Final · 4 setsSun, Oct 11, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Rice def. Memphis 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Rice 84.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 11, 1:07 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Rice beat visiting Memphis 3-1 (25-15, 22-25, 25-17, 25-16) on Sun, Oct 11, 2026. Rice's Sydnee Peterson led with 19 kills, and Jordan Hummel added 24 digs.

Data through · final Oct 11

Set1234Sets
MEM152517161
RICE252225253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Serve, receive, attack, block: Rice won all four.

Win probability never moved more than 4.7 points on one rally; Memphis topped out at 25% in Set 3. RallyIQ gave Rice 84% before first serve.

MemphisRice
  • Break %+17.4 pts
    28.445.8

    Points won on own serve: 44 of 96 vs 21 of 74. Memphis sided out 54.2% of the time.

  • Hitting+.115
    .236.351

    60 K / 13 E against 48 K / 18 E.

  • Longest run+0
    55

    Rice scored 5 straight in the first set to stretch a 19–14 lead to 24–14. The set finished 25–15.

Rice above 50Memphis belowMax swing 4.7%

MemphisRice

Aces
Memphis 2·Rice 6
Serve err
Memphis 10·Rice 9
Blocks
Memphis 5·Rice 80 BS · 10 BA vs 3 BS · 10 BA
Digs
Memphis 52·Rice 57

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Rice above 50 · Memphis below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+4.7% MEMrally 170 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.7% to Memphis — set 2, MEM 24-22 RICE. Kill by Caitlyn Little (set by Sydney Marshall). RICE win probability 86% → 81%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MEM 11.6%88.4% RICE

Memphis wins

3-0
1.6%
3-1
3.6%
3-2
6.4%

Rice wins

3-0
41.8%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
15.0%
MEM break %
36.6% vs this opp
RICE break %
45.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Caitlyn Little (set by Sydney Marshall)

    Set 2 · MEM 24-22 RICE · MEM 14% → 19%

  2. 02

    Kill by Caitlyn Little (set by Sydney Marshall)

    Set 2 · MEM 23-22 RICE · MEM 10% → 14%

  3. 03
    MemphisAce+3.2%

    Memphis ace on Sydnee Peterson

    Set 3 · MEM 7-6 RICE · MEM 22% → 25%

  4. 04

    Kill by Caitlyn Little (set by Sydney Marshall)

    Set 2 · MEM 22-22 RICE · MEM 7% → 10%

  5. 05
    Kaylee ParkerKill+2.9%

    Kill by Kaylee Parker (set by Sydney Marshall)

    Set 2 · MEM 25-22 RICE · MEM 19% → 22%

  6. 06
    RiceAce+2.9%

    Rice ace on Genesis Rodriguez

    Set 3 · MEM 7-8 RICE · RICE 77% → 80%

  7. 07

    Kill by Sydnee Peterson (set by Savannah Skopal)

    Set 3 · MEM 9-11 RICE · RICE 79% → 82%

  8. 08
    Zora BelloKill+2.5%

    Kill by Zora Bello (set by Sydnee Peterson)

    Set 2 · MEM 20-22 RICE · RICE 92% → 94%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417842.2140036102118
412328.32100360010.512.5
47115.40010230010.57.5
44212.16701030010.55.5
4004.000390070010.50.5
1000–000000000
47319.211000200429
4001.0003111210001
4012-.500001910000
4000–000410000
2000–000010000
1104.250000000001
1000–300000000
Team totals4818127.23646210526010573
Ricehome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
419239.4362017100019
413121.57102220111.516.5
413120.6000001014316
48422.18200010052.510.5
4001.000430610003
4115.0004904800001
44317.059100201015
4000–001400000
4000–0002400000
31011.000010100002
1118.000100100001
1000–000000000
1000–001000000
Team totals6013134.3515769572310897

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 MEM · RICE 5

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 2 MEMRICE 5

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 5 MEMRICE 4

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 2 MEMRICE 4

Set 4

16-25

Longest run 2 MEMRICE 5

Bars above the line = Rice leads, below = Memphis leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Memphis

SlotSideout %Break %
1
45%10/22
36%5/14
2
56%9/16
29%4/14
3
56%9/16
25%3/12
4
73%8/11
18%2/11
5
62%8/13
20%2/10
6
44%8/18
38%5/13
All
54%52/96
28%21/74

Rice

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%10/14
50%9/18
2
71%10/14
55%12/22
3
69%9/13
47%8/17
4
80%8/10
33%4/12
5
73%8/11
33%4/12
6
67%8/12
47%7/15
All
72%53/74
46%44/96

