Drake def. Kansas City 3–2
Drake won at Kansas City 3-2 (25-14, 23-25, 25-18, 16-25, 15-8) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026. Lisa Melenciano led Drake with 12 kills; Kansas City's Ryanne Wattree had a match-high 16.
Data through · final Sep 12
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DRAKE | 25 | 23 | 25 | 16 | 15 | 3 |
| KC | 14 | 25 | 18 | 25 | 8 | 2 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 9.3% to Kansas City — set 2, DRAKE 23-25 KC. Attack error by Lisa Melenciano. KC win probability 34% → 43%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Drake wins
Kansas City wins
- DRAKE break %
- 46.3% vs this opp
- KC break %
- 44.5% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Lisa MelencianoAttack error+9.3%
Attack error by Lisa Melenciano
Set 2 · DRAKE 23-25 KC · KC 34% → 43%
- 02Ryanne WattreeKill+8.9%
Kill by Ryanne Wattree (set by Mila Zoric)
Set 2 · DRAKE 23-24 KC · KC 25% → 34%
- 03Kamryn BehrnsKill+8.1%
Kill by Kamryn Behrns (set by Carolyn Maser)
Set 5 · DRAKE 3-1 KC · DRAKE 62% → 70%
- 04Shay McMillenKill+7.5%
Kill by Shay McMillen (set by Carolyn Maser)
Set 5 · DRAKE 4-1 KC · DRAKE 70% → 77%
- 05Natalie PtacekKill+7.2%
Kill by Natalie Ptacek (set by Savy Repinski)
Set 5 · DRAKE 6-4 KC · KC 20% → 27%
- 06Caroline Smith&Aniyah DavisBlock+7.1%
Natalie Ptacek stuffed by Caroline Smith & Aniyah Davis
Set 5 · DRAKE 8-4 KC · DRAKE 80% → 87%
- 07Shay McMillenKill+6.9%
Kill by Shay McMillen (set by Katie Quick)
Set 5 · DRAKE 7-4 KC · DRAKE 73% → 80%
- 08Shay McMillenKill+6.9%
Kill by Shay McMillen (set by Carolyn Maser)
Set 5 · DRAKE 2-1 KC · DRAKE 55% → 62%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 12 | 10 | 40 | .050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 14.5 | |
| 5 | 10 | 1 | 14 | .643 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 12.5 | |
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 9 | .000 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5.5 | 7.5 | |
| 5 | 4 | 4 | 27 | .000 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 18 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 8 | 8 | 33 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 30 | .167 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 10.5 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 3 | 0 | 13 | .231 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 2 | 4 | 1 | 7 | .429 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 55 | 31 | 176 | .136 | 52 | 8 | 4 | 89 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 104 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 16 | 5 | 40 | .275 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 17.5 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 36 | .083 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 10 | |
