Final · 4 setsSun, Nov 1, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Memphis def. Charlotte 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Memphis 77.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 1, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Memphis beat visiting Charlotte 3-1 (25-14, 25-10, 15-25, 25-19) on Sun, Nov 1, 2026. Memphis' Amanda Hardt led with 17 kills, and Abigail Schlueter added 11 digs.

Data through · final Nov 1

Set1234Sets
CHAR141025191
MEM252515253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

On its own serve, Memphis won 46 of 89 points.

Win probability never moved more than 3.0 points on one rally; Charlotte topped out at 27% in Set 1. Memphis went in as RallyIQ's 77% pick.

CharlotteMemphis
  • Break %+15.5 pts
    36.251.7

    On serve: 46/89 against 25/69 (Charlotte sideout 48.3%).

  • Hitting+.163
    .147.310

    55 K / 16 E against 37 K / 20 E.

  • Longest run+7
    512

    Memphis scored 12 straight in the second set to stretch a 10–7 lead to 22–7. The set finished 25–10.

Memphis above 50Charlotte belowMax swing 3.0%

CharlotteMemphis

Aces
Charlotte 5·Memphis 8
Serve err
Charlotte 7·Memphis 10
Blocks
Charlotte 6·Memphis 91 BS · 10 BA vs 2 BS · 14 BA
Digs
Charlotte 47·Memphis 50

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Memphis above 50 · Charlotte below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.0% MEMrally 158 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.0% to Memphis — set 4, CHAR 16-19 MEM. Elena Kovacevic stuffed by Dawn Moore & Paige Mock. MEM win probability 92% → 95%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CHAR 20.8%79.2% MEM

Charlotte wins

3-0
3.4%
3-1
6.9%
3-2
10.4%

Memphis wins

3-0
30.8%
3-1
30.0%
3-2
18.5%
CHAR break %
39.8% vs this opp
MEM break %
46.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Elena Kovacevic stuffed by Dawn Moore & Paige Mock

    Set 4 · CHAR 16-19 MEM · MEM 92% → 95%

  2. 02
    Arianna MongareAttack error+2.8%

    Attack error by Arianna Mongare

    Set 4 · CHAR 13-14 MEM · CHAR 8% → 11%

  3. 03

    Kill by Mariam Mushkudiani (set by Harper Hall)

    Set 4 · CHAR 9-9 MEM · CHAR 11% → 13%

  4. 04

    Ace by Chloe Maughan on Taylor Hampton

    Set 4 · CHAR 5-3 MEM · CHAR 15% → 18%

  5. 05
    Mariam MushkudianiAttack error+2.7%

    Attack error by Mariam Mushkudiani

    Set 4 · CHAR 10-12 MEM · MEM 89% → 91%

  6. 06
    Kennedy EarlsService error+2.6%

    Service error by Kennedy Earls

    Set 4 · CHAR 16-18 MEM · MEM 89% → 92%

  7. 07

    Kill by Caitlyn Little

    Set 4 · CHAR 6-6 MEM · MEM 84% → 86%

  8. 08

    Kill by Caitlyn Little (set by Jordan Turner)

    Set 4 · CHAR 6-7 MEM · MEM 86% → 89%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
47623.04312230031.510.5
410018.55600020010.510.5
4002.0002901601011
3329.111000410003
2106.16700000010.51.5
2149-.333001210001
44621-.095001500004
4001.0003101210001
4000–011000001
4000–100610000
34214.143000510215
26010.60001100031.58.5
2103.333000000001
1000–100200000
Team totals3720116.1473557478110668
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417635.3141348100020
410320.35011210111.512.5
49527.14821472010.510.5
45012.41700030132.57.5
44010.400000200637
4305.6002620800005
44213.15410000031.55.5
43031.000100300003
4000–1710400001
4001.0002001100000
1000–000310000
Team totals5516126.31051810505214990

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 CHAR · MEM 12

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 2 CHARMEM 9

Set 2

10-25

Longest run 2 CHARMEM 12

Set 3

25-15

Longest run 5 CHARMEM 3

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 3 CHARMEM 5

Bars above the line = Memphis leads, below = Charlotte leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Charlotte

