Final · 4 setsFri, Nov 6, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Middle Tenn. def. Sam Houston 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Middle Tenn. 63.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 6, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Middle Tenn. beat visiting Sam Houston 3-1 (25-15, 19-25, 25-13, 25-17) on Fri, Nov 6, 2026. Middle Tenn.'s Sophia Henry led with 22 kills, and Marianne Garcia added 14 digs.

Data through · final Nov 6

Set1234Sets
SAMHOU152513171
MIDTEN251925253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

A 9–0 run in the first set broke it open for Middle Tenn.

No single rally moved win probability more than 3.2 points. Sam Houston peaked at 46% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Middle Tenn. at 63%.

Sam HoustonMiddle Tenn.
  • Break %+17.1 pts
    32.449.5

    On serve: 46/93 against 23/71 (Sam Houston sideout 50.5%).

  • Longest run+6
    39

    9 straight Middle Tenn. points in the first set turned a 7–10 deficit into a 16–10 lead. That set ended 25–15.

Middle Tenn. above 50Sam Houston belowMax swing 3.2%

Sam HoustonMiddle Tenn.

Hitting
Sam Houston .217·Middle Tenn. .283
Aces
Sam Houston 0·Middle Tenn. 11
Serve err
Sam Houston 4·Middle Tenn. 5
Blocks
Sam Houston 7·Middle Tenn. 82 BS · 10 BA vs 1 BS · 14 BA
Digs
Sam Houston 57·Middle Tenn. 54

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Middle Tenn. above 50 · Sam Houston below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.2% SAMHOUrally 164 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.2% to Sam Houston — set 3, SAMHOU 1-0 MIDTEN. Kill by Bella Wood (set by Sophia Henry). MIDTEN win probability 60% → 57%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SAMHOU 33.0%67.0% MIDTEN

Sam Houston wins

3-0
6.6%
3-1
11.8%
3-2
14.7%

Middle Tenn. wins

3-0
21.2%
3-1
25.7%
3-2
20.0%
SAMHOU break %
42.1% vs this opp
MIDTEN break %
45.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Bella WoodKill+3.2%

    Kill by Bella Wood (set by Sophia Henry)

    Set 3 · SAMHOU 1-0 MIDTEN · SAMHOU 40% → 43%

  2. 02
    Logan CarrBlock+3.1%

    Chloe Monson stuffed by Logan Carr

    Set 3 · SAMHOU 1-2 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 59% → 63%

  3. 03

    Chelsea Butler stuffed by Sophia Henry & Logan Carr

    Set 3 · SAMHOU 1-3 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 63% → 66%

  4. 04

    Faith Roulston stuffed by Michaela Dlouhá & Sophia Henry

    Set 1 · SAMHOU 10-11 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 62% → 65%

  5. 05

    Kill by Michaela Dlouhá

    Set 1 · SAMHOU 10-10 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 59% → 62%

  6. 06
    Jaslyn ReedAttack error+2.9%

    Attack error by Jaslyn Reed

    Set 3 · SAMHOU 5-7 MIDTEN · SAMHOU 31% → 33%

  7. 07
    Sophia HenryKill+2.8%

    Kill by Sophia Henry (set by Kendall Mignerey)

    Set 3 · SAMHOU 1-4 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 66% → 68%

  8. 08

    Kill by Michaela Dlouhá (set by Danit Cohen)

    Set 1 · SAMHOU 10-12 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 65% → 68%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
49318.33300000132.511.5
49129.27600165010.59.5
48117.41200000010.58.5
47726.000100731018
4418.375000100215
4001.0002403500000
48424.16700040031.59.5
4011-1.00013001400000
4001.0005001520000
4000–000500000
1214.250000010002
Team totals4719129.21743045711210770
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
422446.39102010002125
48218.3331212002111
45313.15400000153.58.5
4001.000121700002
2214.250000100002
21011.0001500100001
410130.30000030031.511.5
48627.074000300219
4000–8421400004
4203.66722111200003
2001.000200100000
1001.000000000000
Team totals5817145.28349115540114894

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Sam Houston vs Middle Tenn.