| 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | -.211 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 | |
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 13 | .154 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .333 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 37 | .081 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 10.5 | |
| 5 | 5 | 2 | 12 | .250 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | .087 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .333 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 8 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 52 | 30 | 188 | .117 | 50 | 3 | 10 | 75 | 8 | 1 | 29 | 15.5 | 90 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-14
Set 2
23-25
Set 3
25-18
Set 4
16-25
Set 5
15-8
Bars above the line = Kansas City leads, below = Drake leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Drake
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 43%6/14 | 50%6/12 |
| 2 | 67%6/9 | 54%7/13 |
| 3 | 29%6/21 | 45%5/11 |
| 4 | 67%6/9 | 33%3/9 |
| 5 | 56%5/9 | 58%7/12 |
| 6 | 80%4/5 | 38%3/8 |
| All | 49%33/67 | 48%31/65 |
Kansas City
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50%7/14 | 29%2/7 |
| 2 | 50%6/12 | 57%8/14 |
| 3 | 60%6/10 | 57%8/14 |
| 4 | 42%5/12 | 63%10/16 |
| 5 | 56%5/9 | 29%2/7 |
| 6 | 63%5/8 | 44%4/9 |
| All | 52%34/65 | 51%34/67 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
194 rallies
| # | DRAKE-KC | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | KC | KC | Kill | Ryanne Wattree | set Savy Repinski | +2.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | DRAKE | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.9 | |||
| 3 | 1-2 | DRAKE | KC | Attack err | Lisa Melenciano | +2.0 | |
| 4–5 | 2-3 | DRAKE · KC | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.5 | |||
| 6 | 2-4 | DRAKE | KC | Kill | Ryanne Wattree | set Savy Repinski | +2.1 |
| 7 | 3-4 | KC | DRAKE×3 | Kill | Isabelle Kremer | set Jasmine Dulan | +2.0 |
| 8 | 4-4 | DRAKE | DRAKE×3 | Kill | Isabelle Kremer | set Coco Buschhorn | +2.5 |
| 9 | 5-4 | DRAKE | DRAKE×3 | Blocked | Stella Smith | blk Isabelle Kremer, Bliss Beck | +2.5 |
| 10 | 5-5 | DRAKE | KC | Kill | Coco Buschhorn | set Mia Weaver | +2.1 |
| 11 | 6-5 | KC | DRAKE | Serve err | Kansas City | +2.1 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | DRAKE | DRAKE | Bad set | Coco Buschhorn | +2.5 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | DRAKE | KC | Kill | Natalie Ptacek | set Coco Buschhorn | +2.0 |
| 14 | 8-6 | KC | DRAKE | Kill | Kamryn Behrns | set Carolyn Maser | +2.1 |
| 15 | 8-7 | DRAKE | KC | Serve err | Drake | +2.1 | |
| 16 | 9-7 | KC | DRAKE | Kill | Aniyah Davis | set Carolyn Maser | +2.2 |
| 17 | 9-8 | DRAKE | KC | Kill | Ryanne Wattree | set Savy Repinski | +2.1 |
