FinalSun, Sep 6, 2026

AwayMVC

0:3

HomeBIG-12

Kansas St. def. Drake 3–0

(25-17, 25-13, 25-20)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
DRAKE	17	13	20	0
KAN ST	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

KAN ST above 50 · DRAKE below

Biggest swing: 0.8% to Drake — set 1, DRAKE 6-4 KAN ST. Kill by Kamryn Behrns (set by Jasmine Dulan). KAN ST win probability 95% → 94%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

DRAKE 4.2%95.8% KAN ST

Drake wins

3-0

0.5%

3-1

1.2%

3-2

2.6%

Kansas St. wins

3-0

57.8%

3-1

28.9%

3-2

9.0%

DRAKE break %: 37.4% vs this opp
KAN ST break %: 50.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Kamryn BehrnsKill+0.8%
Kill by Kamryn Behrns (set by Jasmine Dulan)
Set 1 · DRAKE 6-4 KAN ST · DRAKE 5% → 6%
02
Reagan FoxAttack error+0.7%
Reagan Fox stuffed by Aniyah Davis
Set 1 · DRAKE 3-1 KAN ST · DRAKE 5% → 6%
03
Bliss BeckAttack error+0.7%
Bliss Beck stuffed by Cadence Lundgren
Set 1 · DRAKE 6-6 KAN ST · KAN ST 95% → 95%
04
Lisa MelencianoAttack error+0.6%
Lisa Melenciano stuffed by Avery Stones & Reese Resmer
Set 1 · DRAKE 4-4 KAN ST · KAN ST 95% → 95%
05
Aniyah DavisKill+0.6%
Kill by Aniyah Davis (set by Katie Quick)
Set 1 · DRAKE 4-2 KAN ST · DRAKE 5% → 6%
06
Avery StonesKill+0.6%
Kill by Avery Stones (set by Emerson Van Lannen)
Set 1 · DRAKE 6-7 KAN ST · KAN ST 95% → 96%
07
Matthea DaltonKill+0.6%
Kill by Matthea Dalton (set by Katie Quick)
Set 1 · DRAKE 1-0 KAN ST · DRAKE 4% → 5%
08
KAN ST serverService error+0.6%
Kansas St. service error
Set 1 · DRAKE 5-4 KAN ST · DRAKE 5% → 5%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Drakeaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Lisa MelencianoOH	3	13	3	22	.455	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	14
4Aniyah DavisOH	3	3	1	5	.400	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	4.5
6Bliss BeckMB	3	2	1	9	.111	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
2Katie QuickS	3	0	0	0	–	17	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	0
5Caroline SmithOH	2	8	4	21	.190	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	8
16Matthea DaltonOH	2	1	3	13	-.154	0	1	0	5	1	0	0	0	2
23Kamryn BehrnsOH	3	4	3	14	.071	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
11Carolyn MaserS	3	1	0	3	.333	11	0	2	4	0	0	0	0	1
1Bella FariaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
3Jasmine DulanL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	3	19	0	0	0	0	0
12Shay McMillenOH	2	2	3	16	-.063	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
24Finley SchelhaasL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		34	18	103	.155	33	2	7	40	3	1	4	3	50

Kansas St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
4Reagan FoxOH	3	12	2	18	.556	1	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	13.5
15Addison MasseyOPP	3	9	2	24	.292	2	1	2	11	0	1	1	1.5	11.5
16Cadence LundgrenMB	3	4	1	8	.375	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	2.5	6.5
13Emerson Van LannenS	3	1	0	3	.333	18	1	0	7	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
1Caleigh PonnL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	0	1
21Reese ResmerMB	2	1	1	8	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	2.5	3.5
5Avery StonesOH	3	8	2	21	.286	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
11Skylar BradyOPP	3	5	0	14	.357	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
0Fuka SekitaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	0	2	11	0	0	0	0	0
8Camdyn StuckyS	2	0	0	0	–	8	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
27Ellah DerrerMB	1	4	0	6	.667	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
9Chandler CarterL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23Lauren LathamS	1	0	0	0	–	5	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	8	102	.353	39	3	5	45	2	3	14	10	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 DRAKE · KAN ST 7

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 4 DRAKEKAN ST 7

Set 2

13-25

Longest run 3 DRAKEKAN ST 5

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 3 DRAKEKAN ST 4

Bars above the line = Kansas St. leads, below = Drake leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Drake

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%7/11	45%5/11
2	43%6/14	46%6/13
3	40%6/15	14%1/7
4	36%4/11	33%3/9
5	40%4/10	50%4/8
6	33%4/12	0%0/4
All	42%31/73	37%19/52

