Final · 5 setsFri, Oct 2, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Tulane def. Memphis 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Tulane 72.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 6:26 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Tulane won at Memphis 3-2 (25-17, 18-25, 24-26, 25-20, 15-11) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. Tulane's Lauryn Mack led with 20 kills, and Makena Lim added 14 digs.

Data through · final Oct 2

Set12345Sets
TULANE25182425153
MEM17252620112

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Kailey Leonard served 5 aces, and Tulane needed every one.

2 stretches decided it. Percentages are Tulane's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Tulane went in as RallyIQ's 72% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Tulane 15–16 Memphis

    Memphis scored 4 straight to stretch a 16–15 lead to 20–15. The match swung to Memphis.

    Tulane 60% → 43%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Tulane 1–1 Memphis

    From 1–1, Tulane scored 4 straight to lead 5–1.

    Tulane 61% → 88%

Memphis above 50Tulane belowMax swing 14.5%

TulaneMemphis

Sideout %
Tulane 61.6·Memphis 57.0
Break %
Tulane 43.0·Memphis 38.4
Hitting
Tulane .280·Memphis .219
Longest run
Tulane 6·Memphis 6

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Memphis above 50 · Tulane below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+14.5% MEMrally 206 · set 5

Biggest swing: 14.5% to Memphis — set 3, TULANE 24-26 MEM. Attack error by Avery Burks. MEM win probability 47% → 62%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TULANE 71.8%28.2% MEM

Tulane wins

3-0
24.5%
3-1
27.5%
3-2
19.7%

Memphis wins

3-0
5.2%
3-1
9.8%
3-2
13.2%
TULANE break %
44.7% vs this opp
MEM break %
40.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Avery BurksAttack error+14.5%

    Attack error by Avery Burks

    Set 3 · TULANE 24-26 MEM · MEM 47% → 62%

  2. 02
    Arianna MongareAttack error+13.5%

    Attack error by Arianna Mongare

    Set 3 · TULANE 24-24 MEM · TULANE 49% → 62%

  3. 03
    Amanda HardtKill+9.7%

    Kill by Amanda Hardt (set by Sydney Marshall)

    Set 3 · TULANE 24-25 MEM · MEM 38% → 47%

  4. 04
    Sydney MarshallBad set+8.1%

    Bad set by Sydney Marshall

    Set 5 · TULANE 1-0 MEM · TULANE 59% → 67%

  5. 05
    Caitlyn LittleAttack error+7.9%

    Attack error by Caitlyn Little

    Set 5 · TULANE 3-1 MEM · TULANE 67% → 75%

  6. 06
    Amanda HardtKill+7.9%

    Kill by Amanda Hardt (set by Sydney Marshall)

    Set 3 · TULANE 22-24 MEM · MEM 47% → 55%

  7. 07
    Lauryn MackKill+7.4%

    Kill by Lauryn Mack (set by Charlee Solomon)

    Set 5 · TULANE 14-11 MEM · TULANE 89% → 96%

  8. 08
    Madison McLinKill+7.3%

    Kill by Madison McLin (set by Charlee Solomon)

    Set 5 · TULANE 13-10 MEM · TULANE 86% → 93%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Tulaneaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
520646.30401290031.522.5
512118.6110001006315
511737.1082127200012
511324.3330001010112
5619.556500260111.57.5
5000–3111000001
53315.000000321225
5000–053200005
5000–4041400000
1000–010000001
1001.000000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals6321150.280599145343129107
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5191051.17620463010.519.5
513729.20701130010.514.5
510523.2170103012213
59013.6920000124413
55221.143000200427
5315.40050101500004
5001.000111930001
5023-.667001410000
5000–1001500000
1000–000000000
Team totals5927146.2195447579312999

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Tulane vs Memphis

Season series · Tulane leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 TULANE · MEM 6

Set 1

25-17

Longest run 6 TULANEMEM 3

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 5 TULANEMEM 6

Set 3

24-26

Longest run 4 TULANEMEM 4

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 3 TULANEMEM 2

Set 5

15-11

Longest run 4 TULANEMEM 4

Bars above the line = Memphis leads, below = Tulane leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Tulane

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%10/14
38%5/13
2
57%8/14
50%8/16
3
67%8/12
27%3/11
4
64%7/11
36%4/11
5
88%7/8
50%7/14
6
40%6/15
59%10/17
All
62%46/74
45%37/82

Memphis

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%10/15
47%7/15
2
50%8/16
38%6/16
3
58%7/12
20%2/10
4
78%7/9
36%4/11
5
41%7/17
22%2/9
6
46%6/13
54%7/13
All
55%45/82
38%28/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

