Final · 5 setsSat, Aug 29, 2026 · Neutral site

Southern Miss. def. Jacksonville 3–2

Southern Miss. beat Jacksonville 3-2 (23-25, 25-20, 16-25, 25-20, 15-10) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026 at a neutral site. Southern Miss.'s Sadie McAda led with 19 kills.

Data through · final Aug 29

Set12345Sets
S MISS23251625153
JVILLE25202520102

Win probability

Jacksonville above 50 · Southern Miss. below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+13.8% S MISSrally 204 · set 5

Biggest swing: 13.8% to Southern Miss. — set 5, S MISS 11-9 JVILLE. Kill by Sadie McAda (set by Kaylee Lowther). JVILLE win probability 38% → 24%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

S MISS 48.7%51.3% JVILLE

Southern Miss. wins

3-0
12.0%
3-1
18.2%
3-2
18.5%

Jacksonville wins

3-0
13.1%
3-1
19.3%
3-2
19.0%
S MISS break %
43.4% vs this opp
JVILLE break %
43.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Sadie McAdaKill+13.8%

    Kill by Sadie McAda (set by Kaylee Lowther)

    Set 5 · S MISS 11-9 JVILLE · S MISS 62% → 76%

  2. 02
    Kathryn AdlerKill+12.6%

    Kill by Kathryn Adler (set by Ana Nastase)

    Set 5 · S MISS 9-9 JVILLE · JVILLE 36% → 49%

  3. 03
    Ana NastaseBad set+11.6%

    Bad set by Ana Nastase

    Set 5 · S MISS 12-9 JVILLE · S MISS 76% → 87%

  4. 04
    Elly StewartKill+10.7%

    Kill by Elly Stewart (set by Allie Hazelwood)

    Set 5 · S MISS 10-9 JVILLE · S MISS 51% → 62%

  5. 05
    Abbie TuyoKill+10.5%

    Kill by Abbie Tuyo (set by Ana Nastase)

    Set 5 · S MISS 9-8 JVILLE · JVILLE 26% → 36%

  6. 06
    Haley YountAttack error+10.0%

    Attack error by Haley Yount

    Set 5 · S MISS 6-4 JVILLE · S MISS 58% → 68%

  7. 07
    Abbie TuyoKill+9.9%

    Kill by Abbie Tuyo (set by Ana Tobar)

    Set 1 · S MISS 23-24 JVILLE · JVILLE 50% → 60%

  8. 08
    Sadie McAdaKill+9.9%

    Kill by Sadie McAda (set by Jade Cuya Cobos)

    Set 1 · S MISS 23-25 JVILLE · JVILLE 60% → 70%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
519953.18910213000019
514324.4580005002115
55012.41700000132.57.5
5318.250480570010.53.5
5000–1101010001
3229.00010000010.52.5
517739.2560002002118
5000–011700001
5000–7121240001
44215.13300030010.54.5
Team totals6424160.250583105971106104
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
517642.2620029104219
511228.3210002002112
59626.11512114000011
55520.00001220132.58.5
5001.0002121200002
2102.500000000212
512424.33300010052.514.5
5000–6211400002
4227.000000200635
4011-1.0001801500000
2001.000700600000
15Ana TobarL/DS
2000–100000000
Team totals5726152.204547857312212100

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 S MISS · JVILLE 7

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 4 S MISSJVILLE 3

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 5 S MISSJVILLE 7

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 2 S MISSJVILLE 4

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 5 S MISSJVILLE 5

Set 5

15-10

Longest run 3 S MISSJVILLE 4

Bars above the line = Jacksonville leads, below = Southern Miss. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Southern Miss.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
31%4/13
2
45%10/22
50%10/20
3
63%10/16
57%13/23
4
63%10/16
44%8/18
5
56%9/16
41%7/17
6
57%8/14
38%5/13
All
57%57/100
45%47/104

Jacksonville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
48%11/23
33%4/12
2
53%10/19
58%14/24
3
48%10/21
47%9/19
4
56%10/18
17%2/12
5
77%10/13
41%7/17
6
60%6/10
44%7/16
All
55%57/104
43%43/100

