Final · 5 setsFri, Oct 30, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Memphis def. UTSA 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: UTSA 57.9% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 6:25 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Memphis beat visiting UTSA 3-2 (25-16, 24-26, 16-25, 25-18, 15-11) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Memphis' Caitlyn Little led with 19 kills, and Abigail Schlueter added 21 digs.

Data through · final Oct 30

Set12345Sets
UTSA16262518112
MEM25241625153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

5 aces from Abigail Schlueter, and Memphis needed each of them.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Memphis's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. RallyIQ had UTSA at 58% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · UTSA 23–23 Memphis

    UTSA closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 26–24 and level the match at 1–1. The match swung to UTSA.

    Memphis 65% → 44%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · UTSA 2–1 Memphis

    Memphis scored 4 straight to turn a 1–2 deficit into a 5–2 lead. The match swung to Memphis.

    Memphis 39% → 74%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · UTSA 9–9 Memphis

    Memphis had 4 straight kills to go from 9–9 to a 13–9 lead.

    Memphis 50% → 95%

Memphis above 50UTSA belowMax swing 14.6%

UTSAMemphis

Sideout %
UTSA 53.8·Memphis 58.8
Break %
UTSA 41.2·Memphis 46.2
Hitting
UTSA .206·Memphis .200
Longest run
UTSA 5·Memphis 8

Caitlyn Little
3 of her kills came in the stretches above. 19 K, .289, 20.5 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Memphis above 50 · UTSA below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+14.6% MEMrally 201 · set 5

Biggest swing: 14.6% to Memphis — set 5, UTSA 9-11 MEM. Kill by Caitlyn Little (set by Sydney Marshall). MEM win probability 60% → 75%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UTSA 51.5%48.5% MEM

UTSA wins

3-0
13.1%
3-1
19.4%
3-2
19.0%

Memphis wins

3-0
11.9%
3-1
18.1%
3-2
18.5%
UTSA break %
41.9% vs this opp
MEM break %
41.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Caitlyn LittleKill+14.6%

    Kill by Caitlyn Little (set by Sydney Marshall)

    Set 5 · UTSA 9-11 MEM · MEM 60% → 75%

  2. 02
    Caitlyn LittleKill+13.5%

    Kill by Caitlyn Little (set by Jordan Turner)

    Set 5 · UTSA 8-9 MEM · MEM 46% → 59%

  3. 03
    Caitlyn LittleKill+12.3%

    Kill by Caitlyn Little (set by Sydney Marshall)

    Set 5 · UTSA 9-12 MEM · MEM 75% → 87%

  4. 04
    Caitlyn LittleAttack error+12.2%

    Attack error by Caitlyn Little

    Set 5 · UTSA 8-7 MEM · UTSA 51% → 63%

  5. 05
    Ally TribeKill+11.5%

    Kill by Ally Tribe (set by Megan Hawkins)

    Set 5 · UTSA 7-7 MEM · UTSA 39% → 51%

  6. 06

    Victoria Hill stuffed by Sydney Bryant & Caroline Tredwell

    Set 2 · UTSA 24-23 MEM · UTSA 35% → 46%

  7. 07
    Caitlyn LittleKill+10.4%

    Kill by Caitlyn Little (set by Jordan Turner)

    Set 5 · UTSA 9-10 MEM · MEM 50% → 60%

  8. 08
    Dawn MooreAttack error+10.3%

    Attack error by Dawn Moore

    Set 2 · UTSA 26-24 MEM · UTSA 46% → 56%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UTSAaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5131036.08300011010.513.5
510525.200022128031.513.5
511325.3201001012213
58427.1480121004211
5001.0002600700000
1003.000000000000
515340.30000000010.515.5
5316.33300040010.53.5
5002.00018011000000
5000–8011400000
5000–1021000000
4000–000000000
1000–000100000
Team totals6026165.2065438619112796
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
519645.28921262010.520.5
512733.152002150010.512.5
57318.222000300429
55522.000011100428
5114.00028001400001
3025-.40000000031.51.5
511323.3480004002112
5002.0006502110005
5000–2120500002
2307.429000000214
21011.00000010031.52.5
2000–000000000
Team totals5927160.200579570302010105

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UTSA vs Memphis

Season series · Memphis leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 UTSA · MEM 8

