Final · 4 setsSun, Oct 25, 2026Watch on ESPN+

South Fla. def. Memphis 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: South Fla. 83.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 25, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

South Fla. beat visiting Memphis 3-1 (25-15, 25-20, 19-25, 25-16) on Sun, Oct 25, 2026. South Fla.'s Addy Brus led with 17 kills, and Miya Thomas added 14 digs.

Data through · final Oct 25

Set1234Sets
MEM152025161
USF252519253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

South Fla. in control, mostly on serve.

The biggest single-rally swing was 2.4 points, and Memphis's high was 16% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. South Fla. went in as RallyIQ's 84% pick.

MemphisSouth Fla.
  • Break %+11.8 pts
    37.749.5

    On serve: 46/93 against 29/77 (Memphis sideout 50.5%).

  • Hitting+.113
    .158.271

    58 K / 23 E against 38 K / 20 E.

  • Longest run+1
    56

    6 straight South Fla. points in the second set broke a 9–9 tie and made it 15–9. The set finished 25–20.

South Fla. above 50Memphis belowMax swing 2.4%

MemphisSouth Fla.

Aces
Memphis 2·South Fla. 4
Serve err
Memphis 10·South Fla. 11
Blocks
Memphis 12·South Fla. 61 BS · 22 BA vs 1 BS · 10 BA
Digs
Memphis 40·South Fla. 45

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

South Fla. above 50 · Memphis below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+2.4% MEMrally 170 · set 4

Biggest swing: 2.4% to Memphis — set 4, MEM 3-0 USF. Kill by Victoria Hill (set by Sydney Marshall). USF win probability 86% → 84%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MEM 20.2%79.8% USF

Memphis wins

3-0
3.3%
3-1
6.7%
3-2
10.2%

South Fla. wins

3-0
31.4%
3-1
30.2%
3-2
18.3%
MEM break %
38.9% vs this opp
USF break %
45.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Victoria HillKill+2.4%

    Kill by Victoria Hill (set by Sydney Marshall)

    Set 4 · MEM 3-0 USF · MEM 14% → 16%

  2. 02
    Laila IveyAttack error+2.3%

    Attack error by Laila Ivey

    Set 4 · MEM 2-0 USF · MEM 12% → 14%

  3. 03
    South Fla.Ace+2.2%

    South Fla. ace on Victoria Hill

    Set 4 · MEM 5-5 USF · USF 87% → 89%

  4. 04
    Laila IveyKill+2.2%

    Kill by Laila Ivey (set by Nina Jioshvili-Ravva)

    Set 4 · MEM 3-2 USF · USF 85% → 87%

  5. 05
    Paula TomasaBlock+2.1%

    Caitlyn Little stuffed by Paula Tomasa

    Set 4 · MEM 5-6 USF · USF 89% → 91%

  6. 06

    Ace by Sydney Marshall on Addy Brus

    Set 4 · MEM 1-0 USF · MEM 9% → 12%

  7. 07
    South Fla.Ace+1.9%

    South Fla. ace on Caitlyn Little

    Set 4 · MEM 5-7 USF · USF 91% → 93%

  8. 08

    Kill by Caitlyn Little (set by Sydney Marshall)

    Set 4 · MEM 5-3 USF · MEM 13% → 15%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410524.20800433052.512.5
43210.100002500847
4206.333101610002
4114.0002310500002
3001.000000000000
2326.167000100003
49227.2591023014312
46217.23500020010.56.5
4216.167000100213
4000–3111000001
3113.000800400001
2128-.12510000010.51.5
1022-1.00000000010.50.5
Team totals3820114.158372104041221276
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417432.40600351010.517.5
4141034.11810110012216
411425.2800001002112
49417.29400010031.510.5
46116.313000200217
4105.2004911700002
4000–033200003
4000–4011400000
4000–202310000
Team totals5823129.27156411452110694

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 MEM · USF 6

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 2 MEMUSF 4

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 5 MEMUSF 6

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 3 MEMUSF 3

Set 4

16-25

Longest run 3 MEMUSF 6

Bars above the line = South Fla. leads, below = Memphis leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Memphis

