FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwayAMERICAN

0:3

HomeSEC

LSU def. Charlotte 3–0

(25-16, 25-20, 25-23)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
CHAR	16	20	23	0
LSU	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

LSU above 50 · CHAR below

Biggest swing: 0.7% to Charlotte — set 1, CHAR 4-2 LSU. Kill by Clara Briley (set by Milena Lopez). LSU win probability 96% → 96%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

CHAR 3.3%96.7% LSU

Charlotte wins

3-0

0.3%

3-1

0.9%

3-2

2.1%

LSU wins

3-0

61.2%

3-1

27.7%

3-2

7.8%

CHAR break %: 34.4% vs this opp
LSU break %: 48.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Clara BrileyKill+0.7%
Kill by Clara Briley (set by Milena Lopez)
Set 1 · CHAR 4-2 LSU · CHAR 4% → 4%
02
Jurnee RobinsonKill+0.5%
Kill by Jurnee Robinson (set by Takyla Brown)
Set 1 · CHAR 4-4 LSU · LSU 96% → 96%
03
Jurnee RobinsonAttack error+0.5%
Jurnee Robinson stuffed by Clara Briley & Elena Kovacevic & Milan Cannon
Set 3 · CHAR 23-23 LSU · CHAR 0% → 1%
04
Elena KovacevicAttack error+0.5%
Attack error by Elena Kovacevic
Set 3 · CHAR 23-25 LSU · LSU 100% → 100%
05
Jessica JonesKill+0.5%
Kill by Jessica Jones (set by Takyla Brown)
Set 1 · CHAR 4-5 LSU · LSU 96% → 97%
06
Jurnee RobinsonKill+0.5%
Kill by Jurnee Robinson (set by Takyla Brown)
Set 3 · CHAR 23-24 LSU · LSU 99% → 100%
07
Elena KovacevicKill+0.4%
Kill by Elena Kovacevic (set by Milena Lopez)
Set 1 · CHAR 3-2 LSU · CHAR 3% → 4%
08
CHAR serverService error+0.4%
Charlotte service error
Set 1 · CHAR 4-3 LSU · LSU 96% → 96%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Charlotteaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
2Clara BrileyOH	3	11	6	34	.147	0	0	1	5	1	1	0.5	11.5
19Sofia LocadiaMB	3	7	0	9	.778	0	0	2	3	0	4	2	9
8Milan CannonMB	3	5	1	16	.250	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	6
16Kennedy EarlsL/DS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	1	2	1	5	1	0	0	2
3Harper HallS	3	0	0	3	.000	24	0	1	4	0	0	0	0
15Mariam MushkudianiOH	2	2	4	9	-.222	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	2
7Elena KovacevicOH	3	8	3	21	.238	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	9.5
9Chloe MaughanL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	1	0	16	0	0	0	1
10Sara MarinkovicOH	2	5	1	13	.308	0	1	1	2	1	3	1.5	7.5
18Gia McGrewOH	2	0	1	4	-.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13Milena LopezS	2	0	0	0	–	5	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
1Dixie GaydenS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		38	17	110	.191	36	4	6	41	3	13	6.5	59

LSUhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Jurnee RobinsonOH	3	19	2	37	.459	2	0	1	12	0	1	1	1.5	20.5
7Jessica JonesMB	3	4	3	13	.077	0	0	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
2Tireh SmithOH	3	3	1	11	.182	1	0	0	2	0	0	5	2.5	5.5
25Takyla BrownS	3	2	0	3	.667	34	1	3	7	0	0	2	1	4
3Aly KirkhoffL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
4Angelina LeeMB	2	3	1	6	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	4
9Camryn JefferyOH	3	15	1	27	.519	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	15
8Ella HemmingsL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	8	1	0	0	0	0
1Kiley BrooksL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	0	0	17	1	0	0	0	0
10Emilee ProchaskaL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
23Sanaa DonaieMB	1	3	0	6	.500	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	5
Team totals		49	8	103	.398	44	3	8	50	4	2	16	10	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 CHAR · LSU 7

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 2 CHARLSU 6

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 4 CHARLSU 4

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 4 CHARLSU 7

Bars above the line = LSU leads, below = Charlotte leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Charlotte

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	47%9/19	22%2/9
2	50%6/12	36%5/14
3	60%6/10	25%2/8
4	46%6/13	33%3/9
5	46%6/13	33%3/9
6	86%6/7	45%5/11
All	53%39/74	33%20/60

