FinalSat, Sep 5, 2026 · Neutral site

Southern Miss. def. Central Ark. 3–0

Southern Miss. beat Central Ark. 3-0 (25-18, 25-17, 35-33) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026 at a neutral site. Southern Miss.'s Sadie McAda led with 17 kills, and Sunni Sheppard added 22 digs.

Data through · final Sep 5

Set123Sets
S MISS2525353
C ARK1817330

Win probability

Central Ark. above 50 · Southern Miss. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+4.2% C ARKrally 153 · set 3

Biggest swing: 4.2% to Central Ark. — set 3, S MISS 24-25 C ARK. Diana Wells stuffed by Greyson Button & Nicole Sargent. C ARK win probability 7% → 11%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

S MISS 70.2%29.8% C ARK

Southern Miss. wins

3-0
23.4%
3-1
27.0%
3-2
19.9%

Central Ark. wins

3-0
5.6%
3-1
10.4%
3-2
13.7%
S MISS break %
45.2% vs this opp
C ARK break %
41.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Diana Wells stuffed by Greyson Button & Nicole Sargent

    Set 3 · S MISS 24-25 C ARK · C ARK 7% → 11%

  2. 02

    Kill by Kennady Martindale (set by Tatelyn Brandsma)

    Set 3 · S MISS 27-28 C ARK · C ARK 7% → 11%

  3. 03
    Central Ark.Ace+4.2%

    Central Ark. ace on Kaylee Lowther

    Set 3 · S MISS 31-32 C ARK · C ARK 7% → 11%

  4. 04
    Nicole SargentAttack error+3.9%

    Attack error by Nicole Sargent

    Set 3 · S MISS 24-23 C ARK · S MISS 93% → 96%

  5. 05
    Diana WellsKill+3.9%

    Kill by Diana Wells (set by Allie Hazelwood)

    Set 3 · S MISS 27-26 C ARK · S MISS 93% → 96%

  6. 06

    Kill by Allie Hazelwood (set by Sadie McAda)

    Set 3 · S MISS 29-28 C ARK · S MISS 93% → 96%

  7. 07
    Tatelyn BrandsmaAttack error+3.9%

    Attack error by Tatelyn Brandsma

    Set 3 · S MISS 34-33 C ARK · S MISS 93% → 96%

  8. 08
    Diana WellsKill+3.6%

    Kill by Diana Wells (set by Sunni Sheppard)

    Set 3 · S MISS 35-33 C ARK · S MISS 96% → 100%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
317540.30011415000018
39321.28601100010.510.5
3307.4294130100132.58.5
37319.211200101018
3428.250000300215
3001.000100820000
311740.1000003100011
3001.000011700001
3000–3112200001
Team totals5120137.226487769426585
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38220.300000100219
38941-.024000123010.58.5
35318.111000110638
35213.231010301228
28322.227000210008
2004.0001500200422
3000–0311200003
3001.0001011600000
3000–101900000
22312-.083000100002
1112.000180010010.51.5
Team totals3723133.1053543607116968

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 S MISS · C ARK 5

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 4 S MISSC ARK 3

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 5 S MISSC ARK 4

Set 3

35-33

Longest run 4 S MISSC ARK 5

Bars above the line = Central Ark. leads, below = Southern Miss. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Southern Miss.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%8/16
53%8/15
2
53%8/15
50%8/16
3
54%7/13
42%5/12
4
78%7/9
59%10/17
5
78%7/9
42%5/12
6
86%6/7
50%6/12
All
62%43/69
50%42/84

Central Ark.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%8/17
42%5/12
2
62%8/13
38%5/13
3
37%7/19
47%7/15
4
70%7/10
42%5/12
5
46%6/13
30%3/10
6
50%6/12
14%1/7
All
50%42/84
38%26/69

