4TH SETSat, Sep 19, 2026

AwayCUSA

2:1

HomeIVY-LEAGUE

Middle Tenn. at Brown

Set	1*	2	3	4*	Sets
MIDTEN	25	25	23	4	2
BROWN	22	21	25	3	1

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 4: the NCAA play-by-play stops before the final score, so the set winner comes from the official result. It is also left out of the rotation splits.

Live · refreshes every 30s

Win probability

BROWN above 50 · MIDTEN below

Biggest swing: 4.9% to Brown — set 3, MIDTEN 23-25 BROWN. Kill by Sophia Wolfson (set by Julia Kakkis). BROWN win probability 11% → 16%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MIDTEN 67.7%32.3% BROWN

Middle Tenn. wins

3-0

21.7%

3-1

26.0%

3-2

20.0%

Brown wins

3-0

6.4%

3-1

11.5%

3-2

14.5%

MIDTEN break %: 43.6% vs this opp
BROWN break %: 40.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Sophia WolfsonKill+4.9%
Kill by Sophia Wolfson (set by Julia Kakkis)
Set 3 · MIDTEN 23-25 BROWN · BROWN 11% → 16%
02
Sophia HenryKill+4.6%
Kill by Sophia Henry (set by Caroline Macander)
Set 1 · MIDTEN 24-22 BROWN · MIDTEN 74% → 79%
03
Sophia HenryKill+3.9%
Kill by Sophia Henry (set by Caroline Macander)
Set 1 · MIDTEN 23-21 BROWN · MIDTEN 73% → 77%
04
Logan CarrAttack error+3.9%
Attack error by Logan Carr
Set 1 · MIDTEN 22-21 BROWN · BROWN 23% → 27%
05
Michaela DlouháKill+3.4%
Kill by Michaela Dlouhá (set by Caroline Macander)
Set 1 · MIDTEN 15-14 BROWN · MIDTEN 66% → 70%
06
Michaela DlouháKill+3.4%
Kill by Michaela Dlouhá (set by Caroline Macander)
Set 3 · MIDTEN 23-23 BROWN · MIDTEN 88% → 92%
07
Gabrielle ClinkscaleAttack error+3.3%
Gabrielle Clinkscale stuffed by Sophia Wolfson & Lawson Monroe
Set 1 · MIDTEN 12-13 BROWN · BROWN 32% → 36%
08
Sophia HenryKill+3.3%
Kill by Sophia Henry
Set 1 · MIDTEN 25-22 BROWN · MIDTEN 79% → 82%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Middle Tenn.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Sophia HenryOH	4	20	7	48	.271	2	1	0	7	1	0	0	0	21
13Michaela DlouháMB	4	7	4	20	.150	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	2.5	9.5
7Jaslyn ReedOH	4	4	4	20	.000	0	0	0	3	0	0	2	1	5
1Logan CarrMB	4	4	3	10	.100	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
16Caroline MacanderS	4	1	0	6	.167	38	0	2	16	1	0	2	1	2
14Kendall Mignerey—	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	7	2	0	0	0	0
3Gabrielle ClinkscaleOH	4	10	5	27	.185	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	10
8Marianne GarciaL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	5	4	1	10	1	0	0	0	4
4Addison BurksL/DS	4	1	0	1	1.000	0	2	3	9	0	0	0	0	3
17Danielle Lee—	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19Danit CohenS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26Trinniti StevensMB	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Madison WehrS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
0Ellie WattsOH	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Sydnie BroomMB	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11Veronica SierzantS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12Ava Smith—	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		47	23	132	.182	45	7	7	54	5	1	8	5	77

Brownhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
15Sarah ShawMB	4	6	1	10	.500	0	5	4	2	0	1	3	2.5	13.5
4Sophia WolfsonMB	4	6	1	18	.278	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	8
9Ally PanzloffOH	4	6	2	22	.182	0	0	0	4	0	0	2	1	7
13Julia KakkisS	4	5	1	7	.571	26	0	0	6	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
20Elle HolleyOH	4	5	2	14	.214	0	0	1	12	0	1	0	1	6
11Lawson MonroeOH	4	3	5	19	-.105	0	0	0	5	3	0	1	0.5	3.5
10Fisayo AfonjaMB	4	4	3	27	.037	1	0	1	6	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
7Yuna YangS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Gracie GriffinOH	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Kindell WelkerMB	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22Megan PhanS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18Maddy SmithOH	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Morgan SandersOH	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Sophie HaskellL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
1Frankie JonesMB	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12Elizabeth SessaOH	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Elle WeaverOH	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Madeline Van brederodeL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Eve MclauryL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	17	3	0	0	0	0
Team totals		35	15	117	.171	32	5	7	54	7	2	14	9	71

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 MIDTEN · BROWN 7

Set 1*

25-22

Longest run 4 MIDTENBROWN 7

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 5 MIDTENBROWN 3

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 2 MIDTENBROWN 5

Set 4*

4-3

Longest run 2 MIDTENBROWN 1

Bars above the line = Brown leads, below = Middle Tenn. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

