FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

AwayBIG-EAST

3:0

HomeMVC

DePaul def. Drake 3–0

(25-20, 25-22, 25-21)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
DEPAUL	25	25	25	3
DRAKE	20	22	21	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

DRAKE above 50 · DEPAUL below

Biggest swing: 2.1% to Drake — set 1, DEPAUL 4-5 DRAKE. Kill by Hannah Ditsworth (set by Katie Quick). DRAKE win probability 22% → 24%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

DEPAUL 77.8%22.2% DRAKE

DePaul wins

3-0

29.5%

3-1

29.6%

3-2

18.8%

Drake wins

3-0

3.7%

3-1

7.5%

3-2

10.9%

DEPAUL break %: 45.9% vs this opp
DRAKE break %: 40.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Hannah DitsworthKill+2.1%
Kill by Hannah Ditsworth (set by Katie Quick)
Set 1 · DEPAUL 4-5 DRAKE · DRAKE 22% → 24%
02
Hannah DitsworthAttack error+2.0%
Hannah Ditsworth stuffed by Jade Epps & Kendall Timme
Set 1 · DEPAUL 6-5 DRAKE · DEPAUL 77% → 79%
03
Martina DianaKill+1.9%
Kill by Martina Diana (set by Abby Cahill)
Set 1 · DEPAUL 8-6 DRAKE · DEPAUL 79% → 81%
04
Kendall TimmeKill+1.9%
Kill by Kendall Timme (set by Jade Epps)
Set 1 · DEPAUL 4-3 DRAKE · DEPAUL 78% → 79%
05
Matthea DaltonKill+1.7%
Kill by Matthea Dalton (set by Carolyn Maser)
Set 2 · DEPAUL 2-5 DRAKE · DRAKE 15% → 17%
06
Catalina AlvizuriKill+1.7%
Kill by Catalina Alvizuri (set by Leonor Polezzi)
Set 1 · DEPAUL 9-6 DRAKE · DEPAUL 81% → 83%
07
Isabela Tavares-SalomonKill+1.7%
Kill by Isabela Tavares-Salomon (set by Leonor Polezzi)
Set 2 · DEPAUL 24-21 DRAKE · DEPAUL 93% → 95%
08
Kendall TimmeKill+1.6%
Kill by Kendall Timme (set by Abby Cahill)
Set 2 · DEPAUL 5-6 DRAKE · DEPAUL 84% → 86%

Official NCAA box

Box score

DePaulaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
20Kendall TimmeOH	3	14	6	38	.211	0	2	4	5	1	1	0.5	16.5
7Isabela Tavares-SalomonOH	3	11	5	28	.214	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
13Martina DianaOH	3	9	3	21	.286	0	0	3	11	0	2	1	10
15Jade EppsMB	3	8	1	19	.368	1	0	0	2	0	4	2	10
19Catalina AlvizuriMB	3	5	0	10	.500	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	6
10Leonor PolezziS	3	3	0	3	1.000	38	1	1	10	0	2	1	5
12Nora MannionL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	2	0	14	0	0	0	2
5Eva HurrleL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	1
2Abby CahillL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	0	1	4	0	0	0	0
17Yagmur YavuzOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		50	15	119	.294	47	6	9	50	2	12	6	75

Drakehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
16Matthea DaltonOH	3	11	3	32	.250	0	1	0	4	2	0	1	0.5	12.5
5Caroline SmithOH	3	10	2	28	.286	0	0	0	4	1	0	1	0.5	10.5
6Bliss BeckMB	3	5	0	13	.385	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	6
23Kamryn BehrnsOH	3	5	4	14	.071	1	0	0	4	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
11Carolyn MaserS	3	0	0	1	.000	18	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	0
10Hannah DitsworthMB	2	3	1	8	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
1Bella FariaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
3Jasmine DulanL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	18	0	0	0	0	0
2Katie QuickS	3	0	0	0	–	12	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	0
4Aniyah DavisOH	2	2	2	7	.000	0	0	1	0	0	1	1	1.5	3.5
13Lisa MelencianoOH	2	1	2	9	-.111	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
14Avery VogtS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Hailey LaffondMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		37	14	112	.205	35	2	5	46	6	1	6	4	63

