Middle Tenn. def. Central Conn. State 3-1 (Sep 18)

Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026

3:1

Middle Tenn. won at Central Conn. St. 3-1 (26-24, 25-21, 15-25, 25-17) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026. Middle Tenn.'s Sophia Henry led with 15 kills, and Marianne Garcia added 22 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Sep 18

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
MIDTEN	26	25	15	25	3
C CONN	24	21	25	17	1

Win probability

Central Conn. St. above 50 · Middle Tenn. below

Biggest swing: 2.1% to Central Conn. St. — set 1, MIDTEN 21-23 C CONN. Attack error by Gabrielle Clinkscale. C CONN win probability 6% → 8%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MIDTEN 97.7%2.3% C CONN

Middle Tenn. wins

3-0

65.3%

3-1

25.9%

3-2

6.4%

Central Conn. St. wins

3-0

0.2%

3-1

0.6%

3-2

1.5%

MIDTEN break %: 52.1% vs this opp
C CONN break %: 36.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Gabrielle ClinkscaleAttack error+2.1%
Attack error by Gabrielle Clinkscale
Set 1 · MIDTEN 21-23 C CONN · C CONN 6% → 8%
02
Jaslyn ReedKill+2.0%
Kill by Jaslyn Reed (set by Caroline Macander)
Set 1 · MIDTEN 24-23 C CONN · MIDTEN 95% → 97%
03
Logan Carr&Jaslyn ReedBlock+1.9%
Hanley Schmidt stuffed by Logan Carr & Jaslyn Reed
Set 1 · MIDTEN 23-23 C CONN · MIDTEN 93% → 95%
04
Hanley SchmidtKill+1.6%
Kill by Hanley Schmidt (set by Anja Milosevic)
Set 1 · MIDTEN 24-24 C CONN · C CONN 3% → 4%
05
Central Conn. St.Service error+1.6%
Central Conn. St. service error
Set 1 · MIDTEN 25-24 C CONN · MIDTEN 96% → 97%
06
Anja Milosevic&Cullen WinterBlock+1.5%
Michaela Dlouhá stuffed by Anja Milosevic & Cullen Winter
Set 1 · MIDTEN 18-21 C CONN · C CONN 6% → 8%
07
Anja MilosevicBad set+1.4%
Bad set by Anja Milosevic
Set 1 · MIDTEN 26-24 C CONN · MIDTEN 97% → 99%
08
Middle Tenn.Service error+1.4%
Middle Tenn. service error
Set 1 · MIDTEN 21-22 C CONN · C CONN 4% → 6%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Middle Tenn.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Sophia HenryOH	4	15	6	34	.265	1	0	3	10	1	0	0	0	15
7Jaslyn ReedOH	4	11	3	18	.444	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
13Michaela DlouháMB	4	3	5	17	-.118	2	3	3	5	0	3	5	5.5	11.5
16Caroline MacanderS	4	5	0	11	.455	36	1	1	5	0	0	5	2.5	8.5
1Logan CarrMB	4	4	2	10	.200	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	5
14Kendall Mignerey	4	0	0	4	.000	0	0	1	4	5	0	0	0	0
3Gabrielle ClinkscaleOH	4	10	5	29	.172	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
8Marianne GarciaL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	3	1	2	22	3	0	0	0	1
4Addison BurksL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	0	0
0Ellie WattsOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	0	0
19Danit CohenS	2	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		48	21	123	.220	45	5	14	60	10	3	14	10	91

Central Conn. St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Olivia KecklerOPP	4	12	8	37	.108	0	0	2	9	1	0	4	2	14
9Hanley SchmidtOH	4	11	3	25	.320	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	12.5
2Breanna GinleyMB	4	5	5	29	.000	0	0	0	2	0	1	4	3	8
11Cullen WinterMB	4	5	1	16	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	7.5
10Anja MilosevicS	4	2	0	3	.667	33	1	2	5	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
6Meg BerklandL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	0	3	2	8	0	0	0	0	3
1Annabelle DenommeL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	3	3	3	7	2	0	0	0	3
4Gabriella BurdierDS	4	0	0	0	–	0	3	4	10	2	0	0	0	3
15Madison FulgencioOH	3	5	4	21	.048	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	5
7Aubrey StitcherOH	2	1	2	4	-.250	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
Team totals		41	23	136	.132	37	10	13	47	5	1	18	10	87

