Final · 4 setsSun, Oct 18, 2026Watch on ESPN+

East Carolina def. Memphis 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: East Carolina 69.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 18, 11:56 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

East Carolina won at Memphis 3-1 (25-18, 25-21, 18-25, 25-18) on Sun, Oct 18, 2026. East Carolina's Aulie Huff led with 15 kills, and Angeles Alderete added 13 digs.

Data through · final Oct 18

Set1234Sets
E CAR252518253
MEM182125181

Match story · written from the play-by-play

East Carolina led in all four phases.

No single rally moved win probability more than 3.2 points. Memphis peaked at 29% in Set 1. These are the numbers behind it. Pre-match, RallyIQ had East Carolina at 69%.

The gap was spread thin: nothing reached the thresholds on its own.

Memphis above 50East Carolina belowMax swing 3.2%

East CarolinaMemphis

Hitting
East Carolina .288·Memphis .232
Aces
East Carolina 8·Memphis 4
Serve err
East Carolina 8·Memphis 12
Blocks
East Carolina 8.5·Memphis 52 BS · 13 BA vs 2 BS · 6 BA
Digs
East Carolina 53·Memphis 54

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Memphis above 50 · East Carolina below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.2% E CARrally 175 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.2% to East Carolina — set 1, E CAR 20-17 MEM. Kill by Angeles Alderete (set by Taryn Gilreath). MEM win probability 25% → 22%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

E CAR 64.5%35.5% MEM

East Carolina wins

3-0
19.7%
3-1
24.7%
3-2
20.1%

Memphis wins

3-0
7.3%
3-1
12.7%
3-2
15.4%
E CAR break %
42.0% vs this opp
MEM break %
39.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Angeles Alderete (set by Taryn Gilreath)

    Set 1 · E CAR 20-17 MEM · E CAR 75% → 78%

  2. 02

    Kill by Caitlyn Little (set by Sydney Marshall)

    Set 1 · E CAR 16-15 MEM · MEM 25% → 28%

  3. 03

    Taryn Gilreath stuffed by Caitlyn Little & Arianna Mongare

    Set 4 · E CAR 3-3 MEM · MEM 13% → 16%

  4. 04

    Ace by Angeles Alderete on Caitlyn Little

    Set 4 · E CAR 5-3 MEM · E CAR 86% → 89%

  5. 05
    Aulie HuffKill+2.6%

    Kill by Aulie Huff (set by Taryn Gilreath)

    Set 4 · E CAR 1-0 MEM · E CAR 83% → 86%

  6. 06
    Abigail SchlueterService error+2.6%

    Service error by Abigail Schlueter

    Set 1 · E CAR 19-17 MEM · E CAR 72% → 75%

  7. 07
    Arianna MongareAttack error+2.5%

    Attack error by Arianna Mongare

    Set 4 · E CAR 7-4 MEM · E CAR 89% → 91%

  8. 08
    Caitlyn LittleAttack error+2.5%

    Attack error by Caitlyn Little

    Set 4 · E CAR 2-0 MEM · E CAR 86% → 89%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415128.5001219002118
414647.1702109210116
48121.333232131111.512.5
47111.545000000218
44210.2004200800426
4238-.125000100424
4000–112800001
4000–013100001
4000–000410000
1000–000000000
Team totals5014125.28848885342138.593
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415744.182223113010.517.5
412634.1760032000012
4509.55600040010.55.5
4418.3754500900004
2329.111000100003
2113.000000001012
4113.000010210002
4001.0002021410000
38416.250102600219
37115.400000101229
3000–011110001
2000–101320000
Team totals5623142.2325141254826582

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 E CAR · MEM 4

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 4 E CARMEM 4

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 3 E CARMEM 2

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 E CARMEM 3

Set 4

25-18

Longest run 4 E CARMEM 3

Bars above the line = Memphis leads, below = East Carolina leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

East Carolina

SlotSideout %Break %
1
65%11/17
50%9/18
2
77%10/13
44%8/18
3
53%9/17
41%7/17
4
64%9/14
44%7/16
5
67%8/12
27%3/11
6
80%8/10
33%4/12
All
66%55/83
41%38/92

Memphis

SlotSideout %Break %
1
45%10/22
33%5/15
2
67%10/15
33%5/15
3
69%9/13
47%8/17
4
50%9/18
31%4/13
5
73%8/11
31%4/13
6
62%8/13
20%2/10
All
59%54/92
34%28/83