LSU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%9/14	53%9/17
2	70%7/10	50%7/14
3	75%6/8	14%1/7
4	67%6/9	65%11/17
5	67%6/9	40%4/10
6	60%6/10	33%3/9
All	67%40/60	47%35/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

134 rallies

Rally log

#	CHAR-LSU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	LSU	CHAR	Serve err	LSU server		+0.4
2	1-1	CHAR	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Kiley Brooks	+0.3
3	2-1	LSU	CHAR	Kill	Clara Briley	set Mariam Mushkudiani	+0.4
4	2-2	CHAR	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Takyla Brown	+0.3
5	3-2	LSU	CHAR	Kill	Elena Kovacevic	set Milena Lopez	+0.4
6	4-2	CHAR	CHAR	Kill	Clara Briley	set Milena Lopez	+0.7
7	4-3	CHAR	LSU×6	Serve err	CHAR server		+0.4
8	4-4	LSU	LSU×6	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Takyla Brown	+0.5
9	4-5	LSU	LSU×6	Kill	Jessica Jones	set Takyla Brown	+0.5
10	4-6	LSU	LSU×6	Kill	Camryn Jeffery	set Takyla Brown	+0.4
11	4-7	LSU	LSU×6	Kill	Camryn Jeffery	set Kiley Brooks	+0.3
12	4-8	LSU	LSU×6	Attack err	Gia McGrew	blk Jessica Jones, Takyla Brown	+0.3
13	5-8	LSU	CHAR	Kill	Elena Kovacevic	set Milena Lopez	+0.2
14	6-8	CHAR	CHAR	Attack err	Jessica Jones		+0.3
15	6-9	CHAR	LSU	Kill	Camryn Jeffery	set Takyla Brown	+0.2
16	6-10	LSU	LSU	Attack err	Elena Kovacevic		+0.3
17	7-10	LSU	CHAR	Attack err	Angelina Lee	blk Sofia Locadia, Elena Kovacevic	+0.2
18	7-11	CHAR	LSU	Serve err	CHAR server		+0.2
19	8-11	LSU	CHAR	Serve err	LSU server		+0.2
20	8-12	CHAR	LSU	Serve err	CHAR server		+0.2
21	9-12	LSU	CHAR	Kill	Clara Briley	set Harper Hall	+0.2
22	9-13	CHAR	LSU	Serve err	CHAR server		+0.2
23	9-14	LSU	LSU	Attack err	Milan Cannon	blk Jessica Jones, Tireh Smith	+0.2
24	10-14	LSU	CHAR	Kill	Milan Cannon	set Harper Hall	+0.1
25	10-15	CHAR	LSU	Kill	Tireh Smith	set Takyla Brown	+0.1
26	11-15	LSU	CHAR	Kill	Elena Kovacevic	set Milena Lopez	+0.1
27	11-16	CHAR	LSU	Kill	Jessica Jones	set Takyla Brown	+0.1
28	11-17	LSU	LSU	Kill	Jessica Jones		+0.1
29	12-17	LSU	CHAR	Attack err	Camryn Jeffery	blk Elena Kovacevic, Milan Cannon	+0.1
30	12-18	CHAR	LSU	Kill	Takyla Brown	set Jurnee Robinson	+0.1
31	12-19	LSU	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Takyla Brown	+0.1
32	13-19	LSU	CHAR	Serve err	LSU server		+0.0
33	13-20	CHAR	LSU	Kill	Angelina Lee	set Takyla Brown	+0.0
34	14-20	LSU	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+0.0
35	15-20	CHAR	CHAR	Ace	CHAR server	aced Camryn Jeffery	+0.1
36	15-21	CHAR	LSU	Kill	Camryn Jeffery	set Takyla Brown	+0.1
37	15-22	LSU	LSU	Ace	LSU server	aced Kennedy Earls	+0.0
38	16-22	LSU	CHAR	Kill	Clara Briley	set Harper Hall	+0.0
39	16-23	CHAR	LSU×3	Kill	Tireh Smith	set Takyla Brown	+0.0
40	16-24	LSU	LSU×3	Attack err	Mariam Mushkudiani		+0.0
41	16-25	LSU	LSU×3	Attack err	Clara Briley	blk Tireh Smith, Jessica Jones	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	CHAR	LSU	Kill	Angelina Lee	set Takyla Brown	+0.2
2	1-1	LSU	CHAR	Kill	Mariam Mushkudiani	set Harper Hall	+0.2
3	1-2	CHAR	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Kiley Brooks	+0.2
