4.0
3215-17MEMMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+5.5
3316-17MEMMISSServe errMemphis+3.6
3416-18MISSMEM×8KillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+4.2
3516-19MEMMEM×8BlockedJorda Crookblk Kaylee Parker, Sydney Marshall+5.3
3616-20MEMMEM×8Attack errJorda Crook+4.3
3716-21MEMMEM×8KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+3.0
3816-22MEMMEM×8KillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall+1.7
3916-23MEMMEM×8KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+0.8
4016-24MEMMEM×8KillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall+0.2
4116-25MEMMEM×8KillCaitlyn Littleset Arianna Mongare·
Set 4
10-1MISSMEMKillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall+2.6
20-2MEMMEMBlockedJorda Crookblk Caitlyn Little, Kaylee Parker+3.6
31-2MEMMISSKillJaidyn Hartsfieldset Cameron Bradley+2.5
42-2MISSMISSBlockedDawn Mooreblk Jaidyn Hartsfield, Nina Moorer+3.6
52-3MISSMEMAttack errJaidyn Hartsfield+2.7
63-3MEMMISS×4KillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+2.7
74-3MISSMISS×4KillJaidyn Hartsfieldset Vivianna Samaniego+3.7
85-3MISSMISS×4KillJaidyn Hartsfieldset Vivianna Samaniego+3.7
96-3MISSMISS×4KillJaidyn Hartsfieldset Vivianna Samaniego+3.5
106-4MISSMEMServe errOle Miss+2.4
117-4MEMMISSAttack errCaitlyn Little+2.6
127-5MISSMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+2.4
137-6MEMMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+3.7
148-6MEMMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+2.9
158-7MISSMEMServe errOle Miss+2.8
168-8MEMMEMAceMemphisaced Jaidyn Hartsfield+4.1
179-8MEMMISSServe errMemphis+3.1
1810-8MISSMISSAttack errArianna Mongare+4.2
1910-9MISSMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Abigail Schlueter+2.9
2011-9MEMMISSKillCarly Paughset Vivianna Samaniego+3.1
2112-9MISSMISSBlockedCaitlyn Littleblk Carly Paugh, Jorda Crook+4.0
2212-10MISSMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+2.6
2312-11MEMMEMKillDawn Mooreset Abigail Schlueter+4.2
2413-11MEMMISSKillCameron Bradleyset Shayla Meyer+3.3
2513-12MISSMEMServe errOle Miss+3.2
2613-13MEMMEMAceMemphis+4.9
2714-13MEMMISSKillJaidyn Hartsfieldset Vivianna Samaniego+3.7
2815-13MISSMISSKillJaidyn Hartsfieldset Cameron Bradley+5.0
2915-14MISSMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+3.4
3015-15MEMMEMAttack errJaidyn Hartsfield+5.3
3116-15MEMMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+4.1
3216-16MISSMEMKillDawn Mooreset Sydney Marshall+4.1
3316-17MEMMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+6.1
3417-17MEMMISSBlockedAmanda Hardtblk Nina Moorer, Vivianna Samaniego+4.3
3517-18MISSMEM×5KillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+4.7
3617-19MEMMEM×5BlockedShayla Meyerblk Sydney Marshall, Arianna Mongare+6.5
3717-20MEMMEM×5Attack errShayla Meyer+5.8
3817-21MEMMEM×5KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+4.5
3917-22MEMMEM×5KillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+2.9
4018-22MEMMISSKillJorda Crookset Shayla Meyer+1.0
4118-23MISSMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.9
4219-23MEMMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+0.7
4320-23MISSMISSAttack errSydney Marshall+2.0
4420-24MISSMEMAttack errJaidyn Hartsfield+2.8
4521-24MEMMISS×4BlockedCaitlyn Littleblk Carly Paugh, Jorda Crook+0.8
4622-24MISSMISS×4Attack errDawn Moore+2.6
4723-24MISSMISS×4BlockedCaitlyn Littleblk Nina Moorer, Jorda Crook+6.1
4824-24MISSMISS×4KillJorda Crook+14.4
4924-25MISSMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Abigail Schlueter+10.4
5025-25MEMMISSBlockedAmanda Hardtblk Nina Moorer, Jorda Crook+10.4
5125-26MISSMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+10.4
5226-26MEMMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+10.4
5327-26MISSMISSKillNina Moorer+14.0
5427-27MISSMEMKillDawn Mooreset Sydney Marshall+10.1
5527-28MEMMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+14.3
5628-28MEMMISSAttack errArianna Mongare+10.4
5728-29MISSMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+10.4
5828-30MEMMEMBad setVivianna Samaniego+14.7

Score shown after each rally, Ole Miss first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).