SlotSideout %Break %
1
43%9/21
38%5/13
2
62%8/13
20%2/10
3
44%8/18
56%10/18
4
53%8/15
33%4/12
5
57%8/14
38%5/13
6
50%6/12
27%3/11
All
51%47/93
38%29/77

South Fla.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
50%7/14
2
67%8/12
58%11/19
3
50%8/16
11%1/9
4
57%8/14
62%13/21
5
73%8/11
50%8/16
6
80%8/10
43%6/14
All
62%48/77
49%46/93

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

170 rallies

#MEM-USFSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1USFUSFKillAmelia Wass de Czege+1.5
21-1USFMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.1
31-2MEMUSF×3KillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.0
41-3USFUSF×3KillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.4
51-4USFUSF×3KillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.2
62-4USFMEMServe errSouth Fla.+0.8
72-5MEMUSFKillAmelia Wass de Czegeset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.8
83-5USFMEMBad setRiley McCaughey+0.9
94-5MEMMEMKillAmanda Hardt+1.4
104-6MEMUSFServe errCaitlyn Little+1.0
115-6USFMEMKillDawn Mooreset Sydney Marshall+1.1
126-6MEMMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+1.7
136-7MEMUSF×4KillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.2
146-8USFUSF×4KillLaila Iveyset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.6
156-9USFUSF×4KillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.4
166-10USFUSF×4KillIyanna Garvinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.1
177-10USFMEMKillDawn Mooreset Sydney Marshall+0.7
187-11MEMUSF×3KillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.8
197-12USFUSF×3KillAmelia Wass de Czegeset Miya Thomas+0.9
207-13USFUSF×3KillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.7
218-13USFMEMServe errSouth Fla.+0.4
228-14MEMUSFServe errAmanda Hardt+0.5
239-14USFMEMKillSydney Marshallset Victoria Hill+0.4
249-15MEMUSFKillLaila Iveyset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.5
2510-15USFMEMKillPaige Mockset Sydney Marshall+0.4
2610-16MEMUSFKillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.5
2711-16USFMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+0.4
2811-17MEMUSF×3Serve errCaitlyn Little+0.4
2911-18USFUSF×3KillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.4
3011-19USFUSF×3KillAddy Brusset Ryelle Rondo+0.2
3112-19USFMEMKillPaige Mockset Sydney Marshall+0.1
3213-19MEMMEMBlockedIyanna Garvinblk Amanda Hardt, Arianna Mongare+0.2
3313-20MEMUSFKillAddy Brusset Miya Thomas+0.2
3414-20USFMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+0.1
3514-21MEMUSFKillIyanna Garvinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.2
3614-22USFUSFKillAmelia Wass de Czegeset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.1
3715-22USFMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall·
3815-23MEMUSF×3Serve errAmanda Hardt+0.1
3915-24USFUSF×3KillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva·
4015-25USFUSF×3KillLaila Iveyset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva·
Set 2
11-0MEMMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Abigail Schlueter+1.2
21-1MEMUSFAttack errPaige Mock+0.8
32-1USFMEMServe errSouth Fla.+0.9
42-2MEMUSFServe errCaitlyn Little+0.8
53-2USFMEM×3KillAmanda Hardtset Abigail Schlueter+0.9
64-2MEMMEM×3Attack errAddy Brus+1.4
75-2MEMMEM×3BlockedPaula Tomasablk Amanda Hardt, Arianna Mongare+1.5
85-3MEMUSF×3KillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.9
95-4USFUSF×3BlockedArianna Mongareblk Paula Tomasa, Iyanna Garvin+1.3
105-5USFUSF×3Attack errDawn Moore+1.3
116-5USFMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+1.0
126-6MEMUSFKillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.9