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 5 UTSAMEM 8

Set 2

26-24

Longest run 4 UTSAMEM 4

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 5 UTSAMEM 3

Set 4

18-25

Longest run 3 UTSAMEM 5

Set 5

11-15

Longest run 3 UTSAMEM 4

Bars above the line = Memphis leads, below = UTSA leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UTSA

SlotSideout %Break %
1
65%11/17
31%4/13
2
48%10/21
27%4/15
3
38%10/26
29%4/14
4
91%10/11
58%14/24
5
62%8/13
50%9/18
6
44%7/16
38%5/13
All
54%56/104
41%40/97

Memphis

SlotSideout %Break %
1
100%11/11
62%13/21
2
69%11/16
27%4/15
3
56%10/18
68%21/31
4
40%10/25
29%4/14
5
57%8/14
25%3/12
6
54%7/13
27%3/11
All
59%57/97
46%48/104

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

201 rallies

#UTSA-MEMSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MEMMEMBlockedIsabella Arroyaveblk Kaylee Parker, Amanda Hardt+2.5
21-1MEMUTSAKillIsabella Arroyaveset Alyssa Manitzas+1.8
31-2UTSAMEMKillVictoria Hillset Sydney Marshall+1.8
42-2MEMUTSAKillLedisi Kpeaset Valeria Ortiz+1.8
52-3UTSAMEM×8KillAmanda Hardtset Abigail Schlueter+1.9
62-4MEMMEM×8Bad setValeria Ortiz+2.7
72-5MEMMEM×8AceMemphisaced Ally Tribe+2.6
82-6MEMMEM×8Attack errAlly Tribe+2.5
92-7MEMMEM×8KillVictoria Hillset Caitlyn Little+2.3
102-8MEMMEM×8Attack errAlly Tribe+2.0
112-9MEMMEM×8AceMemphisaced Ally Tribe+1.7
122-10MEMMEM×8BlockedAlly Tribeblk Amanda Hardt, Arianna Mongare+1.3
133-10MEMUTSAKillCaroline Tredwellset Valeria Ortiz+0.7
143-11UTSAMEMAttack errCaroline Tredwell+0.9
154-11MEMUTSA×5KillAlly Tribeset Megan Hawkins+0.6
165-11UTSAUTSA×5Attack errCaitlyn Little+1.2
176-11UTSAUTSA×5AceUTSAaced Caitlyn Little+1.6
187-11UTSAUTSA×5Attack errVictoria Hill+1.9
198-11UTSAUTSA×5KillSydney Bryantset Alyssa Manitzas+2.3
208-12UTSAMEM×3KillArianna Mongareset Jordan Turner+2.0
218-13MEMMEM×3KillCaitlyn Littleset Jordan Turner+2.4
228-14MEMMEM×3Attack errCaroline Tredwell+2.0
239-14MEMUTSAKillIsabella Arroyaveset Megan Hawkins+1.0
249-15UTSAMEMKillDawn Mooreset Jordan Turner+1.4
2510-15MEMUTSAKillLedisi Kpeaset Megan Hawkins+1.0
2610-16UTSAMEM×4KillCaitlyn Littleset Jordan Turner+1.4
2710-17MEMMEM×4BlockedIsabella Arroyaveblk Kaylee Parker, Amanda Hardt+1.4
2810-18MEMMEM×4KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+0.9
2910-19MEMMEM×4Attack errLedisi Kpea+0.5
3011-19MEMUTSABlockedKaylee Parkerblk Ledisi Kpea+0.2
3111-20UTSAMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+0.3
3211-21MEMMEMAceMemphisaced Ally Tribe+0.2
3312-21MEMUTSAKillAlly Tribeset Valeria Ortiz·
3413-21UTSAUTSAAttack errAmanda Hardt+0.1
3513-22UTSAMEMServe errUTSA+0.2
3613-23MEMMEMBad setValeria Ortiz+0.1
3714-23MEMUTSAKillCaroline Tredwellset Valeria Ortiz·
3815-23UTSAUTSAAttack errVictoria Hill·
3915-24UTSAMEMKillArianna Mongareset Giada Obregon+0.1
4016-24MEMUTSABlockedVictoria Hillblk Ally Tribe, Caroline Tredwell·
4116-25UTSAMEMKillDawn Mooreset Jordan Turner·
