Final · 5 setsSat, Oct 31, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Drake def. Murray St. 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Drake 88.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Drake won at Murray St. 3-2 (25-19, 18-25, 17-25, 25-19, 15-10) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Shay McMillen led Drake with 19 kills; Murray St.'s Lily Burnett had a match-high 20.

Data through · final Oct 31

Set12345Sets
DRAKE25181725153
MURRAY19252519102

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Katie Quick had 50 assists, and Drake outlasted Murray St.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Drake's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Drake went in as RallyIQ's 88% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 4 · Drake 15–16 Murray St.

    Drake scored 4 straight to turn a 15–16 deficit into a 19–16 lead. The match swung to Drake.

    Drake 40% → 63%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Drake 1–3 Murray St.

    Down 1–3, Drake scored 3 straight to lead 4–3.

    Drake 52% → 75%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Drake 4–4 Murray St.

    Drake scored 3 straight to go from 4–4 to a 7–4 lead.

    Drake 69% → 89%

Murray St. above 50Drake belowMax swing 9.5%

DrakeMurray St.

Sideout %
Drake 57.1·Murray St. 56.0
Break %
Drake 44.0·Murray St. 42.9
Hitting
Drake .287·Murray St. .232
Longest run
Drake 4·Murray St. 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Murray St. above 50 · Drake below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+9.5% MURRAYrally 198 · set 5

Biggest swing: 9.5% to Murray St. — set 5, DRAKE 1-3 MURRAY. Kill by Lily Burnett. MURRAY win probability 38% → 48%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

DRAKE 85.7%14.3% MURRAY

Drake wins

3-0
38.0%
3-1
31.4%
3-2
16.3%

Murray St. wins

3-0
2.1%
3-1
4.5%
3-2
7.6%
DRAKE break %
47.0% vs this opp
MURRAY break %
38.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Lily BurnettKill+9.5%

    Kill by Lily Burnett

    Set 5 · DRAKE 1-3 MURRAY · MURRAY 38% → 48%

  2. 02

    Lily Burnett stuffed by Lisa Melenciano & Aniyah Davis

    Set 5 · DRAKE 3-3 MURRAY · DRAKE 58% → 67%

  3. 03
    Aniyah DavisKill+8.0%

    Kill by Aniyah Davis

    Set 5 · DRAKE 4-3 MURRAY · DRAKE 67% → 75%

  4. 04

    Lisa Melenciano stuffed by Lily Burnett & Maezi Snyder

    Set 5 · DRAKE 7-6 MURRAY · MURRAY 16% → 23%

  5. 05

    Kill by Matthea Dalton (set by Katie Quick)

    Set 5 · DRAKE 6-4 MURRAY · DRAKE 75% → 82%

  6. 06
    Paige BrockAttack error+6.8%

    Attack error by Paige Brock

    Set 5 · DRAKE 9-6 MURRAY · DRAKE 83% → 90%

  7. 07
    Aniyah DavisKill+6.7%

    Kill by Aniyah Davis (set by Katie Quick)

    Set 4 · DRAKE 17-16 MURRAY · DRAKE 45% → 52%

  8. 08
    Bliss BeckKill+6.6%

    Kill by Bliss Beck

    Set 4 · DRAKE 15-15 MURRAY · DRAKE 39% → 46%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Drakeaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
519136.5000364100022
510122.40911120132.513.5
511217.52900030010.511.5
5015-.200500140010.50.5
46521.048000200006
36318.16711140010.57.5
58118.3891031100008
5102.5003021700001
5001.0001001120000
4011-1.000002300000
24212.167000000215
14312.083201200004
1012-.500000000000
1000–100100000
1000–300000000
Team totals6921167.28763517643185100
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
520544.3410014202121
519644.2950001000019
56230.133110100031.58.5
54318.05600100153.57.5
5016-.167481290010.51.5
5116.0000011100001
5000–011800001
5000–3001500000
43031.00000000010.53.5
Team totals5318151.2325236585112798

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Drake vs Murray St.

Season series · Drake leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 DRAKE · MURRAY 5

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 4 DRAKEMURRAY 3

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 3 DRAKEMURRAY 5

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 3 DRAKEMURRAY 5

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 4 DRAKEMURRAY 3

Set 5

15-10

Longest run 3 DRAKEMURRAY 2

Bars above the line = Murray St. leads, below = Drake leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Drake

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%12/20
29%4/14
2
69%11/16
48%10/21
3
45%10/22
47%9/19
4
45%9/20
40%6/15
5
78%7/9
44%7/16
6
64%7/11
53%8/15
All
57%56/98
44%44/100

Murray St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%12/21
40%6/15
2
52%11/21
29%5/17
3
56%9/16
50%11/22
4
60%9/15
53%10/19
5
62%8/13
47%7/15
6
50%7/14
30%3/10
All
56%56/100
43%42/98

