FinalFri, Oct 23, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Middle Tenn. def. New Mexico St. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Middle Tenn. 60.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 23, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Middle Tenn. beat visiting New Mexico St. 3-0 (25-22, 25-20, 28-26) on Fri, Oct 23, 2026. Middle Tenn.'s Sophia Henry led with 18 kills, and Marianne Garcia added 19 digs.

Data through · final Oct 23

Set123Sets
NM ST2220260
MIDTEN2525283

Match story · written from the play-by-play

18 kills in 3 sets for Sophia Henry. Middle Tenn. swept New Mexico St.

The biggest single-rally swing was 5.4 points, and New Mexico St.'s high was 43% in Set 1. The numbers below are where it was won. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Middle Tenn. at 60%.

New Mexico St.Middle Tenn.
  • Hitting+.143
    .156.299

    42 kills, 10 errors vs 44 kills, 24 errors.

  • Longest run+0
    55

    Down 10–11 in the first set, Middle Tenn. scored 5 straight to lead 15–11. That set ended 25–22.

Middle Tenn. above 50New Mexico St. belowMax swing 5.4%

New Mexico St.Middle Tenn.

Aces
New Mexico St. 6·Middle Tenn. 5
Serve err
New Mexico St. 6·Middle Tenn. 7
Blocks
New Mexico St. 6·Middle Tenn. 100 BS · 12 BA vs 2 BS · 16 BA
Digs
New Mexico St. 49·Middle Tenn. 46

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Middle Tenn. above 50 · New Mexico St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+5.4% MIDTENrally 146 · set 3

Biggest swing: 5.4% to Middle Tenn. — set 3, NM ST 24-24 MIDTEN. Kill by Logan Carr. MIDTEN win probability 85% → 90%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NM ST 39.2%60.8% MIDTEN

New Mexico St. wins

3-0
8.5%
3-1
14.3%
3-2
16.5%

Middle Tenn. wins

3-0
17.6%
3-1
23.2%
3-2
19.9%
NM ST break %
43.2% vs this opp
MIDTEN break %
45.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Logan CarrKill+5.4%

    Kill by Logan Carr

    Set 3 · NM ST 24-24 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 85% → 90%

  2. 02
    Jaslyn ReedKill+5.1%

    Kill by Jaslyn Reed (set by Danit Cohen)

    Set 3 · NM ST 26-27 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 90% → 95%

  3. 03
    Maggie LightheartAttack error+4.9%

    Attack error by Maggie Lightheart

    Set 3 · NM ST 26-28 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 95% → 100%

  4. 04

    Kill by Maggie Lightheart (set by Bella Castro)

    Set 3 · NM ST 25-24 MIDTEN · NM ST 10% → 14%

  5. 05
    Sophia HenryKill+4.2%

    Kill by Sophia Henry (set by Danit Cohen)

    Set 3 · NM ST 25-25 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 86% → 90%

  6. 06

    Kill by Maggie Lightheart (set by Katrina Catalan)

    Set 3 · NM ST 26-25 MIDTEN · NM ST 10% → 14%

  7. 07
    Maggie LightheartAttack error+4.2%

    Attack error by Maggie Lightheart

    Set 3 · NM ST 26-26 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 86% → 90%

  8. 08
    Jaslyn ReedKill+3.7%

    Kill by Jaslyn Reed (set by Addison Burks)

    Set 2 · NM ST 20-22 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 81% → 85%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
316536.30600253031.517.5
310527.18503052010.513.5
37314.286000000218
35625-.040000100216
34314.07100310010.54.5
3000–2121600002
3000–1102200001
3000–100000000
3000–1700600000
2207.28600000031.53.5
2000–100200000
1024-.500000100000
1001.000000000000
Team totals4424128.1564166495012668
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
318440.35002023031.521.5
34310.100101401648
34015.267000101226
3104.250222400003
3104.2502701900212
3000–212600001
312124.4580001002113
3105.20000000010.51.5
3000–7011930000
2125-.200000000001
Team totals4210107.29939574662161078

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

New Mexico St. vs Middle Tenn.

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 NM ST · MIDTEN 5

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 3 NM STMIDTEN 5

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 5 NM STMIDTEN 5

Set 3

26-28

Longest run 4 NM STMIDTEN 4

Bars above the line = Middle Tenn. leads, below = New Mexico St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

New Mexico St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
50%6/12
2
53%8/15
27%3/11
3
58%7/12
43%6/14
4
43%6/14
30%3/10
5
50%6/12
50%6/12
6
50%5/10
40%4/10
All
52%40/77
41%28/69

Middle Tenn.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
36%4/11
2
80%8/10
60%12/20
3
54%7/13
36%4/11
4
50%6/12
57%8/14
5
55%6/11
40%4/10
6
67%6/9
45%5/11
All
59%41/69
48%37/77