| 18 | 10-8 | KC | DRAKE | Kill | Lisa Melenciano | set Katie Quick | +2.2 |
| 19 | 10-9 | DRAKE | KC | Blocked | Isabelle Kremer | blk Hannah Wayment, Ryanne Wattree | +2.2 |
| 20 | 11-9 | KC | DRAKE×3 | Blocked | Emry Brown | blk Lisa Melenciano, Aniyah Davis | +2.3 |
| 21 | 12-9 | DRAKE | DRAKE×3 | Kill | Bliss Beck | set Katie Quick | +2.6 |
| 22 | 13-9 | DRAKE | DRAKE×3 | Attack err | Ryanne Wattree | +2.3 | |
| 23 | 13-10 | DRAKE | KC | Kill | Stella Smith | set Savy Repinski | +1.7 |
| 24 | 14-10 | KC | DRAKE×8 | Serve err | Kansas City | +2.0 | |
| 25 | 15-10 | DRAKE | DRAKE×8 | Ace | Drake | aced Stella Smith | +2.0 |
| 26 | 16-10 | DRAKE | DRAKE×8 | Ace | Drake | aced Mia Weaver | +1.6 |
| 27 | 17-10 | DRAKE | DRAKE×8 | Attack err | Natalie Ptacek | +1.1 | |
| 28 | 18-10 | DRAKE | DRAKE×8 | Attack err | Stella Smith | +0.8 | |
| 29 | 19-10 | DRAKE | DRAKE×8 | Kill | Kamryn Behrns | set Carolyn Maser | +0.5 |
| 30 | 20-10 | DRAKE | DRAKE×8 | Kill | Isabelle Kremer | set Carolyn Maser | +0.2 |
| 31 | 21-10 | DRAKE | DRAKE×8 | Kill | Isabelle Kremer | set Jasmine Dulan | +0.1 |
| 32 | 21-11 | DRAKE | KC | Attack err | Isabelle Kremer | · | |
| 33 | 21-12 | KC | KC | Blocked | Kamryn Behrns | blk Mia Weaver, Mila Zoric | +0.1 |
| 34 | 22-12 | KC | DRAKE×3 | Kill | Kamryn Behrns | set Carolyn Maser | +0.1 |
| 35 | 23-12 | DRAKE | DRAKE×3 | Attack err | Mia Weaver | · | |
| 36 | 24-12 | DRAKE | DRAKE×3 | Ace | Drake | aced Dani Brey | · |
| 37 | 24-13 | DRAKE | KC | Kill | Mila Zoric | set Mia Weaver | · |
| 38 | 24-14 | KC | KC | Kill | Mia Weaver | set Coco Buschhorn | · |
| 39 | 25-14 | KC | DRAKE | Kill | Kamryn Behrns | set Carolyn Maser | · |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | DRAKE | KC×3 | Kill | Mia Weaver | set Savy Repinski | +1.8 |
| 2 | 0-2 | KC | KC×3 | Kill | Ryanne Wattree | set Chloe Kaminski | +2.2 |
| 3 | 0-3 | KC | KC×3 | Kill | Ryanne Wattree | set Chloe Kaminski | +2.1 |
| 4 | 1-3 | KC | DRAKE | Kill | Matthea Dalton | set Katie Quick | +1.7 |
| 5 | 1-4 | DRAKE | KC | Attack err | Aniyah Davis | +1.8 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | KC | DRAKE | Kill | Isabelle Kremer | set Katie Quick | +1.7 |
| 7 | 3-4 | DRAKE | DRAKE | Kill | Isabelle Kremer | set Katie Quick | +2.2 |
| 8 | 3-5 | DRAKE | KC×4 | Kill | Ryanne Wattree | set Savy Repinski | +1.9 |
| 9 | 3-6 | KC | KC×4 | Blocked | Isabelle Kremer | blk Stella Smith, Ryanne Wattree | +2.3 |
| 10 | 3-7 | KC | KC×4 | Attack err | Isabelle Kremer | +2.2 | |
| 11 | 3-8 | KC | KC×4 | Kill | Ryanne Wattree | set Savy Repinski | +2.0 |
| 12 | 4-8 | KC | DRAKE | Kill | Lisa Melenciano | set Katie Quick | +1.4 |
| 13 | 5-8 | DRAKE | DRAKE | Kill | Kamryn Behrns | set Matthea Dalton | +2.0 |