Set 2
10-1UTSAMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+2.0
21-1MEMUTSAServe errMemphis+1.9
31-2UTSAMEMKillVictoria Hillset Sydney Marshall+2.0
42-2MEMUTSAKillIsabella Arroyaveset Valeria Ortiz+2.0
52-3UTSAMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+2.0
63-3MEMUTSAKillCaroline Tredwellset Valeria Ortiz+2.0
74-3UTSAUTSAKillSydney Bryantset Alyssa Manitzas+2.9
84-4UTSAMEMKillVictoria Hillset Jordan Turner+2.0
95-4MEMUTSAServe errMemphis+2.1
105-5UTSAMEMAttack errCaroline Tredwell+2.1
116-5MEMUTSAKillSydney Bryantset Megan Hawkins+2.1
127-5UTSAUTSAKillAlly Tribeset Megan Hawkins+3.0
137-6UTSAMEMServe errUTSA+2.0
148-6MEMUTSAKillAlly Tribeset Alyssa Manitzas+2.1
158-7UTSAMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+2.1
168-8MEMMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+3.2
179-8MEMUTSAKillAlly Tribeset Valeria Ortiz+2.3
189-9UTSAMEM×4KillVictoria Hillset Abigail Schlueter+2.3
199-10MEMMEM×4KillCaitlyn Littleset Abigail Schlueter+3.5
209-11MEMMEM×4BlockedIsabella Arroyaveblk Amanda Hardt, Arianna Mongare+3.5
219-12MEMMEM×4AceMemphisaced Isabella Arroyave+3.4
2210-12MEMUTSAKillLedisi Kpeaset Valeria Ortiz+2.1
2311-12UTSAUTSAAttack errCaitlyn Little+3.4
2411-13UTSAMEMKillVictoria Hillset Sydney Marshall+2.7
2512-13MEMUTSA×3BlockedDawn Mooreblk Isabella Arroyave, Caroline Tredwell+2.5
2613-13UTSAUTSA×3Attack errArianna Mongare+3.8
2714-13UTSAUTSA×3KillSydney Bryantset Alyssa Manitzas+4.0
2814-14UTSAMEMKillVictoria Hillset Jordan Turner+2.8
2915-14MEMUTSAKillIsabella Arroyaveset Megan Hawkins+2.9
3015-15UTSAMEM×3KillDawn Mooreset Jordan Turner+2.9
3115-16MEMMEM×3KillDawn Mooreset Jordan Turner+4.5
3215-17MEMMEM×3Attack errSydney Bryant+4.5
3316-17MEMUTSAKillCaroline Tredwellset Megan Hawkins+2.8
3417-17UTSAUTSAKillSydney Bryantset Megan Hawkins+4.6
3517-18UTSAMEMKillDawn Mooreset Jordan Turner+3.6
3617-19MEMMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+5.1
3718-19MEMUTSAKillSydney Bryantset Megan Hawkins+3.1
3818-20UTSAMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+3.9
3919-20MEMUTSABlockedAmanda Hardtblk Ledisi Kpea, Ally Tribe+3.2
4019-21UTSAMEMServe errUTSA+4.2
4119-22MEMMEMAttack errIsabella Arroyave+5.0
4220-22MEMUTSAKillLedisi Kpeaset Valeria Ortiz+2.3
4320-23UTSAMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+3.7
4421-23MEMUTSA×4BlockedVictoria Hillblk Caroline Tredwell, Brooke Elliott+2.0
4522-23UTSAUTSA×4KillIsabella Arroyaveset Megan Hawkins+5.1
4623-23UTSAUTSA×4Attack errCaitlyn Little+8.4
4724-23UTSAUTSA×4BlockedVictoria Hillblk Sydney Bryant, Caroline Tredwell+10.7
4824-24UTSAMEMKillVictoria Hillset Jordan Turner+7.5
4925-24MEMUTSAKillSydney Bryantset Megan Hawkins+7.5
5026-24UTSAUTSAAttack errDawn Moore+10.3
Set 3
11-0MEMUTSAKillBrooke Elliottset Valeria Ortiz+2.3
21-1UTSAMEMAttack errIsabella Arroyave+2.4
32-1MEMUTSAKillIsabella Arroyaveset Valeria Ortiz+2.4