206 rallies

#TULANE-MEMSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0TULANETULANEAttack errAmanda Hardt+2.0
21-1TULANEMEMKillPaige Mockset Sydney Marshall+1.5
32-1MEMTULANEKillMadison McLinset Charlee Solomon+1.5
43-1TULANETULANEKillMadison McLinset Charlee Solomon+2.0
53-2TULANEMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+1.4
64-2MEMTULANEAttack errAmanda Hardt+1.4
74-3TULANEMEM×3Serve errTulane+1.5
84-4MEMMEM×3AceMemphisaced Chloe List+2.2
94-5MEMMEM×3Attack errChloe List+2.4
105-5MEMTULANEBlockedArianna Mongareblk Riley Tucker, Chloe List+1.7
115-6TULANEMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.8
125-7MEMMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+2.6
136-7MEMTULANE×6KillRiley Tuckerset Charlee Solomon+1.8
147-7TULANETULANE×6KillAvery Burksset Charlee Solomon+2.5
158-7TULANETULANE×6KillAvery Burksset Charlee Solomon+2.4
169-7TULANETULANE×6Attack errCaitlyn Little+2.3
1710-7TULANETULANE×6KillLauryn Mackset Charlee Solomon+2.1
1811-7TULANETULANE×6Attack errCaitlyn Little+1.8
1911-8TULANEMEMAttack errAvery Burks+1.2
2012-8MEMTULANE×4KillRiley Tuckerset Charlee Solomon+1.3
2113-8TULANETULANE×4KillCharlee Solomonset Avery Burks+1.5
2214-8TULANETULANE×4Attack errCaitlyn Little+1.1
2315-8TULANETULANE×4AceTulaneaced Paige Mock+0.8
2415-9TULANEMEMKillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall+0.4
2516-9MEMTULANEKillAvery Burksset Charlee Solomon+0.6
2616-10TULANEMEMServe errTulane+0.4
2717-10MEMTULANEKillLauryn Mackset Charlee Solomon+0.5
2817-11TULANEMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+0.4
2918-11MEMTULANEKillCharlee Solomonset Makena Lim+0.5
3018-12TULANEMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Caitlyn Little+0.3
3119-12MEMTULANEKillRiley Tuckerset Charlee Solomon+0.5
3219-13TULANEMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+0.3
3320-13MEMTULANEKillRiley Tuckerset Charlee Solomon+0.4
3420-14TULANEMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+0.2
3520-15MEMMEMBlockedAvery Burksblk Kaylee Parker, Paige Mock+0.5
3621-15MEMTULANEKillRiley Tuckerset Charlee Solomon+0.6
3721-16TULANEMEMKillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall+0.3
3822-16MEMTULANEKillAvery Burksset Charlee Solomon+0.5
3923-16TULANETULANEAttack errAmanda Hardt+0.3
4023-17TULANEMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+0.1
4124-17MEMTULANEKillLauryn Mackset Charlee Solomon+0.1
4225-17TULANETULANEAttack errArianna Mongare·
Set 2
10-1MEMMEM×4BlockedMadison McLinblk Caitlyn Little, Paige Mock+1.8
20-2MEMMEM×4KillPaige Mockset Sydney Marshall+1.9
30-3MEMMEM×4BlockedAvery Burksblk Paige Mock, Kaylee Parker+1.9
40-4MEMMEM×4KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.9
51-4MEMTULANEKillCharlee Solomonset Dayla Ortiz+1.2
61-5TULANEMEMServe errTulane+1.4
72-5MEMTULANEServe errMemphis+1.2
82-6TULANEMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+1.5
92-7MEMMEMBlockedChloe Listblk Kaylee Parker, Arianna Mongare+1.9
103-7MEMTULANEKillLauryn Mackset Charlee Solomon+1.1
113-8TULANEMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+1.4
124-8MEMTULANEBlockedArianna Mongareblk Riley Tucker, Chloe List+1.1
134-9TULANEMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+1.4
145-9MEMTULANEServe errMemphis+1.1
156-9TULANETULANEAttack errVictoria Hill+1.8
166-10TULANEMEM×6KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.6
176-11MEMMEM×6KillPaige Mockset Sydney Marshall+2.0
186-12MEMMEM×6BlockedRiley Tuckerblk Paige Mock+1.7
196-13MEMMEM×6Attack errAvery Burks+1.4
206-14MEMMEM×6AceMemphisaced Avery Burks+1.1
216-15MEMMEM×6KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+0.8
227-15MEMTULANEAttack errCaitlyn Little+0.4
237-16TULANEMEMKillSydney Marshall+0.6
248-16MEMTULANEKillAvery Burksset Charlee Solomon+0.3
258-17TULANEMEM×4Attack errAvery Burks+0.5
268-18MEMMEM×4KillPaige Mock+0.4