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%9/14
22%2/9
2
64%7/11
36%5/14
3
44%7/16
36%4/11
4
64%7/11
36%4/11
5
47%7/15
42%5/12
6
27%6/22
42%5/12
All
48%43/89
36%25/69

Memphis

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%9/13
67%14/21
2
69%9/13
44%7/16
3
64%7/11
59%10/17
4
50%7/14
36%4/11
5
70%7/10
36%4/11
6
63%5/8
54%7/13
All
64%44/69
52%46/89

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

158 rallies

#CHAR-MEMSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MEMCHARAttack errAmanda Hardt+1.5
22-0CHARCHARBlockedCaitlyn Littleblk Mariam Mushkudiani, Jovana Antic+2.1
32-1CHARMEMKillPaige Mockset Sydney Marshall+1.5
42-2MEMMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+1.9
53-2MEMCHARKillJovana Anticset Harper Hall+1.6
64-2CHARCHARAceMariam Mushkudiani+2.2
74-3CHARMEM×9Serve errMariam Mushkudiani+1.5
84-4MEMMEM×9KillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+2.1
94-5MEMMEM×9KillSydney Marshallset Amanda Hardt+2.0
104-6MEMMEM×9KillDawn Mooreset Arianna Mongare+1.8
114-7MEMMEM×9KillAmanda Hardtset Jovana Antic+1.7
124-8MEMMEM×9Attack errGia McGrew+1.4
134-9MEMMEM×9KillDawn Mooreset Sydney Marshall+1.2
144-10MEMMEM×9Attack errClara Briley+0.9
154-11MEMMEM×9KillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+0.7
165-11MEMCHARKillGia McGrewset Chloe Maughan+0.4
175-12CHARMEM×4KillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+0.5
185-13MEMMEM×4KillAmanda Hardtset Abigail Schlueter+0.5
195-14MEMMEM×4AceJordan Turneraced Chloe Maughan+0.3
205-15MEMMEM×4KillAmanda Hardt+0.2
216-15MEMCHARKillSara Marinkovicset Milena Lopez+0.1
226-16CHARMEMKillArianna Mongareset Jordan Turner+0.1
237-16MEMCHARAttack errCaitlyn Little+0.1
247-17CHARMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Jordan Turner+0.1
258-17MEMCHARKillSofia Locadiaset Harper Hall+0.1
268-18CHARMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Jordan Turner+0.1
279-18MEMCHARKillMariam Mushkudianiset Harper Hall+0.1
289-19CHARMEMKillVictoria Hillset Sydney Marshall+0.1
299-20MEMMEMAttack errMariam Mushkudiani+0.1
3010-20MEMCHARServe errCaitlyn Little·
3111-20CHARCHARKillMilan Cannonset Harper Hall·
3211-21CHARMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+0.1
3312-21MEMCHARKillClara Brileyset Chloe Maughan·
3412-22CHARMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall·
3513-22MEMCHARKillSara Marinkovicset Harper Hall·
3613-23CHARMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Jordan Turner·
3713-24MEMMEMAceAmanda Hardtaced Clara Briley·
3814-24MEMCHARServe errAmanda Hardt·
3914-25CHARMEMServe errHarper Hall·
Set 2
10-1CHARMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Caitlyn Little+1.0
20-2MEMMEMBlockedClara Brileyblk Paige Mock, Dawn Moore+1.3
31-2MEMCHARKillMariam Mushkudianiset Harper Hall+1.0
41-3CHARMEMKillPaige Mockset Sydney Marshall+1.0
51-4MEMMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+1.2
62-4MEMCHARKillSofia Locadiaset Harper Hall+0.9
73-4CHARCHARAttack errAmanda Hardt+1.4
83-5CHARMEMServe errMariam Mushkudiani+1.0