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

198 rallies

#DRAKE-MURRAYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MURRAYMURRAYAcePaige Brockaced Shay McMillen+1.3
21-1MURRAYDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+0.9
31-2DRAKEMURRAYServe errDrake+1.1
42-2MURRAYDRAKEKillAniyah Davisset Katie Quick+1.0
53-2DRAKEDRAKEAttack errAlexa Watts+1.2
63-3DRAKEMURRAY×3Attack errKamryn Behrns+1.0
73-4MURRAYMURRAY×3Bad setJasmine Dulan+1.5
83-5MURRAYMURRAY×3KillMaezi Snyderset Paige Brock+1.6
94-5MURRAYDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+1.1
104-6DRAKEMURRAYServe errDrake+1.3
115-6MURRAYDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+1.1
125-7DRAKEMURRAYKillMija Sagadin Pristovnikset Paige Brock+1.3
136-7MURRAYDRAKEKillBliss Beckset Katie Quick+1.2
147-7DRAKEDRAKEAttack errMaezi Snyder+1.5
157-8DRAKEMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+1.3
168-8MURRAYDRAKEKillAniyah Davisset Katie Quick+1.2
178-9DRAKEMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+1.3
189-9MURRAYDRAKE×4KillShay McMillenset Jasmine Dulan+1.2
1910-9DRAKEDRAKE×4KillAniyah Davisset Katie Quick+1.5
2011-9DRAKEDRAKE×4AceDrake+1.4
2112-9DRAKEDRAKE×4KillAniyah Davisset Katie Quick+1.2
2212-10DRAKEMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+0.9
2313-10MURRAYDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+0.9
2414-10DRAKEDRAKEAttack errMija Sagadin Pristovnik+1.0
2514-11DRAKEMURRAYServe errDrake+0.7
2614-12MURRAYMURRAYBlockedCaroline Smithblk Alexa Watts, Maezi Snyder+1.2
2715-12MURRAYDRAKE×4KillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+1.0
2816-12DRAKEDRAKE×4KillCaroline Smithset Bliss Beck+1.0
2917-12DRAKEDRAKE×4AceDrake+0.7
3018-12DRAKEDRAKE×4KillBliss Beckset Katie Quick+0.5
3118-13DRAKEMURRAYBlockedCaroline Smithblk Alexa Watts, Maezi Snyder+0.3
3219-13MURRAYDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+0.3
3320-13DRAKEDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+0.3
3420-14DRAKEMURRAYServe errDrake+0.1
3521-14MURRAYDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+0.2
3621-15DRAKEMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+0.1
3722-15MURRAYDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Kamryn Behrns+0.1
3822-16DRAKEMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+0.1
3923-16MURRAYDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+0.1
4023-17DRAKEMURRAYServe errDrake·
4123-18MURRAYMURRAYAceAda Tamturkaced Finley Schelhaas+0.1
4224-18MURRAYDRAKEServe errMurray St.+0.1
4324-19DRAKEMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock·
4425-19MURRAYDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Avery Vogt+0.1
Set 2
11-0DRAKEDRAKEKillAniyah Davisset Katie Quick+0.8
21-1DRAKEMURRAY×5KillTeodora Cickovicset Paige Brock+0.6
31-2MURRAYMURRAY×5Attack errAniyah Davis+0.9
41-3MURRAYMURRAY×5KillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+1.1
51-4MURRAYMURRAY×5KillAnne Makowskiset Samantha Nelson+1.1
61-5MURRAYMURRAY×5Attack errKamryn Behrns+1.2
72-5MURRAYDRAKE×3Serve errMurray St.+0.8
83-5DRAKEDRAKE×3AceDrakeaced Lily Burnett+1.0
94-5DRAKEDRAKE×3AceDrake+1.0
104-6DRAKEMURRAYServe errDrake+0.9
115-6MURRAYDRAKEKillAniyah Davisset Katie Quick+0.8
125-7DRAKEMURRAY×4KillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+0.9
135-8MURRAYMURRAY×4KillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+1.3
145-9MURRAYMURRAY×4KillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+1.3
155-10MURRAYMURRAY×4Attack errBliss Beck+1.3
166-10MURRAYDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+0.8
177-10DRAKEDRAKEAttack errLily Burnett+1.1
187-11DRAKEMURRAY×4KillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+1.1
197-12MURRAYMURRAY×4KillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+1.4
207-13MURRAYMURRAY×4KillMaezi Snyderset Alexa Watts+1.3
217-14MURRAYMURRAY×4Attack errCaroline Smith+1.1
228-14MURRAYDRAKEKillBliss Beckset Katie Quick+0.6