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 SAMHOU · MIDTEN 9

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 3 SAMHOUMIDTEN 9

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 3 SAMHOUMIDTEN 3

Set 3

13-25

Longest run 2 SAMHOUMIDTEN 6

Set 4

17-25

Longest run 2 SAMHOUMIDTEN 6

Bars above the line = Middle Tenn. leads, below = Sam Houston leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Sam Houston

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%9/16
50%8/16
2
60%9/15
25%3/12
3
64%9/14
31%4/13
4
42%8/19
10%1/10
5
50%6/12
42%5/12
6
35%6/17
25%2/8
All
51%47/93
32%23/71

Middle Tenn.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%9/14
61%11/18
2
64%9/14
53%10/19
3
82%9/11
36%5/14
4
73%8/11
44%7/16
5
64%7/11
56%9/16
6
60%6/10
40%4/10
All
68%48/71
49%46/93

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

164 rallies

#SAMHOU-MIDTENSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0SAMHOUSAMHOUAttack errMichaela Dlouhá+2.4
22-0SAMHOUSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Shaelin White+2.4
32-1SAMHOUMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Danit Cohen+1.8
42-2MIDTENMIDTENKillLogan Carr+2.4
53-2MIDTENSAMHOUKillChelsea Butlerset Brenlin Garlitz+1.9
64-2SAMHOUSAMHOUAttack errLogan Carr+2.5
74-3SAMHOUMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Danit Cohen+1.9
84-4MIDTENMIDTENAceCaroline Macanderaced Bella Wood+2.5
95-4MIDTENSAMHOUKillChelsea Butlerset Brenlin Garlitz+2.0
105-5SAMHOUMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+2.0
116-5MIDTENSAMHOUKillAnnika Brooksset Brenlin Garlitz+2.1
126-6SAMHOUMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Marianne Garcia+2.0
137-6MIDTENSAMHOU×3KillRachelle Reedset Lauren Pyle+2.1
148-6SAMHOUSAMHOU×3KillBella Woodset Lauren Pyle+2.8
159-6SAMHOUSAMHOU×3KillFaith Roulston+2.8
169-7SAMHOUMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+1.9
1710-7MIDTENSAMHOUAttack errTrinniti Stevens+2.2
1810-8SAMHOUMIDTEN×9KillMichaela Dlouháset Danit Cohen+2.0
1910-9MIDTENMIDTEN×9AceKendall Mignereyaced Chloe Monson+2.8
2010-10MIDTENMIDTEN×9KillMichaela Dlouhá+2.9
2110-11MIDTENMIDTEN×9BlockedFaith Roulstonblk Michaela Dlouhá, Sophia Henry+2.9
2210-12MIDTENMIDTEN×9KillMichaela Dlouháset Danit Cohen+2.8
2310-13MIDTENMIDTEN×9KillTrinniti Stevensset Danit Cohen+2.6
2410-14MIDTENMIDTEN×9KillSophia Henryset Danit Cohen+2.3
2510-15MIDTENMIDTEN×9KillSophia Henryset Danit Cohen+1.9
2610-16MIDTENMIDTEN×9KillSophia Henryset Danit Cohen+1.4
2711-16MIDTENSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Shaelin White+0.8
2811-17SAMHOUMIDTENKillDanit Cohenset Kendall Mignerey+1.1
2911-18MIDTENMIDTENAttack errChelsea Butler+1.0
3012-18MIDTENSAMHOUBlockedLogan Carrblk Chelsea Butler+0.5
3112-19SAMHOUMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Danit Cohen+0.7
3213-19MIDTENSAMHOUKillAnnika Brooksset Brenlin Garlitz+0.4
3313-20SAMHOUMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+0.6
3414-20MIDTENSAMHOUAttack errLogan Carr+0.4
3514-21SAMHOUMIDTENAttack errChloe Monson+0.6
3614-22MIDTENMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouhá+0.3
3715-22MIDTENSAMHOUServe errMarianne Garcia+0.1
3815-23SAMHOUMIDTEN×3Attack errChloe Monson+0.2
3915-24MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillJaslyn Reedset Danit Cohen+0.1
4015-25MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillTrinniti Stevens·
Set 2
11-0MIDTENSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Brenlin Garlitz+1.6
21-1SAMHOUMIDTENServe errBella Wood+1.6
32-1MIDTENSAMHOUKillAnnika Brooksset Brenlin Garlitz+1.7
43-1SAMHOUSAMHOUAttack errSophia Henry+2.2
53-2SAMHOUMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Danit Cohen+1.6
63-3MIDTENMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Marianne Garcia+2.1