Kansas St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	54%7/13	67%10/15
2	64%7/11	36%4/11
3	75%6/8	54%7/13
4	71%5/7	67%10/15
5	50%4/8	67%8/12
6	80%4/5	43%3/7
All	63%33/52	58%42/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

125 rallies

Rally log

#	DRAKE-KAN ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	DRAKE	DRAKE	Kill	Matthea Dalton	set Katie Quick	+0.6
2	1-1	DRAKE	KAN ST	Kill	Addison Massey	set Emerson Van Lannen	+0.4
3	2-1	KAN ST	DRAKE	Kill	Lisa Melenciano	set Jasmine Dulan	+0.5
4	3-1	DRAKE	DRAKE	Attack err	Reagan Fox	blk Aniyah Davis	+0.7
5	3-2	DRAKE	KAN ST	Attack err	Caroline Smith	blk Reese Resmer, Emerson Van Lannen	+0.5
6	4-2	KAN ST	DRAKE	Kill	Aniyah Davis	set Katie Quick	+0.6
7	4-3	DRAKE	KAN ST	Kill	Reagan Fox	set Emerson Van Lannen	+0.5
8	4-4	KAN ST	KAN ST	Attack err	Lisa Melenciano	blk Avery Stones, Reese Resmer	+0.6
9	5-4	KAN ST	DRAKE	Serve err	KAN ST server		+0.6
10	6-4	DRAKE	DRAKE	Kill	Kamryn Behrns	set Jasmine Dulan	+0.8
11	6-5	DRAKE	KAN ST×3	Kill	Reagan Fox	set Fuka Sekita	+0.6
12	6-6	KAN ST	KAN ST×3	Attack err	Bliss Beck	blk Cadence Lundgren	+0.7
13	6-7	KAN ST	KAN ST×3	Kill	Avery Stones	set Emerson Van Lannen	+0.6
14	7-7	KAN ST	DRAKE	Kill	Caroline Smith	set Carolyn Maser	+0.5
15	7-8	DRAKE	KAN ST	Attack err	Matthea Dalton	blk Cadence Lundgren, Reagan Fox	+0.5
16	7-9	KAN ST	KAN ST	Kill	Skylar Brady	set Camdyn Stucky	+0.6
17	8-9	KAN ST	DRAKE	Kill	Bliss Beck	set Carolyn Maser	+0.5
18	8-10	DRAKE	KAN ST×7	Attack err	Kamryn Behrns	blk Skylar Brady, Cadence Lundgren	+0.4
19	8-11	KAN ST	KAN ST×7	Bad set	Carolyn Maser		+0.5
20	8-12	KAN ST	KAN ST×7	Kill	Addison Massey	set Fuka Sekita	+0.4
21	8-13	KAN ST	KAN ST×7	Attack err	Kamryn Behrns	blk Addison Massey, Cadence Lundgren	+0.3
22	8-14	KAN ST	KAN ST×7	Attack err	Matthea Dalton		+0.2
23	8-15	KAN ST	KAN ST×7	Ace	KAN ST server	aced Team	+0.1
24	8-16	KAN ST	KAN ST×7	Attack err	Kamryn Behrns	blk Addison Massey	+0.1
25	9-16	KAN ST	DRAKE	Kill	Carolyn Maser	set Bella Faria	+0.0
26	10-16	DRAKE	DRAKE	Attack err	Cadence Lundgren		+0.1
27	10-17	DRAKE	KAN ST	Serve err	DRAKE server		+0.1
28	10-18	KAN ST	KAN ST	Kill	Addison Massey	set Camdyn Stucky	+0.1
29	11-18	KAN ST	DRAKE×4	Kill	Lisa Melenciano	set Katie Quick	+0.0
30	12-18	DRAKE	DRAKE×4	Ace	DRAKE server	aced Team	+0.1
31	13-18	DRAKE	DRAKE×4	Kill	Aniyah Davis	set Katie Quick	+0.1
32	14-18	DRAKE	DRAKE×4	Attack err	Reese Resmer		+0.2
33	14-19	DRAKE	KAN ST	Attack err	Caroline Smith		+0.2
34	14-20	KAN ST	KAN ST	Kill	Addison Massey	set Fuka Sekita	+0.2
35	15-20	KAN ST	DRAKE	Kill	Lisa Melenciano	set Katie Quick	+0.1
36	16-20	DRAKE	DRAKE	Attack err	Reagan Fox	blk Lisa Melenciano, Bliss Beck	+0.2
37	16-21	DRAKE	KAN ST×3	Kill	Reagan Fox	set Emerson Van Lannen	+0.2
38	16-22	KAN ST	KAN ST×3	Attack err	Caroline Smith	blk Reese Resmer, Reagan Fox	+0.2
