Final · 4 setsTue, Sep 15, 2026

AwaySEC

1:3

HomeAMERICAN

Memphis def. Ole Miss 3–1

(13-25, 25-18, 25-16, 30-28)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
MISS	25	18	16	28	1
MEM	13	25	25	30	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

MEM above 50 · MISS below

Biggest swing: 17.2% to Memphis — set 4, MISS 28-30 MEM. Bad set by Vivianna Samaniego. MEM win probability 83% → 100%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MISS 67.1%32.9% MEM

Ole Miss wins

3-0

21.3%

3-1

25.7%

3-2

20.0%

Memphis wins

3-0

6.5%

3-1

11.7%

3-2

14.7%

MISS break %: 43.4% vs this opp
MEM break %: 40.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Vivianna SamaniegoBad set+17.2%
Bad set by Vivianna Samaniego
Set 4 · MISS 28-30 MEM · MEM 83% → 100%
02
Jorda CrookKill+16.3%
Kill by Jorda Crook
Set 4 · MISS 24-24 MEM · MISS 13% → 29%
03
Amanda HardtKill+15.9%
Kill by Amanda Hardt (set by Sydney Marshall)
Set 4 · MISS 27-28 MEM · MEM 67% → 83%
04
Nina MoorerKill+15.0%
Kill by Nina Moorer
Set 4 · MISS 27-26 MEM · MISS 29% → 44%
05
Caitlyn LittleKill+11.5%
Kill by Caitlyn Little (set by Abigail Schlueter)
Set 4 · MISS 24-25 MEM · MEM 71% → 83%
06
Amanda HardtAttack error+11.5%
Amanda Hardt stuffed by Nina Moorer & Jorda Crook
Set 4 · MISS 25-25 MEM · MISS 17% → 29%
07
Amanda HardtKill+11.5%
Kill by Amanda Hardt (set by Sydney Marshall)
Set 4 · MISS 25-26 MEM · MEM 71% → 83%
08
Jorda CrookKill+11.5%
Kill by Jorda Crook (set by Vivianna Samaniego)
Set 4 · MISS 26-26 MEM · MISS 17% → 29%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Ole Missaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
23Jorda CrookOPP	4	18	4	57	.246	1	2	3	9	0	5	2.5	22.5
14Shayla MeyerOH	4	9	8	39	.026	2	1	0	11	1	1	0.5	10.5
13Melia JohnsonOH	4	8	4	22	.182	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	8
10Nina MoorerOH	4	2	1	5	.200	0	0	2	1	0	5	2.5	4.5
4Carly PaughMB	4	1	2	7	-.143	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	2.5
20Vivianna SamaniegoS	4	0	0	5	.000	26	1	0	9	0	2	1	2
21Cameron BradleyL/DS	4	1	0	2	.500	8	0	2	18	2	0	0	1
6Tenesyn FryeS	4	1	0	2	.500	7	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
11Bella BonannoL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0
5Rileigh ButlerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
1Jaidyn HartsfieldOH	2	7	3	14	.286	0	0	1	3	1	1	0.5	7.5
2Ryea JacksonMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		47	22	153	.163	44	4	10	60	6	17	8.5	87

Memphishome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Caitlyn LittleOH	4	24	9	53	.283	1	1	2	16	1	0	2	1	26
15Amanda HardtOH	4	11	6	38	.132	0	1	3	11	2	0	0	0	12
7Kaylee ParkerOH	4	5	0	8	.625	0	0	0	0	0	1	7	4.5	9.5
21Dawn MooreS	4	7	5	21	.095	2	0	0	4	0	0	4	2	9
2Arianna MongareMB	4	6	2	14	.286	2	2	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
22Sydney MarshallS	4	1	2	7	-.143	41	2	1	13	0	0	2	1	4
9Abigail SchlueterL/DS	4	0	0	2	.000	4	0	1	15	1	0	0	0	0
14Genesis RodriguezOH	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	2	12	0	0	0	0	0
16Lillian HamiltonOH	1	0	0	3	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Jordan TurnerS	1	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
8Taylor HamptonL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		54	24	147	.204	52	6	10	76	4	1	16	9	93

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 MISS · MEM 9

Set 1

25-13

Longest run 6 MISSMEM 3

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 3 MISSMEM 9

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 3 MISSMEM 8

Set 4

28-30

Longest run 4 MISSMEM 5

Bars above the line = Memphis leads, below = Ole Miss leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Ole Miss

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	38%10/26	47%7/15
2	75%9/12	41%7/17
3	73%8/11	60%12/20
4	62%8/13	27%3/11
5	50%7/14	0%0/8
6	38%6/16	59%10/17
All	52%48/92	44%39/88

