Southern Miss. def. Jacksonville State 3-0 (Aug 29)

FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

3:0

Southern Miss. won at Jacksonville St. 3-0 (25-22, 25-19, 25-14) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026. Southern Miss.'s Sadie McAda led with 11 kills, and Sunni Sheppard added 9 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 1:45 PM CT · final Aug 29

Set	1	2	3	Sets
S MISS	25	25	25	3
JAX ST	22	19	14	0

Win probability

Jacksonville St. above 50 · Southern Miss. below

Biggest swing: 2.8% to Jacksonville St. — set 1, S MISS 22-22 JAX ST. Attack error by Aubrey Judd. JAX ST win probability 8% → 10%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

S MISS 92.0%8.0% JAX ST

Southern Miss. wins

3-0

48.2%

3-1

31.2%

3-2

12.6%

Jacksonville St. wins

3-0

1.0%

3-1

2.4%

3-2

4.6%

S MISS break %: 49.5% vs this opp
JAX ST break %: 38.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Aubrey JuddAttack error+2.8%
Attack error by Aubrey Judd
Set 1 · S MISS 22-22 JAX ST · JAX ST 8% → 10%
02
Sophia SchweikertAttack error+2.7%
Attack error by Sophia Schweikert
Set 1 · S MISS 24-22 JAX ST · S MISS 92% → 95%
03
Aubrey JuddAttack error+2.5%
Attack error by Aubrey Judd
Set 1 · S MISS 23-22 JAX ST · S MISS 90% → 92%
04
Sophia SchweikertKill+1.7%
Kill by Sophia Schweikert (set by Sofia Varela)
Set 1 · S MISS 21-20 JAX ST · JAX ST 6% → 8%
05
Aubrey JuddKill+1.6%
Kill by Aubrey Judd (set by Allie Hazelwood)
Set 1 · S MISS 22-20 JAX ST · S MISS 92% → 94%
06
Azavia ThomasKill+1.4%
Kill by Azavia Thomas (set by Sofia Varela)
Set 1 · S MISS 22-21 JAX ST · JAX ST 6% → 8%
07
Azavia ThomasAttack error+1.3%
Attack error by Azavia Thomas
Set 1 · S MISS 25-22 JAX ST · S MISS 95% → 96%
08
Taya NordmannKill+1.1%
Kill by Taya Nordmann (set by Sofia Varela)
Set 1 · S MISS 12-11 JAX ST · JAX ST 7% → 8%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Southern Miss.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
6Sadie McAdaOH	3	11	1	23	.435	1	0	3	6	1	2	1	12
16Elly StewartMB	3	8	0	11	.727	0	1	2	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
13Lillie JohnsonMB	3	5	2	9	.333	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
2Aubrey JuddOH	3	6	2	13	.308	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	6
7Allie HazelwoodS	3	1	0	2	.500	28	2	1	8	0	2	1	4
5Kaylee LowtherL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	3	1	4	1	0	0	3
21Diana WellsOH	3	6	2	21	.190	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	6
3Sunni SheppardL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	5	3	2	9	0	0	0	4
11Lindsey SmithL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	3	1	0	0	1
18Morgen DurgensS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		38	7	80	.388	34	10	10	35	4	8	4	75

Jacksonville St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
1Sophia SchweikertOH	3	10	2	24	.333	0	1	3	3	3	0	0	11
13Taya NordmannMB	3	7	1	10	.600	0	1	2	0	0	2	1	9
26Claire EvansOH	3	5	3	16	.125	0	0	4	6	3	1	0.5	5.5
8Lauren BuchananOH	3	4	4	19	.000	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	4.5
2Addison StoneS	3	0	0	0	–	15	1	0	4	0	0	0	1
17D'Yanna SpicerMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	0.5
9Azavia ThomasOH	3	6	2	15	.267	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
11Reese TiesingDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	4	0	0	0	1
7Gemma MorrisDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	4	3	0	0	0
23Sofia VarelaS	3	0	0	0	–	14	0	2	6	0	0	0	0
16Delaney MoonL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Chloe MittelstadtOPP	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15Riley HuffMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		32	12	84	.238	30	4	13	29	10	6	3	55

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 S MISS · JAX ST 4

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 4 S MISSJAX ST 3

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 4 S MISSJAX ST 4

Set 3

25-14

Longest run 7 S MISSJAX ST 2

Bars above the line = Jacksonville St. leads, below = Southern Miss. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Southern Miss.

No clean sets to split.

Jacksonville St.