278-19MEMMEM×4KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+0.2
288-20MEMMEM×4KillKaylee Parkerset Abigail Schlueter+0.1
299-20MEMTULANEKillLauryn Mackset Charlee Solomon·
309-21TULANEMEMKillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall+0.1
3110-21MEMTULANE×5KillChloe Listset Charlee Solomon·
3211-21TULANETULANE×5KillRiley Tuckerset Charlee Solomon·
3312-21TULANETULANE×5KillLauryn Mackset Makena Lim+0.1
3413-21TULANETULANE×5KillCharlee Solomonset Avery Burks+0.1
3514-21TULANETULANE×5KillLauryn Mackset Charlee Solomon+0.2
3614-22TULANEMEMServe errTulane+0.3
3714-23MEMMEMBlockedLauryn Mackblk Amanda Hardt, Arianna Mongare+0.2
3815-23MEMTULANE×3BlockedAmanda Hardtblk Riley Tucker, Lauryn Mack·
3916-23TULANETULANE×3AceTulaneaced Caitlyn Little+0.1
4017-23TULANETULANE×3Attack errAmanda Hardt+0.2
4117-24TULANEMEMServe errTulane+0.3
4218-24MEMTULANEAttack errCaitlyn Little·
4318-25TULANEMEMServe errTulane+0.1
Set 3
10-1TULANEMEMServe errTulane+2.3
20-2MEMMEMAceMemphisaced Chloe List+3.3
31-2MEMTULANEBlockedCaitlyn Littleblk Riley Tucker, Lauryn Mack+2.2
42-2TULANETULANEKillRiley Tuckerset Charlee Solomon+3.1
52-3TULANEMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+2.4
62-4MEMMEMKillPaige Mock+3.4
73-4MEMTULANEKillCharlee Solomonset Makena Lim+2.3
83-5TULANEMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+2.6
93-6MEMMEMAttack errLauryn Mack+3.6
104-6MEMTULANEBlockedArianna Mongareblk Charlee Solomon+2.3
115-6TULANETULANEKillMadison McLinset Charlee Solomon+3.4
12–136-7TULANE · MEM
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
147-7TULANETULANEKillMadison McLinset Charlee Solomon+3.5
157-8TULANEMEMBad setCharlee Solomon+2.8
168-8MEMTULANEKillMadison McLinset Charlee Solomon+2.6
178-9TULANEMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+2.9
189-9MEMTULANEKillChloe Listset Charlee Solomon+2.7
199-10TULANEMEMKillPaige Mockset Sydney Marshall+3.0
209-11MEMMEMAttack errLauryn Mack+4.2
2110-11MEMTULANEKillLauryn Mackset Charlee Solomon+2.8
2210-12TULANEMEMAttack errChloe List+3.2
2311-12MEMTULANEServe errMemphis+2.9
2412-12TULANETULANEKillRiley Tuckerset Charlee Solomon+4.2
2512-13TULANEMEM×3KillPaige Mockset Sydney Marshall+3.3
2612-14MEMMEM×3KillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+4.7
2712-15MEMMEM×3KillArianna Mongareset Charlee Solomon+4.6
2813-15MEMTULANEKillAvery Burksset Charlee Solomon+2.9
2914-15TULANETULANEKillAvery Burksset Charlee Solomon+4.5
3014-16TULANEMEMServe errTulane+3.8
3115-16MEMTULANEKillAvery Burksset Charlee Solomon+3.4
3215-17TULANEMEM×4KillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+4.0
3315-18MEMMEM×4KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+5.2
3415-19MEMMEM×4KillSydney Marshallset Genesis Rodriguez+4.6
3515-20MEMMEM×4BlockedLauryn Mackblk Arianna Mongare+3.5
3616-20MEMTULANE×4KillLauryn Mackset Charlee Solomon+1.6
3717-20TULANETULANE×4KillMadison McLinset Charlee Solomon+3.1
3818-20TULANETULANE×4KillLauryn Mackset Charlee Solomon+4.3
3919-20TULANETULANE×4AceTulaneaced Genesis Rodriguez+5.6
4019-21TULANEMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+5.3
4120-21MEMTULANEKillLauryn Mackset Charlee Solomon+4.3
4220-22TULANEMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+5.9
4321-22MEMTULANEKillRiley Tuckerset Charlee Solomon+4.5
4421-23TULANEMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+6.7
4522-23MEMTULANEKillRiley Tuckerset Charlee Solomon+4.6
4622-24TULANEMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+7.9
4723-24MEMTULANEKillAvery Burksset Charlee Solomon+4.3
4824-24TULANETULANEAttack errArianna Mongare+13.5
4924-25TULANEMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+9.7
5024-26MEMMEMAttack errAvery Burks+14.5
Set 4
11-0MEMTULANE×3KillCharlee Solomonset Dayla Ortiz+2.6
22-0TULANETULANE×3KillMadison McLinset Charlee Solomon+3.5
