FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026 · Neutral site

Drake def. Radford 3–0

Drake beat Radford 3-0 (25-19, 25-20, 25-21) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026 at a neutral site. Drake's Shay McMillen led with 11 kills, and Jasmine Dulan added 23 digs.

Data through · final Sep 11

Set123Sets
DRAKE2525253
RADFRD1920210

Win probability

Radford above 50 · Drake below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+4.5% DRAKErally 135 · set 3

Biggest swing: 4.5% to Drake — set 2, DRAKE 20-19 RADFRD. Kill by Bliss Beck. RADFRD win probability 24% → 20%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

DRAKE 61.8%38.2% RADFRD

Drake wins

3-0
18.2%
3-1
23.6%
3-2
20.0%

Radford wins

3-0
8.2%
3-1
13.9%
3-2
16.2%
DRAKE break %
43.8% vs this opp
RADFRD break %
41.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Bliss BeckKill+4.5%

    Kill by Bliss Beck

    Set 2 · DRAKE 20-19 RADFRD · DRAKE 76% → 80%

  2. 02
    DrakeAce+4.3%

    Drake ace on Mia Jannazzo

    Set 2 · DRAKE 21-19 RADFRD · DRAKE 80% → 85%

  3. 03
    DrakeAce+4.2%

    Drake ace on Addison Cunnagin

    Set 2 · DRAKE 19-19 RADFRD · DRAKE 72% → 76%

  4. 04
    Caroline SmithAttack error+4.0%

    Attack error by Caroline Smith

    Set 2 · DRAKE 17-19 RADFRD · RADFRD 27% → 31%

  5. 05
    DrakeAce+3.6%

    Drake ace on Addison Cunnagin

    Set 2 · DRAKE 23-20 RADFRD · DRAKE 85% → 89%

  6. 06

    Kill by Lisa Melenciano (set by Katie Quick)

    Set 2 · DRAKE 22-20 RADFRD · DRAKE 82% → 85%

  7. 07
    Taryn RobertsKill+3.3%

    Kill by Taryn Roberts

    Set 1 · DRAKE 11-12 RADFRD · RADFRD 38% → 41%

  8. 08
    Shay McMillenKill+3.3%

    Kill by Shay McMillen (set by Jasmine Dulan)

    Set 1 · DRAKE 13-12 RADFRD · DRAKE 61% → 64%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Drakeaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311119.5260345100014
39114.57100110111.510.5
39326.231000300009
36419.10500010010.56.5
36212.333000200006
3000–1910600001
36120.250000200006
3000–6412310004
3000–1910500001
3000–001520000
1000–000000000
Team totals4712110.318449753412275
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311017.6470000002112
37125.2400101000219
36220.200102330006
34212.16700010031.55.5
34328.036302430215
34010.4002701400004
3000–021010002
3001.0002112010001
1015-.20000010010.50.5
Team totals369118.2293347439010560

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 DRAKE · RADFRD 6

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 5 DRAKERADFRD 4

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 DRAKERADFRD 3

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 7 DRAKERADFRD 6

Bars above the line = Radford leads, below = Drake leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Drake

SlotSideout %Break %
1
70%7/10
50%6/12
2
50%7/14
53%8/15
3
70%7/10
59%10/17
4
83%5/6
67%10/15
5
56%5/9
44%4/9
6
42%5/12
17%1/6
All
59%36/61
53%39/74

Radford

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
54%7/13
2
39%7/18
46%6/13
3
33%6/18
42%5/12
4
45%5/11
33%3/9
5
56%5/9
17%1/6
6
100%5/5
38%3/8
All
47%35/74
41%25/61