39	16-23	KAN ST	KAN ST×3	Attack err	Lisa Melenciano		+0.1
40	17-23	KAN ST	DRAKE	Kill	Lisa Melenciano	set Katie Quick	+0.0
41	17-24	DRAKE	KAN ST	Kill	Reagan Fox	set Emerson Van Lannen	+0.0
42	17-25	KAN ST	KAN ST	Kill	Avery Stones	set Reagan Fox	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	KAN ST	KAN ST×3	Attack err	Aniyah Davis	blk Reese Resmer	+0.3
2	0-2	KAN ST	KAN ST×3	Kill	Addison Massey	set Emerson Van Lannen	+0.3
3	0-3	KAN ST	KAN ST×3	Attack err	Matthea Dalton		+0.2
4	1-3	KAN ST	DRAKE	Serve err	KAN ST server		+0.2
5	1-4	DRAKE	KAN ST×4	Kill	Reese Resmer	set Emerson Van Lannen	+0.2
6	1-5	KAN ST	KAN ST×4	Kill	Reagan Fox	set Emerson Van Lannen	+0.2
7	1-6	KAN ST	KAN ST×4	Kill	Addison Massey		+0.1
8	1-7	KAN ST	KAN ST×4	Ace	KAN ST server	aced Matthea Dalton	+0.1
9	2-7	KAN ST	DRAKE	Kill	Lisa Melenciano	set Katie Quick	+0.1
10	2-8	DRAKE	KAN ST	Serve err	DRAKE server		+0.1
11	2-9	KAN ST	KAN ST	Bad set	Katie Quick		+0.1
12	3-9	KAN ST	DRAKE	Kill	Lisa Melenciano	set Katie Quick	+0.1
13	4-9	DRAKE	DRAKE	Attack err	Avery Stones		+0.1
14	4-10	DRAKE	KAN ST	Serve err	DRAKE server		+0.1
15	4-11	KAN ST	KAN ST	Bad set	Carolyn Maser		+0.1
16	5-11	KAN ST	DRAKE	Kill	Shay McMillen	set Bliss Beck	+0.1
17	5-12	DRAKE	KAN ST×5	Kill	Emerson Van Lannen	set Addison Massey	+0.1
18	5-13	KAN ST	KAN ST×5	Kill	Cadence Lundgren	set Camdyn Stucky	+0.1
19	5-14	KAN ST	KAN ST×5	Kill	Skylar Brady	set Camdyn Stucky	+0.0
20	5-15	KAN ST	KAN ST×5	Kill	Avery Stones	set Camdyn Stucky	+0.0
21	5-16	KAN ST	KAN ST×5	Kill	Cadence Lundgren	set Camdyn Stucky	+0.0
22	6-16	KAN ST	DRAKE	Kill	Bliss Beck	set Carolyn Maser	+0.0
23	6-17	DRAKE	KAN ST	Kill	Avery Stones	set Camdyn Stucky	+0.0
24	6-18	KAN ST	KAN ST	Kill	Skylar Brady	set Camdyn Stucky	+0.0
25	7-18	KAN ST	DRAKE	Kill	Kamryn Behrns	set Carolyn Maser	+0.0
26	8-18	DRAKE	DRAKE	Attack err	Addison Massey		+0.0
27	8-19	DRAKE	KAN ST	Kill	Addison Massey	set Fuka Sekita	+0.0
28	9-19	KAN ST	DRAKE×3	Kill	Lisa Melenciano	set Katie Quick	+0.0
29	10-19	DRAKE	DRAKE×3	Kill	Aniyah Davis	set Katie Quick	+0.0
30	11-19	DRAKE	DRAKE×3	Attack err	Addison Massey	blk Lisa Melenciano, Aniyah Davis	+0.0
31	11-20	DRAKE	KAN ST	Kill	Skylar Brady	set Fuka Sekita	+0.0
32	12-20	KAN ST	DRAKE	Kill	Lisa Melenciano	set Katie Quick	+0.0
33	12-21	DRAKE	KAN ST	Serve err	DRAKE server		+0.0
34	12-22	KAN ST	KAN ST	Ace	KAN ST server	aced Finley Schelhaas	+0.0
35	13-22	KAN ST	DRAKE	Kill	Lisa Melenciano	set Katie Quick	+0.0
36	13-23	DRAKE	KAN ST×3	Kill	Avery Stones	set Emerson Van Lannen	+0.0
37	13-24	KAN ST	KAN ST×3	Kill	Reagan Fox		+0.0
38	13-25	KAN ST	KAN ST×3	Kill	Reagan Fox	set Emerson Van Lannen	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	DRAKE	DRAKE	Kill	Caroline Smith	set Katie Quick	+0.2
2	1-1	DRAKE	KAN ST	Kill	Reagan Fox	set Emerson Van Lannen	+0.1
