FinalThu, Sep 10, 2026

AwaySOUTHLAND

0:3

HomeSUN-BELT

Southern Miss. def. Houston Christian 3–0

(26-24, 25-16, 25-23)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
HOUCHR	24	16	23	0
S MISS	26	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

S MISS above 50 · HOUCHR below

Biggest swing: 4.2% to Houston Christian — set 1, HOUCHR 24-23 S MISS. Attack error by Lindsey Smith. S MISS win probability 92% → 88%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

HOUCHR 5.4%94.6% S MISS

Houston Christian wins

3-0

0.6%

3-1

1.5%

3-2

3.2%

Southern Miss. wins

3-0

54.4%

3-1

30.0%

3-2

10.3%

HOUCHR break %: 38.1% vs this opp
S MISS break %: 50.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Lindsey SmithAttack error+4.2%
Attack error by Lindsey Smith
Set 1 · HOUCHR 24-23 S MISS · HOUCHR 8% → 12%
02
Sadie McAdaKill+3.4%
Kill by Sadie McAda (set by Allie Hazelwood)
Set 1 · HOUCHR 24-24 S MISS · S MISS 88% → 92%
03
Joya EuhusAttack error+3.4%
Attack error by Joya Euhus
Set 1 · HOUCHR 24-25 S MISS · S MISS 92% → 95%
04
Allana ArchieKill+2.6%
Kill by Allana Archie
Set 1 · HOUCHR 23-23 S MISS · HOUCHR 5% → 8%
05
Lillie JohnsonKill+2.5%
Kill by Lillie Johnson (set by Allie Hazelwood)
Set 1 · HOUCHR 24-26 S MISS · S MISS 95% → 97%
06
Diana WellsAttack error+1.8%
Attack error by Diana Wells
Set 1 · HOUCHR 18-15 S MISS · HOUCHR 10% → 12%
07
S MISS serverAce+1.7%
Southern Miss. ace on Katy Barger
Set 1 · HOUCHR 19-19 S MISS · S MISS 91% → 92%
08
Katy BargerAttack error+1.7%
Attack error by Katy Barger
Set 1 · HOUCHR 19-18 S MISS · S MISS 89% → 91%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Houston Christianaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
12Katy BargerOH	3	9	5	41	.098	0	0	3	5	4	0	0	0	9
11Allana ArchieMB	3	6	0	14	.429	0	0	1	5	0	1	3	2.5	8.5
7Sa'Myah MedfordOH	3	5	5	16	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	6
15Malaya Balina-AyersMB	3	4	1	12	.250	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
5Enisilina SavelioS	3	1	0	9	.111	23	0	4	9	0	0	2	1	2
16Joya EuhusOH	2	1	6	14	-.357	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
2Emma WildOH	3	1	1	6	.000	1	1	0	4	1	0	1	0.5	2.5
9Bianca ByerlyDS	3	0	0	3	.000	1	1	1	23	3	0	0	0	1
1Katelyn VoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0
18I’Onna JonesOH	1	6	0	11	.545	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6
Team totals		33	18	126	.119	26	2	9	55	8	1	10	6	63

Southern Miss.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Lillie JohnsonMB	3	13	2	21	.524	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	2.5	15.5
6Sadie McAdaOH	3	13	5	36	.222	0	1	2	8	1	1	0	1	15
16Elly StewartMB	3	6	1	14	.357	0	3	0	2	0	0	0	0	9
7Allie HazelwoodS	3	1	0	5	.200	31	0	3	9	0	1	0	1	2
5Kaylee LowtherL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	9	0	0	0	0	1
2Aubrey JuddOH	1	1	2	7	-.143	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
3Sunni SheppardL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	3	1	24	0	0	0	0	3
21Diana WellsOH	3	2	5	28	-.107	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
11Lindsey SmithL/DS	3	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	0	0
9Emily DavisOH	2	4	1	12	.250	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	5
12Reese WarrenOH	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		40	18	126	.175	34	8	9	64	2	3	6	6	76

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 HOUCHR · S MISS 6

Set 1

24-26

Longest run 4 HOUCHRS MISS 6

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 2 HOUCHRS MISS 5

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 5 HOUCHRS MISS 4

Bars above the line = Southern Miss. leads, below = Houston Christian leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Houston Christian

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	37%7/19	0%0/6
2	46%6/13	50%7/14
3	60%6/10	57%8/14
4	75%6/8	45%5/11
5	55%6/11	25%2/8
6	36%5/14	45%5/11
All	48%36/75	42%27/64

Southern Miss.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	62%8/13	56%9/16
2	40%6/15	63%10/16
3	50%6/12	45%5/11
4	75%6/8	14%1/7
5	60%6/10	14%1/7
6	83%5/6	72%13/18
All	58%37/64	52%39/75