148 rallies

Rally log

#	MIDTEN-BROWN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Attack err	Lawson Monroe		+2.2
2	1-1	MIDTEN	BROWN	Kill	Ally Panzloff	set Julia Kakkis	+1.6
3	2-1	BROWN	MIDTEN×4	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Caroline Macander	+1.6
4	3-1	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×4	Ace	MIDTEN server	aced Eve Mclaury	+2.1
5	4-1	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×4	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Caroline Macander	+2.0
6	5-1	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×4	Attack err	Julia Kakkis		+1.8
7	5-2	MIDTEN	BROWN	Kill	Lawson Monroe	set Julia Kakkis	+1.2
8	6-2	BROWN	MIDTEN	Kill	Michaela Dlouhá	set Caroline Macander	+1.3
9	6-3	MIDTEN	BROWN	Kill	Julia Kakkis	set Eve Mclaury	+1.2
10	6-4	BROWN	BROWN	Kill	Fisayo Afonja	set Sophie Haskell	+2.0
11	7-4	BROWN	MIDTEN×3	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Caroline Macander	+1.5
12	8-4	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Attack err	Fisayo Afonja	blk Michaela Dlouhá, Caroline Macander	+1.9
13	9-4	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Ace	MIDTEN server	aced Lawson Monroe	+1.6
14	9-5	MIDTEN	BROWN	Kill	Sarah Shaw	set Julia Kakkis	+1.0
15	9-6	BROWN	BROWN	Attack err	Sophia Henry		+1.7
16	10-6	BROWN	MIDTEN×3	Kill	Gabrielle Clinkscale	set Caroline Macander	+1.4
17	11-6	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Attack err	Fisayo Afonja		+1.6
18	12-6	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Kill	Logan Carr	set Sarah Shaw	+1.3
19	12-7	MIDTEN	BROWN×7	Kill	Gabrielle Clinkscale	set Sophia Henry	+0.7
20	12-8	BROWN	BROWN×7	Serve err	BROWN server		+1.4
21	12-9	BROWN	BROWN×7	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.8
22	12-10	BROWN	BROWN×7	Attack err	Jaslyn Reed		+2.2
23	12-11	BROWN	BROWN×7	Kill	Ally Panzloff		+2.6
24	12-12	BROWN	BROWN×7	Ace	BROWN server	aced Sophia Henry	+3.0
25	12-13	BROWN	BROWN×7	Attack err	Gabrielle Clinkscale	blk Sophia Wolfson, Lawson Monroe	+3.3
26	13-13	BROWN	MIDTEN	Serve err	BROWN server		+2.3
27	13-14	MIDTEN	BROWN	Serve err	MIDTEN server		+2.5
28	14-14	BROWN	MIDTEN×3	Kill	Logan Carr	set Caroline Macander	+2.4
29	15-14	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Kill	Michaela Dlouhá	set Caroline Macander	+3.4
30	16-14	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Attack err	Lawson Monroe		+3.3
31	16-15	MIDTEN	BROWN	Attack err	Sophia Henry	blk Sophia Wolfson, Julia Kakkis	+2.2
32	17-15	BROWN	MIDTEN	Kill	Jaslyn Reed	set Marianne Garcia	+2.4
33	18-15	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Marianne Garcia	+3.0
34	18-16	MIDTEN	BROWN	Attack err	Michaela Dlouhá	set Caroline Macander	+1.8
35	19-16	BROWN	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Caroline Macander	+2.2
36	19-17	MIDTEN	BROWN	Kill	Julia Kakkis	set Fisayo Afonja	+1.8
37	20-17	BROWN	MIDTEN	Kill	Michaela Dlouhá	set Caroline Macander	+2.3
38	20-18	MIDTEN	BROWN	Attack err	Gabrielle Clinkscale	set Addison Burks	+1.8
39	21-18	BROWN	MIDTEN	Kill	Gabrielle Clinkscale	set Caroline Macander	+2.4
40	21-19	MIDTEN	BROWN	Kill	Ally Panzloff	set Julia Kakkis	+1.8
41	22-19	BROWN	MIDTEN	Kill	Jaslyn Reed	set Caroline Macander	+2.5
42	22-20	MIDTEN	BROWN	Kill	Lawson Monroe	set Julia Kakkis	+1.7
43	22-21	BROWN	BROWN	Attack err	Logan Carr		+3.9
44	23-21	BROWN	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Caroline Macander	+3.9
45	23-22	MIDTEN	BROWN	Attack err	Sophia Henry	blk Julia Kakkis, Sophia Wolfson	+2.9
46	24-22	BROWN	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Caroline Macander	+4.6
47	25-22	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry		+3.3
Set 2