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 DEPAUL · DRAKE 4

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 4 DEPAULDRAKE 4

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 4 DEPAULDRAKE 4

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 4 DEPAULDRAKE 3

Bars above the line = Drake leads, below = DePaul leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

DePaul

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%9/16	11%1/9
2	64%9/14	40%6/15
3	73%8/11	56%10/18
4	67%6/9	33%3/9
5	86%6/7	54%7/13
6	86%6/7	40%4/10
All	69%44/64	42%31/74

Drake

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	75%9/12	22%2/9
2	64%9/14	55%11/20
3	47%7/15	10%1/10
4	55%6/11	22%2/9
5	46%6/13	40%4/10
6	67%6/9	0%0/6
All	58%43/74	31%20/64

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

138 rallies

Rally log

#	DEPAUL-DRAKE	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Kill	Kamryn Behrns	set Carolyn Maser	+1.5
2	1-1	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Kendall Timme	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.4
3	1-2	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Kill	Bliss Beck	set Carolyn Maser	+1.5
4	2-2	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Nora Mannion	+1.4
5	2-3	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Kill	Matthea Dalton	set Carolyn Maser	+1.5
6	3-3	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.4
7	4-3	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Kill	Kendall Timme	set Jade Epps	+1.9
8	4-4	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Serve err	DEPAUL server		+1.5
9	4-5	DRAKE	DRAKE	Kill	Hannah Ditsworth	set Katie Quick	+2.1
10	5-5	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Martina Diana	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.5
11	6-5	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Attack err	Hannah Ditsworth	blk Jade Epps, Kendall Timme	+2.0
12	6-6	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Kill	Caroline Smith	set Katie Quick	+1.6
13	7-6	DRAKE	DEPAUL×3	Kill	Kendall Timme	set Bliss Beck	+1.5
14	8-6	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×3	Kill	Martina Diana	set Abby Cahill	+1.9
15	9-6	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×3	Kill	Catalina Alvizuri	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.7
16	9-7	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Kill	Bliss Beck	set Katie Quick	+1.2
17	10-7	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Kendall Timme	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.3
18	10-8	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Kill	Caroline Smith	set Kamryn Behrns	+1.3
19	11-8	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.3
20	11-9	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Serve err	DEPAUL server		+1.3
21	12-9	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Catalina Alvizuri	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.4
22	13-9	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.6
23	13-10	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Kill	Hannah Ditsworth	set Carolyn Maser	+1.0
24	14-10	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Martina Diana	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.2
25	14-11	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Kill	Hannah Ditsworth	set Katie Quick	+1.1
26	15-11	DRAKE	DEPAUL×4	Attack err	Lisa Melenciano		+1.2
27	16-11	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×4	Kill	Jade Epps	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.3
28	17-11	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×4	Attack err	Lisa Melenciano		+0.9
29	18-11	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×4	Kill	Leonor Polezzi	set Nora Mannion	+0.6
30	18-12	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Serve err	DEPAUL server		+0.3
31	19-12	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Attack err	Caroline Smith		+0.4
32	19-13	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Kill	Caroline Smith	set Katie Quick	+0.2
33	20-13	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Serve err	DRAKE server		+0.4
34	20-14	DEPAUL	DRAKE×4	Attack err	Isabela Tavares-Salomon		+0.2
35	20-15	DRAKE	DRAKE×4	Attack err	Kendall Timme		+0.5
36	20-16	DRAKE	DRAKE×4	Attack err	Isabela Tavares-Salomon		+0.8
37	20-17	DRAKE	DRAKE×4	Kill	Matthea Dalton	set Carolyn Maser	+1.3
38	21-17	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Kendall Timme	set Isabela Tavares-Salomon	+1.3
39	21-18	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Kill	Matthea Dalton	set Carolyn Maser	+0.9
40	22-18	DRAKE	DEPAUL×3	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.3
41	23-18	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×3	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.0
