Final · 4 setsSun, Sep 27, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Tulsa def. Memphis 3–1

Tulsa beat visiting Memphis 3-1 (25-18, 26-28, 25-17, 25-16) on Sun, Sep 27, 2026. Olivia Vance led Tulsa with 12 kills; Memphis' Caitlyn Little had a match-high 13.

Data through · final Sep 27

Set1234Sets
MEM182817161
TULSA252625253

Win probability

Tulsa above 50 · Memphis below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+4.7% MEMrally 180 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.7% to Memphis — set 2, MEM 28-26 TULSA. Kill by Genesis Rodriguez (set by Jill Hanson). TULSA win probability 90% → 86%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MEM 8.6%91.4% TULSA

Memphis wins

3-0
1.1%
3-1
2.6%
3-2
4.9%

Tulsa wins

3-0
47.0%
3-1
31.4%
3-2
13.0%
MEM break %
37.4% vs this opp
TULSA break %
47.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Genesis Rodriguez (set by Jill Hanson)

    Set 2 · MEM 28-26 TULSA · MEM 10% → 14%

  2. 02
    Olivia VanceAttack error+2.9%

    Attack error by Olivia Vance

    Set 3 · MEM 7-4 TULSA · MEM 20% → 23%

  3. 03

    Kill by Caitlyn Little (set by Sydney Marshall)

    Set 2 · MEM 24-23 TULSA · MEM 7% → 10%

  4. 04
    Olivia VanceKill+2.8%

    Kill by Olivia Vance (set by Meg Goodwin)

    Set 2 · MEM 24-24 TULSA · TULSA 90% → 93%

  5. 05

    Kill by Arianna Mongare (set by Sydney Marshall)

    Set 2 · MEM 25-24 TULSA · MEM 7% → 10%

  6. 06

    Amanda Hardt stuffed by Emma Blaine & Campbell Hague

    Set 2 · MEM 25-25 TULSA · TULSA 90% → 93%

  7. 07
    TulsaService error+2.8%

    Tulsa service error

    Set 2 · MEM 26-25 TULSA · MEM 7% → 10%

  8. 08
    Emma BlaineAttack error+2.8%

    Attack error by Emma Blaine

    Set 2 · MEM 26-26 TULSA · TULSA 90% → 93%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413739.1540036000013
4111138.0000118002113
47218.2781002022310
48317.29400010111.59.5
4138-.25041001100001
35417.05900030010.55.5
4001.0002311700003
41011.0001031150001
4000–000710000
1319.222000000003
1104.250000000001
1000–000000000
Team totals5031152.125454866836679
Tulsahome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411230.30000010210718
412530.2330125102114
48317.2941212004212
48225.24000010031.59.5
48328.1792011520219
41011.0002330800004
45317.11800000073.58.5
4000–2111300001
4000–2011700001
3000–000000000
1000–100200000
Team totals5318148.236498654422816101

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Memphis vs Tulsa

Season series · Tulsa leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 MEM · TULSA 8

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 MEMTULSA 4

Set 2

28-26

Longest run 4 MEMTULSA 3

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 6 MEMTULSA 8

Set 4

16-25

Longest run 5 MEMTULSA 6

Bars above the line = Tulsa leads, below = Memphis leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Memphis

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%7/11
40%4/10
2
33%5/15
13%1/8
3
31%5/16
50%5/10
4
50%5/10
55%6/11
5
36%5/14
38%3/8
6
57%4/7
17%1/6
All
42%31/73
38%20/53

Tulsa

SlotSideout %Break %
1
70%7/10
44%4/9
2
88%7/8
50%7/14
3
36%5/14
55%6/11
4
71%5/7
72%13/18
5
63%5/8
44%4/9
6
67%4/6
67%8/12
All
62%33/53
58%42/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

