Final · 4 setsSun, Nov 8, 2026Watch on ESPN+

North Texas def. Memphis 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Memphis 52.2% · upsetLocked before first serve (Nov 8, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

North Texas won at Memphis 3-1 (25-16, 23-25, 25-16, 25-15) on Sun, Nov 8, 2026. North Texas' Reagan Bedell led with 17 kills, and Alessandra Romo added 16 digs.

Data through · final Nov 8

Set1234Sets
NO TEX252325253
MEM162516151

Match story · written from the play-by-play

North Texas held off Memphis.

2 stretches decided it. Percentages are North Texas's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ had Memphis at 52% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · North Texas 19–16 Memphis

    Memphis scored 5 straight to turn a 16–19 deficit into a 21–19 lead.

    North Texas 79% → 57%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · North Texas 7–9 Memphis

    8 straight North Texas points turned a 7–9 deficit into a 15–9 lead.

    North Texas 67% → 95%

Memphis above 50North Texas belowMax swing 7.4%

North TexasMemphis

Sideout %
North Texas 60.3·Memphis 44.3
Break %
North Texas 55.7·Memphis 39.7
Hitting
North Texas .177·Memphis .062
Longest run
North Texas 8·Memphis 6

Jahniya Jackson
3 of her kills came in the stretches above. 13 K, .143, 15.5 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Memphis above 50 · North Texas below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+7.4% MEMrally 170 · set 4

Biggest swing: 7.4% to Memphis — set 2, NO TEX 23-25 MEM. Jahniya Jackson stuffed by Kaylee Parker & Dawn Moore. MEM win probability 44% → 52%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NO TEX 54.1%45.9% MEM

North Texas wins

3-0
14.3%
3-1
20.5%
3-2
19.3%

Memphis wins

3-0
10.9%
3-1
17.0%
3-2
18.0%
NO TEX break %
43.0% vs this opp
MEM break %
42.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Jahniya Jackson stuffed by Kaylee Parker & Dawn Moore

    Set 2 · NO TEX 23-25 MEM · MEM 44% → 52%

  2. 02

    Kill by Caitlyn Little (set by Sydney Marshall)

    Set 2 · NO TEX 21-23 MEM · MEM 39% → 45%

  3. 03
    Reagan BedellKill+5.9%

    Kill by Reagan Bedell (set by Sidney Soria)

    Set 2 · NO TEX 21-21 MEM · NO TEX 60% → 66%

  4. 04
    Ryann VikAttack error+5.5%

    Attack error by Ryann Vik

    Set 2 · NO TEX 19-20 MEM · MEM 32% → 38%

  5. 05
    Reagan BedellAttack error+5.3%

    Attack error by Reagan Bedell

    Set 2 · NO TEX 19-21 MEM · MEM 38% → 43%

  6. 06

    Kill by Caitlyn Little (set by Sydney Marshall)

    Set 2 · NO TEX 21-22 MEM · MEM 34% → 39%

  7. 07

    Reagan Bedell stuffed by Kaylee Parker & Dawn Moore

    Set 2 · NO TEX 19-19 MEM · MEM 27% → 32%

  8. 08

    Ace by Caitlyn Little on Reagan Bedell

    Set 2 · NO TEX 21-24 MEM · MEM 45% → 50%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417645.24411112102119
413742.143212101111.515.5
410525.2000003002111
45314.14313150031.59.5
45514.000000102449
4317.2864101900214
4000–0211600002
4000–222900002
2000–000000000
Team totals5327147.17747986533141098
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4141056.07112382010.516.5
47415.200000400429
45218.16701131111.57.5
41211-.091001301434
4105.200270150111.52.5
1004.00000000010.50.5
4207.286000820002
4001.0002031220000
3000–101810000
2235-.20000010010.52.5
2037-.42900000031.51.5
1000–001010000
Team totals3224129.062313115293161172

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 NO TEX · MEM 6

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 4 NO TEXMEM 2

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 4 NO TEXMEM 5

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 6 NO TEXMEM 6

Set 4

25-15

Longest run 8 NO TEXMEM 5

Bars above the line = Memphis leads, below = North Texas leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

North Texas

SlotSideout %Break %
1
59%10/17
47%7/15
2
100%8/8
47%8/17
3
70%7/10
61%11/18
4
44%7/16
46%6/13
5
60%6/10
60%9/15
6
50%6/12
68%13/19
All
60%44/73
56%54/97