4	2-2	LSU	CHAR	Kill	Clara Briley	set Harper Hall	+0.2
5	2-3	CHAR	LSU	Serve err	CHAR server		+0.2
6	2-4	LSU	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Takyla Brown	+0.2
7	3-4	LSU	CHAR	Bad set	Takyla Brown		+0.2
8	4-4	CHAR	CHAR	Kill	Clara Briley	set Chloe Maughan	+0.3
9	4-5	CHAR	LSU	Kill	Camryn Jeffery	set Takyla Brown	+0.2
10	5-5	LSU	CHAR	Serve err	LSU server		+0.2
11	5-6	CHAR	LSU×3	Kill	Camryn Jeffery	set Takyla Brown	+0.2
12	5-7	LSU	LSU×3	Attack err	Elena Kovacevic		+0.3
13	5-8	LSU	LSU×3	Ace	LSU server	aced Sara Marinkovic	+0.2
14	6-8	LSU	CHAR	Serve err	LSU server		+0.2
15	6-9	CHAR	LSU	Kill	Camryn Jeffery	set Jurnee Robinson	+0.2
16	7-9	LSU	CHAR	Kill	Sara Marinkovic	set Milena Lopez	+0.2
17	7-10	CHAR	LSU	Attack err	Mariam Mushkudiani	blk Angelina Lee, Jurnee Robinson	+0.2
18	8-10	LSU	CHAR	Kill	Sara Marinkovic	set Harper Hall	+0.2
19	9-10	CHAR	CHAR	Ace	CHAR server	aced Kiley Brooks	+0.3
20	9-11	CHAR	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Takyla Brown	+0.2
21	9-12	LSU	LSU	Attack err	Mariam Mushkudiani	blk Jurnee Robinson	+0.3
22	10-12	LSU	CHAR	Kill	Clara Briley	set Harper Hall	+0.2
23	10-13	CHAR	LSU×4	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Kiley Brooks	+0.2
24	10-14	LSU	LSU×4	Kill	Jessica Jones	set Takyla Brown	+0.2
25	10-15	LSU	LSU×4	Attack err	Clara Briley	blk Jessica Jones, Takyla Brown	+0.1
26	10-16	LSU	LSU×4	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Takyla Brown	+0.1
27	11-16	LSU	CHAR	Kill	Clara Briley	set Mariam Mushkudiani	+0.0
28	11-17	CHAR	LSU	Kill	Camryn Jeffery	set Takyla Brown	+0.1
29	12-17	LSU	CHAR	Kill	Milan Cannon	set Harper Hall	+0.0
30	13-17	CHAR	CHAR	Kill	Clara Briley	set Harper Hall	+0.1
31	13-18	CHAR	LSU	Kill	Camryn Jeffery	set Takyla Brown	+0.1
32	13-19	LSU	LSU	Attack err	Sara Marinkovic	blk Angelina Lee, Tireh Smith	+0.1
33	14-19	LSU	CHAR×4	Kill	Milan Cannon	set Harper Hall	+0.0
34	15-19	CHAR	CHAR×4	Ace	CHAR server	aced Camryn Jeffery	+0.1
35	16-19	CHAR	CHAR×4	Kill	Sara Marinkovic	set Chloe Maughan	+0.2
36	17-19	CHAR	CHAR×4	Attack err	Tireh Smith	blk Sofia Locadia, Sara Marinkovic	+0.3
37	17-20	CHAR	LSU	Kill	Angelina Lee	set Chloe Maughan	+0.3
38	17-21	LSU	LSU	Ace	LSU server	aced Clara Briley	+0.2
39	18-21	LSU	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+0.1
40	19-21	CHAR	CHAR	Kill	Mariam Mushkudiani	set Harper Hall	+0.3
41	19-22	CHAR	LSU×3	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Takyla Brown	+0.3
42	19-23	LSU	LSU×3	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Takyla Brown	+0.2
43	19-24	LSU	LSU×3	Attack err	Mariam Mushkudiani		+0.1
44	20-24	LSU	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+0.0
45	20-25	CHAR	LSU	Serve err	CHAR server		+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	LSU	LSU	Attack err	Kennedy Earls	blk Sanaa Donaie	+0.1
2	1-1	LSU	CHAR×4	Serve err	LSU server		+0.1
3	2-1	CHAR	CHAR×4	Kill	Milan Cannon	set Harper Hall	+0.1
4	3-1	CHAR	CHAR×4	Kill	Elena Kovacevic	set Harper Hall	+0.2