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

153 rallies

#S MISS-C ARKSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0S MISSS MISSAttack errMcKinzee Haas+2.1
22-0S MISSS MISSAttack errKennady Martindale+2.0
32-1S MISSC ARKKillMcKinzee Haasset Sophie Skinner+1.5
42-2C ARKC ARKBlockedLillie Johnsonblk Sarah Carnathan, McKinzee Haas+2.1
53-2C ARKS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.6
63-3S MISSC ARKServe errSouthern Miss.+1.7
74-3C ARKS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+1.7
85-3S MISSS MISSAceSouthern Miss.+2.1
95-4S MISSC ARKAttack errDiana Wells+1.6
106-4C ARKS MISSServe errCentral Ark.+1.6
116-5S MISSC ARKKillSarah Carnathanset Sophie Skinner+1.6
126-6C ARKC ARKBlockedDiana Wellsblk Greyson Button, Sophie Skinner+2.4
137-6C ARKS MISS×3KillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+1.8
148-6S MISSS MISS×3KillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+2.3
159-6S MISSS MISS×3KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+2.1
169-7S MISSC ARKKillKennady Martindaleset Sophie Skinner+1.5
1710-7C ARKS MISS×3KillAllie Hazelwoodset Allie Hazelwood+1.6
1811-7S MISSS MISS×3KillSadie McAda+1.8
1912-7S MISSS MISS×3KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.5
2012-8S MISSC ARKServe errSouthern Miss.+1.0
2113-8C ARKS MISS×4KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.2
2214-8S MISSS MISS×4AceSouthern Miss.aced Kennady Martindale+1.2
2315-8S MISSS MISS×4AceSouthern Miss.aced Sarah Carnathan+0.9
2416-8S MISSS MISS×4AceSouthern Miss.aced Sarah Carnathan+0.6
2516-9S MISSC ARKKillKennady Martindaleset Sophie Skinner+0.3
2617-9C ARKS MISSKillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+0.4
2717-10S MISSC ARK×3KillNicole Sargentset Sophie Skinner+0.3
2817-11C ARKC ARK×3Attack errDiana Wells+0.5
2917-12C ARKC ARK×3KillNicole Sargentset Sophie Skinner+0.8
3018-12C ARKS MISSKillLillie Johnsonset Aubrey Judd+0.8
3118-13S MISSC ARKKillNicole Sargentset Sophie Skinner+0.6
3218-14C ARKC ARKAttack errElly Stewart+1.2
3319-14C ARKS MISSBlockedSarah Carnathanblk Aubrey Judd+1.2
3420-14S MISSS MISSAttack errSarah Carnathan+1.0
3520-15S MISSC ARKKillSarah Carnathanset Sophie Skinner+0.5
3621-15C ARKS MISSAttack errKennady Martindale+0.7
3721-16S MISSC ARKKillGreyson Buttonset Sophie Skinner+0.4
3821-17C ARKC ARKBlockedSadie McAdablk Sophie Skinner, McKinzee Haas+0.9
3922-17C ARKS MISS×3KillAllie Hazelwoodset Kaylee Lowther+1.0
4023-17S MISSS MISS×3KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+0.7
4124-17S MISSS MISS×3Attack errFiona VanDyke+0.2
4224-18S MISSC ARKKillFiona VanDykeset Sophie Skinner·
4325-18C ARKS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+0.1
Set 2
10-1C ARKC ARK×4Attack errAubrey Judd+1.8
20-2C ARKC ARK×4BlockedSadie McAdablk McKinzee Haas+1.9
30-3C ARKC ARK×4KillSarah Carnathanset Sophie Skinner+1.9
40-4C ARKC ARK×4AceCentral Ark.aced Kaylee Lowther+1.9
51-4C ARKS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.3
62-4S MISSS MISSAttack errSarah Carnathan+1.8
72-5S MISSC ARKServe errSouthern Miss.+1.6
83-5C ARKS MISSKillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+1.4
93-6S MISSC ARKKillNicole Sargentset Sophie Skinner+1.6
104-6C ARKS MISS×4KillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+1.4
115-6S MISSS MISS×4KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+2.0
126-6S MISSS MISS×4Attack errSarah Carnathan+2.0
137-6S MISSS MISS×4AceSouthern Miss.aced Greyson Button+2.0
147-7S MISSC ARKKillGreyson Buttonset Sophie Skinner+1.5
158-7C ARKS MISSAttack errGreyson Button+1.5
168-8S MISSC ARKBlockedSadie McAdablk Sophie Skinner, Greyson Button+1.6
178-9C ARKC ARKKillFiona VanDykeset Cameron McDaniel+2.3
189-9C ARKS MISS×3KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.6
1910-9S MISSS MISS×3AceSouthern Miss.aced Sarah Carnathan+2.2
2011-9S MISSS MISS×3BlockedFiona VanDykeblk Lillie Johnson, Allie Hazelwood+2.1
2111-10S MISSC ARKKillMcKinzee Haasset Sophie Skinner+1.5
2212-10C ARKS MISS×3KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.6
2313-10S MISSS MISS×3Attack errFiona VanDyke+1.9
2414-10S MISSS MISS×3KillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+1.6
2514-11S MISSC ARKKillNicole Sargentset Sophie Skinner+1.1
2615-11C ARKS MISS×3Attack errMcKinzee Haas+1.3
2716-11S MISSS MISS×3Attack errNicole Sargent+1.3
2817-11S MISSS MISS×3Attack errSarah Carnathan+1.0
2917-12S MISSC ARKServe errSouthern Miss.+0.5
3017-13C ARKC ARKBlockedDiana Wellsblk Nicole Sargent, Greyson Button+1.0
3118-13C ARKS MISSKillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+1.0
3218-14S MISSC ARKKillNicole Sargentset Sunni Sheppard+0.7
3318-15C ARKC ARKBlockedDiana Wellsblk Greyson Button, Sophie Skinner+1.4
3419-15C ARKS MISS×5KillElly Stewartset Sarah Carnathan+1.4
3520-15S MISSS MISS×5Attack errSarah Carnathan+1.3
3621-15S MISSS MISS×5BlockedSarah Carnathanblk Allie Hazelwood, Elly Stewart+0.8
3722-15S MISSS MISS×5Attack errGreyson Button+0.4