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

146 rallies

#NM ST-MIDTENSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MIDTENNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+1.9
21-1NM STMIDTENServe errNew Mexico St.+1.8
31-2MIDTENMIDTENAttack errTess Fuqua+2.3
42-2MIDTENNM STServe errMiddle Tenn.+1.9
52-3NM STMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Danit Cohen+1.9
63-3MIDTENNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+1.9
73-4NM STMIDTEN×3KillLogan Carrset Danit Cohen+1.9
83-5MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillJaslyn Reedset Marianne Garcia+2.4
93-6MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillJaslyn Reedset Danit Cohen+2.3
104-6MIDTENNM ST×3KillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+1.7
115-6NM STNM ST×3AceNew Mexico St.aced Sophia Henry+2.4
126-6NM STNM ST×3KillMaggie Lightheartset Makayla Martinez+2.6
136-7NM STMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Marianne Garcia+2.1
146-8MIDTENMIDTENBlockedAshley Hermanblk Michaela Dlouhá, Jaslyn Reed+2.6
157-8MIDTENNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+2.0
168-8NM STNM STKillKate Sinclair+2.7
178-9NM STMIDTENServe errNew Mexico St.+2.2
189-9MIDTENNM STKillKate Sinclairset Katrina Catalan+2.2
1910-9NM STNM STAttack errMichaela Dlouhá+3.0
2010-10NM STMIDTENServe errNew Mexico St.+2.3
2111-10MIDTENNM STServe errMiddle Tenn.+2.5
2211-11NM STMIDTEN×5BlockedMaggie Lightheartblk Michaela Dlouhá+2.4
2311-12MIDTENMIDTEN×5Attack errTess Fuqua+3.1
2411-13MIDTENMIDTEN×5KillSophia Henryset Michaela Dlouhá+3.0
2511-14MIDTENMIDTEN×5BlockedJaelynn Kohliblk Sophia Henry, Logan Carr+2.8
2611-15MIDTENMIDTEN×5KillSophia Henryset Addison Burks+2.4
2712-15MIDTENNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+1.6
2812-16NM STMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Danit Cohen+2.0
2912-17MIDTENMIDTENAttack errTess Fuqua+2.0
3013-17MIDTENNM STServe errMiddle Tenn.+1.2
3113-18NM STMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Marianne Garcia+1.6
3214-18MIDTENNM ST×3KillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+1.1
3315-18NM STNM ST×3KillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+2.0
3416-18NM STNM ST×3KillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+2.7
3516-19NM STMIDTENBad setTess Fuqua+2.7
3616-20MIDTENMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Danit Cohen+2.7
3717-20MIDTENNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+1.5
3818-20NM STNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Jacqueline Corcoran+2.8
3918-21NM STMIDTENKillDanielle Leeset Marianne Garcia+2.9
4018-22MIDTENMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Danit Cohen+2.7
4119-22MIDTENNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+1.3
4220-22NM STNM STAceNew Mexico St.aced Sophia Henry+2.7
4320-23NM STMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Danit Cohen+3.2
4421-23MIDTENNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+1.9
4521-24NM STMIDTENServe errNew Mexico St.+3.3
4622-24MIDTENNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+1.4
4722-25NM STMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Danit Cohen+3.1
Set 2
11-0NM STNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+2.2
22-0NM STNM STKillTess Fuquaset Danit Cohen+2.2
32-1NM STMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Danit Cohen+1.7
42-2MIDTENMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Danit Cohen+2.2
53-2MIDTENNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+1.8
63-3NM STMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Danit Cohen+1.7
74-3MIDTENNM ST×5KillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+1.8
85-3NM STNM ST×5KillMia Fox+2.3
96-3NM STNM ST×5KillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+2.3
107-3NM STNM ST×5KillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+2.2
118-3NM STNM ST×5AceNew Mexico St.aced Marianne Garcia+2.0
128-4NM STMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Kendall Mignerey+1.4
139-4MIDTENNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+1.6
149-5NM STMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Danit Cohen+1.4
159-6MIDTENMIDTENBlockedLilli Saldivarblk Michaela Dlouhá, Danielle Lee+2.0
1610-6MIDTENNM STKillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+1.9
1710-7NM STMIDTEN×4BlockedLilli Saldivarblk Jaslyn Reed, Michaela Dlouhá+1.6
1810-8MIDTENMIDTEN×4AceMiddle Tenn.aced Maggie Lightheart+2.3
1910-9MIDTENMIDTEN×4Attack errMaggie Lightheart+2.5
2010-10MIDTENMIDTEN×4KillMichaela Dlouháset Danit Cohen+2.7
2111-10MIDTENNM STServe errMiddle Tenn.+2.2
2211-11NM STMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Danit Cohen+2.2
2312-11MIDTENNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+2.3
2413-11NM STNM STAttack errSophia Henry+3.0
2513-12NM STMIDTEN×5BlockedJaelynn Kohliblk Michaela Dlouhá, Sophia Henry+2.2