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

204 rallies

#S MISS-JVILLESrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1S MISSJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Emersen Strain+1.9
20-2JVILLEJVILLEAttack errSadie McAda+2.4
31-2JVILLES MISSServe errJacksonville+1.8
41-3S MISSJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Emersen Strain+1.9
52-3JVILLES MISSBlockedClaire Mrukowskiblk Diana Wells, Lillie Johnson+1.8
62-4S MISSJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Emersen Strain+1.9
73-4JVILLES MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.9
83-5S MISSJVILLE×3Serve errSouthern Miss.+2.0
93-6JVILLEJVILLE×3KillKathryn Adlerset Jade Cuya Cobos+2.5
103-7JVILLEJVILLE×3BlockedAllie Hazelwoodblk Haley Yount+2.3
114-7JVILLES MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+1.6
124-8S MISSJVILLEAttack errSadie McAda+1.8
134-9JVILLEJVILLEBlockedElly Stewartblk Addison Krieger+2.1
145-9JVILLES MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+1.4
156-9S MISSS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+2.1
166-10S MISSJVILLEBlockedSadie McAdablk Addison Krieger, Kathryn Adler+1.9
177-10JVILLES MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.7
187-11S MISSJVILLEServe errSouthern Miss.+1.9
198-11JVILLES MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.7
208-12S MISSJVILLEServe errSouthern Miss.+2.0
219-12JVILLES MISS×4Bad setClaire Mrukowski+1.7
2210-12S MISSS MISS×4KillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+2.6
2311-12S MISSS MISS×4AceSouthern Miss.+3.0
2412-12S MISSS MISS×4Attack errAbbie Tuyo+3.3
2512-13S MISSJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Emersen Strain+2.6
2613-13JVILLES MISSKillDiana Wellsset Sunni Sheppard+2.6
2714-13S MISSS MISSBlockedJaylyn Tuiasosopoblk Elly Stewart, Allie Hazelwood+3.6
2814-14S MISSJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Elle Kennedy+2.7
2915-14JVILLES MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+2.9
3015-15S MISSJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Jade Cuya Cobos+2.9
3116-15JVILLES MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+3.0
3216-16S MISSJVILLE×3KillKathryn Adlerset Jade Cuya Cobos+3.0
3316-17JVILLEJVILLE×3KillAddison Krieger+4.2
3416-18JVILLEJVILLE×3KillClaire Mrukowskiset Emersen Strain+4.1
3517-18JVILLES MISSServe errJacksonville+2.9
3617-19S MISSJVILLEServe errSouthern Miss.+3.4
3718-19JVILLES MISSKillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+3.0
3818-20S MISSJVILLEBad setLillie Johnson+3.6
3919-20JVILLES MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+3.2
4020-20S MISSS MISSKillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+5.1
4120-21S MISSJVILLEAttack errAubrey Judd+4.4
4221-21JVILLES MISSAttack errAbbie Tuyo+4.4
4322-21S MISSS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+6.6
4422-22S MISSJVILLEKillKathryn Adlerset Jade Cuya Cobos+4.9
4523-22JVILLES MISSKillDiana Wellsset Sadie McAda+6.0
4623-23S MISSJVILLE×3KillKathryn Adlerset Jade Cuya Cobos+5.8
4723-24JVILLEJVILLE×3KillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Tobar+9.9
4823-25JVILLEJVILLE×3KillSadie McAdaset Jade Cuya Cobos+9.9
Set 2
11-0JVILLES MISSAttack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+1.9
22-0S MISSS MISSKillLillie Johnsonset Aubrey Judd+2.4
32-1S MISSJVILLE×7Serve errSouthern Miss.+1.8
42-2JVILLEJVILLE×7BlockedDiana Wellsblk Haley Yount, Kathryn Adler+2.5
52-3JVILLEJVILLE×7AceJacksonvilleaced Sunni Sheppard+2.5
62-4JVILLEJVILLE×7KillKathryn Adlerset Elle Kennedy+2.5
72-5JVILLEJVILLE×7Attack errDiana Wells+2.4
82-6JVILLEJVILLE×7Attack errSadie McAda+2.2
92-7JVILLEJVILLE×7BlockedAubrey Juddblk Haley Yount, Abbie Tuyo+2.0
103-7JVILLES MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+1.4
113-8S MISSJVILLEServe errSouthern Miss.+1.6
124-8JVILLES MISS×3KillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+1.4
135-8S MISSS MISS×3AceSouthern Miss.aced Abbie Tuyo+2.1
146-8S MISSS MISS×3Attack errKathryn Adler+2.4
156-9S MISSJVILLEAttack errDiana Wells+2.0
167-9JVILLES MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+1.9
177-10S MISSJVILLEAttack errSadie McAda+2.1
188-10JVILLES MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.9
198-11S MISSJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Emersen Strain+2.1
208-12JVILLEJVILLEAceJacksonville+2.5
219-12JVILLES MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.7