238-15DRAKEMURRAYKillMaezi Snyderset Paige Brock+0.8
249-15MURRAYDRAKEServe errMurray St.+0.5
2510-15DRAKEDRAKEAceDrakeaced Lily Burnett+0.9
2610-16DRAKEMURRAYServe errDrake+1.0
2710-17MURRAYMURRAYAttack errMaezi Snyder+1.0
2811-17MURRAYDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+0.5
2912-17DRAKEDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+0.8
3012-18DRAKEMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+0.9
3113-18MURRAYDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Matthea Dalton+0.6
3213-19DRAKEMURRAY×3KillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+0.9
3313-20MURRAYMURRAY×3Attack errKamryn Behrns+0.8
3413-21MURRAYMURRAY×3KillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+0.5
3514-21MURRAYDRAKEKillAniyah Davisset Katie Quick+0.2
3615-21DRAKEDRAKEBlockedLily Burnettblk Bliss Beck+0.3
3715-22DRAKEMURRAYBlockedCaroline Smithblk Alexa Watts, Teodora Cickovic+0.5
3815-23MURRAYMURRAYAttack errCaroline Smith+0.3
3916-23MURRAYDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+0.1
4016-24DRAKEMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+0.1
4117-24MURRAYDRAKEKillJasmine Dulanset Katie Quick·
4218-24DRAKEDRAKEKillBliss Beck+0.1
4318-25DRAKEMURRAYServe errDrake+0.1
Set 3
10-1MURRAYMURRAY×3Attack errShay McMillen+2.3
20-2MURRAYMURRAY×3KillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+2.6
30-3MURRAYMURRAY×3KillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+2.8
41-3MURRAYDRAKE×3KillAniyah Davisset Katie Quick+1.8
52-3DRAKEDRAKE×3KillIsabelle Kremerset Katie Quick+2.5
63-3DRAKEDRAKE×3Attack errAnne Makowski+2.4
73-4DRAKEMURRAYServe errDrake+2.0
84-4MURRAYDRAKE×3KillIsabelle Kremerset Katie Quick+1.8
95-4DRAKEDRAKE×3KillBliss Beckset Katie Quick+2.3
106-4DRAKEDRAKE×3KillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+2.0
116-5DRAKEMURRAY×3KillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+1.6
126-6MURRAYMURRAY×3KillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+2.4
136-7MURRAYMURRAY×3Attack errIsabelle Kremer+2.8
147-7MURRAYDRAKEKillIsabelle Kremerset Katie Quick+2.0
157-8DRAKEMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+2.3
167-9MURRAYMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+3.3
178-9MURRAYDRAKE×3KillShay McMillenset Isabelle Kremer+2.2
189-9DRAKEDRAKE×3KillShay McMillenset Carolyn Maser+2.9
1910-9DRAKEDRAKE×3KillShay McMillenset Isabelle Kremer+2.7
2010-10DRAKEMURRAYServe errDrake+2.2
2111-10MURRAYDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Carolyn Maser+2.1
2211-11DRAKEMURRAY×3KillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+2.3
2311-12MURRAYMURRAY×3Bad setCarolyn Maser+3.5
2411-13MURRAYMURRAY×3KillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+3.9
2512-13MURRAYDRAKEServe errMurray St.+2.5
2612-14DRAKEMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Samantha Nelson+3.1
2713-14MURRAYDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+2.6
2813-15DRAKEMURRAYServe errDrake+3.3
2914-15MURRAYDRAKEKillIsabelle Kremerset Katie Quick+2.8
3015-15DRAKEDRAKEBlockedLily Burnettblk Kamryn Behrns, Bliss Beck+3.8
3115-16DRAKEMURRAY×3KillTeodora Cickovicset Paige Brock+3.3
3215-17MURRAYMURRAY×3KillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+4.8
3315-18MURRAYMURRAY×3Attack errIsabelle Kremer+4.9
3416-18MURRAYDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+2.8
3516-19DRAKEMURRAY×5KillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+4.0
3616-20MURRAYMURRAY×5KillLily Burnettset Samantha Nelson+4.7
3716-21MURRAYMURRAY×5AceAlexa Wattsaced Finley Schelhaas+3.7
3816-22MURRAYMURRAY×5BlockedEmily Lisiblk Maezi Snyder, Paige Brock+2.4
3916-23MURRAYMURRAY×5Attack errIsabelle Kremer+1.2
4017-23MURRAYDRAKEKillMatthea Daltonset Carolyn Maser+0.3
4117-24DRAKEMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+0.6
4217-25MURRAYMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+0.2
Set 4
10-1DRAKEMURRAYServe errDrake+3.1