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

175 rallies

#E CAR-MEMSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MEME CARKillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+1.5
22-0E CARE CARAttack errDawn Moore+2.1
32-1E CARMEMServe errAngeles Alderete+1.4
43-1MEME CARKillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+1.5
53-2E CARMEMKillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall+1.5
64-2MEME CARKillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+1.5
74-3E CARMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.5
85-3MEME CAR×3KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+1.5
96-3E CARE CAR×3AceEllie Pateaced Taylor Hampton+2.1
107-3E CARE CAR×3Attack errCaitlyn Little+1.8
117-4E CARMEMKillPaige Mockset Sydney Marshall+1.1
127-5MEMMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+2.0
138-5MEME CAR×3Serve errCaitlyn Little+1.5
149-5E CARE CAR×3KillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+1.9
1510-5E CARE CAR×3Attack errCaitlyn Little+1.6
1610-6E CARMEMServe errJaci Hall+0.9
1711-6MEME CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+1.1
1811-7E CARMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+0.9
1911-8MEMMEMBlockedKai Baileyblk Kaylee Parker+1.7
2012-8MEME CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+1.4
2112-9E CARMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+1.2
2213-9MEME CAR×3Serve errAmanda Hardt+1.4
2314-9E CARE CAR×3KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+1.6
2415-9E CARE CAR×3AceAllison Butrumaced Abigail Schlueter+1.2
2515-10E CARMEM×4KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+0.6
2615-11MEMMEM×4AceTaylor Hamptonaced Ellie Pate+1.3
2715-12MEMMEM×4KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.7
2815-13MEMMEM×4KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+2.3
2916-13MEME CARServe errTaylor Hampton+1.9
3016-14E CARMEMKillDawn Mooreset Sydney Marshall+1.7
3116-15MEMMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+3.0
3217-15MEME CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+2.3
3317-16E CARMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+2.2
3418-16MEME CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+2.5
3518-17E CARMEMServe errJaci Hall+2.3
3619-17MEME CAR×3Serve errAbigail Schlueter+2.6
3720-17E CARE CAR×3KillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+3.2
3821-17E CARE CAR×3KillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+2.3
3921-18E CARMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.0
4022-18MEME CAR×4Attack errKaylee Parker+1.5
4123-18E CARE CAR×4AceAngeles Aldereteaced Caitlyn Little+1.2
4224-18E CARE CAR×4KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+0.4
4325-18E CARE CAR×4KillTaryn Gilreathset Aulie Huff+0.1
Set 2
10-1E CARMEMKillPaige Mockset Sydney Marshall+1.4
21-1MEME CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+1.3
31-2E CARMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Abigail Schlueter+1.4
42-2MEME CARAttack errDawn Moore+1.3
52-3E CARMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.4
63-3MEME CAR×3KillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+1.4
74-3E CARE CAR×3BlockedCaitlyn Littleblk Ekwe Anwah, Aulie Huff+2.0
85-3E CARE CAR×3KillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+1.9
95-4E CARMEMKillDawn Mooreset Sydney Marshall+1.3
105-5MEMMEMAttack errEkwe Anwah+2.0
116-5MEME CARServe errGenesis Rodriguez+1.4
127-5E CARE CARAttack errArianna Mongare+2.0
137-6E CARMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.3
148-6MEME CARServe errCaitlyn Little+1.4
158-7E CARMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+1.4
168-8MEMMEMKillSydney Marshallset Arianna Mongare+2.2
179-8MEME CAR×3Serve errArianna Mongare+1.5
1810-8E CARE CAR×3BlockedAmanda Hardtblk Taryn Gilreath, Kai Bailey+2.1
1911-8E CARE CAR×3AceAngeles Aldereteaced Genesis Rodriguez+1.9
2011-9E CARMEMAttack errTaryn Gilreath+1.2
2112-9MEME CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+1.4
2212-10E CARMEMServe errAllison Butrum+1.3
2313-10MEME CARBlockedCaitlyn Littleblk Taryn Gilreath, Ekwe Anwah+1.4
2413-11E CARMEMKillDawn Mooreset Sydney Marshall+1.3
2514-11MEME CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+1.4
2614-12E CARMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.3
2715-12MEME CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Ellie Pate+1.5
2815-13E CARMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+1.3
2915-14MEMMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+2.4
3016-14MEME CAR×3Serve errCaitlyn Little+1.8
3117-14E CARE CAR×3AceAulie Huffaced Genesis Rodriguez+2.3
3218-14E CARE CAR×3BlockedArianna Mongareblk Angeles Alderete+1.9
3318-15E CARMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+1.0
3419-15MEME CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+1.3
3519-16E CARMEMKillSydney Marshallset Genesis Rodriguez+1.0
3619-17MEMMEMKillLillian Hamiltonset Sydney Marshall+2.0
3720-17MEME CARKillTaryn Gilreathset Ellie Pate+1.8
3821-17E CARE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+1.9
3921-18E CARMEMKillSydney Marshallset Caitlyn Little+0.8
4022-18MEME CARKillTaryn Gilreathset Taryn Gilreath+1.3
4123-18E CARE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+1.0
4223-19E CARMEMBlockedEllie Pateblk Lillian Hamilton, Paige Mock+0.3
4323-20MEMMEMKillLillian Hamiltonset Taryn Gilreath+0.8