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

130 rallies

#	S MISS-JAX ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1		JAX ST	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.8
2	1-1	JAX ST	S MISS	Kill	Sadie McAda		+0.7
3	2-1	S MISS	S MISS	Attack err	Claire Evans		+0.8
4–5	3-2		S MISS · JAX ST	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.1
6	4-2	S MISS	S MISS	Kill	Lillie Johnson		+0.8
7	4-3		JAX ST	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.6
8	4-4	JAX ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Diana Wells		+0.9
9	5-4	JAX ST	S MISS	Serve err	Jacksonville St.		+0.7
10	5-5	S MISS	JAX ST	Kill	Sophia Schweikert		+0.8
11	6-5	JAX ST	S MISS	Kill	Diana Wells	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.7
12	6-6	S MISS	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Addison Stone	+0.8
13	7-6	JAX ST	S MISS	Serve err	Jacksonville St.		+0.8
14–18	10-8		S MISS 3 · JAX ST 2	NCAA feed gap5 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.8
19	11-8	S MISS	S MISS	Kill	Lillie Johnson		+0.8
20	11-9	S MISS	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Addison Stone	+0.6
21	12-9	JAX ST	S MISS	Kill	Sadie McAda	set Sunni Sheppard	+0.6
22	12-10	S MISS	JAX ST	Attack err	Sadie McAda		+0.7
23	12-11	JAX ST	JAX ST	Kill	Taya Nordmann	set Sofia Varela	+1.1
24	13-11	JAX ST	S MISS	Serve err	Jacksonville St.		+0.8
25	14-11	S MISS	S MISS	Serve err	Southern Miss.		+0.9
26	14-12	S MISS	JAX ST	Serve err	Southern Miss.		+0.7
27	15-12	JAX ST	S MISS	Kill	Sadie McAda	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.7
28	15-13	S MISS	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+0.7
29	16-13	JAX ST	S MISS×4	Kill	Diana Wells	set Sunni Sheppard	+0.8
30	17-13	S MISS	S MISS×4	Ace	Southern Miss.	aced Claire Evans	+0.8
31	18-13	S MISS	S MISS×4	Ace	Southern Miss.		+0.5
32	19-13	S MISS	S MISS×4	Kill	Elly Stewart		+0.3
33	19-14	S MISS	JAX ST	Bad set	Elly Stewart		+0.2
34–35	20-15		S MISS · JAX ST	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			·
36	20-16	S MISS	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Addison Stone	+0.3
37	20-17	JAX ST	JAX ST	Ace	Jacksonville St.	aced Kaylee Lowther	+0.6
38	21-17		S MISS	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.6
39	21-18	S MISS	JAX ST×3	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Addison Stone	+0.5
40	21-19	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+1.0
41	21-20	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Sofia Varela	+1.7
42	22-20	JAX ST	S MISS	Kill	Aubrey Judd	set Allie Hazelwood	+1.6
43	22-21	S MISS	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+1.4
44	22-22	JAX ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Aubrey Judd		+2.8
45	23-22	JAX ST	S MISS×3	Attack err	Aubrey Judd		+2.5
46	24-22	S MISS	S MISS×3	Attack err	Sophia Schweikert		+2.7
47	25-22	S MISS	S MISS×3	Attack err	Azavia Thomas		+1.3
Set 2
1	1-0	JAX ST	S MISS	Kill	Aubrey Judd	set Sunni Sheppard	+0.4
2	1-1	S MISS	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+0.5
3	2-1	JAX ST	S MISS	Kill	Diana Wells	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.4
4	3-1	S MISS	S MISS	Ace	Southern Miss.	aced Sophia Schweikert	+0.5
5	3-2	S MISS	JAX ST	Serve err	Southern Miss.		+0.4
6	4-2	JAX ST	S MISS	Kill	Aubrey Judd	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.4
7	5-2	S MISS	S MISS	Kill	Diana Wells	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.4
8	5-3	S MISS	JAX ST×4	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Sofia Varela	+0.4
9	5-4	JAX ST	JAX ST×4	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Addison Stone	+0.5
10	5-5	JAX ST	JAX ST×4	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Addison Stone	+0.7
11	5-6	JAX ST	JAX ST×4	Ace	Jacksonville St.	aced Sadie McAda	+0.8
12	6-6		S MISS	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.6
13	6-7	S MISS	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Addison Stone	+0.7
14	7-7	JAX ST	S MISS	Kill	Sunni Sheppard		+0.6
15	8-7		S MISS	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.7
16	8-8	S MISS	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Addison Stone	+0.6
17	9-8	JAX ST	S MISS×3	Kill	Sadie McAda		+0.6
18	10-8	S MISS	S MISS×3	Serve err	Southern Miss.		+0.6
19	11-8	S MISS	S MISS×3	Ace	Southern Miss.	aced Gemma Morris	+0.5
20	11-9		JAX ST	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.4
