Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 16, 2026Watch on ESPN+

UIC def. Drake 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Drake 67.8% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UIC won at Drake 3-1 (25-19, 25-18, 21-25, 25-23) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. UIC's Tamara Kisic led with 21 kills, and Ava Young added 21 digs.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set1234Sets
UIC252521253
DRAKE191825231

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.442 on 43 swings: Tamara Kisic and UIC edged Drake.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are UIC's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Pre-match, Drake was RallyIQ's 68% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 4 · UIC 9–12 Drake

    Down 9–12, UIC scored 5 straight to lead 14–12.

    UIC 54% → 77%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · UIC 16–19 Drake

    Down 16–19, UIC scored 4 straight to lead 20–19.

    UIC 51% → 75%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · UIC 22–22 Drake

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to UIC, enough to take the set 25–23 and win the match 3–1.

    UIC 70% → >99%

Drake above 50UIC belowMax swing 17.3%

UICDrake

Sideout %
UIC 61.6·Drake 54.7
Break %
UIC 45.3·Drake 38.4
Hitting
UIC .230·Drake .124
Longest run
UIC 7·Drake 4

Tamara Kisic
2 of her kills came in the stretches above. 21 K, .442, 21.5 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Drake above 50 · UIC below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+17.3% UICrally 181 · set 4

Biggest swing: 17.3% to UIC — set 4, UIC 25-23 DRAKE. Bliss Beck stuffed by Mihaela Harizanova & Elizabeth King. DRAKE win probability 17% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UIC 38.9%61.1% DRAKE

UIC wins

3-0
8.4%
3-1
14.1%
3-2
16.4%

Drake wins

3-0
17.8%
3-1
23.3%
3-2
20.0%
UIC break %
41.3% vs this opp
DRAKE break %
43.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Bliss Beck stuffed by Mihaela Harizanova & Elizabeth King

    Set 4 · UIC 25-23 DRAKE · UIC 83% → 100%

  2. 02
    Isabelle KremerAttack error+16.0%

    Attack error by Isabelle Kremer

    Set 4 · UIC 24-23 DRAKE · UIC 67% → 83%

  3. 03
    Isabelle KremerKill+11.9%

    Kill by Isabelle Kremer (set by Katie Quick)

    Set 4 · UIC 22-23 DRAKE · DRAKE 30% → 42%

  4. 04
    Gabi PeterKill+8.5%

    Kill by Gabi Peter (set by Paulina Ströh)

    Set 4 · UIC 23-23 DRAKE · UIC 58% → 67%

  5. 05

    Kill by Emma Colombari (set by Ava Young)

    Set 4 · UIC 20-19 DRAKE · UIC 67% → 75%

  6. 06
    Robyn WardKill+7.9%

    Kill by Robyn Ward (set by Paulina Ströh)

    Set 4 · UIC 22-21 DRAKE · UIC 70% → 78%

  7. 07
    UICService error+7.4%

    UIC service error

    Set 4 · UIC 22-22 DRAKE · DRAKE 22% → 30%

  8. 08
    Caroline SmithAttack error+7.3%

    Attack error by Caroline Smith

    Set 4 · UIC 19-19 DRAKE · UIC 60% → 67%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UICaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
421243.44210280010.521.5
49328.21400010153.512.5
48015.5330002016412
48325.200013190010.59.5
4002.00027011400000
34417.000002100426
43515-.13300030052.55.5
4011-1.000213150010.53.5
27Ava YoungL/DS
4002.0006012100000
4001.000103200000
1319.222000000214
1102.50000000010.51.5
1011-1.00000000010.50.5
1000–001000000
Team totals5720161.2305641476222715.596
Drakehome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415948.12500030010.515.5
42315-.06701030031.54.5
4206.3334000700002
22212.000000000002
2116.000000000001
20511-.45500181010.50.5
4138-.25000010212.53.5
4105.200001600001
4002.0001012500000
318237.432011100010.519.5
3000–102400000
27319.21100010010.57.5
2001.000201100000
Team totals4928170.124442769428685

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UIC vs Drake

Season series · UIC leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 UIC · DRAKE 4

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 7 UICDRAKE 3

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 7 UICDRAKE 4

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 4 UICDRAKE 4

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 5 UICDRAKE 3

Bars above the line = Drake leads, below = UIC leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UIC

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%9/12
50%7/14
2
64%9/14
40%6/15
3
50%7/14
56%9/16
4
70%7/10
0%0/7
5
60%6/10
22%2/9
6
75%6/8
33%3/9
All
65%44/68
39%27/70