4424-20MEME CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+1.0
4524-21E CARMEMAttack errEllie Pate+0.3
4625-21MEME CARAttack errVictoria Hill+0.7
Set 3
11-0MEME CARKillTaryn Gilreath+0.7
21-1E CARMEM×3Attack errEllie Pate+0.8
31-2MEMMEM×3Attack errEllie Pate+1.2
41-3MEMMEM×3KillPaige Mockset Sydney Marshall+1.2
52-3MEME CARServe errAmanda Hardt+0.8
63-3E CARE CARAttack errLillian Hamilton+1.2
73-4E CARMEM×3Serve errAllison Butrum+0.9
83-5MEMMEM×3Attack errAulie Huff+1.3
93-6MEMMEM×3KillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+1.3
104-6MEME CARKillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+0.8
114-7E CARMEMBlockedEllie Pateblk Lillian Hamilton, Arianna Mongare+0.9
124-8MEMMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.3
135-8MEME CARKillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+0.7
145-9E CARMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+0.9
156-9MEME CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+0.8
166-10E CARMEMServe errJaci Hall+0.9
177-10MEME CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+0.8
187-11E CARMEM×3KillSydney Marshallset Abigail Schlueter+0.9
197-12MEMMEM×3Attack errKai Bailey+1.2
207-13MEMMEM×3Attack errAngeles Alderete+1.0
218-13MEME CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+0.5
228-14E CARMEMKillPaige Mockset Sydney Marshall+0.7
239-14MEME CARAttack errAmanda Hardt+0.5
249-15E CARMEM×3KillLillian Hamiltonset Sydney Marshall+0.7
259-16MEMMEM×3KillLillian Hamiltonset Sydney Marshall+0.8
269-17MEMMEM×3BlockedEllie Pateblk Lillian Hamilton+0.5
2710-17MEME CARKillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+0.2
2810-18E CARMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+0.3
2910-19MEMMEMKillArianna Mongare+0.3
3011-19MEME CARKillAulie Huffset Angeles Alderete+0.1
3111-20E CARMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+0.2
3211-21MEMMEMAceCaitlyn Littleaced Emma Ortiz+0.1
3312-21MEME CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath·
3412-22E CARMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+0.1
3513-22MEME CARAttack errAmanda Hardt·
3614-22E CARE CARBlockedAmanda Hardtblk Kai Bailey, Taryn Gilreath·
3714-23E CARMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+0.1
3815-23MEME CAR×3KillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath·
3916-23E CARE CAR×3BlockedAmanda Hardtblk Taryn Gilreath, Kai Bailey·
4017-23E CARE CAR×3KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+0.1
4117-24E CARMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+0.1
4218-24MEME CARServe errAmanda Hardt·
4318-25E CARMEMKillLillian Hamiltonset Sydney Marshall+0.1
Set 4
11-0E CARE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+2.6
22-0E CARE CARAttack errCaitlyn Little+2.5
32-1E CARMEMKillLillian Hamiltonset Sydney Marshall+1.7
43-1MEME CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+1.8
53-2E CARMEMServe errAulie Huff+1.8
63-3MEMMEMBlockedTaryn Gilreathblk Caitlyn Little, Arianna Mongare+2.8
74-3MEME CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+1.9
85-3E CARE CARAceAngeles Aldereteaced Caitlyn Little+2.7
95-4E CARMEMServe errAngeles Alderete+1.8
106-4MEME CAR×4KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+1.9
117-4E CARE CAR×4Attack errArianna Mongare+2.5
128-4E CARE CAR×4AceJaci Hallaced Caitlyn Little+2.2
139-4E CARE CAR×4KillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+1.9
149-5E CARMEMKillVictoria Hillset Sydney Marshall+1.1
1510-5MEME CARKillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+1.3
1610-6E CARMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+1.1
1711-6MEME CARServe errArianna Mongare+1.3
1811-7E CARMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Caitlyn Little+1.1
1912-7MEME CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+1.3
2013-7E CARE CARBlockedAmanda Hardtblk Angeles Alderete, Kai Bailey, Aulie Huff+1.5
2113-8E CARMEM×3KillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+0.8
2213-9MEMMEM×3Attack errKai Bailey+1.6
2313-10MEMMEM×3AceVictoria Hillaced Ellie Pate+2.1
2414-10MEME CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+1.7
2515-10E CARE CARAceAulie Huffaced Victoria Hill+1.9
2615-11E CARMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.1
2716-11MEME CAR×3Serve errAbigail Schlueter+1.3
2817-11E CARE CAR×3Attack errCaitlyn Little+1.4
2918-11E CARE CAR×3KillEllie Pateset Allison Butrum+0.9
3018-12E CARMEMKillLillian Hamiltonset Sydney Marshall+0.4
3119-12MEME CAR×3KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+0.6
3220-12E CARE CAR×3BlockedArianna Mongareblk Ellie Pate+0.4
3321-12E CARE CAR×3Attack errCaitlyn Little+0.2
3421-13E CARMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+0.1
3521-14MEMMEMAceCaitlyn Littleaced Angeles Alderete+0.1
3622-14MEME CARKillEllie Pateset Angeles Alderete+0.2
3722-15E CARMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+0.1
3822-16MEMMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+0.2
3923-16MEME CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+0.3
4023-17E CARMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+0.1
4123-18MEMMEMKillPaige Mock+0.2
4224-18MEME CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+0.3
4325-18E CARE CARAttack errSydney Marshall+0.1

Score shown after each rally, East Carolina first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).