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

139 rallies

Rally log

#	HOUCHR-S MISS	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	S MISS	S MISS	Kill	Lillie Johnson	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.6
2	1-1	S MISS	HOUCHR	Serve err	S MISS server		+0.5
3	2-1	HOUCHR	HOUCHR	Attack err	Aubrey Judd		+0.7
4	2-2	HOUCHR	S MISS	Attack err	Sa'Myah Medford		+0.5
5	2-3	S MISS	S MISS	Ace	S MISS server	aced Katy Barger	+0.6
6	3-3	S MISS	HOUCHR	Kill	Allana Archie	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.5
7	3-4	HOUCHR	S MISS	Kill	Aubrey Judd	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.5
8	3-5	S MISS	S MISS	Ace	S MISS server	aced Bianca Byerly	+0.6
9	4-5	S MISS	HOUCHR	Attack err	Elly Stewart		+0.5
10	5-5	HOUCHR	HOUCHR	Attack err	Sadie McAda		+0.7
11	5-6	HOUCHR	S MISS	Kill	Elly Stewart	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.5
12	6-6	S MISS	HOUCHR	Kill	Katy Barger	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.6
13	7-6	HOUCHR	HOUCHR	Kill	Malaya Balina-Ayers	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.9
14	7-7	HOUCHR	S MISS	Kill	Elly Stewart	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.6
15	8-7	S MISS	HOUCHR×4	Kill	Katy Barger	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.8
16	9-7	HOUCHR	HOUCHR×4	Kill	Sa'Myah Medford	set Enisilina Savelio	+1.1
17	10-7	HOUCHR	HOUCHR×4	Kill	Malaya Balina-Ayers	set Enisilina Savelio	+1.2
18	11-7	HOUCHR	HOUCHR×4	Kill	Sa'Myah Medford	set Enisilina Savelio	+1.3
19	11-8	HOUCHR	S MISS	Serve err	HOUCHR server		+0.8
20	12-8	S MISS	HOUCHR	Kill	Katy Barger	set Enisilina Savelio	+1.1
21	12-9	HOUCHR	S MISS	Serve err	HOUCHR server		+0.9
22	12-10	S MISS	S MISS	Attack err	Katy Barger		+1.1
23	13-10	S MISS	HOUCHR	Attack err	Sadie McAda		+1.1
24	13-11	HOUCHR	S MISS	Kill	Sadie McAda	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.9
25	13-12	S MISS	S MISS	Attack err	Joya Euhus		+1.2
26	14-12	S MISS	HOUCHR	Kill	Allana Archie	set Enisilina Savelio	+1.2
27	15-12	HOUCHR	HOUCHR	Attack err	Diana Wells	blk Enisilina Savelio, Allana Archie	+1.6
28	15-13	HOUCHR	S MISS	Kill	Lillie Johnson	set Allie Hazelwood	+1.0
29	16-13	S MISS	HOUCHR	Serve err	S MISS server		+1.3
30	16-14	HOUCHR	S MISS	Attack err	Emma Wild		+1.0
31	16-15	S MISS	S MISS	Kill	Sadie McAda	set Sunni Sheppard	+1.4
32	17-15	S MISS	HOUCHR	Serve err	S MISS server		+1.4
33	18-15	HOUCHR	HOUCHR	Attack err	Diana Wells		+1.8
34	18-16	HOUCHR	S MISS	Kill	Diana Wells	set Allie Hazelwood	+1.1
35	19-16	S MISS	HOUCHR	Kill	Katy Barger	set Enisilina Savelio	+1.6
36	19-17	HOUCHR	S MISS×6	Attack err	Sa'Myah Medford	blk Sadie McAda	+1.2
37	19-18	S MISS	S MISS×6	Attack err	Katy Barger		+1.7
38	19-19	S MISS	S MISS×6	Ace	S MISS server	aced Katy Barger	+1.7
39	19-20	S MISS	S MISS×6	Attack err	Sa'Myah Medford		+1.7
40	19-21	S MISS	S MISS×6	Kill	Lillie Johnson	set Allie Hazelwood	+1.4
41	19-22	S MISS	S MISS×6	Kill	Sadie McAda	set Allie Hazelwood	+1.0
42	20-22	S MISS	HOUCHR	Attack err	Sadie McAda		+0.6
43	20-23	HOUCHR	S MISS	Kill	Lillie Johnson	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.8
44	21-23	S MISS	HOUCHR×4	Attack err	Aubrey Judd	blk Emma Wild, Joya Euhus	+0.5
45	22-23	HOUCHR	HOUCHR×4	Attack err	Lillie Johnson		+1.4
46	23-23	HOUCHR	HOUCHR×4	Kill	Allana Archie		+2.6
47	24-23	HOUCHR	HOUCHR×4	Attack err	Lindsey Smith		+4.2
48	24-24	HOUCHR	S MISS×3	Kill	Sadie McAda	set Allie Hazelwood	+3.4
49	24-25	S MISS	S MISS×3	Attack err	Joya Euhus		+3.4