42-2UTSAMEM×3KillVictoria Hillset Sydney Marshall+2.4
52-3MEMMEM×3AceMemphisaced Ally Tribe+3.6
62-4MEMMEM×3AceMemphisaced Ally Tribe+3.6
73-4MEMUTSA×4KillIsabella Arroyaveset Valeria Ortiz+2.4
84-4UTSAUTSA×4KillSydney Bryantset Alyssa Manitzas+3.6
95-4UTSAUTSA×4Attack errVictoria Hill+3.6
106-4UTSAUTSA×4Attack errAmanda Hardt+3.6
116-5UTSAMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+2.4
127-5MEMUTSAKillSydney Bryantset Megan Hawkins+2.6
138-5UTSAUTSAKillCaroline Tredwell+3.4
148-6UTSAMEMKillVictoria Hillset Jordan Turner+2.2
159-6MEMUTSA×4Attack errVictoria Hill+2.5
1610-6UTSAUTSA×4BlockedCaitlyn Littleblk Ally Tribe, Ledisi Kpea+3.1
1711-6UTSAUTSA×4KillAlly Tribeset Ledisi Kpea+2.7
1812-6UTSAUTSA×4AceUTSAaced Abigail Schlueter+2.1
1912-7UTSAMEMServe errUTSA+1.2
2013-7MEMUTSAAttack errKaylee Parker+1.5
2113-8UTSAMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Jordan Turner+1.2
2214-8MEMUTSAKillLedisi Kpeaset Valeria Ortiz+1.5
2314-9UTSAMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.1
2414-10MEMMEMBlockedBrooke Elliottblk Victoria Hill, Kaylee Parker+2.2
2515-10MEMUTSAKillLedisi Kpeaset Valeria Ortiz+1.9
2615-11UTSAMEM×3KillVictoria Hillset Sydney Marshall+1.5
2715-12MEMMEM×3Attack errCaroline Tredwell+2.8
2815-13MEMMEM×3KillVictoria Hillset Sydney Marshall+3.6
2916-13MEMUTSAKillCaroline Tredwellset Caitlyn Little+3.0
3017-13UTSAUTSAKillSydney Bryantset Alyssa Manitzas+3.6
3117-14UTSAMEMServe errUTSA+2.0
3218-14MEMUTSAAttack errDawn Moore+2.6
3319-14UTSAUTSAKillAlly Tribeset Megan Hawkins+2.7
3419-15UTSAMEMServe errGiada Obregon+1.3
3520-15MEMUTSAServe errVictoria Hill+1.8
3620-16UTSAMEMKillDawn Mooreset Jordan Turner+1.1
3721-16MEMUTSA×5KillLedisi Kpeaset Megan Hawkins+1.7
3822-16UTSAUTSA×5KillLedisi Kpeaset Valeria Ortiz+1.4
3923-16UTSAUTSA×5KillBrooke Elliottset Taylor Hampton+0.6
4024-16UTSAUTSA×5KillAlly Tribeset Valeria Ortiz+0.2
4125-16UTSAUTSA×5Attack errSydney Marshall·
Set 4
10-1UTSAMEMKillPaige Mockset Sydney Marshall+2.3
21-1MEMUTSAKillLedisi Kpeaset Valeria Ortiz+2.2
32-1UTSAUTSAKillLedisi Kpeaset Valeria Ortiz+3.2
42-2UTSAMEMServe errAlly Tribe+2.3
53-2MEMUTSAKillIsabella Arroyaveset Valeria Ortiz+2.3
63-3UTSAMEM×4KillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+2.3
73-4MEMMEM×4AceJordan Turneraced Ally Tribe+3.4
83-5MEMMEM×4AceJordan Turneraced Ally Tribe+3.5
93-6MEMMEM×4BlockedIsabella Arroyaveblk Zaniah Hoskins, Arianna Mongare+3.4
104-6MEMUTSA×3KillIsabella Arroyaveset Valeria Ortiz+2.2
115-6UTSAUTSA×3Bad setJordan Turner+3.4
126-6UTSAUTSA×3KillSydney Bryantset Alyssa Manitzas+3.5
136-7UTSAMEMKillZaniah Hoskinsset Jordan Turner+2.6
146-8MEMMEMAceAmanda Hardtaced Ally Tribe+3.7
157-8MEMUTSAServe errAmanda Hardt+2.5
167-9UTSAMEMServe errGiada Obregon+2.7
178-9MEMUTSAKillSydney Bryantset Giada Obregon+2.5
188-10UTSAMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Abigail Schlueter+2.8