| 14 | 5-9 | DRAKE | KC | Attack err | Kamryn Behrns | +1.9 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | KC | DRAKE | Kill | Bliss Beck | set Carolyn Maser | +1.7 |
| 16 | 6-10 | DRAKE | KC | Kill | Emry Brown | set Mia Weaver | +1.9 |
| 17 | 7-10 | KC | DRAKE | Kill | Matthea Dalton | set Carolyn Maser | +1.7 |
| 18 | 7-11 | DRAKE | KC | Kill | Stella Smith | set Coco Buschhorn | +2.0 |
| 19 | 8-11 | KC | DRAKE×3 | Blocked | Mila Zoric | blk Aniyah Davis | +1.7 |
| 20 | 9-11 | DRAKE | DRAKE×3 | Attack err | Mila Zoric | +2.3 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | DRAKE | DRAKE×3 | Kill | Lisa Melenciano | set Aniyah Davis | +2.6 |
| 22 | 10-12 | DRAKE | KC×3 | Kill | Clarke Henry | set Coco Buschhorn | +2.4 |
| 23 | 10-13 | KC | KC×3 | Kill | Clarke Henry | set Savy Repinski | +2.7 |
| 24 | 10-14 | KC | KC×3 | Ace | Kansas City | aced Matthea Dalton | +2.5 |
| 25 | 11-14 | KC | DRAKE×3 | Kill | Lisa Melenciano | set Katie Quick | +1.8 |
| 26 | 12-14 | DRAKE | DRAKE×3 | Blocked | Ryanne Wattree | blk Aniyah Davis, Lisa Melenciano | +2.5 |
| 27 | 13-14 | DRAKE | DRAKE×3 | Ace | Drake | aced Emry Brown | +2.8 |
| 28 | 13-15 | DRAKE | KC | Attack err | Lisa Melenciano | +2.7 | |
| 29 | 14-15 | KC | DRAKE | Kill | Isabelle Kremer | set Katie Quick | +2.4 |
| 30 | 14-16 | DRAKE | KC×3 | Blocked | Isabelle Kremer | blk Mila Zoric | +2.8 |
| 31 | 14-17 | KC | KC×3 | Attack err | Lisa Melenciano | +3.2 | |
| 32 | 14-18 | KC | KC×3 | Attack err | Isabelle Kremer | +2.8 | |
| 33 | 15-18 | KC | DRAKE | Serve err | Kansas City | +1.8 | |
| 34 | 16-18 | DRAKE | DRAKE | Ace | Drake | aced Emry Brown | +2.8 |
| 35 | 16-19 | DRAKE | KC | Kill | Savy Repinski | set Chloe Kaminski | +2.9 |
| 36 | 17-19 | KC | DRAKE×3 | Serve err | Kansas City | +2.3 | |
| 37 | 18-19 | DRAKE | DRAKE×3 | Blocked | Emry Brown | blk Carolyn Maser, Matthea Dalton | +3.5 |
| 38 | 19-19 | DRAKE | DRAKE×3 | Kill | Bliss Beck | set Carolyn Maser | +4.1 |
| 39 | 19-20 | DRAKE | KC | Kill | Emry Brown | set Coco Buschhorn | +3.8 |
| 40 | 20-20 | KC | DRAKE | Kill | Bliss Beck | set Carolyn Maser | +3.7 |
| 41 | 21-20 | DRAKE | DRAKE | Attack err | Natalie Ptacek | +4.9 | |
| 42 | 21-21 | DRAKE | KC | Kill | Clarke Henry | set Coco Buschhorn | +4.1 |
| 43 | 21-22 | KC | KC | Attack err | Kamryn Behrns | +5.8 | |
| 44 | 22-22 | KC | DRAKE | Kill | Kamryn Behrns | set Carolyn Maser | +4.7 |
| 45 | 23-22 | DRAKE | DRAKE | Kill | Lisa Melenciano | set Katie Quick | +6.7 |
| 46 | 23-23 | DRAKE | KC×3 | Kill | Mila Zoric | set Coco Buschhorn | +5.4 |
| 47 | 23-24 | KC | KC×3 | Kill | Ryanne Wattree | set Mila Zoric | +8.9 |
| 48 | 23-25 | KC | KC×3 | Attack err | Lisa Melenciano | +9.3 | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | KC | KC | Kill | Ryanne Wattree | set Emry Brown | +3.1 |
| 2 | 1-1 | KC | DRAKE | Kill | Bliss Beck | set Carolyn Maser | +2.6 |