74-3MIDTENSAMHOUBlockedGabrielle Clinkscaleblk Chloe Monson+1.7
85-3SAMHOUSAMHOUKillChloe Monsonset Lauren Pyle+2.3
95-4SAMHOUMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+1.7
106-4MIDTENSAMHOU×3KillFaith Roulstonset Lauren Pyle+1.8
117-4SAMHOUSAMHOU×3KillBella Woodset Shaelin White+2.3
128-4SAMHOUSAMHOU×3KillFaith Roulstonset Shaelin White+2.2
138-5SAMHOUMIDTENAttack errLauren Pyle+1.5
149-5MIDTENSAMHOUKillRachelle Reedset Lauren Pyle+1.8
159-6SAMHOUMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+1.5
1610-6MIDTENSAMHOUKillChelsea Butlerset Lauren Pyle+1.8
1711-6SAMHOUSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Chloe Monson+2.1
1811-7SAMHOUMIDTENServe errBrenlin Garlitz+1.3
1912-7MIDTENSAMHOUKillChelsea Butlerset Brenlin Garlitz+1.7
2012-8SAMHOUMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Danit Cohen+1.3
2113-8MIDTENSAMHOUKillChloe Monsonset Brenlin Garlitz+1.7
2214-8SAMHOUSAMHOUKillChloe Monsonset Brenlin Garlitz+1.8
2314-9SAMHOUMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Danit Cohen+1.1
2414-10MIDTENMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+1.7
2515-10MIDTENSAMHOUKillChloe Monsonset Brenlin Garlitz+1.7
2615-11SAMHOUMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+1.3
2716-11MIDTENSAMHOUAttack errSophia Henry+1.7
2816-12SAMHOUMIDTENBlockedBella Woodblk Gabrielle Clinkscale, Logan Carr+1.3
2917-12MIDTENSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Lauren Pyle+1.7
3018-12SAMHOUSAMHOUKillChelsea Butlerset Lauren Pyle+1.7
3118-13SAMHOUMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+0.9
3219-13MIDTENSAMHOU×3KillFaith Roulstonset Lauren Pyle+1.3
3320-13SAMHOUSAMHOU×3KillAnnika Brooksset Shaelin White+1.1
3421-13SAMHOUSAMHOU×3KillBella Woodset Danit Cohen+0.6
3521-14SAMHOUMIDTENServe errBrenlin Garlitz+0.2
3622-14MIDTENSAMHOUKillAnnika Brooksset Brenlin Garlitz+0.4
3722-15SAMHOUMIDTEN×3KillSophia Henryset Danit Cohen+0.1
3822-16MIDTENMIDTEN×3AceMichaela Dlouháaced Bella Wood+0.3
3922-17MIDTENMIDTEN×3Attack errChelsea Butler+0.6
4023-17MIDTENSAMHOUKillAnnika Brooksset Brenlin Garlitz+0.8
4123-18SAMHOUMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Danit Cohen+0.3
4224-18MIDTENSAMHOUServe errCaroline Macander+0.6
4324-19SAMHOUMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.1
4425-19MIDTENSAMHOUKillFaith Roulstonset Lauren Pyle+0.3
Set 3
11-0SAMHOUSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Sophia Henry+3.2
21-1SAMHOUMIDTEN×5KillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+2.4
31-2MIDTENMIDTEN×5BlockedChloe Monsonblk Logan Carr+3.1
41-3MIDTENMIDTEN×5BlockedChelsea Butlerblk Sophia Henry, Logan Carr+3.0
51-4MIDTENMIDTEN×5KillSophia Henryset Kendall Mignerey+2.8
61-5MIDTENMIDTEN×5AceMichaela Dlouháaced Shaelin White+2.6
72-5MIDTENSAMHOUServe errMichaela Dlouhá+1.9
83-5SAMHOUSAMHOUBad setCaroline Macander+2.8
93-6SAMHOUMIDTENKillCaroline Macanderset Addison Burks+2.3
103-7MIDTENMIDTENKillSophia Henry+2.7
114-7MIDTENSAMHOUKillChelsea Butlerset Brenlin Garlitz+1.9
125-7SAMHOUSAMHOUAttack errJaslyn Reed+2.9
135-8SAMHOUMIDTEN×3KillJaslyn Reedset Marianne Garcia+2.4
145-9MIDTENMIDTEN×3Attack errAnnika Brooks+2.8
155-10MIDTENMIDTEN×3BlockedChloe Monsonblk Jaslyn Reed, Logan Carr+2.4
166-10MIDTENSAMHOUKillAnnika Brooksset Brenlin Garlitz+1.6
176-11SAMHOUMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Marianne Garcia+1.9
187-11MIDTENSAMHOUKillRachelle Reedset Lauren Pyle+1.6
197-12SAMHOUMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+1.9
207-13MIDTENMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+2.0
218-13MIDTENSAMHOUKillFaith Roulstonset Lauren Pyle+1.2
228-14SAMHOUMIDTEN×3KillGabrielle Clinkscale+1.5
238-15MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillSophia Henryset Marianne Garcia+1.5