137-6USFMEMServe errSouth Fla.+1.1
147-7MEMUSFServe errVictoria Hill+1.0
157-8USFUSFServe errSouth Fla.+1.3
168-8USFMEMKillArianna Mongareset Jordan Turner+1.0
178-9MEMUSFKillIyanna Garvinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.9
189-9USFMEMKillPaige Mockset Sydney Marshall+1.0
199-10MEMUSF×6Attack errPaige Mock+1.0
209-11USFUSF×6KillLaila Iveyset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.3
219-12USFUSF×6KillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.1
229-13USFUSF×6Attack errCaitlyn Little+0.9
239-14USFUSF×6KillLaila Iveyset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.7
249-15USFUSF×6Attack errSydney Marshall+0.5
2510-15USFMEMKillVictoria Hillset Sydney Marshall+0.3
2610-16MEMUSFServe errCaitlyn Little+0.3
2711-16USFMEM×5KillDawn Mooreset Sydney Marshall+0.3
2812-16MEMMEM×5BlockedPaula Tomasablk Amanda Hardt, Arianna Mongare+0.5
2913-16MEMMEM×5BlockedAddy Brusblk Arianna Mongare, Dawn Moore+0.8
3014-16MEMMEM×5KillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+1.1
3115-16MEMMEM×5AceAbigail Schlueteraced Ryelle Rondo+1.5
3215-17MEMUSF×3Serve errAbigail Schlueter+1.2
3315-18USFUSF×3KillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.4
3415-19USFUSF×3KillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.0
3516-19USFMEMServe errSouth Fla.+0.6
3616-20MEMUSF×3KillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.7
3716-21USFUSF×3Attack errLillian Hamilton+0.6
3816-22USFUSF×3Attack errArianna Mongare+0.3
3917-22USFMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Jordan Turner+0.1
4018-22MEMMEMBlockedAddy Brusblk Arianna Mongare, Lillian Hamilton+0.3
4118-23MEMUSFKillIyanna Garvinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.4
4219-23USFMEMServe errSouth Fla.+0.1
4320-23MEMMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Jordan Turner+0.5
4420-24MEMUSFKillIyanna Garvinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.6
4520-25USFUSFBlockedLillian Hamiltonblk Laila Ivey, Amelia Wass de Czege+0.2
Set 3
11-0USFMEM×3KillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall+0.4
22-0MEMMEM×3Attack errLaila Ivey+0.6
33-0MEMMEM×3BlockedPaula Tomasablk Caitlyn Little, Kaylee Parker+0.7
43-1MEMUSF×3KillLaila Iveyset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.4
53-2USFUSF×3KillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.6
63-3USFUSF×3KillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.6
74-3USFMEM×3KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+0.5
85-3MEMMEM×3KillDawn Mooreset Sydney Marshall+0.7
96-3MEMMEM×3KillDawn Mooreset Sydney Marshall+0.7
106-4MEMUSFBad setSydney Marshall+0.5
117-4USFMEMBlockedPaula Tomasablk Arianna Mongare, Caitlyn Little+0.6
127-5MEMUSFAttack errCaitlyn Little+0.5
138-5USFMEMKillZaniah Hoskinsset Jordan Turner+0.6
149-5MEMMEMAttack errPaula Tomasa+0.8
159-6MEMUSFKillIyanna Garvinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.5
169-7USFUSFBlockedZaniah Hoskinsblk Laila Ivey, Iyanna Garvin+0.7
1710-7USFMEMServe errSouth Fla.+0.6
1811-7MEMMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Jordan Turner+0.8
1911-8MEMUSFKillLaila Iveyset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.5
2012-8USFMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Jordan Turner+0.6
2113-8MEMMEMAttack errAmelia Wass de Czege+0.8
2213-9MEMUSF×3KillLaila Iveyset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.4
2313-10USFUSF×3AceSouth Fla.aced Caitlyn Little+0.7
2413-11USFUSF×3KillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.8
2514-11USFMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+0.7