| 3 | 2-1 | DRAKE | DRAKE | Kill | Matthea Dalton | set Jasmine Dulan | +3.1 |
| 4 | 2-2 | DRAKE | KC | Kill | Mila Zoric | set Emry Brown | +2.6 |
| 5 | 3-2 | KC | DRAKE×3 | Kill | Jasmine Dulan | set Aniyah Davis | +2.6 |
| 6 | 4-2 | DRAKE | DRAKE×3 | Attack err | Stella Smith | +3.1 | |
| 7 | 5-2 | DRAKE | DRAKE×3 | Attack err | Ryanne Wattree | +2.9 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | DRAKE | KC×3 | Kill | Emry Brown | set Savy Repinski | +2.3 |
| 9 | 5-4 | KC | KC×3 | Blocked | Kamryn Behrns | blk Emry Brown, Stella Smith | +3.1 |
| 10 | 5-5 | KC | KC×3 | Kill | Emry Brown | set Coco Buschhorn | +3.4 |
| 11 | 6-5 | KC | DRAKE | Kill | Carolyn Maser | set Bella Faria | +2.8 |
| 12 | 6-6 | DRAKE | KC | Attack err | Lisa Melenciano | +2.9 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | KC | KC | Attack err | Lisa Melenciano | +3.6 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | KC | DRAKE×4 | Blocked | Stella Smith | blk Aniyah Davis | +3.0 |
| 15 | 8-7 | DRAKE | DRAKE×4 | Blocked | Clarke Henry | blk Lisa Melenciano, Aniyah Davis | +3.6 |
| 16 | 9-7 | DRAKE | DRAKE×4 | Attack err | Stella Smith | +3.5 | |
| 17 | 10-7 | DRAKE | DRAKE×4 | Ace | Drake | aced Megan Lawson | +3.3 |
| 18 | 10-8 | DRAKE | KC | Serve err | Drake | +2.6 | |
| 19 | 11-8 | KC | DRAKE×3 | Blocked | Clarke Henry | blk Aniyah Davis, Lisa Melenciano | +2.8 |
| 20 | 12-8 | DRAKE | DRAKE×3 | Ace | Drake | aced Megan Lawson | +3.1 |
| 21 | 13-8 | DRAKE | DRAKE×3 | Attack err | Clarke Henry | +2.6 | |
| 22 | 13-9 | DRAKE | KC | Attack err | Isabelle Kremer | +1.8 | |
| 23 | 14-9 | KC | DRAKE×3 | Kill | Bliss Beck | set Katie Quick | +2.2 |
| 24 | 15-9 | DRAKE | DRAKE×3 | Kill | Kamryn Behrns | set Carolyn Maser | +2.1 |
| 25 | 16-9 | DRAKE | DRAKE×3 | Attack err | Ryanne Wattree | +1.6 | |
| 26 | 16-10 | DRAKE | KC | Kill | Mila Zoric | set Savy Repinski | +0.9 |
| 27 | 17-10 | KC | DRAKE×3 | Kill | Bliss Beck | set Carolyn Maser | +1.3 |
| 28 | 18-10 | DRAKE | DRAKE×3 | Kill | Bliss Beck | set Carolyn Maser | +1.0 |
| 29 | 19-10 | DRAKE | DRAKE×3 | Kill | Matthea Dalton | set Carolyn Maser | +0.6 |
| 30 | 19-11 | DRAKE | KC | Kill | Ryanne Wattree | set Savy Repinski | +0.3 |
| 31 | 19-12 | KC | KC | Kill | Ryanne Wattree | set Savy Repinski | +0.5 |
| 32 | 20-12 | KC | DRAKE | Blocked | Emry Brown | blk Bliss Beck | +0.7 |
| 33 | 20-13 | DRAKE | KC×5 | Kill | Emry Brown | set Savy Repinski | +0.4 |
| 34 | 20-14 | KC | KC×5 | Blocked | Matthea Dalton | blk Stella Smith, Natalie Ptacek | +0.7 |
| 35 | 20-15 | KC | KC×5 | Blocked | Aniyah Davis | blk Emry Brown, Natalie Ptacek, Stella Smith | +1.2 |
| 36 | 20-16 | KC | KC×5 | Kill | Natalie Ptacek | set Coco Buschhorn | +1.8 |
| 37 | 20-17 | KC | KC×5 | Blocked | Kamryn Behrns | blk Emry Brown, Stella Smith | +2.7 |