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

170 rallies

#MEM-RICESrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1RICERICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+1.5
21-1RICEMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Lillian Hamilton+1.1
31-2MEMRICEServe errMemphis+1.0
42-2RICEMEMKillLillian Hamiltonset Sydney Marshall+1.1
52-3MEMRICE×3Serve errMemphis+1.0
62-4RICERICE×3KillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+1.4
72-5RICERICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+1.2
83-5RICEMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+0.8
94-5MEMMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.4
104-6MEMRICEAttack errAmanda Hardt+1.0
114-7RICERICEBlockedArianna Mongareblk Ashlyn Seay+1.3
125-7RICEMEMAttack errSydney Marshall+0.9
135-8MEMRICE×4KillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+0.9
145-9RICERICE×4KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+1.1
155-10RICERICE×4KillKellen Dorotikset Savannah Skopal+0.9
165-11RICERICE×4KillKellen Dorotikset Savannah Skopal+0.7
176-11RICEMEMServe errRice+0.4
186-12MEMRICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+0.4
197-12RICEMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Abigail Schlueter+0.4
207-13MEMRICEAttack errLillian Hamilton+0.4
218-13RICEMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+0.4
228-14MEMRICE×3KillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+0.4
238-15RICERICE×3KillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+0.4
248-16RICERICE×3KillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+0.3
259-16RICEMEMServe errRice+0.1
269-17MEMRICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+0.2
2710-17RICEMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+0.1
2810-18MEMRICEServe errMemphis+0.2
2911-18RICEMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+0.1
3012-18MEMMEMAttack errSavannah Skopal+0.2
3112-19MEMRICEServe errMemphis+0.2
3213-19RICEMEMServe errRice+0.1
3314-19MEMMEMBlockedAshlyn Seayblk Sydney Marshall, Kaylee Parker+0.4
3414-20MEMRICE×5KillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+0.4
3514-21RICERICE×5BlockedCaitlyn Littleblk Kellen Dorotik, Arissa Smith+0.3
3614-22RICERICE×5BlockedCaitlyn Littleblk Kellen Dorotik, Arissa Smith+0.1
3714-23RICERICE×5Attack errCaitlyn Little·
3814-24RICERICE×5BlockedVictoria Hillblk Arissa Smith·
3915-24RICEMEMAttack errSydnee Peterson·
4015-25MEMRICEKillKellen Dorotikset Savannah Skopal·
Set 2
10-1MEMRICEAttack errKaylee Parker+0.7
21-1RICEMEM×3KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+0.8
32-1MEMMEM×3KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.2
43-1MEMMEM×3KillLillian Hamilton+1.4
53-2MEMRICEKillKellen Dorotikset Mari Furoyama+0.9
64-2RICEMEM×3KillLillian Hamiltonset Sydney Marshall+1.0
75-2MEMMEM×3KillKaylee Parker+1.5
86-2MEMMEM×3KillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+1.5
96-3MEMRICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+0.9
106-4RICERICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+1.4
117-4RICEMEMKillLillian Hamiltonset Sydney Marshall+1.1
127-5MEMRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Mari Furoyama+0.9
138-5RICEMEMServe errRice+1.1
148-6MEMRICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Savannah Skopal+1.0
158-7RICERICEAceRice+1.5
169-7RICEMEM×3KillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+1.2
1710-7MEMMEM×3Attack errAmalia Simmons+1.7
1811-7MEMMEM×3KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.7
1911-8MEMRICEServe errMemphis+1.0
2012-8RICEMEMServe errRice+1.3
2112-9MEMRICE×3KillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+1.0
2212-10RICERICE×3Bad setSydney Marshall+1.6
2312-11RICERICE×3BlockedCaitlyn Littleblk Kellen Dorotik, Arissa Smith+1.7
2413-11RICEMEMAttack errSydnee Peterson+1.4
2514-11MEMMEMBlockedKellen Dorotikblk Caitlyn Little, Kaylee Parker+2.0
2614-12MEMRICE×4KillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+1.1
2714-13RICERICE×4Attack errKaylee Parker+1.8
2814-14RICERICE×4BlockedCaitlyn Littleblk Stephanie Gutierrez, Kellen Dorotik+1.8
2914-15RICERICE×4Bad setSydney Marshall+1.8
3015-15RICEMEMKillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall+1.3
3116-15MEMMEMAttack errKellen Dorotik+2.1
3216-16MEMRICEServe errMemphis+1.4
3316-17RICERICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+2.0
3417-17RICEMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+1.4
3518-17MEMMEMAceMemphisaced Mari Furoyama+2.4
3618-18MEMRICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+1.6
3718-19RICERICEKillSavannah Skopalset Amalia Simmons+2.3
3819-19RICEMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.7
3919-20MEMRICEServe errMemphis+1.7
4020-20RICEMEMServe errRice+1.8
4120-21MEMRICEServe errMemphis+1.9
4220-22RICERICEKillZora Belloset Sydnee Peterson+2.5
4321-22RICEMEM×5KillCaitlyn Littleset Abigail Schlueter+1.4
4422-22MEMMEM×5KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+3.1
4523-22MEMMEM×5KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+4.4
4624-22MEMMEM×5KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+4.7
4725-22MEMMEM×5KillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall+2.9
