FinalSat, Sep 19, 2026

Memphis def. Little Rock 3–0

Memphis beat visiting Little Rock 3-0 (25-20, 25-12, 25-21) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026. Memphis' Caitlyn Little led with 17 kills, and Abigail Schlueter added 10 digs.

Data through · final Sep 19

Set123Sets
UALR2012210
MEM2525253

Win probability

Memphis above 50 · Little Rock below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.0% UALRrally 127 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.0% to Little Rock — set 1, UALR 8-9 MEM. Attack error by Arianna Mongare. MEM win probability 80% → 78%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UALR 24.2%75.8% MEM

Little Rock wins

3-0
4.2%
3-1
8.2%
3-2
11.7%

Memphis wins

3-0
27.7%
3-1
28.9%
3-2
19.2%
UALR break %
40.9% vs this opp
MEM break %
46.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Arianna MongareAttack error+2.0%

    Attack error by Arianna Mongare

    Set 1 · UALR 8-9 MEM · UALR 20% → 22%

  2. 02
    Alayna VaethKill+1.9%

    Kill by Alayna Vaeth (set by Alyssa Boyte)

    Set 1 · UALR 6-7 MEM · UALR 20% → 22%

  3. 03

    Bella Cherry stuffed by Sydney Marshall & Arianna Mongare

    Set 1 · UALR 8-11 MEM · MEM 79% → 81%

  4. 04

    Avery Fearnley stuffed by Dawn Moore & Kaylee Parker

    Set 1 · UALR 1-2 MEM · MEM 76% → 78%

  5. 05
    Amanda HardtAttack error+1.8%

    Attack error by Amanda Hardt

    Set 2 · UALR 7-6 MEM · UALR 13% → 15%

  6. 06

    Bella Cherry stuffed by Sydney Marshall & Arianna Mongare

    Set 1 · UALR 6-9 MEM · MEM 79% → 81%

  7. 07

    Kill by Caitlyn Little (set by Sydney Marshall)

    Set 1 · UALR 2-4 MEM · MEM 78% → 79%

  8. 08
    Arianna MongareBlock+1.7%

    Alayna Vaeth stuffed by Arianna Mongare

    Set 2 · UALR 7-8 MEM · MEM 86% → 88%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
36421.095022400008
35214.214100300005
3003.000120000213
32311-.09100000010.52.5
31011.000612300002
3000–100310000
37628.03600010010.57.5
3308.375010100004
3228.0001400200002
3000–321550002
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–002700000
3000–000000000
Team totals261794.096268729604253
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
317127.5931135300018
35110.4003011700217
32314-.07112120132.56.5
36213.30800010010.56.5
3418.37500000031.55.5
34413.000001510215
3607.85700042010.56.5
3001.000410300001
3000–010500001
3001.0005011000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
Team totals441294.3404167428112775

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 UALR · MEM 6

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 5 UALRMEM 5

Set 2

12-25

Longest run 3 UALRMEM 6

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 4 UALRMEM 5

Bars above the line = Memphis leads, below = Little Rock leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Little Rock

No clean sets to split.