229-13S MISSJVILLEServe errSouthern Miss.+2.0
2310-13JVILLES MISS×3KillEmily Davisset Allie Hazelwood+1.7
2411-13S MISSS MISS×3Attack errHaley Yount+2.6
2512-13S MISSS MISS×3Attack errHaley Yount+3.0
2612-14S MISSJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Jade Cuya Cobos+2.6
2713-14JVILLES MISS×5KillAllie Hazelwoodset Sunni Sheppard+2.4
2814-14S MISSS MISS×5KillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+3.5
2915-14S MISSS MISS×5KillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+3.7
3016-14S MISSS MISS×5Attack errKathryn Adler+3.7
3117-14S MISSS MISS×5Attack errHaley Yount+3.4
3217-15S MISSJVILLEKillKathryn Adlerset Ana Nastase+2.2
3318-15JVILLES MISSServe errJacksonville+2.7
3419-15S MISSS MISSKillAllie Hazelwood+3.0
3519-16S MISSJVILLEKillKathryn Adlerset Elle Kennedy+1.7
3620-16JVILLES MISS×3KillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+2.3
3721-16S MISSS MISS×3KillSadie McAdaset Sunni Sheppard+2.1
3822-16S MISSS MISS×3KillAllie Hazelwood+1.3
3922-17S MISSJVILLE×3KillAbbie Tuyoset Emersen Strain+0.4
4022-18JVILLEJVILLE×3BlockedSadie McAdablk Claire Mrukowski, Alija Heins+1.0
4122-19JVILLEJVILLE×3Attack errSadie McAda+1.8
4223-19JVILLES MISSAttack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+2.2
4324-19S MISSS MISSKillEmily Davisset Allie Hazelwood+1.4
4424-20S MISSJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Emersen Strain+0.3
4525-20JVILLES MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+0.6
Set 3
11-0S MISSS MISSKillEmily Davisset Allie Hazelwood+3.3
21-1S MISSJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Ana Nastase+2.5
32-1JVILLES MISSKillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+2.6
43-1S MISSS MISSBlockedKathryn Adlerblk Diana Wells, Lillie Johnson+3.3
53-2S MISSJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Ana Nastase+2.5
64-2JVILLES MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+2.6
74-3S MISSJVILLEServe errSouthern Miss.+2.5
85-3JVILLES MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+2.7
95-4S MISSJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Emersen Strain+2.6
106-4JVILLES MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+2.8
116-5S MISSJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Emersen Strain+2.6
127-5JVILLES MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+2.8
137-6S MISSJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Emersen Strain+2.7
148-6JVILLES MISSKillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+2.9
158-7S MISSJVILLEServe errSouthern Miss.+2.8
168-8JVILLEJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Elle Kennedy+3.8
179-8JVILLES MISSKillEmily Davisset Elle Kennedy+3.1
189-9S MISSJVILLE×4KillKathryn Adlerset Ana Nastase+3.0
199-10JVILLEJVILLE×4BlockedDiana Wellsblk Alija Heins, Kathryn Adler+4.1
209-11JVILLEJVILLE×4BlockedEmily Davisblk Alija Heins, Abbie Tuyo+4.1
219-12JVILLEJVILLE×4AceJacksonville+3.8
2210-12JVILLES MISSKillDiana Wellsset Sunni Sheppard+2.7
2310-13S MISSJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+3.0
2410-14JVILLEJVILLEAttack errElly Stewart+3.5
2511-14JVILLES MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+2.3
2611-15S MISSJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Emersen Strain+2.8
2712-15JVILLES MISSKillSadie McAdaset Sunni Sheppard+2.3
2812-16S MISSJVILLE×3KillClaire Mrukowskiset Emersen Strain+2.8
2912-17JVILLEJVILLE×3AceJacksonvilleaced Sunni Sheppard+3.0
3012-18JVILLEJVILLE×3KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Emersen Strain+2.2
3113-18JVILLES MISSServe errJacksonville+1.1
3214-18S MISSS MISSAttack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+2.1
3314-19S MISSJVILLE×3KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Allie Hazelwood+2.3
3414-20JVILLEJVILLE×3KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Allie Hazelwood+2.0
3514-21JVILLEJVILLE×3KillHaley Yountset Ana Nastase+1.2
3615-21JVILLES MISSKillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+0.4
3716-21S MISSS MISSAttack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+1.0
3816-22S MISSJVILLE×4KillHaley Yountset Ana Nastase+1.3
3916-23JVILLEJVILLE×4BlockedSadie McAdablk Haley Yount, Kathryn Adler+0.7
4016-24JVILLEJVILLE×4KillKathryn Adlerset Ana Nastase+0.2
4116-25JVILLEJVILLE×4KillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase·
Set 4
11-0JVILLES MISSServe errJacksonville+2.5
22-0S MISSS MISSAttack errAbbie Tuyo+3.2