Drake

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%9/16
27%3/11
2
80%8/10
36%5/14
3
50%7/14
43%6/14
4
78%7/9
36%4/11
5
100%6/6
25%2/8
6
40%6/15
40%4/10
All
61%43/70
35%24/68

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

181 rallies

#UIC-DRAKESrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0DRAKEUICKillTamara Kisicset Paulina Ströh+1.7
21-1UICDRAKEKillBliss Beckset Katie Quick+1.6
31-2DRAKEDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+2.2
42-2DRAKEUICKillRobyn Wardset Paulina Ströh+1.7
52-3UICDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+1.7
63-3DRAKEUICBlockedCaroline Smithblk Robyn Ward, Tamara Kisic+1.7
73-4UICDRAKEKillBliss Beckset Katie Quick+1.7
84-4DRAKEUICServe errDrake+1.8
95-4UICUICBlockedLisa Melencianoblk Maryam Hussein, Sasha Pellettieri+2.5
105-5UICDRAKEAttack errMihaela Harizanova+1.8
116-5DRAKEUICKillMaryam Husseinset Mihaela Harizanova+1.9
126-6UICDRAKEAttack errEmma Colombari+1.9
137-6DRAKEUIC×7KillEmma Colombariset Paulina Ströh+2.0
148-6UICUIC×7BlockedMatthea Daltonblk Gabi Peter+2.8
159-6UICUIC×7BlockedMatthea Daltonblk Maryam Hussein, Gabi Peter+2.8
1610-6UICUIC×7KillMaryam Husseinset Paulina Ströh+2.7
1711-6UICUIC×7BlockedMatthea Daltonblk Gabi Peter, Maryam Hussein+2.4
1812-6UICUIC×7KillTamara Kisicset Paulina Ströh+2.1
1913-6UICUIC×7AceUIC+1.7
2013-7UICDRAKEKillEmily Lisiset Carolyn Maser+0.9
2113-8DRAKEDRAKEBlockedMaryam Husseinblk Bliss Beck, Matthea Dalton+1.6
2214-8DRAKEUIC×3KillTamara Kisicset Paulina Ströh+1.6
2315-8UICUIC×3KillTamara Kisicset Paulina Ströh+1.6
2416-8UICUIC×3BlockedBliss Beckblk Robyn Ward+1.2
2516-9UICDRAKEServe errUIC+0.5
2616-10DRAKEDRAKEKillEmily Lisiset Jasmine Dulan+1.1
2717-10DRAKEUICKillTamara Kisicset Paulina Ströh+1.1
2818-10UICUICAttack errEmily Lisi+1.0
2918-11UICDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+0.4
3018-12DRAKEDRAKEAttack errSasha Pellettieri+0.9
3119-12DRAKEUICKillSasha Pellettieriset Mihaela Harizanova+1.0
3219-13UICDRAKE×3Serve errUIC+0.6
3319-14DRAKEDRAKE×3KillLisa Melenciano+1.1
3419-15DRAKEDRAKE×3Attack errEmma Colombari+1.7
3520-15DRAKEUICKillEmma Colombariset Ava Young+1.8
3620-16UICDRAKEServe errUIC+1.1
3721-16DRAKEUICBlockedMatthea Daltonblk Maryam Hussein, Sasha Pellettieri+1.8
3821-17UICDRAKEServe errUIC+1.0
3922-17DRAKEUICKillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+1.7
4022-18UICDRAKEServe errUIC+0.8
4123-18DRAKEUICKillTamara Kisicset Paulina Ströh+1.5
4224-18UICUICBlockedMatthea Daltonblk Gabi Peter, Robyn Ward+0.8
4324-19UICDRAKEServe errUIC+0.1
4425-19DRAKEUICServe errDrake+0.3
Set 2
11-0UICUIC×3KillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+2.9
22-0UICUIC×3KillTamara Kisicset Paulina Ströh+3.0
33-0UICUIC×3KillMaryam Husseinset Paulina Ströh+3.0
43-1UICDRAKEServe errUIC+2.0
53-2DRAKEDRAKEBlockedGabi Peterblk Bliss Beck, Caroline Smith+2.9
64-2DRAKEUICKillTamara Kisicset Paulina Ströh+2.3
74-3UICDRAKEServe errUIC+2.1
84-4DRAKEDRAKEKillCaroline Smith+3.0
95-4DRAKEUIC×7KillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+2.3
106-4UICUIC×7Attack errCaroline Smith+3.3
117-4UICUIC×7KillTamara Kisicset Mihaela Harizanova+3.3
128-4UICUIC×7BlockedCaroline Smithblk Sasha Pellettieri, Robyn Ward+3.2
139-4UICUIC×7KillTamara Kisicset Mihaela Harizanova+2.9
1410-4UICUIC×7KillTamara Kisicset Mihaela Harizanova+2.6
1511-4UIC
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.2
1611-5UICDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+1.2