2614-12MEMUSFKillAmelia Wass de Czegeset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.6
2715-12USFMEM×3KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+0.7
2816-12MEMMEM×3Bad setNina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.9
2917-12MEMMEM×3BlockedPaula Tomasablk Caitlyn Little, Kaylee Parker+0.8
3017-13MEMUSFKillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.4
3118-13USFMEMServe errSouth Fla.+0.6
3219-13MEMMEMAttack errIyanna Garvin+0.6
3319-14MEMUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.3
3419-15USFUSFKillAddy Brusset Ryelle Rondo+0.5
3520-15USFMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Zaniah Hoskins+0.6
3621-15MEMMEMAttack errAddy Brus+0.6
3721-16MEMUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.2
3822-16USFMEMBlockedLaila Iveyblk Zaniah Hoskins, Amanda Hardt+0.4
3923-16MEMMEMAttack errIyanna Garvin+0.2
4023-17MEMUSFServe errArianna Mongare·
4123-18USFUSFAttack errAmanda Hardt+0.1
4224-18USFMEMKillJordan Turnerset Amanda Hardt+0.2
4324-19MEMUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Miya Thomas·
4425-19USFMEMAttack errLaila Ivey+0.1
Set 4
11-0MEMMEM×3AceSydney Marshallaced Addy Brus+2.1
22-0MEMMEM×3Attack errLaila Ivey+2.3
33-0MEMMEM×3KillVictoria Hillset Sydney Marshall+2.4
43-1MEMUSFKillLaila Iveyset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.5
53-2USFUSFKillLaila Iveyset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+2.2
64-2USFMEMAttack errPaula Tomasa+1.7
74-3MEMUSFKillLaila Iveyset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.5
85-3USFMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.8
95-4MEMUSF×6Attack errDawn Moore+1.6
105-5USFUSF×6AceSouth Fla.aced Victoria Hill+2.2
115-6USFUSF×6BlockedCaitlyn Littleblk Paula Tomasa+2.1
125-7USFUSF×6AceSouth Fla.aced Caitlyn Little+1.9
135-8USFUSF×6KillAddy Brusset Paula Tomasa+1.7
145-9USFUSF×6AceSouth Fla.aced Caitlyn Little+1.4
156-9USFMEMKillDawn Mooreset Sydney Marshall+0.9
167-9MEMMEMBlockedPaula Tomasablk Arianna Mongare, Caitlyn Little+1.6
177-10MEMUSFKillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.2
187-11USFUSFAttack errCaitlyn Little+1.5
198-11USFMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Jordan Turner+1.0
208-12MEMUSFAttack errZaniah Hoskins+1.0
219-12USFMEMBlockedIyanna Garvinblk Amanda Hardt+1.0
229-13MEMUSFServe errArianna Mongare+1.1
2310-13USFMEMKillKaylee Parkerset Jordan Turner+1.0
2410-14MEMUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.1
2510-15USFUSFAttack errAmanda Hardt+1.2
2611-15USFMEMAttack errPaula Tomasa+0.7
2711-16MEMUSFKillAmelia Wass de Czegeset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.8
2811-17USFUSFBlockedKaylee Parkerblk Addy Brus, Amelia Wass de Czege+0.8
2912-17USFMEMServe errSouth Fla.+0.4
3012-18MEMUSFKillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.5
3112-19USFUSFBlockedCaitlyn Littleblk Paula Tomasa, Iyanna Garvin+0.5
3213-19USFMEMServe errSouth Fla.+0.2
3314-19MEMMEMBlockedPaula Tomasablk Caitlyn Little, Arianna Mongare+0.5
3414-20MEMUSFKillIyanna Garvinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.5
3514-21USFUSFKillNina Jioshvili-Ravvaset Miya Thomas+0.4
3615-21USFMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Abigail Schlueter+0.1
3715-22MEMUSFKillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.2
3815-23USFUSFKillIyanna Garvin+0.1
3916-23USFMEMServe errSouth Fla.·
4016-24MEMUSFKillIyanna Garvinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva·
4116-25USFUSFAttack errJordan Turner·

Score shown after each rally, Memphis first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).