3823-15S MISSS MISS×5BlockedSarah Carnathanblk Allie Hazelwood+0.1
3923-16S MISSC ARKServe errSouthern Miss.·
4024-16C ARKS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+0.1
4124-17S MISSC ARKAttack errElly Stewart·
4225-17C ARKS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood·
Set 3
10-1S MISSC ARKKillKennady Martindaleset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.8
21-1C ARKS MISSKillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+0.7
31-2S MISSC ARK×4KillMcKinzee Haasset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.8
41-3C ARKC ARK×4Attack errLillie Johnson+1.1
51-4C ARKC ARK×4AceCentral Ark.aced Diana Wells+1.1
61-5C ARKC ARK×4KillGreyson Buttonset Tatelyn Brandsma+1.1
72-5C ARKS MISSKillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+0.7
82-6S MISSC ARK×5KillSarah Carnathanset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.8
92-7C ARKC ARK×5BlockedElly Stewartblk Greyson Button, Tatelyn Brandsma+1.0
102-8C ARKC ARK×5Attack errDiana Wells+0.9
112-9C ARKC ARK×5Attack errAubrey Judd+0.8
122-10C ARKC ARK×5KillSarah Carnathanset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.7
133-10C ARKS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+0.4
143-11S MISSC ARKKillSarah Carnathanset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.5
154-11C ARKS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+0.4
164-12S MISSC ARKKillKennady Martindaleset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.5
175-12C ARKS MISSServe errCentral Ark.+0.4
185-13S MISSC ARKKillTatelyn Brandsmaset Trinity Hamilton+0.5
195-14C ARKC ARKKillNicole Sargentset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.5
206-14C ARKS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+0.2
217-14S MISSS MISSKillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+0.4
227-15S MISSC ARK×3KillKennady Martindaleset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.5
237-16C ARKC ARK×3KillNicole Sargentset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.4
247-17C ARKC ARK×3AceCentral Ark.+0.3
258-17C ARKS MISS×4KillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+0.1
269-17S MISSS MISS×4KillAubrey Juddset Sunni Sheppard+0.2
2710-17S MISSS MISS×4KillDiana Wellsset Aubrey Judd+0.3
2811-17S MISSS MISS×4AceSouthern Miss.+0.5
2911-18S MISSC ARKAttack errAubrey Judd+0.5
3012-18C ARKS MISS×3KillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+0.3
3113-18S MISSS MISS×3KillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+0.6
3214-18S MISSS MISS×3KillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+0.8
3314-19S MISSC ARKKillGreyson Buttonset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.9
3415-19C ARKS MISSAttack errSarah Carnathan+0.6
3516-19S MISSS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+1.1
3616-20S MISSC ARKKillSarah Carnathanset Tatelyn Brandsma+1.1
3717-20C ARKS MISS×3KillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+0.8
3818-20S MISSS MISS×3Attack errGreyson Button+1.4
3919-20S MISSS MISS×3KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.8
4019-21S MISSC ARKKillKennady Martindaleset Tatelyn Brandsma+1.8
4120-21C ARKS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+1.4
4220-22S MISSC ARKKillKennady Martindaleset Tatelyn Brandsma+1.9
4321-22C ARKS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.5
4421-23S MISSC ARKKillMcKinzee Haasset Tatelyn Brandsma+2.2
4522-23C ARKS MISS×3Serve errCentral Ark.+1.5
4623-23S MISSS MISS×3KillDiana Wellsset Sunni Sheppard+3.2
4724-23S MISSS MISS×3Attack errNicole Sargent+3.9
4824-24S MISSC ARKServe errSouthern Miss.+2.9
4924-25C ARKC ARKBlockedDiana Wellsblk Greyson Button, Nicole Sargent+4.2
5025-25C ARKS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+3.2
5125-26S MISSC ARKServe errSouthern Miss.+3.2
5226-26C ARKS MISSBad setTatelyn Brandsma+3.2
5327-26S MISSS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+3.9
5427-27S MISSC ARKKillGreyson Buttonset Tatelyn Brandsma+2.9
5527-28C ARKC ARKKillKennady Martindaleset Tatelyn Brandsma+4.2
5628-28C ARKS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+3.2
5729-28S MISSS MISSKillAllie Hazelwoodset Sadie McAda+3.9
5829-29S MISSC ARKAttack errSadie McAda+2.9
5930-29C ARKS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+2.9
6030-30S MISSC ARKAttack errSadie McAda+2.9
6131-30C ARKS MISSBlockedKennady Martindaleblk Lillie Johnson, Allie Hazelwood+2.9
6231-31S MISSC ARKKillMcKinzee Haasset Tatelyn Brandsma+2.9
6331-32C ARKC ARKAceCentral Ark.aced Kaylee Lowther+4.2
6432-32C ARKS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+3.2
6532-33S MISSC ARKKillSarah Carnathanset Tatelyn Brandsma+3.2
6633-33C ARKS MISS×3KillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+3.2
6734-33S MISSS MISS×3Attack errTatelyn Brandsma+3.9
6835-33S MISSS MISS×3KillDiana Wellsset Sunni Sheppard+3.6

Score shown after each rally, Southern Miss. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).