33-0TULANETULANE×3KillAvery Burksset Dayla Ortiz+3.2
43-1TULANEMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+2.3
53-2MEMMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+3.5
64-2MEMTULANEServe errMemphis+2.6
75-2TULANETULANEBlockedKaylee Parkerblk Chloe List+3.3
85-3TULANEMEMKillPaige Mockset Sydney Marshall+2.3
95-4MEMMEMKillSydney Marshallset Caitlyn Little+3.7
106-4MEMTULANEKillLauryn Mackset Charlee Solomon+2.8
116-5TULANEMEMServe errTulane+2.8
127-5MEMTULANEKillLauryn Mackset Charlee Solomon+2.8
137-6TULANEMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+2.9
148-6MEMTULANE×3Attack errVictoria Hill+2.9
159-6TULANETULANE×3Attack errSydney Marshall+3.7
1610-6TULANETULANE×3BlockedCaitlyn Littleblk Riley Tucker, Charlee Solomon+3.2
1710-7TULANEMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+2.1
1811-7MEMTULANEKillLauryn Mackset Charlee Solomon+2.3
1911-8TULANEMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+2.1
2012-8MEMTULANEKillMadison McLinset Charlee Solomon+2.4
2112-9TULANEMEMBlockedMadison McLinblk Paige Mock+2.1
2212-10MEMMEMAttack errMadison McLin+3.6
2313-10MEMTULANEKillLauryn Mackset Charlee Solomon+3.0
2413-11TULANEMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+2.8
2514-11MEMTULANEBlockedCaitlyn Littleblk Madison McLin+3.1
2614-12TULANEMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+2.8
2714-13MEMMEMAceMemphisaced Avery Burks+4.7
2815-13MEMTULANEKillLauryn Mackset Charlee Solomon+3.7
2915-14TULANEMEMServe errTulane+3.6
3016-14MEMTULANE×3Serve errMemphis+3.9
3117-14TULANETULANE×3KillRiley Tuckerset Charlee Solomon+4.7
3218-14TULANETULANE×3AceTulaneaced Genesis Rodriguez+3.8
3318-15TULANEMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+2.2
3418-16MEMMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+4.1
3519-16MEMTULANE×3KillRiley Tuckerset Charlee Solomon+3.7
3620-16TULANETULANE×3AceTulaneaced Genesis Rodriguez+3.9
3721-16TULANETULANE×3Attack errCaitlyn Little+2.5
3821-17TULANEMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.1
3922-17MEMTULANEKillLauryn Mackset Charlee Solomon+1.7
4022-18TULANEMEMBlockedAvery Burksblk Kaylee Parker, Paige Mock+0.9
4122-19MEMMEMAttack errLauryn Mack+2.2
4223-19MEMTULANEServe errMemphis+2.6
4324-19TULANETULANEKillMadison McLin+1.6
4424-20TULANEMEMServe errTulane+0.3
4525-20MEMTULANEAttack errAmanda Hardt+0.5
Set 5
11-0TULANETULANEBad setSydney Marshall+8.1
21-1TULANEMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+6.1
32-1MEMTULANE×4KillLauryn Mackset Charlee Solomon+6.1
43-1TULANETULANE×4Attack errCaitlyn Little+7.9
54-1TULANETULANE×4KillMadison McLinset Charlee Solomon+7.0
65-1TULANETULANE×4Attack errKaylee Parker+5.9
75-2TULANEMEMServe errTulane+3.7
86-2MEMTULANEKillLauryn Mackset Charlee Solomon+4.3
97-2TULANETULANEBlockedAmanda Hardtblk Riley Tucker, Lauryn Mack+4.6
107-3TULANEMEMKillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall+2.5
118-3MEMTULANEKillChloe Listset Charlee Solomon+3.3
128-4TULANEMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+2.4
138-5MEMMEMAttack errLauryn Mack+4.8
149-5MEMTULANEServe errMemphis+4.6
159-6TULANEMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+3.5
1610-6MEMTULANE×3KillAvery Burksset Makena Lim+4.6
1711-6TULANETULANE×3AceTulaneaced Victoria Hill+4.2
1812-6TULANETULANE×3AceTulaneaced Caitlyn Little+2.3
1912-7TULANEMEM×4Serve errTulane+0.7
2012-8MEMMEM×4Attack errCharlee Solomon+2.0
2112-9MEMMEM×4KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+3.7
2212-10MEMMEM×4KillPaige Mock+6.6
2313-10MEMTULANEKillMadison McLinset Charlee Solomon+7.3
2413-11TULANEMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+4.3
2514-11MEMTULANEKillLauryn Mackset Charlee Solomon+7.4
2615-11TULANETULANEAceTulaneaced Caitlyn Little+3.7

Score shown after each rally, Tulane first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).