21	11-10	JAX ST	JAX ST	Serve err	Jacksonville St.		+0.7
22	12-10	JAX ST	S MISS×3	Serve err	Jacksonville St.		+0.5
23	13-10	S MISS	S MISS×3	Kill	Aubrey Judd	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.6
24	14-10	S MISS	S MISS×3	Kill	Diana Wells	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.5
25	14-11	S MISS	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Sofia Varela	+0.3
26	15-11	JAX ST	S MISS	Kill	Lillie Johnson	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.4
27	15-12	S MISS	JAX ST	Attack err	Aubrey Judd		+0.3
28	15-13	JAX ST	JAX ST	Ace	Jacksonville St.		+0.6
29	16-13	JAX ST	S MISS	Kill	Elly Stewart	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.5
30	16-14	S MISS	JAX ST	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Sofia Varela	+0.5
31	16-15	JAX ST	JAX ST	Kill	Diana Wells	set Addison Stone	+0.8
32	17-15	JAX ST	S MISS×4	Kill	Elly Stewart	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.7
33	18-15	S MISS	S MISS×4	Kill	Sadie McAda	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.7
34	19-15	S MISS	S MISS×4	Bad set	Addison Stone		+0.5
35	20-15	S MISS	S MISS×4	Kill	Sadie McAda	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.4
36	20-16	S MISS	JAX ST	Serve err	Southern Miss.		+0.2
37	21-16	JAX ST	S MISS	Serve err	Jacksonville St.		+0.3
38	22-16	S MISS	S MISS	Kill	Allie Hazelwood		+0.2
39	22-17		JAX ST	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.1
40	23-17	JAX ST	S MISS	Kill	Lillie Johnson		+0.1
41	23-18		JAX ST	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			·
42	23-19	JAX ST	JAX ST	Kill	Taya Nordmann	set Sofia Varela	+0.1
43	24-19	JAX ST	S MISS	Attack err	Taya Nordmann		+0.2
44	25-19	S MISS	S MISS	Bad set	Sofia Varela		+0.1
Set 3
1	0-1		JAX ST	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.2
2	1-1	JAX ST	S MISS	Kill	Aubrey Judd		+0.2
3	1-2	S MISS	JAX ST	Attack err	Aubrey Judd		+0.2
4	2-2	JAX ST	S MISS×7	Serve err	Jacksonville St.		+0.2
5	3-2	S MISS	S MISS×7	Serve err	Southern Miss.		+0.3
6	4-2	S MISS	S MISS×7	Kill	Elly Stewart	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.2
7	5-2	S MISS	S MISS×7	Kill	Elly Stewart	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.2
8	6-2	S MISS	S MISS×7	Ace	Southern Miss.	aced Gemma Morris	+0.2
9	7-2	S MISS	S MISS×7	Ace	Southern Miss.	aced Sophia Schweikert	+0.1
10	8-2	S MISS	S MISS×7	Attack err	Azavia Thomas		+0.1
11	8-3	S MISS	JAX ST	Kill	Taya Nordmann	set Sofia Varela	+0.1
12	8-4	JAX ST	JAX ST	Blocked	Diana Wells	blk D'Yanna Spicer, Azavia Thomas	+0.1
13	9-4	JAX ST	S MISS	Serve err	Jacksonville St.		+0.1
14	10-4	S MISS	S MISS	Ace	Southern Miss.	aced Claire Evans	+0.1
15	10-5	S MISS	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela	+0.1
16	11-5		S MISS	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.1
17	12-5	S MISS	S MISS×3	Attack err	Lauren Buchanan		+0.1
18	13-5	S MISS	S MISS×3	Ace	Southern Miss.	aced Claire Evans	+0.1
19	13-6	S MISS	JAX ST	Kill	Sophia Schweikert		·
20	14-6	JAX ST	S MISS	Kill	Sadie McAda		·
21	14-7	S MISS	JAX ST	Attack err	Sadie McAda		·
22	15-7	JAX ST	S MISS	Serve err	Jacksonville St.		·
23	16-7	S MISS	S MISS	Ace	Southern Miss.	aced Sophia Schweikert	·
24	16-8	S MISS	JAX ST	Serve err	Southern Miss.		·
25	17-8		S MISS	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			·
26	17-9	S MISS	JAX ST	Kill	Taya Nordmann		·
27	18-9	JAX ST	S MISS	Attack err	Taya Nordmann		·
28	18-10	S MISS	JAX ST	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Sofia Varela	·
29	18-11	JAX ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Diana Wells		·
30	19-11	JAX ST	S MISS	Kill	Diana Wells	set Riley Huff	·
31	19-12	S MISS	JAX ST	Serve err	Southern Miss.		·
32	20-12	JAX ST	S MISS	Kill	Elly Stewart		·
33	21-12	S MISS	S MISS	Blocked	Lauren Buchanan	blk Allie Hazelwood, Elly Stewart	·
34	21-13	S MISS	JAX ST	Kill	Sophia Schweikert		·
35	22-13		S MISS	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			·
36	23-13	S MISS	S MISS×3	Ace	Southern Miss.	aced Gemma Morris	·
37	24-13	S MISS	S MISS×3	Blocked	Claire Evans	blk Allie Hazelwood, Lillie Johnson	·
38	24-14	S MISS	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Addison Stone	·
39	25-14	JAX ST	S MISS	Kill	Sadie McAda	set Allie Hazelwood	·

Score shown after each rally, Southern Miss. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Southern Miss. def. Jacksonville St. 3–0