CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026

Middle Tenn. def. South Alabama 31

(22-25, 25-8, 25-18, 25-23)
Set1234Sets
MIDTEN222525253
S ALA25818231

RallyIQ model

Win probability

S ALA above 50 · MIDTEN below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100S ALAMIDTENBiggest swing +13.8% MIDTEN · S4 25-23rally 171 · set 4

Biggest swing: 13.8% to Middle Tenn. — set 4, MIDTEN 25-23 S ALA. Middle Tenn. ace on Cambria Gaier. S ALA win probability 14%0%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MIDTEN 46.2%53.8% S ALA

Middle Tenn. wins

3-0
11.0%
3-1
17.2%
3-2
18.1%

South Alabama wins

3-0
14.2%
3-1
20.3%
3-2
19.3%
MIDTEN break %
44.9% vs this opp
S ALA break %
45.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    MIDTEN serverAce+13.8%

    Middle Tenn. ace on Cambria Gaier

    Set 4 · MIDTEN 25-23 S ALA · MIDTEN 86%100%

  2. 02
    Logan CarrKill+11.2%

    Kill by Logan Carr (set by Veronica Sierzant)

    Set 4 · MIDTEN 24-23 S ALA · MIDTEN 75%86%

  3. 03

    Kill by Gabrielle Clinkscale (set by Veronica Sierzant)

    Set 4 · MIDTEN 23-22 S ALA · MIDTEN 75%83%

  4. 04
    Cambria GaierKill+8.4%

    Kill by Cambria Gaier (set by Anabelle Cerny)

    Set 4 · MIDTEN 23-23 S ALA · S ALA 17%25%

  5. 05
    MIDTEN serverAce+7.8%

    Middle Tenn. ace on Cambria Gaier

    Set 4 · MIDTEN 21-20 S ALA · MIDTEN 73%81%

  6. 06
    Sarah GoochAttack error+7.3%

    Attack error by Sarah Gooch

    Set 4 · MIDTEN 22-21 S ALA · MIDTEN 74%82%

  7. 07
    Elyse HeffnerKill+7.1%

    Kill by Elyse Heffner (set by Anabelle Cerny)

    Set 4 · MIDTEN 22-22 S ALA · S ALA 18%25%

  8. 08
    Sophia HenryAttack error+6.3%

    Sophia Henry stuffed by Elyse Heffner

    Set 4 · MIDTEN 21-21 S ALA · S ALA 19%26%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414221.57100000010.514.5
411531.19410032010.511.5
44419.000111002449
42113.07743201410215
4001.0000121000001
1035-.600000000000
420535.42900010010.520.5
4025-.400032700003
40000101320001
400011111710001
36313.23100010111.57.5
Team totals5725143.2245696666310897
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417644.25011210302119
47426.11511170010.58.5
46215.267000202028
4104.25029101300002
41317-.118000200001
33213.07700010031.54.5
40003131120001
4000111510001
3103.33301110111.53.5
2000000310000
2000000010000
11011.00000001010.51.5
1023-.667000000000
1001.000200000000
1000000000000
Team totals3719127.142376855938774

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 MIDTEN · S ALA 4

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 5 MIDTENS ALA 4

Set 2

25-8

Longest run 7 MIDTENS ALA 2

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 5 MIDTENS ALA 3

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 4 MIDTENS ALA 4

Bars above the line = South Alabama leads, below = Middle Tenn. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Middle Tenn.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%9/16
33%4/12
2
62%8/13
56%10/18
3
57%8/14
56%10/18
4
64%7/11
68%15/22
5
70%7/10
46%6/13
6
64%7/11
46%6/13
All
61%46/75
53%51/96

South Alabama

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%9/16
53%8/15
2
44%8/18
25%3/12
3
40%8/20
50%8/16
4
41%7/17
27%3/11
5
54%7/13
42%5/12
6
50%6/12
22%2/9
All
47%45/96
39%29/75