50	24-26	S MISS	S MISS×3	Kill	Lillie Johnson	set Allie Hazelwood	+2.5
Set 2
1	0-1	HOUCHR	S MISS	Serve err	HOUCHR server		+0.3
2	0-2	S MISS	S MISS	Attack err	Joya Euhus		+0.3
3	1-2	S MISS	HOUCHR	Serve err	S MISS server		+0.3
4	2-2	HOUCHR	HOUCHR	Attack err	Diana Wells	blk Allana Archie, Sa'Myah Medford	+0.4
5	2-3	HOUCHR	S MISS	Attack err	Joya Euhus		+0.3
6	2-4	S MISS	S MISS	Kill	Elly Stewart	set Sa'Myah Medford	+0.4
7	3-4	S MISS	HOUCHR	Kill	Sa'Myah Medford	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.3
8	3-5	HOUCHR	S MISS	Kill	Diana Wells	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.3
9	4-5	S MISS	HOUCHR	Attack err	Diana Wells	blk Allana Archie, Enisilina Savelio	+0.3
10	4-6	HOUCHR	S MISS	Kill	Allie Hazelwood	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.3
11	5-6	S MISS	HOUCHR	Kill	Katy Barger	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.3
12	5-7	HOUCHR	S MISS×5	Serve err	HOUCHR server		+0.3
13	5-8	S MISS	S MISS×5	Kill	Lillie Johnson		+0.3
14	5-9	S MISS	S MISS×5	Kill	Sadie McAda	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.3
15	5-10	S MISS	S MISS×5	Kill	Sadie McAda	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.2
16	5-11	S MISS	S MISS×5	Kill	Sadie McAda	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.2
17	6-11	S MISS	HOUCHR	Kill	Emma Wild	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.1
18	7-11	HOUCHR	HOUCHR	Attack err	Sadie McAda	blk Sa'Myah Medford, Malaya Balina-Ayers	+0.2
19	7-12	HOUCHR	S MISS	Kill	Lillie Johnson	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.2
20	7-13	S MISS	S MISS	Kill	Sadie McAda	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.2
21	8-13	S MISS	HOUCHR	Serve err	S MISS server		+0.1
22	8-14	HOUCHR	S MISS×3	Serve err	HOUCHR server		+0.1
23	8-15	S MISS	S MISS×3	Attack err	Joya Euhus	blk Lillie Johnson, Emily Davis	+0.1
24	8-16	S MISS	S MISS×3	Attack err	Joya Euhus	blk Emily Davis, Lillie Johnson	+0.1
25	9-16	S MISS	HOUCHR	Attack err	Diana Wells		+0.0
26	10-16	HOUCHR	HOUCHR	Kill	Sa'Myah Medford	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.1
27	10-17	HOUCHR	S MISS	Serve err	HOUCHR server		+0.1
28	11-17	S MISS	HOUCHR	Kill	Allana Archie	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.1
29	12-17	HOUCHR	HOUCHR	Kill	Joya Euhus	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.1
30	12-18	HOUCHR	S MISS	Kill	Elly Stewart	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.1
31	13-18	S MISS	HOUCHR	Kill	Allana Archie	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.1
32	13-19	HOUCHR	S MISS	Attack err	Katy Barger		+0.1
33	13-20	S MISS	S MISS	Ace	S MISS server	aced Emma Wild	+0.1
34	14-20	S MISS	HOUCHR	Kill	Katy Barger	set Emma Wild	+0.0
35	14-21	HOUCHR	S MISS	Kill	Elly Stewart	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.1
36	14-22	S MISS	S MISS	Attack err	Katy Barger		+0.0
37	15-22	S MISS	HOUCHR	Kill	Malaya Balina-Ayers	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.0
38	15-23	HOUCHR	S MISS	Serve err	HOUCHR server		+0.0
39	16-23	S MISS	HOUCHR	Serve err	S MISS server		+0.0
40	16-24	HOUCHR	S MISS	Kill	Sadie McAda	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.0
41	16-25	S MISS	S MISS	Attack err	Sa'Myah Medford	blk Diana Wells, Lillie Johnson	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	S MISS	S MISS×4	Kill	Emily Davis	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.2
2	0-2	S MISS	S MISS×4	Attack err	Sa'Myah Medford		+0.1