42	24-18	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×3	Kill	Kendall Timme	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.4
43	24-19	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Kill	Matthea Dalton	set Jasmine Dulan	+0.1
44	24-20	DRAKE	DRAKE	Kill	Matthea Dalton	set Carolyn Maser	+0.2
45	25-20	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Jade Epps	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.3
Set 2
1	1-0	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Catalina Alvizuri	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.0
2	1-1	DEPAUL	DRAKE×3	Kill	Caroline Smith	set Carolyn Maser	+1.1
3	1-2	DRAKE	DRAKE×3	Attack err	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	blk Aniyah Davis, Matthea Dalton	+1.5
4	1-3	DRAKE	DRAKE×3	Kill	Kamryn Behrns	set Carolyn Maser	+1.6
5	2-3	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Martina Diana	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.1
6	2-4	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Kill	Matthea Dalton	set Carolyn Maser	+1.3
7	2-5	DRAKE	DRAKE	Kill	Matthea Dalton	set Carolyn Maser	+1.7
8	3-5	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.2
9	3-6	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Kill	Matthea Dalton	set Hannah Ditsworth	+1.4
10	4-6	DRAKE	DEPAUL×3	Kill	Martina Diana	set Abby Cahill	+1.2
11	5-6	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×3	Kill	Kendall Timme	set Abby Cahill	+1.6
12	6-6	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×3	Kill	Martina Diana	set Abby Cahill	+1.6
13	6-7	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Kill	Bliss Beck	set Katie Quick	+1.3
14	7-7	DRAKE	DEPAUL×3	Kill	Jade Epps	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.3
15	8-7	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×3	Kill	Leonor Polezzi	set Matthea Dalton	+1.6
16	9-7	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×3	Ace	DEPAUL server	aced Matthea Dalton	+1.5
17	9-8	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Attack err	Kendall Timme		+1.1
18	10-8	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Serve err	DRAKE server		+1.2
19	11-8	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Ace	DEPAUL server	aced Team	+1.4
20	11-9	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Kill	Bliss Beck	set Katie Quick	+1.0
21	11-10	DRAKE	DRAKE	Kill	Caroline Smith	set Carolyn Maser	+1.6
22	12-10	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Catalina Alvizuri	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.2
23	12-11	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Kill	Aniyah Davis	set Carolyn Maser	+1.3
24	13-11	DRAKE	DEPAUL×3	Attack err	Matthea Dalton		+1.3
25	14-11	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×3	Ace	DEPAUL server	aced Team	+1.5
26	15-11	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×3	Kill	Jade Epps	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.3
27	15-12	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Kill	Matthea Dalton	set Carolyn Maser	+0.8
28	16-12	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Jade Epps	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.0
29	16-13	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Kill	Kamryn Behrns	set Carolyn Maser	+0.8
30	17-13	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Attack err	Matthea Dalton		+1.0
31	17-14	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Serve err	DEPAUL server		+0.8
32	17-15	DRAKE	DRAKE	Attack err	Jade Epps		+1.5
33	18-15	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Leonor Polezzi	set Katie Quick	+1.3
34	18-16	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Kill	Caroline Smith	set Katie Quick	+1.2
35	19-16	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Kendall Timme	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.4
36	19-17	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Kill	Caroline Smith	set Katie Quick	+1.2
37	20-17	DRAKE	DEPAUL×4	Kill	Kendall Timme	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.5
38	21-17	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×4	Attack err	Aniyah Davis	blk Catalina Alvizuri, Isabela Tavares-Salomon	+1.4
39	22-17	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×4	Ace	DEPAUL server	aced Caroline Smith	+0.8
40	23-17	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×4	Ace	DEPAUL server	aced Matthea Dalton	+0.4
41	23-18	DEPAUL	DRAKE×4	Serve err	DEPAUL server		+0.1
42	23-19	DRAKE	DRAKE×4	Attack err	Martina Diana		+0.3
43	23-20	DRAKE	DRAKE×4	Attack err	Kendall Timme	blk Aniyah Davis	+0.6
44	23-21	DRAKE	DRAKE×4	Ace	DRAKE server	aced Kendall Timme	+1.3
45	24-21	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.7