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MIDTEN · C CONN 4

Set 1

26-24

Longest run 4 MIDTENC CONN 4

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 3 MIDTENC CONN 4

Set 3

15-25

Longest run 2 MIDTENC CONN 4

Set 4

25-17

Longest run 4 MIDTENC CONN 3

Bars above the line = Central Conn. St. leads, below = Middle Tenn. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Middle Tenn.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%10/18	43%6/14
2	42%8/19	36%5/14
3	47%8/17	53%9/17
4	89%8/9	43%6/14
5	62%8/13	53%9/17
6	58%7/12	50%7/14
All	56%49/88	47%42/90

Central Conn. St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%9/15	36%5/14
2	57%8/14	53%9/17
3	47%8/17	62%13/21
4	62%8/13	27%3/11
5	44%8/18	27%3/11
6	54%7/13	43%6/14
All	53%48/90	44%39/88

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

178 rallies

#	MIDTEN-C CONN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	C CONN	MIDTEN	Attack err	Olivia Keckler		+0.2
2	2-0	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Caroline Macander	+0.2
3	2-1	MIDTEN	C CONN	Attack err	Sophia Henry		+0.2
4	2-2	C CONN	C CONN	Blocked	Sophia Henry	blk Breanna Ginley, Hanley Schmidt	+0.3
5	3-2	C CONN	MIDTEN	Kill	Jaslyn Reed	set Logan Carr	+0.2
6	3-3	MIDTEN	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+0.3
7	3-4	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Anja Milosevic		+0.4
8	4-4	C CONN	MIDTEN	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+0.3
9	4-5	MIDTEN	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+0.4
10	4-6	C CONN	C CONN	Attack err	Michaela Dlouhá		+0.5
11	5-6	C CONN	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Caroline Macander	+0.4
12	6-6	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Caroline Macander	+0.4
13	6-7	MIDTEN	C CONN	Serve err	Middle Tenn.		+0.4
14	7-7	C CONN	MIDTEN	Kill	Caroline Macander	set Sophia Henry	+0.4
15	8-7	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Attack err	Aubrey Stitcher		+0.4
16	8-8	MIDTEN	C CONN	Serve err	Middle Tenn.		+0.4
17	9-8	C CONN	MIDTEN	Kill	Gabrielle Clinkscale	set Caroline Macander	+0.3
18	9-9	MIDTEN	C CONN×3	Serve err	Middle Tenn.		+0.4
19	9-10	C CONN	C CONN×3	Blocked	Logan Carr	blk Cullen Winter, Olivia Keckler	+0.6
20	9-11	C CONN	C CONN×3	Blocked	Jaslyn Reed	blk Hanley Schmidt, Cullen Winter	+0.7
21	10-11	C CONN	MIDTEN	Kill	Gabrielle Clinkscale	set Caroline Macander	+0.5
22	10-12	MIDTEN	C CONN	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Anja Milosevic	+0.6
23	10-13	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Breanna Ginley		+0.9
24	11-13	C CONN	MIDTEN×4	Kill	Jaslyn Reed	set Caroline Macander	+0.6
25	12-13	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×4	Attack err	Olivia Keckler		+0.7
26	13-13	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×4	Kill	Jaslyn Reed	set Caroline Macander	+0.6
27	14-13	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×4	Kill	Sophia Henry		+0.6
28	14-14	MIDTEN	C CONN×3	Serve err	Middle Tenn.		+0.5
29	14-15	C CONN	C CONN×3	Blocked	Michaela Dlouhá	blk Breanna Ginley	+0.8
30	14-16	C CONN	C CONN×3	Ace	Central Conn. St.	aced Kendall Mignerey	+1.0
31	15-16	C CONN	MIDTEN×3	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Caroline Macander	+0.6
32	16-16	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Blocked	Olivia Keckler	blk Caroline Macander, Michaela Dlouhá	+0.8
33	17-16	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Kill	Michaela Dlouhá	set Caroline Macander	+0.7
34	17-17	MIDTEN	C CONN	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic	+0.6
35	18-17	C CONN	MIDTEN	Blocked	Olivia Keckler	blk Michaela Dlouhá	+0.6
36	18-18	MIDTEN	C CONN×4	Serve err	Middle Tenn.		+0.7
37	18-19	C CONN	C CONN×4	Attack err	Sophia Henry		+1.1
38	18-20	C CONN	C CONN×4	Blocked	Michaela Dlouhá	blk Cullen Winter, Aubrey Stitcher	+1.4