180 rallies

#MEM-TULSASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MEMTULSAKillIsabella Ocamposet Brittany Bacorn+0.6
21-1TULSAMEMServe errTulsa+0.7
31-2MEMTULSAAttack errCaitlyn Little+0.7
42-2TULSAMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+0.7
52-3MEMTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+0.7
63-3TULSAMEMKillDawn Mooreset Sydney Marshall+0.8
73-4MEMTULSA×3KillCampbell Hagueset Meg Goodwin+0.7
83-5TULSATULSA×3KillIsabella Ocamposet Meg Goodwin+0.9
93-6TULSATULSA×3AceTulsa+0.7
104-6TULSAMEMKillSydney Marshallset Genesis Rodriguez+0.6
115-6MEMMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+0.9
125-7MEMTULSAServe errMemphis+0.7
136-7TULSAMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+0.7
146-8MEMTULSABlockedAmanda Hardtblk Jill Hanson, Emma Blaine+0.7
157-8TULSAMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+0.8
168-8MEMMEMKillKaylee Parkerset Jill Hanson+1.2
178-9MEMTULSAKillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+0.9
189-9TULSAMEMKillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall+1.0
199-10MEMTULSAKillAva Steffeset Brittany Bacorn+0.9
2010-10TULSAMEMKillDawn Mooreset Sydney Marshall+1.0
2110-11MEMTULSA×4KillAva Steffeset Brittany Bacorn+0.9
2210-12TULSATULSA×4KillOlivia Vanceset Campbell Hague+1.1
2310-13TULSATULSA×4KillOlivia Vance+1.0
2410-14TULSATULSA×4KillCampbell Hagueset Meg Goodwin+0.7
2511-14TULSAMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+0.5
2612-14MEMMEMKillArianna Mongare+0.9
2712-15MEMTULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Meg Goodwin+0.7
2813-15TULSAMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+0.7
2913-16MEMTULSA×4KillEmma Blaineset Meg Goodwin+0.8
3013-17TULSATULSA×4BlockedSydney Marshallblk Jill Hanson+0.8
3113-18TULSATULSA×4AceTulsaaced Genesis Rodriguez+0.6
3213-19TULSATULSA×4Attack errAmanda Hardt+0.4
3314-19TULSAMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+0.2
3414-20MEMTULSA×3BlockedAmanda Hardtblk Jill Hanson, Emma Blaine+0.2
3514-21TULSATULSA×3Attack errCaitlyn Little+0.2
3614-22TULSATULSA×3KillAva Steffeset Brittany Bacorn+0.1
3715-22TULSAMEM×3KillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall·
3816-22MEMMEM×3KillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall+0.1
3917-22MEMMEM×3KillDawn Mooreset Abigail Schlueter+0.1
4017-23MEMTULSAKillIsabella Ocamposet Lauren Patterson+0.2
4118-23TULSAMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+0.1
4218-24MEMTULSAAttack errAmanda Hardt+0.1
4318-25TULSATULSAAttack errDawn Moore·
Set 2
10-1TULSATULSAAceTulsaaced Genesis Rodriguez+0.6
21-1TULSAMEMAttack errIsabella Ocampo+0.5
31-2MEMTULSAKillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+0.4
42-2TULSAMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+0.5
52-3MEMTULSAAttack errKaylee Parker+0.5
63-3MEM
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.5
73-4MEMTULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+0.5
84-4TULSAMEMServe errTulsa+0.5
94-5MEMTULSAServe errMemphis+0.5
105-5TULSAMEMServe errTulsa+0.5
116-5MEMMEMBlockedEmma Blaineblk Amanda Hardt, Arianna Mongare+0.8
126-6MEMTULSAServe errMemphis+0.6
137-6TULSAMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+0.7
147-7MEMTULSAKillJill Hansonset Meg Goodwin+0.6
157-8TULSATULSAAceTulsaaced Genesis Rodriguez+0.8
168-8TULSAMEMKillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall+0.6
178-9MEMTULSA×3KillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+0.6
188-10TULSATULSA×3Attack errAmanda Hardt+0.7