Memphis

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%10/18	33%4/12
2	43%9/21	58%14/24
3	57%8/14	27%3/11
4	89%8/9	20%2/10
5	53%8/15	38%5/13
6	55%6/11	73%16/22
All	56%49/88	48%44/92

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

180 rallies

Rally log

#	MISS-MEM	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	MEM	MEM	Attack err	Melia Johnson		+2.4
2	1-1	MEM	MISS	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Cameron Bradley	+1.6
3	1-2	MISS	MEM	Kill	Dawn Moore	set Sydney Marshall	+1.8
4	1-3	MEM	MEM	Kill	Kaylee Parker		+2.5
5	2-3	MEM	MISS×6	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Vivianna Samaniego	+1.7
6	3-3	MISS	MISS×6	Bad set	Caitlyn Little		+2.4
7	4-3	MISS	MISS×6	Kill	Melia Johnson	set Jorda Crook	+2.4
8	5-3	MISS	MISS×6	Kill	Tenesyn Frye	set Tenesyn Frye	+2.3
9	6-3	MISS	MISS×6	Attack err	Caitlyn Little		+2.1
10	7-3	MISS	MISS×6	Kill	Melia Johnson	set Tenesyn Frye	+1.9
11	7-4	MISS	MEM	Serve err	MISS server		+1.2
12	7-5	MEM	MEM	Kill	Caitlyn Little	set Arianna Mongare	+2.0
13	8-5	MEM	MISS×3	Kill	Nina Moorer	set Tenesyn Frye	+1.6
14	9-5	MISS	MISS×3	Kill	Shayla Meyer	set Cameron Bradley	+2.0
15	10-5	MISS	MISS×3	Bad set	Sydney Marshall		+1.6
16	10-6	MISS	MEM	Kill	Caitlyn Little	set Sydney Marshall	+1.0
17	11-6	MEM	MISS	Serve err	MEM server		+1.2
18	11-7	MISS	MEM	Kill	Caitlyn Little	set Jordan Turner	+1.0
19	12-7	MEM	MISS×6	Kill	Shayla Meyer	set Tenesyn Frye	+1.2
20	13-7	MISS	MISS×6	Attack err	Amanda Hardt		+1.3
21	14-7	MISS	MISS×6	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Cameron Bradley	+1.0
22	15-7	MISS	MISS×6	Kill	Shayla Meyer	set Vivianna Samaniego	+0.7
23	16-7	MISS	MISS×6	Ace	MISS server	aced Abigail Schlueter	+0.4
24	17-7	MISS	MISS×6	Attack err	Amanda Hardt		+0.2
25	17-8	MISS	MEM×3	Kill	Caitlyn Little	set Jordan Turner	+0.1
26	17-9	MEM	MEM×3	Ace	MEM server	aced Shayla Meyer	+0.2
27	17-10	MEM	MEM×3	Attack err	Carly Paugh		+0.3
28	18-10	MEM	MISS×3	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Vivianna Samaniego	+0.4
29	19-10	MISS	MISS×3	Kill	Melia Johnson	set Vivianna Samaniego	+0.3
30	20-10	MISS	MISS×3	Ace	MISS server	aced Caitlyn Little	+0.1
31	20-11	MISS	MEM	Attack err	Carly Paugh	blk Kaylee Parker	+0.0
32	20-12	MEM	MEM	Attack err	Melia Johnson		+0.1
33	21-12	MEM	MISS	Kill	Melia Johnson	set Cameron Bradley	+0.1
34	21-13	MISS	MEM	Kill	Amanda Hardt	set Sydney Marshall	+0.1
35	22-13	MEM	MISS×4	Kill	Melia Johnson	set Vivianna Samaniego	+0.1
36	23-13	MISS	MISS×4	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Tenesyn Frye	+0.0
37	24-13	MISS	MISS×4	Ace	MISS server	aced Amanda Hardt	+0.0
38	25-13	MISS	MISS×4	Attack err	Caitlyn Little		+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	MISS	MEM	Serve err	MISS server		+1.5
2	1-1	MEM	MISS	Kill	Shayla Meyer	set Cameron Bradley	+1.4
3	1-2	MISS	MEM	Serve err	MISS server		+1.5
4	2-2	MEM	MISS	Kill	Shayla Meyer	set Tenesyn Frye	+1.4