| 38 | 21-17 | KC | DRAKE | Kill | Kamryn Behrns | set Carolyn Maser | +3.1 |
| 39 | 22-17 | DRAKE | DRAKE | Blocked | Natalie Ptacek | blk Aniyah Davis, Matthea Dalton | +2.4 |
| 40 | 22-18 | DRAKE | KC | Kill | Mia Weaver | set Katie Quick | +1.1 |
| 41 | 23-18 | KC | DRAKE×3 | Kill | Aniyah Davis | set Katie Quick | +1.8 |
| 42 | 24-18 | DRAKE | DRAKE×3 | Attack err | Clarke Henry | +0.9 | |
| 43 | 25-18 | DRAKE | DRAKE×3 | Blocked | Clarke Henry | blk Aniyah Davis, Lisa Melenciano | +0.2 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | DRAKE | DRAKE | Blocked | Mia Weaver | blk Bliss Beck, Kamryn Behrns | +2.8 |
| 2 | 1-1 | DRAKE | KC | Kill | Mia Weaver | set Coco Buschhorn | +2.4 |
| 3 | 2-1 | KC | DRAKE | Serve err | Kansas City | +2.4 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | DRAKE | KC | Kill | Ryanne Wattree | set Coco Buschhorn | +2.4 |
| 5 | 3-2 | KC | DRAKE | Serve err | Kansas City | +2.4 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | DRAKE | KC×3 | Kill | Ryanne Wattree | set Chloe Kaminski | +2.5 |
| 7 | 3-4 | KC | KC×3 | Ace | Kansas City | aced Matthea Dalton | +3.1 |
| 8 | 3-5 | KC | KC×3 | Kill | Emry Brown | set Chloe Kaminski | +3.2 |
| 9 | 4-5 | KC | DRAKE | Kill | Lisa Melenciano | set Savy Repinski | +2.5 |
| 10 | 4-6 | DRAKE | KC | Blocked | Matthea Dalton | blk Stella Smith, Natalie Ptacek | +2.7 |
| 11 | 5-6 | KC | DRAKE | Kill | Lisa Melenciano | set Katie Quick | +2.6 |
| 12 | 5-7 | DRAKE | KC×4 | Serve err | Drake | +2.8 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | KC | KC×4 | Blocked | Isabelle Kremer | blk Natalie Ptacek, Mila Zoric | +3.3 |
| 14 | 5-9 | KC | KC×4 | Ace | Kansas City | +3.1 | |
| 15 | 5-10 | KC | KC×4 | Blocked | Bliss Beck | blk Mila Zoric, Natalie Ptacek | +2.8 |
| 16 | 6-10 | KC | DRAKE | Kill | Lisa Melenciano | set Katie Quick | +2.0 |
| 17 | 6-11 | DRAKE | KC | Kill | Clarke Henry | set Chloe Kaminski | +2.4 |
| 18 | 7-11 | KC | DRAKE | Serve err | Kansas City | +2.0 | |
| 19 | 7-12 | DRAKE | KC | Kill | Clarke Henry | set Coco Buschhorn | +2.4 |
| 20 | 7-13 | KC | KC | Kill | Mila Zoric | set Coco Buschhorn | +2.5 |
| 21 | 8-13 | KC | DRAKE×3 | Kill | Bliss Beck | set Carolyn Maser | +1.6 |
| 22 | 9-13 | DRAKE | DRAKE×3 | Attack err | Emry Brown | +2.4 | |
| 23 | 10-13 | DRAKE | DRAKE×3 | Kill | Kamryn Behrns | set Carolyn Maser | +2.9 |
| 24 | 10-14 | DRAKE | KC×3 | Blocked | Matthea Dalton | blk Ryanne Wattree, Mila Zoric | +2.9 |
| 25 | 10-15 | KC | KC×3 | Attack err | Matthea Dalton | +3.0 | |
| 26 | 10-16 | KC | KC×3 | Kill | Stella Smith | set Coco Buschhorn | +2.5 |
| 27 | 11-16 | KC | DRAKE×3 | Serve err | Kansas City | +1.5 | |
| 28 | 12-16 | DRAKE | DRAKE×3 | Attack err | Stella Smith | +2.4 | |
| 29 | 13-16 | DRAKE | DRAKE×3 | Kill | Lisa Melenciano | set Jasmine Dulan | +3.0 |