39	18-21	C CONN	C CONN×4	Blocked	Michaela Dlouhá	blk Anja Milosevic, Cullen Winter	+1.5
40	19-21	C CONN	MIDTEN×3	Attack err	Aubrey Stitcher		+0.8
41	20-21	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Ace	Middle Tenn.	aced Gabriella Burdier	+1.2
42	21-21	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Kill	Caroline Macander	set Michaela Dlouhá	+1.3
43	21-22	MIDTEN	C CONN	Serve err	Middle Tenn.		+1.4
44	21-23	C CONN	C CONN	Attack err	Gabrielle Clinkscale		+2.1
45	22-23	C CONN	MIDTEN×3	Kill	Gabrielle Clinkscale	set Caroline Macander	+1.1
46	23-23	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Blocked	Hanley Schmidt	blk Logan Carr, Jaslyn Reed	+1.9
47	24-23	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Kill	Jaslyn Reed	set Caroline Macander	+2.0
48	24-24	MIDTEN	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic	+1.6
49	25-24	C CONN	MIDTEN	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+1.6
50	26-24	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Bad set	Anja Milosevic		+1.4
Set 2
1	1-0	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Kill	Jaslyn Reed	set Caroline Macander	+0.2
2	2-0	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Kill	Jaslyn Reed	set Caroline Macander	+0.1
3	2-1	MIDTEN	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic	+0.1
4	3-1	C CONN	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Caroline Macander	+0.1
5	4-1	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Blocked	Breanna Ginley	blk Michaela Dlouhá	+0.1
6	4-2	MIDTEN	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic	+0.1
7	5-2	C CONN	MIDTEN	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+0.1
8	6-2	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Kill	Gabrielle Clinkscale	set Caroline Macander	+0.1
9	6-3	MIDTEN	C CONN×3	Serve err	Middle Tenn.		+0.1
10	6-4	C CONN	C CONN×3	Kill	Aubrey Stitcher	set Annabelle Denomme	+0.1
11	6-5	C CONN	C CONN×3	Attack err	Gabrielle Clinkscale		+0.2
12	7-5	C CONN	MIDTEN	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+0.1
13	7-6	MIDTEN	C CONN	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic	+0.2
14	8-6	C CONN	MIDTEN×3	Kill	Gabrielle Clinkscale	set Caroline Macander	+0.2
15	9-6	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Ace	Middle Tenn.	aced Olivia Keckler	+0.2
16	10-6	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Kill	Jaslyn Reed	set Caroline Macander	+0.1
17	10-7	MIDTEN	C CONN	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Anja Milosevic	+0.1
18	10-8	C CONN	C CONN	Ace	Central Conn. St.	aced Logan Carr	+0.2
19	11-8	C CONN	MIDTEN	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+0.1
20	12-8	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Kill	Logan Carr	set Caroline Macander	+0.1
21	12-9	MIDTEN	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Annabelle Denomme	+0.1
22	12-10	C CONN	C CONN	Bad set	Caroline Macander		+0.2
23	13-10	C CONN	MIDTEN	Kill	Logan Carr	set Caroline Macander	+0.1
24	14-10	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Ace	Middle Tenn.	aced Annabelle Denomme	+0.1
25	14-11	MIDTEN	C CONN×3	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Anja Milosevic	+0.1
26	14-12	C CONN	C CONN×3	Ace	Central Conn. St.	aced Kendall Mignerey	+0.2
27	14-13	C CONN	C CONN×3	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+0.3
28	15-13	C CONN	MIDTEN	Kill	Jaslyn Reed	set Caroline Macander	+0.2
29	16-13	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Blocked	Breanna Ginley	blk Michaela Dlouhá	+0.2
30	16-14	MIDTEN	C CONN×4	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+0.2
31	16-15	C CONN	C CONN×4	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+0.3
32	16-16	C CONN	C CONN×4	Blocked	Michaela Dlouhá	blk Olivia Keckler, Breanna Ginley	+0.4
33	16-17	C CONN	C CONN×4	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Annabelle Denomme	+0.6