21-1MURRAYDRAKEAttack errAnne Makowski+2.8
31-2DRAKEMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+3.2
41-3MURRAYMURRAYAttack errAniyah Davis+4.6
52-3MURRAYDRAKEKillLisa Melencianoset Jasmine Dulan+3.1
63-3DRAKEDRAKEBlockedLily Burnettblk Lisa Melenciano, Bliss Beck+4.1
73-4DRAKEMURRAYServe errDrake+3.4
83-5MURRAYMURRAYBlockedLisa Melencianoblk Lily Burnett, Maezi Snyder+4.9
94-5MURRAYDRAKEKillBliss Beckset Katie Quick+3.3
104-6DRAKEMURRAY×3Attack errMatthea Dalton+3.9
114-7MURRAYMURRAY×3Attack errBella Faria+5.5
124-8MURRAYMURRAY×3KillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+5.7
135-8MURRAYDRAKEKillBliss Beckset Katie Quick+3.5
146-8DRAKEDRAKEBad setPaige Brock+5.0
156-9DRAKEMURRAYKillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+4.5
166-10MURRAYMURRAYBlockedKatie Quickblk Maezi Snyder+6.0
177-10MURRAYDRAKEBlockedAnne Makowskiblk Katie Quick, Bliss Beck+3.7
188-10DRAKEDRAKEAttack errMaezi Snyder+5.3
198-11DRAKEMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+4.8
209-11MURRAYDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+4.0
219-12DRAKEMURRAYKillTeodora Cickovicset Paige Brock+5.0
2210-12MURRAYDRAKEKillLisa Melencianoset Katie Quick+4.1
2311-12DRAKEDRAKEKillMatthea Daltonset Katie Quick+5.7
2411-13DRAKEMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+5.1
2512-13MURRAYDRAKEKillMatthea Daltonset Finley Schelhaas+4.4
2612-14DRAKEMURRAYKillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+5.4
2713-14MURRAYDRAKEKillMatthea Daltonset Jasmine Dulan+4.6
2813-15DRAKEMURRAYServe errDrake+5.6
2914-15MURRAYDRAKEAttack errAlexa Watts+4.8
3015-15DRAKEDRAKEKillBliss Beck+6.6
3115-16DRAKEMURRAYServe errDrake+5.7
3216-16MURRAYDRAKE×4Serve errMurray St.+5.1
3317-16DRAKEDRAKE×4KillAniyah Davisset Katie Quick+6.7
3418-16DRAKEDRAKE×4Attack errAnne Makowski+5.9
3519-16DRAKEDRAKE×4KillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+4.8
3619-17DRAKEMURRAYKillMaezi Snyderset Paige Brock+3.1
3720-17MURRAYDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+3.7
3821-17DRAKEDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+3.5
3921-18DRAKEMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+1.8
4022-18MURRAYDRAKE×3KillAniyah Davisset Katie Quick+2.5
4123-18DRAKEDRAKE×3KillMatthea Daltonset Katie Quick+1.7
4224-18DRAKEDRAKE×3Attack errAnne Makowski+0.6
4324-19DRAKEMURRAYServe errDrake+0.1
4425-19MURRAYDRAKEKillLisa Melencianoset Katie Quick+0.7
Set 5
10-1DRAKEMURRAYBad setKatie Quick+6.3
21-1MURRAYDRAKEServe errMurray St.+5.7
31-2DRAKEMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+6.6
41-3MURRAYMURRAYKillLily Burnett+9.5
52-3MURRAYDRAKE×3KillLisa Melencianoset Katie Quick+6.2
63-3DRAKEDRAKE×3BlockedLily Burnettblk Lisa Melenciano, Aniyah Davis+8.5
74-3DRAKEDRAKE×3KillAniyah Davis+8.0
84-4DRAKEMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+6.4
95-4MURRAYDRAKE×3KillMatthea Daltonset Finley Schelhaas+6.2
106-4DRAKEDRAKE×3KillMatthea Daltonset Katie Quick+7.5
117-4DRAKEDRAKE×3Attack errMaezi Snyder+6.2
127-5DRAKEMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+4.3
137-6MURRAYMURRAYBlockedLisa Melencianoblk Lily Burnett, Maezi Snyder+7.6
148-6MURRAYDRAKEKillMatthea Daltonset Katie Quick+6.2
159-6DRAKEDRAKEAttack errPaige Brock+6.8
169-7DRAKEMURRAYServe errDrake+4.4
1710-7MURRAYDRAKE×3KillBliss Beckset Katie Quick+5.3
1811-7DRAKEDRAKE×3Bad setMaezi Snyder+5.0
1912-7DRAKEDRAKE×3KillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+2.8
2012-8DRAKEMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+1.1
2112-9MURRAYMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+2.9
2213-9MURRAYDRAKEKillBliss Beckset Katie Quick+3.4
2314-9DRAKEDRAKEAttack errAnne Makowski+1.9
2414-10DRAKEMURRAYKillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+0.4
2515-10MURRAYDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+0.8

Score shown after each rally, Drake first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).