3	0-3	S MISS	S MISS×4	Kill	Lillie Johnson		+0.1
4	0-4	S MISS	S MISS×4	Kill	Lillie Johnson	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.1
5	1-4	S MISS	HOUCHR	Kill	I’Onna Jones	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.1
6	2-4	HOUCHR	HOUCHR	Ace	HOUCHR server	aced Sadie McAda	+0.1
7	2-5	HOUCHR	S MISS	Kill	Lillie Johnson	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.1
8	3-5	S MISS	HOUCHR×5	Kill	I’Onna Jones	set Bianca Byerly	+0.1
9	4-5	HOUCHR	HOUCHR×5	Kill	I’Onna Jones	set Katelyn Vo	+0.2
10	5-5	HOUCHR	HOUCHR×5	Kill	Allana Archie	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.2
11	6-5	HOUCHR	HOUCHR×5	Attack err	Sadie McAda	blk Allana Archie	+0.3
12	7-5	HOUCHR	HOUCHR×5	Attack err	Lillie Johnson		+0.3
13	7-6	HOUCHR	S MISS	Kill	Emily Davis	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.2
14	7-7	S MISS	S MISS	Ace	S MISS server	aced Katy Barger	+0.2
15	8-7	S MISS	HOUCHR	Kill	Enisilina Savelio		+0.2
16	9-7	HOUCHR	HOUCHR	Kill	Katy Barger	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.3
17	9-8	HOUCHR	S MISS	Kill	Elly Stewart	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.2
18	10-8	S MISS	HOUCHR	Serve err	S MISS server		+0.3
19	10-9	HOUCHR	S MISS	Kill	Sadie McAda	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.2
20	11-9	S MISS	HOUCHR	Serve err	S MISS server		+0.3
21	11-10	HOUCHR	S MISS	Serve err	HOUCHR server		+0.2
22	12-10	S MISS	HOUCHR	Kill	Sa'Myah Medford	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.3
23	12-11	HOUCHR	S MISS×3	Kill	Sadie McAda	set Sunni Sheppard	+0.2
24	12-12	S MISS	S MISS×3	Attack err	Malaya Balina-Ayers	blk Lillie Johnson	+0.3
25	12-13	S MISS	S MISS×3	Kill	Emily Davis	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.3
26	13-13	S MISS	HOUCHR	Kill	I’Onna Jones	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.2
27	13-14	HOUCHR	S MISS×3	Kill	Lillie Johnson	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.2
28	13-15	S MISS	S MISS×3	Kill	Lillie Johnson	set Bianca Byerly	+0.3
29	13-16	S MISS	S MISS×3	Kill	Lillie Johnson		+0.2
30	14-16	S MISS	HOUCHR×3	Serve err	S MISS server		+0.2
31	15-16	HOUCHR	HOUCHR×3	Kill	I’Onna Jones		+0.3
32	16-16	HOUCHR	HOUCHR×3	Kill	I’Onna Jones	set Katelyn Vo	+0.4
33	16-17	HOUCHR	S MISS×3	Attack err	Enisilina Savelio		+0.3
34	16-18	S MISS	S MISS×3	Ace	S MISS server	aced Bianca Byerly	+0.3
35	16-19	S MISS	S MISS×3	Kill	Emily Davis	set Sunni Sheppard	+0.2
36	17-19	S MISS	HOUCHR×4	Attack err	Diana Wells		+0.2
37	18-19	HOUCHR	HOUCHR×4	Kill	Katy Barger	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.3
38	19-19	HOUCHR	HOUCHR×4	Attack err	Emily Davis		+0.5
39	20-19	HOUCHR	HOUCHR×4	Ace	HOUCHR server	aced Reese Warren	+0.6
40	20-20	HOUCHR	S MISS	Kill	Sadie McAda	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.4
41	21-20	S MISS	HOUCHR	Attack err	Reese Warren		+0.5
42	21-21	HOUCHR	S MISS	Kill	Sadie McAda	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.5
43	22-21	S MISS	HOUCHR	Kill	Katy Barger	set Enisilina Savelio	+0.6
44	23-21	HOUCHR	HOUCHR	Kill	Malaya Balina-Ayers	set Allie Hazelwood	+0.9
45	23-22	HOUCHR	S MISS×4	Serve err	HOUCHR server		+0.5
46	23-23	S MISS	S MISS×4	Attack err	Katy Barger	blk Allie Hazelwood	+0.9
47	23-24	S MISS	S MISS×4	Ace	S MISS server	aced Bianca Byerly	+1.0
48	23-25	S MISS	S MISS×4	Ace	S MISS server	aced Katy Barger	+0.7

Score shown after each rally, Houston Christian first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.