1	0-1	BROWN	BROWN	Attack err	Jaslyn Reed		+2.0
2	0-2	BROWN	BROWN	Kill	Sarah Shaw		+2.1
3	1-2	BROWN	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Caroline Macander	+1.4
4	2-2	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Attack err	Sarah Shaw	blk Jaslyn Reed, Michaela Dlouhá	+2.0
5	2-3	MIDTEN	BROWN	Attack err	Sophia Henry	set Caroline Macander	+1.5
6	3-3	BROWN	MIDTEN×5	Attack err	Lawson Monroe	blk Jaslyn Reed, Michaela Dlouhá	+1.4
7	4-3	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×5	Ace	MIDTEN server	aced Lawson Monroe	+2.0
8	5-3	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×5	Attack err	Ally Panzloff		+1.9
9	6-3	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×5	Kill	Addison Burks	set Caroline Macander	+1.8
10	7-3	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×5	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Caroline Macander	+1.6
11	7-4	MIDTEN	BROWN×3	Serve err	MIDTEN server		+1.0
12	7-5	BROWN	BROWN×3	Ace	BROWN server	aced Kendall Mignerey	+1.7
13	7-6	BROWN	BROWN×3	Ace	BROWN server	aced Caroline Macander	+2.0
14	8-6	BROWN	MIDTEN×3	Serve err	BROWN server		+1.5
15	9-6	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Attack err	Lawson Monroe		+1.9
16	10-6	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Kill	Michaela Dlouhá	set Caroline Macander	+1.7
17	10-7	MIDTEN	BROWN	Kill	Ally Panzloff	set Julia Kakkis	+1.1
18	11-7	BROWN	MIDTEN	Kill	Gabrielle Clinkscale	set Caroline Macander	+1.2
19	11-8	MIDTEN	BROWN	Kill	Lawson Monroe	set Julia Kakkis	+1.1
20	12-8	BROWN	MIDTEN	Kill	Gabrielle Clinkscale	set Caroline Macander	+1.2
21	12-9	MIDTEN	BROWN	Serve err	MIDTEN server		+1.1
22	13-9	BROWN	MIDTEN	Serve err	BROWN server		+1.2
23	14-9	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Marianne Garcia	+1.4
24	14-10	MIDTEN	BROWN	Kill	Sarah Shaw	set Julia Kakkis	+0.8
25	15-10	BROWN	MIDTEN×3	Kill	Logan Carr	set Caroline Macander	+1.0
26	16-10	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Kill	Jaslyn Reed	set Caroline Macander	+1.0
27	17-10	MIDTEN	MIDTEN×3	Kill	Jaslyn Reed	set Marianne Garcia	+0.7
28	17-11	MIDTEN	BROWN	Attack err	Michaela Dlouhá	blk Sarah Shaw	+0.3
29	17-12	BROWN	BROWN	Attack err	Sophia Henry	blk Ally Panzloff, Sarah Shaw	+0.7
30	18-12	BROWN	MIDTEN	Attack err	Lawson Monroe	set Julia Kakkis	+0.7
31	19-12	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Ace	MIDTEN server	aced TEAM	+0.6
32	19-13	MIDTEN	BROWN×3	Kill	Ally Panzloff	set Julia Kakkis	+0.3
33	19-14	BROWN	BROWN×3	Attack err	Sophia Henry		+0.6
34	19-15	BROWN	BROWN×3	Ace	BROWN server	aced Kendall Mignerey	+0.9
35	20-15	BROWN	MIDTEN	Serve err	BROWN server		+1.0
36	20-16	MIDTEN	BROWN	Kill	Sophia Wolfson	set Julia Kakkis	+0.6
37	21-16	BROWN	MIDTEN	Kill	Michaela Dlouhá	set Caroline Macander	+0.9
38	21-17	MIDTEN	BROWN	Attack err	Gabrielle Clinkscale	blk Julia Kakkis, Sophia Wolfson	+0.5
39	21-18	BROWN	BROWN	Attack err	Logan Carr		+1.3
40	22-18	BROWN	MIDTEN	Kill	Gabrielle Clinkscale	set Caroline Macander	+1.4
41	22-19	MIDTEN	BROWN	Kill	Julia Kakkis	set Sophie Haskell	+0.8
42	23-19	BROWN	MIDTEN	Kill	Gabrielle Clinkscale	set Caroline Macander	+1.3
43	23-20	MIDTEN	BROWN	Kill	Elle Holley	set Julia Kakkis	+0.6
44	23-21	BROWN	BROWN	Attack err	Jaslyn Reed		+1.7
45	24-21	BROWN	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry		+2.2
46	25-21	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Ace	MIDTEN server	aced Lawson Monroe	+1.1
Set 3
1	0-1	MIDTEN	BROWN	Attack err	Jaslyn Reed	blk Sarah Shaw, Ally Panzloff	+0.8
2	1-1	BROWN	MIDTEN	Bad set	Julia Kakkis		+0.8
3	2-1	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Ace	MIDTEN server	aced Eve Mclaury	+1.1
4	2-2	MIDTEN	BROWN	Serve err	MIDTEN server		+0.8