248-16MIDTENMIDTEN×3Bad setLauren Pyle+1.0
259-16MIDTENSAMHOUServe errKendall Mignerey+0.5
2610-16SAMHOUSAMHOUBlockedSophia Henryblk Chelsea Butler, Annika Brooks+1.0
2710-17SAMHOUMIDTENServe errBrenlin Garlitz+1.1
2811-17MIDTENSAMHOUKillChelsea Butlerset Brenlin Garlitz+0.7
2911-18SAMHOUMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+1.0
3012-18MIDTENSAMHOUKillChloe Monsonset Brenlin Garlitz+0.7
3112-19SAMHOUMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+0.9
3213-19MIDTENSAMHOUKillAnnika Brooksset Brenlin Garlitz+0.6
3313-20SAMHOUMIDTEN×6KillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+0.9
3413-21MIDTENMIDTEN×6AceMarianne Garciaaced Chloe Monson+0.6
3513-22MIDTENMIDTEN×6AceMarianne Garciaaced Chloe Monson+0.3
3613-23MIDTENMIDTEN×6Attack errChloe Monson+0.1
3713-24MIDTENMIDTEN×6BlockedRachelle Reedblk Michaela Dlouhá, Jaslyn Reed·
3813-25MIDTENMIDTEN×6AceMarianne Garciaaced Bella Wood·
Set 4
10-1MIDTENMIDTENAceKendall Mignereyaced Bella Wood+2.7
21-1MIDTENSAMHOUKillChelsea Butlerset Brenlin Garlitz+2.2
31-2SAMHOUMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+2.2
41-3MIDTENMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Michaela Dlouhá+2.7
52-3MIDTENSAMHOUKillKameron Rectorset Brenlin Garlitz+2.1
62-4SAMHOUMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Caroline Macander+2.2
72-5MIDTENMIDTENKillLogan Carr+2.6
83-5MIDTENSAMHOUKillKameron Rectorset Brenlin Garlitz+2.0
93-6SAMHOUMIDTEN×6BlockedFaith Roulstonblk Logan Carr, Jaslyn Reed+2.1
103-7MIDTENMIDTEN×6AceSophia Henryaced Kameron Rector+2.4
113-8MIDTENMIDTEN×6AceSophia Henryaced Bella Wood+2.1
123-9MIDTENMIDTEN×6BlockedKameron Rectorblk Logan Carr, Gabrielle Clinkscale+1.8
133-10MIDTENMIDTEN×6KillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+1.4
143-11MIDTENMIDTEN×6Attack errFaith Roulston+1.1
154-11MIDTENSAMHOUBlockedGabrielle Clinkscaleblk Faith Roulston, Rachelle Reed+0.7
165-11SAMHOUSAMHOUAttack errGabrielle Clinkscale+1.1
175-12SAMHOUMIDTEN×3Bad setLauren Pyle+1.1
185-13MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+1.0
195-14MIDTENMIDTEN×3AceMarianne Garciaaced Shaelin White+0.7
206-14MIDTENSAMHOUServe errMarianne Garcia+0.4
216-15SAMHOUMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+0.5
226-16MIDTENMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+0.4
237-16MIDTENSAMHOUKillFaith Roulstonset Lauren Pyle+0.2
248-16SAMHOUSAMHOUBlockedMichaela Dlouháblk Chelsea Butler, Bella Wood+0.4
258-17SAMHOUMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+0.5
269-17MIDTENSAMHOUKillChloe Monsonset Brenlin Garlitz+0.3
2710-17SAMHOUSAMHOUKillFaith Roulstonset Brenlin Garlitz+0.5
2810-18SAMHOUMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.6
2910-19MIDTENMIDTENAttack errChloe Monson+0.5
3011-19MIDTENSAMHOUKillChelsea Butlerset Brenlin Garlitz+0.2
3112-19SAMHOUSAMHOUKillChloe Monsonset Brenlin Garlitz+0.4
3212-20SAMHOUMIDTENKillCaroline Macanderset Addison Burks+0.5
3313-20MIDTENSAMHOUKillRachelle Reedset Brenlin Garlitz+0.3
3413-21SAMHOUMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Marianne Garcia+0.4
3514-21MIDTENSAMHOUBlockedGabrielle Clinkscaleblk Rachelle Reed, Faith Roulston+0.2
3614-22SAMHOUMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Marianne Garcia+0.3
3714-23MIDTENMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Marianne Garcia+0.2
3815-23MIDTENSAMHOUAttack errSophia Henry·
3916-23SAMHOUSAMHOUBlockedGabrielle Clinkscaleblk Faith Roulston, Chelsea Butler+0.1
4016-24SAMHOUMIDTENAttack errFaith Roulston+0.1
4117-24MIDTENSAMHOUAttack errGabrielle Clinkscale·
4217-25SAMHOUMIDTENAttack errChloe Monson+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Sam Houston first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).