34	17-17	C CONN	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Caroline Macander	+0.4
35	18-17	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Blocked	Olivia Keckler	blk Caroline Macander, Michaela Dlouhá	+0.5
36	18-18	MIDTEN	C CONN	Serve err	Middle Tenn.		+0.4
37	19-18	C CONN	MIDTEN×3	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+0.4
38	20-18	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Kill	Gabrielle Clinkscale	set Caroline Macander	+0.4
39	21-18	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Ace	Middle Tenn.	aced Annabelle Denomme	+0.3
40	21-19	MIDTEN	C CONN	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic	+0.2
41	22-19	C CONN	MIDTEN	Bad set	Olivia Keckler		+0.3
42	22-20	MIDTEN	C CONN	Kill	Madison Fulgencio	set Anja Milosevic	+0.2
43	23-20	C CONN	MIDTEN	Attack err	Cullen Winter		+0.3
44	23-21	MIDTEN	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic	+0.2
45	24-21	C CONN	MIDTEN	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+0.3
46	25-21	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Attack err	Hanley Schmidt		+0.1
Set 3
1	1-0	C CONN	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry		+0.1
2	1-1	MIDTEN	C CONN×3	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Anja Milosevic	+0.1
3	1-2	C CONN	C CONN×3	Attack err	Logan Carr		+0.1
4	1-3	C CONN	C CONN×3	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic	+0.1
5	2-3	C CONN	MIDTEN	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+0.1
6	2-4	MIDTEN	C CONN×4	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+0.1
7	2-5	C CONN	C CONN×4	Attack err	Sophia Henry		+0.2
8	2-6	C CONN	C CONN×4	Ace	Central Conn. St.	aced Kendall Mignerey	+0.2
9	2-7	C CONN	C CONN×4	Ace	Central Conn. St.	aced Kendall Mignerey	+0.2
10	3-7	C CONN	MIDTEN	Kill	Michaela Dlouhá	set Danit Cohen	+0.1
11	4-7	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Caroline Macander	+0.2
12	4-8	MIDTEN	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+0.2
13	5-8	C CONN	MIDTEN	Blocked	Breanna Ginley	blk Michaela Dlouhá, Caroline Macander	+0.1
14	5-9	MIDTEN	C CONN	Serve err	Middle Tenn.		+0.2
15	6-9	C CONN	MIDTEN	Kill	Caroline Macander	set Marianne Garcia	+0.1
16	6-10	MIDTEN	C CONN×3	Attack err	Gabrielle Clinkscale		+0.2
17	6-11	C CONN	C CONN×3	Attack err	Gabrielle Clinkscale		+0.2
18	6-12	C CONN	C CONN×3	Kill	Anja Milosevic	set Madison Fulgencio	+0.2
19	7-12	C CONN	MIDTEN	Kill	Caroline Macander	set Marianne Garcia	+0.1
20	7-13	MIDTEN	C CONN×3	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic	+0.2
21	7-14	C CONN	C CONN×3	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Logan Carr	+0.2
22	7-15	C CONN	C CONN×3	Ace	Central Conn. St.	aced Marianne Garcia	+0.2
23	8-15	C CONN	MIDTEN	Kill	Gabrielle Clinkscale	set Danit Cohen	+0.1
24	8-16	MIDTEN	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic	+0.2
25	8-17	C CONN	C CONN	Ace	Central Conn. St.	aced Marianne Garcia	+0.2
26	9-17	C CONN	MIDTEN	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+0.1
27	9-18	MIDTEN	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic	+0.1
28	9-19	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+0.1
29	10-19	C CONN	MIDTEN	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		·
30	10-20	MIDTEN	C CONN	Serve err	Middle Tenn.		+0.1
31	11-20	C CONN	MIDTEN	Attack err	Madison Fulgencio		·
32	12-20	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Attack err	Olivia Keckler		+0.1
33	12-21	MIDTEN	C CONN	Attack err	Sophia Henry		+0.1
34	13-21	C CONN	MIDTEN	Kill	Michaela Dlouhá	set Caroline Macander	·
35	13-22	MIDTEN	C CONN	Kill	Madison Fulgencio	set Anja Milosevic	+0.1
36	13-23	C CONN	C CONN	Attack err	Gabrielle Clinkscale		·
37	14-23	C CONN	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Caroline Macander	·
38	14-24	MIDTEN	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic	·
39	15-24	C CONN	MIDTEN	Kill	Jaslyn Reed	set Caroline Macander	·