2613-13MIDTENMIDTEN×5KillSophia Henryset Danit Cohen+3.0
2713-14MIDTENMIDTEN×5Attack errJaelynn Kohli+3.1
2813-15MIDTENMIDTEN×5BlockedJaelynn Kohliblk Danit Cohen, Logan Carr+3.0
2913-16MIDTENMIDTEN×5KillLogan Carrset Danit Cohen+2.7
3014-16MIDTENNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+1.9
3114-17NM STMIDTENKillKendall Mignereyset Danit Cohen+2.2
3215-17MIDTENNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+1.9
3315-18NM STMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Danit Cohen+2.3
3415-19MIDTENMIDTENAttack errMia Fox+2.4
3516-19MIDTENNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+1.4
3617-19NM STNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+2.5
3717-20NM STMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Marianne Garcia+2.5
3818-20MIDTENNM STServe errMiddle Tenn.+2.0
3919-20NM STNM STAceNew Mexico St.aced Sophia Henry+3.5
4019-21NM STMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Marianne Garcia+3.4
4120-21MIDTENNM STBlockedMichaela Dlouháblk Maggie Lightheart, Ashley Herman+2.9
4220-22NM STMIDTEN×4KillJaslyn Reedset Addison Burks+3.7
4320-23MIDTENMIDTEN×4KillDanit Cohen+3.7
4420-24MIDTENMIDTEN×4AceMiddle Tenn.aced Tess Fuqua+2.1
4520-25MIDTENMIDTEN×4AceMiddle Tenn.aced Tess Fuqua+0.7
Set 3
11-0MIDTENNM STServe errMiddle Tenn.+1.0
21-1NM STMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Danit Cohen+1.0
32-1MIDTENNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+1.0
42-2NM STMIDTEN×3Serve errNew Mexico St.+1.0
52-3MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillSophia Henryset Marianne Garcia+1.3
62-4MIDTENMIDTEN×3Attack errJaelynn Kohli+1.3
73-4MIDTENNM ST×3Attack errTrinniti Stevens+1.0
84-4NM STNM ST×3BlockedTrinniti Stevensblk Maggie Lightheart, Mia Fox+1.3
95-4NM STNM ST×3AceNew Mexico St.aced Marianne Garcia+1.4
105-5NM STMIDTEN×4KillSophia Henryset Kendall Mignerey+1.1
115-6MIDTENMIDTEN×4AceMiddle Tenn.aced Maggie Lightheart+1.4
125-7MIDTENMIDTEN×4BlockedMia Foxblk Logan Carr+1.4
135-8MIDTENMIDTEN×4AceMiddle Tenn.aced Maggie Lightheart+1.3
146-8MIDTENNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+1.0
157-8NM STNM STBlockedJaslyn Reedblk Mia Fox, Jaelynn Kohli+1.4
167-9NM STMIDTENKillTrinniti Stevensset Danit Cohen+1.1
177-10MIDTENMIDTENAttack errJaelynn Kohli+1.3
188-10MIDTENNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+1.0
199-10NM STNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+1.4
209-11NM STMIDTENAttack errAshley Herman+1.2
2110-11MIDTENNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+1.2
2210-12NM STMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Danit Cohen+1.2
2311-12MIDTENNM ST×4BlockedSophia Henryblk Kate Sinclair, Tess Fuqua+1.2
2412-12NM STNM ST×4AceNew Mexico St.aced Marianne Garcia+1.7
2513-12NM STNM ST×4Bad setAddison Burks+1.8
2614-12NM STNM ST×4Attack errMichaela Dlouhá+1.9
2714-13NM STMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Danit Cohen+1.4
2814-14MIDTENMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Danit Cohen+1.9
2915-14MIDTENNM ST×3KillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+1.6
3016-14NM STNM ST×3BlockedSophia Henryblk Jaelynn Kohli, Kate Sinclair+2.0
3117-14NM STNM ST×3BlockedSophia Henryblk Kate Sinclair, Maggie Lightheart+1.9
3217-15NM STMIDTENServe errAshley Herman+1.3
3317-16MIDTENMIDTENAttack errMaggie Lightheart+1.9
3418-16MIDTENNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Katrina Catalan+1.8
3518-17NM STMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Danit Cohen+1.6
3619-17MIDTENNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+1.9
3719-18NM STMIDTENAttack errMia Fox+1.7
3820-18MIDTENNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+2.0
3921-18NM STNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+2.3
4021-19NM STMIDTENAttack errTess Fuqua+1.3
4121-20MIDTENMIDTENBlockedAshley Hermanblk Danit Cohen, Michaela Dlouhá+2.4
4222-20MIDTENNM STServe errAddison Burks+2.5
4323-20NM STNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+2.6
4423-21NM STMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Danit Cohen+1.2
4523-22MIDTENMIDTENBlockedTess Fuquablk Michaela Dlouhá, Sophia Henry+2.6
4624-22MIDTENNM STKillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+3.3
4724-23NM STMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Danit Cohen+1.9
4824-24MIDTENMIDTENKillLogan Carr+5.4
4925-24MIDTENNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Bella Castro+4.2
5025-25NM STMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Danit Cohen+4.2
5126-25MIDTENNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+4.2
5226-26NM STMIDTEN×3Attack errMaggie Lightheart+4.2
5326-27MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillJaslyn Reedset Danit Cohen+5.1
5426-28MIDTENMIDTEN×3Attack errMaggie Lightheart+4.9

Score shown after each rally, New Mexico St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).