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

135 rallies

#DRAKE-RADFRDSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1DRAKERADFRDAttack errLisa Melenciano+1.8
20-2RADFRDRADFRDKillTaryn Roberts+2.5
31-2RADFRDDRAKE×5Serve errRadford+1.7
42-2DRAKEDRAKE×5KillAniyah Davisset Katie Quick+2.4
53-2DRAKEDRAKE×5AceDrakeaced Macie Potter+2.4
64-2DRAKEDRAKE×5AceDrakeaced Addison Cunnagin+2.4
75-2DRAKEDRAKE×5KillLisa Melencianoset Katie Quick+2.2
85-3DRAKERADFRDKillTaryn Robertsset Lea Gage+1.6
96-3RADFRDDRAKEServe errRadford+1.7
106-4DRAKERADFRDKillAddison Cunnaginset Mia Jannazzo+1.6
117-4RADFRDDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+1.7
127-5DRAKERADFRDKillLea Gageset Macie Potter+1.6
138-5RADFRDDRAKE×3Serve errRadford+1.7
149-5DRAKEDRAKE×3KillShay McMillenset Carolyn Maser+2.1
1510-5DRAKEDRAKE×3Bad setLea Gage+1.8
1610-6DRAKERADFRD×4KillMaja Bochenekset Lea Gage+1.2
1710-7RADFRDRADFRD×4KillTaryn Robertsset Lea Gage+1.9
1810-8RADFRDRADFRD×4AceRadfordaced Bella Faria+2.3
1910-9RADFRDRADFRD×4AceRadfordaced Bella Faria+2.7
2011-9RADFRDDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Carolyn Maser+2.1
2111-10DRAKERADFRD×3KillMacie Potterset Lea Gage+2.0
2211-11RADFRDRADFRD×3KillTaryn Robertsset Lea Gage+3.1
2311-12RADFRDRADFRD×3KillTaryn Roberts+3.3
2412-12RADFRDDRAKE×3KillAniyah Davisset Carolyn Maser+2.4
2513-12DRAKEDRAKE×3KillShay McMillenset Jasmine Dulan+3.3
2614-12DRAKEDRAKE×3AceDrakeaced Macie Potter+3.2
2714-13DRAKERADFRDKillAubrey Hatchset Lea Gage+2.2
2815-13RADFRDDRAKE×3Attack errAddison Cunnagin+2.4
2916-13DRAKEDRAKE×3KillLisa Melencianoset Katie Quick+3.0
3017-13DRAKEDRAKE×3KillAniyah Davisset Katie Quick+2.5
3117-14DRAKERADFRDServe errDrake+1.5
3217-15RADFRDRADFRDKillAubrey Hatchset Lea Gage+2.6
3318-15RADFRDDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Jasmine Dulan+2.4
3418-16DRAKERADFRDKillMaja Bochenekset Lea Gage+2.0
3519-16RADFRDDRAKE×3KillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+2.5
3620-16DRAKEDRAKE×3KillCaroline Smithset Carolyn Maser+2.6
3721-16DRAKEDRAKE×3KillCaroline Smithset Carolyn Maser+1.8
3821-17DRAKERADFRDKillAddison Cunnaginset Lea Gage+0.8
3922-17RADFRDDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Carolyn Maser+1.2
4023-17DRAKEDRAKEAttack errMacie Potter+0.8
4123-18DRAKERADFRDServe errDrake+0.2
4224-18RADFRDDRAKEKillBliss Beckset Carolyn Maser+0.4
4324-19DRAKERADFRDKillMacie Potterset Lea Gage+0.1
4425-19RADFRDDRAKEAttack errMacie Potter+0.2
Set 2
11-0RADFRDDRAKEServe errRadford+1.5
21-1DRAKERADFRD×3KillAddison Cunnaginset Lea Gage+1.6
31-2RADFRDRADFRD×3KillMacie Potterset Katie Quick+2.2
41-3RADFRDRADFRD×3Attack errCaroline Smith+2.3
52-3RADFRDDRAKEKillAniyah Davisset Katie Quick+1.6
62-4DRAKERADFRDKillTaryn Robertsset Lea Gage+1.7
72-5RADFRDRADFRDKillAubrey Hatchset Macie Potter+2.3
83-5RADFRDDRAKEBad setLea Gage+1.6
94-5DRAKEDRAKEKillBliss Beckset Addison Cunnagin+2.3
104-6DRAKERADFRDAttack errKamryn Behrns+1.8
115-6RADFRDDRAKEKillBliss Beckset Carolyn Maser+1.7
125-7DRAKERADFRDKillLea Gageset Mia Jannazzo+1.9
135-8RADFRDRADFRDBad setBella Faria+2.5
146-8RADFRDDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Carolyn Maser+1.6
157-8DRAKEDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Carolyn Maser+2.4
167-9DRAKERADFRDKillAddison Cunnaginset Lea Gage+2.0
178-9RADFRDDRAKEKillAniyah Davisset Carolyn Maser+1.8
188-10DRAKERADFRDKillAddison Cunnaginset Lea Gage+2.0
199-10RADFRDDRAKEKillLisa Melencianoset Katie Quick+1.9
209-11DRAKERADFRDServe errDrake+2.1
2110-11RADFRDDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+1.9
2210-12DRAKERADFRDKillAubrey Hatchset Lea Gage+2.2
2311-12RADFRDDRAKEKillBliss Beckset Katie Quick+2.0
2412-12DRAKEDRAKEAttack errKatrina Miller+2.9
2512-13DRAKERADFRDBlockedCaroline Smithblk Maja Bochenek, Aubrey Hatch+2.3