5	2-3	MISS	MEM	Kill	Dawn Moore	set Sydney Marshall	+1.5
6	3-3	MEM	MISS	Kill	Shayla Meyer	set Vivianna Samaniego	+1.5
7	3-4	MISS	MEM	Kill	Caitlyn Little		+1.6
8	3-5	MEM	MEM	Kill	Sydney Marshall	set Caitlyn Little	+2.2
9	4-5	MEM	MISS	Serve err	MEM server		+1.5
10	4-6	MISS	MEM	Kill	Arianna Mongare	set Sydney Marshall	+1.7
11	5-6	MEM	MISS	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Vivianna Samaniego	+1.5
12	6-6	MISS	MISS	Ace	MISS server	aced Amanda Hardt	+2.2
13	6-7	MISS	MEM	Kill	Caitlyn Little	set Sydney Marshall	+1.7
14	7-7	MEM	MISS	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Tenesyn Frye	+1.6
15	8-7	MISS	MISS	Attack err	Sydney Marshall		+2.3
16	8-8	MISS	MEM×9	Kill	Kaylee Parker	set Sydney Marshall	+1.7
17	8-9	MEM	MEM×9	Kill	Amanda Hardt	set Sydney Marshall	+2.5
18	8-10	MEM	MEM×9	Ace	MEM server	aced Cameron Bradley	+2.6
19	8-11	MEM	MEM×9	Attack err	Shayla Meyer	blk Dawn Moore, Kaylee Parker	+2.5
20	8-12	MEM	MEM×9	Attack err	Nina Moorer	blk Caitlyn Little, Kaylee Parker	+2.4
21	8-13	MEM	MEM×9	Kill	Caitlyn Little	set Sydney Marshall	+2.1
22	8-14	MEM	MEM×9	Attack err	Shayla Meyer		+1.8
23	8-15	MEM	MEM×9	Ace	MEM server	aced Cameron Bradley	+1.4
24	8-16	MEM	MEM×9	Kill	Dawn Moore	set Sydney Marshall	+1.0
25	9-16	MEM	MISS	Kill	Shayla Meyer	set Vivianna Samaniego	+0.4
26	9-17	MISS	MEM	Serve err	MISS server		+0.7
27	10-17	MEM	MISS	Serve err	MEM server		+0.4
28	10-18	MISS	MEM	Kill	Amanda Hardt	set Sydney Marshall	+0.6
29	11-18	MEM	MISS	Serve err	MEM server		+0.3
30	11-19	MISS	MEM	Kill	Dawn Moore	set Sydney Marshall	+0.6
31	12-19	MEM	MISS	Attack err	Amanda Hardt		+0.3
32	12-20	MISS	MEM	Serve err	MISS server		+0.5
33	13-20	MEM	MISS	Serve err	MEM server		+0.2
34	14-20	MISS	MISS	Kill	Melia Johnson	set Vivianna Samaniego	+0.5
35	14-21	MISS	MEM	Serve err	MISS server		+0.6
36	15-21	MEM	MISS×3	Kill	Melia Johnson	set Vivianna Samaniego	+0.3
37	16-21	MISS	MISS×3	Attack err	Caitlyn Little	blk Nina Moorer, Vivianna Samaniego	+0.7
38	17-21	MISS	MISS×3	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Vivianna Samaniego	+1.1
39	17-22	MISS	MEM×3	Kill	Caitlyn Little	set Sydney Marshall	+1.3
40	17-23	MEM	MEM×3	Attack err	Shayla Meyer	blk Kaylee Parker, Dawn Moore	+1.0
41	17-24	MEM	MEM×3	Attack err	Shayla Meyer	blk Dawn Moore, Kaylee Parker	+0.3
42	18-24	MEM	MISS	Attack err	Amanda Hardt		+0.0
43	18-25	MISS	MEM	Kill	Caitlyn Little	set Abigail Schlueter	+0.1
Set 3
1	1-0	MEM	MISS×3	Kill	Melia Johnson	set Vivianna Samaniego	+2.2
2	2-0	MISS	MISS×3	Attack err	Caitlyn Little		+3.0
3	3-0	MISS	MISS×3	Attack err	Dawn Moore		+2.7
4	3-1	MISS	MEM	Kill	Caitlyn Little	set Dawn Moore	+1.9
5	3-2	MEM	MEM	Attack err	Melia Johnson		+3.0
6	4-2	MEM	MISS	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Vivianna Samaniego	+2.2
7	4-3	MISS	MEM	Attack err	Shayla Meyer		+2.2
8	5-3	MEM	MISS	Attack err	Dawn Moore		+2.2
9	5-4	MISS	MEM	Kill	Arianna Mongare	set Sydney Marshall	+2.2