Memphis

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

127 rallies

#UALR-MEMSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MEMUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Lily King+1.6
21-1UALRMEMKillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall+1.5
31-2MEMMEMBlockedAvery Fearnleyblk Dawn Moore, Kaylee Parker+1.9
42-2MEMUALRAttack errDawn Mooreset Sydney Marshall+1.5
52-3MEM
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.4
62-4MEMMEM×5KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.8
72-5MEMMEM×5Attack errAlayna Vaeth+1.6
82-6MEMMEM×5Attack errAlyssa Boyte+1.4
92-7MEMMEM×5KillCaitlyn Littleset Arianna Mongare+1.2
103-7MEMUALR×4Serve errMemphis+0.8
114-7UALRUALR×4AceLittle Rockaced Amanda Hardt+1.3
125-7UALRUALR×4KillAlyssa Boyteset Alayna Vaeth+1.6
136-7UALRUALR×4KillAlayna Vaethset Alyssa Boyte+1.9
146-8MEM
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.5
156-9MEMMEMBlockedBella Cherryblk Sydney Marshall, Arianna Mongare+1.8
167-9MEMUALRKillBella Cherry+1.3
178-9UALRUALRAttack errArianna Mongare+2.0
188-10UALRMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.6
198-11MEMMEMBlockedBella Cherryblk Sydney Marshall, Arianna Mongare+1.9
209-11MEMUALRKillAlayna Vaethset Lorena Keselj+1.4
219-12UALRMEMKillSydney Marshallset Genesis Rodriguez+1.5
229-13MEMMEMBlockedBella Cherryblk Amanda Hardt, Kaylee Parker+1.7
2310-13MEMUALRKillPolianna Hernandezset Lily King+1.1
2410-14UALRMEM×3KillAmanda Hardtset Caitlyn Little+1.3
2510-15MEMMEM×3Attack errAvery Fearnley+1.3
2610-16MEMMEM×3BlockedPolianna Hernandezblk Amanda Hardt, Kaylee Parker+1.0
2711-16MEMUALRServe errMemphis+0.6
2811-17UALRMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+0.7
2912-17MEMUALRServe errMemphis+0.5
3012-18UALRMEMServe errLittle Rock+0.7
3113-18MEMUALRKillAlyssa Boyteset Alayna Vaeth+0.5
3213-19UALRMEMServe errLittle Rock+0.7
3313-20MEMMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+0.5
3414-20MEMUALRKillBella Cherryset Alayna Vaeth+0.2
3514-21UALRMEMKillSydney Marshallset Genesis Rodriguez+0.4
3614-22MEMMEMAttack errBella Cherry+0.2
3715-22MEMUALR×5KillAvery Fearnleyset Alayna Vaeth+0.1
3816-22UALRUALR×5AceLittle Rockaced Caitlyn Little+0.2
3917-22UALRUALR×5BlockedAmanda Hardtblk Lorena Keselj, Polianna Hernandez+0.3
4018-22UALRUALR×5Attack errArianna Mongare+0.6
4119-22UALRUALR×5Attack errSydney Marshall+1.1
4219-23UALRMEMServe errLittle Rock+1.4
4320-23MEMUALRServe errMemphis+0.7
4420-24UALRMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.3
4520-25MEMMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Abigail Schlueter+0.5
Set 2
10-1UALRMEM×4KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.1
20-2MEMMEM×4KillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall+1.3
30-3MEMMEM×4KillDawn Mooreset Sydney Marshall+1.2
40-4MEMMEM×4Attack errPolianna Hernandez+1.1
51-4MEMUALR×3KillBella Cherryset Lily King+0.8
62-4UALRUALR×3KillAvery Fearnleyset Skyler Perez+1.2
73-4UALRUALR×3KillPolianna Hernandezset Skyler Perez+1.4
83-5UALRMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.1
94-5MEMUALRServe errMemphis+1.1
105-5UALRUALRAttack errKaylee Parker+1.6
115-6UALRMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+1.2
126-6MEMUALRKillAlyssa Boyteset Lily King+1.3
137-6UALRUALRAttack errAmanda Hardt+1.8
147-7UALRMEM×3KillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+1.3
157-8MEMMEM×3BlockedAlayna Vaethblk Arianna Mongare+1.7
167-9MEMMEM×3AceMemphisaced Skyler Perez+1.6
178-9MEMUALRAttack errAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+1.2