Memphis

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%9/18
47%7/15
2
53%9/17
36%5/14
3
41%7/17
20%2/10
4
60%6/10
46%6/13
5
29%6/21
45%5/11
6
43%6/14
40%4/10
All
44%43/97
40%29/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

170 rallies

#NO TEX-MEMSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MEMNO TEXKillRyann Vikset Sidney Soria+1.8
21-1NO TEXMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.8
32-1MEMNO TEX×3KillRyann Vikset Sidney Soria+1.9
43-1NO TEXNO TEX×3AceNorth Texasaced Amanda Hardt+2.6
54-1NO TEXNO TEX×3KillJahniya Jacksonset Dakota Mitchell+2.5
64-2NO TEXMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+1.7
75-2MEMNO TEXServe errMemphis+1.9
86-2NO TEXNO TEXBlockedArianna Mongareblk Loredana Fouonji+2.4
96-3NO TEXMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+1.6
107-3MEMNO TEXServe errMemphis+1.8
118-3NO TEXNO TEXKillLoredana Fouonji+2.2
128-4NO TEXMEMBlockedJahniya Jacksonblk Arianna Mongare, Sydney Marshall+1.3
138-5MEMMEMAceAmanda Hardt+2.2
149-5MEMNO TEXKillSidney Soriaset Reagan Bedell+1.8
159-6NO TEXMEMBlockedLoredana Fouonjiblk Arianna Mongare, Caitlyn Little+1.6
169-7MEMMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+2.5
1710-7MEMNO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+2.1
1810-8NO TEXMEMServe errDakota Mitchell+1.9
1910-9MEMMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Abigail Schlueter+2.9
2011-9MEMNO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+2.3
2111-10NO TEXMEMAttack errRyann Vik+2.2
2212-10MEMNO TEXServe errMemphis+2.4
2312-11NO TEXMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+2.2
2413-11MEMNO TEX×4KillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+2.5
2514-11NO TEXNO TEX×4AceNorth Texasaced Caitlyn Little+3.2
2615-11NO TEXNO TEX×4AceNorth Texasaced Abigail Schlueter+2.8
2716-11NO TEXNO TEX×4KillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+2.3
2816-12NO TEXMEMBlockedJahniya Jacksonblk Arianna Mongare, Zaniah Hoskins+1.3
2917-12MEMNO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+1.7
3017-13NO TEXMEMKillCaitlyn Little+1.2
3118-13MEMNO TEX×4KillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+1.7
3219-13NO TEXNO TEX×4AceNorth Texasaced Taylor Hampton+1.6
3320-13NO TEXNO TEX×4KillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+1.0
3421-13NO TEXNO TEX×4KillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+0.5
3521-14NO TEXMEMBlockedLoredana Fouonjiblk Sydney Marshall+0.2
3622-14MEMNO TEX×3KillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+0.3
3723-14NO TEXNO TEX×3KillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+0.1
3824-14NO TEXNO TEX×3Attack errKaylee Parker·
3924-15NO TEXMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall·
4024-16MEMMEMKillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall·
4125-16MEMNO TEXKillSidney Soriaset Jahniya Jackson·
Set 2
10-1NO TEXMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+1.9
21-1MEMNO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+1.9
31-2NO TEXMEMKillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall+1.9
42-2MEMNO TEX×3Serve errMemphis+1.9
53-2NO TEXNO TEX×3Attack errDawn Moore+2.7
64-2NO TEXNO TEX×3KillJahniya Jacksonset Ryann Vik+2.7
74-3NO TEXMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+1.9
85-3MEMNO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+2.0
95-4NO TEXMEMKillArianna Mongareset Sydney Marshall+1.9
106-4MEMNO TEXServe errAmanda Hardt+2.1
116-5NO TEXMEM×4KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+2.0