10	6-4	MEM	MISS	Kill	Shayla Meyer	set Cameron Bradley	+2.3
11	6-5	MISS	MEM	Attack err	Jorda Crook		+2.3
12	7-5	MEM	MISS×3	Kill	Shayla Meyer	set Tenesyn Frye	+2.4
13	8-5	MISS	MISS×3	Attack err	Caitlyn Little		+3.1
14	9-5	MISS	MISS×3	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Vivianna Samaniego	+2.7
15	9-6	MISS	MEM	Kill	Caitlyn Little	set Sydney Marshall	+1.7
16	9-7	MEM	MEM	Ace	MEM server	aced Melia Johnson	+2.9
17	10-7	MEM	MISS	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Vivianna Samaniego	+2.3
18	10-8	MISS	MEM×3	Kill	Caitlyn Little	set Sydney Marshall	+2.2
19	10-9	MEM	MEM×3	Attack err	Melia Johnson	blk Kaylee Parker, Dawn Moore	+3.5
20	10-10	MEM	MEM×3	Kill	Caitlyn Little	set Sydney Marshall	+4.0
21	11-10	MEM	MISS	Serve err	MEM server		+2.9
22	12-10	MISS	MISS	Attack err	Dawn Moore		+3.9
23	12-11	MISS	MEM	Kill	Caitlyn Little	set Sydney Marshall	+2.7
24	13-11	MEM	MISS	Serve err	MEM server		+2.9
25	13-12	MISS	MEM	Kill	Caitlyn Little	set Dawn Moore	+2.8
26	13-13	MEM	MEM	Attack err	Shayla Meyer		+4.4
27	14-13	MEM	MISS	Kill	Jaidyn Hartsfield	set Vivianna Samaniego	+3.3
28	14-14	MISS	MEM	Kill	Amanda Hardt	set Sydney Marshall	+3.4
29	14-15	MEM	MEM	Kill	Amanda Hardt	set Sydney Marshall	+5.1
30	15-15	MEM	MISS	Serve err	MEM server		+3.5
31	15-16	MISS	MEM	Serve err	MISS server		+3.9
32	15-17	MEM	MEM	Kill	Caitlyn Little	set Sydney Marshall	+5.6
33	16-17	MEM	MISS	Serve err	MEM server		+3.5
34	16-18	MISS	MEM×8	Kill	Arianna Mongare	set Sydney Marshall	+4.3
35	16-19	MEM	MEM×8	Attack err	Jorda Crook	blk Kaylee Parker, Sydney Marshall	+5.5
36	16-20	MEM	MEM×8	Attack err	Jorda Crook		+4.6
37	16-21	MEM	MEM×8	Kill	Caitlyn Little	set Sydney Marshall	+3.3
38	16-22	MEM	MEM×8	Kill	Kaylee Parker	set Sydney Marshall	+1.9
39	16-23	MEM	MEM×8	Kill	Caitlyn Little	set Sydney Marshall	+0.9
40	16-24	MEM	MEM×8	Kill	Kaylee Parker	set Sydney Marshall	+0.3
41	16-25	MEM	MEM×8	Kill	Caitlyn Little	set Arianna Mongare	+0.0
Set 4
1	0-1	MISS	MEM	Kill	Kaylee Parker	set Sydney Marshall	+2.8
2	0-2	MEM	MEM	Attack err	Jorda Crook	blk Caitlyn Little, Kaylee Parker	+4.0
3	1-2	MEM	MISS	Kill	Jaidyn Hartsfield	set Cameron Bradley	+2.7
4	2-2	MISS	MISS	Attack err	Dawn Moore	blk Jaidyn Hartsfield, Nina Moorer	+3.9
5	2-3	MISS	MEM	Attack err	Jaidyn Hartsfield		+3.0
6	3-3	MEM	MISS×4	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Vivianna Samaniego	+2.8
7	4-3	MISS	MISS×4	Kill	Jaidyn Hartsfield	set Vivianna Samaniego	+3.9
8	5-3	MISS	MISS×4	Kill	Jaidyn Hartsfield	set Vivianna Samaniego	+3.8
9	6-3	MISS	MISS×4	Kill	Jaidyn Hartsfield	set Vivianna Samaniego	+3.5
10	6-4	MISS	MEM	Serve err	MISS server		+2.4
11	7-4	MEM	MISS	Attack err	Caitlyn Little		+2.5
12	7-5	MISS	MEM	Kill	Arianna Mongare	set Sydney Marshall	+2.4
13	7-6	MEM	MEM	Kill	Amanda Hardt	set Sydney Marshall	+3.8
14	8-6	MEM	MISS	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Vivianna Samaniego	+2.9