198-11TULSATULSA×3BlockedAmanda Hardtblk Jill Hanson, Ava Steffe+0.6
209-11TULSAMEM×3KillDawn Mooreset Sydney Marshall+0.4
2110-11MEMMEM×3BlockedJill Hansonblk Kaylee Parker+0.7
2211-11MEMMEM×3BlockedOlivia Vanceblk Kaylee Parker, Dawn Moore+0.9
2311-12MEMTULSAServe errMemphis+0.7
2411-13TULSATULSAAttack errKaylee Parker+0.8
2512-13TULSAMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+0.6
2612-14MEMTULSAKillAva Steffeset Brittany Bacorn+0.6
2713-14TULSAMEMAttack errEmma Blaine+0.6
2813-15MEMTULSAServe errMemphis+0.6
2914-15TULSAMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+0.7
3014-16MEMTULSA×3Serve errMemphis+0.7
3114-17TULSATULSA×3KillIsabella Ocamposet Meg Goodwin+0.8
3214-18TULSATULSA×3BlockedAmanda Hardtblk Emma Blaine, Jill Hanson+0.6
3315-18TULSAMEM×3KillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+0.3
3416-18MEMMEM×3KillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall+0.7
3517-18MEMMEM×3Attack errIsabella Ocampo+1.0
3617-19MEMTULSAKillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+0.8
3718-19TULSAMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+0.8
3818-20MEMTULSAKillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+0.9
3919-20TULSAMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+0.8
4019-21MEMTULSABlockedDawn Mooreblk Jill Hanson, Olivia Vance+1.0
4120-21TULSAMEM×4KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+0.9
4221-21MEMMEM×4Attack errCampbell Hague+1.8
4322-21MEMMEM×4Attack errOlivia Vance+2.4
4423-21MEMMEM×4AceMemphisaced Isabella Ocampo+2.8
4523-22MEMTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Lauren Patterson+1.4
4623-23TULSATULSAAceTulsaaced Victoria Hill+2.8
4724-23TULSAMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+2.8
4824-24MEMTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Meg Goodwin+2.8
4925-24TULSAMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+2.8
5025-25MEMTULSABlockedAmanda Hardtblk Emma Blaine, Campbell Hague+2.8
5126-25TULSAMEMServe errTulsa+2.8
5226-26MEMTULSAAttack errEmma Blaine+2.8
5327-26TULSAMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+2.8
5428-26MEMMEMKillGenesis Rodriguezset Jill Hanson+4.7
Set 3
10-1MEMTULSAKillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+1.2
21-1TULSAMEMKillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall+1.4
31-2MEMTULSA×3KillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+1.3
41-3TULSATULSA×3Bad setSydney Marshall+1.6
51-4TULSATULSA×3KillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+1.3
62-4TULSAMEM×6Attack errCampbell Hague+1.0
73-4MEMMEM×6BlockedCampbell Hagueblk Arianna Mongare+1.7
84-4MEMMEM×6KillAmanda Hardtset Brittany Bacorn+2.0
95-4MEMMEM×6BlockedOlivia Vanceblk Arianna Mongare+2.4
106-4MEMMEM×6AceMemphis+2.7
117-4MEMMEM×6Attack errOlivia Vance+2.9
127-5MEMTULSA×8KillAva Steffeset Brittany Bacorn+1.9
137-6TULSATULSA×8KillCampbell Hagueset Meg Goodwin+2.5
147-7TULSATULSA×8KillOlivia Vanceset Meg Goodwin+2.4
157-8TULSATULSA×8KillIsabella Ocamposet Meg Goodwin+2.2
167-9TULSATULSA×8KillOlivia Vanceset Isabella Ocampo+1.9
177-10TULSATULSA×8KillEmma Blaineset Meg Goodwin+1.6
187-11TULSATULSA×8KillCampbell Hagueset Meg Goodwin+1.3
197-12TULSATULSA×8KillCampbell Hagueset Sydney Marshall+1.0
208-12TULSAMEMAttack errEmma Blaine+0.7
219-12MEMMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+1.2
229-13MEMTULSAServe errMemphis+1.0
2310-13TULSAMEM×3Serve errTulsa+1.0
2411-13MEMMEM×3KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.7
2512-13MEMMEM×3AceMemphisaced Olivia Vance+2.3