198-11MEMMEMAttack errAlly Tribe+3.8
209-11MEMUTSAKillSydney Bryantset Megan Hawkins+2.4
219-12UTSAMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+2.8
229-13MEMMEMAttack errLedisi Kpea+3.6
2310-13MEMUTSA×3KillLedisi Kpeaset Valeria Ortiz+2.1
2411-13UTSAUTSA×3AceAlly Tribeaced Caitlyn Little+3.5
2512-13UTSAUTSA×3KillBrooke Elliottset Valeria Ortiz+4.1
2612-14UTSAMEM×3BlockedIsabella Arroyaveblk Dawn Moore, Paige Mock+3.2
2712-15MEMMEM×3KillDawn Mooreset Sydney Marshall+4.3
2812-16MEMMEM×3BlockedIsabella Arroyaveblk Arianna Mongare, Dawn Moore+3.8
2913-16MEMUTSA×3KillIsabella Arroyaveset Valeria Ortiz+2.1
3014-16UTSAUTSA×3Attack errArianna Mongare+3.8
3115-16UTSAUTSA×3KillCaroline Tredwell+4.5
3215-17UTSAMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+3.7
3315-18MEMMEMBad setValeria Ortiz+4.8
3416-18MEMUTSAKillIsabella Arroyaveset Valeria Ortiz+2.7
3516-19UTSAMEMKillZaniah Hoskinsset Jordan Turner+3.5
3617-19MEMUTSAAttack errArianna Mongare+2.8
3717-20UTSAMEMKillZaniah Hoskinsset Jordan Turner+3.7
3818-20MEMUTSAAttack errCaitlyn Little+2.8
3918-21UTSAMEM×5BlockedSydney Bryantblk Zaniah Hoskins, Paige Mock+3.9
4018-22MEMMEM×5Attack errAlly Tribe+4.0
4118-23MEMMEM×5Attack errSydney Bryant+2.3
4218-24MEMMEM×5BlockedLedisi Kpeablk Caitlyn Little, Paige Mock+0.9
4318-25MEMMEM×5KillDawn Mooreset Abigail Schlueter+1.5
Set 5
10-1UTSAMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+6.3
21-1MEMUTSAServe errCaitlyn Little+6.2
32-1UTSAUTSAAttack errAmanda Hardt+9.0
42-2UTSAMEM×4KillDawn Mooreset Sydney Marshall+6.4
52-3MEMMEM×4KillSydney Marshallset Caitlyn Little+9.7
62-4MEMMEM×4Attack errIsabella Arroyave+9.8
72-5MEMMEM×4KillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+9.2
83-5MEMUTSAKillCaroline Tredwellset Valeria Ortiz+5.6
93-6UTSAMEMAttack errIsabella Arroyave+6.8
104-6MEMUTSAKillIsabella Arroyaveset Valeria Ortiz+5.7
115-6UTSAUTSAAttack errAmanda Hardt+9.7
125-7UTSAMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Jordan Turner+7.9
136-7MEMUTSA×3KillIsabella Arroyaveset Megan Hawkins+7.1
147-7UTSAUTSA×3KillAlly Tribeset Megan Hawkins+11.5
158-7UTSAUTSA×3Attack errCaitlyn Little+12.2
168-8UTSAMEMKillArianna Mongareset Jordan Turner+8.6
178-9MEMMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Jordan Turner+13.5
189-9MEMUTSAKillSydney Bryantset Megan Hawkins+9.2
199-10UTSAMEM×4KillCaitlyn Littleset Jordan Turner+10.4
209-11MEMMEM×4KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+14.6
219-12MEMMEM×4KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+12.3
229-13MEMMEM×4KillDawn Mooreset Abigail Schlueter+8.2
2310-13MEMUTSAKillSydney Bryantset Megan Hawkins+2.6
2410-14UTSAMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+5.1
2511-14MEMUTSAKillAlly Tribeset Valeria Ortiz+1.4
2611-15UTSAMEMKillDawn Mooreset Sydney Marshall+3.6

Score shown after each rally, UTSA first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).