126-6MEMMEM×4Attack errSidney Soria+2.9
136-7MEMMEM×4Attack errLoredana Fouonji+2.9
146-8MEMMEM×4Attack errLoredana Fouonji+2.9
157-8MEMNO TEXServe errArianna Mongare+2.0
167-9NO TEXMEMKillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall+2.2
178-9MEMNO TEX×3BlockedCaitlyn Littleblk Ryann Vik, Reagan Bedell+2.1
189-9NO TEXNO TEX×3BlockedKaylee Parkerblk Ryann Vik, Reagan Bedell+3.1
1910-9NO TEXNO TEX×3KillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+3.2
2010-10NO TEXMEM×3KillSydney Marshallset Caitlyn Little+2.3
2110-11MEMMEM×3BlockedLillian Croshawblk Amanda Hardt+3.3
2210-12MEMMEM×3AceCaitlyn Littleaced Jahniya Jackson+3.3
2311-12MEMNO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+2.3
2411-13NO TEXMEMServe errReagan Bedell+2.5
2512-13MEMNO TEX×4KillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+2.3
2613-13NO TEXNO TEX×4Attack errDawn Moore+3.6
2714-13NO TEXNO TEX×4KillLillian Croshawset Sydney Marshall+3.8
2815-13NO TEXNO TEX×4KillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+3.8
2915-14NO TEXMEMServe errRyann Vik+2.5
3016-14MEMNO TEXBad setAmanda Hardt+2.9
3117-14NO TEXNO TEXKillLoredana Fouonji+3.6
3217-15NO TEXMEMServe errAlessandra Romo+2.2
3318-15MEMNO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+2.8
3418-16NO TEXMEMServe errJahniya Jackson+2.3
3519-16MEMNO TEXKillLoredana Fouonjiset Sidney Soria+2.9
3619-17NO TEXMEM×5KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+2.3
3719-18MEMMEM×5BlockedReagan Bedellblk Kaylee Parker, Dawn Moore+4.1
3819-19MEMMEM×5BlockedReagan Bedellblk Kaylee Parker, Dawn Moore+5.0
3919-20MEMMEM×5Attack errRyann Vik+5.5
4019-21MEMMEM×5Attack errReagan Bedell+5.3
4120-21MEMNO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+3.2
4221-21NO TEXNO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+5.9
4321-22NO TEXMEM×3KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+5.0
4421-23MEMMEM×3KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+6.6
4521-24MEMMEM×3AceCaitlyn Littleaced Reagan Bedell+4.6
4622-24MEMNO TEXServe errCaitlyn Little+1.3
4723-24NO TEXNO TEXKillRyann Vikset Sidney Soria+4.3
4823-25NO TEXMEMBlockedJahniya Jacksonblk Kaylee Parker, Dawn Moore+7.4
Set 3
11-0MEMNO TEXServe errSydney Marshall+2.4
21-1NO TEXMEMKillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall+2.4
32-1MEMNO TEX×3KillRyann Vikset Sidney Soria+2.5
43-1NO TEXNO TEX×3KillReagan Bedell+3.4
54-1NO TEXNO TEX×3Attack errDawn Moore+3.3
64-2NO TEXMEMKillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall+2.3
75-2MEMNO TEXServe errAbigail Schlueter+2.5
85-3NO TEXMEMKillAmanda Hardtset Sydney Marshall+2.3
96-3MEMNO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+2.5
106-4NO TEXMEMAttack errLoredana Fouonji+2.3
117-4MEMNO TEX×6KillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+2.6
128-4NO TEXNO TEX×6AceAlessandra Romoaced Genesis Rodriguez+3.3
139-4NO TEXNO TEX×6Attack errCaitlyn Little+2.9
1410-4NO TEXNO TEX×6BlockedArianna Mongareblk Jahniya Jackson, Loredana Fouonji+2.5
1511-4NO TEXNO TEX×6Attack errCaitlyn Little+2.0
1612-4NO TEXNO TEX×6BlockedCaitlyn Littleblk Loredana Fouonji, Sidney Soria+1.5
1712-5NO TEXMEMKillVictoria Hillset Sydney Marshall+0.8
1813-5MEMNO TEXKillLoredana Fouonjiset Sidney Soria+1.1
1914-5NO TEXNO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+1.1
2014-6NO TEXMEMBad setJahniya Jackson+0.5
2115-6MEMNO TEX×6KillSidney Soriaset Jahniya Jackson+0.7
2216-6NO TEXNO TEX×6KillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+0.6