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

171 rallies

Rally log

#MIDTEN-S ALASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1S ALAS ALA×4Attack errMichaela Dlouhá+2.3
20-2S ALAS ALA×4Attack errSophia Henry+2.3
30-3S ALAS ALA×4Attack errMichaela Dlouhá+2.2
40-4S ALAS ALA×4AceS ALA serveraced Sophia Henry+2.1
51-4S ALAMIDTEN×5Attack errCambria Gaier+1.6
62-4MIDTENMIDTEN×5KillSophia Henryset Veronica Sierzant+2.2
73-4MIDTENMIDTEN×5KillVeronica Sierzantset Marianne Garcia+2.3
84-4MIDTENMIDTEN×5KillSophia Henryset Veronica Sierzant+2.5
95-4MIDTENMIDTEN×5Attack errEva Dittmarblk Michaela Dlouhá+2.6
105-5MIDTENS ALA×3KillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+2.1
115-6S ALAS ALA×3KillCambria Gaierset Addison Hurst+2.6
125-7S ALAS ALA×3AceS ALA serveraced Addison Burks+2.6
136-7S ALAMIDTENServe errS ALA server+2.1
147-7MIDTENMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Marianne Garcia+2.7
157-8MIDTENS ALA×3Attack errKendall Mignereyblk Cambria Gaier, Alexa Strandberg+2.3
167-9S ALAS ALA×3KillCambria Gaierset Anabelle Cerny+2.7
177-10S ALAS ALA×3Attack errMichaela Dlouháblk Cambria Gaier, Alexa Strandberg+2.6
188-10S ALAMIDTENServe errS ALA server+2.0
199-10MIDTENMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Veronica Sierzant+2.7
209-11MIDTENS ALAServe errMIDTEN server+2.4
2110-11S ALAMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Veronica Sierzant+2.3
2210-12MIDTENS ALAKillSarah Goochset Addison Hurst+2.5
2310-13S ALAS ALAAttack errDanielle Leeblk Dalayla Blackwell+2.8
2411-13S ALAMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Veronica Sierzant+2.1
2512-13MIDTENMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Sophia Henry+3.0
2612-14MIDTENS ALAKillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+2.7
2712-15S ALAS ALAAttack errLogan Carr+3.0
2813-15S ALAMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Veronica Sierzant+2.2
2913-16MIDTENS ALAAttack errDanielle Lee+2.6
3013-17S ALAS ALAAttack errVeronica Sierzantblk Dalayla Blackwell+2.7
3114-17S ALAMIDTENServe errS ALA server+1.8
3214-18MIDTENS ALAAttack errSophia Henry+2.3
3315-18S ALAMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Veronica Sierzant+1.8
3416-18MIDTENMIDTENAceMIDTEN serveraced Kathryn O'Toole+2.9
3516-19MIDTENS ALAKillCambria Gaierset Anabelle Cerny+2.9
3616-20S ALAS ALAAceS ALA serveraced Addison Burks+2.9
3717-20S ALAMIDTENAttack errAlexa Strandberg+1.7
3817-21MIDTENS ALAKillCambria Gaierset Anabelle Cerny+2.4
3917-22S ALAS ALAKillAnabelle Cernyset Marissa Taix+2.0
4018-22S ALAMIDTEN×3KillLogan Carrset Veronica Sierzant+0.9
4119-22MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillLogan Carrset Veronica Sierzant+1.8
4220-22MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Veronica Sierzant+2.9
4320-23MIDTENS ALAAttack errDanielle Leeblk Sarah Gooch, Alexa Strandberg+3.6
4421-23S ALAMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Veronica Sierzant+2.2
4521-24MIDTENS ALAServe errMIDTEN server+3.7
4622-24S ALAMIDTENBad setAddison Hurst+1.6
4722-25MIDTENS ALAAttack errMichaela Dlouhá+3.5
Set 2
11-0MIDTENMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Veronica Sierzant+2.3
21-1MIDTENS ALAServe errMIDTEN server+1.9
32-1S ALAMIDTEN×3Attack errCambria Gaier+1.9
43-1MIDTENMIDTEN×3AceMIDTEN serveraced Addison Hurst+2.3
54-1MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillLogan Carr+2.3
64-2MIDTENS ALAAttack errGabrielle Clinkscale+1.8
75-2S ALAMIDTEN×5Attack errCambria Gaierblk Veronica Sierzant, Logan Carr+1.9
86-2MIDTENMIDTEN×5KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Veronica Sierzant+2.2
97-2MIDTENMIDTEN×5Attack errAlexa Strandberg+2.0
108-2MIDTENMIDTEN×5KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Marianne Garcia+1.8
