Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 12, 2026

Middle Tenn. def. Murray St. 3–1

Middle Tenn. beat visiting Murray St. 3-1 (25-18, 25-23, 24-26, 25-17) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026. Middle Tenn.'s Sophia Henry led with 19 kills, and Marianne Garcia added 22 digs.

Data through · final Sep 12

Set1234Sets
MURRAY182326171
MIDTEN252524253

Win probability

Middle Tenn. above 50 · Murray St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+1.1% MURRAYrally 183 · set 4

Biggest swing: 1.1% to Murray St. — set 3, MURRAY 26-24 MIDTEN. Bad set by Caroline Macander. MIDTEN win probability 98% → 97%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MURRAY 3.0%97.0% MIDTEN

Murray St. wins

3-0
0.3%
3-1
0.8%
3-2
1.9%

Middle Tenn. wins

3-0
62.4%
3-1
27.3%
3-2
7.4%
MURRAY break %
36.1% vs this opp
MIDTEN break %
50.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Caroline MacanderBad set+1.1%

    Bad set by Caroline Macander

    Set 3 · MURRAY 26-24 MIDTEN · MURRAY 2% → 3%

  2. 02

    Michaela Dlouhá stuffed by Alexa Watts & Maezi Snyder

    Set 1 · MURRAY 12-9 MIDTEN · MURRAY 5% → 6%

  3. 03

    Michaela Dlouhá stuffed by Mija Sagadin Pristovnik & Maezi Snyder

    Set 2 · MURRAY 21-21 MIDTEN · MURRAY 2% → 2%

  4. 04
    Alexa WattsKill+0.8%

    Kill by Alexa Watts (set by Ada Tamturk)

    Set 3 · MURRAY 25-24 MIDTEN · MURRAY 1% → 2%

  5. 05
    Sophia HenryKill+0.8%

    Kill by Sophia Henry (set by Caroline Macander)

    Set 1 · MURRAY 12-11 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 95% → 95%

  6. 06
    Ceren DurakAttack error+0.8%

    Attack error by Ceren Durak

    Set 1 · MURRAY 13-13 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 95% → 96%

  7. 07

    Kill by Gabrielle Clinkscale (set by Caroline Macander)

    Set 2 · MURRAY 23-25 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 99% → 100%

  8. 08

    Kill by Gabrielle Clinkscale (set by Caroline Macander)

    Set 2 · MURRAY 21-23 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 98% → 99%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
419643.30200030010.519.5
410227.2960000004212
48317.2940002004210
45014.35710120132.57.5
4001.0002311600001
1115.000001200001
44415.000133150010.57.5
4000–5011130000
3011-1.00010020010.50.5
3000–1400500000
1000–000000000
Team totals4717123.2444547484114884
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
419641.31701240010.520.5
410522.2270311024417
412329.3100002006315
49114.5710010004211
4116.0005902800001
4005.000005330000
417331.45200010010.517.5
4000–100500000
4000–5012210000
Team totals6819148.331654124642161099

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MURRAY · MIDTEN 6

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 MURRAYMIDTEN 6

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 4 MURRAYMIDTEN 3

Set 3

26-24

Longest run 3 MURRAYMIDTEN 3

Set 4

17-25

Longest run 2 MURRAYMIDTEN 3

Bars above the line = Middle Tenn. leads, below = Murray St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Murray St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%11/22
17%2/12
2
71%10/14
39%7/18
3
50%10/20
44%8/18
4
71%10/14
29%4/14
5
42%8/19
18%2/11
6
89%8/9
33%4/12
All
58%57/98
32%27/85

Middle Tenn.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%11/16
44%7/16
2
55%11/20
42%8/19
3
63%10/16
38%6/16
4
75%9/12
41%7/17
5
75%9/12
47%8/17
6
89%8/9
38%5/13
All
68%58/85
42%41/98