1712-5DRAKEUIC×5KillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+1.6
1813-5UICUIC×5KillCarolyn Maserset Aniyah Davis+1.7
1914-5UICUIC×5BlockedAniyah Davisblk Sasha Pellettieri, Robyn Ward+1.3
2015-5UICUIC×5KillRobyn Wardset Mihaela Harizanova+0.9
2116-5UICUIC×5Attack errKamryn Behrns+0.5
2216-6UICDRAKEAttack errSasha Pellettieri+0.2
2317-6DRAKEUICServe errDrake+0.3
2417-7UICDRAKE×4KillKamryn Behrnsset Carolyn Maser+0.2
2517-8DRAKEDRAKE×4Attack errMaryam Hussein+0.4
2617-9DRAKEDRAKE×4Attack errTamara Kisic+0.6
2717-10DRAKEDRAKE×4BlockedMaryam Husseinblk Aniyah Davis+0.8
2818-10DRAKEUIC×3KillEmma Colombariset Mihaela Harizanova+1.0
2919-10UICUIC×3Attack errAniyah Davis+0.8
3020-10UICUIC×3BlockedEmily Lisiblk Maryam Hussein, Emma Colombari+0.4
3120-11UICDRAKEAttack errGabi Peter+0.1
3220-12DRAKEDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Finley Schelhaas+0.3
3321-12DRAKEUICKillEmma Colombariset Paulina Ströh+0.4
3421-13UICDRAKEKillBella Fariaset Katie Quick+0.1
3521-14DRAKEDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+0.4
3622-14DRAKEUICServe errDrake+0.5
3722-15UICDRAKE×3KillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+0.2
3822-16DRAKEDRAKE×3KillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+0.4
3922-17DRAKEDRAKE×3KillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+0.8
4023-17DRAKEUICKillTamara Kisicset Paulina Ströh+1.1
4124-17UICUICAceUIC+0.5
4224-18UICDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+0.1
4325-18DRAKEUICKillRobyn Wardset Mihaela Harizanova+0.2
Set 3
11-0DRAKEUIC×4Attack errCaroline Smith+1.8
22-0UICUIC×4KillEmma Colombariset Tamara Kisic+2.4
33-0UICUIC×4Attack errCaroline Smith+2.5
44-0UICUIC×4KillRobyn Wardset Judy Asar+2.4
54-1UICDRAKEKillKatie Quick+1.6
65-1DRAKEUICKillRobyn Wardset Paulina Ströh+1.8
75-2UICDRAKE×4KillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+1.6
85-3DRAKEDRAKE×4BlockedSasha Pellettieriblk Kamryn Behrns, Bliss Beck+2.4
95-4DRAKEDRAKE×4Attack errSasha Pellettieri+2.5
105-5DRAKEDRAKE×4KillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+2.5
116-5DRAKEUICKillRobyn Wardset Mihaela Harizanova+2.0
126-6UICDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+1.9
137-6DRAKEUICServe errDrake+2.0
147-7UICDRAKEKillIsabelle Kremerset Katie Quick+1.9
158-7DRAKEUICKillEmma Colombariset Mihaela Harizanova+2.1
168-8UICDRAKEAttack errEmma Colombari+2.0
179-8DRAKEUICKillMaryam Husseinset Paulina Ströh+2.2
189-9UICDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+2.1
1910-9DRAKEUICKillTamara Kisicset Paulina Ströh+2.2
2010-10UICDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+2.1
2111-10DRAKEUICKillTamara Kisicset Ava Young+2.3
2211-11UICDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+2.2
2312-11DRAKEUICServe errDrake+2.4
2412-12UICDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+2.3
2513-12DRAKEUICKillEmma Colombariset Mihaela Harizanova+2.5
2613-13UICDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+2.4
2713-14DRAKEDRAKEAttack errMaryam Hussein+3.3
2814-14DRAKEUICKillSasha Pellettieriset Mihaela Harizanova+2.5
2914-15UICDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+2.5
3014-16DRAKEDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+3.3
3115-16DRAKEUICKillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+2.3
3215-17UICDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Caroline Smith+2.5
3315-18DRAKEDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+3.0