93-6MEMMEMBlockedClara Brileyblk Arianna Mongare, Zaniah Hoskins+1.3
104-6MEMCHARKillSofia Locadiaset Harper Hall+0.9
115-6CHARCHARKillSofia Locadia+1.4
125-7CHARMEMServe errClara Briley+1.1
135-8MEMMEMAceAmanda Hardt+1.3
146-8MEMCHARKillSara Marinkovicset Harper Hall+1.0
156-9CHARMEMKillArianna Mongareset Jordan Turner+1.0
166-10MEMMEMAceArianna Mongareaced Erin Lehman+1.2
177-10MEMCHARServe errArianna Mongare+0.8
187-11CHARMEM×12KillZaniah Hoskinsset Jordan Turner+0.9
197-12MEMMEM×12AceSydney Marshall+1.0
207-13MEMMEM×12KillSydney Marshallset Victoria Hill+0.7
217-14MEMMEM×12KillPaige Mock+0.5
227-15MEMMEM×12KillVictoria Hillset Sydney Marshall+0.4
237-16MEMMEM×12Attack errMariam Mushkudiani+0.2
247-17MEMMEM×12KillPaige Mockset Sydney Marshall+0.1
257-18MEMMEM×12KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+0.1
267-19MEMMEM×12Attack errSara Marinkovic·
277-20MEMMEM×12KillVictoria Hillset Sydney Marshall·
287-21MEMMEM×12Attack errSara Marinkovic·
297-22MEMMEM×12AceSydney Marshall·
308-22MEMCHARKillMariam Mushkudianiset Harper Hall·
319-22CHARCHARKillMariam Mushkudianiset Harper Hall·
329-23CHARMEMBlockedMariam Mushkudianiblk Caitlyn Little, Paige Mock·
339-24MEMMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Caitlyn Little·
3410-24MEMCHARServe errCaitlyn Little·
3510-25CHARMEMAttack errClara Briley·
Set 3
11-0MEMCHARKillCassidy Flakesset Harper Hall+0.6
22-0CHARCHARAceCassidy Flakesaced Amanda Hardt+0.8
32-1CHARMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+0.6
43-1MEMCHARServe errCaitlyn Little+0.7
53-2CHARMEMBlockedElena Kovacevicblk Dawn Moore, Paige Mock+0.6
64-2MEMCHAR×3KillElena Kovacevicset Harper Hall+0.7
75-2CHARCHAR×3KillSofia Locadiaset Harper Hall+0.9
86-2CHARCHAR×3Attack errArianna Mongare+0.9
96-3CHARMEMServe errElena Kovacevic+0.6
107-3MEMCHAR×5Attack errAmanda Hardt+0.7
118-3CHARCHAR×5KillCassidy Flakesset Harper Hall+0.9
129-3CHARCHAR×5Attack errZaniah Hoskins+0.8
1310-3CHARCHAR×5KillCassidy Flakesset Harper Hall+0.7
1411-3CHARCHAR×5Attack errAmanda Hardt+0.6
1511-4CHARMEMKillArianna Mongareset Jordan Turner+0.3
1611-5MEMMEMAceAmanda Hardtaced Gia McGrew+0.5
1712-5MEMCHAR×3Serve errAmanda Hardt+0.5
1813-5CHARCHAR×3KillGia McGrewset Harper Hall+0.6
1914-5CHARCHAR×3BlockedArianna Mongareblk Cassidy Flakes, Mariam Mushkudiani+0.4
2014-6CHARMEM×3KillZaniah Hoskinsset Jordan Turner+0.2
2114-7MEMMEM×3BlockedMariam Mushkudianiblk Zaniah Hoskins, Paige Mock+0.4
2214-8MEMMEM×3Attack errGia McGrew+0.5
2315-8MEMCHARBlockedCaitlyn Littleblk Cassidy Flakes, Gia McGrew+0.5
2416-8CHARCHARKillElena Kovacevicset Chloe Maughan+0.5
2516-9CHARMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Jordan Turner+0.2
2617-9MEMCHARAttack errCaitlyn Little+0.4
2718-9CHARCHARBlockedCaitlyn Littleblk Sofia Locadia, Mariam Mushkudiani+0.3
2818-10CHARMEMServe errCassidy Flakes+0.1
2919-10MEMCHARServe errCaitlyn Little+0.2
3019-11CHARMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+0.1
3120-11MEMCHARAttack errAmanda Hardt+0.2