40	15-25	MIDTEN	C CONN	Serve err	Middle Tenn.		·
Set 4
1	0-1	MIDTEN	C CONN	Blocked	Jaslyn Reed	blk Olivia Keckler, Cullen Winter	+0.6
2	1-1	C CONN	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Caroline Macander	+0.5
3	1-2	MIDTEN	C CONN×3	Serve err	Middle Tenn.		+0.7
4	1-3	C CONN	C CONN×3	Blocked	Sophia Henry	blk Breanna Ginley, Hanley Schmidt	+1.0
5	1-4	C CONN	C CONN×3	Ace	Central Conn. St.	aced Kendall Mignerey	+1.1
6	2-4	C CONN	MIDTEN×4	Attack err	Breanna Ginley		+0.7
7	3-4	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×4	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Caroline Macander	+0.9
8	4-4	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×4	Attack err	Olivia Keckler		+0.8
9	5-4	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×4	Attack err	Olivia Keckler		+0.7
10	5-5	MIDTEN	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic	+0.6
11	6-5	C CONN	MIDTEN	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+0.6
12	7-5	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Blocked	Breanna Ginley	blk Gabrielle Clinkscale, Michaela Dlouhá	+0.6
13	7-6	MIDTEN	C CONN	Serve err	Middle Tenn.		+0.5
14	8-6	C CONN	MIDTEN×4	Attack err	Madison Fulgencio		+0.5
15	9-6	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×4	Kill	Caroline Macander	set Michaela Dlouhá	+0.5
16	10-6	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×4	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Caroline Macander	+0.4
17	11-6	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×4	Ace	Middle Tenn.	aced Gabriella Burdier	+0.3
18	11-7	MIDTEN	C CONN	Kill	Madison Fulgencio	set Anja Milosevic	+0.2
19	12-7	C CONN	MIDTEN	Kill	Logan Carr	set Caroline Macander	+0.2
20	13-7	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Kill	Jaslyn Reed	set Caroline Macander	+0.2
21	13-8	MIDTEN	C CONN	Kill	Madison Fulgencio	set Anja Milosevic	+0.2
22	14-8	C CONN	MIDTEN	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+0.2
23	14-9	MIDTEN	C CONN×3	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic	+0.2
24	14-10	C CONN	C CONN×3	Ace	Central Conn. St.	aced Sophia Henry	+0.3
25	14-11	C CONN	C CONN×3	Ace	Central Conn. St.	aced Marianne Garcia	+0.5
26	15-11	C CONN	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Caroline Macander	+0.4
27	16-11	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Kill	Jaslyn Reed	set Marianne Garcia	+0.4
28	16-12	MIDTEN	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+0.3
29	16-13	C CONN	C CONN	Blocked	Jaslyn Reed	blk Breanna Ginley, Olivia Keckler	+0.5
30	17-13	C CONN	MIDTEN	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+0.4
31	18-13	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Attack err	Hanley Schmidt		+0.4
32	18-14	MIDTEN	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+0.2
33	19-14	C CONN	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Caroline Macander	+0.3
34	19-15	MIDTEN	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+0.2
35	20-15	C CONN	MIDTEN×3	Blocked	Madison Fulgencio	blk Michaela Dlouhá, Caroline Macander	+0.3
36	21-15	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Blocked	Madison Fulgencio	blk Logan Carr, Caroline Macander	+0.2
37	22-15	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Kill	Gabrielle Clinkscale	set Caroline Macander	+0.1
38	22-16	MIDTEN	C CONN	Serve err	Middle Tenn.		·
39	22-17	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Madison Fulgencio	set Anja Milosevic	+0.1
40	23-17	C CONN	MIDTEN×3	Kill	Gabrielle Clinkscale	set Caroline Macander	+0.1
41	24-17	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Kill	Gabrielle Clinkscale	set Caroline Macander	·
42	25-17	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Kill	Logan Carr		·

Score shown after each rally, Middle Tenn. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Middle Tenn. def. Central Conn. St. 3–1