Set 3
11-0RICEMEMBlockedKellen Dorotikblk Kaylee Parker, Caitlyn Little+1.9
21-1MEMRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+1.7
31-2RICERICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+2.4
42-2RICEMEMKillLillian Hamiltonset Sydney Marshall+1.8
52-3MEMRICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+1.7
63-3RICEMEMKillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall+1.8
73-4MEMRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+1.7
84-4RICEMEMBlockedAshlyn Seayblk Arianna Mongare, Lillian Hamilton+1.9
94-5MEMRICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+1.8
105-5RICEMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Abigail Schlueter+1.9
115-6MEMRICEKillAshlyn Seayset Sydnee Peterson+1.8
126-6RICEMEMServe errRice+2.0
137-6MEMMEMAceMemphisaced Sydnee Peterson+3.2
147-7MEMRICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+2.1
157-8RICERICEAceRiceaced Genesis Rodriguez+2.9
168-8RICEMEMKillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall+2.1
178-9MEMRICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+2.0
189-9RICEMEMKillLillian Hamiltonset Sydney Marshall+2.2
199-10MEMRICE×4BlockedCaitlyn Littleblk Stephanie Gutierrez+2.1
209-11RICERICE×4KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+2.8
219-12RICERICE×4Attack errKaylee Parker+2.4
229-13RICERICE×4KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+2.0
2310-13RICEMEMAttack errStephanie Gutierrez+1.2
2410-14MEMRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+1.4
2511-14RICEMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+1.2
2611-15MEMRICEKillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+1.4
2712-15RICEMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+1.2
2813-15MEMMEMAttack errAshlyn Seay+2.4
2913-16MEMRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+1.9
3013-17RICERICEBlockedCaitlyn Littleblk Arissa Smith, Kellen Dorotik+2.2
3114-17RICEMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+1.2
3214-18MEMRICE×3Bad setSydney Marshall+1.5
3314-19RICERICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+1.5
3414-20RICERICE×3AceRiceaced Victoria Hill+0.9
3515-20RICEMEMKillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall+0.4
3615-21MEMRICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+0.5
3715-22RICERICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+0.4
3816-22RICEMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+0.1
3916-23MEMRICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+0.2
4017-23RICEMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+0.1
4117-24MEMRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+0.1
4217-25RICERICEKillStephanie Gutierrez·
Set 4
10-1MEMRICE×5KillKellen Dorotikset Mari Furoyama+1.2
20-2RICERICE×5AceRiceaced Taylor Hampton+1.7
30-3RICERICE×5Attack errAmanda Hardt+1.5
40-4RICERICE×5KillArissa Smith+1.2
50-5RICERICE×5KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+1.0
61-5RICEMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+0.7
71-6MEMRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+0.7
82-6RICEMEMKillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall+0.7
92-7MEMRICEKillKellen Dorotikset Savannah Skopal+0.7
103-7RICEMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+0.7
113-8MEMRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+0.7
124-8RICEMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+0.7
134-9MEMRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+0.7
144-10RICERICEAceRiceaced Abigail Schlueter+0.8
155-10RICEMEMServe errRice+0.5
166-10MEMMEMAttack errArissa Smith+1.0
176-11MEMRICE×3Serve errMemphis+0.8
186-12RICERICE×3Attack errArianna Mongare+0.8
196-13RICERICE×3Attack errAmanda Hardt+0.6
207-13RICEMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+0.3
217-14MEMRICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+0.4
228-14RICEMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+0.3
238-15MEMRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Mari Furoyama+0.4
249-15RICEMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+0.3
259-16MEMRICEServe errMemphis+0.4
2610-16RICEMEMKillLillian Hamiltonset Sydney Marshall+0.3
2710-17MEMRICEAttack errCaitlyn Little+0.3
2811-17RICEMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+0.2
2912-17MEMMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Jordan Turner+0.5
3012-18MEMRICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+0.5
3113-18RICEMEMServe errRice+0.4
3213-19MEMRICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+0.5
3313-20RICERICE×3KillArissa Smith+0.4
3413-21RICERICE×3AceRiceaced Caitlyn Little+0.2
3514-21RICEMEMKillDawn Mooreset Jordan Turner+0.1
3614-22MEMRICE×3KillKellen Dorotikset Ashlyn Seay+0.1
3714-23RICERICE×3KillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal·
3814-24RICERICE×3KillKellen Dorotikset Savannah Skopal·
3915-24RICEMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Jordan Turner·
4016-24MEMMEMBlockedKellen Dorotikblk Kaylee Parker, Amanda Hardt·
4116-25MEMRICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal·

Score shown after each rally, Memphis first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).