119-2MIDTENMIDTEN×5Attack errEva Dittmar+1.5
129-3MIDTENS ALAKillCambria Gaierset Anabelle Cerny+1.0
1310-3S ALAMIDTEN×7KillVeronica Sierzantset Marianne Garcia+1.3
1411-3MIDTENMIDTEN×7KillJaslyn Reedset Marianne Garcia+1.2
1512-3MIDTENMIDTEN×7KillSophia Henryset Veronica Sierzant+0.9
1613-3MIDTENMIDTEN×7Attack errAlivia Freeman+0.7
1714-3MIDTENMIDTEN×7AceMIDTEN serveraced Megan Smith+0.5
1815-3MIDTENMIDTEN×7Attack errCambria Gaier+0.3
1916-3MIDTENMIDTEN×7KillSophia Henryset Marianne Garcia+0.2
2016-4MIDTENS ALAServe errMIDTEN server+0.1
2117-4S ALAMIDTEN×5KillLogan Carrset Veronica Sierzant+0.1
2218-4MIDTENMIDTEN×5Attack errAlivia Freeman+0.1
2319-4MIDTENMIDTEN×5Attack errSarah Goochblk Jaslyn Reed, Michaela Dlouhá+0.0
2420-4MIDTENMIDTEN×5KillJaslyn Reedset Marianne Garcia+0.0
2521-4MIDTENMIDTEN×5AceMIDTEN serveraced Addison Hurst+0.0
2621-5MIDTENS ALAKillAlexa Strandbergset Halle Norvell+0.0
2722-5S ALAMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Veronica Sierzant+0.0
2823-5MIDTENMIDTENBad setHalle Norvell+0.0
2923-6MIDTENS ALAKillCambria Gaierset Halle Norvell+0.0
3023-7S ALAS ALAAttack errSophia Henry+0.0
3124-7S ALAMIDTENBad setAnabelle Cerny+0.0
3224-8MIDTENS ALAKillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+0.0
3325-8S ALAMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Veronica Sierzant+0.0
Set 3
10-1S ALAS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+3.1
21-1S ALAMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Veronica Sierzant+2.6
31-2MIDTENS ALAAttack errGabrielle Clinkscale+2.6
42-2S ALAMIDTEN×3KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Veronica Sierzant+2.6
53-2MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Veronica Sierzant+3.3
64-2MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Veronica Sierzant+3.3
74-3MIDTENS ALAKillAlexa Strandbergset Anabelle Cerny+2.6
84-4S ALAS ALAKillAlexa Strandbergset Anabelle Cerny+3.3
95-4S ALAMIDTEN×5KillLogan Carrset Veronica Sierzant+2.9
106-4MIDTENMIDTEN×5KillJaslyn Reedset Marianne Garcia+3.5
117-4MIDTENMIDTEN×5KillLogan Carrset Veronica Sierzant+3.4
128-4MIDTENMIDTEN×5KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Marianne Garcia+3.2
139-4MIDTENMIDTEN×5KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Marianne Garcia+2.9
149-5MIDTENS ALAKillCambria Gaierset Anabelle Cerny+2.1
1510-5S ALAMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Veronica Sierzant+2.4
1610-6MIDTENS ALAAttack errJaslyn Reed+2.1
1711-6S ALAMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Veronica Sierzant+2.5
1812-6MIDTENMIDTENBad setAnabelle Cerny+2.5
1912-7MIDTENS ALAServe errMIDTEN server+1.7
2012-8S ALAS ALAAceS ALA serveraced Sophia Henry+2.5
2113-8S ALAMIDTEN×3KillMichaela Dlouháset Veronica Sierzant+2.5
2214-8MIDTENMIDTEN×3Attack errEva Dittmarblk Veronica Sierzant, Michaela Dlouhá+2.5
2315-8MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillSophia Henryset Veronica Sierzant+2.0
2415-9MIDTENS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+1.2
2516-9S ALAMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Veronica Sierzant+1.6
2617-9MIDTENMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Veronica Sierzant+1.4
2717-10MIDTENS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+0.7
2818-10S ALAMIDTENServe errS ALA server+1.1
2919-10MIDTENMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Veronica Sierzant+0.8
3019-11MIDTENS ALAKillCambria Gaierset Anabelle Cerny+0.3
3119-12S ALAS ALAKillCambria Gaierset Anabelle Cerny+0.7
3220-12S ALAMIDTEN×3KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Veronica Sierzant+0.9
3321-12MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Marianne Garcia+0.5
3422-12MIDTENMIDTEN×3AceMIDTEN serveraced Marissa Taix+0.2