2612-14RADFRDRADFRDBlockedBliss Beckblk Katrina Miller, Maja Bochenek+3.1
2713-14RADFRDDRAKEBad setLea Gage+2.1
2814-14DRAKEDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Carolyn Maser+3.1
2914-15DRAKERADFRDKillMaja Bochenekset Lea Gage+2.5
3015-15RADFRDDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Carolyn Maser+2.4
3115-16DRAKERADFRDServe errDrake+2.6
3216-16RADFRDDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Carolyn Maser+2.5
3316-17DRAKERADFRDKillAddison Cunnaginset Lea Gage+2.8
3417-17RADFRDDRAKEAttack errAddison Cunnagin+2.7
3517-18DRAKERADFRDServe errDrake+3.0
3617-19RADFRDRADFRDAttack errCaroline Smith+4.0
3718-19RADFRDDRAKE×4Serve errRadford+2.6
3819-19DRAKEDRAKE×4AceDrakeaced Addison Cunnagin+4.2
3920-19DRAKEDRAKE×4KillBliss Beck+4.5
4021-19DRAKEDRAKE×4AceDrakeaced Mia Jannazzo+4.3
4121-20DRAKERADFRDServe errDrake+2.7
4222-20RADFRDDRAKE×4KillLisa Melencianoset Katie Quick+3.5
4323-20DRAKEDRAKE×4AceDrakeaced Addison Cunnagin+3.6
4424-20DRAKEDRAKE×4KillBliss Beckset Carolyn Maser+2.0
4525-20DRAKEDRAKE×4KillBliss Beck+0.6
Set 3
11-0DRAKEDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+1.2
21-1DRAKERADFRD×3KillTaryn Robertsset Lea Gage+0.9
31-2RADFRDRADFRD×3BlockedLisa Melencianoblk Macie Potter, Taryn Roberts+1.3
41-3RADFRDRADFRD×3KillTaryn Robertsset Lea Gage+1.3
52-3RADFRDDRAKE×3Serve errRadford+0.9
63-3DRAKEDRAKE×3AceDrake+1.3
74-3DRAKEDRAKE×3KillCaroline Smithset Jasmine Dulan+1.3
84-4DRAKERADFRD×4Serve errDrake+1.0
94-5RADFRDRADFRD×4KillAubrey Hatchset Lea Gage+1.4
104-6RADFRDRADFRD×4Attack errLisa Melenciano+1.4
114-7RADFRDRADFRD×4AceRadfordaced Jasmine Dulan+1.4
125-7RADFRDDRAKE×7KillAniyah Davisset Katie Quick+1.0
136-7DRAKEDRAKE×7KillLisa Melencianoset Jasmine Dulan+1.4
147-7DRAKEDRAKE×7BlockedMaja Bochenekblk Bliss Beck, Lisa Melenciano+1.4
158-7DRAKEDRAKE×7Attack errMacie Potter+1.5
169-7DRAKEDRAKE×7Attack errAubrey Hatch+1.4
1710-7DRAKEDRAKE×7AceDrakeaced Macie Potter+1.3
1811-7DRAKEDRAKE×7AceDrakeaced Rose Whitemountain+1.2
1911-8DRAKERADFRD×3KillMacie Potterset Lea Gage+0.8
2011-9RADFRDRADFRD×3AceRadfordaced Shay McMillen+1.2
2111-10RADFRDRADFRD×3BlockedLisa Melencianoblk Macie Potter, Maja Bochenek+1.4
2212-10RADFRDDRAKEKillBliss Beckset Katie Quick+1.1
2312-11DRAKERADFRDKillMaja Bochenekset Lea Gage+1.1
2413-11RADFRDDRAKEServe errRadford+1.2
2513-12DRAKERADFRDKillLea Gageset Addison Cunnagin+1.1
2614-12RADFRDDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Carolyn Maser+1.2
2714-13DRAKERADFRD×6KillLea Gageset Macie Potter+1.2
2814-14RADFRDRADFRD×6Attack errAniyah Davis+1.8
2914-15RADFRDRADFRD×6BlockedShay McMillenblk Aubrey Hatch, Taryn Roberts+2.0
3014-16RADFRDRADFRD×6KillTaryn Robertsset Lea Gage+2.0
3114-17RADFRDRADFRD×6Attack errAniyah Davis+1.9
3214-18RADFRDRADFRD×6KillAubrey Hatchset Lea Gage+1.7
3315-18RADFRDDRAKE×4KillKamryn Behrnsset Carolyn Maser+0.9
3416-18DRAKEDRAKE×4KillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+1.6
3517-18DRAKEDRAKE×4KillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+2.0
3618-18DRAKEDRAKE×4KillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+2.3
3718-19DRAKERADFRDKillTaryn Robertsset Lea Gage+1.9
3819-19RADFRDDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+1.8
3919-20DRAKERADFRDKillTaryn Robertsset Lea Gage+2.0
4020-20RADFRDDRAKEKillLisa Melencianoset Jasmine Dulan+2.0
4121-20DRAKEDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Jasmine Dulan+2.9
4221-21DRAKERADFRDKillAubrey Hatchset Lea Gage+2.1
4322-21RADFRDDRAKE×4KillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+2.4
4423-21DRAKEDRAKE×4KillBliss Beckset Carolyn Maser+3.1
4524-21DRAKEDRAKE×4KillKamryn Behrnsset Carolyn Maser+2.1
4625-21DRAKEDRAKE×4BlockedMaja Bochenekblk Bliss Beck+0.8

Score shown after each rally, Drake first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).