5	2-3	BROWN	BROWN	Kill	Elle Holley	set Julia Kakkis	+1.2
6	3-3	BROWN	MIDTEN	Serve err	BROWN server		+0.8
7	4-3	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Attack err	Ally Panzloff		+1.1
8	4-4	MIDTEN	BROWN	Serve err	MIDTEN server		+0.8
9	4-5	BROWN	BROWN	Attack err	Michaela Dlouhá	blk Elle Holley	+1.2
10	5-5	BROWN	MIDTEN	Attack err	Elle Holley	set Julia Kakkis	+0.8
11	5-6	MIDTEN	BROWN	Kill	Julia Kakkis	set Eve Mclaury	+0.9
12	6-6	BROWN	MIDTEN	Kill	Gabrielle Clinkscale	set Caroline Macander	+0.9
13	7-6	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Kill	Caroline Macander	set Sophia Henry	+1.2
14	7-7	MIDTEN	BROWN	Kill	Julia Kakkis		+0.9
15	8-7	BROWN	MIDTEN	Kill	Gabrielle Clinkscale	set Caroline Macander	+0.9
16	8-8	MIDTEN	BROWN×5	Kill	Sarah Shaw	set Julia Kakkis	+0.9
17	8-9	BROWN	BROWN×5	Kill	Fisayo Afonja	set Julia Kakkis	+1.4
18	8-10	BROWN	BROWN×5	Attack err	Gabrielle Clinkscale		+1.4
19	8-11	BROWN	BROWN×5	Kill	Sarah Shaw	set Julia Kakkis	+1.4
20	8-12	BROWN	BROWN×5	Kill	Ally Panzloff	set Julia Kakkis	+1.3
21	9-12	BROWN	MIDTEN	Kill	Logan Carr		+0.8
22	9-13	MIDTEN	BROWN	Attack err	Sophia Henry	blk Fisayo Afonja, Sarah Shaw	+1.0
23	10-13	BROWN	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Caroline Macander	+0.8
24	11-13	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Ace	MIDTEN server	aced Eve Mclaury	+1.3
25	11-14	MIDTEN	BROWN	Kill	Elle Holley	set Julia Kakkis	+1.1
26	12-14	BROWN	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Caroline Macander	+0.9
27	13-14	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Kill	Michaela Dlouhá		+1.5
28	13-15	MIDTEN	BROWN	Kill	Sophia Wolfson	set Julia Kakkis	+1.2
29	13-16	BROWN	BROWN	Attack err	Michaela Dlouhá		+1.6
30	14-16	BROWN	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Caroline Macander	+1.0
31	14-17	MIDTEN	BROWN	Kill	Sophia Wolfson	set Julia Kakkis	+1.2
32	14-18	BROWN	BROWN	Kill	Fisayo Afonja	set Julia Kakkis	+1.5
33	15-18	BROWN	MIDTEN	Kill	Gabrielle Clinkscale	set Caroline Macander	+0.8
34	15-19	MIDTEN	BROWN	Kill	Sophia Wolfson	set Julia Kakkis	+1.1
35	16-19	BROWN	MIDTEN	Attack err	Fisayo Afonja	blk Caroline Macander, Logan Carr	+0.8
36	17-19	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Attack err	Elle Holley		+1.5
37	17-20	MIDTEN	BROWN	Kill	Fisayo Afonja	set Julia Kakkis	+1.4
38	18-20	BROWN	MIDTEN	Kill	Logan Carr	set Caroline Macander	+1.0
39	19-20	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Caroline Macander	+1.9
40	19-21	MIDTEN	BROWN	Kill	Sarah Shaw		+1.8
41	20-21	BROWN	MIDTEN	Serve err	BROWN server		+1.4
42	20-22	MIDTEN	BROWN	Kill	Elle Holley	set Julia Kakkis	+2.0
43	21-22	BROWN	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Caroline Macander	+1.5
44	21-23	MIDTEN	BROWN	Kill	Sophia Wolfson	set Julia Kakkis	+2.2
45	22-23	BROWN	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Caroline Macander	+1.5
46	23-23	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Kill	Michaela Dlouhá	set Caroline Macander	+3.4
47	23-24	MIDTEN	BROWN	Attack err	Gabrielle Clinkscale	set Caroline Macander	+3.3
48	23-25	BROWN	BROWN	Kill	Sophia Wolfson	set Julia Kakkis	+4.9
Set 4
1	0-1	BROWN	BROWN	Ace	BROWN server	aced Marianne Garcia	+2.8
2	1-1	BROWN	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Caroline Macander	+2.0
3	2-1	MIDTEN	MIDTEN	Attack err	Sophia Wolfson	blk Michaela Dlouhá	+2.7
4	2-2	MIDTEN	BROWN	Kill	Elle Holley	set Eve Mclaury	+2.0
5	3-2	BROWN	MIDTEN	Kill	Sophia Henry	set Caroline Macander	+2.0
6	3-3	MIDTEN	BROWN	Serve err	MIDTEN server		+2.1
7	4-3	BROWN	MIDTEN	Serve err	BROWN server		+2.0

Score shown after each rally, Middle Tenn. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.