15	8-7	MISS	MEM	Serve err	MISS server		+2.9
16	8-8	MEM	MEM	Ace	MEM server	aced Jaidyn Hartsfield	+4.4
17	9-8	MEM	MISS	Serve err	MEM server		+3.2
18	10-8	MISS	MISS	Attack err	Arianna Mongare		+4.3
19	10-9	MISS	MEM	Kill	Caitlyn Little	set Abigail Schlueter	+3.0
20	11-9	MEM	MISS	Kill	Carly Paugh	set Vivianna Samaniego	+3.2
21	12-9	MISS	MISS	Attack err	Caitlyn Little	blk Carly Paugh, Jorda Crook	+4.0
22	12-10	MISS	MEM	Kill	Amanda Hardt	set Sydney Marshall	+2.7
23	12-11	MEM	MEM	Kill	Dawn Moore	set Abigail Schlueter	+4.4
24	13-11	MEM	MISS	Kill	Cameron Bradley	set Shayla Meyer	+3.4
25	13-12	MISS	MEM	Serve err	MISS server		+3.3
26	13-13	MEM	MEM	Ace	MEM server	aced Team	+5.3
27	14-13	MEM	MISS	Kill	Jaidyn Hartsfield	set Vivianna Samaniego	+3.9
28	15-13	MISS	MISS	Kill	Jaidyn Hartsfield	set Cameron Bradley	+5.2
29	15-14	MISS	MEM	Kill	Amanda Hardt	set Sydney Marshall	+3.5
30	15-15	MEM	MEM	Attack err	Jaidyn Hartsfield		+5.8
31	16-15	MEM	MISS	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Vivianna Samaniego	+4.3
32	16-16	MISS	MEM	Kill	Dawn Moore	set Sydney Marshall	+4.4
33	16-17	MEM	MEM	Kill	Caitlyn Little	set Sydney Marshall	+6.8
34	17-17	MEM	MISS	Attack err	Amanda Hardt	blk Nina Moorer, Vivianna Samaniego	+4.7
35	17-18	MISS	MEM×5	Kill	Arianna Mongare	set Sydney Marshall	+5.2
36	17-19	MEM	MEM×5	Attack err	Shayla Meyer	blk Sydney Marshall, Arianna Mongare	+7.4
37	17-20	MEM	MEM×5	Attack err	Shayla Meyer		+6.8
38	17-21	MEM	MEM×5	Kill	Caitlyn Little	set Sydney Marshall	+5.5
39	17-22	MEM	MEM×5	Kill	Arianna Mongare	set Sydney Marshall	+3.6
40	18-22	MEM	MISS	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Shayla Meyer	+1.2
41	18-23	MISS	MEM	Kill	Caitlyn Little	set Sydney Marshall	+2.3
42	19-23	MEM	MISS	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Vivianna Samaniego	+0.9
43	20-23	MISS	MISS	Attack err	Sydney Marshall		+2.3
44	20-24	MISS	MEM	Attack err	Jaidyn Hartsfield		+3.3
45	21-24	MEM	MISS×4	Attack err	Caitlyn Little	blk Carly Paugh, Jorda Crook	+0.9
46	22-24	MISS	MISS×4	Attack err	Dawn Moore		+3.1
47	23-24	MISS	MISS×4	Attack err	Caitlyn Little	blk Nina Moorer, Jorda Crook	+7.1
48	24-24	MISS	MISS×4	Kill	Jorda Crook		+16.3
49	24-25	MISS	MEM	Kill	Caitlyn Little	set Abigail Schlueter	+11.5
50	25-25	MEM	MISS	Attack err	Amanda Hardt	blk Nina Moorer, Jorda Crook	+11.5
51	25-26	MISS	MEM	Kill	Amanda Hardt	set Sydney Marshall	+11.5
52	26-26	MEM	MISS	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Vivianna Samaniego	+11.5
53	27-26	MISS	MISS	Kill	Nina Moorer		+15.0
54	27-27	MISS	MEM	Kill	Dawn Moore	set Sydney Marshall	+10.6
55	27-28	MEM	MEM	Kill	Amanda Hardt	set Sydney Marshall	+15.9
56	28-28	MEM	MISS	Attack err	Arianna Mongare		+11.5
57	28-29	MISS	MEM	Kill	Amanda Hardt	set Sydney Marshall	+11.5
58	28-30	MEM	MEM	Bad set	Vivianna Samaniego		+17.2

Score shown after each rally, Ole Miss first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.