3522-13MIDTENS ALAAttack errGabrielle Clinkscale+0.1
3622-14S ALAS ALAAceS ALA serveraced Veronica Sierzant+0.2
3723-14S ALAMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Veronica Sierzant+0.2
3823-15MIDTENS ALA×3KillCambria Gaierset Anabelle Cerny+0.1
3923-16S ALAS ALA×3AceS ALA serveraced Marianne Garcia+0.2
4023-17S ALAS ALA×3KillCambria Gaierset Sarah Gooch+0.3
4124-17S ALAMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Veronica Sierzant+0.5
4224-18MIDTENS ALAKillSarah Goochset Cambria Gaier+0.1
4325-18S ALAMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Veronica Sierzant+0.2
Set 4
10-1MIDTENS ALAKillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+2.7
20-2S ALAS ALAKillCambria Gaierset Anabelle Cerny+3.2
31-2S ALAMIDTEN×3Attack errCambria Gaier+2.6
42-2MIDTENMIDTEN×3Attack errSarah Goochblk Gabrielle Clinkscale, Michaela Dlouhá+3.3
53-2MIDTENMIDTEN×3AceMIDTEN serveraced Cambria Gaier+3.4
63-3MIDTENS ALAServe errMIDTEN server+2.8
74-3S ALAMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Veronica Sierzant+2.9
84-4MIDTENS ALAAttack errGabrielle Clinkscale+2.9
95-4S ALAMIDTENServe errS ALA server+3.0
105-5MIDTENS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+2.9
116-5S ALAMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Veronica Sierzant+3.0
126-6MIDTENS ALAAttack errJaslyn Reed+3.0
137-6S ALAMIDTEN×4Serve errS ALA server+3.1
148-6MIDTENMIDTEN×4Attack errDalayla Blackwellblk Sophia Henry, Michaela Dlouhá+3.8
159-6MIDTENMIDTEN×4KillSophia Henryset Veronica Sierzant+3.7
1610-6MIDTENMIDTEN×4Attack errDalayla Blackwell+3.4
1710-7MIDTENS ALAAttack errSophia Henry+2.5
1810-8S ALAS ALAAttack errJaslyn Reed+3.5
1911-8S ALAMIDTENServe errS ALA server+3.2
2011-9MIDTENS ALAKillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+2.9
2112-9S ALAMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Veronica Sierzant+3.3
2213-9MIDTENMIDTENAceMIDTEN serveraced Delaney Lawson+3.7
2313-10MIDTENS ALA×4KillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+2.6
2413-11S ALAS ALA×4KillDelaney Lawsonset Anabelle Cerny+3.7
2513-12S ALAS ALA×4Attack errGabrielle Clinkscaleblk Elyse Heffner, Delaney Lawson+4.2
2613-13S ALAS ALA×4KillCambria Gaierset Addison Hurst+4.6
2714-13S ALAMIDTENAttack errSarah Goochblk Michaela Dlouhá+4.0
2815-13MIDTENMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Michaela Dlouhá+4.8
2915-14MIDTENS ALAKillCambria Gaierset Anabelle Cerny+3.7
3015-15S ALAS ALAAttack errKendall Mignerey+5.0
3116-15S ALAMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Veronica Sierzant+4.4
3217-15MIDTENMIDTENAttack errCambria Gaierblk Jaslyn Reed+5.3
3317-16MIDTENS ALA×3KillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+4.0
3417-17S ALAS ALA×3Attack errLogan Carr+5.5
3517-18S ALAS ALA×3KillCambria Gaierset Anabelle Cerny+5.9
3618-18S ALAMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Veronica Sierzant+4.9
3718-19MIDTENS ALAKillCambria Gaierset Anabelle Cerny+5.2
3819-19S ALAMIDTENServe errS ALA server+5.2
3919-20MIDTENS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+5.7
4020-20S ALAMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Veronica Sierzant+5.7
4121-20MIDTENMIDTENAceMIDTEN serveraced Cambria Gaier+7.8
4221-21MIDTENS ALAAttack errSophia Henryblk Elyse Heffner+6.3
4322-21S ALAMIDTENAttack errSarah Gooch+7.3
4422-22MIDTENS ALAKillElyse Heffnerset Anabelle Cerny+7.1
4523-22S ALAMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Veronica Sierzant+8.7
4623-23MIDTENS ALAKillCambria Gaierset Anabelle Cerny+8.4
4724-23S ALAMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Veronica Sierzant+11.2
4825-23MIDTENMIDTENAceMIDTEN serveraced Cambria Gaier+13.8

Score shown after each rally, Middle Tenn. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.