3220-12CHARMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+0.1
3321-12MEMCHARBlockedAmanda Hardtblk Harper Hall+0.1
3422-12CHARCHARKillGia McGrewset Erin Lehman+0.1
3522-13CHARMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Jordan Turner·
3622-14MEMMEMBlockedElena Kovacevicblk Arianna Mongare·
3723-14MEMCHARKillGia McGrewset Harper Hall+0.1
3824-14CHARCHARBlockedZaniah Hoskinsblk Gia McGrew, Cassidy Flakes·
3924-15CHARMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Jordan Turner·
4025-15MEMCHARKillMariam Mushkudianiset Harper Hall·
Set 4
10-1CHARMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.6
21-1MEMCHARKillSofia Locadiaset Harper Hall+1.7
32-1CHARCHARAceMariam Mushkudianiaced Caitlyn Little+2.4
42-2CHARMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+1.7
53-2MEMCHARKillSofia Locadiaset Harper Hall+1.9
63-3CHARMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+1.8
74-3MEMCHARKillElena Kovacevicset Harper Hall+2.0
85-3CHARCHARAceChloe Maughanaced Taylor Hampton+2.7
95-4CHARMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Jordan Turner+1.9
106-4MEMCHARServe errAmanda Hardt+2.1
116-5CHARMEM×5KillArianna Mongareset Jordan Turner+1.9
126-6MEMMEM×5KillCaitlyn Little+2.6
136-7MEMMEM×5KillCaitlyn Littleset Jordan Turner+2.5
146-8MEMMEM×5KillZaniah Hoskinsset Jordan Turner+2.4
156-9MEMMEM×5BlockedMariam Mushkudianiblk Paige Mock, Zaniah Hoskins+2.1
167-9MEMCHAR×3Serve errArianna Mongare+1.5
178-9CHARCHAR×3AceKennedy Earlsaced Caitlyn Little+2.4
189-9CHARCHAR×3KillMariam Mushkudianiset Harper Hall+2.8
199-10CHARMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Jordan Turner+2.1
2010-10MEMCHARKillCassidy Flakesset Harper Hall+2.2
2110-11CHARMEMAttack errElena Kovacevic+2.1
2210-12MEMMEMAttack errMariam Mushkudiani+2.7
2311-12MEMCHARKillMariam Mushkudianiset Harper Hall+2.0
2411-13CHARMEMKillDawn Mooreset Sydney Marshall+2.1
2511-14MEMMEMBlockedElena Kovacevicblk Dawn Moore+2.5
2612-14MEMCHARKillSofia Locadiaset Harper Hall+1.7
2713-14CHARCHARAttack errArianna Mongare+2.8
2813-15CHARMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+2.3
2914-15MEMCHARKillSofia Locadiaset Harper Hall+2.2
3014-16CHARMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Zaniah Hoskins+2.4
3115-16MEMCHARServe errAmanda Hardt+2.3
3215-17CHARMEMKillZaniah Hoskinsset Jordan Turner+2.5
3316-17MEMCHARKillCassidy Flakesset Harper Hall+2.4
3416-18CHARMEM×4Serve errKennedy Earls+2.6
3516-19MEMMEM×4BlockedElena Kovacevicblk Dawn Moore, Paige Mock+3.0
3616-20MEMMEM×4Attack errElena Kovacevic+2.2
3716-21MEMMEM×4KillDawn Mooreset Sydney Marshall+1.5
3817-21MEMCHARKillCassidy Flakesset Harper Hall+0.7
3917-22CHARMEM×3KillSydney Marshallset Abigail Schlueter+1.0
4017-23MEMMEM×3AceCaitlyn Littleaced Sara Marinkovic+0.6
4117-24MEMMEM×3KillDawn Mooreset Sydney Marshall+0.2
4218-24MEMCHARKillSofia Locadiaset Harper Hall·
4319-24CHARCHARKillElena Kovacevicset Mariam Mushkudiani+0.1
4419-25CHARMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Charlotte first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).