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

183 rallies

#MURRAY-MIDTENSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MIDTENMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Kathryn Titus+0.4
22-0MURRAYMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Kathryn Titus+0.6
32-1MURRAYMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+0.4
43-1MIDTENMURRAYKillAlexa Wattsset Kathryn Titus+0.5
53-2MURRAYMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.4
63-3MIDTENMIDTENBad setKathryn Titus+0.5
74-3MIDTENMURRAYAttack errMichaela Dlouhá+0.4
85-3MURRAYMURRAYAttack errSophia Henry+0.6
95-4MURRAYMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.4
105-5MIDTENMIDTENAceMiddle Tenn.aced Ada Tamturk+0.5
116-5MIDTENMURRAYServe errMiddle Tenn.+0.5
126-6MURRAYMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+0.4
137-6MIDTENMURRAYAttack errGabrielle Clinkscale+0.5
148-6MURRAYMURRAYAttack errLogan Carr+0.7
158-7MURRAYMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+0.5
169-7MIDTENMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Kathryn Titus+0.6
179-8MURRAYMIDTENServe errMurray St.+0.5
1810-8MIDTENMURRAYServe errMiddle Tenn.+0.6
1910-9MURRAYMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+0.5
2011-9MIDTENMURRAYKillCeren Durakset Kathryn Titus+0.7
2112-9MURRAYMURRAYBlockedMichaela Dlouháblk Alexa Watts, Maezi Snyder+1.0
2212-10MURRAYMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.6
2312-11MIDTENMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.8
2413-11MIDTENMURRAYKillMaezi Snyderset Kathryn Titus+0.7
2513-12MURRAYMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+0.6
2613-13MIDTENMIDTENAttack errCeren Durak+0.8
2714-13MIDTENMURRAYKillMaezi Snyderset Kathryn Titus+0.7
2814-14MURRAYMIDTEN×6Serve errMurray St.+0.6
2914-15MIDTENMIDTEN×6AceMiddle Tenn.+0.7
3014-16MIDTENMIDTEN×6AceMiddle Tenn.aced Ada Tamturk+0.6
3114-17MIDTENMIDTEN×6KillLogan Carr+0.5
3214-18MIDTENMIDTEN×6AceMiddle Tenn.aced Ada Tamturk+0.3
3314-19MIDTENMIDTEN×6KillLogan Carr+0.2
3415-19MIDTENMURRAY×3KillAnne Makowskiset Kathryn Titus+0.1
3516-19MURRAYMURRAY×3Attack errGabrielle Clinkscale+0.3
3617-19MURRAYMURRAY×3BlockedSophia Henryblk Lily Burnett+0.5
3717-20MURRAYMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+0.4
3818-20MIDTENMURRAYServe errMiddle Tenn.+0.4
3918-21MURRAYMIDTEN×5Attack errAnne Makowski+0.4
4018-22MIDTENMIDTEN×5BlockedAlexa Wattsblk Logan Carr, Jaslyn Reed+0.4
4118-23MIDTENMIDTEN×5KillLogan Carrset Caroline Macander+0.2
4218-24MIDTENMIDTEN×5KillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.1
4318-25MIDTENMIDTEN×5KillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander·
Set 2
11-0MURRAYMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Kathryn Titus+0.3
21-1MURRAYMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Marianne Garcia+0.2
32-1MIDTENMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Kathryn Titus+0.2
42-2MURRAYMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Marianne Garcia+0.2
53-2MIDTENMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Kathryn Titus+0.2
63-3MURRAYMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+0.2
73-4MIDTENMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+0.3
84-4MIDTENMURRAYKillAlexa Wattsset Kathryn Titus+0.2
94-5MURRAYMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+0.2
105-5MIDTENMURRAYKillMaezi Snyderset Kathryn Titus+0.2
115-6MURRAYMIDTEN×3Serve errMurray St.+0.2
125-7MIDTENMIDTEN×3Bad setAda Tamturk+0.2
135-8MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+0.2
146-8MIDTENMURRAYBlockedJaslyn Reedblk Maezi Snyder, Anne Makowski+0.2
156-9MURRAYMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Caroline Macander+0.1
167-9MIDTENMURRAYServe errMiddle Tenn.+0.2
177-10MURRAYMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Caroline Macander+0.2
187-11MIDTENMIDTENBlockedAnne Makowskiblk Michaela Dlouhá+0.2
198-11MIDTENMURRAY×3BlockedSophia Henryblk Alexa Watts, Lily Burnett+0.1
209-11MURRAYMURRAY×3Attack errSophia Henry+0.2
2110-11MURRAYMURRAY×3KillAlexa Wattsset Ada Tamturk+0.3