3416-18DRAKEUICAttack errCaroline Smith+1.9
3516-19UICDRAKE×3Serve errMaryam Hussein+2.3
3616-20DRAKEDRAKE×3Attack errTamara Kisic+2.4
3716-21DRAKEDRAKE×3KillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+1.6
3817-21DRAKEUICServe errFinley Schelhaas+0.7
3918-21UICUICKillTamara Kisicset Mihaela Harizanova+1.6
4018-22UICDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+1.7
4118-23DRAKEDRAKEKillIsabelle Kremerset Katie Quick+1.3
4219-23DRAKEUICKillTamara Kisicset Ava Young+0.4
4319-24UICDRAKEKillIsabelle Kremerset Katie Quick+0.7
4420-24DRAKEUICBlockedIsabelle Kremerblk Sasha Pellettieri, Robyn Ward+0.2
4521-24UICUICAttack errIsabelle Kremer+0.6
4621-25UICDRAKEKillIsabelle Kremerset Katie Quick+1.0
Set 4
10-1UICDRAKEServe errTamara Kisic+2.6
21-1DRAKEUICKillTamara Kisicset Paulina Ströh+2.7
31-2UICDRAKEKillIsabelle Kremerset Katie Quick+2.7
42-2DRAKEUICKillTamara Kisicset Paulina Ströh+2.8
53-2UICUICKillTamara Kisicset Mihaela Harizanova+4.0
63-3UICDRAKEServe errMihaela Harizanova+2.9
73-4DRAKEDRAKEAceKamryn Behrns+3.9
84-4DRAKEUICKillElizabeth Kingset Mihaela Harizanova+2.9
94-5UICDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+2.9
105-5DRAKEUICBlockedCaroline Smithblk Elizabeth King, Ana Petrides+3.0
115-6UICDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+3.0
125-7DRAKEDRAKEBlockedSasha Pellettieriblk Aniyah Davis+3.9
136-7DRAKEUICKillElizabeth Kingset Mihaela Harizanova+2.8
146-8UICDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+2.9
156-9DRAKEDRAKEAttack errGabi Peter+3.7
167-9DRAKEUICKillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+2.6
178-9UICUICBlockedAniyah Davisblk Jillian Gibbons, Gabi Peter+4.0
188-10UICDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+3.1
198-11DRAKEDRAKEBlockedJillian Gibbonsblk Isabelle Kremer, Aniyah Davis+3.9
209-11DRAKEUICKillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+2.7
219-12UICDRAKEServe errUIC+2.9
2210-12DRAKEUIC×5Attack errBliss Beck+2.7
2311-12UICUIC×5KillTamara Kisicset Mihaela Harizanova+4.4
2412-12UICUIC×5KillTamara Kisicset Ava Young+5.0
2513-12UICUIC×5Attack errKamryn Behrns+5.5
2614-12UICUIC×5AceUIC+5.7
2714-13UICDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+3.8
2814-14DRAKEDRAKEAttack errElizabeth King+5.6
2915-14DRAKEUICKillElizabeth Kingset Ava Young+4.5
3015-15UICDRAKEKillIsabelle Kremerset Katie Quick+4.3
3115-16DRAKEDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+6.0
3216-16DRAKEUICKillAna Petridesset Mihaela Harizanova+4.5
3316-17UICDRAKE×3KillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+4.6
3416-18DRAKEDRAKE×3KillKatie Quickset Tamara Kisic+6.0
3516-19DRAKEDRAKE×3AceBliss Beck+5.1
3617-19DRAKEUIC×4KillRobyn Wardset Mihaela Harizanova+3.1
3718-19UICUIC×4BlockedCaroline Smithblk Robyn Ward, Gabi Peter+5.7
3819-19UICUIC×4Attack errCaroline Smith+7.3
3920-19UICUIC×4KillEmma Colombariset Ava Young+8.4
4020-20UICDRAKEKillAniyah Davisset Katie Quick+5.9
4121-20DRAKEUICKillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+7.0
4221-21UICDRAKEServe errUIC+6.6
4322-21DRAKEUICKillRobyn Wardset Paulina Ströh+7.9
4422-22UICDRAKEServe errUIC+7.4
4522-23DRAKEDRAKEKillIsabelle Kremerset Katie Quick+11.9
4623-23DRAKEUIC×3KillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+8.5
4724-23UICUIC×3Attack errIsabelle Kremer+16.0
4825-23UICUIC×3BlockedBliss Beckblk Mihaela Harizanova, Elizabeth King+17.3

Score shown after each rally, UIC first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).