5	4-1	CHAR	CHAR×4	Kill	Elena Kovacevic	set Harper Hall	+0.2
6	4-2	CHAR	LSU	Kill	Sanaa Donaie	set Takyla Brown	+0.1
7	4-3	LSU	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Takyla Brown	+0.2
8	5-3	LSU	CHAR	Kill	Milan Cannon	set Harper Hall	+0.1
9	6-3	CHAR	CHAR	Attack err	Jurnee Robinson		+0.2
10	6-4	CHAR	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Tireh Smith	+0.1
11	7-4	LSU	CHAR	Kill	Sara Marinkovic	set Harper Hall	+0.2
12	7-5	CHAR	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Takyla Brown	+0.1
13	7-6	LSU	LSU	Kill	Camryn Jeffery	set Takyla Brown	+0.2
14	8-6	LSU	CHAR	Attack err	Jessica Jones	blk Sara Marinkovic, Sofia Locadia	+0.2
15	8-7	CHAR	LSU×3	Kill	Takyla Brown	set Ella Hemmings	+0.1
16	8-8	LSU	LSU×3	Serve err	LSU server		+0.2
17	8-9	LSU	LSU×3	Kill	Camryn Jeffery	set Takyla Brown	+0.2
18	9-9	LSU	CHAR×3	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+0.1
19	10-9	CHAR	CHAR×3	Kill	Sofia Locadia		+0.2
20	11-9	CHAR	CHAR×3	Ace	CHAR server	aced Ella Hemmings	+0.2
21	11-10	CHAR	LSU	Kill	Camryn Jeffery	set Takyla Brown	+0.1
22	12-10	LSU	CHAR	Serve err	LSU server		+0.2
23	12-11	CHAR	LSU×7	Attack err	Clara Briley	blk Sanaa Donaie, Tireh Smith	+0.2
24	12-12	LSU	LSU×7	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Takyla Brown	+0.2
25	12-13	LSU	LSU×7	Kill	Sanaa Donaie		+0.2
26	12-14	LSU	LSU×7	Kill	Tireh Smith	set Aly Kirkhoff	+0.2
27	12-15	LSU	LSU×7	Attack err	Clara Briley	blk Tireh Smith, Sanaa Donaie	+0.1
28	12-16	LSU	LSU×7	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Aly Kirkhoff	+0.1
29	12-17	LSU	LSU×7	Attack err	Clara Briley		+0.1
30	13-17	LSU	CHAR	Kill	Elena Kovacevic	set Harper Hall	+0.0
31	13-18	CHAR	LSU	Kill	Sanaa Donaie	set Takyla Brown	+0.0
32	14-18	LSU	CHAR	Kill	Elena Kovacevic	set Chloe Maughan	+0.0
33	15-18	CHAR	CHAR	Kill	Elena Kovacevic	set Harper Hall	+0.1
34	15-19	CHAR	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Takyla Brown	+0.1
35	16-19	LSU	CHAR	Kill	Sara Marinkovic	set Harper Hall	+0.1
36	17-19	CHAR	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Chloe Maughan	+0.1
37	17-20	CHAR	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Takyla Brown	+0.1
38	18-20	LSU	CHAR	Serve err	LSU server		+0.1
39	19-20	CHAR	CHAR	Attack err	Jessica Jones	blk Sara Marinkovic, Sofia Locadia	+0.2
40	19-21	CHAR	LSU	Kill	Camryn Jeffery	set Kiley Brooks	+0.2
41	20-21	LSU	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+0.2
42	20-22	CHAR	LSU	Kill	Camryn Jeffery	set Takyla Brown	+0.2
43	21-22	LSU	CHAR	Kill	Clara Briley	set Harper Hall	+0.2
44	21-23	CHAR	LSU	Kill	Camryn Jeffery	set Takyla Brown	+0.2
45	22-23	LSU	CHAR	Kill	Clara Briley	set Kennedy Earls	+0.2
46	23-23	CHAR	CHAR	Attack err	Jurnee Robinson	blk Clara Briley, Elena Kovacevic, Milan Cannon	+0.5
47	23-24	CHAR	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Takyla Brown	+0.5
48	23-25	LSU	LSU	Attack err	Elena Kovacevic		+0.5

Score shown after each rally, Charlotte first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.