| 30 | 13-17 | DRAKE | KC×3 | Kill | Ryanne Wattree | set Coco Buschhorn | +3.1 |
| 31 | 13-18 | KC | KC×3 | Attack err | Lisa Melenciano | +3.1 | |
| 32 | 13-19 | KC | KC×3 | Attack err | Shay McMillen | +2.3 | |
| 33 | 14-19 | KC | DRAKE | Serve err | Kansas City | +1.2 | |
| 34 | 14-20 | DRAKE | KC×3 | Kill | Emry Brown | set Chloe Kaminski | +1.8 |
| 35 | 14-21 | KC | KC×3 | Attack err | Lisa Melenciano | +1.4 | |
| 36 | 14-22 | KC | KC×3 | Kill | Natalie Ptacek | set Savy Repinski | +0.7 |
| 37 | 15-22 | KC | DRAKE | Serve err | Kansas City | +0.2 | |
| 38 | 15-23 | DRAKE | KC | Kill | Natalie Ptacek | set Savy Repinski | +0.4 |
| 39 | 15-24 | KC | KC | Kill | Natalie Ptacek | set Savy Repinski | +0.2 |
| 40 | 16-24 | KC | DRAKE | Kill | Caroline Smith | set Katie Quick | · |
| 41 | 16-25 | DRAKE | KC | Kill | Natalie Ptacek | set Savy Repinski | +0.6 |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | KC | DRAKE | Kill | Bliss Beck | set Carolyn Maser | +6.6 |
| 2 | 1-1 | KC | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +6.7 | |||
| 3 | 2-1 | KC | DRAKE×4 | Kill | Shay McMillen | set Carolyn Maser | +6.9 |
| 4 | 3-1 | DRAKE | DRAKE×4 | Kill | Kamryn Behrns | set Carolyn Maser | +8.1 |
| 5 | 4-1 | DRAKE | DRAKE×4 | Kill | Shay McMillen | set Carolyn Maser | +7.5 |
| 6 | 5-1 | DRAKE | DRAKE×4 | Ace | Drake | aced Emry Brown | +6.6 |
| 7 | 5-2 | DRAKE | KC | Kill | Ryanne Wattree | set Coco Buschhorn | +4.7 |
| 8 | 6-2 | KC | DRAKE | Kill | Shay McMillen | set Bella Faria | +5.6 |
| 9 | 6-3 | DRAKE | KC | Blocked | Lisa Melenciano | blk Emry Brown, Stella Smith | +4.7 |
| 10 | 6-4 | KC | KC | Kill | Natalie Ptacek | set Savy Repinski | +7.2 |
| 11 | 7-4 | KC | DRAKE×4 | Kill | Shay McMillen | set Katie Quick | +6.9 |
| 12 | 8-4 | DRAKE | DRAKE×4 | Blocked | Natalie Ptacek | blk Caroline Smith, Aniyah Davis | +7.1 |
| 13 | 9-4 | DRAKE | DRAKE×4 | Attack err | Stella Smith | +5.5 | |
| 14 | 10-4 | DRAKE | DRAKE×4 | Kill | Caroline Smith | set Shay McMillen | +3.8 |
| 15 | 10-5 | DRAKE | KC | Serve err | Drake | +1.9 | |
| 16 | 10-6 | KC | KC | Kill | Clarke Henry | set Savy Repinski | +3.6 |
| 17 | 11-6 | KC | DRAKE×3 | Kill | Caroline Smith | set Jasmine Dulan | +4.3 |
| 18 | 12-6 | DRAKE | DRAKE×3 | Blocked | Natalie Ptacek | blk Bliss Beck, Caroline Smith | +3.1 |
| 19 | 13-6 | DRAKE | DRAKE×3 | Kill | Lisa Melenciano | set Finley Schelhaas | +1.5 |
| 20 | 13-7 | DRAKE | KC | Kill | Natalie Ptacek | set Chloe Kaminski | +0.4 |
| 21 | 14-7 | KC | DRAKE | Kill | Lisa Melenciano | set Katie Quick | +0.8 |
| 22 | 14-8 | DRAKE | KC | Kill | Clarke Henry | set Savy Repinski | +0.2 |
| 23 | 15-8 | KC | DRAKE | Attack err | Ryanne Wattree | +0.4 | |
Score shown after each rally, Drake first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).