46	24-22	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Kill	Kamryn Behrns	set Carolyn Maser	+0.7
47	25-22	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Martina Diana	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.5
Set 3
1	0-1	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Kill	Caroline Smith	set Carolyn Maser	+0.6
2	0-2	DRAKE	DRAKE	Attack err	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	blk Bliss Beck, Kamryn Behrns	+0.8
3	1-2	DRAKE	DEPAUL×3	Kill	Kendall Timme	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.6
4	2-2	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×3	Kill	Martina Diana	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.8
5	3-2	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×3	Kill	Martina Diana	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.7
6	3-3	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Kill	Kamryn Behrns	set Jasmine Dulan	+0.6
7	4-3	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.6
8	4-4	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Kill	Matthea Dalton	set Carolyn Maser	+0.6
9	4-5	DRAKE	DRAKE	Attack err	Martina Diana		+0.8
10	5-5	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Serve err	DRAKE server		+0.6
11	6-5	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Attack err	Matthea Dalton	blk Jade Epps, Leonor Polezzi	+0.8
12	6-6	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Kill	Matthea Dalton	set Jasmine Dulan	+0.6
13	7-6	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Jade Epps	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.6
14	7-7	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Kill	Caroline Smith	set Katie Quick	+0.6
15	8-7	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Serve err	DRAKE server		+0.6
16	8-8	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Kill	Lisa Melenciano	set Katie Quick	+0.7
17	8-9	DRAKE	DRAKE	Kill	Caroline Smith	set Katie Quick	+1.0
18	9-9	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Kendall Timme	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.7
19	9-10	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Attack err	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	blk Caroline Smith, Bliss Beck	+0.8
20	9-11	DRAKE	DRAKE	Attack err	Kendall Timme		+1.1
21	10-11	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Catalina Alvizuri	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.7
22	11-11	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Attack err	Kamryn Behrns	blk Martina Diana, Catalina Alvizuri	+1.0
23	11-12	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Serve err	DEPAUL server		+0.8
24	12-12	DRAKE	DEPAUL×4	Serve err	DRAKE server		+0.8
25	13-12	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×4	Ace	DEPAUL server	aced Team	+1.0
26	14-12	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×4	Kill	Jade Epps	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.9
27	15-12	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×4	Attack err	Kamryn Behrns		+0.8
28	15-13	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Kill	Aniyah Davis	set Carolyn Maser	+0.6
29	16-13	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Jade Epps	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.6
30	17-13	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Attack err	Aniyah Davis	blk Leonor Polezzi, Jade Epps	+0.7
31	17-14	DEPAUL	DRAKE×3	Attack err	Kendall Timme		+0.4
32	17-15	DRAKE	DRAKE×3	Attack err	Kendall Timme		+0.8
33	17-16	DRAKE	DRAKE×3	Ace	DRAKE server	aced Team	+1.0
34	18-16	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Attack err	Caroline Smith		+0.8
35	19-16	DEPAUL	DEPAUL	Kill	Kendall Timme	set Abby Cahill	+1.0
36	19-17	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Serve err	DEPAUL server		+0.6
37	20-17	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Kendall Timme	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.7
38	20-18	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Attack err	Martina Diana		+0.6
39	21-18	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Kendall Timme	set Leonor Polezzi	+0.8
40	21-19	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Serve err	DEPAUL server		+0.6
41	21-20	DRAKE	DRAKE	Kill	Bliss Beck	set Jasmine Dulan	+1.2
42	22-20	DRAKE	DEPAUL	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.2
43	22-21	DEPAUL	DRAKE	Serve err	DEPAUL server		+1.0
44	23-21	DRAKE	DEPAUL×3	Kill	Isabela Tavares-Salomon	set Leonor Polezzi	+1.3
45	24-21	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×3	Attack err	Kamryn Behrns	blk Martina Diana, Jade Epps	+1.2
46	25-21	DEPAUL	DEPAUL×3	Attack err	Kamryn Behrns		+0.4

Score shown after each rally, DePaul first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.