2612-14MEMTULSA×5KillIsabella Ocamposet Meg Goodwin+1.7
2712-15TULSATULSA×5BlockedCaitlyn Littleblk Emma Blaine, Jill Hanson+2.0
2812-16TULSATULSA×5Attack errArianna Mongare+1.5
2912-17TULSATULSA×5KillJill Hansonset Meg Goodwin+1.1
3012-18TULSATULSA×5AceTulsaaced Genesis Rodriguez+0.7
3113-18TULSAMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Abigail Schlueter+0.4
3214-18MEMMEMKillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall+0.8
3314-19MEMTULSAKillEmma Blaineset Meg Goodwin+0.8
3415-19TULSAMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+0.6
3515-20MEMTULSA×3BlockedDawn Mooreblk Jill Hanson, Isabella Ocampo+0.8
3615-21TULSATULSA×3BlockedCaitlyn Littleblk Jill Hanson, Ava Steffe+0.6
3715-22TULSATULSA×3KillAva Steffeset Brittany Bacorn+0.3
3816-22TULSAMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+0.1
3917-22MEMMEMAttack errAva Steffe+0.2
4017-23MEMTULSA×3KillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+0.3
4117-24TULSATULSA×3AceTulsa+0.1
4217-25TULSATULSA×3Attack errDawn Moore·
Set 4
11-0TULSAMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.1
21-1MEMTULSABlockedCaitlyn Littleblk Ava Steffe, Jill Hanson+1.0
32-1TULSAMEMAttack errJill Hanson+1.2
42-2MEMTULSAKillAva Steffeset Brittany Bacorn+1.0
53-2TULSAMEMServe errTulsa+1.2
63-3MEMTULSAAttack errArianna Mongare+1.1
74-3TULSAMEMAttack errLillian Hamilton+1.3
84-4MEMTULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Meg Goodwin+1.1
94-5TULSATULSABlockedAmanda Hardtblk Campbell Hague, Emma Blaine+1.4
105-5TULSAMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+1.2
115-6MEMTULSAKillEmma Blaineset Meg Goodwin+1.1
126-6TULSAMEMAttack errIsabella Ocampo+1.2
137-6MEMMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Arianna Mongare+1.8
147-7MEMTULSA×3BlockedCaitlyn Littleblk Jill Hanson, Emma Blaine+1.3
157-8TULSATULSA×3Attack errCaitlyn Little+1.6
167-9TULSATULSA×3AceTulsaaced Genesis Rodriguez+1.4
178-9TULSAMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.1
188-10MEMTULSA×6KillAva Steffeset Brittany Bacorn+1.0
198-11TULSATULSA×6KillOlivia Vance+1.2
208-12TULSATULSA×6KillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+1.0
218-13TULSATULSA×6BlockedKaylee Parkerblk Jill Hanson+0.7
228-14TULSATULSA×6KillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+0.5
238-15TULSATULSA×6KillBrittany Bacornset Isabella Ocampo+0.4
249-15TULSAMEMKillLillian Hamiltonset Sydney Marshall+0.2
259-16MEMTULSAKillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+0.2
269-17TULSATULSAAttack errAmanda Hardt+0.2
2710-17TULSAMEM×5KillLillian Hamiltonset Sydney Marshall+0.1
2811-17MEMMEM×5KillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+0.2
2912-17MEMMEM×5AceMemphisaced Isabella Ocampo+0.4
3013-17MEMMEM×5BlockedAva Steffeblk Arianna Mongare, Amanda Hardt+0.6
3114-17MEMMEM×5Attack errOlivia Vance+0.9
3214-18MEMTULSA×4Serve errMemphis+0.8
3314-19TULSATULSA×4Attack errAmanda Hardt+0.8
3414-20TULSATULSA×4BlockedLillian Hamiltonblk Campbell Hague, Olivia Vance+0.5
3514-21TULSATULSA×4KillCampbell Hagueset Sydney Marshall+0.2
3615-21TULSAMEMKillLillian Hamiltonset Sydney Marshall+0.1
3715-22MEMTULSAKillEmma Blaineset Meg Goodwin+0.1
3815-23TULSATULSABlockedSydney Marshallblk Isabella Ocampo, Campbell Hague+0.1
3916-23TULSAMEMKillZaniah Hoskinsset Sydney Marshall·
4016-24MEMTULSAKillIsabella Ocamposet Meg Goodwin·
4116-25TULSATULSAKillIsabella Ocamposet Milee Jackson·

Score shown after each rally, Memphis first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).