3	2-1	KAN ST	DRAKE	Serve err	KAN ST server		+0.1
4	2-2	DRAKE	KAN ST×3	Kill	Addison Massey	set Caroline Smith	+0.1
5	2-3	KAN ST	KAN ST×3	Kill	Reagan Fox	set Emerson Van Lannen	+0.1
6	2-4	KAN ST	KAN ST×3	Attack err	Shay McMillen		+0.1
7	3-4	KAN ST	DRAKE	Kill	Lisa Melenciano	set Jasmine Dulan	+0.1
8	3-5	DRAKE	KAN ST	Kill	Ellah Derrer	set Emerson Van Lannen	+0.1
9	3-6	KAN ST	KAN ST	Attack err	Shay McMillen	blk Reagan Fox, Ellah Derrer	+0.1
10	4-6	KAN ST	DRAKE	Kill	Shay McMillen	set Katie Quick	+0.1
11	4-7	DRAKE	KAN ST	Attack err	Shay McMillen		+0.1
12	4-8	KAN ST	KAN ST	Kill	Reagan Fox	set Addison Massey	+0.1
13	5-8	KAN ST	DRAKE×3	Kill	Kamryn Behrns	set Carolyn Maser	+0.1
14	6-8	DRAKE	DRAKE×3	Kill	Caroline Smith	set Carolyn Maser	+0.1
15	7-8	DRAKE	DRAKE×3	Attack err	Avery Stones		+0.2
16	7-9	DRAKE	KAN ST	Kill	Avery Stones	set Emerson Van Lannen	+0.1
17	8-9	KAN ST	DRAKE	Kill	Caroline Smith	set Carolyn Maser	+0.1
18	8-10	DRAKE	KAN ST	Kill	Skylar Brady	set Lauren Latham	+0.1
19	8-11	KAN ST	KAN ST	Attack err	Caroline Smith		+0.1
20	9-11	KAN ST	DRAKE	Kill	Caroline Smith	set Carolyn Maser	+0.1
21	10-11	DRAKE	DRAKE	Kill	Caroline Smith	set Katie Quick	+0.2
22	10-12	DRAKE	KAN ST	Kill	Cadence Lundgren	set Lauren Latham	+0.1
23	11-12	KAN ST	DRAKE	Kill	Lisa Melenciano	set Katie Quick	+0.2
24	11-13	DRAKE	KAN ST×3	Kill	Ellah Derrer	set Lauren Latham	+0.1
25	11-14	KAN ST	KAN ST×3	Kill	Ellah Derrer	set Katie Quick	+0.2
26	11-15	KAN ST	KAN ST×3	Kill	Reagan Fox	set Emerson Van Lannen	+0.1
27	12-15	KAN ST	DRAKE	Kill	Lisa Melenciano	set Katie Quick	+0.1
28	12-16	DRAKE	KAN ST×4	Serve err	DRAKE server		+0.1
29	12-17	KAN ST	KAN ST×4	Attack err	Lisa Melenciano		+0.1
30	12-18	KAN ST	KAN ST×4	Kill	Avery Stones	set Emerson Van Lannen	+0.1
31	12-19	KAN ST	KAN ST×4	Kill	Ellah Derrer	set Emerson Van Lannen	+0.0
32	13-19	KAN ST	DRAKE	Serve err	KAN ST server		+0.0
33	14-19	DRAKE	DRAKE	Bad set	Fuka Sekita		+0.0
34	14-20	DRAKE	KAN ST	Serve err	DRAKE server		+0.0
35	15-20	KAN ST	DRAKE×3	Kill	Kamryn Behrns	set Carolyn Maser	+0.0
36	16-20	DRAKE	DRAKE×3	Ace	DRAKE server	aced Team	+0.1
37	17-20	DRAKE	DRAKE×3	Kill	Caroline Smith	set Carolyn Maser	+0.1
38	17-21	DRAKE	KAN ST	Kill	Reagan Fox	set Emerson Van Lannen	+0.1
39	17-22	KAN ST	KAN ST	Kill	Avery Stones	set Lauren Latham	+0.1
40	18-22	KAN ST	DRAKE	Kill	Caroline Smith	set Carolyn Maser	+0.0
41	18-23	DRAKE	KAN ST	Kill	Cadence Lundgren	set Lauren Latham	+0.1
42	19-23	KAN ST	DRAKE	Serve err	KAN ST server		+0.0
43	19-24	DRAKE	KAN ST	Kill	Addison Massey	set Lauren Latham	+0.0
44	20-24	KAN ST	DRAKE	Kill	Lisa Melenciano	set Jasmine Dulan	+0.0
45	20-25	DRAKE	KAN ST	Serve err	DRAKE server		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Drake first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.