2210-12MURRAYMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+0.2
2311-12MIDTENMURRAYKillMija Sagadin Pristovnikset Kathryn Titus+0.2
2411-13MURRAYMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.2
2511-14MIDTENMIDTENBlockedAlexa Wattsblk Michaela Dlouhá, Gabrielle Clinkscale+0.3
2612-14MIDTENMURRAYKillMija Sagadin Pristovnikset Kathryn Titus+0.2
2712-15MURRAYMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+0.2
2813-15MIDTENMURRAYKillMaezi Snyderset Paige Brock+0.2
2913-16MURRAYMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Caroline Macander+0.2
3013-17MIDTENMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+0.2
3114-17MIDTENMURRAYBlockedGabrielle Clinkscaleblk Maezi Snyder, Burcu Gulomur+0.1
3214-18MURRAYMIDTENAttack errAnne Makowski+0.2
3314-19MIDTENMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+0.1
3415-19MIDTENMURRAYServe errMiddle Tenn.+0.1
3516-19MURRAYMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Ada Tamturk+0.2
3616-20MURRAYMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+0.2
3717-20MIDTENMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Kathryn Titus+0.1
3817-21MURRAYMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.2
3918-21MIDTENMURRAY×4KillLily Burnettset Kathryn Titus+0.1
4019-21MURRAYMURRAY×4KillMaezi Snyder+0.3
4120-21MURRAYMURRAY×4KillMaezi Snyderset Kathryn Titus+0.5
4221-21MURRAYMURRAY×4BlockedMichaela Dlouháblk Mija Sagadin Pristovnik, Maezi Snyder+0.9
4321-22MURRAYMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.7
4421-23MIDTENMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+0.8
4522-23MIDTENMURRAYAttack errCaroline Macander+0.4
4622-24MURRAYMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+0.6
4723-24MIDTENMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+0.4
4823-25MURRAYMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+0.8
Set 3
11-0MIDTENMURRAYServe errMiddle Tenn.+0.1
21-1MURRAYMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.1
31-2MIDTENMIDTENAttack errMaezi Snyder+0.1
42-2MIDTENMURRAY×3KillMija Sagadin Pristovnikset Ada Tamturk+0.1
53-2MURRAYMURRAY×3AceMurray St.aced Kendall Mignerey+0.1
64-2MURRAYMURRAY×3AceMurray St.aced Kendall Mignerey+0.2
74-3MURRAYMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.1
84-4MIDTENMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Marianne Garcia+0.1
95-4MIDTENMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+0.1
105-5MURRAYMIDTENServe errMurray St.+0.1
116-5MIDTENMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+0.1
126-6MURRAYMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+0.1
137-6MIDTENMURRAYServe errMiddle Tenn.+0.1
147-7MURRAYMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Marianne Garcia+0.1
158-7MIDTENMURRAYServe errMiddle Tenn.+0.1
168-8MURRAYMIDTEN×3KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+0.1
178-9MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+0.1
188-10MIDTENMIDTEN×3BlockedMaezi Snyderblk Jaslyn Reed, Logan Carr+0.1
199-10MIDTENMURRAYKillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+0.1
209-11MURRAYMIDTENBad setKathryn Titus+0.1
2110-11MIDTENMURRAY×3KillMaezi Snyderset Kathryn Titus+0.1
2211-11MURRAYMURRAY×3AceMurray St.aced Kendall Mignerey+0.2
2312-11MURRAYMURRAY×3Attack errSophia Henry+0.2
2412-12MURRAYMIDTEN×3KillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+0.1
2512-13MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.2
2612-14MIDTENMIDTEN×3BlockedBurcu Gulomurblk Sophia Henry, Michaela Dlouhá+0.1
2713-14MIDTENMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Burcu Gulomur+0.1
2814-14MURRAYMURRAYBad setCaroline Macander+0.2
2914-15MURRAYMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.1
3015-15MIDTENMURRAYServe errMiddle Tenn.+0.2
3115-16MURRAYMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+0.2
3215-17MIDTENMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Addison Burks+0.2
3316-17MIDTENMURRAYServe errMiddle Tenn.+0.1
3416-18MURRAYMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Caroline Macander+0.1