188-10UALRMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+1.3
198-11MEMMEMKillSydney Marshallset Genesis Rodriguez+1.5
209-11MEMUALRAttack errAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+1.1
219-12UALRMEM×3KillCaitlyn Littleset Abigail Schlueter+1.2
229-13MEMMEM×3AceMemphisaced Skyler Perez+1.3
239-14MEMMEM×3AceMemphisaced Skyler Perez+1.0
2410-14MEMUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Alayna Vaeth+0.7
2510-15UALRMEM×6Serve errLittle Rock+0.8
2610-16MEM
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.8
2710-17MEMMEM×6KillCaitlyn Little+0.5
2810-18MEMMEM×6Attack errBella Cherry+0.3
2910-19MEMMEM×6KillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall+0.2
3010-20MEMMEM×6Attack errPolianna Hernandez+0.1
3111-20MEMUALRKillBella Cherryset Lily King·
3211-21UALRMEM×4KillDawn Mooreset Sydney Marshall+0.1
3311-22MEMMEM×4KillZaniah Hoskinsset Sydney Marshall·
3411-23MEMMEM×4KillZaniah Hoskins·
3511-24MEMMEM×4AceMemphisaced Victoria Fontenot·
3612-24MEMUALRServe errMemphis·
3712-25UALRMEMKillZaniah Hoskinsset Sydney Marshall·
Set 3
10-1MEMMEMKillDawn Mooreset Sydney Marshall+0.7
20-2MEMMEMAttack errAvery Fearnley+0.7
31-2MEMUALR×3KillAvery Fearnleyset Lily King+0.5
42-2UALRUALR×3AceLittle Rockaced Caitlyn Little+0.8
53-2UALRUALR×3Attack errDawn Moore+0.9
63-3UALRMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+0.6
74-3MEMUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Skyler Perez+0.7
85-3UALRUALRAceLittle Rockaced Zaniah Hoskins+0.9
95-4UALRMEM×5Serve errLittle Rock+0.7
105-5MEMMEM×5KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+0.9
115-6MEMMEM×5KillDawn Mooreset Sydney Marshall+0.8
125-7MEMMEM×5KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+0.8
135-8MEMMEM×5BlockedAlyssa Boyteblk Arianna Mongare, Zaniah Hoskins+0.7
146-8MEMUALRKillLovina Teelset Alayna Vaeth+0.5
156-9UALRMEMKillDawn Mooreset Sydney Marshall+0.6
167-9MEMUALRKillAlyssa Boyteset Alayna Vaeth+0.5
177-10UALRMEMKillZaniah Hoskinsset Sydney Marshall+0.6
187-11MEMMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+0.7
198-11MEMUALRKillBella Cherryset Alayna Vaeth+0.5
208-12UALRMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Abigail Schlueter+0.5
219-12UALR
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.5
2210-12UALRUALRBlockedCaitlyn Littleblk Lorena Keselj, Bella Cherry+0.7
2310-13UALRMEM×4KillSydney Marshallset Genesis Rodriguez+0.6
2410-14MEM
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.7
2510-15MEMMEM×4KillLovina Teel+0.6
2610-16MEMMEM×4Attack errAvery Fearnley+0.4
2711-16MEMUALRServe errMemphis+0.2
2812-16UALRUALRKillLovina Teelset Alayna Vaeth+0.4
2912-17UALRMEMKillZaniah Hoskinsset Sydney Marshall+0.4
3012-18MEMMEMKillArianna Mongare+0.4
3113-18MEMUALR×3KillLovina Teelset Alayna Vaeth+0.2
3214-18UALRUALR×3AceLittle Rock+0.4
3315-18UALRUALR×3KillBella Cherryset Alayna Vaeth+0.6
3415-19UALRMEMKillDawn Mooreset Sydney Marshall+0.6
3515-20MEMMEMKillZaniah Hoskinsset Sydney Marshall+0.5
3616-20MEMUALR×4KillAlyssa Boyteset Alayna Vaeth+0.3
3717-20UALRUALR×4AceLittle Rockaced Caitlyn Little+0.6
3818-20UALRUALR×4AceLittle Rockaced Zaniah Hoskins+0.9
3919-20UALRUALR×4Attack errArianna Mongare+1.3
4019-21UALRMEM×4Serve errLittle Rock+1.2
4119-22MEMMEM×4KillSydney Marshall+1.2
4219-23MEMMEM×4AceMemphisaced Skyler Perez+0.8
4319-24MEMMEM×4Attack errBella Cherry+0.3
4420-24MEMUALRKillBella Cherryset Alayna Vaeth+0.1
4520-25UALRMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Little Rock first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).