2317-6NO TEXNO TEX×6AceDakota Mitchellaced Victoria Hill+0.4
2418-6NO TEXNO TEX×6KillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+0.2
2519-6NO TEXNO TEX×6KillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+0.1
2620-6NO TEXNO TEX×6AceDakota Mitchellaced Caitlyn Little·
2720-7NO TEXMEMKillVictoria Hillset Sydney Marshall·
2821-7MEMNO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria·
2922-7NO TEXNO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Dakota Mitchell·
3022-8NO TEXMEM×3KillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall·
3122-9MEMMEM×3Attack errReagan Bedell·
3222-10MEMMEM×3Attack errRyann Vik·
3323-10MEMNO TEXAttack errLillian Hamilton·
3423-11NO TEXMEM×6KillLillian Hamiltonset Sydney Marshall·
3523-12MEMMEM×6Attack errLillian Croshaw·
3623-13MEMMEM×6Attack errJahniya Jackson·
3723-14MEMMEM×6Attack errJahniya Jackson·
3823-15MEMMEM×6Attack errLillian Croshaw·
3923-16MEMMEM×6BlockedLillian Croshawblk Amanda Hardt, Arianna Mongare+0.1
4024-16MEMNO TEXServe errGenesis Rodriguez+0.2
4125-16NO TEXNO TEXAttack errCaitlyn Little·
Set 4
10-1NO TEXMEMKillKaylee Parkerset Sydney Marshall+2.5
21-1MEMNO TEX×3Serve errCaitlyn Little+2.5
32-1NO TEXNO TEX×3Attack errLillian Hamilton+3.5
43-1NO TEXNO TEX×3Attack errAmanda Hardt+3.5
53-2NO TEXMEMServe errDakota Mitchell+2.5
64-2MEMNO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+2.6
75-2NO TEXNO TEXAttack errCaitlyn Little+3.5
85-3NO TEXMEMServe errSidney Soria+2.3
95-4MEMMEMAttack errReagan Bedell+3.5
106-4MEMNO TEXBlockedAmanda Hardtblk Lillian Croshaw, Ryann Vik+2.7
117-4NO TEXNO TEXKillReagan Bedell+3.6
127-5NO TEXMEM×5Attack errLillian Croshaw+2.4
137-6MEMMEM×5BlockedRyann Vikblk Arianna Mongare+3.7
147-7MEMMEM×5KillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall+3.9
157-8MEMMEM×5KillCaitlyn Littleset Genesis Rodriguez+4.0
167-9MEMMEM×5Attack errJahniya Jackson+4.0
178-9MEMNO TEX×8KillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+2.8
189-9NO TEXNO TEX×8KillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+4.1
1910-9NO TEXNO TEX×8AceRyann Vikaced Abigail Schlueter+4.3
2011-9NO TEXNO TEX×8BlockedCaitlyn Littleblk Loredana Fouonji, Lillian Croshaw+4.3
2112-9NO TEXNO TEX×8KillJahniya Jackson+4.1
2213-9NO TEXNO TEX×8KillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+3.7
2314-9NO TEXNO TEX×8KillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+3.1
2415-9NO TEXNO TEX×8Attack errCaitlyn Little+2.5
2515-10NO TEXMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Abigail Schlueter+1.3
2616-10MEMNO TEX×6KillLoredana Fouonjiset Sidney Soria+1.8
2717-10NO TEXNO TEX×6BlockedKaylee Parkerblk Jahniya Jackson+1.7
2818-10NO TEXNO TEX×6KillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+1.1
2919-10NO TEXNO TEX×6BlockedCaitlyn Littleblk Loredana Fouonji, Sidney Soria+0.6
3020-10NO TEXNO TEX×6AceAlessandra Romoaced Victoria Hill+0.3
3121-10NO TEXNO TEX×6KillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+0.1
3221-11NO TEXMEMKillCaitlyn Littleset Sydney Marshall·
3321-12MEMMEMAttack errJahniya Jackson+0.1
3422-12MEMNO TEXBlockedKaylee Parkerblk Loredana Fouonji+0.1
3523-12NO TEXNO TEXAttack errLillian Hamilton+0.1
3623-13NO TEXMEMServe errJahniya Jackson·
3723-14MEMMEMBlockedReagan Bedellblk Kaylee Parker, Lillian Hamilton·
3824-14MEMNO TEXAttack errCaitlyn Little·
3924-15NO TEXMEMKillLillian Hamiltonset Sydney Marshall·
4025-15MEMNO TEXKillRyann Vikset Sidney Soria·

Score shown after each rally, North Texas first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).