3517-18MIDTENMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+0.1
3617-19MURRAYMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+0.2
3718-19MIDTENMURRAY×3KillMija Sagadin Pristovnikset Ada Tamturk+0.2
3819-19MURRAYMURRAY×3Attack errJaslyn Reed+0.3
3920-19MURRAYMURRAY×3AceMurray St.aced Marianne Garcia+0.4
4020-20MURRAYMIDTEN×3KillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.3
4120-21MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.3
4220-22MIDTENMIDTEN×3BlockedMija Sagadin Pristovnikblk Michaela Dlouhá, Jaslyn Reed+0.3
4321-22MIDTENMURRAYServe errMiddle Tenn.+0.2
4421-23MURRAYMIDTENServe errMurray St.+0.2
4522-23MIDTENMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Kathryn Titus+0.2
4623-23MURRAYMURRAYAttack errMichaela Dlouhá+0.5
4723-24MURRAYMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.5
4824-24MIDTENMURRAY×3KillAnne Makowskiset Kathryn Titus+0.5
4925-24MURRAYMURRAY×3KillAlexa Wattsset Ada Tamturk+0.8
5026-24MURRAYMURRAY×3Bad setCaroline Macander+1.1
Set 4
10-1MURRAYMIDTEN×3BlockedMija Sagadin Pristovnikblk Jaslyn Reed, Logan Carr+0.5
20-2MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+0.6
30-3MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.5
41-3MIDTENMURRAYKillAlexa Wattsset Lily Burnett+0.4
51-4MURRAYMIDTENBlockedMija Sagadin Pristovnikblk Jaslyn Reed, Michaela Dlouhá+0.4
61-5MIDTENMIDTENBlockedAnne Makowskiblk Michaela Dlouhá+0.4
72-5MIDTENMURRAYKillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+0.3
82-6MURRAYMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+0.3
93-6MIDTENMURRAYKillMaezi Snyderset Paige Brock+0.3
104-6MURRAYMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+0.5
114-7MURRAYMIDTEN×3Serve errMurray St.+0.4
124-8MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+0.4
134-9MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillCaroline Macander+0.3
145-9MIDTENMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Mija Sagadin Pristovnik+0.2
155-10MURRAYMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+0.3
166-10MIDTENMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+0.3
177-10MURRAYMURRAYBlockedJaslyn Reedblk Lily Burnett, Alexa Watts+0.5
187-11MURRAYMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+0.4
198-11MIDTENMURRAYBlockedSophia Henryblk Alexa Watts, Lily Burnett+0.4
208-12MURRAYMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Caroline Macander+0.4
218-13MIDTENMIDTENAttack errAnne Makowski+0.4
229-13MIDTENMURRAYKillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+0.3
2310-13MURRAYMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+0.5
2410-14MURRAYMIDTENServe errMurray St.+0.4
2511-14MIDTENMURRAYKillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+0.4
2611-15MURRAYMIDTEN×3KillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+0.4
2711-16MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+0.4
2811-17MIDTENMIDTEN×3Attack errMaezi Snyder+0.3
2912-17MIDTENMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Kathryn Titus+0.2
3012-18MURRAYMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+0.2
3113-18MIDTENMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Kathryn Titus+0.1
3213-19MURRAYMIDTEN×3KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Marianne Garcia+0.2
3313-20MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillLogan Carrset Caroline Macander+0.1
3413-21MIDTENMIDTEN×3BlockedAnne Makowskiblk Logan Carr, Jaslyn Reed+0.1
3514-21MIDTENMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Kathryn Titus·
3614-22MURRAYMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander·
3715-22MIDTENMURRAYServe errMiddle Tenn.·
3815-23MURRAYMIDTENAttack errMija Sagadin Pristovnik·
3915-24MIDTENMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander·
4016-24MIDTENMURRAYKillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock·
4117-24MURRAYMURRAYAttack errMichaela Dlouhá·
4217-25MURRAYMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander·

Score shown after each rally, Murray St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).