32-1S MISSJVILLE×3KillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+2.4
42-2JVILLEJVILLE×3KillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+3.3
52-3JVILLEJVILLE×3BlockedDiana Wellsblk Alija Heins, Kathryn Adler+3.4
63-3JVILLES MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+2.6
74-3S MISSS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+3.4
84-4S MISSJVILLEKillAlija Heinsset Ana Nastase+2.6
94-5JVILLEJVILLEAceJacksonvilleaced Sunni Sheppard+3.5
105-5JVILLES MISSKillDiana Wellsset Sunni Sheppard+2.7
116-5S MISSS MISSAttack errClaire Mrukowski+3.6
126-6S MISSJVILLEKillAlija Heinsset Emersen Strain+2.8
136-7JVILLEJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Emersen Strain+3.7
147-7JVILLES MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+2.8
157-8S MISSJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Emersen Strain+2.9
168-8JVILLES MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+2.9
178-9S MISSJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Elle Kennedy+3.0
189-9JVILLES MISSServe errJacksonville+3.0
199-10S MISSJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+3.1
2010-10JVILLES MISS×5KillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+3.1
2111-10S MISSS MISS×5BlockedAna Nastaseblk Emily Davis, Elly Stewart+4.2
2212-10S MISSS MISS×5KillElly Stewart+4.2
2313-10S MISSS MISS×5Attack errKathryn Adler+4.0
2414-10S MISSS MISS×5Attack errHaley Yount+3.6
2514-11S MISSJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+2.3
2615-11JVILLES MISS×3Serve errJacksonville+2.8
2716-11S MISSS MISS×3KillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+3.0
2817-11S MISSS MISS×3KillSadie McAdaset Sunni Sheppard+2.3
2917-12S MISSJVILLE×5KillKathryn Adlerset Ana Nastase+1.3
3017-13JVILLEJVILLE×5AceJacksonvilleaced Sunni Sheppard+2.3
3117-14JVILLEJVILLE×5BlockedDiana Wellsblk Alija Heins, Claire Mrukowski+3.0
3217-15JVILLEJVILLE×5BlockedElly Stewartblk Alija Heins, Abbie Tuyo+3.9
3317-16JVILLEJVILLE×5KillAbbie Tuyoset Elle Kennedy+4.7
3418-16JVILLES MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+4.2
3519-16S MISSS MISSAttack errAbbie Tuyo+5.0
3619-17S MISSJVILLEAttack errSadie McAda+3.1
3720-17JVILLES MISS×4KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+4.0
3821-17S MISSS MISS×4Attack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+4.1
3922-17S MISSS MISS×4KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+2.7
4023-17S MISSS MISS×4Bad setAna Nastase+1.4
4123-18S MISSJVILLEServe errSouthern Miss.+0.4
4224-18JVILLES MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+0.7
4324-19S MISSJVILLEServe errSouthern Miss.+0.2
4424-20JVILLEJVILLEAttack errEmily Davis+0.5
4525-20JVILLES MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+0.1
Set 5
11-0S MISSS MISSAttack errAlija Heins+8.5
22-0S MISSS MISSBlockedAlija Heinsblk Lillie Johnson+8.5
32-1S MISSJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Emersen Strain+6.2
42-2JVILLEJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Emersen Strain+8.8
53-2JVILLES MISSServe errJacksonville+7.1
64-2S MISSS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+9.1
74-3S MISSJVILLEAttack errDiana Wells+6.6
84-4JVILLEJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Emersen Strain+9.5
95-4JVILLES MISS×3KillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+7.7
106-4S MISSS MISS×3Attack errHaley Yount+10.0
117-4S MISSS MISS×3KillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+9.3
127-5S MISSJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Emersen Strain+6.0
138-5JVILLES MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+7.4
149-5S MISSS MISSAceSouthern Miss.+8.0
159-6S MISSJVILLE×4KillKathryn Adlerset Jaylyn Tuiasosopo+4.6
169-7JVILLEJVILLE×4AceJacksonvilleaced Kaylee Lowther+8.1
179-8JVILLEJVILLE×4KillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+10.5
189-9JVILLEJVILLE×4KillKathryn Adlerset Ana Nastase+12.6
1910-9JVILLES MISS×3KillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+10.7
2011-9S MISSS MISS×3KillSadie McAdaset Kaylee Lowther+13.8
2112-9S MISSS MISS×3Bad setAna Nastase+11.6
2212-10S MISSJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+6.0
2313-10JVILLES MISS×3Attack errAbbie Tuyo+9.4
2414-10S MISSS MISS×3KillLillie Johnson+7.1
2515-10S MISSS MISS×3BlockedAbbie Tuyoblk Aubrey Judd, Lillie Johnson+2.2

Score shown after each rally, Southern Miss. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).